Canada's long-term economic outlook

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BNN Bloomberg

BNN Bloomberg

Ай бұрын

James Orlando, director and senior economist at TD Economics, joins BNN Bloomberg to share his economic outlook amid rate uncertainty.
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Пікірлер: 123
@HarryArnold-tq8sx
@HarryArnold-tq8sx 8 күн бұрын
The rising interest rate can surely control inflation, but won't prevent erosion of the eroding purchasing power of the US dollar. I have learnt my lesson this time. The banks can't be making money off my money, while inflation eats into it. I have set aside 650k to invest in the stock market now, since that keeps up with inflation, but I don't know how to get started.
@billclint-g9n
@billclint-g9n 8 күн бұрын
Investing without proper guidance can lead to mistakes and losses. I've learned this from my own experience.If you're new to investing or don't have much time, it's best to get advice from an expert.
@AlejandroDiego-g9m
@AlejandroDiego-g9m 8 күн бұрын
Many people minimise the importance of counsel until their own feelings become overwhelming. A few summers ago, following a protracted divorce, I needed a significant push to keep my firm solvent. I looked for licenced advisors and found someone with the highest qualifications. She has contributed to my reserve increasing from $275k to $850k despite inflation.
@BarryKeys-o6p
@BarryKeys-o6p 8 күн бұрын
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@AlejandroDiego-g9m
@AlejandroDiego-g9m 8 күн бұрын
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@shukriAmad
@shukriAmad 8 күн бұрын
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@sainathb3149
@sainathb3149 Ай бұрын
Let's keep talking about rate cuts rather than addressing the source of the problem. An economy built around housing is a ponzie scheme, not a G7 country.
@solongsucka
@solongsucka Ай бұрын
feel free to leave
@notastone4832
@notastone4832 Ай бұрын
built around housing, corruption and immigration... yeah id say its a ponzi scheme
@PaulK-el9zx
@PaulK-el9zx Ай бұрын
Agree 100%
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 Ай бұрын
Maybe we need to learn from places like Germany and France where I hear they are just as productive as the United States and have their own industries. But also have much better work life balance, better public health, and more affordable living costs.
@notastone4832
@notastone4832 Ай бұрын
@@abcdedfg8340 lol you mean two countries with economies in free fall just like canada? you want to copy them?
@michael2275
@michael2275 Ай бұрын
Wouldn't invest a dime until Trudeau is gone
@ransom182
@ransom182 Ай бұрын
lol overdramatic much? You're not a very smart investor if you're trying to game the market. Focus on what you can control, and tune out the toxic political BS.
@michael2275
@michael2275 Ай бұрын
@@ransom182 Lots of better places to invest. Trudeau is a major impediment to capital coming to Canada.
@ransom182
@ransom182 Ай бұрын
@@michael2275 there are record levels of foreign investment coming into Canada. I'm not a Liberal but I do follow actual facts, not polical outrage farming.
@michael2275
@michael2275 Ай бұрын
@@ransom182 No, US is sucking up much more of the investment flows. Just look at the CAD/USD. FDI is weak for many years. That’s why productivity is so weak and a big part of why real GDP per capita is shrinking for 7 quarters straight in Canada.
@Iliinois18
@Iliinois18 Ай бұрын
This guy is delusional.....
@philshyu5248
@philshyu5248 Ай бұрын
He drank the Trudeau/Singh Freeland koolaid. He's overlooking all of rising taxes and all of the new taxes being introduced and the added bureaucracy that is slowing everything down. Money and capital spending is going elsewhere to look for better returns.
@richardli5530
@richardli5530 Ай бұрын
Based on his age, he probably thinks that 5.25% is ultra high interest. Poor kid never read history.
@OzzeyfromVek
@OzzeyfromVek Ай бұрын
he certainly is
@esparda07
@esparda07 Ай бұрын
Same guys applauding the rate cuts last month only to have inflation increase shortly after lol.
@scottblackburn2969
@scottblackburn2969 Ай бұрын
Inflation still at 4.2 4.6 percent per month. Higher than us.
@muzammelhaquemukul7089
@muzammelhaquemukul7089 Ай бұрын
TD bank forecaster?!! Couldn’t even forecast their own fate after money laundering 😅
@finleysterling562
@finleysterling562 22 күн бұрын
I wonder what the best opportunities to invest now are, there are opinions but a little later I find out these opinions don't matter as a totally different turn of events play out with the stocks they discussed therein...
@leedavis3639
@leedavis3639 22 күн бұрын
If you’re new to investing or have a more complex financial situation, It can be helpful to work with a financial advisor who can provide personalized guidance and help you make informed investment decisions.
@SamehGalal-bj5ni
@SamehGalal-bj5ni 22 күн бұрын
Even with the right technique and assets some investors would still make more than others, as an investor, you should’ve known that by now, nothing beats experience and that’s final, personally I had to reach out to a market analyst for guidance which is how I was able to grow my account close to a million, withdraw my profit right before the correction and now I’m buying again.
@darrenphilip247
@darrenphilip247 22 күн бұрын
That's correct. At first, I wasn't too pleased with my gains compared to my previous performances, I was doing so poorly, I thought I needed to diversify into better assets, so I got in touch with an investment-advisor. That same year, I pulled a net gain of 550k, which is about 10 times more than I average on.
@finleysterling562
@finleysterling562 22 күн бұрын
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?.
@darrenphilip247
@darrenphilip247 22 күн бұрын
Ethan Grayson is one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. He's widely recognized; you should look him up.
@rando9564
@rando9564 Ай бұрын
Is he talking about the same Canada? delulu to the max
@TooBadToBeAway1
@TooBadToBeAway1 29 күн бұрын
Indeed. The growth of an economy is not SOLELY due to interest rates. Raising the capital gains tax sends the wrong message to investors.
@WildDisease72
@WildDisease72 Ай бұрын
This guy and Warren Buffet have more confidence in Canada than Canadians
@ar6888
@ar6888 Ай бұрын
I'm not buying this assumption. US is going to continue to out perform Canada period. Nothing analysts say can change that fact.
@evadeanu1
@evadeanu1 Ай бұрын
Absolutely!
@philipsimmonds1103
@philipsimmonds1103 Ай бұрын
​@evadeanu1 US isn't trading crude on usd anymore they can no longer leverage their debt like the used to.
@evadeanu1
@evadeanu1 Ай бұрын
@@philipsimmonds1103 that’s true, but at least they produce and progress. We unfortunately don’t.
@philipsimmonds1103
@philipsimmonds1103 Ай бұрын
@@evadeanu1 once the incompetence is removed it will b a massive new landscape
@nicktw8688
@nicktw8688 Ай бұрын
Most Americans are suffering from inflation; Canada silver lining are our social programs and other nice things like universal pharmacare/dental/childcare ect…
@MGTOWPsyche
@MGTOWPsyche Ай бұрын
Americans can deduct mortgage interest and consumer interest on credit cards on their taxes, compared to Canadians who can't deduct consumer interest on their taxes!
@nicktw8688
@nicktw8688 Ай бұрын
Dude. Canada has a better credit rating than the USA. 😂
@manjitkumar5461
@manjitkumar5461 Ай бұрын
@@nicktw8688 That’s not what they said in the comment.
@manjitkumar5461
@manjitkumar5461 Ай бұрын
This!! And somehow you can do that if it’s a rental property but not your own residence.
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn 26 күн бұрын
They can also tax deduct their property taxes.
@fennugreek-gs5zb
@fennugreek-gs5zb 25 күн бұрын
No they can’t. You can only deduct your mortgage IF the amount of interest is more than the standard deduction. So only people with huge mortgages land here. And you cannot deduct consumer debt. I have no idea where you get that nugget.
@prinnyexplodes
@prinnyexplodes Ай бұрын
Lower interest rates does not mean economic growth always ... It is a lot more complicated.
@oz3906
@oz3906 Ай бұрын
Keep dreaming ! This channel is more of a comedy for economics, affordability is everything ! 25 % of the housing belongs to the investors, you will learn that not the government not the central bank are in charge! Inflation is !
@scottblackburn2969
@scottblackburn2969 Ай бұрын
One household disaster and you are finished here
@jerryfz
@jerryfz Ай бұрын
lol cutting is because of weak eco. This argument is the same as devaluing the Canadian dollars to boost economic development.
@marcb3097
@marcb3097 Ай бұрын
The fact they cut once doesn't mean they are in a "cutting cycle". Inflation just went up again.
@PaulK-el9zx
@PaulK-el9zx Ай бұрын
Lower interest rates and high immigration are only going to make it worse for housing.
@trails3597
@trails3597 Ай бұрын
Predicting 2.5% is bonkers.
@beautanner8409
@beautanner8409 20 күн бұрын
"That'll be a significant tailwind to Canadians: we'll have less of our disposable income going to mortgage payments" - at a time when house prices are so high that they are defined as being "impossibly affordable". Yep, there's a privileged segment of Canadian society who aren't sensitive to the current extremely high prices, and this is a massive windfall for them. For much of Canadian society, this is an utter catastrophe.
@Michael-pg7rv
@Michael-pg7rv Ай бұрын
It sickens me that American's are able to lock in a mortgage rate for 30 years while in Canada the best we can do is 5 years. I really think that this should be changed. It is so hard to plan your future not knowing what your mortgage rate is going to be be 5 years or less at any given point. I would love to see this increase even by a year or two. It would make a big difference to so many young Canadians trying to chart out their lives.
@marv8461
@marv8461 16 күн бұрын
10 years in my case with HSBC, BUT, HSBC is history....
@sylvainh2o
@sylvainh2o Ай бұрын
Sure such a good Tailwind when our dollar fell to 73 cents and more rate cut = Cad dollar value falling even more. Canada sucks at giving incentive for companies to establish themselves in Canada and Quebec anti English laws are costing everyone so many jobs. I wish Quebec would be free and not a slave to French language and that's coming from someone that is a French Quebecor!
@WildDisease72
@WildDisease72 Ай бұрын
Canadians dont have as much confidence in their country as this guy and Warren Buffet
@chozinthet6366
@chozinthet6366 Ай бұрын
I am not sure if me and the people in comments are being pessimistic or the economic forecasters are delutional.
@guigram1124
@guigram1124 Ай бұрын
This outlook probably takes into account that we will have a change in leadership next year
@vhateverlie
@vhateverlie Ай бұрын
So we're going to turn the Canadian dollar into the Canadian Peso, keep housing prices high at the expense of the currency all Canadians are forced to use...
@oussamaalaoui9121
@oussamaalaoui9121 26 күн бұрын
An economy based on housing is not a stable economy
@beautanner8409
@beautanner8409 20 күн бұрын
"There's more certainty in Canada" - yes, a huge segment of the population will certainly never own a home, and all the vulnerability that goes along with that.
@veronicadicerni2479
@veronicadicerni2479 Ай бұрын
Love this guys positivity 😅 I’ll have what he’s having!
@andrewcrook2240
@andrewcrook2240 Ай бұрын
Hopium
@jessefaw
@jessefaw 28 күн бұрын
This forecast is assuming that interest rates will be lowered to 3.5% by the end of this year. They need to cut every single meeting for that to happen. I doubt it
@dirtlump
@dirtlump Ай бұрын
2.25% is NOT HAPPENING ! It's called maintaining a positive BoC rate in real terms above the 'zero bound' 2% Inflation target.... and the BoC is pretty much stuck given the now 'debasement' based nature of further DEBT expansion(already ~$3+ Trillion Mortgage/Consumer) unsupported in 'future' GDP/GDI servicing capacity which has been stagnant already 10+ years devoid of productivity growth.(canadian GDP barely ~$2 Trillion) This guy is sniff'in GLUE !
@Madyoke
@Madyoke 7 күн бұрын
As they said we won’t be able to build enough housing to improve affordability. We need massive productivity gains and a growing economy, not just overall GDP but per capita. Expensive housing is not a new phenomenon, it’s been too expensive for at least a decade. But under Harper’s covert, Canadians could get richer quicker. After a decade of Trudeau, no one wants to invest in Canada, NDP also strangles private capital where it has influence, we need to de regulate our economy and then drop corporation tax significantly, Americans are more productive then Canadians, we need to find other ways to offset that and attract investment, the Irish model is perfect but with less redistribution ideally.
@andrewcrook2240
@andrewcrook2240 Ай бұрын
I do agree about mortgage rates and amortization and tax benifots of usa vs Canada.
@brodieobrien-pickering2202
@brodieobrien-pickering2202 Ай бұрын
This channel is a joke
@foxtrotbravo1744
@foxtrotbravo1744 Ай бұрын
They have all kinds of guests on, yesterday Kevin O'Leary had the opposite take on the economy. It's up to you to use your noodle and sift through the various opinions.
@hbbstn
@hbbstn Ай бұрын
What he says is logical. If mortgage holders free up some of their disposable income, spending will increase. A lot of people in the comments are negative for other reasons.
@harrysr93
@harrysr93 Ай бұрын
What about higher taxes ?? that put us way behind in G7.
@ld1639
@ld1639 Ай бұрын
coping hard
@hbbstn
@hbbstn Ай бұрын
The housing market will not crash folks. Any government will do everything to keep it together. Forget about a dream correction where everything will be back to what it was. This is the new reality.
@dvk7277
@dvk7277 Ай бұрын
Money should be poured into family support. Let us grow our families and our ofspring will support Canada. Make living here the dream. Invest in Canada. If we do this, in less than 10 years we will see growth.
@dominiquechausson765
@dominiquechausson765 27 күн бұрын
the problem is people cant affort rent so they cant makes babies without houses :o
@dvk7277
@dvk7277 27 күн бұрын
@dominiquechausson765 True. However, that is why the Gov should give family assistance. Incentive with a return. Invest in us and make sure we invest back into Canada.
@DanielH874
@DanielH874 Ай бұрын
In my opinion this man does have the experience, education or foresight to see what is going on. Saying Canada is in a "cutting cycle" is ridiculous...... Either he has come onto the show to lie to us or he is clueless..... Either way this does not give me much confidence in TD.
@nicktw8688
@nicktw8688 Ай бұрын
It seems 75 cents is a good level for the canuck buck.
@jamesbilodeau8188
@jamesbilodeau8188 Ай бұрын
WHOOOEEE!! The graff shows Canada's growth between now and same time 2025, a whopping .4% . Four tenths of ONE percentage point. Not even half. We are all going to be RICH!!!!! Not.
@evadeanu1
@evadeanu1 Ай бұрын
Wishful thinking
@wayne4768
@wayne4768 22 күн бұрын
These are the lies. You cannot fix debt with more debt
@ehsankhateezyar
@ehsankhateezyar Ай бұрын
🌎
@hbbstn
@hbbstn Ай бұрын
2025 is next year. This is not a long term outlook.
@mrnoblemonkey8401
@mrnoblemonkey8401 12 күн бұрын
It is horrible being a young person in this country right now
@OzzeyfromVek
@OzzeyfromVek Ай бұрын
give me a break
@pavel0900
@pavel0900 26 күн бұрын
Canadians can thank Trudeau for getting us to where we are today - poorer than ever before and miserable
@jackhsiehhautecouture
@jackhsiehhautecouture Ай бұрын
Buy gold?
@andrewcrook2240
@andrewcrook2240 Ай бұрын
This kid's head is in thr clouds. He is "feeling" the economy from spreadsheets. He has no idea what he is talking about. This guy is the classic "we never saw it coming" 2008. Listen with caution.
@gabrielladots5990
@gabrielladots5990 23 күн бұрын
Oh look TD bank rushed this dude out to seem “like they are experts in economics” after TD has been all over the news about money laundering…lol….TD in on damage control 🤣🤡
@zomgoose
@zomgoose Ай бұрын
SELLING HOPIUM
@mgdubya27
@mgdubya27 Ай бұрын
Whatever...
@rishi505
@rishi505 Ай бұрын
justin T is worse PM of Canada . resign. vote wisely
@an.atypicalcanadian
@an.atypicalcanadian 24 күн бұрын
Don't invest in Canada. Inefficient. Unproductive. Over taxed.
@KidGarden100
@KidGarden100 Күн бұрын
escape from canada 2024
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