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China After Xi || Peter Zeihan

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Zeihan on Geopolitics

Zeihan on Geopolitics

Ай бұрын

I get a lot of "what if..." and "what happens next..." style questions and most of them suck, but today's question takes us down a fairly interesting rabbit hole - what happens to China if Chairman Xi Jinping dies or steps down?
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#china #xijinping #collapse

Пікірлер: 2 100
@1jimmarch
@1jimmarch Ай бұрын
I'm trying to beat a hiking addiction but I'm not out of the woods yet.
@JohnJaneson
@JohnJaneson Ай бұрын
@@1jimmarch 😂
@bloodgout
@bloodgout Ай бұрын
You stop that 😅
@brokenaura23
@brokenaura23 Ай бұрын
Ba dum tss.
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@JohnJaneson Xi Jinping is SO bad that he took China GDP from 9.57 trillion to 17.89 trillion He also took CHINA GDP PPP from 6 trillion to 31 Trillion (making it the biggest in the World). These guy is SO bad at Developing China no wonder the West paints him as a dictator who hates development
@Thegreatpotato24
@Thegreatpotato24 Ай бұрын
😂
@LevEakins1
@LevEakins1 Ай бұрын
0:10 "I've started my backpacking season..." It ended at some point? Peter seems to spend all year hiking.
@benf1111
@benf1111 Ай бұрын
Right. It never ended. And how does he have time to catch up on things? I admire his energy.
@ktrimberger
@ktrimberger Ай бұрын
Hiking and backpacking are not the same
@user-jy8zb2wc8l
@user-jy8zb2wc8l Ай бұрын
I'm pretty sure it's because it allows him to claim his trips as a work expense 😂
@julesbrunton1728
@julesbrunton1728 Ай бұрын
​@@ktrimbergerif you are hiking with a backpack they are
@robhoffman510
@robhoffman510 Ай бұрын
Daily hikes keep you in shape so that you can strap 50 odd lbs on your back and climb several thousand feet to reach some “rare air”. Not the same thing at all….
@Jacob562622
@Jacob562622 Ай бұрын
"The empire, long divided, must unite; long united, must divide. Thus it has ever been" - Luo
@argonxu1498
@argonxu1498 26 күн бұрын
three kingdoms is popular overseas?
@Jacob562622
@Jacob562622 26 күн бұрын
@argonxu1498 it's not mainstream or anything, but most people who are interested in history know about it. The west even has a few video games set in the three kingdoms period... though they usually take a lot of artistic license with the source material
@Daniel31415
@Daniel31415 Ай бұрын
Anyone that has seen "The IT Crowd" will never be able to hear the phrase "Peter Files" without smiling
@jeanneknight4791
@jeanneknight4791 Ай бұрын
Please explain. Is this a TV series? I'm just an old lady but curious about these comments and Only found a circular Fandom reference back to Clockwork. Is that the point?
@Daniel31415
@Daniel31415 Ай бұрын
@@jeanneknight4791 it's a British sitcom about some IT workers. The IT manager dates this guy who is otherwise perfect, but called Peter File. The running joke in that episode is everyone keeps thinking he's a paedophile because of his name. In the end she has to break up with him because his name is too awkward 😂
@victorb5
@victorb5 Ай бұрын
@@jeanneknight4791 If you enjoy any kind of British comedy it's a very funny show. Maybe hard to find now though :)
@regwatson2017
@regwatson2017 Ай бұрын
​@@Daniel31415Very succinctly explained Daniel ! That was a classic episode.
@jaybeebee9288
@jaybeebee9288 Ай бұрын
Creepy coincidence...I just started rewatching S1 a couple of days back after over a decade of not seeing it :)
@bens461
@bens461 Ай бұрын
Maybe avoid the term ‘Peter files ‘ !!
@osiris7800
@osiris7800 Ай бұрын
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@Tethloach1
@Tethloach1 Ай бұрын
IT Crowd " pedo files"
@BobTheTrueCactus
@BobTheTrueCactus Ай бұрын
Lol!
@lodepublishing
@lodepublishing Ай бұрын
kzfaq.info/get/bejne/nLqRfqefuK_GZJc.html
@SirLangsalot
@SirLangsalot Ай бұрын
Tell us you're 'mid' without telling us you're mid.
@walkerck
@walkerck Ай бұрын
It's hard to take Peter seriously when he doesn't have a piece of goofy attire on, whether that's a goofy hat, a goofy pair of sunglasses, or a goofy tie. It's like Lebowski's rug tying the room together.
@Roundwave23
@Roundwave23 Ай бұрын
Hard to take him seriously with his pronunciation of Chinese names and places. He could take some lessons from Tony at China Update. But his take in this video seems spot on to me.
@hangtuah888
@hangtuah888 27 күн бұрын
@@Roundwave23 He was a goof head.
@miesvanderrohe7594
@miesvanderrohe7594 Ай бұрын
"Too young, too simple, sometimes naive" is a phrase used by the Chinese president Jiang Zemin LOL
@benjaminwangcy
@benjaminwangcy 28 күн бұрын
he doesn't look young....perhaps a naive mind in mature look?
@kerkrath3869
@kerkrath3869 27 күн бұрын
It's better to know before commenting. Why did he say that?​@@benjaminwangcy
@sanzhang-tx1zm
@sanzhang-tx1zm 26 күн бұрын
You have been brainwashed by countless videos including this one The truth is that we live a good life You can come to China and see
@DK-ev9dg
@DK-ev9dg 17 күн бұрын
Another China hater
@shanhaijian
@shanhaijian 27 күн бұрын
As a Chinese, I just read a data about Minnesota on the CDC website: 1)the infant mortality rate is 6.8 per 1,000, which is more than twice as high as China, a third world country. 2)The birth rate is 62.7 per 1,000, but the marriage rate is only 5.3 per 1,000, which means that the vast majority of children are born out of wedlock. They grow up without either a father or a mother, or even, unfortunately, neither. 3)The number of underage births is 10.2 per 1,000... An American friend of mine from the Rust Belt told me that the CDC data is actually flattering. The real situation is even worse, and Minnesota is not the worst among the Rust States. I list these data not to make fun of you, but to tell you that when you think that China and the United States are competing, you should first take care of your own people instead of hoping for the collapse of your opponent, and you should comment on things Start with facts, not fanciful subconscious fiction.
@FrankYang-wp6pg
@FrankYang-wp6pg 26 күн бұрын
As being a Chinese citizen living in China , I cannot agree with on two points . 1. Zeihan has been talking and predicting China's coming end itself, which is not a comparative study between China and Minnesota,so your angle is totally irrelevant . 2. No matter how bad it is in Minnesota will not help the miserable end of the CCP of China . In fact ,one of key reasons why China has developed into present shameful ending phase is the people had been successfully brain washed by the CCP since 1940's till the internet era, yet they are still stupidly defending their unexisting but ridiculously illusive dignity while totally messed up the interests of the CCP with that of the people . Shame on you .
@shanhaijian
@shanhaijian 26 күн бұрын
@@FrankYang-wp6pg Haha, you look like a spoiled child . It can be seen that you have deep prejudices against the Communist Party, but your wording leaves no room for doubt, preset results, and does not tolerate the slightest dissent. It gives the impression that You are more in line with the image of the Communist Party in your perception.
@FrankYang-wp6pg
@FrankYang-wp6pg 26 күн бұрын
I am actually happy to see your prompt reply , for at least , it showed the image of CCP is identical in both of our perception . Cheers !
@hkmm
@hkmm 26 күн бұрын
@@FrankYang-wp6pg lolz at least shanhaijian provided facts, you just spewed out opinions after opinions with no facts to back it up. if shameful ending phase is going from a third world country to the second largest economy in the world, then by all means have more of that
@user-qu8zq2ve7x
@user-qu8zq2ve7x 25 күн бұрын
@@FrankYang-wp6pg 所以为什么不润?赶紧打车润~😂
@nerdbane9376
@nerdbane9376 Ай бұрын
"We'll be taking a lot of entries from the ask 'Peter Files' " xD
@user-sm4fp2jo1o
@user-sm4fp2jo1o Ай бұрын
Stored as PDF files🤣🤣🤣
@Mrsitheguy1
@Mrsitheguy1 Ай бұрын
Reminded me of the IT crowd "Im Peter File"
@Tethloach1
@Tethloach1 Ай бұрын
I just had to confirm with IT crowed
@kaiying74
@kaiying74 Ай бұрын
I came to suggest he might want to re-think that name.... 😂
@donniebooshae3880
@donniebooshae3880 Ай бұрын
@@kaiying74haha yeah I was thinking the same thing
@PCMenten
@PCMenten Ай бұрын
“The party’s over” I see what you did there.
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@PCMenten he means republican party
@2hotflavored666
@2hotflavored666 Ай бұрын
​@@jacksmith-mu3eePretty sure he means United Russia party.
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@allenl9214 I trust ccp over some loser on youtube
@harrieslucica
@harrieslucica 29 күн бұрын
@@allenl9214 是的,垃圾时间到了,中国人早就习惯了这种权利的变更 ,但是这不是博主说的崩溃
@uestcpandou
@uestcpandou 29 күн бұрын
Yes, he drunk a lot😂
@1JJONES
@1JJONES Ай бұрын
I totally disagree. There are plenty of successors, they just have not put their hands up yet.
@crosslink1493
@crosslink1493 25 күн бұрын
I'd agree with this. I'd clarify it by adding the successors are all being indoctrinated by operating within the 'hyper-unitarian' model Zeihan states, so rather than who puts their hand up first it'll be who brings their sword own first and swiftest.
@wsteele5864
@wsteele5864 23 күн бұрын
Yeah, nobody wants to disappear...
@JiaruiChen_
@JiaruiChen_ 21 күн бұрын
Nah
@tropics8407
@tropics8407 18 күн бұрын
Yeh…I was thinking the same. But then the center will not hold. He doesn’t have a son ? Or Someone to be propped up ?
@user-mc2oc6jw9q
@user-mc2oc6jw9q 18 күн бұрын
he underestimates XI, Xi will make one of his family members the successor, the "Xi dynasty"
@brosefmalkovitch3121
@brosefmalkovitch3121 Ай бұрын
One big critique I'd like to make is that while it was absolutely true that the sheer size and varied geography of China made it difficult to effectively govern in the past, modern technology and the power of nationalism has made it possible to maintain state control over vast, even non-contiguous areas. There's nothing to suggest that the current form of government is limited by China's geography, digital communications and their high-speed rail systems means moving information, people and goods is easier than ever.
@bpeng2000
@bpeng2000 Ай бұрын
Absolutely. In the past, I used to spend 38 hours on a boat or endure an 18-hour train journey to travel from my hometown to college. Understandably, it was quite a major undertaking. Nowadays, I simply hop on a HSR in the morning if I need to attend a business meeting at noon.
@Jumpoable
@Jumpoable 19 күн бұрын
@@bpeng2000from where to where? The US does not understand this because they don’t even have slow trains that travel across the North American continent! 🤣
@carlabroderick5508
@carlabroderick5508 6 күн бұрын
@@Jumpoable US relies entirely on roads, private and commercial vehicles, and if the entity is economically capable, on air transport which is faster than any rail. This must change to protect the climate, but US political unity and power are not limited by transportation infrastructure. High speed rail does not carry heavy freight, so China’s logistics are limited by slow rail, truck, and river barge like any other very large country.
@bpeng2000
@bpeng2000 4 күн бұрын
@@Jumpoable Wuhan to Shanghai.
@breathspinecore
@breathspinecore Ай бұрын
Well on a positive note: the last time the Chinese had a "warring states" period, it produced some of the best philosophy and cultural ideas of China's entire history.
@danieparriott265
@danieparriott265 Ай бұрын
Oh-rilly? What came out of that other than Mao's Little Red Book?
@chasx7062
@chasx7062 Ай бұрын
@@danieparriott265 well Sun Tzu was way before Mao LOL
@IFRYRCE
@IFRYRCE Ай бұрын
Ah yes, it produced such classics as Visiting Mount Tai by Zhang Zhongcheng. From afar, Mount Tai looks blackish Narrow on top and wide at the bottom If you flipped it upside down It would be narrow at the bottom and wide on top I also encourage you to look up his 'Poem about Bastard' which I didn't post here to not get KZfaq auto censored.
@santiagowho
@santiagowho Ай бұрын
@@chasx7062 Imagine talking down on the Art of War lmfao
@IFRYRCE
@IFRYRCE Ай бұрын
@@chasx7062 Mao came out of the last warlords period China had. Sun Tzu was several warlords eras ago - he was around even before the Three Kingdoms period.
@davidpnewton
@davidpnewton Ай бұрын
Zeihan: the analyst for whom telling him to take a hike doesn't stop him producing material!
@Mehwhatevr
@Mehwhatevr Ай бұрын
the only guy you can tell to take a hike and get even more material.
@etebol
@etebol Ай бұрын
Why are you here commenting if you don’t like him? Make your own Chanel, I will follow you. But don’t be a douche with an opinion. Keyboard warrior. Smfh.
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee 18 күн бұрын
And 0 prior
@kolviczd6885
@kolviczd6885 10 күн бұрын
'Producing material' with no or false substance in the content. 😬
@XianZen-xw6ub
@XianZen-xw6ub Ай бұрын
Whenever I needed some light-hearted entertainment to unwind I will search for the likes of Zeihan's or Serpentza's youtube video on China. Always gives me a good laugh.
@GabrielEddy
@GabrielEddy Ай бұрын
He’s no prophet.
@user-xj7bw2vt8u
@user-xj7bw2vt8u 29 күн бұрын
Zeihan的视频啊,能看30秒不笑的那都是神人。
@harrieslucica
@harrieslucica 29 күн бұрын
因为西方人最喜欢这些, 其他的不会看或者故意视而不见 。
@tewat4389
@tewat4389 29 күн бұрын
他说的内容,确实把我给整笑了。哈哈哈。
@saymyname16
@saymyname16 29 күн бұрын
Source of fake news
@WeilinWang
@WeilinWang Ай бұрын
but then how would you explain the Qing dynasty ruled over land bigger than China today for over 300 years?
@johnhansen2187
@johnhansen2187 18 күн бұрын
The Quing was founded and built with a good army and a large fast horse relay network. The corruption of the fast horse relay network had a lot to do with the collapse of the dynasty, as it killed communications in the empire.
@kolviczd6885
@kolviczd6885 10 күн бұрын
He won't explain.. because that doesn't fit into his narratives about China. 😅
@MrGoood-iq7rg
@MrGoood-iq7rg Күн бұрын
Dont worry, He has no answer to your question, because he knows nothing about China, not to mention the history of 2000 years ago.
@Zenedoboz
@Zenedoboz Ай бұрын
Since I follow him, Peter has predicted at least 15 out of the last 3 crises. He is like 500% correct.
@CardsLafter
@CardsLafter Ай бұрын
If you pay attention, there is a very clear indicator on Pete's predictions. He never says when, he says If/Then. But most people can't really tell the difference.
@masterchinese28
@masterchinese28 Ай бұрын
I like Peter and his insights. But when his eyes get wide and he starts in on an epic collapse story, I take it with a pinch of salt.
@nerva-
@nerva- Ай бұрын
@@CardsLafter no, he's been predicting the collapse of China "in 10 years" for several decades now.
@johnc1873
@johnc1873 Ай бұрын
@@CardsLafter anyone who listens to this clown is also one
@henli-rw5dw
@henli-rw5dw Ай бұрын
Cool. What are the 3 that he got right?
@Xius_WoW
@Xius_WoW Ай бұрын
At 71 we could have him for 20 years still
@JayPhelps-vt5qy
@JayPhelps-vt5qy Ай бұрын
Yeah… plenty of time for a successor to emerge. Why not a Yeltsin - Putin scenario where a successor is appointed to protect Xi’s final years?
@nfuryboss
@nfuryboss Ай бұрын
Will bet that Xi will be embalmed in a gold coffin and worshiped in schools, temples, PLA, etc. when he passes
@bloodgout
@bloodgout Ай бұрын
@@JayPhelps-vt5qyso you didn’t pay attention to what Peter said?
@sinoroman
@sinoroman Ай бұрын
who does pay attention
@artugert
@artugert Ай бұрын
Or longer. Jiang lived to the age of 96.
@johncastleberry3404
@johncastleberry3404 Ай бұрын
I don’t think Peter Ziehan has a clue, after listening to his work and thinking about it for years. He’s appealing, a good looking, apparently financially successful, man with the answers in a world at war. He’s an easy product to buy. In China they used to produce artificial crops to put on trucks to show the people how excessively wonderful and productive their farming was. They exceeded their limits! Praise be to the good Fathers in the Communist prison. In think Zeihan produces a similar product, plaster vegetables.
@wionporky9937
@wionporky9937 27 күн бұрын
😂😅😂😅😂 I am more worried about US Presidents. They are in their 80's. Xi still got 10 more years to reach that milestone.
@TheVoiceofTheProphetElizer
@TheVoiceofTheProphetElizer Ай бұрын
Last time I mentioned Peter Files to anybody, I found myself with a court date and on-going legal challenges.
@AlexRemus
@AlexRemus Ай бұрын
...and a strange invitation to an island.
@prsimoibn2710
@prsimoibn2710 Ай бұрын
​@@AlexRemusEpstein island?
@cindybogart6062
@cindybogart6062 Ай бұрын
😁😂😉
@user-en8wp8cg6w
@user-en8wp8cg6w 27 күн бұрын
These self proclaimed geopolitics analytics are going out of control 😂
@tanhaoze
@tanhaoze Ай бұрын
As a Chinese, I am so impressed how the Western audience just take this blabber, do you think Xi is more powerful than Mao? and did China collapse after Mao's death? Not to mention so many ancient case. And his Yangtze river region thing is also totally nonsense
@InteresanteSnap
@InteresanteSnap 24 күн бұрын
I think most agree with you but to hopefully most it’s fun to hear what the establishment wants us to think is true. But I think some ppl never been to China, don’t read Chinese history, and just get news from this guy.
@youtubeofficial624
@youtubeofficial624 23 күн бұрын
@@InteresanteSnap did China collapse after Mao's death? Yes
@Jumpoable
@Jumpoable 19 күн бұрын
Yeah he mentioned Shanghai & then Chongqing in Sichuan. LOL. That’s like saying “Oh that whole region from the metropolis called NYC on the East Coast to Detroit.” At least know your Chinese geography if you’re conjecturing about its complex sociopolitics, Peter Files. LAAAWL.
@johnhansen2187
@johnhansen2187 18 күн бұрын
@@InteresanteSnap - Too True!
@curquhart100
@curquhart100 Ай бұрын
All of these things are possible, but it's all overstated
@cooldudecs
@cooldudecs 25 күн бұрын
Xi IS China...
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee 18 күн бұрын
And 0 turn
@miamithijs3579
@miamithijs3579 Ай бұрын
Looking at his parents ages Xi will be around for another 20 years or so.
@fridgemagnet9831
@fridgemagnet9831 Ай бұрын
yes he will be around for the PRC's centenary.
@kevenpinder7025
@kevenpinder7025 Ай бұрын
IIRC, it's the longevity of the grandparents that offers individual life span indicators.
@mikezhao6299
@mikezhao6299 Ай бұрын
Yeah, I don't think he hasn't gone through all the organ transplants. 🤣
@jimkuan8493
@jimkuan8493 Ай бұрын
Chinese here. Peter Zeihan is making up BS about China and is running with the BS that he made up. Xi is running with a tighter control for sure. But he is still part of the controlling elites, aka standing committee members that are from various power blocks. Xi is not Mao. He is one of the princelings that was chosen by the elders to lead. One speculation is that he needs the centralized power to lead the efforts for Taiwan's unification in the next 5 years. We will see. Again, Xi was chosen by elders from various power blocks. And he is accompanied by standing committee members from those power blocks. He does not have absolute power. So, his passing won't be the collapse of China. There will be various princelings that have risen from the ranks through the years, with proven governmental records, that will be candidates for the elders to choose from. Every candidate is risen from the ranks, starting from the county executive, to city major, to provincial leaders, to central cabinet member, to standing committee member, and finally be in the pool for Chinese leadership. That is how serious and strict in China's leadership selection. Peter Zeihan HAS NO CLUE!
@c1ph3rpunk
@c1ph3rpunk Ай бұрын
Slim Pickens in Dr. Strangelove.
@Daily_Chinese_Life
@Daily_Chinese_Life 27 күн бұрын
On the contrary, CCP almost only recruits young people. There are special talent selection projects called "Selected Appointments 选调" specifically for fresh graduates with bachelor's, master's, and doctoral degrees, and generally people over 35 are not allowed to take the civil service exam. Additionally, new president will emerge from the Politburo Standing Committee (Xi and formers served as members of the Politburo Standing Committee before becoming the highest leader). Modern logistics systems, networks, and weapons ensure the close connection of the entire country and make it impossible for warlords to appear. Moreover, unlike Westerners obsessed with the illusory concepts of ethnicity and gender identities, we are pragmatic. A unified China and a stable environment are what we need to have better lives. It is a consensus among Chinese people. I am a Yi ethnic person from Yunnan Province, but I identify more as a Chinese than my Yi ethnic group. If you post separatist things on Chinese social media, you will not receive approval and will be attacked and despised.
@Daily_Chinese_Life
@Daily_Chinese_Life 27 күн бұрын
0:54 “Announcement of the Recruitment of Civil Servants for Central Government Agencies and Their Directly Affiliated Institutions for the Year 2024 Source: National Civil Service Bureau Website Date: October 14, 2023, 11:14 AM I. Eligibility Conditions Applicants should meet the following qualifications: (1) Possess the nationality of the People's Republic of China; (2) Generally, the age should be between 18 and 35 years old (born between October 1987 and October 2005). For master's and doctoral graduates of the year 2024, the age limit is relaxed to under 40 years old (born after October 1982). ”
@stevealexander8010
@stevealexander8010 20 күн бұрын
Thanks for your post. Peter Zeihen says crazy hyperbolic things just for 'clicks'. Many of his "projections" only appeal to people who like apocalypse stories OR b/c his stories and 'spin' match their preferences. PZ is decidedly NOT a serious analyst.
@AustinByrd-ee4yt
@AustinByrd-ee4yt 20 күн бұрын
Westerners: white v black v other, etc. Chinese: “we aren’t obsessed with ethnicity because we unilaterally agree that yellow is best.” I dislike American ethnic politics, huge waste of time. But only the Chinese and the Jews walk this planet with the genuine belief that their culture is better than another’s culture 😮
@AustinByrd-ee4yt
@AustinByrd-ee4yt 20 күн бұрын
Though I will agree that your culture also allows you to avoid gender politics. Which I’m incredibly jealous of. The West is going down the drain, we let the women speak and now we’re off the deep end voting to allow increasingly weirder things. And now are very children are even at risk 😢
@Daily_Chinese_Life
@Daily_Chinese_Life 20 күн бұрын
@@AustinByrd-ee4yt Thank you for your reply. The reason we don't argue about the ethnic things is not because we think we are the best, but because we respect cultural differences and believe each civilization has its own merits. For example, I really enjoy Islamic and Indian cuisine (there is video on my homepage), Marvel and DC movies (just watched Deadpool and Wolverine), Japanese anime, and Harry Potter, etc. Even within China, we have various ethnic ppl with distinct cultures, such as the Mongolians and Manchus (both of whom have established dynasties in Chinese history) and even the Russian ethnic ppl (who live along the border between China and Russia, and they are white rather than yellow). As a member of a minority ethnicity (the Yi ppl), I can say that in a China where the Han ethnicity is overwhelmingly dominant, the cultures of the minority groups are well preserved. 🤔Additionally, if Trump were to become president again, would that change the current situation in the American?
@asherchadwick7716
@asherchadwick7716 Ай бұрын
How can you say that none of the dynasties lasted for a long time? The Han last for over 400 years, the Tang for just under 300, the Song for over 300, The Yuan at nearly a century and both Ming and Qing at about 300 years? There are short reigning dynasties like the Qin and Sui but they are the outliers for Chinese imperial history. This analysis seems to ignore basic historical facts
@lianjian9335
@lianjian9335 25 күн бұрын
Yes this guy knows nothing about China and call 250-400 year dynasty as short. Well, how long is Russian, British or French dynasties.
@webb-xk9vk
@webb-xk9vk 23 күн бұрын
你算上了垃圾时间;和平稳定的时间基本就是百年,中国历史平均100年就改朝换代,社会大动乱。
@jeffreylee252
@jeffreylee252 23 күн бұрын
When you received Highschool level of Chinese history education and you think you understand everything 😂😂😂
@jeffreylee252
@jeffreylee252 23 күн бұрын
First of all, Chinese dynasties are different from those in the West. The only difference between the British dynasties is the father's lineage. In essence, the origins of the Plantagenets, Tudors, and Stuarts can all be traced back to the same common ancestor. Each dynasty change in China was accompanied by bloody massacres and complete subversion. The Han Dynasty, the Ming Dynasty, the Yuan Dynasty and the Qing Dynasty all had fundamentally different families ruling China. In fact, every dynasty change is called a revolution. This is how the word "revolution" comes from in China. Western dynasties simply cannot imagine a revolution every two hundred years. Even Russia's Romanov dynasty lasted longer than ordinary Chinese dynasties. This is a very unstable performance of the Chinese dynasty. You said that the Han Dynasty lasted for four hundred years, but most of this four hundred years of rule was very unstable. The former Han Dynasty, also called the Western Han Dynasty, maintained stability for more than a hundred years because there happened to be five generations of strongman monarchs, just like the Five Wise Kings of ancient Rome. So the empire is basically stable. However, with the accession of the young monarch to the throne, the royal power has already faded away. During the Eastern Han Dynasty, eunuchs monopolized the power of relatives and interfered in politics, and the country was divided into different warlord spheres of influence, leading to centuries of chaos. This is the long-lasting Chinese dynasty in your eyes
@kennyjong0303
@kennyjong0303 23 күн бұрын
​@@jeffreylee252current chinese system is totally different from ancient dynasty.
@LipingKong-ms1zm
@LipingKong-ms1zm 28 күн бұрын
You really don't know China, you need to realize it.😅
@argonxu1498
@argonxu1498 26 күн бұрын
you cannot convince someone who is that proud of himself.
@nsebast
@nsebast 22 күн бұрын
Imagine being a USA expert without being able to read English lol.
@Wayne-tb8tk
@Wayne-tb8tk Ай бұрын
Hope we find out “" REAL SOON "" !! 🎉
@davidz7858
@davidz7858 Ай бұрын
if you think it will be opposite what he said, it will be truth. This guy is 100% loser and liar
@nmslnesses
@nmslnesses Ай бұрын
No the later the better. West need time to prepare
@stormy001
@stormy001 Ай бұрын
Not within our lifetime
@thecustodian1023
@thecustodian1023 Ай бұрын
But but but... who will then tell all the too-dumb-to-be-real online political troll accounts what to say and do? 😋
@henli-rw5dw
@henli-rw5dw Ай бұрын
We will. US and China confrontation is going to escalate. If China loses the war badly, it can break up. If it wins though, it's the hegemon.
@maianoguillaume
@maianoguillaume 27 күн бұрын
Does Zeihan realize that what he says around 4:30 applies exactly the same to the USA? By his reasoning, America is getting close to a Warring Kingdoms situation.
@charlestsai3708
@charlestsai3708 24 күн бұрын
Don't worry! The deep state will have a Manchurian candidate or more shortly
@JiaruiChen_
@JiaruiChen_ 21 күн бұрын
😂
@user-lb4yx1ms5f
@user-lb4yx1ms5f 16 күн бұрын
😅
@JiaruiChen_
@JiaruiChen_ 16 күн бұрын
*spend money on supporting violence *
@christiannordvall4021
@christiannordvall4021 Ай бұрын
"China's dynasties never last very long" - the Han (421 yrs), Tang (289 yrs), Song (316 yrs), Ming (276 yrs), and Qing (268 yrs) dynasties all individually lasted longer than the United States has existed. And when you add them up together, the aggregate time of centralized rule is longer than the time England has existed. On the main topic, China had stronger one-man rule under Mao Zedong (1949-1976) than currently, yet the country somehow "survived" the death of MZD. It will survive the death of another leader as well, even if there is some short-term turbulence under whoever is the next Hua Guofeng (1976-1978).
@richardz5913
@richardz5913 Ай бұрын
This is typical, someone has never set a single foot on Chinese soil, doesn’t understand china whatsoever and pretend to tell people what is happening in china. What a joke.
@user-zh1ei4od2z
@user-zh1ei4od2z 27 күн бұрын
Well, your comment is a typical example for those people who live in China,the authoritarian state,and the dreamland that created by the CCP 😂😂😂imagining yourself have a clear understanding of the country , but actually brainwashed,pathetic 😢😢😢
@robertmansfield7656
@robertmansfield7656 Ай бұрын
Before the National and communists it was the Warlord period. I'd look at that period for clues.
@ivancho5854
@ivancho5854 Ай бұрын
Yup. 😐
@EireHammer
@EireHammer Ай бұрын
And the wheel turns as the cycles continue.
@MrDael01
@MrDael01 Ай бұрын
nah. warlord period came about after decades of military defeat starting in the 1830s, ruination of the prestige of the monarchy throughout the 1880s-1900s, abdication of the imperial monarchy in 1911, republican rule, and failed imperial restoration. It took 80 years of successive failure and misery to break the old Chinese Imperial system. The modern Chinese system is not going to break just because Xi dies or the CCCP leadership fight it out internally over who gets to succeed him. It would take many years of failure until it gets to that point. Until then, inertia and ingrained obedience will carry it along.
@jackryan1809
@jackryan1809 Ай бұрын
the return of the seven kingdoms
@thecustodian1023
@thecustodian1023 Ай бұрын
@@MrDael01 Exactly. comunism/socialsim/marxi sm doesnt quit until it has burned up the last of everyone else's resources including the populace itself.
@averagejoe7987
@averagejoe7987 Ай бұрын
Jiang Zemin held considerable power until his last breath being 96 years old. I guess Xi still has a few days left.
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@averagejoe7987 better than trump and biden
@averagejoe7987
@averagejoe7987 Ай бұрын
@@jacksmith-mu3eeSure Mr. American Americanman from America. Could you be any more obvious? 四川火锅 > 重庆火锅
@esoxkid06
@esoxkid06 Ай бұрын
Lol ok "Jack Smith" from beiji... i mean baltimore. ​@jacksmith-mu3ee
@ooXChrissieXoo
@ooXChrissieXoo 23 күн бұрын
Love how you break down the structure of north, central and south of China and understanding the country from that perspective. My family is a mix of all 3 region and it’s a fun mix of people. As much as I disagree with CCP, I hate to see what happens when the country breaks apart again. I’m born in Taiwan, so my only concern is if we’ll ever get a break from their threat 😂
@user-kn1oo1be4r
@user-kn1oo1be4r 23 күн бұрын
如果不是美国 台湾早就被收回了
@leoliang3145
@leoliang3145 29 күн бұрын
Perfect example of looking at China with a foreigner's lens😂
@prasvasu4217
@prasvasu4217 26 күн бұрын
Not just foreigner lens, Western bias!
@cooldudecs
@cooldudecs 25 күн бұрын
@@prasvasu4217 what happens after Xi dies? Tell us?
@michaelzap8528
@michaelzap8528 25 күн бұрын
​@@cooldudecsevery year there are roughly 8 million new Chinese students learn calculus, linear algebra etc, is this enough to tell all?
@cooldudecs
@cooldudecs 25 күн бұрын
@@michaelzap8528 again none of them will be put in positions of power! China is teetering on collapse. It happens and happens fast... Xi IS China.
@leoliang3145
@leoliang3145 25 күн бұрын
No one knows what happens after Xi dies But we can look back in time and examine what happened after Chairman Mao died because it is said that Xi is Mao 2.0 Did China get better or worse after Mao died? The fact is the GDP of China at that time was less than one tenth of the US and now China's GDP almost 80% of the US
@paulbennett7736
@paulbennett7736 Ай бұрын
If a tree falls in woods and no one hears it did it fall? If you "find" a lost canyon....is it lost?
@ruilongsheng2845
@ruilongsheng2845 Ай бұрын
zeihan, keep going, otherwise your payment will be dropped.
@mastermind8900
@mastermind8900 24 күн бұрын
Ziehan is right! At the beginning of the establishment and before the fall of Chinese dynasties, there were often instances of warlordism. Excluding the periods of warlordism, the eras when China was ruled with an iron fist by a single emperor were actually quite short.😊
@Lim23S
@Lim23S 20 күн бұрын
Looking at the comments, I have a thought about the Chinese narrative. The attempt to move from 5000 years of Imperial era to a republic, one of first kind in Asia,is not quite fully realised. And it was in uncharted waters, there came the warlords, the Communist insurgence, the Japanese invasion and then the civil war. This had put many of transformations by the Republic to a complete stop. And the Chinese destiny went downhill from then. There still is no fair representation by the people, and only totalitarian, tough line political correctness, and tight state control. I agreed that Xi was the main indicator of what to come. Xi is a dictator who is not only concentrating his power and he himself holds several positions with power and has literally not set up any successor. Danger lies in the power being concentrating on the top. Communists are like triads, and only the few on top of the hierarchy hold the real power, but never at the grassroot level. I have a bad feeling that China would head towards anarchy in a not too distant future with all the above concerns.
@oldcynic6964
@oldcynic6964 Ай бұрын
I looked to see how old he is - born June 1953 - and so 71. I thought "Hmm that's old" then realised he is only 18 months older than me ! A spring chicken ! He's got years left unless someone offs him.
@thetacokawaii5708
@thetacokawaii5708 Ай бұрын
Are u afraid of the rising might of China 🇨🇳? U should be.😮
@user-nw3gk4qo3p
@user-nw3gk4qo3p Ай бұрын
He could easily rule another 15 years
@majortwang2396
@majortwang2396 Ай бұрын
Isn't it weird being that same age as old people 😅
@argonxu1498
@argonxu1498 26 күн бұрын
sorry, how old is Joe Biden and D. Trump?
@user-nw3gk4qo3p
@user-nw3gk4qo3p 26 күн бұрын
@@argonxu1498Trump and Biden aren’t Asian. Asian men specifically from China have the highest life expectancy in the world for Men.
@jarnMod
@jarnMod Ай бұрын
Going backpack What do you put in your pack? Me: Books Friends: Guitar Peter: Questions
@diedie5
@diedie5 Ай бұрын
Me: Whiskey
@craigcolahan
@craigcolahan Ай бұрын
Please consider dropping the phrase "Peter Files"... phonetically it sounds .... dodgy
@user-we1vr5gd7q
@user-we1vr5gd7q Ай бұрын
I can confirm there is zero truth in his knowledge of China. I can't even start...
@drachenmarke
@drachenmarke Ай бұрын
Peter has predicted 30 of of the last two societal collapses.... last year he said the lack of Potash would cause mass starvation.
@priceprice_baby
@priceprice_baby Ай бұрын
Yeah, i listen as his theories are definitely interesting and seem to make sense but any geopolotical predictions I think need to be taken with a truckload of salt
@tas11117
@tas11117 Ай бұрын
A single data point or assumption extended to the worst possible outcome. I still find his videos fascinating though!
@thilomanten8701
@thilomanten8701 Ай бұрын
Must be that swiss clock-syndrome? I claim its 12...and two times a day that prediction is correct!
@mrgoober6320
@mrgoober6320 Ай бұрын
Pete is valuable for laying out facts; his predictions are obviously a bit suspect.
@pohkeee
@pohkeee Ай бұрын
Even pharaoh had a year or two in reserve…in real life dominos fall with a variety of rhythms depending on the system.
@Archangelm127
@Archangelm127 Ай бұрын
"The party's over." Cute. 😂
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@Archangelm127 he meant ,zeihan last brain cell
@Archangelm127
@Archangelm127 Ай бұрын
@@jacksmith-mu3ee Learn to troll, n00b ❤
@nnf9431
@nnf9431 Ай бұрын
Another Chinese collapse video lol how did the one posted 9 months ago pan out?
@shafsteryellow
@shafsteryellow Ай бұрын
😂😂😂
@jqmachgunner2577
@jqmachgunner2577 8 күн бұрын
In regards to Xi's successor, you missed that the Jiang Zemin faction has long been cultivating, training, and protecting their faction's home-grown, internal candidates to be ready to step in once Xi is either dead, incapacitated, or out of power. The now deceased Jiang Zemen hated Xi for his attacks on Jiang Zemen's faction under the guise of rooting out corruption. The Jiang Zemen faction continues to hold substantial power and influence in and over the CCP, despite Xi's efforts to eliminate them.
@davidz7858
@davidz7858 Ай бұрын
Gordon Chang and Peter Zeihan kind of people are not Chinese experts, they are good business men. They provided the words that the Americans and the anti-China individuals want to hear and comforts that they needed. In return, Chang and Zeihan made profits out of it. A perfect mutual benefiticial and capitalistic transaction!!!
@FrankYang-wp6pg
@FrankYang-wp6pg 26 күн бұрын
What you said only reflected your dark selfish materialistic mindsets.
@davidz7858
@davidz7858 25 күн бұрын
@@FrankYang-wp6pg what you said prove your arrogance and ignorance.
@kolviczd6885
@kolviczd6885 10 күн бұрын
Exactly. It's good business, but not good content.
@HeavenGoodLight
@HeavenGoodLight Ай бұрын
Thanks for the update Peter. What are you doing way out there!?! Looking for aliens? 😂😂😂 Post videos of the aliens you find please and thank you. We want those aliens revealed!
@ptliang011
@ptliang011 Ай бұрын
I am Chinese, Beijing born and raised...and I just have to say..I am completely confused by this white guy's conclusions. What has he been smoking??
@ExcitedDuck-ii5zx
@ExcitedDuck-ii5zx 27 күн бұрын
He is high on self-delusion. 🤣🤣🤣
@kengsenchong4010
@kengsenchong4010 27 күн бұрын
He's on copium & he's making $$$$$ from his gullible fan base.
@hyhhy
@hyhhy 26 күн бұрын
He basically just tells wishful thinking power fantasy stories to the globalist crowd. That's Zeihan pretty much in a nutshell.
@zakkattack1374
@zakkattack1374 26 күн бұрын
They have to keep making lies to survive, typical American
@fatstar111
@fatstar111 Ай бұрын
"Ask Peter Files" had me dying 😂😂😂
@eddiehah9842
@eddiehah9842 Ай бұрын
Nobody could predict the future. The West could not see the Ukraine conflict going south at the beginning of the war. Live in the present.
@howtoappearincompletely9739
@howtoappearincompletely9739 Ай бұрын
The Han are the largest ethnic group on the planet. To say that they are facing their end as a group with political influence is ludicrously overstated.
@georgiossgk7384
@georgiossgk7384 Ай бұрын
Yet people believe this crap.
@CardThrone
@CardThrone Ай бұрын
zeihan is simply a mouthpiece for US intelligence. he just spouts sensational propaganda. dude will be saying china is about to collapse soon on his death bed.
@donovan5656
@donovan5656 Ай бұрын
“None of China’s dynasties last very long…” The average Chinese dynasty lasted 200 to 300 years.
@MrGoood-iq7rg
@MrGoood-iq7rg 29 күн бұрын
As I have lived both in China and US, this KZfaqr seems like to know China well, but actually, he does not.
@flyinpug3791
@flyinpug3791 29 күн бұрын
He’s never stepped foot there
@Zero95011
@Zero95011 18 күн бұрын
He's an anti-China CIA sponsored mouthpiece. Never take his analysis on anything seriously. His book Zeihan on Geopolitics is an utter mess filled with schizophrenic rambles rather than objectivity. He hates China and every bit of "prediction" his made on China has been wrong lol. This guy is never correct about anything. He constantly pushes America as a great Utopia that will lead the world into intergalactic space travel lol this guy is a joke.😂
@brianmathew09
@brianmathew09 16 күн бұрын
are you suggesting the country wont fragment and dozens of factions won't be at war like the middle east? which is what most every analyst forecasts?
@brianmathew09
@brianmathew09 16 күн бұрын
@@flyinpug3791 ive never been to the u s border, but know it is a completely fukt place to be.
@user-lb4yx1ms5f
@user-lb4yx1ms5f 16 күн бұрын
More hot air than substance.
@ln6593
@ln6593 Ай бұрын
That doom & gloom speculation about China is highly suspect. China’s ability to plan & move quickly (with no opposition) is good, so I can’t see how they don’t foresee these problems. It’s almost that he thinks that most of the world has US governmental inefficiency ingrained in their system too.
@nuam9906
@nuam9906 Ай бұрын
Keep coping Abdul
@ln6593
@ln6593 Ай бұрын
@@nuam9906 Abdul??? Lol - I am from Singapore who lived in different countries (including US) & travelled a lot of countries enough to observe what he says sounds like wishful thinking than genuine observations.
@waveydavey19
@waveydavey19 Ай бұрын
Tell me you’ve never been to China, without telling me you’ve never been to China.
@arbs3ry
@arbs3ry Ай бұрын
😂布热津斯基好歹来过中国--很多次。 至少他认识福建省!kudos!
@Swiplys
@Swiplys Ай бұрын
What is this based on? If you go to chinese provinces and ask people on the street, no one is talking about civil war or separatism at all. Everyone's great grandparents already lived through a divided period and no one wants that anymore. This is an odd take from Peter
@yopyop3241
@yopyop3241 Ай бұрын
Major economic problems incoming. Real estate and demographic bubbles popping. Trade restrictions going up everywhere- which countries have tariffs under 50% on Chinese EVs these days? Economic problems lead to unrest.
@user10u7
@user10u7 Ай бұрын
⁠​⁠​⁠@@yopyop3241yeah there are some problems but it won’t lead to civil war. The only reason why you think that will happen is because you watch a lot of videos on here exaggerating the problem to a whole new level to get views and money
@yopyop3241
@yopyop3241 Ай бұрын
@@user10u7 Xi apparently just gave a speech to a bunch of high CCP officials telling them to prepare for civil war….
@yopyop3241
@yopyop3241 Ай бұрын
@@user10u7 Check Xi’s recent speech. He warns the Party to prepare for it.
@Swiplys
@Swiplys Ай бұрын
@yopyop3241 uhhh then explain the 1979 or 2008 downturn? Even with civil unrest it didn't lead to civil war. Chill out with the crazed ideas
@DarkSyster
@DarkSyster Ай бұрын
Since it's creation by Emperor Qin, China has been 3 Kingdoms, 16 kingdoms, North and South, and 10 Kingdoms. It falls apart and then it comes back together.
@PennyWoo-rr6io
@PennyWoo-rr6io Ай бұрын
was literally thinking about this question yesterday, cheers pete
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@PennyWoo-rr6io xi jin best leader though
@ignatiuszoo
@ignatiuszoo Ай бұрын
Watch the movie, "The Death of Stalin" (2017) ... it'll be kinda like that, only not funny.
@yisraelmeirsobel907
@yisraelmeirsobel907 Ай бұрын
With a big difference that in Russia there is only one region that counts, Moscow -Saint-petersberg, with all the others not having enough people or industry to have a effective local resistance. China has three regions larger then most countries that have there own interests.
@hidemyname3683
@hidemyname3683 Ай бұрын
@@yisraelmeirsobel907what do you meant having their own interest? I meant everyone have their own interest
@yisraelmeirsobel907
@yisraelmeirsobel907 Ай бұрын
@@hidemyname3683 While its true that everyone has personal interests, here the people of the regions have SHARED IMPORTENT and REGONIAL interests.
@hidemyname3683
@hidemyname3683 Ай бұрын
@@yisraelmeirsobel907 well, you don’t know that. You just making it up. Enlighten me how did you came to that conclusions?
@yisraelmeirsobel907
@yisraelmeirsobel907 Ай бұрын
@@hidemyname3683 I actually listened to the video.
@iwantyourcookiesnow
@iwantyourcookiesnow Ай бұрын
Xi looks like he’s super healthy for the next 30 years
@Olav3D
@Olav3D Ай бұрын
So much confidence in predictions that are quite unlikely 😂
@loot6
@loot6 Ай бұрын
Lol nobody lives forever, especially country leaders. Talk about delusional. 😅
@J_X999
@J_X999 Ай бұрын
​@@loot6when people have been talking about the collapse of china for longer than youve been alive, you realize it may just be bullshit. all of it. crazy huh?
@Nick-bh5bk
@Nick-bh5bk Ай бұрын
Enjoy the hike. Be safe buddy.
@LEV1ATHYN
@LEV1ATHYN Ай бұрын
Comrade Xi needs to hire Comerade Zei(han) as a special political & economic advisor, before it's too late.
@masterchinese28
@masterchinese28 Ай бұрын
They could go on hikes together.
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@LEV1ATHYN u mean class clown
@Dw-fr3yt
@Dw-fr3yt 28 күн бұрын
So you’re basically saying, China can’t exist without him
@Indrid__Cold
@Indrid__Cold Ай бұрын
Peter is very introspective thanks to the time he spends in the "wilderness." The fact that he "unplugs" for substantial periods tells me we are getting his thoughtful considereration on what he chooses to speak about. That's why we pay attention.
@GreenIslandWoodworks
@GreenIslandWoodworks 3 күн бұрын
hmmmm...There's no need to watch his videos, just save time by screaming out the nearest window "Peter Zeihan said the Chinese sky is falling" then make scared chicken noises.
@OneTwo1989
@OneTwo1989 Ай бұрын
can u pleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeease stop saying "ask peterfiles" or how did nothing occur to you when you called it that
@davemehelas5053
@davemehelas5053 Ай бұрын
Peter says US is ‘maybe’ a federal system😂
@magichat85
@magichat85 Ай бұрын
Where can I sign up for the "Backpacking with Peter" trip?
@hopehope938
@hopehope938 19 күн бұрын
Thank you for your educational post about Xi and his replacement when he dies! I definitely have more questions and a few dumb ideas one would think remote and isolated areas of China would have a better chance to restart I am limited in knowing Chinese history but from what I have read so far was about the history of the regional conflict of China!
@gmcanepa
@gmcanepa Ай бұрын
Peter's backpack season lasts approximately 363 days.
@HappyGuy-cn9po
@HappyGuy-cn9po Ай бұрын
The other two days he tours the entirety of Europe and analyzes their governments.
@markdeckard7651
@markdeckard7651 Ай бұрын
"Evil never dies"
@RajKumar-x4k7m
@RajKumar-x4k7m 24 күн бұрын
Progressing China 🇨🇳
@eylam9690
@eylam9690 26 күн бұрын
Bit of friendly advice: if you want some people to take your opinion on China more seriously, please consider investing a little bit of time trying to get the pronunciation of Chinese names/places relatively right. I know the two don't necessarily go together, but first impressions do matter.
@YouCanHasAccount
@YouCanHasAccount 2 күн бұрын
Since when is it a requirement for a leader to be competent? There are plenty of incompetent opportunists eager to rise to the top.
@petermomanyi529
@petermomanyi529 Ай бұрын
If i didn't know China, i would assume Xi discovered it. China survived Mao. But will fall because Xi retires. 😂😂😂
@boiscooka232
@boiscooka232 Ай бұрын
How? 🤣 Low IQ
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@petermomanyi529 china was made by mao into a super power .
@tidakada7357
@tidakada7357 Ай бұрын
Mao actually built it up for the most part
@svfrey7
@svfrey7 Ай бұрын
.... there has to be a less awkward way of saying "ask peter files" - for your sake, please slow down and enunciate a little more so you don't get demonetized.
@emceeboogieboots1608
@emceeboogieboots1608 Ай бұрын
Just had to re listen to that😂
@kaudsiz
@kaudsiz Ай бұрын
👶🤫
@nicholassmith7984
@nicholassmith7984 Ай бұрын
Flashbacks to The IT Crowd...
@osiris7800
@osiris7800 Ай бұрын
LOL!!!
@markbernier8434
@markbernier8434 Ай бұрын
Just go to ask Peter Zeihan files.
@roninnder
@roninnder Ай бұрын
The way you said “…ask Peter files…” in the intro made me think your official fan club should be called the “Peterphiles.”
@JoshuaZhu-pi3iw
@JoshuaZhu-pi3iw 29 күн бұрын
You should worry more about America rather than China.
@sanzhang-tx1zm
@sanzhang-tx1zm 26 күн бұрын
油管上所有对于中国的视频,百分之八十都带有夸大,捏造,污蔑,刻意煽动的属性,真正想要了解中国应该用哔哩哔哩这个软件
@marcorubio3388
@marcorubio3388 29 күн бұрын
What a joke, this guy know nothing about China and CCP😂
@richardkut3976
@richardkut3976 26 күн бұрын
Sounds great, can't wait.
@struggler8083
@struggler8083 Ай бұрын
I'm just here to know what will NOT happen to China after Xi dies.
@protorhinocerator142
@protorhinocerator142 Ай бұрын
Peter just found the lost canyon. Waldo and Carmen San Diego wisely stay just out of camera shot.
@RoddyPerry
@RoddyPerry Ай бұрын
Argentina is a Federal Republic Peter... I understand that from your point of you (macro) it seems like a unitary system, it is not. The provinces and local government have tangible powers and some financial independence. In fact, the constitution of Argentina is pretty much a carbon copy of the American. And comparing the unitary system of China and Russia to Argentina's is quite insulting. Argentina has had peaceful uninterrupted transfer of power since the end of the last dictatorship (80s) as opposed to other countries... Argentina has many failures, being similar to a dictatorship is not one of them. You got this one wrong.
@RoddyPerry
@RoddyPerry Ай бұрын
@@Truffle_Young_Jr Lazy comment. Argentina had 13 Presidents since the 80s. And read my comment in its entirety. Go back to your cave troll.
@CardThrone
@CardThrone Ай бұрын
zeihan gets most things wrong, but he says it with confidence so people believe his bullshit.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 Ай бұрын
Its so weird he talks so confidently yet he stumbles so ofthen on so manh embarrassing mistakes.. i have doubts about his predictions
@smartmoneymindset3052
@smartmoneymindset3052 Ай бұрын
Not bad for earning a sizable KZfaq ads and having fun in the mountains. Keep it up!
@4tress300zx
@4tress300zx 12 күн бұрын
He can't. He is too old to keep it up.
@oweneather1435
@oweneather1435 12 күн бұрын
Interesting to hear a version of the frontispiece to " The Romance of the Three Kingdoms" from Zeihan; " Divided the Empire unites United, must divide". In 1998, on a first. Visit to Shanghai, learning of its own , strong dialect,its speaking population around 100 million and historical sense of difference, it seemed the " poster child" for splitism. No wonder Shanghai mayors have such clout. Central knows this, too. Reassuring Zeihan confirmed my hypothesis.
@globalroamer1900
@globalroamer1900 Ай бұрын
excellent vid Pete
@jacksmith-mu3ee
@jacksmith-mu3ee Ай бұрын
@@globalroamer1900 joker
@hanfucolorful9656
@hanfucolorful9656 Ай бұрын
comedian
@syjiang
@syjiang Ай бұрын
Yeah there is a glaring lack of a successor to him much like the scenario with Putin. I would say the scenario is a little less dangerous compared to russia since there is still a CCP apparatus that would most likely internally pick a leader among themselves after a lot of intrigue and purges. Probably the most immediate successor is some figurehead from the security institution like MSS much akin to the Russia silovik before a political candidate with the backing of the armed forces push them out. But whomever is picked, they can't command the centralized power that Xi did and the locals are gonna start doing their own things, ignoring the central state.
@forgivemenot1
@forgivemenot1 Ай бұрын
The more likely thing to happen when you have government collapse and then the chaos of that starts is that the military steps in because they at least have a clear chain of command, manpower and organisational ability. I don’t see a way for the party to take back power with no clear person with a faction to back them, unless there is a clear path of succession to follow it will most likely fall apart.
@nayon9379
@nayon9379 Ай бұрын
🎀 THE GOSPEL OF THE WORD OF ALMIGHTY GOD "the last age in which God is saving man from the imminent destruction of this old world" (Today, I confirm My administrative assignments for you (taking anxiety of the day of adoption of them, which assigns different malice to different people): I kept My promises, and all in My hands: whosoever doubts will surely be killed. As the firstborn children, you must keep your own positions and will take your duties well and do not be inetheless. Do not make shameful things; be for example for all My sons and in My people. Do not be gross at least one moment: You must always show all the identity of the firstborn children, and do not move the tall- The forehead. You must devote yourselves to fulfilling what I have entrusted with you with all your heart, all over your mind and your full strength. From this day, throughout the world of the universe, the duty of shepherding to all My children and My people will be entrusted to My firstborn children to fulfill, and who can not execute it with all their heart and with all their mind I will accomplish. I will let My firstborn children apply My righteousness according to their desires against any of My children and My people who violate this assignment. My eldest children will take the steel rod from now and will begin to enforce My authority to rule over all nations and people, walk in the midst of all nations and people, and carry judgment, righteousness, and majesty in the midst of all nations and people. My children and My people are fearful of Me, I will praise Me, glorify Me and glorify Me without a continuance, because My plan is fulfilled and can be kept with My firstborn children. It will be proof. Because My will is not hindered, and because I am glorified with My firstborn children, I will enforce My righteousness and majesty in the world in all things belonging to Satan. My light will reveal to you every day and release the world of the universe of My voice. This is your duty, the responsibility I have entrusted to you. You should not let it be short. The people I enjoy, I will use to the end, and not IT will ever change.) Almighty God said Today, I CONFIRM My ADMINISTRATIVE assignments for you (Acting start of the day of adoption, which assigns different wit to different people): I FULFILLED My PROMISES, and all in My hands: Any doubts will surely be killed. There is no place for any consideration; Immediately they will be destroyed, thus removing hatred from My heart. (Tested from now that anyone who is killed should not be a member of My Kingdom, and must be the descendant of Satan.) ☀️ As the FIRSTBORN CHILDREN, you must KEEP your OWN POSITIONS and TAKE your DUTIES WELL, and do NOT be INTRUSIVE. You MUST OFFER yourself to My PLAN of RULE, and WHEREVER you GO must BE GOOD to TESTIFY to Me and GLORIFY My NAME. 🙏☀️ Do NOT make SHAMEFUL THINGS; Be an EXAMPLE for ALL My CHILDREN and My PEOPLE. Do NOT be GROSSLY for a MOMENT: You must ALWAYS SHOW EVERYONE with the IDENTITY of the ELDEST CHILDREN, and do NOT MANAGE SLAVES, BUT WALKING HEIGHT. 🙏💐 I ASK you to GLORIFY My NAME, NOT SHAME My NAME. EACH of the FIRSTBORN CHILDREN has his OWN DUTY, and EVERYTHING can NOT DO everything. This is the RESPONSIBILITY I GAVE YOU, which should NOT be CRAFTED. You must DEVOTE YOURSELVES to FULFILLING what I have ENTRUSTED with YOU with ALL YOUR HEART, YOUR WHOLE MIND and YOUR FULL STRENGTH. 🙏 FROM this DAY, THROUGHOUT the WORLD of the UNIVERSE, the DUTY of SHEPHERD to all My SONS and My WHOLE PEOPLE will be ENTRUSTED to My FIRSTBORN CHILDREN for FULFILLING, and who can not enforce it with all their heart and their whole mind is I will trap. 🙏 This is My RIGHTEOUSNESS. I will not condemn or to reduce the penalty even with my ELDEST CHILDREN. IF there is ANY ONE of My CHILDREN or My PEOPLE who are RIDICULING and INSULTING ONE of My FIRSTBORN CHILDREN, I WILL be CRUEL to PUNISH THEM, because My ELDEST CHILDREN REPRESENTS Me; ANYONE else DOES to THEM, THEY DO Me. This is the MAXIMUM of My ADMINISTRATIVE ASSIGNMENTS. I will let My FIRSTBORN CHILDREN APPLY My RIGHTEOUSNESS ACCORDING to THEIR DESIRES AGAINST any of My CHILDREN and My PEOPLE who VIOLATE this ASSIGNMENT. ☀️ Units I will leave anyone who sees me without much goodness and just bind My food, clothing, and sleep, just care about My outdoor activities and have no consideration of My burden, and not paying attention to the good fulfilling their own duty. For it everyone with hearing. Anyone who ends with My service should be obediently backward without any mushroom. Be careful, if I will not fix you. (Additional assignment.) My ELDEST CHILDREN will TAKE the IRON ROD from NOW and will BEGIN to ENFORCE My AUTHORITY'S to RULE OVER all NATIONS and PEOPLE, WALK in the MIDST of all NATIONS and PEOPLE, and CARRY OUT My JUDGMENT, RIGHTEOUSNESS, and MAJESTY in MIDDLE of all NATIONS and TOWNS. ☀️ My CHILDREN and My PEOPLE are FEARFUL of Me, PRAISE Me, GLORIFY Me, and GLORIFY Me WITHOUT a CONTINENT, because My PLAN of GOVERNANCE is FULFILLED and can be WITH My FIRSTBORN CHILDREN. It is part of My ADMINISTRATIVE ASSIGNMENTS; After that, I will tell you them as the work progresses. ☀️ From ADMINISTRATIVE ASSIGNMENTS above, you will see the SPEED of HOW I made My WORK. It WILL be PROOF. I was asked Satan. Because My will is not hindered, and because I am GLORIFIED with My FIRSTBORN CHILDREN, I will ENFORCE My RIGHTEOUSNESS and MAJESTY in the WORLD in ALL things BELONGING to SATAN. I do not lift a finger or pay attention to Satan in any way (because it is not worthy of talking to me) 🙏 I JUST DO what I WANT to DO. My WORK goes WELL, ONE STEP, and does NOT HINDER My WILL AROUND the WORLD. Satan is embarrassed to a level because of this, and it has been completely destroyed, but it still does not fulfill My will. I also ALLOW My FIRSTBORN CHILDREN to IMPLEMENT My ADMINISTRATIVE ASSIGNMENTS to PEOPLE. On the one hand, I let Satan see My hatred to it, on the other hand, I let it see My glory (see My firstborn children the most famous witnesses of Satan's humiliation) I do not personally punishes it; 🙏 But I let My firstborn children enforce My righteousness and majesty. Since Satan was abused by My children, My children were persecuted, and oppressed My children, NOW, AFTER its SERVICE, I will ALLOW My ADULT ELDEST CHILDREN to FIX IT. 🙏 Satan is lost against the stab. The parenthesis of all the nations of the world is the best testimony, clearly demonstrating Satan's Kingdom to struggle with the fight of the people and war of the nations. The REASON I did NOT SHOW any SIGNS and WONDERS then TO be SHAMED by SATAN and GLORIFY My NAME, GRADUALLY. 💐 When Satan is completely overwhelmed, I will begin to show My power: I say, and the unusual things that are not in harmony with human unstables are fulfilled (it refers to the blessings that are coming soon). Because I'm the practical God itself and I have no rules, and because I speak according to the changes to My plan management, what I said in the past is not necessarily appropriate. ☀️ Do not hold your own understandings! I am not God who follows the principles; To me, everything is free, dominant, and completely released. Perhaps those who said yesterday is now not up to date, or perhaps now being reminded (but, My administrative assignments, since they have been adopted, will never change). ☀️ These are the steps in My management plan. Do not hold the rules. Every day there is a new light and there are new statements, and that's My plan. My LIGHT will REVEAL to you EVERY DAY and RELEASE the WORLD of the UNIVERSE of My VOICE. Do you understand? 🙏 This is YOUR DUTY, the RESPONSIBILITY I have ENTRUSTED to YOU. You SHOULD NOT let it be SHORT. The PEOPLE I ENJOY, I will USE it to the END, and it will NEVER CHANGE. Because I am GOD ALMIGHTY, I KNOW WHAT KIND of PERSON SHOULD DO what, and WHAT KIND of PERSON CAN do SOMETHING. This is My UNPARALLELED POWER. 🙏 Note📨 (This is the fulfillment of prophecy "I have seen the thrones and the sits there have been given the right to judge. I also saw the soul of those behaved for witnessing about Jesus and revelation of God's Word. They do not worship the monster or in It's a picture of the brand of the monster on their forehead or hand. They were raised to reign with Christ for a thousand years." Rev. 20: 4) 📨 From "the WORD Appears in the Flesh". Holy Book. Fulfilled in "In the beginning he was Word, the Word was with God, and the Word was God" (John 1: 1) And (Ezekiel 2: 9-10), (Rev. 19: 9,13). 📥Calling and leading everyone to His lowered Kingdom or Church because it is still standing on earth in the holy place in the air/ youtube "THE CHURCH OF ALMIGHTY GOD 💐 this is the fulfillment of what He said to Peter 2,000 years ago, recorded in (Matthew 16:18'19). This is the the only Church of each one of our spirit that we must listen to or eat and drink like how we eat, dress and sleep every day so that He can guide us and change us by rejecting the evil attached by satan so as to be perfect, having attained eternal life that will enter the coming replacement of the New Heaven and New Earth. 💌
@skydragon23101979
@skydragon23101979 Ай бұрын
Not likely because the power is still concentrated in the center. As long as the power is concentrated in the center the wealth would be. Only when you start giving power to the locals does that happen. If not only rampant and blanca t corruption resulting in serious social unrest or military adventurism will cause the collapse.
@argonxu1498
@argonxu1498 26 күн бұрын
if there is a outstanding man to be successor, dude will say he/she is threading Xi's position and power, blalalalalalalalalal
@garhent
@garhent 20 күн бұрын
You might want to stop saying "Peter files". What does that sound like to a voice search engine, if found guilty of it you are going to jail for a few decades.
@BigPictureYT
@BigPictureYT Ай бұрын
Peter is exaggerating. By 2040, when Xi is 87, there will still be over a billion Han people under the age of 60. The country may break apart, but the Han are not going to disappear.
@Llewellyn2844
@Llewellyn2844 Ай бұрын
In Zeihan's clueless world, some country is always about to collapse.
@Nah_Bohdi
@Nah_Bohdi Ай бұрын
Westenfallen. 😞
@Alex_Plante
@Alex_Plante Ай бұрын
He was 17 or 18 when the USSR collapsed, and it seems to have marked him deeply.
@Rob-metoo527
@Rob-metoo527 Ай бұрын
Yes, but china is a third world country.
@danielch6662
@danielch6662 Ай бұрын
Nothing Zeihan predicts ever come true. With his terrible record, why does anybody listen to him?
@mikitz
@mikitz Ай бұрын
@@danielch6662 Nobody in the West saw the USSR's collapse, meaning it is difficult to predict anything.
@andrewblain3405
@andrewblain3405 Ай бұрын
Someone much cleverer than me said "The future is already here it just isn't evenly distributed" If you want to know what an aged country looks like... ...Japan. China is big enough for china to 'fail' and for a part of china to still have the worlds second biggest economy. And another part to have the third biggest.
@weng.chinghsun
@weng.chinghsun 23 күн бұрын
Very impressive. Can’t imagine an American understand china so well👍
@winstonzhou4595
@winstonzhou4595 21 күн бұрын
Is this supposed to be sarcastic?
@TheCable2380
@TheCable2380 13 күн бұрын
You gotta change that name! Peter files. Really. Ask Peter files. We can ask Herbert from family guy?
@andyash5675
@andyash5675 Ай бұрын
It's the primary test. When no-one can consider who will lead after the leader dies - then it has gone horribly wrong for those that are being led. It's not a clear cut line though. When there is a plan for after the leader but the options are severely restrictive, say dynastic in nature, it's nearly as bad. There are well known successful monarchies that recognise this fact. In any case where it is difficult to find a leader, then those who are led are in trouble. For anyone that resents their benign monarch, it's important to recognise that circumstances change and their critical value is as a "get out of jail free card". No guarantees, but better than not. It worries me that we are moving towards technology that can cause, or simulate, everlasting life. It's bound to be bad.
@abdondjibril4231
@abdondjibril4231 Ай бұрын
Wishful thinking, sorry excuse for analyst
@andyash5675
@andyash5675 Ай бұрын
@@abdondjibril4231 Get a life.
@ShroomSleep
@ShroomSleep Ай бұрын
This is the Only guy talking about the demise of China when Everyone else forecasts China to be the #1 economy by 2050. 🤔😄
@fatdoi003
@fatdoi003 Ай бұрын
your forgot gordon chang
@bryanherman8601
@bryanherman8601 Ай бұрын
Wow… you have no regards for Chinas age demographics problem, based on the one child policy. Your saying Peter is the only one who thinks that alone can take down CCP economy. There are lots of other CCP problems, that many people are talking about. WOW. I guess I am not part of your “EVERYONE ELSE” claim….
@ShroomSleep
@ShroomSleep Ай бұрын
@@bryanherman8601 guess not
@jeremymandelkern9260
@jeremymandelkern9260 Ай бұрын
Yeah China's economy continues to grow and grow despite sky high unemployment and massively shrinking demographics hmmm... I'm beginning to think the most recent post COVID recovery period growth report of 5+% economic growth might of been just made up!? But then what of all the other totally real economic projections from the CCP?!
@brianjones7660
@brianjones7660 29 күн бұрын
critical water shortages as shown by Poly matter.....
@VKL817
@VKL817 Ай бұрын
Peter is talking nonsense and pure assumptions with confidence in his voice.
@KartMak
@KartMak Ай бұрын
Xi is an immortal with infinite wisdom.
@anitagorse9204
@anitagorse9204 Ай бұрын
At median scenario there's going to be 700 millions of Chinese in 2100 and at worst case scenario 350-400 millions. That's still a lot of people, even if they are elderly. Probably won't have enough manpower to start a war or serious economic breakthroughs, but China will continue to be important , at least in Asia.
@marty5627
@marty5627 Ай бұрын
I agree, you have to remember that there are a LOT of Chinese people - even if the population drops to half or a quarter of the current level, they would still be in the top 5 countries in the world in population (and that’s assuming US and Indonesia keep growing robustly).
@lifefun1987
@lifefun1987 Ай бұрын
white will be minority in 2040 in US. 0:04 only one third by 2100 who is screwed?
@serafinacosta7118
@serafinacosta7118 Ай бұрын
One word. Immigration. No, not Asian immigration. African immigration.
@chadwells7562
@chadwells7562 Ай бұрын
That’s assuming that the state is intact with control over the territory they have now. In a time of demographic and economic collapse breakup is entirely possible.
@davidz7858
@davidz7858 Ай бұрын
@@chadwells7562 even only 700 millions, it is double of current US population. How collapse could happen?
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