1. Bengals 2. Ravens 3. Steelers 4. Browns The Browns will underachieve yet again while the Steelers will play above their talent level as underdogs and just miss out on the playoffs

Hot take Browns will win division and bengals will struggle after losing a top 3 S duo, Dax hill is a bust and burrow will be rusty which will lead to 3rd place.

Bengals (11-13 wins) Ravens (10-12 wins) Steelers (10-11 wins) Browns (9-11 wins)

AFC west in my opinion. Is it cause I’m a raiders fan ? Probably yes but hear me out. Chiefs Raiders Broncos Chargers

1a. Ravens, like lamar in the new offense. 1b. Bengals. Right there with Baltimore. Still worry about their OL against good defenses 3. Browns. Questions about their passing offense 4. Steelers. TBD on pickett

The Davante Adams era started to feel a bit premeditated, especially the last two seasons.

@@underthetrees4780 I would agree in a sense. He went from having great weapons all around him ( Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, James jones, Donald driver, a young Randle Cobb, jermichael Finley, & Davante Adams ) to just Davante Adams. So from 6 guys at a time to just 1 reliable guy. He also around the age of 34/35 ish ( 2017 ) lost his athletic ability to be dynamic scrambling inside and outside of the pocket. So he had rely less on that style of play everyone is seeing nowadays from mahomes, Allen, burrow, & all the rest of the young guys now and go to a more Peyton manning Tom Brady style of I NEED YOU IN THIS SPOT AT THIS TIME OR YOUR NOT GETTING THE BALL !

@@adamn2268 Pretty good point you make. It's very noticeable even from someone like me who only saw a few Packers games per year that Rodgers doesn't scramble like he used to. He has become a traditional pocket passer, which is normal for a QB entering his late 30s. Guys like Randall Cunningham and Steve Young who were known for being proficient runners in their early career eventually transitioned into pocket passers later on as their mobility faded. As far as weapons at the receiver position, that comes and goes I guess. When Rodgers only had Davante Adams in 20-21 opponents could bet Rodgers was looking his way first. Now he's on a new team with some new talent we'll have to see if Rodgers spreads the ball around or picks a new favorite target.

He then sat on the bench for 3 years and saw how absolutely deflated his sideline felt after Favre threw one of his horrible ints

​@@adamn2268Is it just because Green Bay has awful management that can't keep players?

It's crazy how different those teams were offensively too. They used to live throwing it over the middle cuz Rodgers Arm strength and pin point accuracy was unmatched. I don't even think mahomes could do what he did with those passes on a consistent basis. Of course in those days you had fearless pass catchers like Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings

@@jeffevert9406 Idk. As much as I loved Rodgers, Mahomes can make every throw. I feel like you could combine Brett and Aarons strengths and that's pretty much mahomes.

@@tomc5435without the interceptions

@@tomc5435if that were true then Mahomes would have the highest passer rating in the NFL, not Rodgers. Mahomes might get it one day but he doesn’t have it yet lol

You have to consider they had so much talent on WRs that year. That opened the defense so much. Driver, Gennings, James Jones, Jordy and Finley...

Nope they are about to be beaten . Like always . Aaron was right about Covid vaccines and he has always been right about how to beat defenses .. Nothing has changed but where he plays . Aaron has always been the greatest . It only took changing teams to get most people to see what Packers fans already know.

I lost it at immunized

My first thought was maybe they should immunize the Jets OLine, then worry about opposing defenses.

@@jesusoftheapescome up for air bro

u single?

Not at all, Rodgers last year especially the end of the year was floating his passes basically fair catches for the opponents due to his injured thumb. Kerby Joseph only had 1 int when not playing against Rodgers so it shows how bad Rodgers was with the Packers last year while injured and demonstrates that Kerby Joseph was and is nothing special just another rookie who got xmas gifts from Rodgers. When he wasn't injured under Matt as head coach they won 13 games for 3 straight years. It wasn't the WR talent it was the injury. The youtuber never mentioned this he just said talent which was false.

@biteme-rz3ws regardless of how they happened, Joseph got STATS against Rodgers. Whether or not he was injured isn't the lions fault. If he was injured, maybe they shouldn't have played Rodgers in the game. Also, I said how well he did against Rodgers. I never mentioned a game outside of Green Bay for Joseph. My last sentence still stands, 3 ints in a season against Rodgers had only been done one time prior, and he sure as hell wasn't a rookie either. Joseph still had to make the plays and made them when it mattered when going up against the pack.

@@williambudrow9508 You're right they shouldn't have played Rodgers. Love showed he was the better QB last year when he came in for Rodgers vs the Eagles and made a comeback after Rodgers put them in a hole with two terrible int's. If the man would've made those picks vs a healthy Rodgers the previous two year I would've been impressed. Last year they were simply gifts as Rodgers was the MVP for the Lions last year. I'm very glad he's gone the Jets can have his cand azz.

@biteme-rz3ws lol ya, I think the jets with him won't be all that being cracked up either, he's in the twilight of his career, I'm just hoping that brian branch can continue to be a beast at nickel and Joseph can elevate his game in his sophomore season. Only time will tell though

This data is from his last three years. He had one of the best defenses in the league these last three years. Regardless. The NFL isn’t what it once was. The average drive in the NFL lasts less than three minutes now. He would have plenty of time to make up his mistakes in todays game. Risks are a necessity if we are talking Super Bowls and funny enough the year he won the super bowl he threw 11 INTS. That’s the second most in his career. I’m not accusing him of stat padding but this style of play is the closest thing to it. Mahomes has already eclipsed Rodgers career and he makes those risky throws. There is a recipe to winning.

It caught up to him in the postseason

I agree

Thanks my guy!

maybe depends on the scheme i guess. also w an elite top 5 defense he might be willing to play riskier and more agressive.

There's no chance. He just hates throwing over the middle and using TEs.

Can't change the old tiger's stripes with the Jets. He brought his boys, his OC (well Rodgers really is the OC) and he's bringing what is proven. As long as he got guys who can win in isolation, he'll be fine.

​@@brettmartin3529to be fair, he hasn't really ever had a good TE in their prime since Finley. GB has mainly brought in washed up TEs. Tonyan was ok but he had a hard time getting open after his breakout season and torn ACL

@@brettmartin3529 He will throw to a talented TE same as any WR, if they're not using high/low concepts like drive. In 2011, Jermichael Finley was 3rd in both yards and targets for GB. Jordy Nelson was targeted 96 times. Finley was targeted 92 times. TE play was a big part of that offense, even if it wasn't the top feature. Jumping forward a bit, in 2015 Richard Rodgers had 85 targets, still a big part of the team's usage. We only see a massive decline in TE usage when the Packers got Davante Adams, who also ate into some of the other WR target volume to have a ton of targets (he had ~160 one year). Last year, Robert Tonyan was tied for 3rd in targets for GB, with 67. Aaron Jones had 72, and Lazard 100, so Rodgers treated #2 WR and TE about the same (and got similar production from them). It's telling that a RB made it to 2nd in targets. Even if the RB is good, that's (usually) rough unless you have Marshall Faulk or similar. Rodgers declined somewhat, while the talent around him declined much more, but he can and will use good TEs for a healthy target share *if he has a good TE*. What about with the Jets? Well...Lazard, which was his highest targeted WR last year, is now likely to be his 3rd WR (or 2nd if/when Corey Davis gets hurt again, he's had one full year w/o injury). Wilson will be a fantasy monster if healthy, he had a good season with a much worse QB as a rookie. Thus I think you'd be right to predict that Rodgers won't target Conklin too much at TE. He's a passable starter that can line up at TE and do the basic jobs, but he won't light up the league with explosive plays or carry an offense. Rodgers will use him, but not as much as his top 2-3 WRs unless they get hurt. Probably ~50 targets and in the range of 4-6th on the team in targets.

Cobb has been that slot threat

Nice reverse psychology, Rodgers was holding the tight end back by avoiding the middle.

Rodgers had so many ints last season came down 2 a few things...mainly injuries and Rodgers not wanting to put in the time with the rookie wr he was now forced to have. He took very few 1st team reps in practice during the season. So it took them forever to get on the same page. Rodgers was done in green bay last yr. He put in very little effort.

@@packers12to80 I agree this was a factor also.

​@packers12to80 very little effort my ass. You wouldn't even get close to the nfl even if you dedicated your life to it so don't act like you know his life and routine

@@packers12to80It's not really that Rodgers is just a good football player now he's not a baller / game changer like he used to be even those MVPs he won had a lot to do with Adams

He’s also hasn’t a true weapon at tight end since Finley, and had old ass Cobb playing slot

The Game vs SF comes to mind. Against the Bucs he played very well.

He was still doing it without Davante this year though!

Probably because the last time Rodgers had an effective and consistent receiving TE was Jermichael Finley.

@@FinalDragoon63 yeah it seems to me that Rodgers is heavily reliant on the skill of his receivers rather than his own. This has always been my knock on him and it bugs me that people don't seem to realize this.

@@L_Train Isn't that what a great QB is suppose to do? Raise the floor of the great talents around them? Ask Pats fans the receivers Brady has to throw to post 2017 and the guys he was throwing to in TB in 2021 when they were at their healthiest. Its fucking night and day. Unless the QB is in their young prime and are aliens like Mahomes and Allen, they have to lean in harder in the talent of their receiver group to win in the pass game.

@@t4d0W yea but Rodgers doesn't raise anyone. He can't function unless his receivers are already good. He will never be in the same breath as Brady

why

why stay away from middle?

@@jmgonzales7701 "not it!"

@@jessejordache1869 why

@@jmgonzales7701 But I called "not it". Alright -- because the middle is where interceptions happen. Rogers prefers rac-intended short passes (virtually no chance for an INT) and go routes where he can out throw the coverage (again, virtually no chance for an interception). By neglecting the middle part of the field, which is the hardest spot for the defense to cover but also the hardest spot for the QB to read, he takes a low risk approach to the passing game. But he also leaves a lot of yards on the field.

Thanks Moises! You're good bro, appreciate you!

Thanks Erik!

Well hold the horses there Bro, I'm hyped too but no one watches Preseason😂

Thanks brother!

@@AlexRollinsNFL Alex if you get to watch any Saints preseason games, Dennis Allen allowed Ronald Curry to call plays for the offense tonight. He's obviously watched your channel. Not that his play calling was great but 80%+ of Winston's throws tonight were out of the Aaron Rodgers playbook. All either quick WR screens or Go routes up the sideline , flag routes or deep outs. Of course Jameis unlike Rodgers still had to throw into double and triple coverage to try to "fit" it in 😂.

Or maybe it was the fact the packers never gave him a LEGIT target over the middle lmao you packer fans have this habit of blaming any and everything that went wrong with that team on Rodgers when in reality maybe start putting more blame and pressure on your GM who just ran your two star players out of Green Bay within 3 years then they don’t even give the kicker who’s been there FOREVER a chance to fight for his job lmao the packers are a terrible organization that lucked into 30 years of HOF QB play

@@kingrambo519whoa I'm a Saints fan bro!!!!!! Just happen to watch a lot of film like my man Alex here. I care nothing about the Pack. I'm Who DAT 4 life!!!

@@kingrambo519 and it's totally about not throwing Picks. That's what Rodgers wanted to do to separate him from Favre. Not throw INTs.

Thanks brother!

Thank you Rohit!

Thank you brother!!

Thanks brother!!

I can't blame him too bad in that specific game lol he had an interception and an almost interception on plays over the middle where his receiver was tackled and no flag. I woulda been shook too lol

He had 346 yards and 3 tds with another dropped td by adams, dropped 2pt by eq and lazard was not looking at a rpo pass by rodgers on the final drive that if he looked back for the ball, its a walk in td

lol no. The lost against the Bucs because the Bucs defense was on fire that game. Todd Bowles had his players heavily study hard on Green Bay best concepts and came up with multiple counters

So you didn’t watch that game or just like talking out your ass

@@maskedman5657that same defense had Mahomes ran for his life and only had 9 pts

Thank you brother!

Pro football focus premium stats

👊

No, because it would risk his statline more. Team: Oh no Rodgers, we just choked in the playoffs again Rodgers: Hell yeah no ints!

Old QBs rarely change much, and I'd expect it even less with Rodgers than others given his nature. The only old QB that altered his game significantly was Peyton Manning, because he physically had to just to keep playing. That bought him an extra couple years before his body gave out completely and even that didn't work...and note that despite Peyton adjusting his mechanics and preferences somewhat, Denver *still* largely used the offense we saw with the Colts for so many years. TB with Brady also looked a lot more like his NE approach than the "no risk it no biscuit" style offenses typical of Arians before long. Part of the reason for this is stubbornness. But I suspect a bigger part is simply that these elite QBs had teams that found the things they did best already and emphasized them. Even top players are better at some things than others. When a guy's been in the league playing at a high level 10+ years, not only that player, but most of the league knows what those are, and they're still hard to stop. Usually deviating from that simply doesn't make sense, especially when you sign this guy to a big contract to fish for SB run in the next few years.

If you are able to land a talent like Rodgers, you adjust to his play style. You create a system around him that’ll let him carry your team.

@@Chris-dv4grcasual lmao

At a certain point, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot hall of famer who is 41 years old, the coach doesn’t make a talent like him adjust and at that old he isn’t going to want change his game from something that’s worked for him for the better part of 2 decades

Thanks brother!

Thanks!

Why would he throw over the middle with practice squad worthy tight ends and 80 year old Randall Cobb?

@@zackaryingram9004 ah here is the expert! 80 year old randall cobb that Rodgers wanted in NY with him? Thanks for proving my point

Y’all packers fans deserve what y’all are about to go through the next decade lol ungrateful ass fanbase

Yep, he can get away with it cause hes just that good

👊👊

Same! I also think he plays too conservatively and is TOO worried about turnovers vs making the right plays which has backfired over the years.

Hey. What looks opened on the tv is not always open on the field. Especially in the NFL. You don't get to see the angles he's looking at

@@waltglass7055 Lazard was open (2X) no matter what film is watched. All 22 to broadcast coverage. Wide open. Rodgers just didn’t look his way due to it being over the middle. Been like that since around 2015. These two plays happened in the final drives of the Bucs playoff loss and the last years L to the Lions. All in meaningful times of the game. He forced it to Adams and then last year he forced it to Watson for no reason.

@gerbertron3226 I'm not disagreeing with you perse. I'm just saying what's on TV is not automatically the same on the field. Yes Rodgers is very conservative, but at the end of the day ( I know this is a bit fallacious to say) iv never played at the elite level, many people who comment on the games have not either. Therefore it is hard to judge just based off the tapes. But for the most part I do agree with you. Rodgers won't go out and leave it all on the field.

Y’all packers fans deserve what y’all are about to go through the next decade lol ungrateful ass fanbase

You're right! He was kinda meh before the injury too, but yeah, I would think a broken thumb isn't super ideal

@@AlexRollinsNFL Every time you come out with a video critiquing Rodgers, he turns on the gas and starts cooking.

Good!@@johnzabroski5396

Dudes just a hater he’ll nitpick Rodgers for literally any reason while leaving out details that destroy his whole argument

This wasn't a negative video@@kingrambo519

Thanks!

As a lifelong packers fan #ExcellentComment‼️💯💯

Agree, Mahomes, Burrow, Lamar, Allen much more likely to win the AFC and a SB. Lamar shreds the middle, and he's significantly improved outside the numbers. He can make a throw anywhere on the field. Mahomes doesn't need an intro, we saw how well he played vs the Bengals & Eagles defenses. Burrow can also make any throw on the field, and he has Big Bodies in Chase & Higgins. Josh Allen is a little iffy though

Y’all packers fans deserve what y’all are about to go through the next decade lol ungrateful ass fanbase

Thanks Ally! Yeah, Hurts definitely hasn't attacked the middle much so far, and lovesss throwing go balls. All the RPO stuff Rodgers does is 1 of 1, so in that way they're different (even though the Eagles run lots of RPOs themselves, just more similar to how they're traditionally done, which isn't a bad thing)

Thanks Ken!!

Thank you!

'crappy set of receivers except Lazard' L M A O you got me there at the end of your fucking 800 word essay. Make some changes so your history teacher can give you a passing grade.

Different Scheme, different talent. Rodgers never liked the middle so he would throw outside a lot, but he would hit people like Jermichael Finley or Jordy Nelson on seems or deep posts, and they worked great because they had to deal with great outside talent, like Greg Jennings and Cobb, and later Adams. (I like MLF I am gonna use it) MLF started using a lot more bubble screens and rpo's when he got in, something we did before but not a lot. While most of this is from memory, so take what I am saying with a grain of salt, there was an article in 2020 that showed Rodgers throws to the middle of the field the least of any starting QB and showed data from 2018 (Mccarthy), showing he has always been that way.

Thanks brother! I don't unfortunately

@@josephdowney2715 2018 he was already checked out, so you need a bigger data set. And those deep posts aren't exactly MOF. Maybe he does really hate MOF. Crazy how good he still is.

Thanks Patrick!

Thanks!

Favre has also thrown for more interceptions than any other QB in history lol.

@@voldemort008Fun Fact: Favre has both the most interceptions and the most fumbles in NFL history

I already did it's on the channel!

@@AlexRollinsNFL I see that, my mistake I watched it and it was great. Keep up the good work 👏

why is throwing middle so important

​@jmgonzales7701 it allow for more opportunities to make explosive plays downfield. You won't always get opportunities each game to throw downfield on the sideline if teams don't play cover 1. When you're down big in games, teams won't play cover 1 because they don't want to give up cheap go balls to the outside. They want you to earn your yards by making explosive plays in tighter windows. Rodgers explosive passes don't increase when down in games compared to mahomes and brady because they force him to play left handed.

@@addster124 so whats the main reason brady can come back in games

😂😂

PFF's data only goes back to 2019, and in 2019 his targets were more over the middle. I didn't really have time to dive deeper into that cause I didn't have film that dates back that early

It’s literally because the packers never gave him a LEGIT weapon to attack the middle of the field dude it’s really not that complicated the Packers did the bare minimum for that man and fans wonder why he didn’t go the extra mile for that front office, Devante even said he left because he felt disrespected by the GM before he left but they wanna keep up this “Rodgers is so selfish narrative”🙄

I put this on Twitter, it's actually shockingly similar to Russ's. Except Rodgers plays like this cause he chooses to, but Russ plays like it cause he has to

@@AlexRollinsNFL yeah, makes sense why he consistently stayed under 10 int’s even with high pass attempts

Pretty much but the Eagles on offense flex their athleticism more. Their O-line makes a push for the running game and Hurts to get whatever they want on the ground. In the pass its just match ups between AJ Brown whose a middle of the field slant guy but turned into a vertical guy, Smith whose can separate and catch and Goedert whose big. Hurts will make the read on 989 routes and knows when his guys are better than the defenses' guys.

@@t4d0W yeah, you just described the efficiency that I’m talking about… No heroics by air, just great decisions. Young man is growing up.

Nobody is saying he doesn't!

Yeah, he has a good TD to int ratio because that's all he cares about and it makes him play like a coward, which is his major flaw

Y’all packers fans deserve what y’all are about to go through the next decade lol ungrateful ass fanbase

There is no question his game has changed as he has aged. While it can’t all be blamed on Rodgers, his performance in the 2014 NFCCG was not great, after leading a nice come back he failed repeatedly in crunch time against Tampa in the 4th quarter in 2020, and he simply could not deal with SFO doubling Adams the next year. People also forget that when the Pack was blown out of the NFCCG by Atlanta in 2016 and SFO in 2019, the offense in both games was shut out in the first half, effectively ending the game at the half. Wasn’t only their defense that collapsed. He’s a great QB but his championship days are gone. GB kept him a year too long.

As a lifelong packers fan I argue with people all the time over Rodgers bein better than Favre and I honestly just can't see it and I've watched most games played by both, In my honest opinion Aaron is an outstanding regular season quarterback but IT'S BEEN PROVEN NO MATTER YOUR FEELINGS ABOUT IT THAT HE'S JUST DOESN'T HAVE WHAT IT TAKES TO WIN IN THE PLAYOFFS AND THE RECEIVERS SHOULD GET MORE CREDIT THAN THEY DO‼️💯💯

@@jqualls7901 It's a tough argument, because his poet-season stats are very good. But some of them were in garbage time (see 2016 and 2019) after the offense laid goose eggs when it mattered in both games. He rarely plays terribly in the big games, and he has had some great playoff games, but he just comes up either a little or a lot short too often.