Utilities is not a defensive sector anymore. It is a reflection of the increased demand for electricity heading into the future.
@asburyresearch29 күн бұрын
Morningstar's Global Equity Classification Structure classifies Utilities as a defensive sector so we'll go with Morningstar. Thanks for your comments, though. indexes.morningstar.com/resources/PDF/Methodology%20Documents/SectorArticle.pdf
@dfrank2044Ай бұрын
Follow the Money. Thankss
@TurnkeyTradingАй бұрын
I think XLE is making a turn upward bouncing off some MAs. So yes it is weak but it might be turning.
@asburyresearchАй бұрын
If XLE is really tuning higher, it will show up in the SEAF Model over the next few weeks.
@TurnkeyTrading2 ай бұрын
Excellent work as always. Your data and charts are critical to my week.
@tonyford80063 ай бұрын
You've better resources for tracking the asset flows. Thank you, for sharing your insights. I'm pleased to see that my holdings mirror yours. Take care.
@jorgegrande82373 ай бұрын
John is a true professional and knows his business. I appreciate how his tools and metrics are very straightforward and easy to follow.
@suthamm3 ай бұрын
what if the indicators are conflicting with each other?
@asburyresearch3 ай бұрын
Indicators are constantly conflicting with each other, whether it is technical, fundamental, or economic data. Choosing which indicators to pay attention to at what times is what separates good analysts/investors from not-so-good ones.
@TurnkeyTrading3 ай бұрын
some questions Are your six market metrics ranked in order of importance or impact? You use market breadth which measures a percentage of stocks above a certain level, but have you ever looked at using a percentage of stocks that are trending? Do you send any trade alerts for stocks or options? Might be a good idea.
@asburyresearch3 ай бұрын
The constituent metrics in our models are chosen by quantitative backtesting from a large and comprehensive list of market tools.
@thealternativecontrarian99363 ай бұрын
a couple of questions Are these six ranked in order of impact or importance? Instead of market breadth which gauges the percentage of stocks above a level, do you have a way of measuring the percentage of stocks that are trending? Which I think is more powerful.
@asburyresearch3 ай бұрын
The Asbury 6 are not ranked in order of importance.
@BEARnobull2day3 ай бұрын
John your analysis of the markets is always straight forward. I think you and David Keller are the two best for a no nonsense approach. Which pit(s) did you trade in when you where at the CME and what years where you down there?
@asburyresearch3 ай бұрын
Thank you for the compliment. Over 17 years at the CME I worked or traded in pretty much every trading pit on the floor.
@peterpayne22193 ай бұрын
Was enjoying the video but you are showing us data from February 7th? I guess because we're not paying for the service? Great approach but that's not useful to us.
@asburyresearch3 ай бұрын
We're glad you are enjoying the video. The data used in the video is through Friday, March 22nd. The video was produced on Sunday, March 24th. You may be referring to our Positive (bullish) signal in our Asbury 6 risk management model, which was initiated on February 7th and remains intact through March 22nd. On the Asbury 6 graphic used in the video, you will notice that the data is through 03-22-24.
@KunalBalani3 ай бұрын
Very good content. This is very good way to analyze market during times of high uncertainty. Thank you.
@asburyresearch3 ай бұрын
Thank you. After doing this for 40+ years, I block out most of the opinion and chatter and just follow the money.
@TurnkeyTrading4 ай бұрын
Have you ever factored in the percentage of stocks that are trending, rather than just breadth?
@TurnkeyTrading4 ай бұрын
I really like this innovative approach toward sector strength and favored status. Glad I found this channel.
@KunalBalani4 ай бұрын
It seems like most of ranking within technology sector is flaky since past few weeks. This is probably because volatility within technology sector is pretty high. The information over long horizon ranking seems like a little biased with data. It’s an accurate representation of market but SEAF model doesn’t seem like it’s working for technology sector. A single stock like Nvidia and its effects should be normalized. I would probably be more interested in seeing how this model works for an ETF like RSP that weighs all stocks equally.
@asburyresearch4 ай бұрын
Thanks for your comments. We appreciate them. We're not sure what you mean by "biased with data". The SEAF Model tracks the velocity of real money (AUM) as it moves around the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, which together comprise the S&P 500. This is real data, not bias or opinion. The real truth in markets is in the data. Real money "moving around the board". Bias is personal opinion. Like believing that a methodology or model is "working" or not working based on one's own definition of what "working" means at that particular time, or what one's P and L looks like at any given time. This is precisely why we quantitatively back-test our models and methodologies rather than making anecdotal or emotionally driven assumptions. If you believe that normalizing a single stock that is acting "atypically" (NVDA), or using an equally weighted ETF (RSP) during times that you determine market breadth is "narrow", you can test that for yourself. We encourage investors to do their own research to make better, data-driven decisions. Our concern with this approach would be that it presents another issue of subjectivity into what should be a data-driven process. What does "atypically" and "narrow" mean? Exactly when should a stock like NVDA be normalized,? And for how long? And, regarding using an equally-weighted index, which index are you benchmarking your performance to? What performance do you want to capture? SPX is up 7.5% for 2024. RSP is up 3.8%. Since 2023, SPX is up 33%. RSP is up 16%. Which return are you trying to capture? Whatever your answer is, that's the index you should be basing your investment decisions on. More detailed information about the SEAF Model is available at asburyresearch.com.
@KunalBalani4 ай бұрын
@@asburyresearch technology sector is moving because of handful of stocks. When data is skewed heavily towards few stocks the sector performance is reflective of just those stocks and not entire sector. You can see this difference with performance between Qqq and Qqqe. I am referring to this aspect as biased data. When a sector is this heavy the underlying flows within sector can portray a different story and seaf model is capturing inflows within handful stocks not the entire sector.
@user-de8sl6dm5y4 ай бұрын
This is consistently helpful information. Really appreciate it and watch regularly. It would be even more useful if the charts could fill the frame and be more readable instead of being so small in a big black window.
@aircave4 ай бұрын
Why does the A6 model change so often... I've seen several videos... i.e. what happened to credit spreads? Can you expand on SPY 'asset flows'?
@asburyresearch4 ай бұрын
Thanks for your interest. More information on the Asbury 6 is available here: www.asburyresearch.com/models/
@dfrank20444 ай бұрын
Great analysis and model to trade. Thanks
@asburyresearch4 ай бұрын
Appreciated!
@thealternativecontrarian99364 ай бұрын
I love the Asbury 6 chart. Is there more to this that I can study?
@asburyresearch4 ай бұрын
Thank you. More detailed information about our models is available at asburyresearch.com then clicking Models at the top of the page.
@markknoppel42914 ай бұрын
Concise and understandable. I find it refreshing that, unlike some other popular finance podcasts, you don't take hours to get the information across.
@asburyresearch4 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@peterpayne22194 ай бұрын
So I gather this is your normal video that you send to clients, but this is delayed by by 10 days because we're not paying customers?
@johnkosar81864 ай бұрын
That's basically correct. This particular video is produced every week to accompany the latest updates in our SEAF (Sector ETF Asset Flows) Model, which takes place on Saturdays for the upcoming week. We occasionally publish the previous week's video to educate those interested in our research and services on what we do. The current report and video are available to paid subscribers only.
@vedictraditions75904 ай бұрын
Great as usual John. But enlarge your tables and higher resolution please!
@MC-kj6nd4 ай бұрын
Thank you John, Looking forward to your next podcast.
@daltonrosario84274 ай бұрын
Great comments, as usual. The video resolution, however, was poor - very poor.
@johnkosar81864 ай бұрын
Thank you. We are aware and working on the video quality.
@MarcelLechin5 ай бұрын
why do you use NYSE rather than SPY market breath in the Asbury 6? Thanks
@johnkosar81865 ай бұрын
Simply because I have using that particular indicator for decades and am familiar and confident with it.
@TheLenboy5 ай бұрын
Thanks
@robwtaz6 ай бұрын
Does your Seasonal Pattern Chart factor in that this is an election year?
@thomasboyd79786 ай бұрын
Great charts! Showing these is the way to go!!!
@nubbyrose876 ай бұрын
Very helpful. Thank you and Happy Holidays!
@asburyresearch6 ай бұрын
Happy holidays!
@nanjiang95967 ай бұрын
Video with diagrams ❤
@josemandi27887 ай бұрын
Excelente Chanel thanks
@josemandi27887 ай бұрын
Can you talk more about the ETFs they use and why those?
@johnkosar81867 ай бұрын
Asbury Research uses its own quantitative models that screen hundreds of ETFs every day to find unique opportunities pertaining to trend, relative performance, and asset flows. Everything we do is driven by data rather than opinion.
@robwtaz7 ай бұрын
Video is better
@detailone9787 ай бұрын
Video..
@mhfnet7 ай бұрын
Always the best investment information and forecasts, thanks!
@asburyresearch7 ай бұрын
Thank you. You should consider subscribing to our premium research product. You can request further information about services and pricing by clicking here: asburyresearch.com/contact/
@randymartin20407 ай бұрын
I like the video. Thanks!
@user-eb1cs6nd2v7 ай бұрын
good vedio
@jacqueliu78967 ай бұрын
Video with the audio rocks, thank you!
@jorgegrande82377 ай бұрын
Thank you, John. Really appreciate the new format. You're a market pro and I follow you on KZfaq and the final bar and talk shows and on Schwab now. Please keep the excellence coming.
@paularthur64567 ай бұрын
Yes on the video
@BruceSteamboat7 ай бұрын
Video!!
@jimspeed40287 ай бұрын
love both visual and audio presentation
@parisheth90417 ай бұрын
A much better format!!
@user-fw3kb5ib2r7 ай бұрын
Video is better than audio!!!!1
@jacqueliu78967 ай бұрын
Great video and very helpful, thank you! I think you would get more views, though, if you psoted the video the same day it was recorded.
@asburyresearch7 ай бұрын
This video is actually a part of our paid subscription service, which is published the day it's recorded for our subscribers. We occasionally post them on KZfaq once they are replaced by the newest version. You can request more information about our services and pricing at asburyresearch.com.
@mpdeshowitz7 ай бұрын
Really nice summary Jack!
@nubbyrose877 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@josemcordero7 ай бұрын
I have been watching many of your videos adding your model to the operation and man, the synchronization with the market has improved a lot when entering and exiting, what a good job, thank you for sharing this
@EngineeredBody9 ай бұрын
Thanks, as usual
@HawkeyeOnaMission10 ай бұрын
Great info. Any chance that your podcast can be put in traditional podcast form so that a podcast app can be used on a phone?
@asburyresearch10 ай бұрын
Thanks for your feedback. We are in the process of doing that now. We will announce its availability in a future podcast.