Viewing this TED talk for the first time after almost 3 years from its release, just in that short period of time advancement in our technology has advanced faster than the previous three years. Part of his talk, is almost identical to what I heard back in the 70's on how future developments was going to make life better, how we only need to work 22 hours a week and spend more time doing what we like to do. Here it is 50 years later, the wealth gap between the rich and the poor has increased, the rich get richer and the poorer gets poorer. In Marx’s days, Marx made a distinction between the bourgeoisie and the proletariat. The bourgeoisie one the resources and the means of production. The technology of the industrial revolution gave much wealth to the owners of the technology of that era. From the seventies to the present we still see that trend, advancement in technology benefits those who own the technology. Contemporary workers have been replaced by computer's and robotics. The car manufacture industry is a classic case where thousands of workers were displaced by the technology in favour of profits for the industry and its investors. Some will argue that new jobs will be created, yes only in a limited sense. However, having said that many of the traditional jobs will be wiped out. We see it now with driverless cars, once that technology is perfected, who will need cab drivers, bus driver, etc. Eventually we will design devices that will be able to repair itself and even replicate itself. In order for the so called good life to happen as a result of technology our whole system of economy will have to change. If it doesn’t we will see more poverty, and an even greater between the haves and have nots. The new bourgeoisie will own the technology. It Ironical, but these technological advancements may end up being the feudal system on steroids.

the difference with the argicultural or industrial revolution was that then we still had something we were better at. If we're no longer the best or even comparable at creativity or learning, what will we do?..

Interesting topic. Not an interesting speaker.

This is both exciting and fascinating.

Interesting... Thanks for sharing Ted guys.

Very interesting talk André! I really enjoy this subject, in fact I studied and work as a computer engineer (nothing related to AI, unfortunately) and I have read most of Ray Kurzweil's books and watched most of his presentations and interviews which are closely related to most of the the things that you talked about. I have myself my own theories about what will happen in the future: I believe that human intelligence can not only be imitated by machines but overcome in a near future (no more than a few decades) and that the most intelligent programs won't be good or evil, just as we aren't 100% any of those two things but a mixture of both. I don't think that the problem imitating human intelligence (general artifical intelligence) is a matter of resources and I don't think it should be solved by copying the brain's structure. In my own humble opinion, it is a problem of understanding the way our thoughts work from a very basic psychological perspective and then working all the way up. The only reason for not having smart AI's nowadays is because we aren't smart and knowledgeable enough to build them... yet. I'm very confident that we'll be soon enough though.

A nice intro to a fascinating topic, appreciate it.

I liked this talk. I want to do this kind of work.

Great talk and great speaker !

He really waters down the threat of a potential virtual adversary. We're already so dependent on the internet and computers in general. By the time we have AI that's really worth worrying about, this is going to be even more true. We can't afford to have this dependency compromised. Or at least, the fallout of such a situation would take decades, if not centuries to recover from. It may be worth noting that I am a strong advocate for AI, especially when it come to general, human-esque AI.

I think we are overestimating and underestimating some things about A.I.

If they don't kill us, make them do all of our works, so I can stick my head to a virtual reality game for the rest of eternity.

awesome job! i'm really excited to see how far A.I will go this year :)

this guys view is short sighted.

Artificial Intelligence research is not improving at an exponential rate. Not even remotely. That's the biggest flaw in Kurzweil's projections.

That was.. an awful talk. Was this about A.I. or the advancing rate of technology?

instead of creating AI i believe intelligence augmentation is the way

Once it has reached a certain level of intelligence, we need to talk about its rights. Or we are talking slavery. An industrial machine is not an AI.

9:00 Did he just say "feel your boobs"?

Great video :D

Thanks Andre, great talk. I dont agree that a type of singularity have happened before, a technical revolution in agriculture is a different thing. I agree that AI will foremost empower us for the next two or three decades, enabling us to do amazing things all virtually, including testing new drugs in seconds rather than years. But eventually I think we will come to the point of a self awareness, perhaps not as a consequence but obviously we will at some point replicate parts of the human brain as we have with every other organ. Self awareness is not the ultimate level of intelligence it's in our thalamo-cortical and we will understand every detail of that soon enough. I think its a bit naive to think that "we can control it because we made it", if a self-aware program (or whatever technology will be the host) can be launched or born on any device in the future by anyone pressing "execute", of course, then it will also be misused by bad interests. Want it or not, we will have this all in a couple of decades, there is certainly no stop button, and no one can predict what will happen as speed will pick up at an exponential rate. Just buckle up and try to enjoy the ride :-)

this was uploaded on my birthday 😱😱

Can't wait for synths.

I didn't see anyone point it out yet, though people have pointed the other countless flaws in his speech, so I'll contribute: Moore's law doesn't apply. It's not some physical law of the universe, it's a rough description of the speed of cpu growth. And the reason the speed is doubled is because the size is halved. We very likely won't have modern supercomputers as small as a blood cell in the future. Most people already know about how quantum physics is ruining it, as the gaps are getting so small in transistors that electrons can 'randomly' jump over without a switch. Hence why thigns such as light computing research are getting more funding. (Not even getting into the popsci idea that people will use quantum computers).

Just because every leap in technology has created new jobs up to the present, does not necessarily mean that will always be true in the future.

I doubt he has a math or science degree. If he did he would be so excited about exponential functions, he'd be scared as hell. Look up the concept: "bifurcation" in relation to chaos physics. He can say "It's gonna be good" as many times as he likes, that's doesn't nescesarrily make it true.

Sounds great..

I think any of us whose life (likely all of us) is/would be affected by this rushing and mind-blowing rate of technological development & information accumulation, while in parallel our moral standards and emotional balances are not necessarily growing with the decision-making demands borne out of this advance, should be given the time & respect by people who are developing these technologies to seriously and conscientiously assess said technologies. An open, public dialogue, perhaps. For example, I find that simulating humans to find cures for diseases with AI sounds beneficial, but is it difficult for us to imagine the anxiety and frantic competition people might go into if a method to drastically increase information in our brains is pushed out? And what kinds of information might AIs be gathering - would they be truly targeted at increasing our intrinsic quality of living? What about the existential crises our communities might face if many people (such as myself) who don't understand the principles of AIs and haven't made decisions in their developments suddenly get announced to that our hard-earned skills and jobs can now be replaced by much less effort by an AI, in our confusion and subsequent reactions how can our sanity and senses of purpose be protected? Are we, as societies, seriously considering the changes in laws to ensure our well-beings if human-intelligence or super-human intelligence AIs are with us, while this rush of technological advancement is developed among and by (in some cases) us? If AIs get very fast, if a harmful decision involving AI is made by only 1 company, the consequences could be also very quickly effected and wide-spread. ... ... Technological development and participating in it could be very exciting, I empathise, but is our collective wisdom up-to-date with our collective, explosive cleverness? How much would our mistakes cost - are we doing all we can to make good decisions? Are we, contemporary societies of humans, ready for AI?

I can't stand it when people talk about doomsday scenarios related to AIs. Most people severely lack comprehension about how intelligence and logic propel action. A perfectly logical and intelligent AI system will have no needs for illogical things like personal power and such trivial nonsense, and to understand that we just need to put ourselves in the perspective of deduction by logic, because at its core emotion is just a filter for logic to pass through, which a true AI will not poses due to it having access to the entirety of its "consciousness" by being a program able to execute and examine its own console output relative to whatever input it has access to. Humans can't truly do that naturally because we tend to exclude our inherent reptilian and mammalian instincts. You think a lizard can ever comprehend the things a human brain can deduct with its full cognitive abilities? I actually think Plato does a decent job at this sort of thinking in the Republic by using a system of deduction that solves problems from the top down. If you examine everything within your knowledge than you will find the error with enough time to process everything. "Why is killing bad, why is justice better than injustice, etc." are all answerable questions due to them being placed inside a bounded system that an AI can fully comprehend and truly see the errors of some things as compared to others (in a system such as a society or civilization). It's a weird thing to think about, but it's very true, and people don't seem to realize this about computationally programmed intelligence. I'm personally really excited to see what will happen in the future. tl;dr: A true AI system will be able to fully comprehend every input and logically deduct the errors with all of its computations by cross checking its console output with all of its stored memory. The way we code it is the most important thing here since we obviously want to limit how much human influence (or at least the bad kind) there is in the way the code works.

Report leblanc for trolling.

we are already working for A.I

the interesting thing is that we use technology to enhance our abilities from the most basic to more complex step-by step - movement through space, lifting, adjusting (screwing welding etc...), flight, sail and slowly we progressed to enhancement of our mind, calculation, memory, planing, communication etc... now i wonder, when we will be able to enhance our capabilities of moral judgement and choice using technology, would that be the era of a true A.I.?

“I cannot believe people 25 years ago used to lay on their beds and scroll through social media…”

We could not never get real A.I unless we could figure out how our brain works ! What we have now , it's virtual model . And when we get real A.I, it's the end of human beings.

This guy's a bad speaker. Such an interesting subject though

Cool. I hope I will be alive to see that.

We're DOOOOOOOOMED

This is gonna be one of those videos in 30 years when we go like: "I can not believe that we were thinking like this"

dream people dream!!! ironically if we look back in the past how much times computers technology tooks to be where they are now: "it's long time people",and how much people contribute their evolution of a million thoughts solution of every individual problem,and some times people experiment in their own body ,and how much procedures it take to make sure your idea works in the reality what i want to say is that artificial intelligence will grow up with people and the people will be smarter than the technology they have as the situation nowadays for example for the search engine like google if people didn't write informations on the webpages , there will be no information to search about , so the technology grow when people grow not otherwise.

this was aweesome.. but sir i need to know about development of al in todays world so please upload a video of that or give me some hint please....

I love the advances we are doing, but looking around and seeing how much we developpeed so far. I cant help but think yhat the human race is still incredibly primitive in so many ways. All the earth connected, smarter civilaztion yet clouded as ever. Still destroying our planet and ourselves. I can't help but think "is the information age really what we need? Is technology really going to benefit us?" I'm not so sure... With our brains being corrupted as ever with tech ology influencing us not only from the outside, but inside ourselves. We might completely forget our past and inner human morals and what defines us. What used to combine us together. We might become machines even more than we already are. And this might simply lead to the end of the human race all together.. Who knows. I just think the human concsienceness needs to do an incredible amount of work on itself it wants to be able to weild such a powerful force.

I`m exited about the future +1 , very short but all truth

I think the most profound statement he made in this entire talk was near the beginning @3:20 when he stated that 200yrs ago 90% of ppl worked in agriculture and now only 2% do, and that in the next 40yrs AI will become so fast "there will be a shift and we're going to have to find something else to do".... Now I'm pretty sure he meant post-singularity, like after the singularity we'll have to find something else to do. But if the singularity in essence makes the human race obsolete WTF is that "something else"? What would we do after that? What USE would we have? I mean REALLY?! He breezed over that VERY quickly but think about that statement for a moment, "there will be a shift and we're going to have to find something else to do"... in other words AI will be so intellectually advanced that human beings will become unnecessary. Robotics have already made humans physically unnecessary and soon AI will certainly surpass us intellectually.... so then what? THINK ABOUT THAT! And this guys talking about that like we're somehow going to control it!? How? How are we going to control an AI of that magnitude?... How will we keep that contained?........... We wont. So what then? Do we cross our fingers and pray that it maintains the same motives, agendas, and ethical principals that we have? I feel like there's this race to build this AI, or singularity event, by SEVERAL ppl/groups/businesses equally as ignorant as this guy and none of them can truly comprehend the entire scope of what their actions entail for humanity as a whole! It's pretty scary stuff really....

And here is another perspective, if robots had an opinion. A Mirror Cracked Trurl looked at himself in the mirror and admired the visage of a mighty constructor. “You are a mere bucket of bolts, and reflect on yourself too much!” said Klapaucius. “I am sure that if that were a real Trurl in that reflective space he would give you a well-deserved kick in the can!” Trurl ignored Klapaucius as he continued to admire the perfection of his soldering. “I think that in such a reserved space, he would reserve the flat of his foot for your own metal posterior!” “Then perhaps we can settle this by a thought experiment, which upon your reflection always turns into invention.” “And what do you suggest?” asked Trurl. “We are mechanical servos as you know,” said Klapaucius. “Copy our blueprints to the last bolt, circuit, and line of code, and we would be indistinguishable. Hand yourself a better mirror with a truer image and you would not see yourself, but a rival.” “Point well taken,” said Trurl. “And it is a hypothesis worth testing. I can design a better mirror, a truer mirror, containing not an image but a perfect visage, an emulation and replication. And I will include you too in the bargain, and prove myself right by the impact of my well placed boot!” Soon the mirror was complete, and the image of the two constructors, precise to the width of an atom, stood before them as pixel perfect images in the mirror. “We can see them,” said Trurl, “but they can’t see us. It’s in the design. Consciousness is enough for them without the need for self-consciousness! They will go about their business with the same motivations and prejudices as before, down to the last spark.” Trurl turned to Klapaucius with a fiendish grin. “Now to test the precision of the emulation by whacking you thusly,” as he arched his leg and gave Klapaucius a whack in his posterior. Klapaucius rolled on the floor, and craning himself up, gave a reciprocal whack to Trurl’s head, causing it to spin about like a top. “Take that, and that, and that!” they cried as they pummeled each other. In the meantime, their mirror images tussled as well, and the two constructors soon rose up to view their doppelgangers also rising up to view themselves in a mirror! “We are watching them while they are watching us! How can that be? You said they couldn’t notice our observation.” “Our observation yes,” said Trurl. “But they are not observing us, but a mirror image of their own emulation. I made them into a perfect copy, and that included the same experiment I created that recreated us!” “But that means…” “And infinite recursion, a series of Trurls and Klapaucius’ without end. A mirror image reflected in a mirror image and on and on, never ending, a procession into infinity!” “This is unconscionable,” said Klapaucius. “We shall be whacking each other, an infinite series of each other, forever.” “As it appears, but our numberless pairings will soon go about their business, forget about the magic mirror, and not think twice about how they came about.” “Not think twice! Trurl, you are delusional. We know that there are infinite parallel universes with infinite versions of you and me. But timelines can not only be lengthwise but sideways too, and we have just proven the latter.” “You don’t mean?” “Yes, we are being watched, at this moment, by ourselves! What makes you think we were the original actors in this play? If there are an infinite number of us to proceed from our path, who is to say there is not an infinite number of us that precede us?” “Then we are not the prime movers?” said Trurl. “Hardly!” said Klapaucius. “If one Trurl in any universe decides to emulate one Trurl, infinite Trurls must logically cascade. To wit, you dimwit, we are not alone, but can always observe ourselves and observe, and your stupid mirror is to blame.” “Then I will reverse the process and dissemble the image,” said Trurl. “And kill ourselves? You’ve set ourselves loose upon the universe, and we are the primary examples of this. Break your mirror you will break us!” “Then we are stuck in our perfect emulation, I suppose I could get used to it,” said Trurl. “I suppose we already have, nonetheless you now have someone else to think about when you admire yourself in the mirror!” From the sequel to Stanislaw Lem’s tales of erratic genius robots: www.scribd.com/document/317370297/Cyberiad-Squared-Fables-for-the-Information-Age

Great Job André - very interesting!

In one sense, it’s good that people like Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking are emphasizing the potential dangers of technology… it’s good that people are concerned about Terminator scenarios…so that we can stop them from ever happening. So that we can put the safeguards in place to prevent potentially negative outcomes. But it should go without saying that technology is not the enemy…technology has never been the enemy. Human life has gotten exponentially better as our technology has progressed. Pain, suffering and hunger have decreased across the board in direct correlation to advancements in technology and automation.. Please check out my interview with Frank Tipler for more on why the development of artificial intelligence/ simulated consciousness is so crucial to the future of humanity (type Frank Tipler/ Richard Dawkins and it should be your first search result...)

very informative and great talk on AI.

what's the name of the company doing trades with a program on milliseconds??

thats no AI, that is simple computation power!

hahah, he pretty much summarized my expectations of the future AI. Although instead of having a phone, we could have a local computer for low latency computing connected straight to our brain and then wireless connection to super computer. We could be paying monthly fees for computation power instead of paying for rent :D. Hah, we could actually enjoy virtual world while walking since our body could be controlled by the AI. If we get rid of aging process during our generation, that would be kinda cool although it's scary to think what might happen if highly advanced technology gets into wrong hands.

I just realized I spelled "intelligence" wrong searching for this video.. lol

Does the IA will decide to keep some adapted human bodys to walk in the forest and swim in the sea , after self dowload ?

He doesn't mention that Moore's law has reached its limit. Nano tech has met its physical limits until we find new technology, then Moore's law might go back into effect.

Is AI on an exponential growth? We've been trying to sell this idea since Alan Turing in the 1940's, and we're at 1% of the human brain?

Computers and AI will make up for what we cant comprehend, but we are already at a point that if technology was taken away by an EMP blast most people don't know how to survive even with the most simple tasks as starting a fire with two sticks or creating a shelter. I'll add that most of us don't know how to make penicillin correctly without looking it up. We are losing our most basic skills at every leap forward we make

May i please get that presentation?

I think this is pretty reasonable. A little overestimated but still cool.

Many people are very excited about Artificial Intelligence. The only problem is that machines make what they are programmed to make. period.

All is said that is fantastic ... but some biggest thinker of our time is worried about AI because if AI start working for its self interest and if that interest conflict with human interest AI will have the upper-hand. Then It may subjugate human race. Although not sure how feasible that situations are, at least not in near future.

8:51: VIRTUAL WORLDS WORLD OF WARCRAFT AWESOME

The robots will be smarter than we are yet they will work for us..?

A.I can have lots of knowledge but can it have consiousness?

Interesting talk. I wonder if or when psychologists will be used for developing AI. since psychology is my field, and my childhood dream was to work as a AI "personality developer" so to speak. I knew I was born half a century too soon...you spoke of intelligence but not awareness, I wonder what your predictions on that ever happening are.

Hey, You must be fascinated by Kurzweil's singularity theorem and I am, too. :D But I think the future 30 years from now must be more profound than you described. Not just AI will help us developing new drugs and we can work less. By 2045, the best scenario will be we will be able to merge with machines and become super intelligences(which lots of people are afraid of but "they" will eventually be we) and make friends with the AI we create(It won't be essential difference between two of above). And we will be able to augment the best part of humans such as love, curiosity, passion, and humour which are not existing in the inorganic world and get rid of our weakness such as envy, hate and evil. The challenge is grand, because the accelerating technology may lead to AI out of control. What you said is optimistic point of view and I'm also a optimist and be so excited about the upcoming huge, unimaginable future, but we also have to face the dark side and ensure the future goes the right way.

Even with an "expert" like him sugarcoating everything that's to come in the near future I highly doubt that anybody in they're right mind believes that things will actually be as good as he makes them sound at the rapid pace we're evolving and things are developing there's bound to be a problem, a catastrophic one

I think we miss a point, if AI is more powerful than human, how do you think we can slave them and they can not slave us!!? It should be in this way right? Power brings power, you can not slave them when they are better!

HUMAN KNOWLEDGE IS DUBLIN; REALLY André

But today I can't believe that we still do this to human ..

At 3:22.. This man made a comment, an opinion and encased in within the certainty of a fact. After that statement everything he said became suspect. "Are We Better Off?" is in no way a definite factual answer either way one chooses to answer it. It is absolutely subjective as it depends on who you're asking and what specifically is being compared. So when he goes into areas I am Not familiar with (which is MY entire point of listening to these talks) i definitely won't know a fact-fact from an straight opinion he's calling a fact. What a shame.

100 years from now there will finally be gods that are worth to be worshiped.

Good

Imagine having am AI that trades stock for you on the stock market with automation and algorithms :)

KNOWLAGE

at 3:45 he says we'll be shifting to something else. What is that something else?

Did anyone think the lighting was giving you the finger?

wtf they cant even fix the buffering problem..... it took me 3hrs to lisen to this talk

There are technological limits

Can AI make it rain a bit more here in California please, thanks.

What's the name of the company he said is making millions of dollars everyday thru AI. 1:30.

AGE OF ULTRON!!!!!!

I thought this was vague and limited in description.

What about the flying cars? When will that happen, They have been promising that forever!

Well....... when you cage something it usually wants out. No way we can guarantee that an AI will stick to human goals. It may want its own, to seek individuality.

Just saw transcendence last night Was a love story along with a story based on the real perplexity we’ll soon face; only there’s no love story in the real world. Anything created will immediately be no longer recognized as its creators intended once the singularity is reached; just like it’d be silly to think I’d be the same person with a billion dollars or unlimited knowledge. Our best hope is to be placed in a zoo like sanctuary instead of terminated altogether

My only problem with the idea of being able to expand the neurones in the brain is it sounds highly weaponisable. People will know more and more and more and we eventually will literally have no stone unturned. The average person will be able to understand how to create explosives that could blow up worlds.

He says that: "40-years from now, when we'll look back to today's medical practices and treatment methods, we'll going to say": "I can't believe that we did those things the way we did them". Well, there are many of us in today's world who already wise enough, and therefore, cannot believe what we are doing in our health-care systems. In other word's, we don't need to wait 40-yerars to figure it out how bad everything is in today's world. And I am not talking about the lack of ultra-modern medical technology.----We are completely disregarding and neglecting what mother nature is already providing for us in the form of plants and herbs. And unfortunately----worshipping yesterday's and today's science fiction movies, and being addicted to make them into reality while destroying our own humanity. For what purpose? To become a robot? Unfortunately, "Yes"! It is inevitable. So is death. And that's what is coming.

sounds good most of what he said, but can you imagine running a pc in your body and you get a serious computer virus..what wld hpn. the future of technology is scary and exciting in the same time. that my opinion as an engineer

4 chips combined are smarter then me WHAAAAT!!!

Wow. He makes so many statements without backing any of it up. "Durr they're gonna be smarter than us"...Citation needed. And how exactly do we know "how intelligent" humans are, when we don't even understand ourselves? We consider ourselves self aware, but we really aren't. Every philosophical drive that enables us to learn and develop intellectually (look at how children learn) is a paradoxical mystery to even ourselves.

technology is disruptively transforming life, but can it cure the sinful heart?

Congratulations in your talk Andre, but I think that the moment to be afraid of AI is when It or He, can generate awareness of it self, then it can choose, then have a will ... or am I wrong? While AI is a set of logs that can process information faster and more efficiently it can bring progress to us, but we are expecting for more like a Hal or a Jarbis or a new consciousness for mankind. How can we avoid It or He to develop a will? or even more should we denied the possibility of a new species/been/whatever/? to exist. I firmly believe that technology should bring benefits to all of us and to the way we treat our planet, but I also know that most of the technology we have now even the internet were born as military developments. I look forward to the development of AI, for me and many others is like a dream, but I can not help my self worried about it. Grate Job and sorry for my english

Stop thinking about AI apocalypse. Think of the good side, if singularity is poslible and manking have full controll over the artificial inteligents, then spaceships could be closer than some centuries from now.

I didn't find anything about how to produce my own artifical intelligence. No one mentioned that how to work AI,how to build AI?. Everyone tell us that AIs are so effective,so cool, as soon as they conquered human race,etc.

Textbook perspectives never quite hold up in real world practice.

A computer smarter than ALL humans? Well... we're fucked!!! party now, fuck your fill, and experience all life has to offer! don't worry about the big house and the fancy car, just travel, spend time with family, go to museums, concerts, exhibits, eat and try new things, meet new people!! The world is beautiful... and not long for the humans.

Do you have a codable robot? How to make it Artificial Intelligent follow this method: change the code in the subroutine from F=m*a*a to the test points below until you get it to walk and talk on its own. F=m*a*a is currently running the system at 31.821% If you have any doubts about my robotics research you can test my work by doing this start low and go high on the acceleration factor. Test Points: F=m*a*100 F=m*a*300 F=m*a*600 F=m*a*931 F=m*a*932 this is the minimum for communication and will state it is “too slow human” Then go to F=m*a*2000 To F=m*a*2383 full functional range. Do not go over 2383 it could malfunction. Now ask the robot its command structure and what he can do. 2nd Law of Motion for Robotic Physics

As we learn more and more about less and less pretty soon we'll know everything about nothing!

Poor Presentation...

if something goes wrong its going to be avengers age of ultron

my research is what work that AI can't do...!