Du warst weitestgehend richtig die letzten Jahre zum Thema Bitcoin ❤🎉
@Lou-xd9ef4 ай бұрын
PlanB has lost the plot on the last run, he never sold. He's been done for a while. Nice run though.
@ypey14 ай бұрын
its pretty obvious the model cannot hold in the long term. It is simply impossible because flow eventualy will go to zero and dividing by zero will make the price go to invinity. The only question is, when wil it divert.
@ftapon4 ай бұрын
Agreed 💯 my video gives the answer. The diversion starts now and will be obvious by 2026 and beyond
@MinMax1233 ай бұрын
Hmm as far as I understand, the flow will never go to 0. Since bitcoin is infinitely divisible, it will continue halving infinitely. Remember, if a bitcoin is lost, it can never be recovered. The eventual decrease in bitcoin due to loss combined with the halvings decreasing the flow, it's very possible this model could continue holding into the medium future
@ftapon3 ай бұрын
@@MinMax123 the flow goes to zero around 2140. But the models will all break well before 2040.
@coomcake2 ай бұрын
@@MinMax123Btc is not infinitely divisible. Only down to 1 sat. The block reward does eventually become zero at total supply saturation, the only mining revenues will be fees. That happens sooner than at 1 sat reward. But even if it didn't, the reward would "halve" from 1 sat to zero. There are no half sats.
@Jswell_4 ай бұрын
But what about BlackRock, Fidelity, Microstrategies, and all the other countries buying up all the bitcoin? Won't that make this cycle different ?
@ftapon4 ай бұрын
Great question. In theory, if enough buyers materialize, BTC can zoom to $1-5 million by 2030. But given the logarithmic regression and the law of diminishing returns, this scenario is extremely unlikely, which is why the S2F models will fail. But those entities you mentioned will take us to 6 figures. It's just that S2F needs 7 figures this decade.