Thanks for watching spare parts army. This is only my theory , and some evidence to support it. Would be great to hear what parts you agree / disagree with. Your advice always helps shape my thoughts. If youre interested in unironically hooah photos: instagram.com/cappyarmy/ and my motivational tweets twitter.com/Cappyarmy

As a Ukrainian I can say that, while USA may have its own reasons to act how it acts, we are still grateful for all the help and support America sent. Not to mention that the quality of US/European equipment is incomparable to the old soviet metal scrap Ukraine and Russia were operating. So god bless America!

I am Ukrainian. I have an appartment in Mykolaiv (for now), but at any moment I might loose everything. And I am not talking about my real estate. I'm talking about my close family. So... do I feel angry because of the West not helping my country to win this war as quick as possible? No. I am grateful for any help. Big or small. In the end of the day, this war is a red line to separate modern civilizations and barbaric states. And I am proud that I am Ukrainian and therefore part of the future. And that we will never be placed with russians again. Anyway, thanks a lot!

Yo what happened to the Taiwan video? I was really enjoying it while doing the dishes and now I can't do them anymore. So please for my kitchens sake re upload it so i can finish my dishes! 😁

The USA also signed a agreement in 1994 saying we would, as did Russia and Europe in exchange for Ukraine giving up their nukes

The Russians have always been willing to accept acute levels of pain in the wars they fight. This business with Ukraine could go on a long time.

As far as Planes, Tanks and other Western gear, there's the issue of training as well as logistics and other support services. If Ukraine had gotten them 5 years ago and had a major training program to build up not only the familiarity of the pilots, but the vital skills of the ground crews, then they could be useful. But "Here's a F-16 and a operating manual,… have fun." doesn't work.

Thanks Chris for your well-rounded KZfaq publication: I thoroughly enjoyed it. I see from the comments it has stimulated lots of minds and topics of conversation, which only good communication achieves:)

One major rule: don't change borders by force. Russia signed the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances which promised the security of Ukraine if Ukraine surrended their nuclear weapons. As simple as that.

I think a big part is that UA showed their mettle. Remember even America thought Kyiv would fall in a week. The preparations were for a guerilla war like Afghanistan. All of a sudden Ukraine needed stuff to fight a stand up war, not an insurgency. That the US could ship as much as it has across an ocean and half a continent is often over looked. No one else has that kind of reach and it costs. If you'll look you see the US has slowly been escalating deliveries. This way makes it hard for outside parties to condemn the new weapons because Russian atrocities and brutality now make it seem appropriate. Just an angle I think you might not have looked as closely as.

I think the motivation here is much more unclear than you might think. This was has been going on for less than 6 months. At the start, the most important weapon deliveries were clearly the defensive weapons, especially MANPADs and ATGMs. At the same time, the Ukrainians mobilized and created a lot of light infantry forces. These needed to be trained and equipped. I think we are now at the cross roads point, where Ukraine needs to replace armored vehicles and tanks in the existing units. The tank force is being supplemented by the Eastern Europe members of NATO led by Poland. Now we get to the question, does NATO help Ukraine build new armored and mechanized infantry battalions out of some of the infantry formations that were built. This would allow the Ukrainians to field a more formidable offensive force. I still would not expect Abrams and Bradleys going to Ukraine. There are still BMPs and BTRs variants that can be sent and replaced. I don't know where the tanks (if any) are going to come from.

Chris, I feel this needs an update revolving around the offensive that just occurred. How has your perspective changed on this

As a UAF soldier and citizent, I can say that regardless of the purpose we are infinitely grateful for all the help to protect our homeland. That's something we shouldn't forget for generations

Don't put down the m113. It can cross rivers without a bridge. turret have been added to it in the past. And it is basically bulletproof against small arm fire or indirect hits from artillery. And it is a lot easier to keep running than a Bradley.

Excellent analysis - so much better than anything on MSM.

A balanced and very objective walkthrough. Thank you 😃

The problem is that, even if they bring M1abrams, and really advanced equipment, it's gonna take months, years, for the Ukrainians to get used to it and to actually use it

This completely misses the whole bit where we're bringing in Ukrainians to NATO to train on advanced equipment. You all got so close when you were talking about the loss of people qualified on equipment such as their tanks. If you look at the most recent deals going through on the Ukraine front, they have involved bringing Ukrainians in to train on these advanced weapons systems with higher requirements, including advanced surface-to-air equipment and NATO fighters. Before we give them modern standard equipment en masse, we also need to give them the training first.

And thank you CAPPY! Im a fan

Thanks for sharing those facts, amazing job)

I love how level headed and informed you are. There are a lot of veterans with channels that are just talking out of ignorance. Thank you. Really. Thanks.

M113 is still used by the US by some engineers. It's a perfectly good APC. When you consider previously ukraine was using hatchbacks to get troops to the fight, it's an exceptional upgrade. exceptional video as well. No other media is getting close to this sort of thing

as a bit lost until the "yo bro-part" in the end, thank you for clarifying it !

One of your very best. I’m glad you’re willing to take on more complex and less clear topics that are actually much more important. Like most of your audience, maybe, I’m not qualified to make hard decisions on all this, but I’m eager to learn more about this unique European war that no one seemed to foresee clearly, even though we’d already been through Russia in Georgia and Syria.

USA indeed has quite a lot of spare M1 Abrams, but these tanks can be very sophisticated depending on the version, they are very heavy and not all Ukrainian bridges can withstand the Abrams weight, and above all, they consume extremely high amounts of fuel. Shipping those from the USA and then operate them in Ukraine could prove very difficult. However, there is the solution of shipping European-made MBTs to Ukraine, and replace the depleted European stocks with US-made armour. Poland will most likely end up giving all its T-72M1 and PT-91 to Ukraine, replacing them with Abrams, and my guess is Czechia and Slovakia will do more or less the same. That's about 500 MBTs just from Poland, and probably around 600 if you count Czechia and Slovakia. Bulgaria also has quite a large stockpile of Soviet era MBTs, including modernized ones like the T-72m2 Moderna. Furthermore, Spain seems to be willing to give spare German-made Leopard 2 MBTs, I guess these are specifically the Leopard 2A4 which is currently in the Spanish Army storage. Poland also possesses Leopard 2A4 tanks. Overall, if you make an estimate of how many Leopard 2A4 Ukraine could receive from NATO members, I guess it would amount to a few hundreds. By the way, the German company Rheinmetall stated that they could send Leopard 1 MBTs, even if they are obsolete, they could always be useful in the overall numbers game or for Ukrainian Territorial Defense Forces. Last but not least, let's not forget Ukraine's main supplier of MBTs during this war : Russia. Ukrainian have captured hundreds of Russian MBT, mostly T-72 tanks, and I guess they do everything they can to redeploy them as fast as possible. Edit on September 13th, 2022: Ukrainian officials are now specifically asking for German-made Leopard MBTs and Marder IFVs, as you can see here: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/irWBo5CA2cWYqas.html

I found the M113 a joy to drive on snow and of all the various military ambulance vehicles I got assigned to the M113 was the best at not breaking down. It's dependable and quick with the right driver. The patient will get there on time in that thing barring any interruptions.

Glad you do this shit man. And you really take care to explain things in a understandable way. Thanks dude 😎

Very well put and great content! Keep on with your great work!

I was born in russia and lived there for the first 2 decades+ of my life; even served in the (still Soviet) army in the 80s (it was total, universal draft, no exceptions for anyone - I got drafted at 18 after my first year in college). Well, there are no two ways about it, my old country is a messed-up, blood-thirsty threat to the survival of the humankind at this point. russia and putin must be stopped. I acknowledge that there are no easy ways/no silver bullet way to stop him at this point. But, well, there are regular-ass bullets that also work. Yes, anything we do it's going to be painful for us, i.e. for the Free World too; but we have to do it. And there is definitely no way of stopping putin that does not involve helping Ukrainians to inflict maximum damage possible on the russian army. I've been a U.S. taxpayer for what, 32 years - since 1990; every Javelin missile we've sent there has some microscopic contribution in it for me as well. I'm willing to pay MORE taxes; I'm willing to pay $10/gallon for gas for a few years, if that's the price of f***ing putin up.

Big thank you for the continued in depth dive into Ukraine! Keep it up!

This definitely needs an update as it has not aged well and it's not that old.

You are asking all the right questions and giving reasoned caveated explainions often offeing alternatives views. It's a bit strange that in our present world this is praiseworthy, but hey here we are. Thank you!!

Weirdly, Russia *was* benefiting from the "rules based system". They were getting more people to invest in their country, they were importing high tech planes, machines, and consumer devices. They were on the way toward modernizing and integrating, with a lot more of the world becoming interested in their natural resources; and even now, the largest chunk of their economy is not domestic services, it's exports of fuel: Exporting goods is participating in a rules-based system where you can be reasonably certain that when you send somebody a freighter full of stuff, that you'll get the pay you agreed on. They only suffered the "stick" of the rules based system when they broke the rule that says you aren't allowed to attack your neighbors.

There are so many possibilities in war that are unaccounted for…. In 1965, India almost lost half of a state when Pakistanis with their superior Patton tanks were up against Indian Shermans. Well almost until the Indian general flooded the fields, the patton tanks got stuck and then were pounded by artillery. The battle can be looked up as “The battle of Asal Utar” and was pivotal in turning the tide of the war. What could have been a slaughter for the Indian Armoured forces turned out a surprise where the Pakistani armoured division got decimated. All because someone turned on the tap

Thanks for the unbiased video which looks at war from both sides, which is extremely rare.

Dude you really do your homework… awesome channel, thanks.

Not letting Ukraine to be too successful for the fear of escalation sounds more like an appeasement, and appeasement never works.

I would point out that the M113 is more of a Jack of All Trades vehicle. Officially, an Armored Personnel Carrier. In actuality, it's the basis for the M270 MLRS, M142 HIMARs' bigger, older sibling. It's also adaptable into a Mortar Carrier as well as a mobile SAM platform as well as a AAG mount. In addition, the M113 can be a Command-and-Control vehicle. So, technically, very useful on the Offense. Additionally, M113 has been adapted to be a Tank Destroyer firing ATGMs. Some further M113s have been converted in Gun Tank Destroyers by simply adding Tank Turrets to the hulls. Not very effective like the ATGMs, due to the technical difficulties there. On the other hand, a Poor Man's Light Tank has been created from M113 by simply adding a Light Tank's Turret with Gun included. I've seen photos of M113s with 75mm and 76mm Tank Turrets taken from M24 and M41 American Light Tanks. If that isn't enough, well, M113s have been made into rather effective Infantry Fighting Vehicles by adding 25mm or 30mm Gun Turrets, both Manned and Unmanned. The spacious interior has allowed for such conversions and even some Light Tank models of the M113 used these smaller, but highly effective guns. In addition to that, the M113 can be used as a Medical Transport. Though Russia might shoot these ones up, it would be a blatant violation of International Law. Which, of course, it doesn't care about, since there is a subsection regarding Foreign and Irregular Forces in a Standing Military that provides them with protection as well as an additional subsection that protects Resistance Fighters. Of course, the Ukrainians care about the M113 as a Medevac. Because it's their wounded that will be carried, largely safer, to a medical facility or field hospital. With room inside for the medics to work rather than cramped vehicles they already have. The M113 can also do recon and spotting as well as be equipped with Smoke Generators and even be modded to be a cargo and ammo carrier. Honestly... The only thing the M113 can't do is fly. On its own at least. There is also a Turkish version of the M113, which is the M113 modified and produced in Turkey. Plus, many nations are about to replace their M113s in service. Many upgraded and using new tech and equipment. So, the American M113s will likely be joined as other nations upgrade their own defenses first. Which would give the Ukrainians a lot of useful vehicles that they can modify to their hearts' content.

God bless America! Thanks to the American people for supporting Ukraine. But we still need help in weapons

Wow, 1300 dollar per European. I know about 1000 useful way to spend this money.

Dude quoted an interview about how Ukraine has lost most of its tanks, that occurred before Poland started shipping it's hundreds of PT-91.

Your intelligence is rare and you express it with so much charm.

Great analysis! Thank you for your impartiality

Another excellent video, thank you.

Very nice that you use open sources skillfully and cite them. (Nice use of corruption index, for example.) It gives the viewer an idea how to find info, so they can really dig in and not just listen to declarations of talking heads or numbers given by DoD statements.

Also you're leaving out that Russia and China were also architects of this "" rules based order". Thus their PERMANENT seats on the council, and how any one of these countries can torpedo an agenda by themselves.

Even after two and a half millennia, Thucydides quote still remains oh so relevant - “Right, as the world goes, is only in question between equals in power, while the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.” ― Thucydides, History of the Peloponnesian War

As a Marine, i suspected as much, knowing our own Corrupt Govt, thanks for Breaking it down a little bit Task and Purpose.

Can't believe you said all that Cappy. You're a legend. But it's the US go-to strategy, not the exception.... That kind of honest analysis is refreshing.

Cappy, you may have missed that the newest systems like tanks, and aircraft are being sent to former Warsaw pact now NATO members. Their old soviet weapons are going to Ukraine. It simply takes too long to train and they need to fight now.

very well put tugether. thank you

Thank you and greetings from Ukraine!

Why didnt u mention the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 where the US, UK and Russia agreed to not violate Ukraines borders. This is reason number one UK and US are strong supporters of Ukraine now. They signed an agreement to do so. In exchange, Ukraine gave its nukes to Russia btw

Bro, excellent analysis and a very balanced presentation of the actual issues. Well done.

You're overqualified, Cappie. We've gotta get you a raise.

One of the best video on Russia Ukraine war. Wars are ugly but world powers that manipulate rules in their best interest will inevitably create more conflict in future.

The biggest problem with sending western tanks, are that Soviet-built bridges were always built to withstand vehicles up to 45 tons. This was on purpose, to allow lighter Soviet tanks to cross, while not being able to support western tanks that typically weigh 15-20 tons more than Russian ones.

Excellent analysis. Thanks. 👌👍🏼

This is by far your best piece of work yet. A thoughtfull explanation of economic politics. I hope you reach lots of people who can use some real information in these blurred times we live in. Greetz from Holland (not the New York or Michigan one....)

This might be one of the best videos you've put out. We'll done Sir

OUTSTANDING. THANKS. Very enlightening as to USA GOALS. Not what we, the public believed. Essentially as you state a stalemate.

It's called money laundering.

After finding out how much was misspent in Afghanistan we need open accounting of we’re the money is going and who’s getting it

Great informative very interesting abd excellent job 🙏👍🙏👍🙏😃

Loving the deep dive in this video.

I love how Cappy shows us that he googled how to pronounce Kherson in American English. To be fair, the important part is the emphasis on the "son" part. Read it like "kher space? no, *kher zone*"

Surprisingly balanced and fair information.

Politik is a point on its own. Corruption and the fight against it is there problem. I feel sad and worried about all the civillians and parents of killed soldiers in this horrible war. Nice video btw!!!!!

Putin's criticisms aren't wrong, it's just that he wants Russia to be where America is, he doesn't want to actually eliminate neo-colonial structures. Russia's behaviour demonstrates his bad faith.

Secretary Austin pretty well stated the objective - destroy Russia’s ability to do this again.

Your content has improved so much since this video brother! Keep up the good work

mean tactic omg. thx for sharing

So one thing of note is that the US signed the lend lease act but it actually hasn't come into effect. I think with the larger weapons it's mainly about training. Takes a hell of a long time to train enough people to run and fix Abrams to field them in large numbers compared to artillery or rocket artillery.

Russia parking weapons and munitions inside of a nuclear power plant definitely doesn't change anything... 🌻👀

Pretty good dissemination of current info !

Amazing knowledge dump this veteran was blown away

That’s a good vid, thanks for your support from Ukraine! One thing is - names of the cities you mention should be spelled with “h”, not “k”. Diplomats that are speaking at that fragment of video spell those names correctly) There’s the rule of transcribing Ukrainian names into English, but the least I could say - it’s not really based on something understandable to English native) P.S. Both Kherson and Bakhmut sound Arabic when spelled with “k”))

The main problem with supplying tanks to Ukraine is how different western tanks are from soviet ones. All the eletronics are different but most importantly they need a human ammunition loader which is a crew position extinguished in soviet based tanks since 1972 that Ukrainian tank crews would need to learn from scratch. The fact that tank crews need far more training than artillery crews to operate effectively at the frontlines makes the task even harder.

If you look at the text of the quote from Deputy Defense minister, the first things he said was "artillery rounds, and artillery".

Extremely accurate video and balanced. I really liked it ! Keep up ! 😜

A great video on a difficult, complex topic, thank you. Many moving parts and many ways in which good intentions become the feedstock of bad outcomes. I am no expert in this space, but as a personal opinion, if the US thinks that Ukraine are a trustworthy ally, they should be provided with a lot more HIMARS and artillery pieces and the munitions required to support them. I think that the Ukrainians can do the job if they have the right tools.

There has never been a “rules based order”. Never. The only rule is achieving and maintaining “full spectrum dominance”.

Good stuff, thanks

M113 goes with jokes! And they are in the trees! 😄

I enjoyed the nuance that you displayed in this video. It’s really fun watching you grow as a person as you research more videos and expose yourself to more information. Keep up the good work bro

Quality analysis. Yes seams like US aid is designed to give Ukraine just enough to stay in tge fight. But not enough to win.

I would like Ukraine to be supplied with the following equipment at a minimum: 50 M142 HIMARS 90 km GMLRS & 300 KM ATACMS ($1 Billion) 200 K9 South Korean Thunder Tracked Howitzers - Built in Poland + Logistics & Servicing ($2 Billion) 200 K2 South Korean Black PantherTanks - Poland Logistics & Servicing ($2 Billion) - Less expensive than M1 Abrams Tanks 100 K239 South Korean Chunmoo MLRS - 80 km - 200 km ($1 Billion) - Less expensive than HIMARS 2 THAAD ($1.6 Billion) 10 NASAMS Platoons - Anti Aircraft Systems ($500,000,000) 1,000 Humvees / 1,000 IFV JLTV Drones - Unlimited (S/M/L) Short, Medium & Long distance Stugna-P 5,000 - Ukrainian Made - Exported to Baltics & Poland ($1 Billion) Javelins (FGM-148) including rockets 5,000 pieces ($2,500,000,000) NLAW 10,000 2,000 Piorun MANPADS - Polish for logistical reasons and more advanced than U.S. Stingers FA-50 South Korean Fighter Jets - Same as Poland made in South Korea 50 Jets - ($2.6 Billion) 20 Neptune Coastal Defense Systems - 280 KM Range 200 Japanese Type 16 105mm/52-calibre 8x8 Wheeled Self-Propelled Howitzers - Less expensive than French Ceasars and probably better supply chain and servicing + standard NATO ammunition round.

Superior presentation. Love your work.

Really well done video! As someone who studied Russo-Ukrainian relations for years and International Relations in general, you did a really good job answering the questions in understandable language. Loved this and most of your videos in general! Keep it up! 😊👍

What about the Droid attack on the Wookies?

I had a lol moment when I saw the burnt out husk of a Russian tank with a pristine "z" insignia.they should make the tanks out of that indestructible flame proof paint.

Very well said

First of all the rules in ~1947 was driven by Americans chamber of commerce wanting a basically a world free market trade. And were willing to help reward the world agreement. Communist nations never joined in and Islamic nations limited their participation. However; we let Chicoms in to free trade without requiring them to follow all the rules, less then Islamic nations. The American Chamber of Commerce made the rules so they can change those rules. They have significantly in the last decade change those rule, unrecognizable . Chamber of Commerce pine for the rules of communism. That is what the WEF tell us and there minions in government have show us during the Covid pandemic. The corruption in Ukraine was made possible to reach this level by the rule makers rewarding corruption. Corruption in part achieving the world the WEF pine for. Ukraine is not Vietnam, Iran, or Afghanistan since we sent in our troops that did most of the fighting. They never showed the capacity if given the tool the ability to win. Second these were much closer to Civil Wars not an invasion. Ukraine may have been occupied by the USSR but showed that the Ukraine was never part of Russia. Note the starvation by Stalin of Ukrainians in ~ 1920s. Giving better weapons or more of them will not be turned over to Russia without a fight. Russia could overpower them but so far that is unlikely. Corruption is Ukraine will be allowed is we allow it. We are responsible for auditing what we send to them. Small corruption will never be stopped but large scale corruption is much easier to detect even from afar with few sources. We determine the level of corruption and in the above wars we let in happen.

One thing I should mention that is far more relevant then me just tossing some tidbits out: Israel. The Yom Kippur War to be exact. The war started off very similarly to Ukraine. Last second mobilizations and heavy clashes between the vastly outnumbered Israelis using upgraded older equipment and Arab Forces using some of the latest and greatest Soviet toys on the Export Market and some that weren't. Like the Ukrainians, the Israelis were highly successful in the defensive role and eventually, with what they had on hand, they were able to counterattack once the Arabs had been bled enough. By your own statement Chappy, the Russians will lose about 50% of their Tanks by November 20th, 2022, whereas the Ukrainians will not until sometime in January 2023. That's very significant. About two months difference. Which means, if the Russians lose enough forces, the Ukrainians losses will go down. The result being that new equipment would actually build up and then head into combat. That said, the situation of the Yom Kippur War was such, that both the USA and USSR were actually stripping their own Stockpiles to resupply their respective side. Vehicles still in US and Soviet paint schemes and ID markings were going into the hands of Israeli and Arab troops. Something we recently saw with a pair of former Czech Hinds now in Ukraine's service. They went into combat still painted in Czech Army Colors, but with Ukrainian IDs on them. Which were hastily painted on. Ammunition will be a big issue as well. The Ukrainians are getting new equipment, so as the US and Western Allies tool up for Ammo Production, the Ukrainians are going to be getting a share of that. The Russians have to try and figure out how to ramp up their own production or source ammunition from their own allies. And China is now not in a very good position to supply the Russians, meaning that their best sources would be Iran and North Korea, two nations that have been historically dependent on Russia. The Yom Kippur War also occurred when both the USA and USSR were able to produce plentiful amounts of arms and ammo. Now, neither the USA or Russia can do the same. Neither nation is set up. As such, the Russians are burning through whatever they can field. They had a number of T-90Ms already in production when the war started. Those Tanks are going to be finished. Whatever they have on hand to use to produce T-90Ms until they run out of it all. By contrast, the West as a whole can continue production. The Chip Shortage is a major issue, but not an impossible issue. It still means a major slowdown and it exposes the issues in the US Military-Industrial Complex that prevented a fully stock inventory in favor of constant production of existing systems with the odd new system thrown in for added measure. While small arms and unguided rockets will become increasingly available, the 227mm Rockets the US Military uses are another thing. The same with the Vehicles. It will be some time before what the Ukrainians need will even be partially met. That's why there are down payments now. So, as it becomes available, it can go to Ukraine. There is a tact the USA can take. Simply recreating the American Volunteer Group and giving them American Hardware to use. Of course, you can imagine how THAT will go over with the Russians. That said, of course, is the training. The US Military already knows how that looks. Poland uses both Western and Eastern systems. While they are sending much of their Eastern systems to Ukraine, they are having internal fights over it. Not so much as to not help Ukraine, but because there is divided opinion and who has the best equipment. If you thought F-16 and F-15 drivers had difference of opinions or both against the A-10 guys or the three against the Strategic Bomber guys or the USAF and USN/MC rivalries... Yeah... They were using the same technology. Poland... Not so much. Though, now Poland wants HIMARs as well. About a couple of hundred of them. And with the possibility for a lot more. Poland is making the transition from Eastern to Western. But there is still internal debate on the subject. At this point, the inertial for the change is simply that Modern Western Weapons are better. So, they are being swapped out simply due to being much newer and much better, as shown by how M1 Abrams eats up and spits out Eastern Tanks frequently. But the MiG-29 and F-16 Fighter Communities in the Polish Air Force alone were reaching Imperial Japanese Military levels of Taking the Rivalry Too Far. And that's before you get to the whole training and learning aspect. One guy I noticed mentioned about handing over F-16s with just a manual. Yeah. That's right. It's not so simple as that.

Without watching I already know that the money is making defense contractors money to fill the void after we pulled out of Afghanistan

I love your programs, they are entertaining and educative...

Doo, da doo! Send in the Clowns! The Kremlin and Trumper Clowns!

I love how you don't take yourself too seriously, but make a very intelligent analysis at the same time 👌

Tank. That’s what they called me back in high school

Chris out here doing what every media outlet actively tries to avoid doing share valuable unbiased information, thank you sir.