This piece aired in January, 2006, but the analysis that went into it is as true now as it was four decades ago. Over the years, the home team wins about 58% of the time. The team with the most rushes in a game wins about 82% of the time; best passing efficiency (yds/pass play) 77%. Win both stats 92%. The wild card is TURNOVERS. The team with the fewer turnovers in a game wins about 80% of the time. Trouble is, you can't predict turnovers.