Why the Russia-China Pipeline Dispute Is an Even Bigger Problem for the Kremlin than It Seems

Рет қаралды 410,552

Күн бұрын

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In May, Putin visited China in the hopes of reaching an agreement to build the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline. This would connect Russian gas fields to hungry Chinese consumers, giving the Kremlin a long-term economic lifeline. However, no deal came to pass. This video examines the underlying reason why it likely happened and why it spells further problems for Russia.
0:00 Russia and China Fail to Reach Agreement on Gas Pipeline
0:20 Why Russia Needs a Deal Done
2:16 Why China Is the Apparent Solution
4:11 Power of Siberia 2 Negotiations Details
5:19 Why a Failed Deal Is Weird
7:03 Informational Issues between the Parties
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Kremlin.ru:
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Пікірлер: 1 400

@rositasultana3958 21 күн бұрын

With such limitless friendship, who needs enmity? 😂

@MultiMenvafan 21 күн бұрын

Haha indeed, just my thought.

@caocaohehe 21 күн бұрын

😂😂😂

@marcdc6809 21 күн бұрын

China is that 'friend' that drinks your beer before and after sleeping with your wife.

@weirdo1060 21 күн бұрын

They used to be enemies. The Sino-Soviet split existed from 1960s until 1990s. Each wanted to be the most prevalent Communist nation during the Cold War. Nixon's visit to China in 1970s was an attempt to keep them from reconciling for political power.

@badluck5647 21 күн бұрын

Does "limitless" mean something different in Russian or Mandarin?

@et34t34fdf 21 күн бұрын

"I will do anything for love, but i won't buy gas" - China

@cyberfunk3793 21 күн бұрын

@@rluna727 You call Russia a "western power" ? I think Xi is hawk himself, he is the one that has made the policy that Taiwan will be captured even by force if necessary. If Xi wanted, he could declare today they will never attack Taiwan as long as he is in power and Taiwan can join peacefully later if they like. That would the sensical position and would avoid huge costs on both sides, but obviously sensical isn't what these regimes go for.

@sociolocomtsac 21 күн бұрын

@@cyberfunk3793 It's sensical for Xi to be a hawk on Taiwan in terms of domestic policy. Like the above comment, the CCP doesn't want to rely on any one power/person for their energy. More pipelines = more reliance.

@scorpiom8053 21 күн бұрын

@@sociolocomtsac *CPC

@2hotflavored666 21 күн бұрын

@@scorpiom8053CCP*

@chuckwood3426 21 күн бұрын

@@rluna727 Even with the new pipeline the gas that China would buy would be such a small percentage of Chinas total energy consumption that I dont think Russia would have much of a hook on them anyhow.

@casbot71 21 күн бұрын

China could always claim some lost former territory.....

@Vicarious_Heart 21 күн бұрын

China looking at Vladivostok: *it's free real estate*

@shawn7684 21 күн бұрын

And I do not understand why they aren't pushing in that direction. If there was ever a time, it was now. Xi can't get Taiwan, but what about Manchuria?

@Mortarion-xt9wp 21 күн бұрын

True there won't be any use for some "Power of Siberia" if Siberia (or at least greater Manchuria) were Chinese.

@madkoala2130 21 күн бұрын

@@shawn7684 most likely he is still waiting. How ever war ends, China will gain something in the end. Maybe he knows that Putin is doomed and waits until the moment when do to some kind of Russian internal crisis to have some kind of legitimate reason to enter have "Chinese safe zone" inside Russia. Most likely Xi does not want to be completely isolated diplomatically

@SuhbanIo 21 күн бұрын

@@Vicarious_Heart Russia looking at Manchuria: *it's free real estate*

@zimti7390 21 күн бұрын

Big Friendship ends at Big money

@basilmcdonnell9807 21 күн бұрын

Maybe China doesn't want to be putting itself in a position to be blackmailed the way Russia tried to blackmail Europe.

@grogery1570 21 күн бұрын

Hmm when has Russia ever honored a deal?

@pohmoh3590 21 күн бұрын

Who sanction who ? Who decide not to buy Russian gas? 😂

@bloodgout 21 күн бұрын

@@pohmoh3590russia tried to blackmail Europe using oil and gas. So Europe has stopped buying from russia and is buying from other markets.

@pohmoh3590 20 күн бұрын

@@bloodgout Russia still selling to Hungary and Turkey. Europe still buying Russian oil, but thru 3rd countries like Turkey, India and at higher price 🤣

@Kingofallfunnelheads 20 күн бұрын

Naaaah. Europeans are weak. Chinese are not going to be pushed around by Russia. Russia may not trust China, or like China, but they respect China. No one respects Europeans.

@neolithictransitrevolution427 21 күн бұрын

The issue is russia can't afford to build it, because they lack capital and China offers messily rates. China doesn't want to pay for it, because it will bring enormous sanctions, and they think they might not need gas in 10 years.

@meteorknight999 21 күн бұрын

there is no sanctioning china over gas beside if US does ruin relations china gets sanction then it will be russia time to compensate, poor putin only if there was island that could help takeover

@howiescott5865 21 күн бұрын

If China pays or builds it, The Russians can set any price or cut the flow. The Chinese know all about extortion.

@dontcare7086 21 күн бұрын

China doesn't have the money. Watch China Observer, China Insights, The China Show, etc.. People have no idea how dire it is in China.

@memeshort7189 21 күн бұрын

This

@technokicksyourass 21 күн бұрын

Plus Russia has a nasty habit of turning off the taps when your in a jam. Better for China to continue with hydro, coal and nuclear.

@shmidtty 21 күн бұрын

I am doing well. Uni is going alright and I’m generally on top of things. Thank you for asking. How are you ?

@Gametheory101 21 күн бұрын

Busy, but good. Thanks for asking!

@BobBrown-tj2pz 21 күн бұрын

Mr. Spaniel is one of our best "parasocial friends." His calm voice and familiar good explanations are a good part of our lives. William, I'm going to believe that you see your audience as supportive, intelligent, and that you genuinely wish us well. We speak of war and economics, but only compassion can save the world.

@thelvadam2884 21 күн бұрын

@@BobBrown-tj2pz well said my friend !

@flipw3605 21 күн бұрын

@@Gametheory101 Don't burn yourself out, though.

@peripheralparadox4218 21 күн бұрын

@@BobBrown-tj2pzcompassion can destroy the world too. Just look at the current and developing consequences of immigration throughout Europe and America. Every virtue must be tempered by wisdom and pragmatism.

@paulbuono5088 21 күн бұрын

I heard the fact that the Gazprom CEO didn't even attend meant everyone knew beforehand there'd be no breakthrough...having said that, like he said I think they're both a bit overconfident and each see time on their side...meaning they're both willing to wait each other out

@AnimaChronix3 21 күн бұрын

I don't think Russia has all the time looking at Gazprom figures since the loss of Europe market and the need to fund their war. China seems to be in a big position of power in this relation.

@jackjones9460 21 күн бұрын

Oooh, if only the USA had a mere 1.1% deficit compared to our GDP!

@jackjones9460 21 күн бұрын

Maybe Xi mentioned the new territory he is claiming from Russia?

@gae_wead_dad_6914 21 күн бұрын

@@jackjones9460 Dude, that's their YEARLY deficit, not "entire". That's so much worse.

@gae_wead_dad_6914 21 күн бұрын

@@jackjones9460 Also why do all of you vatniks have 4 numbers at the end with the most generic names possible?

@Grodon-mf3ho 21 күн бұрын

When I saw the title Russia “China pipeline”and “heated dispute” I immediately clicked it because I just KNOW we’re about to see some juicy Power of Siberia I & II drama 🔥🔥🔥🔥

@obelic71 21 күн бұрын

Enough gaslighting & pipedreams ahead for a new netflix series.

@jonnybanjo3424 21 күн бұрын

@@obelic71 😆😆😆👍

@JBG1968 21 күн бұрын

The two have never liked each other much . During the Cold War it was always figured that china would fight against the Russians if actual war ever started . I think the recent “friendship” has been more a relationship of convenience in their opposition to the US and it’s allies and china actually sees an opportunity now to take territory from Russia that the Chinese have wanted for some time

@jonnybanjo3424 21 күн бұрын

The enemy of my enemy

@dan61131 21 күн бұрын

China & Russia has shooting war after WW2.

@ettoreatalan8303 21 күн бұрын

Russia is still occupying historical Chinese territory.

@jonnybanjo3424 20 күн бұрын

@ethreix800 Your'e obviously not particularly bright. I would advice you to keep quiet until you know what your'e talking about.

@iambicpentakill971 20 күн бұрын

@ethreix800 You are taking an absurdly narrow view of the word "like" that doesn't fit how people use language

@awesomehpt8938 21 күн бұрын

China takes Vladivostok Russia: curse your sudden but inevitable betrayal!

@Srbenda126 21 күн бұрын

not possible to take territory from a nuclear superpower

@zimti7390 21 күн бұрын

@@Srbenda126What if they make him an offer he can't refuse though

@Dommifax 21 күн бұрын

@@Srbenda126 depends on how much the leaders care about some backwater at the other end of the world - maybe vladi itself would be asking too much considering its importance as a Russian Pacific base but the land around it? who knows if the Russian leader at the time would be willing to sacrifice European Russia to nuclear war just to spite the Chinese taking some siberian wasteland

@timmommens901 21 күн бұрын

@@Srbenda126 China milking out RF money first before neokolonisation of the resources. Next awaiting RF internal collapse to vassal state the outer regions. 😊

@steven4315 21 күн бұрын

@@Srbenda126 Would probably take the form of the region breaking off and declaring their independence.

@paulyoung4422 21 күн бұрын

Russia gives China the gas for free, Russia gets Golf Carts.

@stuartwells4133 21 күн бұрын

😂

@marcdc6809 21 күн бұрын

Russia works now for the China company store

@KolyaUrtz 21 күн бұрын

ukraine uses golf carts, not russia

@an_interloper 21 күн бұрын

@@KolyaUrtz What do you call the 1000-3 Desertcross?

@Puffalupagus360 21 күн бұрын

Sound plan

@enricogattone432 21 күн бұрын

Pipelines are another nice excuse to put lines on maps 😂

@eriks.9730 21 күн бұрын

And dots on maps.

@Lan_Zadura 21 күн бұрын

pipelines ARE lines on maps

@TennesseeHomesteadUSA 21 күн бұрын

Lines through territory no pipeline will ever be built.

@Jakob_DK 21 күн бұрын

Yes and look on ownership and finance of said pipelines.

@edfrancis7001 20 күн бұрын

Incredibly vulnerable! Nordstream?

@todo9633 21 күн бұрын

China: There are no limits to our relationship with Russia, as in there's no limits to how low we will try to drive down prices when we have leverage.

@carlspam5335 21 күн бұрын

ruSSia: Not so hard, Mr. Winnie the Pooh, Im a World Superpower.

@rositasultana3958 21 күн бұрын

And I’m Putin, the master strategist 😂

@cooldudecs 21 күн бұрын

China is NOt a world super. power

@andrzej3511 21 күн бұрын

Mr Winnie the Pooh: not so quick little man, you are FORMER superpower!!!! Now I AM superpower!!!!

@brownpleasure9320 21 күн бұрын

@@andrzej3511 nice fantasy boys, but russia is worlds 2 strongest military power and is a super power to along with usa, china and india

@dutchuncle3310 21 күн бұрын

Russia is little more than a gas station in the arctic, without gas and oil sales the Russia dies. Because of the Ukraine war China’s expansionist policy vis a vis the South China Sea, the Philippine islands and Taiwan were brought into sharp focus making it close to unachievable all made worse by exposure of the Belt and Road program as a way for china to gain influence is exceptionally painful for china. Add to that the collapse of the Chinese property bubble the withdrawal of foreign investment both closely linked to the downturn in international trade

@Badbigboy123 21 күн бұрын

always a good day when William Spaniel uploads an informative video

@SylviusTheMad 21 күн бұрын

The relationship between China and Russia today reminds me of the relationship between Germany and Austria in WW1. Germany really needed Austria to be competent, and Austria spent years not doing that.

@stephenLarson-vs7fu 21 күн бұрын

An excellent analogy! It´s like your friend who keeps getting fired from jobs, or quitting, and then comes and asks for loans. You just want to say, "Get it together already!"

@michaelotoole1807 21 күн бұрын

also between germany and italy in ww2.

@rcchin7897 3 күн бұрын

@S : Except that your friend stole your couch several years ago! :D

@marcdc6809 21 күн бұрын

Putin is in the process of learning some economic principles here... they only have one potential buyer, so China sets the low price they want to pay... and in return Russia has only one country they can still buy consumer goods from, so China sets the high price they want to get... You could say Putin buys from the company store in China...

@facsimile-io3dd 20 күн бұрын

He also shut himself out of the worlds biggest markets ... real slow learner.

@davethompson3326 20 күн бұрын

I wonder if Russia has a term for "Tofu Dregs" (yet)? They soon will,

@zimti7390 21 күн бұрын

Maybe they just don't really trust each other, because they both know how similar they are

@Jonathanizer 21 күн бұрын

China and Russia are very different. They are both authoritarian regimes, former Communist states, which are tentative rivals to the "West", but that's basically where the parallels end.

@dx-ek4vr 21 күн бұрын

The world just ain't big enough for 2 Authoritarian superpowers

@CollectiveDefence 21 күн бұрын

@@Jonathanizer And where do the differences begin?

@bloodgout 20 күн бұрын

@@Jonathanizersimilar in terms of trustworthiness

@bloodgout 20 күн бұрын

@@dx-ek4vrfortunately neither of them is a superpower

@Notsogoodguitarguy 21 күн бұрын

Power of Siberia 2: Electric boogaloo. I think the headlines are surprised about the pipeline only because people don't know what the relations between China and Russia actually are. It's not as rosy as people might seem to think/want.

@dameinoferrall2400 21 күн бұрын

My wife is Chinese and tells me this all the time. They are nothing close like say the U.S. and Canada or the U.S. and the U.K or even the U.S. and the E.U., which have their problems. In all of the aforementioned relationships nobody is worried about one party invaded or attacking the other. But with Russia and China, they always are, always have been and always will be.

@jpt3640 21 күн бұрын

Well. Both are simply opportunistic. If they can steal your stuff because you are busy, they will.

@nolean99z 21 күн бұрын

....... and then we take you higher

@elliekwong3180 20 күн бұрын

@@jpt3640 : LOL! USA is the biggest thief in world.

@Vicarious_Heart 21 күн бұрын

China: Birthrate at 1.09! We in deep shit! South Korea *Crying*: AMATEURS

@cooldudecs 21 күн бұрын

South Korea is backed by the global super power, USA and is rich.. China is still backwater mostly

@Ealsante 21 күн бұрын

Honestly, considering the work of some Chinese demographers using the BCG vaccine to measure ACTUAL births, it's quite likely that China is already at sub-1 levels of fertility. There's been a distinct gap between reported births, and the use of the BCG vaccine (which is compulsory at birth in China), since like 2017 or 2018.

@leonake4194 20 күн бұрын

They aint that far from each other really. South Korea has a Fertility rate of 0.81, not much worse than china's 1.09 Once you are around 1.00 I believe It no longer makes that big of a difference, with a Fertility rate of 1.00 or close to It, your population Is gonna half In a generation anyways

@Kingofallfunnelheads 20 күн бұрын

@@leonake4194 Your Maths is garbage.

@user-co5ri6dp3c 20 күн бұрын

@@leonake4194 - Korea: 0.72 - Taiwan: 0.87 - Singapore: 0.97 - China: 1.00 - Japan and Thailand: 1.20 Chinaese and Korean “We plan to move to either Japan or the U.S.”

@CircleJoy_ 21 күн бұрын

How am I doing? School is starting to burn me out a little bit but ah well, nothing to be done about it for now. Education is important after all and that's why I value your content so much! Thanks, Mr. Lines on Maps!

@marcm. 21 күн бұрын

If you've ever done business with Russians, it would make a lot of sense that they're walking away from a deal that they could actually handle but don't want to, they believe in leverage. This is much more than your typical bargaining styles between partners, especially partners of unequal power. The thing is I've done business with both Russians and Chinese, and I can see how this rift would have happened even if they had accurate information of each other and the right analysis of said information. Especially Xi and Putin, Xi believes in stability but also wolf diplomacy. Think of it of a predatory form of bargaining, meanwhile the Russians, especially those in the Kremlin, believe in a much more brutal form of street power. Between those things, and the fact that China really doesn't need Russia, it would like it, but it doesn't need it, and the Russians still have this Mussolini thought pattern of their imperial might, past and delusionally present, I can see how this became a problem. Essentially the Chinese are predatory, and the Russians are parasitic, and they do it by means of leverage, as such this was bound to happen at some point, and it doesn't really surprise me with this specific issue of natural gas, where Russia seriously has nowhere to go. All I can say is that I'm happy that they have managed to be their worst with each other as well as the rest of the world

@stevenobrien557 21 күн бұрын

Hate to be that guy who raves about a recent popular book but this reminds me of the story in Red Notice about the Russian peasant who gets granted one wish after he catches a magical talking fish.

@rcchin7897 3 күн бұрын

“there‘s no point bargaining with a goblin. They always think they have the upper hand.“

@markanderson3870 21 күн бұрын

I think the real problem is that both China and Russia are way too overconfident, and both in worse situations in their own countries than they realize.

@johnnykey00 15 күн бұрын

? Phrase with no substance?

@Brad-vz5nt 14 күн бұрын

@@johnnykey00Please explain. What more do you want?

@johnnykey00 14 күн бұрын

@@Brad-vz5nt What about some substance of a statement? This is not an allegation comparable with "during night time there is darkness". Maybe you are right, but you lack any substance to your allegation

@rcchin7897 3 күн бұрын

When you surround yourself with yes men and toadies that are afraid to give you bad news, that sort of thing happens. Not that China and Russia are alone in this.

@sirsplintfastthepungent1373 21 күн бұрын

Power of Siberia 2: Babooshka Boogaloo

@SirFaceFone 21 күн бұрын

The prelude to Sino-Soviet Split 2: Vladivostok's Mine Too

@paulbuono5088 21 күн бұрын

Power of Transiberian Orchestra 2

@tutnetam 21 күн бұрын

Ukraine won’t have any gas at all soon, that’s the fact

@sirsplintfastthepungent1373 21 күн бұрын

@@tutnetam that's a weirdly scared response to a relatively benign post, my bruv

@hgv1947 21 күн бұрын

@@tutnetamwhat has russia lost ????????

@larrywest42 21 күн бұрын

0:46 Elegant shade throwing: "noted luminaries" and then panning to slap-ki-do sensei Seagal 👨‍🍳😘

@CutieZalbu 21 күн бұрын

I’m starting to think maybe Russia and China not as close as we thought…. If I was China,I’d claim some of my lost territories as well just saying 👀 Russia wasn’t too nice when China was weak 😢

@Jonathanizer 21 күн бұрын

China has already started to go in that direction. For example: In recent editions of Chinese school books, Russian regions and towns are now named by their old Chinese names (some of these names not been used for 200 years). China is opening up the option to contest Russian territory, if Russia gets any weaker. Maybe "limitless friendship" means no border between China and the Asian part of Russia ;)

@enricogattone432 21 күн бұрын

@@Jonathanizer "limitless friendship" translation: China has no borders, but we'll be much friendlier than russia when we invade

@timmommens901 21 күн бұрын

@@Jonathanizer Hear Hear

@SmileyEmoji42 21 күн бұрын

Why would you think that they are, or ever were, close? The only thing that they have in common is that they feel threatend by the USA. It is only a "The enemy of my enemy is my friend" kind of friendship.

@Edax_Royeaux 20 күн бұрын

@@SmileyEmoji42 Cause China keeps trying to champion the "Global South" and such a thing would pointless if China doesn't get close to any of the nations they are purportedly trying to champion.

@defective6811 21 күн бұрын

The RF lacks the spare technical capacity or capability to build the pipeline on its own. The PRC can potentially provide that, but it needs to heavily interface with western firms and technology to do so. The PRC lacks developed supermajors. Thus, the delay is likely as much to do with the PRC attempting to save face and not admit inability to the RF as it is about squeezing the RF for concessions. After all, its a well known face saving tactic that if you can't keep up your end of the deal you look to force the other side to abandon the deal.

@war-painter 21 күн бұрын

Now THAT narrative has the truest ring of truth. Neither russia nor china can build the pipeline without WESTERN tech and expertise. Neither russia or china are gonna admit this! Loss of face is paramount, can you IMAGINE if word got out that the whole deal is really about the fact that two gigantic dictatorships cannot build the pipeline and move all that gas, and outmoded form of power that is causing climate change and destroying the planet, without help from the EVIL WEST?

@kenithandry5093 21 күн бұрын

Thanks for the update.

@Ostinat0 20 күн бұрын

You really are going to keep putting that drone refinery attack animation into every video aren't you? Your dedication to a bit is truly admirable

@danielhale1 20 күн бұрын

Always delighted to see your videos pop up, because I can get a more nuanced and detailed view of the situation than I'd hear from the news

@francislarv3012 21 күн бұрын

I recall a few years ago seeing videos of Russians firing all the burners on their gas stoves unecessarily just as a joke because subsidized gas was so cheap

@Billytomtom18 21 күн бұрын

Hello William nobody has forgotten you, we all appreciate your videos. As far as China declining the pipeline, the Chinese leader is looking ahead when the Russian Federation is broken up and a better price can be reached with the new Russian Government. A fool and their money is soon departed, and China is nobody’s fool in regards the survival of the Russian Federation 🤭

@goenzoy712 21 күн бұрын

Afraid you misjudge the situation a bit.China s strategy is global with energy being a minor part in it. But also Russia does have a lot more time for all the transition s

@meteorknight999 21 күн бұрын

Oh no china wont let russia collapse cause it knows it will be next, its ukrn which will after new conscription law get younger men spares women who wont have kids either.

@armintargaryen9216 21 күн бұрын

A tiny bit of wishful thinking here

@JimCOsd55 21 күн бұрын

@@goenzoy712I have to agree that this is pretty complicated, China has already seen that Russia can’t be trusted to abide by their contracts for energy. While China is already in economic trouble of their own with a real estate collapse that they’re already pouring billions into a rescue plan. But what also must be taken into account is the growth in renewable energy? In another decade it could replace most fossil fuels so why waste billions on a pipeline that could take just as long to build and bring online? China is already a world leader in renewable energy, Xi probably sees a day that he doesn’t really need Putin as his BFF???

@goenzoy712 21 күн бұрын

@JimCOsd55 Certainly not true . First China is growing and gas is not only needed for energy.Also for chemicals you need gas.Or for medicine And a country what can deliver below world market prices and without $ is extremely helpful

@Akephalos204 21 күн бұрын

I know you know your audience well when you showed 1.09! and immediatly said "its not a factorial" i was ready to type

@pretoasted 21 күн бұрын

Doing well, thanks. Hope you're enjoying your Saturday!

@nancyhope2205 21 күн бұрын

Love your sly wit. the brilliant analysis is great too.

@asan1050 21 күн бұрын

Thank you very much!

@TheLenmae 21 күн бұрын

Should be noted that 1.09 Factorial would be even less, it'd be 1.04. For numbers between 1 and 2 the factorial function is actually smaller than its input.

@virginiatyree6705 21 күн бұрын

P.S.: Glad you're doing well! I so enjoy your efforts to keep us informed with no nonsense information. There's so much white noise out there. I'm well too!

@nnonotnow 21 күн бұрын

Just waiting in line for more lines

@chimchim2_ 21 күн бұрын

I'm tired and could use a hug....

@Gametheory101 21 күн бұрын

:hug:

@chimchim2_ 21 күн бұрын

Thx, man! 🤗

@kkirsch3583 21 күн бұрын

🤗❣️🤗🤗🤗

@janethompson5153 21 күн бұрын

Fantastic reporting 😊

@Tier1Slacker 21 күн бұрын

Your lines on maps explanations are a great way to ease novices into your field.

@richardtabor8686 20 күн бұрын

As always, thank you for the analysis and content.

@tmakij 21 күн бұрын

Since building the pipeline takes years, it is interesting to see how the two countries see their economic situation in the future. I guess both countries see their situation better in 2030. I assume that Russia's expectation is a victory in Ukraine well before that, otherwise they have a very optimistic view.

@jacobkatzeff 21 күн бұрын

A fertility rate of 1.09 is insane

@PandaPanda-ud4ne 21 күн бұрын

it is even worse, cause these are OFFICIAL state numbers. They are already manipulated. The truth is even worse. How much worse we do not know. It already could be South Korean like, but i do not believe it.

@UGNAvalon 21 күн бұрын

Brace yourself before looking up South Korea’s fertility rate..

@syjiang 21 күн бұрын

Its gonna go even lower.

@irBribe 21 күн бұрын

@UGNAvalon sir I know you want a kid but your time card says you've only worked 88 hours this week we are gonna need another 30 from you

@zimti7390 21 күн бұрын

It's always funny when ultra rich people like Elon Musk or wealthy Politicians go surprised Pikachu faced if people who can barely afford a small 2 bedroom apartment don't have 6 children And by funny I mean infuriating

@ozzypirate 20 күн бұрын

Im fine thank you William... thank for asking. Hello from Australia 🇦🇺 buddy. Keep up with your great content.

@azsqa6286 21 күн бұрын

Thanks William great video as always

@marlenfras5490 21 күн бұрын

Good reporting. Many thanks. Strong democracy.

@louiscarullo6034 21 күн бұрын

I’m tired but it’s a weekend. Unfortunately this weekend kid rock is in town and my agency has to have medics on duty (I’m a fire and ems dispatcher) so you know that’s going to be a sane time. Fortunately, I’m off and my wife said no OT so dodging bullets over here. Thank you for these btw. Buying your book when I have a dollar to spare. Also. Thanks for asking.

@Gametheory101 21 күн бұрын

Well "Kid Rock" is here was not a comment I was expecting.

@louiscarullo6034 21 күн бұрын

@@Gametheory101 nor was it expected for him coming to where I live. I’m waiting for a hazmat warning being issued. Edited: auto text defeats literacy again

@thejudgmentalcat 21 күн бұрын

@louiscarullo6034 wear ALL THE PPE, you don't know where those people came from 😂

@louiscarullo6034 21 күн бұрын

@@thejudgmentalcat unfortunately I do because it’s around me…kid rock…just…is like sprinkling Ebola on Bird Flu

@Rick-tc1zz 21 күн бұрын

Really an informative video. Thanks

@phlogistanjones2722 20 күн бұрын

Thank you for the vidja. Always informative and amusing. Peaceful Skies.

@peterhamel2927 21 күн бұрын

Noted luminaries. This is next-level humor.

@milosstevanovic1377 21 күн бұрын

I like this bed time stories. China knows who is next if Russia loses.

@inorogNL 20 күн бұрын

Bash tako!

@11000038 20 күн бұрын

Only if china does invasion. Otherwise the democratic west will be happy to trade.

@daveswitzerland4442 21 күн бұрын

Very great Information! Thank you!

@lprice5583 20 күн бұрын

I just subscribed. I have seen a few of your videos and found them informative.

@gulogulo7636 21 күн бұрын

Priced in to the negotiations assumes ruzzia is lead by people in contact with reality!

@traviswilliams9225 21 күн бұрын

I see no way how russia doesnt become a vassel state of china now 😂

@dameinoferrall2400 21 күн бұрын

Bingo! Putin really fucked up. Things were going well enough, small erosion of power, but now this is his only option. Oops!

@allydea 21 күн бұрын

And you're laughing because this is a good thing?

@Jonathanizer 21 күн бұрын

That's what i said 3 days into the war with Ukraine. Still seems to go in that direction, but will take 2-3 generations until fully realized.

@zimti7390 21 күн бұрын

@@allydeaIt's mainly funny because this is the result of hubris and self inflicted damage

@dameinoferrall2400 21 күн бұрын

@@zimti7390 It took me a while but I came to realize that Putin fell for the West's trap, really the U.S. For the last two decades the trap was being set and all Putin had to do was step right into it and now he has. I heard that his circle of information is very small, so he probably didn't have enough people telling him about this and instead believed he was making all the right moves.

@bsfgnsdfvfs 21 күн бұрын

depressed and broke. it's gonna be fine, thanks for asking. greetings from moldova, love your content man! keep up the good work

@parabalani 20 күн бұрын

Good video, e.g. the concrete example with 2 and 10 dollars made it easier to understand your point

@krisfrederick5001 21 күн бұрын

Beggars can't be choosers Vladimir.

@Srbenda126 21 күн бұрын

Indeed Vladimir Zelensky

@zimti7390 21 күн бұрын

@@Srbenda126 Zelensky didn't need to go to Nightmare Korea for weapons, or Belarus for fuel

@Dommifax 21 күн бұрын

@@zimti7390 love the 'nightmare Korea' terminology

@leonhardtkristensen4093 20 күн бұрын

@@Srbenda126 Who is Vladimir Zelensky? The Ukraine leader is Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

@Srbenda126 20 күн бұрын

@@leonhardtkristensen4093 yes, his name was Vladimir before he became president

@kamil_supabase_enjoyer 21 күн бұрын

You can be on whatever side you want but at the end money always win.

@Gardor 21 күн бұрын

Whose money?

@seanburke997 20 күн бұрын

I'm okay all things considered, thank you for asking, William. How are you? Thank you for these videos, I really enjoy both the material you cover and your presentation style.

@KingTheseus3 21 күн бұрын

Thanks for asking, Bill. Life is good!

@LF-du4uc 21 күн бұрын

Steven Sagan is a “noted luminary?” Bahahaha….

@corbeau-_- 21 күн бұрын

snubs without limit too

@lukehanson5320 21 күн бұрын

8:56 Loving the math joke in my geopolitics video! Keep it up.

@guardianoffire8814 21 күн бұрын

This will change nothing. Just as India demands cheaper hydrocarbons from Russia so does China. Russia does the same thing to India and Iran when the circumstances are in its favour. The Iranians are twisting Moscow arms to gain access to military tech for all those drones and missiles. North Korea in exchange for satellites, space rockets, and missile tech provided ammunition and other military hardware they have. These are not alliances but transactional quid quo pro. Unlike the Western Europe lead by the United States that requires Canada and Western half of Europe to give up their interests for the US interests.

@magikavoncary 21 күн бұрын

US and Canada have the least interest in Ukraine. It is actually very important for the Western Europe that the Eastern Europe is not invaded by Russian monsters.

@ProckerDark 20 күн бұрын

Russia has allies, the U.S has occupied vassal states, Germany and japan hates U.S guts and are waiting for the right time to break free from the U.S military Occupation

@hhjk377 21 күн бұрын

I’m doing okay, thanks for asking.

@Algo_RL 20 күн бұрын

1:46 I'm doing okay, thanks! been working on website development

@JohnGunn- 21 күн бұрын

Woooo new video!

@riffzifnab9254 21 күн бұрын

Dots on maps! 😼

@ricky1231 21 күн бұрын

William China is in serious economic trouble from sub standard mega projects , housing bubble, industrial overcapacity, decreased exports, severe unemployment, capital flight , an astonishing increasing national deficit , unrestricted quantitative easing (printing money) , wolf warrior diplomacy, BRI loans etc etc etc China may not afford it at the moment China’s manufacturing is not gas hungry like German or other European countries as well. Crude oil is more attractive to china than piped gas Australian coal to generate electricity & manufacture steel would probably be more vauable to China than Russian natural gas.

@Mark5mith 21 күн бұрын

Glad I'm not the only one that thinks China's not in any where near as good shape as they espouse.

@phaedrussocrates7636 21 күн бұрын

Thank you

@heinrichkrull2523 21 күн бұрын

I'm doing decently, thanks for asking.

@Adonnus100 21 күн бұрын

Elvira Nabiullina has a very difficult job. I've always thought she was the only competent person in Putin's administration. She's very good at her job, and her efforts to hold up the Russian economy so far have sort of worked. But I think she is going to hit a brick wall called "national circumstances" in a matter of months, or years. There really isn't a way Russia's economy can sustain the war expenses even with a pipeline to China, unless China's banks actually bail them out, which they will never do due to sanctions fears. They are spending over $100b USD, 1/3 of their budget, on war. You need a lot of income to support that in any case, and their whole economy is resource based. But their resource exports have shrunk, not grown, and while the money is still flowing that's mainly due to the current oil prices. My friend used to live in Chita in Siberia. The way she described it, it doesn't really have a real economy. It's all informal, little jobs. And that's a city of 300k. I imagine it is similar elsewhere. How can that type of economy survive massive war expenditures? The Z-niks keep invoking the Great Patriotic War, but Stalin at least had huge factories pumping out things. Russia is deindustrialised, resource dependent, impoverished in many areas...

@Mark5mith 21 күн бұрын

You would think that cooking the books would eventually lead to a breaking point.

@ramzes3985 21 күн бұрын

China is fully entitled to get Siberia back

@basilmcdonnell9807 21 күн бұрын

Mongolia would like a word.

@dennisclapp7527 20 күн бұрын

Thanks William

@IronAceSUB 20 күн бұрын

I'm doinf alright! Enjoy watching your videos while I eat dinner! ❤

@rooneytutoring 21 күн бұрын

Here's my guess on the source of the problem, this is speculation. Pipeline technology is an area where the west is way ahead of both Russia and China. It is possible that each party is hoping that the other can handle the actual building of the pipeline and technological hurdles involved, in reality neither party really is confident in their capacity to actual do it. They both have incentives to not openly acknowledge such a weakness, so they probably over inflate their capabilities. It could explain why neither side actually seems focused on closing this deal.

@1MTEK 21 күн бұрын

Russia has built long pipelines (have they not?) and I would be shocked if China has trouble building anything infrastructure related.

@magikavoncary 21 күн бұрын

Pipelines are not super-advanced technology. Both Russia and China would be able to build it on their own.

@rooneytutoring 21 күн бұрын

@@magikavoncary To an extent, but remember Russia was relying on a lot of western oil companies for its oil industry prior to the war. China is an infrastructure power house but that does not mean they are good at all infrastructure, they don't have merely the same level of experience with pimples as they do with road, rail, and ports. Pipelines are more delicate and complicated that a lot of people give credit for, if something goes wrong it can have catastrophic consequences. Remember this is not just a pipeline but one that runs through a rather remote and hostile part of Siberia. Plenty can go wrong.

@magikavoncary 21 күн бұрын

@@rooneytutoring Sure, maybe you're right. At least partially. But take this: before the war my country (Czechia) considered who is going to build new blocks in one of our (two:D) nuclear powerplants... basically, the most serious candidate was a Russian company Rosatom... I don't know. In my opinion they are perfectly capable to build pipelines. They've built or helped building some in Europe. But it might be my wishful thinking that there are more serious issues between Russia and China than just their inability.

@jayduke8554 21 күн бұрын

Awesome 😎

@Jszar 21 күн бұрын

How am I doing? So-so. It's a rough day for chronic pain, but I have videos like yours for distraction. Thanks for that.

@holoelfson 21 күн бұрын

I'm doing great William, thank you for asking! Hope you're doing well too! 🙏

@overredrover9430 21 күн бұрын

I do miss the post 'Take care ' bonus reel. The false ending made the channel's videos that much different from others - on top of the quality content - that I subscribed after watching one video. The omission is not going to stop me from watching a William Spaniel production though, indeed I have trouble justifying not watching one. I'd like to think that when I am subscribed to so many channels that recommendations for most of them do not show in my feed, viewing the latest as soon as it shows should be considered the premium metric, above engagement even, though below watch time.

@phillipneal8194 21 күн бұрын

Your analyses are great ! I don't care if they run on a bit.. They make me think.

@kcw0809 21 күн бұрын

I appreciate the Author admitting what they don't know. That Helps with Credibility in most instances.

@memirandawong 21 күн бұрын

Pardon the digression. I'm doing well, thank you!.... and at 2:25 I perked up a bit more. It's not very often someone can take a picture in China and I recognize a tree I had a run-in with 12 years ago. There's a pole in the background near the wall and 20-30 feet to the right is a tree with some notably thicker dark branches that once caught a plastic bag that blew out of my hands and got stuck in that very tree. I tried for 1/2 an hour to dislodge that bag with some small rocks we found nearby, being unable to actually descend and exit the wall itself. Oh the memories!