A Strategic Analysis of the Russo-Ukraine War | Richard Iron CMG OBE

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Australian Institute of International Affairs

Australian Institute of International Affairs

Жыл бұрын

The Russo-Ukraine War is the bloodiest, most extensive and most dangerous war of our time. It has now been fourteen months since Russia's invasion of Ukraine and five months since Richard Iron's last strategic analysis of the war.
There is absolutely no certainty of how this war will evolve over the coming months nor how, eventually, it might end.
Richard Iron will explore the military, political and economic factors that could influence developments both on the ground and in the political arena. He will examine what each side wants to achieve and the likelihood of them achieving it. He will look particularly at the state of Russian internal politics, assess the true level of support in Russia for the war and the possibility of regime collapse.
Can either side achieve their military goals? How important is Western support for Ukraine and can Ukraine rely on it? How secure is the Putin regime and what may follow it? If his regime does collapse, what might that look like?

Пікірлер: 1 900
@jewelianwest2324
@jewelianwest2324 Жыл бұрын
Not only is Perun acknowledged, cited and revered here, his subscribers just bounced AIIA views into the stratosphere 😊
@MicMc539
@MicMc539 Жыл бұрын
That this empty talking Head cites a KZfaq Gamer as fact, is proof Putin and Co are the only Adults in the room. We're all Doomed.
@e1123581321345589144
@e1123581321345589144 Жыл бұрын
48,000 views in 3 days vs 700 views in 3 weeks. wow!
@tiggerbane4325
@tiggerbane4325 Жыл бұрын
TO THE MOON!
@themadkings5131
@themadkings5131 Жыл бұрын
We love the funni PowerPoint man
@thomasstyan2066
@thomasstyan2066 Жыл бұрын
Sometimes a good deed leads to good results :) Well done Richard Iron.
@esmenhamaire6398
@esmenhamaire6398 Жыл бұрын
Superb! And very nice to see Perun's work getting such acknowledgement and high praise!
@teashea1
@teashea1 Жыл бұрын
Indeed - It shows Perun's standing and credibility.
@velvetmagnetta3074
@velvetmagnetta3074 Жыл бұрын
@@teashea1 - It's truly a mark of merit for a mysterious disembodied voice on KZfaq to be so acknowledged and respected!
@hamidhamidi3134
@hamidhamidi3134 Жыл бұрын
A good part of his talk is just repeating the mainstream western media. He calls the pro Ukran8ans as THE REST OF THE WORLD which is BS. Half of human beings are only in China and India, both allied with Russia.
@albertdittel8898
@albertdittel8898 Жыл бұрын
Actually, it made me disappointed. Poeple like this guy is supposed to be the source for Perun's content. Now this guy basically cites Perun as a source, which means that it is an echo chamber.
@velvetmagnetta3074
@velvetmagnetta3074 Жыл бұрын
@@albertdittel8898 - This speaker's specialty is different from Perun's. I'm not familiar with him (though many people in this comment section are), but he seems more of a generalist and an advisor, one who aggregates and summarizes from many sources, Perun being one of them that was very useful for him in this particular subject. Perun doesn't know everything! But what he does know, he shares with us his research, analysis, and rarely, his conclusions and predictions. Of course, we should always take information from any source with a proper dose of skepticism - and check up on their sources once in a while as well as search for our own independent sources. I was glad to hear Perun is respected by professionals. I find his work very commendable and mostly credible 😉. I would hope our governments and think-tanks seek out information from a wide variety of sources - even if they're just a KZfaq streamer on the internet! If the info is good, it's good! And besides, Perun has LOADS of sources (some official, some open-source) listed in the description under each video.
@agptyutuuturty
@agptyutuuturty Жыл бұрын
I have been following perun's work every week since his first analysis, he deserves all the recognition. He is an example of how it is not necessary to be a military man to know what he is talking about.
@zhukie
@zhukie Жыл бұрын
He has a formal background in Defence, just not active service.
@TimvanderLeeuw
@TimvanderLeeuw Жыл бұрын
@@zhukie What @AGPtyutuutu try said was that it's not necessary to be a military man to know what _he_, meaning Perun, is talking about. I'm not a military man but I can recognise the value of Perun and understand what he's talking about!
@Ickie71
@Ickie71 Жыл бұрын
@@TimvanderLeeuw well said and put thankyou.Some folk will have missed that.
@LaRoucheisright
@LaRoucheisright 11 ай бұрын
NOT !!! As I said above, do you think we're all stupid?
@Br1cht
@Br1cht 11 ай бұрын
Consooming propaganda demands nothing except gullibility though.
@TOEFL63
@TOEFL63 Жыл бұрын
I always felt Perun was one to trust with his anlyses. It's so nice to see he gets acknolegded here for his work. His presentaiotns are something i alwas cant wait to see.
@JM-mh1pp
@JM-mh1pp Жыл бұрын
Imagine how funny it would be if this guy literally is Perun
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Empty brane.
@williamtran6024
@williamtran6024 Жыл бұрын
Perun is absolutely the best analyst anywhere on KZfaq!!
@GlobalDrifter1000
@GlobalDrifter1000 Жыл бұрын
Nonsense.
@williamtran6024
@williamtran6024 Жыл бұрын
@@GlobalDrifter1000 LOL. Don't be jealous
@GlobalDrifter1000
@GlobalDrifter1000 Жыл бұрын
@@williamtran6024 we are not in the same world. Nothing to be jealous of. He is good but my panties are not wet for him.
@frankrenda2519
@frankrenda2519 Жыл бұрын
he talks so much sht it isnt funny he knows nothing of the russian military just another aussia bogan
@Okiejayjay
@Okiejayjay Жыл бұрын
It’s all propaganda. He starts off with the failed Russian winter offensive, only problem is that no one except western propagandists have ever claimed there would be one. After that is of the same theme. At least I didn’t hear the Russians are attacking with shovels again.
@velvetmagnetta3074
@velvetmagnetta3074 Жыл бұрын
Perun!!! I agree! He's the most well-researched KZfaqr on military acquisition and analysis! ❤️ And he makes you laugh while you learn. So enjoyable!
@dontsupportrats4089
@dontsupportrats4089 Жыл бұрын
Indeed he does!
@ManuelBasiri
@ManuelBasiri Жыл бұрын
I've listened to every single one of his analysis. He is an Australian national treasure.
@WackadoodleMalarkey
@WackadoodleMalarkey Жыл бұрын
Personal lifegoal is to kick his ass in Warhammer 😹
@dontsupportrats4089
@dontsupportrats4089 Жыл бұрын
@@WackadoodleMalarkey LOL gl
@agenthex
@agenthex Жыл бұрын
Perun just parrots neocon think tank (a la ISW) PR narratives, and make up numbers that sound plausible to rubes. Apparently the Russians have run out of tanks and missiles about 20 times by now LMAO
@AndySpicer
@AndySpicer Жыл бұрын
Bravo for your call out of @Perun. His content is remarkable and as you said, brilliantly researched. He deserves the credibility that your endorsement will bring him. Well done!
@Stop-propaganda
@Stop-propaganda Жыл бұрын
🟡🟡🟡 NO matter the U.S. and NATO countries pouring in weapons worth 35.7 billion dollars Ukraine failed to make any territorial gains since 2022 after Kherson. Ukraine is bogged down and keeps blabbering about throwing Russia back to borders of 1991 which is a pipe dream. The U.S. will be forcing Ukraine to a negotiated settlement soon no matter all they hyped offensive or (stand by Ukraine as long as it takes) that’s weird and they know it!
@Husein_B58
@Husein_B58 Жыл бұрын
Used to think that but you’re just saying that because Perun’s opinions align with your own. Guy isn’t as objective as he claims. He’s scared to be truly objective for the fear of his audience
@AndySpicer
@AndySpicer Жыл бұрын
@@Husein_B58 nah
@gaoxiaen1
@gaoxiaen1 Жыл бұрын
@@Husein_B58 Perun's views certainly don't align with those of a no-content fake-account vatnik bot like you.
@doomerbloomer6160
@doomerbloomer6160 Жыл бұрын
@@Husein_B58 got any type of evidence to back up your bullshit?
@ClericChris
@ClericChris Жыл бұрын
From dorky unknown KZfaq video gamer to global strategic, economic and logistics expert. Well done Perun. I remember hearing his first few slideshows over a year ago and thought "this is really good, but i bet not very many people will also enjoy it". I was wrong but I'm glad i was drawn to it. It feels like a reward; that i haven't been sucked into either sides propaganda.
@mikekopack6441
@mikekopack6441 Жыл бұрын
Agreed. I told everyone I knew who was even remotely interested in what was happening about Perun. They ALL listen to his videos now. Then we all talk about the content on Mondays.
@bob1505
@bob1505 Жыл бұрын
RE: "... i bet not very many people will also enjoy it." I shared your opinion that not many people will enjoy it. Sometimes it is enjoyable to be wrong. I know I'm delighted Perun has found a wider viewership. Perun's style is reminiscent of the Battlefield series produced some decades ago. It too was compared to watching paint dry by some critics (of questionable prowess). Chris, I share your sentiments.
@dodda
@dodda Жыл бұрын
I love how he did a couple of non-gaming vids ending with "this isn't going to be the norm for my channel, I don't really want to come home from work and talk about work" as he is cracking 500k views a vid.
@rebd113
@rebd113 Жыл бұрын
Expert? He basically just regurgitates Ukrainian MOD points
@tistelnilsson
@tistelnilsson Жыл бұрын
​@@rebd113 you haven't seen any perum videos at all.
@Danster87
@Danster87 Жыл бұрын
My boy Perun getting his props. Well done Richard, I see game is recognizing game.
@worldevents2456
@worldevents2456 Жыл бұрын
Holy crap Perun called out by AIIS that’s pretty cool. Not that it isn’t obvious but that is amazing. Colas to see him recognized.
@kylesprengeler5965
@kylesprengeler5965 Жыл бұрын
exactly, i came here to say the same thing lol
@kinologan5074
@kinologan5074 Жыл бұрын
Cheers bro il drink to that!
@TheRezro
@TheRezro Жыл бұрын
I'm fairly sure he is inside man.
@tordsteiro9838
@tordsteiro9838 Жыл бұрын
That's awesome, I fully agree! Now, I enjoy Peruns format over this one, but this was also an informative and interesting presentation!
@worldevents2456
@worldevents2456 10 ай бұрын
@@TheRezroif he is it was very well done. The gammer channel was quite convincingly a hobbyist channel for several years. Once again cheers to Australian intelligence efforts on behalf of the free world.
@johnvaleanbaily246
@johnvaleanbaily246 Жыл бұрын
Good to see Perun being given credit. Excellent analysis. Thank you.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
BS.
@StoccTube
@StoccTube Жыл бұрын
Perun is a legend. Makes the most seemingly dull topics come alive!
@dixonpinfold2582
@dixonpinfold2582 Жыл бұрын
I've come to see his videos as typical consultant's reports: stuffed with platitudes and common-sense observations delivered with great confidence; serial naming of salient issues given fairly empty treatment except for a few insights and (very rarely) conclusions; overlong videos stretching past an hour which might be done in 20 minutes. He looks at the right topics but it embarrasses me that his confident and fast-talking style threw me off for nearly a year.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Dum DUm
@VSS_Unionist
@VSS_Unionist Жыл бұрын
Perun being quoted in absolutely fantastic! ⚡️
@johnwest7993
@johnwest7993 Жыл бұрын
Perun does very impressive analysis. He demonstrates what the Internet 'could' become, but hasn't due to garbage and money-grubbers.
@peterfireflylund
@peterfireflylund Жыл бұрын
No, it’s due to the army of average people who are everywhere on the internet (and in the traffic and in politics).
@paulsakz1532
@paulsakz1532 Жыл бұрын
As an American that first question woke me up! Incredible to hear it from another, albeit an incredibly important ally. Fantastic
@momchilyordanov8190
@momchilyordanov8190 Жыл бұрын
And I don't think he gave the most obvious answer. In the big competition with China, God forbid it transforms in a Taiwan war or worse, why would you want your only real ally of any significance (namely Europe) to be battered and resentful? In the idiotic war of Putin in Ukraine, U.S. are not losing a single piece of the most important capital of any country - the people. Ukrainians are doing all the fighting. And the U.S. wants to leave them and Europe in general getting exhausted, weaken and disillusioned with America over what? Money? Or some weapons that need to be modernized and replaced from time to time anyway? That would be the dumbest strategic move ever.
@Stop-propaganda
@Stop-propaganda Жыл бұрын
NO matter the U.S. and NATO countries pouring in weapons worth 35.7 billion dollars Ukraine failed to make any territorial gains since 2022 after Kherson. Ukraine is bogged down and keeps blabbering about throwing Russia back to borders of 1991 which is a pipe dream. The U.S. will be forcing Ukraine to a negotiated settlement soon no matter all they hyped offensive or (stand by Ukraine as long as it takes) that’s weird and they know it!
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Let the slotter continue. Ignorance kills.
@KapitainZino
@KapitainZino Жыл бұрын
Wonderful and brilliant analysis, thank you! And thank you for mentioning Perun, who‘s presentations are a must see for the interested viewers.
@13sommerfeld
@13sommerfeld Жыл бұрын
Is there any analysis here ? Zero evidences and etc. ChatGPT generated talk perhaps.
@coaulsi
@coaulsi Жыл бұрын
This guy tell's the western narative, he is nowhere near the center info wise He just repeats what ukraine "imagines" This conflict will end the one way it can And no one talks about this war/operatiion in real tearms, ukr wants their soil back, the rus wants to denazifi ukraine, if one can listen to zelensky, than it wld be wise to hear putin as well I'm not for putin, or any gov for that matter, but the guy doesnt play war, russia is doing at least normal against large country pumped by western weapons for nearly a decade So no, this is not a wonderfull and briliant analysis!!!
@jameslawrence3666
@jameslawrence3666 Жыл бұрын
Good job!! Nice to hear Perun get such high praise. Kevin McCarthy seems very much behind funding Ukraine in recent days when asked by a Russian journalist. Wagner have burnt themselves out and the massive internal squabbles with the top brass undermines the whole war effort. Both these relatively new factors make Putin's waiting game look like another disastrous play.
@agenthex
@agenthex Жыл бұрын
Yeah, russia'll collapse anyday now, just like the last 20 times these think tank level shills "predicted" it. The lowest denom just make up what they want to hear, such is the human condition.
@occamraiser
@occamraiser Жыл бұрын
Perun! If anyone hasn't watched his video on 'how does corruption destroy armies' they are in for a treat. It is witty, knowledgeable and informative.
@agenthex
@agenthex Жыл бұрын
@@occamraiser Perun is informative if your goal is to perfectly parrot and rationalize the latest nato PR lines. It's perfectly really for people who "believe" they can learn war from youtube.
@ronaldbell7429
@ronaldbell7429 Жыл бұрын
His comment at 0:12:55 about Perun just put paid to my curiosity about who Perun is. Guess I'm not gonna exercise my search-fu on that after all.
@togamid
@togamid Жыл бұрын
@@ronaldbell7429 Perun is a KZfaqr who currently posts weekly videos on various topics on Ukraine and defense economics in general: kzfaq.info/love/C3ehuUksTyQ7bbjGntmx3Q The videos are generally as unbiased as possible and really informative. If you're interested in the war in Ukraine, you should at least check him out.
@philipwoodgate9555
@philipwoodgate9555 Жыл бұрын
Perun is the best channel on You tube relating to this war.
@brinjoness3386
@brinjoness3386 Жыл бұрын
K2 brigade
@rhyansanpedro
@rhyansanpedro Жыл бұрын
If you would have told me a few years ago that I'll be consuming content such this in a regular basis I would have totally laughed at you. I guess stumbling across Perun's first video about this was the rabbit hole I ended up in 😂
@richard526
@richard526 Жыл бұрын
This has been the most objective,articulate discussion on the situation in the Russo-Ukrainian war. Thank you.
@gregorym3020
@gregorym3020 Жыл бұрын
Richard .Russia has conserved all of it's forces while destroying the majority of the the Ukrainian military. The Ukrainian military will only last 6 months more before complete collapse. Ukraine is being destroyed while the west wages a proxy war. The ratio of dead is approx 8 or 10 to one Russian . This fool in Victoria shows his corrupted beleifs . Absurd idiot
@Slipstreaminsano
@Slipstreaminsano Жыл бұрын
Sounds like you need some Perun in your life my friend.
@CookeAaronJ
@CookeAaronJ Жыл бұрын
Also check out William Spaniel
@jozsefolasz8702
@jozsefolasz8702 Жыл бұрын
@@Slipstreaminsano I also would welcome such a mind beside me.
@zov_tv
@zov_tv Жыл бұрын
this is the most propagandist fake news bullshit I've ever heard
@barrymartin3054
@barrymartin3054 Жыл бұрын
And I wait every Sunday for perun but always good to hear from other commentators on this or indeed any subject.perun is amazing but other informed commentators especially which have this guy’s experience in the forces and his position in them adds to our overview on this subject basically he’s a proper military man of a rank that both understands the political and the military aspects of what he’s talking about. Please do more stuff yes I do love peruns stuff but I’ve really enjoyed your talk tonight and respect and understand your view on it
@Stop-propaganda
@Stop-propaganda Жыл бұрын
🟡🟡🟡 NO matter the U.S. and NATO countries pouring in weapons worth 35.7 billion dollars Ukraine failed to make any territorial gains since 2022 after Kherson. Ukraine is bogged down and keeps blabbering about throwing Russia back to borders of 1991 which is a pipe dream. The U.S. will be forcing Ukraine to a negotiated settlement soon no matter all they hyped offensive or (stand by Ukraine as long as it takes) that’s weird and they know it!
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Knows notting.
@wiretrap1035
@wiretrap1035 Жыл бұрын
Wow. A shout out to Perun's analysis. That is impressive.
@308VKSS
@308VKSS Жыл бұрын
Douglas Macgregor, Scott Ritter, The Duran, they are the best source for information on Ukraine war
@karldubhe8619
@karldubhe8619 Жыл бұрын
I love reading the comments written by tankies and Muscovites. Their tears are satisfying.
@Inos74
@Inos74 Жыл бұрын
yes Perun is an absolute Gem
@Ickie71
@Ickie71 Жыл бұрын
Perun is fast becoming a living Legend!So pleased you mentioned him!
@mariahaselnuss3826
@mariahaselnuss3826 Жыл бұрын
I absolutly agree that Perun has the best Russia-Ukraine war analysis in the internet.
@numjosesp9498
@numjosesp9498 Жыл бұрын
I thought that this would just another talking head about Ukraine and almost missed this. I'm so happy I decided to view this. Excellent clear thinking and expression of the thoughts.
@peterfmodel
@peterfmodel Жыл бұрын
Good video. We all need to support free speech and democracy, where ever its threatened.
@JohannaCTjia
@JohannaCTjia Жыл бұрын
Let’s do that in the West, where democracy and free speech are vanishing
@zhukie
@zhukie Жыл бұрын
7 days later.... Here's Storm Shadows!
@papehakla
@papehakla Жыл бұрын
Great analysis and interesting arguments, and indeed close to what our experts say. Best regards from Germany to our Australian friends 👏🏻
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Academic from la la land.
@normanbaratelli4651
@normanbaratelli4651 Жыл бұрын
Give Ukraine an air force now already! Glory to the heroes. Very nicely done indeed.
@starmnsixty1209
@starmnsixty1209 Жыл бұрын
👍👍👍👍
@bsliptsov
@bsliptsov Жыл бұрын
As a Ukraininan I fully agree. Thanks for your support! We'll always remember that.
@normanbaratelli4651
@normanbaratelli4651 Жыл бұрын
@@bsliptsov There are millions of people in the USA that support you and wish our government does even more! We follow you daily.
@bsliptsov
@bsliptsov Жыл бұрын
@@normanbaratelli4651 Much appreciated!
@viewernum72
@viewernum72 Жыл бұрын
I really liked this. Thank you. I will try to make a comment to Perun that he received a compliment from the speaker. It's helpful to me that the speaker feels that Perun is well-informed.
@Funkaheltok
@Funkaheltok Жыл бұрын
When did he do that
@IncomitatusExcelsior
@IncomitatusExcelsior Жыл бұрын
​@@Funkaheltok Just before speaking about the air war.
@lokmanmerican6889
@lokmanmerican6889 Жыл бұрын
​@@Funkaheltok , the speaker mentions Perun at 12:40
@planetcaravan2925
@planetcaravan2925 Жыл бұрын
​@@Funkaheltok did you watch the video
@Funkaheltok
@Funkaheltok Жыл бұрын
@@planetcaravan2925 this might come as a shock. But it is possible to miss a sentence in a hour long presentation
@janezjonsa3165
@janezjonsa3165 Жыл бұрын
This man lives in a self made clouds. Wsste of time listening
@daejavue69
@daejavue69 Жыл бұрын
Good to see Perun acknowledge & credited to be well informed & a trusted source . The problem of Russian Air fightets have a big advantage over Ukraines air fighters in range , the Russians can launch a 70 mile range air to air missile from below the horizon & this technique has yet to be overcome by Ukraines pilots . This middle is taking them down before the know its coming & that's why they need F15 ASAP or the Technical leap forward by Russia needs to be countered.
@mikedrop4421
@mikedrop4421 Жыл бұрын
They couldn't keep f15s in the air I don't think. The cost per hr is about 30k where the F16 is about 7k. The problem with F16 is it's intake being so close to the ground and the weak landing gear means it needs clean smooth air fields. Something Ukraine doesn't have in spades
@Stop-propaganda
@Stop-propaganda Жыл бұрын
🟡🟡🟡 NO matter the U.S. and NATO countries pouring in weapons worth 35.7 billion dollars Ukraine failed to make any territorial gains since 2022 after Kherson. Ukraine is bogged down and keeps blabbering about throwing Russia back to borders of 1991 which is a pipe dream. The U.S. will be forcing Ukraine to a negotiated settlement soon no matter all they hyped offensive or (stand by Ukraine as long as it takes) that’s weird and they know it!
@TheRezro
@TheRezro Жыл бұрын
@@mikedrop4421 Eghm... Gripen.
@mikedrop4421
@mikedrop4421 Жыл бұрын
@@TheRezro yeah obviously but there aren't a few thousand extra Gripens laying around
@sixstringedthing
@sixstringedthing Жыл бұрын
Gripen is everything Ukraine needs but good luck trying to convince the Swedes to part with any of them!
@melidareichert6720
@melidareichert6720 Жыл бұрын
The generous contribution of Storm Shadow missiles by the UK government highlights their dedication to helping Ukraine during these challenging times
@zhukie
@zhukie Жыл бұрын
Poland, the Baltics and the UK have been the consistently supportive countries who openly advocate for Ukraine to WIN, UNEQUIVOCALLY. Not just "hold the Russians back". America should also take this position asap and supply long range rockets
@Stop-propaganda
@Stop-propaganda Жыл бұрын
🟡🟡🟡 NO matter the U.S. and NATO countries pouring in weapons worth 35.7 billion dollars Ukraine failed to make any territorial gains since 2022 after Kherson. Ukraine is bogged down and keeps blabbering about throwing Russia back to borders of 1991 which is a pipe dream. To save Bidens face facing elections challenges of low approval with Americans who think Biden is a mess! The U.S. will be forcing Ukraine to a negotiated settlement soon no matter all they hyped offensive or (stand by Ukraine as long as it takes) that’s weird and they know it!
@starmnsixty1209
@starmnsixty1209 Жыл бұрын
​@@zhukie indeed we should. Indeed we should 👍🇺🇦
@starmnsixty1209
@starmnsixty1209 Жыл бұрын
👍🇬🇧
@BrettHar123
@BrettHar123 Жыл бұрын
Yes, they have to make for sending the Depleted Uranium munitions, when the Russians blew the lot, its has now irradated vast amounts of Western Ukraine.
@LLlap
@LLlap Жыл бұрын
Wow! A shout out to Perun!
@jerseyshoredroneservices225
@jerseyshoredroneservices225 Жыл бұрын
This was a great presentation. Reminded me a lot of listening to Perune and the length was about the same too.
@mohammedderby7570
@mohammedderby7570 Жыл бұрын
A lecture on the genocide of the Aboriginals I would like to hear from this gentleman
@scammicus7110
@scammicus7110 Жыл бұрын
Solid and restrained analysis. Well worth the watch, and the subscribe. Especially appreciate Gen. Iron's shout out to Perun's excellent work as well. BZ
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
BS !
@zephyrast3036
@zephyrast3036 Жыл бұрын
Surprised to hear you mention Perun! His channel is definitely amazing.
@lupulul
@lupulul Жыл бұрын
Did I hear a shoutout to Perun? Ayo, our defense economics teacher being noticed much more now!
@AZWings
@AZWings Жыл бұрын
Good talk. Nice to see Perun getting acknowledged for the excellent analytical work he is putting out on YT.
@thomasjamison2050
@thomasjamison2050 Жыл бұрын
Perun does excellent work, no question about it.
@judithord4065
@judithord4065 Жыл бұрын
Fascinating, lots of cold, hard home truths. Perun is indeed a font of all knowledge and research. Thank you 🇬🇧
@norbertblackrain2379
@norbertblackrain2379 Жыл бұрын
Quality carries a long way. And Perun has earned this for sure!
@DogeickBateman
@DogeickBateman Жыл бұрын
@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot
@DogeickBateman
@DogeickBateman Жыл бұрын
@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot
@DogeickBateman
@DogeickBateman Жыл бұрын
@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot
@DogeickBateman
@DogeickBateman Жыл бұрын
@@MrGreg771 Ok Russian bot
@BearRiverBooks
@BearRiverBooks Жыл бұрын
Wonderfully lucid analysis. Will pass along to friends here in the US.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
deluding yore frends
@gubmentchz3570
@gubmentchz3570 Жыл бұрын
Love seeing Perun get mentioned by all of these other (in many cases) accredited academic outlets; I’ve been watching since his first video and find myself refresh spamming Patreon / KZfaq for his weekly release. Love the sense of humor “because this is Slavic history and happy endings are banned” 😂😂😂
@kunsangga5631
@kunsangga5631 Жыл бұрын
Thank you so much, Richard. One of the most illuminated talks on Russo-Ukraine War I have ever listened.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Bull and also sheets. many piles.
@kunsangga5631
@kunsangga5631 9 ай бұрын
Ha, ha, ha.......@@spudwesth
@perfectlycontent64
@perfectlycontent64 Жыл бұрын
+1 Perun is amazing. Great to see him getting acknowledged by someone so distinguished.
@odins_claw
@odins_claw Жыл бұрын
Great speaker. Definitely one of OO7's handlers
@airborneranger-ret
@airborneranger-ret Жыл бұрын
lol
@chuckhillier4153
@chuckhillier4153 Жыл бұрын
Here in the United States some have noticed our Secretary of State's visit to Kazakhstan with what is being called the "Five plus One. The visit occurred a few days before the Chinese prime mister's visit to Moscow. On his way home, Xi also visited Kazakhstan. At about the same time, Kazakhstan confiscated Russia's Soyoz facility. We understand that much discussion with Blinken concerned how Kazakhstan and neighboring countries might avoid western sanctions while necessarily trading with Russia. Seems important in the current environment of shifting international tectonics.
@martavdz4972
@martavdz4972 Жыл бұрын
Greeting from central Europe and thanks, interesting info
@TheRezro
@TheRezro Жыл бұрын
BTW US and China just announced normalization of they relations
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Endless war good.
@victors4333
@victors4333 Жыл бұрын
The best analysis at all levels, in a very long time.
@maribelfarnsworth4565
@maribelfarnsworth4565 Жыл бұрын
An excellent presentation, combining breadth and depth of vision and analysis. Great to see Perun's work receiving the acknowledgement it deserves.
@BrettHar123
@BrettHar123 Жыл бұрын
Except is now way out of date. I can't understand how supposedly learned experts, keep hoping that if they repeat the mantra enough times, it will magically come to be.
@coaulsi
@coaulsi Жыл бұрын
😂😂😂
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
So sad. Dum sheet rules.
@meekmild8964
@meekmild8964 Жыл бұрын
Thanks, excellemt presentation. . And yes, i agree perun is quite something
@paniccheck
@paniccheck Жыл бұрын
I appreciate the thoughtful and comprehensive analysis free from hyperbole.
@DanS8204
@DanS8204 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for creating and sharing this excellent interview.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
No.
@sixstringedthing
@sixstringedthing Жыл бұрын
Given Perun's reluctance to discuss Australia's position with respect to the Ukraine conflict for some fairly obvious reasons, I found the section of Richard's presentation regarding what we as a nation can do to influence any sort of positive outcome in the war to be particularly interesting. I'll not say I agree categorically with everything that was put forward, but this was certainly a very well thought and carefully considered presentation. Excellent content, thanks AIIA.
@rogerwilco2
@rogerwilco2 Жыл бұрын
Indeed.
@CollectiveWesterner
@CollectiveWesterner Жыл бұрын
This is my first time hearing this gentleman speak, and I find his knowledge and situational comprehension to be outstanding. Very well done!
@Brummly84
@Brummly84 Жыл бұрын
Thoroughly impressed with Richard Iron, my thanks to the AIIA for puplishing this talk.
@Justnotoverthink
@Justnotoverthink Жыл бұрын
Cheers from Poland, I found Australian KZfaq being information space I feel most comfortable in 😅
@peterwhite7428
@peterwhite7428 Жыл бұрын
This is the unbiased and brilliant analysis of the Russian-Ukrainian war. Great information and projections. The very best I have heard
@GunShark0
@GunShark0 Жыл бұрын
Lol... unbiased, maybe. Uninformed, certainly.
@fritzforsthoefel8031
@fritzforsthoefel8031 Жыл бұрын
Non propaganda talk is welcome he seems to say what is not what we or Russia for that matter wants to hear just the way things are it is what it is
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
valueless. lies.
@jayhawk9267
@jayhawk9267 Жыл бұрын
Offical props for Perun🎉
@SithDarthMax
@SithDarthMax Жыл бұрын
I would like to offer my gratitude to both Perun and Richard Iron for doing their best to ensure that the public is adequately informed.
@stuartwray6175
@stuartwray6175 Жыл бұрын
Irony. Lol
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
u meen disinformed
@christopherhaley1964
@christopherhaley1964 11 ай бұрын
Such a pleasure to listen to a contemporary British non EU fascist. I'm sorry I didn't go to a school with such an inspiring headmaster.
@csmiller5221
@csmiller5221 Жыл бұрын
Moscow failed to understand that you can catch more flies with sugar than with vinegar.
@WackadoodleMalarkey
@WackadoodleMalarkey Жыл бұрын
I just yesterday had a quick dad rant with my toddlers about the truth of that, we even read a cute little book on it
@irgendwieanders2121
@irgendwieanders2121 Жыл бұрын
Actually vinegar is much more interesting to flies, especially fruit flies... Vinegary smells imply rotting fruit.
@user-kp3el4ie5l
@user-kp3el4ie5l Жыл бұрын
It's not true. They do understand it. They just failed to get any sugar at their disposal, just vinegar.
@martavdz4972
@martavdz4972 Жыл бұрын
Putin understands it (his policies were peaceful for some 8 years). He just had too high expectations about the power of sugar and ran out of patience and got offended too quickly.
@irgendwieanders2121
@irgendwieanders2121 Жыл бұрын
@@martavdz4972 "Putin understands it (his policies were peaceful for some 8 years)..." Really? Let's skip the apartment bombings - what about Chechnya 2? Kicked off in his first year...
@elausraliano
@elausraliano Жыл бұрын
How many times have the Russians run of shells, missiles, bullets, etc. , those shovels must be very effective!
@resputant8173
@resputant8173 Жыл бұрын
21:50 - they also tried, and failed, to hold various nations in Africa hostage by delaying the transportation of Ukrainian wheat by ship, possibly to create an artificial famine which could have prompted the west to push for a truce.
@martavdz4972
@martavdz4972 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for mentioning this. But they still manage to block some of the Ukrainian cargo ships, or steal the grain. The fact that Ukraine is one the largest exporters of grain and fertilizers to Africa doesn´t get enough attention, and yet is extremely important.
@resputant8173
@resputant8173 Жыл бұрын
@@martavdz4972 its extremely important as Ukraine is a major exporter of wheat, maize and barley, and yes its likely large amounts was stolen but as the African nations mentioned they dont care who they buy it from as long as it keeps coming. Russia has not once ounce of compassion and it was more then willing to use other nations populations as a bargaining chip. The problem was resolved more or less with the grain corridor but this year with various lands not being seeded and various areas filled with destroyed Russian equipment and mined it may make it a serious problem this year with what can be harvested. This could push for more nations providing wheat and other cereal grains which is likely to drive up costs locally and could put more pressure for the war to end by an unhappy citizenry hopefully the counter attack will drive the russians back.
@wekapeka3493
@wekapeka3493 Жыл бұрын
Really! When the wheat sailed , most of it ended up in Europe causing a glut and driving down prices for locally grown product and bringing their own farmers out in protest.
@MrWiggo91
@MrWiggo91 Жыл бұрын
Great video and so happy to see Perun being acknowledged. I fell upon his videos some months ago and am absolutely hooked.amazing in depth analysis.
@airborneranger-ret
@airborneranger-ret Жыл бұрын
Overall nicely done 12:30 Nice recognition of Perun. Very professional.
@jannarkiewicz633
@jannarkiewicz633 Жыл бұрын
You think he knows who Perun is? :-)
@airborneranger-ret
@airborneranger-ret Жыл бұрын
@@jannarkiewicz633 Don't know, don't care. He was very professional in giving credit to him.
@jannarkiewicz633
@jannarkiewicz633 Жыл бұрын
@@airborneranger-ret I respect Perun being anonymous a lot. I would find it interesting if his name is known and people just use his call sign. It shows the level of respect people have for Perun that they treat a KZfaq name like "Professor Jane Doe." Cheers!!! I wish Ukraine the Latest would interview Perun. I am stunned after a year they have not.
@CaseyCS7
@CaseyCS7 Жыл бұрын
Wow, Perun got mentioned here, awesome!
@peacefulpleb
@peacefulpleb Жыл бұрын
I agree with Mr Iron's complimentary comments on Perun. A good presentation and well worth a watch.
@garyhughes6004
@garyhughes6004 11 ай бұрын
Very good analysis. Thank you sir/Gary Hughes USA
@Dimich1993
@Dimich1993 Жыл бұрын
I have to point out that the war started in 2014, and the full-scale invasion in 2022.
@halfalligator6518
@halfalligator6518 Жыл бұрын
I'm inclined to believe those casualty numbers are much much higher than US estimates and closer to Ukrainian ones. Even just the amount of visually confirmed tank kills is staggering.
@stevedavenport1202
@stevedavenport1202 Жыл бұрын
I think the numbers on both sides are fudged.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
200,000 Ukraine casualties. keep it going NATO
@janecote
@janecote Жыл бұрын
Hello, Canadian here. This was really interesting, thank you very much. I don't think it's a question of Australia "can" make a difference. Australia does make a difference in the world.
@DarkEuropa
@DarkEuropa Жыл бұрын
Providing China with the resources it needs to be a world power. Very important.
@andresjg6
@andresjg6 Жыл бұрын
Hello, fellow Perun enjoyers.
@jackrice2770
@jackrice2770 Жыл бұрын
I'm an old American left-wing sort, and an amateur student of history. Over my long years observing my world, I've been repeatedly struck by the typical failure of most humans to appreciate the lessons of history and that's why we, as a species, are condemned to repeat it. (Nod to Santayana.) Putin's doing almost exactly the same thing Stalin did...throw men and equipment in as large a numbers as possible, irrespective of horrible losses. It only succeeded in WWII because Germany was militarily engaged on so many fronts it was impossible for them to defend them all, and thus wound up losing them all. (Having a raving lunatic as a leader also didn't help.) Putin does not have this problem. One would think that the Chamberlain example of waving papers in the face of psychopathic would-be conquerors would have taught everyone the lesson of how one deals with bullies. I learned this in school, and the lesson has helped me many times: my family moved frequently, so I was always 'the new kid'. The new kid is inevitable challenged by the class bully, because that's how bullies work. After a couple of failed attempts at accomodaton, I learned that as soon as that chap's fist went up, a quick shot to the nose, mouth or eye from me usually ended the whole affair. Yes, occasionally I went home with a bruised cheek or split lip, and wound up being lectured by some sage adult about 'fighting not settling things' (which was flatly a lie), but it always got whatever dictator-in-the-making off my back. Perhaps we should actually encourage playground fights in the early years, so more people learn how to deal with the inevitable aggression of other humans...and perhaps some of those wanna-be world conquerors will take their black eyes and bloody noses as an object lesson in the futility of war. China...maybe you should consider Sun Tzu's point about the only war you truly win is the one you didn't fight.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
TWIITT. That is what NATO is doing. killing huge
@thingsnexttome
@thingsnexttome Жыл бұрын
That is my boy!! Perun! OG Knowledge Master. Wow. My boy, influencing the world with his explanation perfection.
@arjanv45
@arjanv45 Жыл бұрын
A very nice, balanced and unbiased analysis which are hard to find.
@dh1380
@dh1380 Жыл бұрын
Mad going from having a gaming channel to getting name dropped by these guys
@autohmae
@autohmae Жыл бұрын
This was great and nice to see such a mention of Perun, 12:42
@ellaeadig263
@ellaeadig263 Жыл бұрын
I don't know I found this video but it was brilliant.
@aaronrey2658
@aaronrey2658 Жыл бұрын
Perun is the BALLER of the war analysis !
@KrnelPanc
@KrnelPanc Жыл бұрын
Hands down the best analysis on the war so far. Richard so perfectly puts things into perspective and says some unpopular but real truths. Appreciated from an allied partner who values objectiveness vs propaganda.
@alvaro.piner1917
@alvaro.piner1917 Жыл бұрын
Is rhis guy on drugs?
@manosthaiger4475
@manosthaiger4475 Жыл бұрын
This guy just telling billshit all the way...
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
Whatttt.
@vadymvv
@vadymvv Жыл бұрын
A major flaw is to call Navalnyi a democratic polititian. He is Imperialistic pseudo democrat, and has an opinion that Crimea is a Russian territory. Allies make another mistake in trying to preserve Russia as a state.
@marisabenson1222
@marisabenson1222 Жыл бұрын
Clear concise and honest analysis.
@cmavuso6068
@cmavuso6068 Жыл бұрын
I totally disagree.
@Stop-propaganda
@Stop-propaganda Жыл бұрын
🟡🟡🟡 NO matter the U.S. and NATO countries pouring in weapons worth 35.7 billion dollars Ukraine failed to make any territorial gains since 2022 after Kherson. Ukraine is bogged down and keeps blabbering about throwing Russia back to borders of 1991 which is a pipe dream. To save Bidens face facing elections challenges of low approval with Americans who think Biden is a mess! The U.S. will be forcing Ukraine to a negotiated settlement soon no matter all they hyped offensive or (stand by Ukraine as long as it takes) that’s weird and they know it!
@JWSitterley
@JWSitterley Жыл бұрын
Very good synopsis. Thank you AIIA.
@kathleentrinity7367
@kathleentrinity7367 Жыл бұрын
Thorough and insightful analysis of facts on the ground, capabilities, and consequences of various choices. The West must hold firm in supporting Ukraine. My hope is that Biden will win again and not repeat a mistake similar to his abandoning of Afghanistan.
@loupgarou-dj3tm
@loupgarou-dj3tm Жыл бұрын
Trump set up the Afghanistan fiasco by basically surrendering to the Taliban and releasing thousands of prisoners in advance. What went wrong on Biden's watch was the failure to plan for the chance that the Afghan army would instantly fold. Not exactly a Biden mistake, more like incompetence by people who were already in their jobs before he took over.
@WackadoodleMalarkey
@WackadoodleMalarkey Жыл бұрын
As an American there's a bitterly tragically truthful euphemism that goes when the Dems and Reps agree on something, the taxpayer is really going to get screwed.. And I have seen no other but no less solid bilateral agreement from members of both sides of the aisle and that consensus says _Fcuk uoY Putin_
@kreek22
@kreek22 Жыл бұрын
More Dementia Biden! More mutilated American children! More baby killing! More American racial communism! The Satan Party founded by FDR only ever descends deeper into evil and madness.
@lindenbyrne7725
@lindenbyrne7725 Жыл бұрын
Us is basically a non-factor they just throw money at Ukrainian. Europe already provides nuclear deterrent and they are acualy providing most of the equipment that has been given and will be given remember America needs to transport things across the Atlantic causing anything sent to cost more rather then just using trains or literally moving stuff over the land border and there’s no reason they will ever not support Ukrainian as they would rather fight a proxy war then have there own citizens and infrastructure destroyed by war on Europe’s territory and with Russian state media speaking about nuking the capital of Germany and other European country’s. Losing America is a pain yes but it won’t actually stop Ukrainian fighting capabilities or the support in European country’s.
@BibEvgen
@BibEvgen Жыл бұрын
Where are the facts? Some wishes, and conjectures.
@lindakelley2676
@lindakelley2676 Жыл бұрын
May the wretched war end soon.We need to support Ukraine in a timely manner and not make them beg .
@jannarkiewicz633
@jannarkiewicz633 Жыл бұрын
Perun!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Excellent presentation. Yes, we all worship Perun but Mr. Iron knows his onions...
@SeanRCope
@SeanRCope Жыл бұрын
More of this please. Thank you.
@bishopofsahs
@bishopofsahs Жыл бұрын
I watched this guy from day one , seen every single one of his hour long videos🤷🏼‍♂️🚬
@GuzziHeroV50
@GuzziHeroV50 Жыл бұрын
3/10, needs more PowerPoint slides! Seriously, thank you to my fellow Perunites for introducing me to Mr Iron's great work and this great channel.
@GunShark0
@GunShark0 Жыл бұрын
You're too kind. I give 0/10 for being utter hogwash.
@i.b.blithe3263
@i.b.blithe3263 Жыл бұрын
Excellent assessment... and I might add we here in the US are 100% for Ukraine to win.
@ciberpine
@ciberpine Жыл бұрын
No, this is not true.
@i.b.blithe3263
@i.b.blithe3263 Жыл бұрын
@@ciberpine Hi ciberpine, thank you for your comment. What is not true? Are you saying Russia did not invade Ukraine? Where are you? We would like know and we enjoy your comments. Only will open honest debate and evidence can the truth surface. Provide us a statement of substance with evidence so we can debate. It is a lot of fun to find the truth using this old age Greek concept.
@treeshepherds5767
@treeshepherds5767 Жыл бұрын
@@i.b.blithe3263 That you for your question. My statement was in response to your statement that the US is 100% for Ukraine. This is not true. I am an American and am not for either side. I believe that the government of Ukraine is just as evil and responsible for the war as Russia is. Ukraine is not the innocent bystander that they are made out to be by the western propaganda. I abhor war and find it reprehensible that the US, my own government, has been pushing for conflict with Russia for a long time. Ukraine is just the proxy in this action. The US cares little about the actual people of Ukraine (both eastern and western Ukraine), and seems to have no conscience about using Ukrainian lives to further its hegemonic ends. In 1991, the US had an opportunity for peace. NATO should have been dissolved when the Warsaw Pact dissolved. There was no more real threat. A new European security structure could have been implemented that included Russia instead of threatening Russia. Instead, the US went looking for wars. First in the Middle East, then Serbia, etc., etc. The US is a war mongering nation, bent on conquest, both financially and militarily. I don't justify Russia's military action, but it must be recognized that the war in Ukraine started in 2014 with the US back coup in Kiev. The people of eastern Ukraine have seen their own government wage war on them because of their Russian ethnicity and language. The US has armed and trained the Ukrainian military. With US missiles in Poland and Romania, Russia is threatened. What is expected? The US has forgotten completely how to diplomatically listen to the other side. Manifest Destiny continues to live with different names now. The US is the colonial power and the rest of the world is waking up to this fact. Russia is the first country to say no, the US will not pass any further in its eastern expansion. An now the US wants conflict with China on China's doorstep...... When will the people of these United States rise up and say no more, and begin the dismantling of the Congressional-Military-Industrial-complex?
@filipeventura7588
@filipeventura7588 Жыл бұрын
shout out for Perun!
@tordsteiro9838
@tordsteiro9838 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for an informative thoughtful analysis! Now, something that has struck me over the course of this war, is the difficulty with which analysts has tried to understand what the Russian strategy really is, and whether Putin is placing his bets on the shirt, medium, or long term. Now, the way I see it, is that the war itself was a result of diminishing domestic policy space, and that Putins position was under sufficient pressure, so that domestic concerns where driving foreign- and security policy, and not the other way around, which one often assumes. Now, this line of reasoning has some consequences for analysing Russian strategy, because, if domestic policy action space is driving also its foreign and security policy, then it is reason to believe that domestic policy action space will also set limits to the ability to strategic planning of coherent battlefield operations. Hence, I do not believe that Putin is opting for a long war of attrition. Instead, I think Putin is caught in an endless row of dilemmas, where he is forced to choose between short-term solutions of which none are particularly good, and where a coherent strategy can not be found. As a result, the Russian campaign is primarily chaotic, without any coherent overarching strategy, including no real choice regarding a long, a medium term, or a short war. However, I'm pretty sure Putin would really like this war to be over a soon as possible, and the fact that there's no end in sight, primarily tells us that he do not have the means to end it on his own terms, and not the political action space to offer any compromise that may end it on mutually acceptable terms. Which, in turn, tells me that the idea that Putin's regime will not survive this war, appears to be a very plausible one.
@spudwesth
@spudwesth 9 ай бұрын
100s of Russ. women are raped every day by Nazi troops.
@brendastevens1179
@brendastevens1179 11 ай бұрын
Every country should keep helping Ukraine. Give them the weapons and support they need to defend their country. I pray my country will do this. No country or people should have to submit to being invaded and being killed for living in the home of their choice.
@bobhsohi704
@bobhsohi704 Жыл бұрын
Excellent speaking forum this man was a very wise & knowledge versed on Ukrainian/ Russian war ! I agree get rid of Putin ,by the people an excellent start to peace , we so need !
@YoutubSosetXui
@YoutubSosetXui Жыл бұрын
Perun shot out! GANG GANG!
@jamesferguson4026
@jamesferguson4026 Жыл бұрын
Well done. You are right. This time when the change comes, the world must help Russia establish institutions built on international norms.
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