There have been important developments in the relations between Armenia and Russia recently. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced that his country will officially leave the Russian-led Collective Security Treaty Organization. Pashinyan cited the organization's failure to fulfill its obligations to Armenia, especially in the conflicts with Azerbaijan, as the reason for this decision. This step marks a major change in Armenia's foreign policy. It shows that the country is shifting away from Russia and towards the West. Armenia is trying to establish closer relations with Western countries by holding joint military exercises with the United States and seeking Western support to strengthen its democracy. This change led to the decline of Russia's influence in the South Caucasus. However, a complete separation of Armenia from Russia does not seem realistic at the moment. Because Armenia is still largely dependent on Russia for trade, energy and infrastructure. While these developments will lead to radical changes in Armenia's foreign policy, they will have significant effects on the future direction of the country and the balance of power in the region. These developments create uncertainties about how relations between Armenia and Belarus will be shaped in the future.
geopolitical balances in the region may be affected and turn into a potential crisis. Recently, Armenia has been significantly deepening its relations with the European Union (EU) and the West. This change accelerated especially after the tensions with Russia and the conflicts with Azerbaijan. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is taking important steps towards establishing closer relations with the West and receives great support from the EU and the USA in this process. The support provided by the EU and the USA to Armenia is considered an important step towards strengthening the future economic and political stability of this country.
Although Russia tries to maintain its influence in the region, Armenia's desire to get closer to the West and Azerbaijan's strong ties with Turkey are reshaping the geopolitical balances in the South Caucasus. In summary, while Armenia tries to establish closer relations with the West, it follows a cautious balance policy due to its economic dependence on Russia.
It remains unclear how this situation will shape future developments in the South Caucasus.
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