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Пікірлер
@noonecares5578
@noonecares5578 3 ай бұрын
So UL is a screaming buy !?
@moreno3461
@moreno3461 4 ай бұрын
WHY???? Kenvue and Haleon have both very small ROCE's... why are they in the radar???
@lilmacgiver3836
@lilmacgiver3836 4 ай бұрын
Haleon ROCE reduced because of debt from spin-off.
@stevec1996
@stevec1996 3 ай бұрын
Both are excellent businesses with low 20s operating margins and high ROCs. HLN is growing a bit faster right now with higher international and EM exposure.
@neilcooper-fw8dk
@neilcooper-fw8dk 5 ай бұрын
Perfect. Knows the businesses inside out, integrity, straight talker. I've been invested in F/s and Smithson since inception. I think SSON will out-perform f/s over the next decade (share price). Both fund managers (Julian Robins and Simon Barnard are world class)- & TS is too! Plus, snappy Q&A with great questions (way better than the AGM equivalent using hackneyed Sky presenters: 'the ego has landed', followed by the 'wooden top'), so well done to Medirect Malta too! All IMO.
@johndoh539
@johndoh539 5 ай бұрын
What makes you think smithson will outperform fundsmith in the next decade ? And is Simon Barnard “that”world class ? For what it is worth I am also invested in both, but am noticing that smithson is still, and has been for a long while, well below NAV even after lots and lots of share buy backs. I do hope you are right.
@neilcooper-fw8dk
@neilcooper-fw8dk 5 ай бұрын
All else equal between fs and sson (viz. they both own great co’s, with high roce and profitable growth etc), then SMEs should grow faster than Mega-caps: 12-14% p.a. vs 10-12% p.a, say (and assuming the share price follows over time). Over a decade that 2% compounded is meaningful. In addition, as you rightly say, sson is at a >10% discount. Here, I regard buy-backs in sson as the same as per a single co: if it’s a great co at a low price(>10% discount), then buy-backs will add value. So, buying back at >10% discount will contribute an a guesstimated 0.5% p.a to the 2% above, total 2.5%.Otoh, the discount will likely close, so 0.5% pa could also come from this. Plus, I don't blame SB for the discount: that's market sentiment and is a great opportunity for investors. Fs has had some wonderful contributors (msft, novo, idxx), but sson may well have its equivalents. We don’t know which ones yet, but there are several potential contenders. Sson has been on a roller-coaster in 5 years: from overpriced (£20 in late 2021) to under-priced (Octobers 22 and 23). Listening to SB, I hear someone who is constantly analysing/reflecting/learning on improvements, the next decade will show the benefit of that. You can bet that if the fcfy gets to 2% again (Late 21) and the discount is still present SB will act (I trust the board will accommodate). SB says ‘time’ will close the discount, but actually the discount is, in extremis, wholly voluntary. The portfolio now is in a super-good shape and at attractive prices too. The annual letter estimated a 3% fcfy. Adding 10% for the discount=3.3% (and higher if you bought in the October’s). Then, 3.3+(12-14%) growth above+0.5% (buy-backs/discount closing)=>15%pa (16.8%). Plus, I personally feel the board could be smarter (some gearing in Octobers 22 and especially 23) would have been good, rather than trotting out the usual (volatility, debt etc). I think a quantified policy would be good to set out now for the next market wobble. I hope that helps/feel free to disagree! @@johndoh539
@johndoh539
@johndoh539 5 ай бұрын
Hope you are correct. Thanks for your thorough and full reply. I suppose that another plus for sson is that everything still has to go through Terry, So perhaps I should have more confidence. Perhaps as you say it was overpriced at £20
@neilcooper-fw8dk
@neilcooper-fw8dk 5 ай бұрын
Thank you John - and I hope so too!
@scott.hamilton
@scott.hamilton 4 ай бұрын
FS - brilliant. Ss - dogshit.
@Charlesedouard007
@Charlesedouard007 5 ай бұрын
questions asked were absolutely brilliant. it covered most of the ones i had in mind
@TheRustyLM
@TheRustyLM 5 ай бұрын
I wish I had discovered Mr Smith years ago.
@yungwarlock_w
@yungwarlock_w Ай бұрын
Same here, I wish I did. I'm finishing all the ASMs in their yt channel
@taheresfandiari147
@taheresfandiari147 5 ай бұрын
Great content as usual
@lordnggamermtpoppy3829
@lordnggamermtpoppy3829 6 ай бұрын
Sewwa mela BTC ETH Solana shiba inu etc etc le ma taccetawx għax taħsbu money laundering dawk. Umbat għandkom ta tesla Coca cola taccetawhim...... ara vera only in Malta ta.
@user-wl1kq5br2m
@user-wl1kq5br2m 7 ай бұрын
Okay
@patbateman2088
@patbateman2088 8 ай бұрын
Good stuff Terry
@davidgray3321
@davidgray3321 9 ай бұрын
I like Terry but am doing better with a very cheap tracker than Fundsmith do, unfortunately managed funds nearly always don’t work better than a thoughtfully positioned tracker. I do like finance people they are great dinner party guests, always have a fun story and usually miss the mark by a long way. All good fun.
@stevetop5970
@stevetop5970 8 ай бұрын
Any chance you could share which tracker this is, and how long you’ve been holding it?
@davidgray3321
@davidgray3321 8 ай бұрын
@@stevetop5970 hi Steve , I am very tempted to do so but I rather worry about providing information like that due to the risk that the wrong person could find it. But I can assure you it’s true, look at the performance over the last 5 years. Fundsmith has been quiet average.
@jlazaruss
@jlazaruss 6 ай бұрын
Terry has returned 15% her annum on average since inception and has only recently underperformed for the last 3 years.
@davidgray3321
@davidgray3321 6 ай бұрын
@@jlazaruss that’s alright then!
@HepCatJack
@HepCatJack 9 ай бұрын
I hope the person running Swedish Match is producing more reliable account statements than when Ivar Krueger was running it.
@ericbullock6553
@ericbullock6553 9 ай бұрын
Worth more than a degree
@Michael_NV
@Michael_NV 9 ай бұрын
I kinda love this guy and his brilliance.
@chamindasilva3191
@chamindasilva3191 9 ай бұрын
Fundsmith is one of the most transparent hedge funds in the world. Terry is very open about his sales and purchases with very logical reasoning.
@hyperhippyhippohopper
@hyperhippyhippohopper 10 ай бұрын
Funny how Terry repeats 'Step 3: Do nothing' every year in his annual meetings, but then he sells all of his holdings in Amazon, Paypal, Intuit, Edwards Lifesciences, Adobe, Colgate, TSM, Starbux just to name a few. 'No trading' explicitly mentioned on the Fundsmith website, but then the 13F filings show he sold 96% of JNJ shares, only to start buying them again 1 quarter later.
@zipper1209
@zipper1209 Жыл бұрын
6x in 25 years is CAGR of 6.8% right? And Tax in 2016 is 22% vs 35% in the 1990s.
@l4k
@l4k Жыл бұрын
The audio could be better
@theunderdoginvestor
@theunderdoginvestor Жыл бұрын
Terry Smith is always a joy to watch. Other managers are the sizzle, Terry is the steak.
@aidananthony5429
@aidananthony5429 Жыл бұрын
Terry is a legend, love listening to him
@Chiefmismaker
@Chiefmismaker Жыл бұрын
Brilliant as ever!
@miguelmendesnet
@miguelmendesnet Жыл бұрын
Correct if I'm wrong but Mounjaro revenue in 2022 was about 500M, not 2.7B
@easterntechartists
@easterntechartists Жыл бұрын
this guy puts me to sleep 😂
@evancoles
@evancoles Жыл бұрын
Terry pulled no punches talking about PayPal. Epic.
@RoyalBlackandwhite
@RoyalBlackandwhite Жыл бұрын
What was that japanese company in his investment universe
@evancoles
@evancoles Жыл бұрын
If I were to make a guess based on Terry's investment style: Nintendo.
@leemurrMFC
@leemurrMFC Жыл бұрын
Think it's Keyence Corporation - make things for automating industry processes like scanners and robots
@davidng2699
@davidng2699 Жыл бұрын
Paypal management was scared of Elliot giving them the business & tossing them out, that's why they were entertained right away as compared to long term shareholders Fundsmith who are too gentlemanly to get down to a fist fight.
@hermannnovakovic9507
@hermannnovakovic9507 Жыл бұрын
I would hope to hear some opinion on Philip Morris and their peers
@thawtchaibuparat7899
@thawtchaibuparat7899 Жыл бұрын
Big fan from Thailand
@varunjain5789
@varunjain5789 Жыл бұрын
Always a pleasure to listen to Terry !!
@pareshpatel2642
@pareshpatel2642 Жыл бұрын
Hi😢o 😅
@tracyfitzgerald3845
@tracyfitzgerald3845 Жыл бұрын
ρ尺oΜ𝐎ᔕᗰ 🙏
@amart4368
@amart4368 Жыл бұрын
Same ol'
@matthewhammond859
@matthewhammond859 Жыл бұрын
Why is this on this channel?
@guharup
@guharup Жыл бұрын
Because its not on any other channel dummy!
@riddlergorshin
@riddlergorshin Жыл бұрын
Because 😂
@rosbifaprague
@rosbifaprague Жыл бұрын
Enjoyed the pun at 50
@mohammedabubakkerabu6264
@mohammedabubakkerabu6264 Жыл бұрын
Banking system are great. Good. Iam poor helping hand gives to me mam please
@davidrowbotham3596
@davidrowbotham3596 Жыл бұрын
Terry interview, very informative as usual
@Michael_NV
@Michael_NV Жыл бұрын
I'm always interested to hear Mr. Smith and looking forward to future talks.
@jascfdrac
@jascfdrac Жыл бұрын
Not investing in Tesla will be his biggest mistake.
@eada2120
@eada2120 Жыл бұрын
💞 𝔭𝔯𝔬𝔪𝔬𝔰𝔪
@mrx2062
@mrx2062 Жыл бұрын
A great basic introduction to longterm investing.
@bluegtturbo
@bluegtturbo 2 жыл бұрын
I notice he says a lot less about Smithson... The prodigal son who is performing very badly!
@-SammedVardhaman
@-SammedVardhaman 2 жыл бұрын
Great video learn lots of lessons thank you for uploading
@gordiehuddleston3809
@gordiehuddleston3809 2 жыл бұрын
ᑭᖇOᗰOᔕᗰ
@buscapee
@buscapee 2 жыл бұрын
Paypal is most likely to have their lunch taken. Fintech should be treated like cyclicals
@vladbsr8739
@vladbsr8739 2 жыл бұрын
"No amount of rotation is going to turn bad businesses into good businesses" - 26:06 Excellent!
@evolveus66
@evolveus66 2 жыл бұрын
He said there are only two companies with first party data, Amazon being the largest. Who is the other 1st party data co?
@duckblast
@duckblast 2 жыл бұрын
Facebook.
@am6888
@am6888 2 жыл бұрын
So Facebook, the writing has been on the wall for a while, major issues with Apple on privacy, regulatory problems and TikTok. I am not sure FS had been thinking about the future enough, this is not a company that has been around for 100 years. Does it really fit their investing strategy?. A bit worrying and they seem to have gone very quiet.
@DanielHoward777
@DanielHoward777 2 жыл бұрын
I was scared they would sell PayPal
@gabisammut
@gabisammut 2 жыл бұрын
Oh my god, had no idea Medirect in Malta actually make useful interviews with value investors. Congrats! (Im Maltese haha)
@amirab7732
@amirab7732 2 жыл бұрын
Very interesting how they run 5% inflation through the numbers and come to their impact on profits. Is there any further material? I would like to see the derivation of the numbers so I can run them for other companies.
@BradKaellner
@BradKaellner 2 жыл бұрын
We continue to make money with old friends. Nobody ever got poor taking a profit, but they may not have gotten very rich either. Microsoft made its 7th appearance in the largest annual contributors list!
@johnkirton2534
@johnkirton2534 2 жыл бұрын
Terry now understands that AMZN is not just a very low margin retail business, plus AWS. 3P replacing 1P, advertising and subscriptions are all growing fast, and have much higher margins with network/flywheel effects. He didn't mention huge investments in fulfilment services which are starting to make good money. AMZN now much cheaper than when he bought. He will be adding!