Can we please get a review of the postcode 6164? That'll be very interesting reading. That post code is booming and set to be a big investment suburb with the upcoming shopping Makeover and the new Beach park. People have got into the suburb at 2020 on low rates but now rates have increased substantially it'll be interesting reading as the area wasn't exactly cheap (nor expensive) to begin with. Thank you.
@mattistewart95587 сағат бұрын
DFA? Department of Foreign Affairs????
@gavinpruden330610 сағат бұрын
They leave Sydney because it’s too expensive and move to Brisbane and make that expensive.
@Discovery2024-rn8kn11 сағат бұрын
Politicians both Labor and Liberals are on the property investment bandwagon. Anyone suggesting they want to deflate house price is delusional. Conflict of interest at its best
@brucewayne363312 сағат бұрын
Best case scenario: an early election, rates hit 10%+, and the system economy building regs and bubble are reset quickly so Australia can rebuild... instead of dragging this mess consequences and pain out long term...
@jetplane1012 сағат бұрын
Hello Martin 🙂
@Aermydach13 сағат бұрын
How far can the can be kicked down the road?
@BrendanMcGill13 сағат бұрын
Commonwealth Bank Buderim Qld branch closed this week.
@dalemitchener14 сағат бұрын
Thank you Martin, thoughtful and insightful analysis as always. Can I nominate postcode 3756 ?
@mylimomelbourne475714 сағат бұрын
My definition of rental stress is 150-250 applicants for one rental property That’s a less than half of 1% chances at securing a winning application, which is as good as zero Why is it so? a.b.c inform us we need to share our house with strangers to ease the burden of new Australians
@mjb644615 сағат бұрын
How has the GFC high of mortgage stress not yet been surpassed when the amounts being borrowed now dwarf borrowing levels back in 2007/2008? Being protected by still low unemployment perhaps.
@chrism976718 сағат бұрын
I think it’s time to give it up Martin no offence. Your years of really terrible forecasting on the housing market and everything else is really catching up with you . I had an old episode of yours pop up as does happen on KZfaq from around 3 years ago where you was predicting negative rate in Australia and the fact that we would probably enter a deflationary period or at best flatline along the bottom for years to come . And what about that 60 minutes interview back around 6 or so years ago where you were forecasting a 50-80% housing crash !! We know you operate on a doomsday niche where you attracted views based on fear like Harry Dent though admittedly not quite as bad , but people believed in you and trusted your expertise and a lot of people refrained from entering the market only to find themselves in a position later on that they were unable to enter the market or take on way higher debt to do so . If only you could have been responsible and given a more balanced and accurate forecast like people such as Christopher Joye did . He had the same economic data that you had and got it spot on or very close to. Yes mate it’s time to hang up the gloves before you take a hit that you may never recover from … oh hang on I think that ship has already sailed 😊
@peterburke865017 сағат бұрын
Housing killed our economy.
@chrism976715 сағат бұрын
@@peterburke8650 I hear ya Peter but there’s a big difference between predicting an 80% crash and the it rising probably 150% in that period. This show isn’t about moralistic reality or socio economic fallout , it’s called digital finance analytics and predicting housing crashes when interest rates are at record lows , banks are freely lending and government policy favourable to investment which is exactly what this guy did was bewildering. No sorry buddy though I agree with you that house prices are ridiculous this guy cost anyone that followed him a hell of a lot . The absolute worst analyst in history
@leonie56320 сағат бұрын
Can they do Melb for a couple of years. See what Sydney looks like when kids hit High school? NSW Govt has extended their HAFF 10 year horizon to 15 years already. They've already given up. Just to prove how they've given up, they ok cv ked suburbs full of lawyers and barristers with deep pockets and friends with their infill suburbs. Wouldn't it be easier, slap developers some extra floors if they get checkbooks out for mid ring suburbs with people who might want to liquidate but scared banks might repossess. Instead NSW wilfully chose hard road and 10 years of lawfare while more people flood into Western Sydney 50c heatsink with energy and water shortages. If I were in Sydney, I'd say loved you but need to live elsewhere, see you at Xmas.
@downtoearth195022 сағат бұрын
The frantic scrabble & grab for data that suits their view. While dumping the true but undesirable ❗
@nottenvironmental620822 сағат бұрын
Inflation is the outcome of thieves and liers deciding policy. Wealth inequality is a political choice
@corinnewatts6683Күн бұрын
Why should energy be andy different from banks? Both industries have a handful of corps that get unfair advantages from govt whilst they are free to gouge Australians with impunity.
@Keep_calm_and_slave_onКүн бұрын
Insurance companies are equally useful and honest as an immigrant on Centrelink
@stuartwilson4960Күн бұрын
What other country have $1M weatherboards? lol Yes, higher inflation is guaranteed.
@ilikesundays4312Күн бұрын
One income family. I've given up on the idea of owning any time in the near future. Maybe after the young fella is an adult I'll have to hit the mines for a few years.
@cyruschadrezzar9873Күн бұрын
Sweet Freedom · Michael McDonald
@noelzywright6798Күн бұрын
It's created.
@kingdomfor1Күн бұрын
If you think the cost of building is expensive now, wait untill they start building even more houses, the costs will go through the roof , adding to even higher inflation, government is adding to the problem, not fixing it.
@patriciadunmore9767Күн бұрын
As if we needed further proof that our politicians do not work in the interests of the people of this country.
@michaelsalani6606Күн бұрын
One term government?
@CA999Күн бұрын
The next and the decades of previous terms won't differ much.
@prancer4743Күн бұрын
Thanks guys 🙏🙏😳
@WalkTheWorldDFAКүн бұрын
Our pleasure!
@pkd6369Күн бұрын
the only people that can afford housing are the people that LIEabout the reality's of the Build time/tradesmen and upfront costs!these people are the POLITICIANS all but most labor ministers ,own mor per number than the liberals!go figure.
@NortyNigeКүн бұрын
It's all getting a bit Soylent Green When do govt start paying people not too breed?
@shiroiokami9Күн бұрын
would be perfect for me
@X-157.98Күн бұрын
Designed to fail. Smh
@mattistewart9558Күн бұрын
Here Martian, separate issue, but good news i'd like to share with u.The House passed a bill Thursday barring the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) unless it has explicit authorization from Congress
@InfinityIsland2203Күн бұрын
The Australian artlicle: Australians are being stung twice by Asia-based crime syndicates who are scamming victims out of billions of dollars a year and laundering some of those proceeds through Australian real estate, contributing to escalating house prices that are locking younger generations out of the market.
@user-ie9zz9bi2uКүн бұрын
But I thought Australians are " rich" now, house prices increase to the moon, not much manufacturing just import from others, big huge dollars but runs deficit, from public debt to private debt, hell maybe Australia gov should finance their " ally USA" debt and deficits and just buy their USA gov treasuries bonds since they love USA freedumb so much.
@CA999Күн бұрын
We are already buying those "submarines" and other assorted military "weapons" and unreliable aircraft.
@adamashton67422 күн бұрын
The governments need inflation to shake off their debts, house prices will sadly just keep going up.
@CineTechGeek2 күн бұрын
this would be expected. building is simply too expensive and has become out of reach more every day. Just like buying a house. the system is broken. the gov needs to bring in policies to reduce the cost of houses so the young who need them.. CAN ACTUALLY AFFORD THEM. until that happens, building houses will be severely restricted.
@keithbriggs70012 күн бұрын
All a part of the new order plan.🙄😪
@redsed15652 күн бұрын
The system is set to fail the average persons and boost the rich!
@jamesdeegan73652 күн бұрын
we need a zoning that prohibits renting within that zoning, it would be a great area to cheaply buy for personal use since you wont be competing with all the rent seekers
@jessekoch34802 күн бұрын
Governments are not working for you. When trades smell more $$$ they dump houses and swing to the easy government work.
@Eric-kn4yn2 күн бұрын
Dont you just luv them flooding into Oz 🧕🦧👳♂️👽 onya albo
@CA9992 күн бұрын
All parties, including the 'Greens', have been importing customers for decades. Some may argue we never really recovered from the last recession in the 1990s...
@CA999Күн бұрын
@@Eric-kn4ynnot a horror to the top 10% of wealthiest Australians. It's "big profits now"...
@donavonlarney2 күн бұрын
we could easily house the people if we adopted a different building strategy. one place to start is with council code & easier, more flexible approach to owner build. smaller dwellings that allow expansion if required in a type of "beta" suburb for young or downsizers/retired. eg buy the land & live in old caravan with a shed to store material for the build to remove heavy up front costs.. we could also have tiny home suburb/ parks ... there are examples of this type of living around the world & done right look fantastic. .. government bodies & banks force us to choose their model which is failing everybody except them.
@CA9992 күн бұрын
We need a stable population.
@donavonlarney2 күн бұрын
@@CA999 if you crash a car do you blame the object that you hit or the driver?
@williamcrossan93332 күн бұрын
There's clearly some major market failure. In Brisbane, rents are up 58% since 2018, and house prices are up 70% since 2018. The market has responded by reducing supply. It's difficult to point a finger at what's caused this. Some may say interest rates, but rates aren't abnormal by historical standards.
@jonv5702 күн бұрын
costif construction has increased 40%
@williamcrossan93332 күн бұрын
@@jonv570 Yes, although it has dropped back somewhat. In Brisbane, it's possible to build quite a reasonable lowset house for 350K. This is not a starter house, but quite a decent project home. Yet the median price in Brisbane is now almost 1 million.
@killjoyredux83612 күн бұрын
The rapid rise in Brisbane prices has been staggering. Played catch up with Melbs and Sydney big time
@CA9992 күн бұрын
Yes. And there is no real industry here in Brisbane besides 'Government'. That is there is no meaningful growth in the economy to justify it.
@InfinityIsland22032 күн бұрын
Mass immigration, loose money lending and recently allowed foreign buyer purchases
@peterk45012 күн бұрын
Wrong Martin, rents will NOT go up. That assumes the RE market is a competitive market, but it's not. The RE market is a RENTIER market, making interest rates and debt financing more expensive, or having lower construction output will not increase prices in a RENTIER market. This is the same as a land tax being applied, in a RENTIER market a land tax does not increase prices. So rents will stay the same . That story is a boogie man story drummed up by the construction and investor lobby groups
@WalkTheWorldDFA2 күн бұрын
up 7.5% in the past year - what's to stop rents rising further?
@peterk45012 күн бұрын
The structure of the market, RENTIER, already implies that rents are at their maximum . Any further pressures will not result in higher rents. The reverse is true too, as interest rates go up, rents will go down , as living costs will rise , decreasing funds for rents. So what will happen is a continuation of the " let's rent a room instead of a house" phenomenon . Much like shrink Flation in groceries , a substitution. Yet rents outright will not rise, it's a rentier market. See Hudson or Marx for reference.
@InfinityIsland2203Күн бұрын
@@peterk4501 we have Albanese for another year meaning more mass immigration resulting in similar growth of inflation. Assuming he is not going to pull the rug under landlords following him selling multiple of his investment properties, expect another million+ immigratlnts causing further demand shocks.
@peterk4501Күн бұрын
@@InfinityIsland2203that's the common argument by the property spruikers.. immigration. However none cares to explain how a 25yr old African immigrant with no skills or education is going to pay for a $2 million Sydney house mortgage. If population/immigration Size were the reason for high house prices, Africa, India and most of southern America would have been property hot spots. House prices are SOLELY determined by bank credit , and that Ponzi game is over . Australia will turn into a deindustrialised backwater like Lithuania or Argentina
@InfinityIsland2203Күн бұрын
@@peterk4501an example then. Due to ongoing skyrocketing rents in Marrickville nsw, apartment that was $400pw rent 2 years ago is now $850 rent, the rental yields more than double therefore prices of these assets rise accordingly. The demand shock is created by polititians via excessive immigration and while supply is cut by normalizing cost of borrowing. In other words, expect home prices to keep growing no matter how unjust, unethical, morally corrupt these political policies are right now.
@peterk45012 күн бұрын
Approvals are down as the Australian real-estate has priced itself out of the market ! It's so expensive, the rentier regime went over board with it, now it's unaffordable. There's no supply problem , apart from the artificial land restrictions all over the nation basically banning residential construction. If land was $10k a block, everyone would be building a house, even 2 or 3.
@williamcrossan933312 сағат бұрын
Exactly!
@peterk45012 күн бұрын
There is no housing crisis, there's a policy crisis of restricting land , all on purpose. Sydney to Wagga Wagga, 4.5 hours by car all EMPTY land , plain after plain,mountain after mountain.
@williamcrossan93332 күн бұрын
Yes, artificial scarcity. You're right.
@WalkTheWorldDFA2 күн бұрын
I agree its an engineered problem - land banking and planning restrictions part of it, plus higher prices allows bigger mortgages to banks love it...
@peterk45012 күн бұрын
@@WalkTheWorldDFAAustralia's land banking centric economy has long roots back to the 1890s . Back then , it all ended in tears with 80% falls in RE prices, just like Japan did in 1990s. It will end the same way again.
@CA9992 күн бұрын
@@peterk4501at least Japan still has many industries....
@kingdomfor1Күн бұрын
@@WalkTheWorldDFA our family owns 90 acres of prime development land in a large provincial city in North Queensland, it's 20 minutes to the city centre, the adjacent property has been developed, yet the local government said they won't consider our land for development for another 20 years. There's no political will to fix the problem.
@joeybrown35832 күн бұрын
In the Central-Bankster Warfare-Model, the central-banksters design an empire-building war from which they are set to benefit. They deploy the wholly-fictional national "debt" to "justify" to the slaves that they "must" pay taxes to finance that empire-building war. When "Team Antichrist" and its "allies" are victorious, the vanquished nation also pays war "debts" and compound interest to "Team Antichrist", which grows richer and richer from war to war. Eventually, the cumulative effect of hundreds of empire-building wars is the Talmudic "new" world order, and an absolute worldwide tyranny under "Team Antichrist".
@SuperHowie0012 күн бұрын
We keep on getting Grubby Federal Government after Grubby Federal Government .
@JamesBarry-um8su2 күн бұрын
Steady as she goes for another 2 years then we can emerge victorious in 2026.We need to be cautious for now,i'm actually optimistic about New Zealand's future as long as we have a sensible Govt. in Wellington.🇳🇿🇳🇿🇳🇿👍🤞🙏
@noelzywright67982 күн бұрын
This has been going on for years. Australians have been domestically charged & paying more for gas here, than they were selling it to China for. That was going on easy 10 years ago. All retail suppliers of gas refills were VERY aware of it. Government sanctioned theft once again, to overseas buyers & BIG GAS.
@naiyomotion2 күн бұрын
We need to find who was in Government when these agreements were put in place, and who was specifically responsible on the cases at the time - ministers, consultants etc. The people who make these decisions on behalf of the country need to be named and there needs to be accountability. If members of Government knew they were going to have their name attached to outcomes + their pay/benefits adjusted accordingly, we might see better decision making in our own national interest. As it is, members of parliament retire with generous packages, after making decisions on issues where negative consequences won't affect them. It seems there is not enough incentive for them to get the best deal. The companies are of course parasitic, but they are doing what they are built to do - extract maximum income for minimum costs. Our government however, are paid by us to represent and work for the people's interests, and they ultimately control the regulations around our resource extraction. They have no excuse.
@Seek.YouWillFind2 күн бұрын
This is our resource the gas is all Australian citizens we should be as a country as rich as Norway or Qatar! But no the Australian government squanders it by just giving it away someone is getting a 💰💰💰💰💰