No joke I could quite seriously see him play one of those roles in an actual movie

Jeff Goldblum

After this crap presentation he is the intellectual with all the wrong ideas. Things are going radically wrong for Ukraine and their army is getting broken in Bahkmut. As this is an existential threat to Russia and them winning is an existential threat to the dollar because it has to do with credibility NATO will get involved in a few months. I mean I know they are by proxy now but directly.

@@DiamondLil yeah, but he didn't need to turn himself into a fly first.

@@DiamondLil ... only WAY better. Cheers!

It’d be amusing

If I were president (what a glorious 3 days that would be), I'd happily invite him to dinner 2x a month, but I dont think he'd like staying in DC dealing with politicians (95% of whom are dumber than him) for very long. He's brilliant guy who contributes the most to society through his books and his consultation work. I wouldn't really want to mess that up

Yes please

thank god no.

@@wishuhadmyname He's brilliant enough to take a hard no approach to working in the beltway.

Transfer to an american university now get a student visa and start working on your citizenship now.

They will take you. Much easier to go west to the States, than the opposite.

America was, and still is, made great by immigrants with talents such as yours. "Give us your tired, your poor, your huddled (and talented) masses.... "

Honestly dude, feel free to come on over whenever you feel like you've got all your ducks in a row. I'm working on my nuclear degree, and a year and a half from now I should hopefully be working on reactors. I'm always glad to see and talk with more people with technical expertise, so you won't hear any complaints from me about immigration, lol.

As Peter points out, we need skilled workers for all levels. From welders to physicists and everything in between.

I've been following peter for awhile now. The smug, smart-assy delivery isn't part of the show lol.

The reason for the structure of the Russian military is that its basically a defensive organisation, they thought, planned for a defensive war where they could use the railway system as part of their logistics... The increase in manpower (+500.000) will largely be focusing of conscripts driving supply trucks. Not new tanks. Russia is still in firm control of the North Crimean Canal. The evacuation of Cherson was Probably that they wanted to play safe and make sure not to risk any collapse that could jepordise the control of this water asset.

"He's a performer, and..." No. If you follow his lectures he is becoming increasingly smarmy. He is beginning to believe the flowery introductions. I'm sure his manner goes over well in the 408/415 and Martha's Vineyard chuckling throatily about flyover country, etc. They probably love him at the CIA even if they won't answer his questions. That doesn't mean the meat of the lecture is bad. It's from before-celebrity. Going forward I'm a little more skeptical. Ok. That's it for me.

Emphasis "the show."

@@thafunktapus They don't love him at the CIA. He works for the CIA.

He's pretty much what Frank Herbert envisioned when writing Mentats. A highly analytical mind paired with an overwhelming dataset.

@@StephenGillie Peter will be the first to say he is carried on the many shoulders of his team. Peter is good but without all those that work for him we’d probably see very little of him; forget his growing fame.

@@StephenGillie I liked Dune also. His predictions rarely come true. Sadly no one can predict the future. The upside is he knows a lot so he gives a lot of accurate up-to-date facts which help people to make better decisions.

​@@yedidyah-jedshlomoh1533 Yes, much like the Mentats in Dune. Or even Seven of Nine on STV when she loads years of the ship's logs into her Borg-enhanced brain. They're almost like a type of precrime, substituting overwhelming pre-knowledge for the paranormal.

I read his 500 page book too. And while I am no geopolitical expert, and while I enjoy listening to him, he is kind of a cult of personality type who speaks too authoritatively about stuff he actually doesn’t know much about. What he says about china’s vax not working (NEITHER DID OURS) and he literally believes that China wasn’t exposed to covid … total nonsense I could write four pages about why he’s totally wrong about covid and China and covid … and the whole vax issue. His extreme views about the generations (boomer, gen x, millenials, zoomers) is pretty way off in many ways too.

What have you invested in? Shell?

@@wizflame9960 ENB!

No expert mate, just propagating the government propaganda (who is devising all that content). He probably never been to neither Ukraine nor Russia. An expert is someone with military expertise like Col.Douglas Macgregor. Come back to this post by spring 2023 when the Nato armies in Ukraine are destroyed and Zaluzhnyi surrenders the country.

Same in my shop, and it just can't be done, some of these guys were never given the time to transfer their skills to the younger dudes either. So once they leave we're going to start re learning old lessons.

He's just a mouthpiece for US military and mostly full of shit and propaganda. Go watch the Duran and New Atlas

@@hydrogravix6924 👍 😊

If the government is trying to not let these out.......how come you got the news?

In a nation of over one billion people things eventually gats out. As the old saying goes, two people can keep a secret if one of them is dead. 😂😂😂

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@@yoyolim538 phones exist

​@@achen131The Chinese like the First Nation people used smoke signals. They don't make mobile phones as the device is merely a toy.

Yeah, I'm a bit concerned as to what the zoomers do as well. Say goodbye to any in-person job where you don't Have to be

Yea, people just need to not eat for 5 years. It will be fine.

@@worndown8280 Not gonna happen. Food shortages always hit the poor countries first, the rich countries can ALWAYS afford to pay higher.

@@theredscourge They can only afford to pay if the food is grown. The problem is that most of the modern food stuffs that are grown are engineered for massive amounts of fertilizer. Without it yields collapse. Its one of the main reasons why so many US farmers switched to soy this year over corn. And this has happened everywhere. This isnt a regional issue because its not a farming issues, its an industrial production of fertilizer issue. Go talk to another if you dont believe me. farmer.

@@worndown8280 given that north america and europe combined have less than a billion people, and the world has 8, I don't think what I said is unreasonable unless the world fertilizer supply is going to fall by over 80 percent. Also one of the largest producers of potash is located in Saskatchewan Canada.

@@theredscourge Yes and that plant covers about 50 percent of all of North America needs. To spin another one up, which Canada could do, would require about 10 billion in investment and, this is the important part, another 5 years. The worlds four largest sources, Russia Belarus, Ukraine and China are no longer able to ship or choosing to ship fertilizer or food outside their borders. Several nations have already stopped food stuff exports. I am not sure if you understand whats going on in a lot of these other nations, their governments are pushing for them to stop using fertilizer. But they like you dont understand just how much yields will drop if they do. Take corn, its America's staple crop. Corn that is not engineered requires about a 3 square foot print per plant. That allows it to gather enough nutrients to grow and produce. Engineer corn can be grown tighter together, some species as close as a foot. This alone will triple the yield per acre of land. But you must have fertilizer. Many farmers cant even plant the old varieties because they are under contract from agra corps. In the US we wont starve, we just have way to much land to do that, even without fertilizer. But that would mean we would export a lot less calories. That means other nations starve. And you add that every other nation is going to be having a lot less or even no fertilizer, lands that were once only marginal farmland go back to being non producing. And calories farmed crash. We have a word for that. Famine. And its as old as humanity.

Because during last ~30years they had same dilemma : put some money in r&d, which gives small profit margin & lot of uncertainty, or just offshore as anyone alse, with instant gratification in terms of $. Decision was easy: instant gratification. But in the long term, this is a trap. For young generation there is just no hope in Europe: you have in most countries no option to buy a property due to the asset bubble, you will pay more taxes for climate change policy, you will pay more taxes for growing welfare/social system needs, and the company you are working for has no chance in global competition with US or China.

Slides start 3 minutes after he starts talking. Boring story about driving in snow.

He didn’t say everything would be fine, he said we’d have 9 to 15% inflation for 5 to 10 years. That’s not nothing

The problem is that the text is the right way so if he made the map the right way he would have to rotate the text.

@Son_nyfaz7 why?

yeah the audio is unbearable

He's has another presentation that is pretty much the same but without the ringing

Yeah like when he "predicted" there'd be 10s of millions of deaths from starvation this winter. We'll see soon if that happens or its yet another wrong prediction from him.

@@rickstone3770 Do you mind providing a link to where he said that?

Who wants to hear this? He's talking about mass death. No sane person wants to hear this.

Good propagandist and bs artist.

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@@hangtuah888 bot

@@jeffburke170MORON.

Yup. Us late 2000s college grads took a HIT

It cannot be separated and he is making fun there as well.

Yeah, on his website, under each book listing will be a maps & graphs section, most of the slides are pulled from there.

It's for propaganda reasons. Protests happened because the situation in china is shit -> government backs down on some 0 covid policies -> local authorities have more autonomy -> covid will get worse because chinese vaccine is shit and no one has natural immunity -> situation gets much worse -> CCP says "See? 0 covid is our only chance, protesters were wrong, and the central government needs to have all the authority because local gov needs our guidance. We're going back to massive lockdowns." -> even more lockdowns. The CCP knew 0 covid couldn't go on forever, but because things will be much worse without 0 covid, the government can say that they're always right and need to have the authority to do what needs to be done. It's all a grab for more power. the CCP can make a propaganda win even in the worst of situations.

local Chinese governments for the last decade have only made revenue from "selling" land for home and apartment construction. That business model has imploded.

I've seen him in at least one debate. And he's mentioned beating the Canadian deputy PM in a debate at some point.

@@immortaljanus big deal. Canadian's don't feature anywhere in terms of geopolitics

Right! I love Peters analysis, but information travels at the speed of light to all corners of the earth now, so people and organizations can act much quicker with more information then ever before in world history.

This is the reason why he's working this hard. His thesis is not an iron-clad prediction. He is giving us the odds of it happening (some odds are ridiculously high as to almost be inevitable) and he's hoping those who are in the position to make changes will take notice and make those changes before the odds grow so high as to be impossible to avert the disasters. Unfortunately, Ukraine and Russia was predicted by him years ago, and it could not be averted. Chinese demographics aging out of existence is also something that cannot be averted (due to their one-child policy going on for far too long). One other thing that cannot be averted at this time is fertilizer shortages. There is going to be famine in 2023 and beyond. There's not enough food for the world. He's basically stating the obvious at this point.

Throw in "muh American labor market"

His world view is USA grounded because the US has the world's largest economy and also has all the materials it needs to increase economic output and a population to do it.

Oh ok let's hear your hour long public lecture on geopolitics

His view is inside the CIA and US military ech chamber, basically believes their own propaganda. If you think Russia "forgot fuel" I have a bridge to sell you

tl;dr: It's going to suck the least in the Americas.

US has the best geography and the BEST demography, no other country has such a large Millennium demographic, this on itself is the key factor of what Peter says, and I'm not saying this because I'm American, I'm not, but I can clearly see their advantage here.

No one really knows what’s gonna happen to bitcoin.

I guess you didn’t see the talk he gave to the offshore oil drillers. He basically told them to learn to code.

@@BeatsAndMeats do you have a link to the video?

@@BeatsAndMeats Learn to code? The AI will take all coding jobs. Learn to weld and plumb.

@@immortaljanus Yes!!! Learn to weld, smelt iron and copper, and build scaffolding.

Zeihan is 6'4 or 6'5

Accept he's completely off on everything he says, 😆 🤣 😂

@@nazihater2798 and you know this how? Your PhD is in what?

@@JonathanLoganPDX what did he say that was correct? LOL!@ That guy is a military industrial complex talking head. I have 22 years of active duty military service as an Intel analyst. He knows nothing he speaks of LOL.. I know a spook when I hear one.

@@JonathanLoganPDX turn off CNN.. everything they ate saying is a lie.. who do you think has murdered over 20,000 women and children in Ukraine since 2014? Tell me who you think has Bern shelling and bombing eastern Ukraine for 9 years.

I'm still waiting.... who has been shelling, bombing , raping and murdering women and children of the Donbas for the past 9 years straight... it does not take even a H.S. diploma to know the answer to that one. Come on Jon, who has been conducting genocide on the people of eastern Ukraine for the past 9 years? Tell us all 😆 🤣 😂... I guarantee you are too ignorant to know the answer, or you know the answer and cannot say because you know Zelenskyy is a FASCIST Nazi conducting genocide on the people of eastern Ukraine.

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@ROSEGARDNERBIS

Is he funnier or just more insulting?

@@NancyLebovitz He is funny, period. Although I wouldn't gamble on buying the national lottery based on his predictions. Especially with China and his countless predictions on her economic collapses

and/or

@@yoyolim538 Spoken like a true wolf worrier.

@@NancyLebovitz cry more

Same. Being raised out in the sticks gives you a since of self reliance and freedom which people who live in the cities and suburbs have no concept of. When something breaks they just call a guy or go buy another whatever. I don't think the cities ever had it in any real capacity (freedom), with more people in close proximity more laws are necessary and with more laws comes less freedom. The suburbs used to but have long since gone the way of urbanization, which is why they are for the majority voting Democrat by 30 plus points or so.

@@bpoole99251 EXACTLY!

We were horrified and annoyed by the way many of the Millennials were raised (e.g. participation trophies) so it isn't surprising that we'd take a different approach.

The Texas "energy issue" happened because they refuse to create a market for storage because they steal oil.

@@benjamindees huh? Steal oil? Not sure what that even means. Texas produces oil. There is truth to the storage part of your argument - which is completely related to the power grid having too high of fluctuations. They had massive amounts of wind and solar without any storage and no baseline capacity.