China's Energy Problem and Dealing with the Taliban || Peter Zeihan

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Zeihan on Geopolitics

Zeihan on Geopolitics

7 ай бұрын

When one of your best options for securing an energy supply route is with the Pakistani Taliban, you know you've got some problems. So go ahead and add that one to China's ever-growing list of 'shit to figure out.'
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#china #energy #taliban

Пікірлер: 1 000
@shj2000
@shj2000 7 ай бұрын
That was a long walk. All the way from Chicago to the mountains of Colorado.
@kurio999
@kurio999 7 ай бұрын
Much of this is starting to sound familiar. Part of the reason that Japan started the war in the Pacific theatre was a fear of oil shortages. Back in Germany, they were converting coal into synthetic fuel to resolve their oil constraints.
@SonnyBubba
@SonnyBubba 7 ай бұрын
History might not repeat itself, but it often rhymes.
@LiberRaider
@LiberRaider 7 ай бұрын
*Hoi4 music intensifies*
@d.thomas6988
@d.thomas6988 7 ай бұрын
​@@SonnyBubbaPerun fan?
@cavemanfj40
@cavemanfj40 7 ай бұрын
Your point is well taken. In 1941, Japan desperately sought the oil reserves in the Dutch Indies. It was a substantial reserve, but the Philippines and Australia presented a problem. The surprise attack on Pearl Harbor was in part just such a move. But as it turned out, the US Navy was too much. Same is true today, but not much is said by Peter about Indonesian oil or that same region. Home of Dutch Shell Oil. The US Navy continues to be the thorn in the side for Chinese ambition, and now the Japanese are allies.
@EroticOnion23
@EroticOnion23 7 ай бұрын
@@cavemanfj40 this is why China funds BLM/antifa/democrats, etc. Best way to destroy a major power is from within. USA supports Taiwan/Tibet/Xinjiang jihadis, so I guess it all evens out...😅
@PhiLeo7973
@PhiLeo7973 7 ай бұрын
Zeihan, I realize there is a lead time in posting your GeoStrategic vids, but we really need an update on the current Iran/Pakistani conflict.Thanks.Stay safe and always look forward to your briefings.🇺🇲👍
@rosomak8244
@rosomak8244 7 ай бұрын
Beluchi tribes are living on both sides of the border there. Some of them would like to be neither in iran nor in pakistan. Both the iran and pakistan agree to bobs each others problem to keep pretenses to not use rockets in resolving internal affairs.
@talkinghand4839
@talkinghand4839 7 ай бұрын
Why the Iran bombs Pakistan, a nuclear country. What does this say? Even if you have nukes, others are not afraid of you? India is definitely thinking about this.
@matthewmcclary7855
@matthewmcclary7855 7 ай бұрын
I never looked at these as daily briefings before your comment. It was just a part of my morning routine but you have categorized them correctly and I don't know how to feel about this now. The world is how you see it, there is power in words, and we are what we eat. This has been a strange look into self improvement or self destruction. I'm not sure what this says about us.
@PhiLeo7973
@PhiLeo7973 7 ай бұрын
​@@matthewmcclary7855 I have come to appreciate Peter Zeihan's perspective on GeoPolitical issues of substantive gravity. I fear much of the world is preoccupied with Sports, the Kardashians, and other bagatelle, and our country the U.S., is facing critical, multiple crises; Fiat currency,profligate spending, open borders, looming wars,a vulnerable grid, sleeper cells, and more. It makes me cherish Zeihan's updates. Thank you for your pithy comment.Stay safe brother.
@matthewmcclary7855
@matthewmcclary7855 7 ай бұрын
@@PhiLeo7973 you stay safe as well. Respect.
@chopsticksandtrains
@chopsticksandtrains 7 ай бұрын
I'm living here in China and I remember when China started buddying up to the Taliban. I asked some people here about it and most don't even know what the Taliban is! 🤦‍♂
@christophertobin5696
@christophertobin5696 7 ай бұрын
I live and teach in China and I noticed how the Chinese are extremely apathetic towards anything regarding current events. But then again this system of governance/culture breeds apathy.
@zl4384
@zl4384 7 ай бұрын
@@christophertobin5696 The same goes for Americans. I guess it's because both China and the United States have a large enough area, and the differences and distances between their administrative regions are already comparable to most countries
@christophertobin5696
@christophertobin5696 7 ай бұрын
@@zl4384 I would argue the apathy is much worse here than it is USA. Not saying it doesn't exist for Americans, but the severity of it is awful for Chinese. Plus, Xi Jinping and his CCP managed to stomp out any form of civil society that managed to arise before he took power. What little there was at the time, is now gone.
@christophertobin5696
@christophertobin5696 7 ай бұрын
@@zl4384 We should be fortunate that we still have SOME civil society left.
@chopsticksandtrains
@chopsticksandtrains 7 ай бұрын
Americans are much more involved in politics and with what's happening in and out of their own country. Recently in China there were horrific, devastating earthquakes in central China and almost no one in China even heard about it because Chinese State Media represses all bad news - even weather related news! It's crazy! @@zl4384
@josephhager1933
@josephhager1933 7 ай бұрын
I live in rural Missouri and I want to thank you for your videos, by watching them I feel I understand world events much better, and I think that's important thank you.
@user-nq1yx9id6n
@user-nq1yx9id6n 6 ай бұрын
Take it with a grain of salt. One of peters popular takes is this “de-globalization” whilst we are seeing nationalistic views hated on while things like the World economic forum are on the rise
@HoniiK18
@HoniiK18 6 ай бұрын
Please just get out of your comfort zone and visit china and see it for yourself. There's lots of YT vloggers visiting China and they now realized how much they have been lied to by their govt!
@cheeaunmin254
@cheeaunmin254 6 ай бұрын
Dude....nothing beats visiting n seeing China with your own eyes than to listen to this clown 🤡 If China is so bad as what this clown is saying, I m very sure the chinese people wud hv overthrow the government many decades ago 😂😂
@rick67hou
@rick67hou 7 ай бұрын
I like how he teleports from Chicago to what I'm assuming is the rockies within the same video. He's magical!
@mikemason746
@mikemason746 7 ай бұрын
Yes, that was a long walk.
@jochum334
@jochum334 7 ай бұрын
They may have fixed it by now but one of the things that came back to bite china when they banned australian coal was that a lot of the Chinese powerplants were designed for the much cleaner "better" australian coal. When they tried running those plants on the dirty low grade chinese coal it just clogged up the pipes basically. So... Just having the coal wont necessarily save them
@6point5by55
@6point5by55 7 ай бұрын
Yep.And then their alternative suppliers got hit by covid and the whole system started to fall apart so they had to start importing Aussie coal again to fix their self-created energy crisis.
@dcc70
@dcc70 7 ай бұрын
China is trying to monopolize the EV and EV battery market
@RamblingRodeo
@RamblingRodeo 7 ай бұрын
Interesting, i was not aware of different qualities of coal. Couldnt China just retool them to be able to run the dirtier coal? Perhaps not, China is not known for knowing how to retool or anything along those lines.
@Ibn_Abdulaziz
@Ibn_Abdulaziz 7 ай бұрын
The goal of all Muslim groups should be to get to the angles&saxones and their ashkenazee masters. If it means working with the polytheist of the east, or weaken the $, so be it. Because these disbelievers spread corruption, polytheism, atheism and immorality on Allah's ﷻ earth and have gone unchecked by pushing buttons. The dollar printing has to endto force them into face to face. And giving china the worldly stuff it covers for such a desk benefits both Muslims&china.
@Ibn_Abdulaziz
@Ibn_Abdulaziz 7 ай бұрын
The goal of all Muslim groups should be to get to the angles🇬🇧🇺🇸saxones and their ashke🇮🇱nazee masters. If it means working with the east🇨🇳 & weakeninh the 💰, so be it. Because these disbelievers spread corruption, polytheism, atheism and immorality on Allah's ﷻ earth and have gone unchecked with pushing buttons. The 💰 printing has to end in order to force them into face to face. And giving chi🇨🇳na the worldly stuff it covets for such a deal benefits both Musli🇸🇦ms&chi🇨🇳na.
@hoilst265
@hoilst265 7 ай бұрын
"Taliban Taliban Does whatever a Tali can."
@Coastfog
@Coastfog 7 ай бұрын
I can't believe that in more than 23 years of knowing about the Taliban, I've never seen this one before, I appreciate it.
@RudyG01
@RudyG01 7 ай бұрын
You sire, are a genius!
@anonymousaustralianhistory2081
@anonymousaustralianhistory2081 7 ай бұрын
When china boycotted Australia's coal exports, they suffered a lot of brown outs, as their power plants were built to operate with a higher quality of coal like that of Australia's coal so even in that situations they may still suffer at home energy wise via a conflict unless they have magically modified their power plants across the coubtry in 18months. Which is extremely unlilely
@user-ln5pi6zp2t
@user-ln5pi6zp2t 7 ай бұрын
Australian coal, anthracite, is not used for power generation but for steel production.
@shazmosushi
@shazmosushi 7 ай бұрын
Australia exports large amounts of both thermal coal and metallurgical coal: Australia’s exports [of metallurgical coal] are forecast to lift from an estimated 163 Mt in 2022-23 to 175 Mt in 2024-25 as several new mines open. A gradual recovery from recent supply outages is expected to see Australian thermal coal exports rise from 178 Mt in 2022-23 to 202 Mt in 2024-25. Source this June 2023 update: www.industry.gov.au/publications/resources-and-energy-quarterly-june-2023
@stanbatchelor810
@stanbatchelor810 7 ай бұрын
​@user-ln5pi6zp2t pretty sure anthracite with low sulphur and ash is used as metallurgical coal, anthracite that doesn't meet this criteria can still be used as thermal coal.
@Dept246
@Dept246 7 ай бұрын
@@user-ln5pi6zp2tMost of Australia exports were thermal coal used for generating electricity. China is largely self-sufficient in coking coal for steel-making, and what it does import comes mainly overland from neighbouring Mongolia. The Chinese government has been cranking up standards for new coal plants. Most new plants built today are ultra-supercritical. With each boost in temperature and pressure, the process gets cleaner, yielding more energy and less pollution per unit of coal. (Cleaner plants are also, as you’d expect, more expensive.) That’s why China’s newer power plants need higher quality coal.
@bigcity2085
@bigcity2085 7 ай бұрын
Didn't Australia build the largest coal mine in the world, up north on the eastern side ? And then abandon some allies up northwest of the western side and China swooped in ? And then got totally slammed in their exports for asking about covid ? After the Chinese tried to influence their politics ? And now we're stuck with their Murdock ? I think Peter could do a thing on Australia...could be wrong.
@audrunasgruslys9243
@audrunasgruslys9243 7 ай бұрын
The availability of domestic coal is actually one of the reasons why they are pushing so hard on electric cars
@RapturesBounty
@RapturesBounty 7 ай бұрын
China MASSIVE reserves of coal MASSIVE
@siphotheguy1870
@siphotheguy1870 7 ай бұрын
You make a good point here.
@moshethepirate1428
@moshethepirate1428 7 ай бұрын
I also think militarily, electeic combat vehichles will eventually be the standard. It could take 10 years or 100, but look at Russias 50km convoy outside Kiev. Partisans destroyed the fuel trucks and crippled "the 2nd strongest military in the world"
@Vzzdak
@Vzzdak 7 ай бұрын
No, their EV push is artificial. Driven by exploitation of govt. subsidies. Supported by IP theft. Exported through secret agreements crafted in Davos.
@michaelplunkett8059
@michaelplunkett8059 7 ай бұрын
​@@moshethepirate1428 And where would the convoy sit like ducks to recharge? Armys usually move through a landscape, not tied to charging points. How much easier to take out power lines or a generating station. Without fuel, it is back to the horse.
@fc872e1
@fc872e1 7 ай бұрын
Two other enormous petroleum sources USA had access to prior to achieving energy independence were Mexico and Canada, and it doesn’t get much easier or closer than that
@stephenhaas376
@stephenhaas376 7 ай бұрын
It only takes about two months to set up a fracking wall. It takes about 3 to 4 years to set up a conventional wall in Texas. The fracking well gives you sweet crude which needs a little refining. We lost five refineries under the Biden administration. This lessons the supply.
@shermanpeabody6102
@shermanpeabody6102 6 ай бұрын
Same way China gets most of its natural gas and oil from Russia.
@longrider5113
@longrider5113 7 ай бұрын
This looks like it was recorded in the Summer? Right now Chicago is minus 20 and has a couple feet of snow!
@johnhughes2124
@johnhughes2124 7 ай бұрын
So If I'm understanding this correctly, the Chinese WILL face huge problems sourcing crude products for industrial usage, but assuming they're willing to put up with horrible air quality will at least have their lights on.
@chrisjackson1215
@chrisjackson1215 7 ай бұрын
Honestly, how much worse could their air quality get?
@johnhughes2124
@johnhughes2124 7 ай бұрын
@@chrisjackson1215 That's true, same for India but it doesn't have the problems with access to oil
@marcariotto1709
@marcariotto1709 7 ай бұрын
They're actually making pretty big gains on air pollution since the olympics, but it's all relative and yeah, the whole liquid fuel problem and a stream of other mounting issues.
@tim211292
@tim211292 7 ай бұрын
@@marcariotto1709 their gains are because they buy Australian coal which is black coal which pollutes less, in case of a conflict this goes away and they are forced to use their local brown coal which not only isnt enough to power china but will make the good old days of not seeing the sun come back
@dcc70
@dcc70 7 ай бұрын
​@@chrisjackson1215Air pollution generated in China affects more than China. Korea, Japan and other neighbors of China also suffer, through no fault of their own. Greenhouse gases affect the whole planet.
@mmmbop860
@mmmbop860 7 ай бұрын
China have energy issue? Really? Ain't Russia is diverting it oil & gas from EU to China? foreign owned factory/businesses in China are closing and relocating to India/Vietnam/Mexico/etc. China economy are collapsing & shrinking. Why China still need more energy?
@mitchellhawkes22
@mitchellhawkes22 7 ай бұрын
My feeling is that Peter's updates are vital. They are the best thing on KZfaq and the internet. I can't think of anybody in second place.
@lgradywilson
@lgradywilson 7 ай бұрын
As always, an insightful analysis punctuated with humour.
@robsaupe
@robsaupe 7 ай бұрын
I worked for a Company that ships a lot of US coal to China. I watch trains daily headed to the coast to be shipped to China. But, the regime has pulled any future permits for the coal mines. Our local power plant still runs on low grade coal and will for many years due to stock piles of the "low grade" coal.
@Randomdive
@Randomdive 6 ай бұрын
Interesting - is the majority of the coal extracted low-grade in your area?
@robsaupe
@robsaupe 6 ай бұрын
@Randomdive no. Sometimes, it gets washed before shipping, about 10%. The coal I'm referring to for the local plant is what we call garbage coal. One of the last "dirty plants" of its kind. Can't shut it down because 90% of its power goes to California.
@guiwhiz
@guiwhiz 6 ай бұрын
@@robsaupe Kind of surprised if you are near the West coast that your coal-fired power plant hasn't succumbed to a gas fired one. Especially since that would make you close enough to the shale to get NG at disposal rates. Honestly, we didn't really need legislation to kill the coal power industry in the USA. The economics were already taking care of it. I would assume your coal-fired plant has a replacement plan already in place with permits pending.
@donaldbadowski6048
@donaldbadowski6048 7 ай бұрын
Chicago hasn't looked like this in weeks..
@E4439Qv5
@E4439Qv5 7 ай бұрын
He filmed this early.
@SPW812
@SPW812 7 ай бұрын
@@E4439Qv5 No one was in shorts this week with -10 to +10F weather.
@Padoinky
@Padoinky 7 ай бұрын
Chicago in January - no snow, walking the lakefront w/ a casual jacket, no lake ice… must have been filmed in early fall?
@markdonaldson7934
@markdonaldson7934 7 ай бұрын
A nice addition to Peter's ongoing KZfaq video work....I was a little disappointed at first, but then he finished it off with another great hat. These videos are not the same without a great hat....the Roman Century one still rules!
@silentviewer3754
@silentviewer3754 7 ай бұрын
Happy Birthday Peter 🎁😊
@Fishpasta4
@Fishpasta4 7 ай бұрын
It's going to be interesting to see which China values more. Its relationship with the Taliban which fuels their thirst for raw materials. or Its relationship with Pakistan which provides a geopolitical foothold in the Middle East and offsets the Indians. With the Taliban attacking Pakistan and now Pakistan & Iran trading blows China may not be able to just sit on the sidelines like it's done for the past century, it may actually have to pick a side and stand by it.
@LoneWolf-wp9dn
@LoneWolf-wp9dn 7 ай бұрын
Theyve been hoping to get people to stop fighting each other through brics... but its not like the muslims ever cared about such things
@WackadoodleMalarkey
@WackadoodleMalarkey 7 ай бұрын
Mo money mo problems
@goenzoy712
@goenzoy712 7 ай бұрын
China can wait easy for a very long time.Cleary it doesn't need pick side or advocate a strategy like the West in Ukraine with "Let's pump the place full of weapons to achieve territorial integrity"
@RamblingRodeo
@RamblingRodeo 7 ай бұрын
It is interesting, that they need to get through India, id put my money on India's Navy vs. the Chinese Navy!
@PranicEnergy
@PranicEnergy 7 ай бұрын
China's never meddle in conflicts and pick sides. It only defend itself when picked upon.
@ratboy717
@ratboy717 7 ай бұрын
Your channel is excellent. Insightful analysis and you keep it nice and concise. Any of these videos could easily be 20+ minutes but you keep them easy to digest.
@carterpelzel5003
@carterpelzel5003 7 ай бұрын
I just got to this part in your book! It’s crazy that I can see it happening in the real world.
@spartancrown
@spartancrown 7 ай бұрын
This was filmed before New Years.
@kamikazetsunami9137
@kamikazetsunami9137 7 ай бұрын
Best way to start your day, with geostrateguy in your cup!
@kjd4476
@kjd4476 7 ай бұрын
Excellent business model 😂. 5% that's it. Lmao
@piano1350
@piano1350 7 ай бұрын
I love how Peter Zeihan keeps teleporting
@Indrid__Cold
@Indrid__Cold 7 ай бұрын
I believe China is also continuing to invest in nuclear power. To them, nuclear waste is something you can probably force on poor rural villages to care for.
@freddiejohames8332
@freddiejohames8332 7 ай бұрын
then you need the fuel, which in their size i dont think is feasible. plus you need a lot of expertise of building them which is really hard to increase to their scale.
@Blondul11
@Blondul11 7 ай бұрын
@@freddiejohames8332 China shares a border with Kazakstan. Get your facts right, they can definitely get enough nuclear fuel.
@homersimpson5899
@homersimpson5899 7 ай бұрын
Aren’t American rivers and lakes extremely polluted. Lol
@wiryantirta
@wiryantirta 7 ай бұрын
@@homersimpson5899 havent been to boonies china havent you. at least the sky is fucking blue in america (when its not raining constantly like now). but then again wumaos like you cant tell anyways.
@lawrenceg4104
@lawrenceg4104 7 ай бұрын
​@@homersimpson5899You are talking about that one lake/river in Michigan. Our waters are not polluted. Sorry to burst your bubble
@roberthoward9500
@roberthoward9500 7 ай бұрын
China had rolling blackouts when they banned Australian coal so I am not sure they do have enough coal to sustain themselves.
@tony16991
@tony16991 7 ай бұрын
It wasn't because they banned Australian coal. And even then those blackouts were in Sinchuan due to heatwaves. It wasn't because of lack of coal. It was because of unexpected rise in consumption.
@loot6
@loot6 7 ай бұрын
They built a load of new coal power stations last year.
@dcc70
@dcc70 7 ай бұрын
So why import Australian coal at all, if there's plenty of domestic coal? Production capacity bottleneck?
@tim211292
@tim211292 7 ай бұрын
@@dcc70 Australian coal is of a higher quality, both for electricity generation and their coal cannot be used for steel production, they need Australian coal for that too. also they absolutely did have blackouts due to banning Australian coal, we have data that the chinese tried ramping up their coal production but simply could not produce enough, they tried ill give them that but its simply not enough, Australia is the largest coal producer in the world, and cutting that supply off is not possible to replace.
@6point5by55
@6point5by55 7 ай бұрын
@@tony16991 They didn't have any auxiliary stockpiles like they had when they were importing Australian coal. The blackouts forced them to start to import Aussie coal again to build up those reserves and fill the shortfall in supply.
@AxionXIII
@AxionXIII 7 ай бұрын
You’ve been fire these last few weeks Peter, thank you!
@greggcal4583
@greggcal4583 7 ай бұрын
Must have been recorded in the fall, it was about 24 degrees yesterday in the Windy City.
@SeattlePioneer
@SeattlePioneer 7 ай бұрын
Oh dear! Is that warm enough to thaw out electric vehicles with frozen batteries? Your EVs would be OK if you all just moved to Las Angeles. After all--- it's for CLIMATE CHANGE! No sacrifice is too great!
@goldeneaglepower9845
@goldeneaglepower9845 7 ай бұрын
You somehow missed resource rich Central Asia and Russia. Especially russians how would willingly try to meet the gap China has. Do not underestimate energy resources that Central Asia have.
@TheTerhun
@TheTerhun 7 ай бұрын
Yeah, how could he forget Russia?
@Houthiandtheblowfish
@Houthiandtheblowfish 6 ай бұрын
@@TheTerhun he thinks russia doesnt exist and it will collapse but they are threatening europe at the same time
@RudyG01
@RudyG01 7 ай бұрын
Doesn't China also have the largest shale reserve of any country? Why haven't they scaled up production of their domestic shale?
@Teurtles
@Teurtles 7 ай бұрын
I love your walk in the mountains . How beautiful 😊
@georgew657
@georgew657 7 ай бұрын
Going for a walk in Chicago in the fall.
@TheStringBreaker
@TheStringBreaker 7 ай бұрын
*Gangsta Zeihan video as usual 🔥*
@johnmcintyre6687
@johnmcintyre6687 7 ай бұрын
thanks Peter can china not get what energy they need from Russia?
@Khal_Rheg0
@Khal_Rheg0 7 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@Vuntermonkey
@Vuntermonkey 7 ай бұрын
Zeihan is the Jim Cramer of geopolitics.
@tonym6566
@tonym6566 7 ай бұрын
😂🎯💯🤣
@christopherallen1138
@christopherallen1138 7 ай бұрын
Please talk about the Iran and Pakistan air strikes, my 2024 bingo card needs updating because this was nowhere on my radar.
@jeffkerr6098
@jeffkerr6098 7 ай бұрын
Chinese coal doesn't burn very hot. You should have mentioned that bit.
@mikemaher6375
@mikemaher6375 7 ай бұрын
Correct. Lower grade coal, brown coal, is not good enough, by itself, for steel making. For steel you need COKE, which is a manufactured product, from high grade coal. Countries which have exhausted their high grade coal, need to import it to make new steel.
@wam7484
@wam7484 7 ай бұрын
Coal liquification for liquid fuels. Solar and wind now, nuclear later for home-grown power.
@proEUcontraIslam
@proEUcontraIslam 7 ай бұрын
My favorite. Peter Zion ladies and gentlemen.
@betadryl
@betadryl 7 ай бұрын
China has 21 nuclear reactors under construction which will have a capacity for generating 21.61 gigawatts of electricity, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency. That is more than two and a half times more nuclear reactors under construction than any other country
@danz1182
@danz1182 7 ай бұрын
And given their record on construction quality and dealing with pretty much anything post ribbon-cutting day I am sure that won't produce any nightmarish problems at all. Cherynobl almost prevented the Ukraine war by rendering Ukraine uninhabitable for 150 years. What region do you think China will destroy first?
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 7 ай бұрын
​@@danz1182 the construction quality is largely overblown you will mostly encounter this in countrysides when you have 1.3 billion people and a large country you will come across shoddy construction , naturally
@Dept246
@Dept246 7 ай бұрын
@@danz1182China opened the world’s first 4th generation reactor in December 2023. Generation IV reactors are the latest, long-anticipated nuclear power plants that promise to be cheaper, safer, and more efficient than the current reactors.
@AnhPhan-yw1ur
@AnhPhan-yw1ur 7 ай бұрын
great . i hope they will not replace uranium with water like they did with their missiles
@k.k.c8670
@k.k.c8670 7 ай бұрын
China's nuclear infrastruture is one of the most, if not the safest in the world on track record@@danz1182
@jfrankcarr
@jfrankcarr 7 ай бұрын
Wasn't their "Belt and Road" scam supposed to help them with this?
@michaeldowson6988
@michaeldowson6988 7 ай бұрын
The Third World defaulted on the payments.
@billpace9104
@billpace9104 7 ай бұрын
Maybe they are shifting to a cheaper, application based belt and road initiative - like tik tok
@joela.4058
@joela.4058 7 ай бұрын
This was very informative and makes sense
@Thedaleb1
@Thedaleb1 7 ай бұрын
Thanks for the concise, straightforward information.
@Healingharp88
@Healingharp88 7 ай бұрын
Those retaliatory tariffs they imposed of us (Australia). Really came back to bite them. When they stopped buying so much of our coal for a time. But I think they are slowly coming back to buying what they used to. Now they've back down somewhat.
@k.k.c8670
@k.k.c8670 7 ай бұрын
How did it "bite them"? It didnt. Thats a false narrative peddled by some right wing Aussies. The ONLY thing that they needed from Australia has been Iron ore, while they ramp up production and imports elsehere. But for Ore, Australia cannot afford to not sell as well. India is not even close to making up any sudden Chinese fall in demand
@EireHammer
@EireHammer 7 ай бұрын
​@@k.k.c8670what about the rolling blackouts that happened in China after the tariffs were put in place? Just iron...riiight.
@Healingharp88
@Healingharp88 7 ай бұрын
@@k.k.c8670 your right, iron ore, and other rare earth metals. Iron ore being the biggest was perhaps of a bigger impact to China than coal restrictions. But I do think it is fair to say that stopping coal imports did affect them and did "bite them." Although maybe not to the extend I originally thought. When I commented earlier, I was thinking of information I learnt from the KZfaq channel 'Economics Explained' hardly what I'd call a right-wing source of information &/or bias.
@k.k.c8670
@k.k.c8670 7 ай бұрын
Blackouts were common even before the ban@@EireHammer
@EireHammer
@EireHammer 7 ай бұрын
@@k.k.c8670 there is a distinct difference between a blackout and rolling blackouts.
@SeeLasSee
@SeeLasSee 7 ай бұрын
Brown coal is one reason why China likes EVs and is pushing their deployment at home.
@zorrozorro1531
@zorrozorro1531 7 ай бұрын
Peter’s sunglasses game is next level
@ernesthale2471
@ernesthale2471 7 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@sakalelis69
@sakalelis69 7 ай бұрын
I would disagree... China buys tons of oil and gas for cheap from ruzzia... and ruzzia is very dependant on China for imports
@jameswalker366
@jameswalker366 7 ай бұрын
Good point. New pipelines incoming.
@steverogers5956
@steverogers5956 7 ай бұрын
@@jameswalker366 the existing and proposed pipelines can carry only a tiny fraction of Russia's output and China's needs
@peterflohr7827
@peterflohr7827 7 ай бұрын
Guess what, the russian oil also has to go via the Malacca Strait and South China Sea. And also via the Bab-el-Mandeb which is now threatened by their Houthi friends.
@danz1182
@danz1182 7 ай бұрын
It is hard to pipe oil across Siberia. You need to build a berm the entire length of the pipeline so your pipeline does not collapse when the ground goes to mush. Then when winter comes back the equipment has to deal with the harshest winter conditions away from the poles. Then when the thaw returns you have to make sure the entire length of your berm is OK. Also. That is a loooong pipeline.
@Reel___
@Reel___ 7 ай бұрын
I've heard the Chinese food is really good in China.
@usapanda7303
@usapanda7303 7 ай бұрын
It's absolute shit. I lived there for 10 years, extremely oily and tastes terrible. Many Chinese people when they go to USA prefer the Chinese food in USA (and all other food). The food is cleaner, fresher, more meat, more delicious. China is a toilet. Food safety is a MAJOR concern.
@helifanodobezanozi7689
@helifanodobezanozi7689 7 ай бұрын
Especially the restaurants that recycle grease from the trash bins! Let the buyer beware!!! 😆
@nasis18
@nasis18 7 ай бұрын
Interesting video.
@kayakutah
@kayakutah 7 ай бұрын
Apparently, they have trouble getting rocket fuel too!
@brunocrescia2689
@brunocrescia2689 7 ай бұрын
I always had the impression that coal is what supplied their energy grid but was surprised to find they are a huge producer of electric cars. Are these for foreign export or because they are modernizing?
@steven4315
@steven4315 7 ай бұрын
China is installing more renewables than the rest of the world combined. Renewables and EVs are how they want to reduce their huge dependence on foreign energy imports.
@ChucksSEADnDEAD
@ChucksSEADnDEAD 7 ай бұрын
Both export and internal consumption.
@2x2is22
@2x2is22 7 ай бұрын
They're not modernizing. EV's are a step back to the electric trollies of the 1920's. They're pivoting to a more secure, domestic energy source.
@ClownCarCoup
@ClownCarCoup 7 ай бұрын
they also led the world in PV capacity installation
@shorewall
@shorewall 7 ай бұрын
@@eddiewulf989 Yeah, not so much electric powered cars, as Coal Powered cars. :D
@philipdepalma4672
@philipdepalma4672 7 ай бұрын
Chinese naval strategy may be based not on defeating/replacing the US Navy but in protecting its trade in a world where the US Navy isn’t doing it for them. If so, it is sort of copying US strategy where we don’t plan on escorting transport vessels as much as using our carriers to f$&k up anybody that messes with our transportation system. Unless China picks a fight with India, Japan or another power, those countries aren’t likely to attack Chinese ships both naval and commercial even if they don’t particularly care about protecting them.
@shorewall
@shorewall 7 ай бұрын
Except China is determined to take both Japan and India's lunch if they can. China isn't just concerned with being a good little global citizen and helping their own people. They want to control their region, which is why all of their neighbors are allies of the US and anti-China. With that framework, if India or Japan want, they can either attack Chinese shipping, intercept and steal Chinese shipping, or just threaten to do so, and China can't do anything about it.
@davidgavin5740
@davidgavin5740 6 ай бұрын
Bravo Peter, well said about the Chinese being "different." Pure gold from 1:25 to about 1:55.
@babyfactory587
@babyfactory587 7 ай бұрын
Wow thanks for the video. Great topic. Subbed
@Chan-rc2hw
@Chan-rc2hw 7 ай бұрын
Love you Peter ❤
@echomande4395
@echomande4395 7 ай бұрын
The energy issues China has are IMO also one driving reason behind their effort to basically trying out every kind of proposed nuclear reactor type to see what works. Not that I don't wish them the best of luck in trying to get a thorium molten salt reactor to work, I really hope that they do manage that.
@mmmbop860
@mmmbop860 7 ай бұрын
China have energy issue? Really? Ain't Russia is diverting it oil & gas from EU to China? foreign owned factory/businesses in China are closing and relocating to India/Vietnam/Mexico/etc. China economy are collapsing & shrinking. Why China still need more energy?
@shermanpeabody6102
@shermanpeabody6102 6 ай бұрын
Currently China is operating an experimental thorium nuclear reactor in a northern China desert.
@gee8883
@gee8883 5 ай бұрын
​​great questions. 1. China is going to lose couple of hundred million people in the next decade. 2.Solar panels are used in half of China.
@thomassutrina8296
@thomassutrina8296 7 ай бұрын
Germany in WWII converted Coal to liquid fuel. And Coal gas or wood gas is easily produced just add heat and eliminate oxygen. This has been done on the go to power vehicles.
@danz1182
@danz1182 7 ай бұрын
That is a difficult and expensive process. It is possible, but sub-optimal, especially when you are competing against others with easy access to cheaper energy.
@hollywoodlibertarian4227
@hollywoodlibertarian4227 6 ай бұрын
Wood Gas 😂😂😂. Urban Dictionary that!!!
@matthewct8167
@matthewct8167 7 ай бұрын
Given that Russia is more than more dependent on China economically speaking wouldn’t they get better access to their oil?
@Angel-ei1ip
@Angel-ei1ip 7 ай бұрын
They would, if the infrastructure was in place to redirect pipeline flow there.
@marcariotto1709
@marcariotto1709 7 ай бұрын
Like Peter said these are really hard problems and if there were good solutions it'd happened long time go. This also applies to Russia China pipelines.
@strigoiu13
@strigoiu13 7 ай бұрын
@@Angel-ei1ip the infrastructure will never be built at mass scale, russians are not stupid, even if they behave like ones.""I think Mao created the Sino-Indian conflict precisely in order to draw the Soviet Union into it. He wanted to put us in the position of having to no choice but to support him. He wanted to be the one who decided what we should do. But Mao made a mistake in thinking we would agree to sacrifice our independence in foreign policy."
@goenzoy712
@goenzoy712 7 ай бұрын
Russia is not so depending like you might think.There are plenty of other countries out there.Just look 10 years in future.Nigeria and Ethiopia alone will have more people than EU and also in Asia 3000 million what are not Chinese
@ChucksSEADnDEAD
@ChucksSEADnDEAD 7 ай бұрын
​@@goenzoy712 More people but lower purchasing power. Always factor that into the equation.
@nanky432
@nanky432 7 ай бұрын
The problem with dealing with any Taliban is also that they are tribal, so the moment someone’s cousin gets killed in a local land dispute their cousins are going to want revenge so they will strike at the local pipeline network to hit back. So even if you have a “great deal” with all the regional Taliban commanders for security of the routes, you would still be at the mercy of an extremely yokel mountain folk and their sense of pride to not completely disrupt several billions in infrastructure. I’m also pretty sure most of the infrastructure corredor will also be managed by the pakistaníes which are extremely corrupt and will most like not pay the right Taliban commanders all the money they were promised.
@k.k.c8670
@k.k.c8670 7 ай бұрын
The biggest and nastiest "tribe" is that of Anglo-saxons globally
@johnnovotny5074
@johnnovotny5074 7 ай бұрын
5:45 Canada builds mountain pipelines, the Trans-Mountain pipe was just built in the last few years.
@Volition1001
@Volition1001 7 ай бұрын
Please do a video on chicago and the Midwest in general
@mateobravo9212
@mateobravo9212 7 ай бұрын
Now I understand why China is pushing forward quicker than almost anyone else electrification for transport. They are working the problem, as well as having ample supplies of raw materials for that undertaking.
@ers555666
@ers555666 7 ай бұрын
Nah. Its just for profit and gdp inflation, look up their giant ev graveyards
@joerudnik9290
@joerudnik9290 7 ай бұрын
They have industrialized air pollution in large cities. Electrical vehicles transfer the pollution to more rural areas; where the power plant is- far from masses in the cities.
@Condor1970
@Condor1970 7 ай бұрын
They'll have all the energy they need when they develop the Russian Far East.
@dcc70
@dcc70 7 ай бұрын
In the long run China's thirst for energy will greatly diminish due to population collapse and decoupling from the world supply chain. In the short term China needs to secure oil supply to stockpile for possible armed conflicts and delay the pain of ensuing sanctions
@gee8883
@gee8883 5 ай бұрын
​​@@dcc70who is going to sanction China? The western medical supplies are still manufactured in China. European companies are still in China and some investing more. Volvo, volkesvagen ecf ect....Americans corporations still hopes to profit from Chinese market.
@grampadad
@grampadad 7 ай бұрын
NO SNOW THERE?? HOW OLD IS THIS VIDEO? IT SHOWS 39 MIN AGO?....NO WAY!
@45641560456405640563
@45641560456405640563 7 ай бұрын
Enjoyed the humor in this presentation. :)
@matthewprespentt4102
@matthewprespentt4102 7 ай бұрын
👀🇺🇸✌️
@thinkthomas138
@thinkthomas138 7 ай бұрын
With those glasses and jacket, pretty sure that's Peter Zeihan coming to you from the FUTURE!
@donchristie420
@donchristie420 7 ай бұрын
Blockading the Malacca Straight would greatly reduce China’s timely delivery of oil and they know that
@stunstar4553
@stunstar4553 7 ай бұрын
The Pacific Ocean is very large, why do you think the Strait of Malacca is the only route? China just needs to spend more time bypassing it. Just like choosing Cape of Good Hope instead of passing through the Suez Canal
@_elrond_hubbard_
@_elrond_hubbard_ 6 ай бұрын
Good video as usual. Question, though - this was published on 01/18/2024...when was it recorded? I live in Chicago and it's been snow sloppy n no sun for weeks. That said, carry on.
@barrywatkins62
@barrywatkins62 7 ай бұрын
Happy 51st Birthday Peter Zeihan!
@parklilys3108
@parklilys3108 6 ай бұрын
No need to worry about energy problems in China. Peter needs to spend time to worry about America's energy problems.
@chepulis
@chepulis 7 ай бұрын
"Oh, one more thing" (pops out in a completely different season). "And i forgot to add" (is now deep underwater). "And a final addendum" (is filming while standing on the Moon).
@mqcapps
@mqcapps 7 ай бұрын
What part of Chicago are you walking in....where's the snow and...the hawk
@kevinhockersmith8149
@kevinhockersmith8149 7 ай бұрын
Man. You really are a mover. And a goer. Of many places.
@jimwalters3636
@jimwalters3636 7 ай бұрын
No bad leg , no cold or cough, not feeling well. Good for you .
@douglaspmatheny
@douglaspmatheny 7 ай бұрын
Lethality. I like that word
@yousefbhacker8160
@yousefbhacker8160 6 ай бұрын
Oman got a mention! Woooooop!
@user-bj7go7ew8u
@user-bj7go7ew8u 7 ай бұрын
감사합니다.
@goncalovazpinto6261
@goncalovazpinto6261 7 ай бұрын
Peter does Chicago! Snazzy!🤣
@Miata822
@Miata822 7 ай бұрын
Meanwhile China is heavily subsidizing their domestic EV industry.
@edholmwood2263
@edholmwood2263 7 ай бұрын
When was this filmed? It has been blow zero and there is snow on the ground this week. Strange.
@jonahbert111
@jonahbert111 7 ай бұрын
Shorts in Chicago, LOL
@tycramer5173
@tycramer5173 7 ай бұрын
I met ABB engineers in China in the late 90’s/early 2000’s building nuclear plants, but I assume local management capacity has degraded and 5% nuclear just won’t cut it for their needs.
@Lokeshananda
@Lokeshananda 7 ай бұрын
Isn't China also building many nuclear power plants? Line 20+ of them? Won't 20 additional nuclear power plants also tilt the scales in their favour quite a bit, energy-wise?
@jackcahill2383
@jackcahill2383 7 ай бұрын
Thank you
@TJ-dx1ws
@TJ-dx1ws 7 ай бұрын
The US still has to import lots of crude, as the type of oil we produce is not what we need to efficiently meet the US demand mix of refined products. That's why we're exporting sweet light and importing heavy sour.
@markwriter2698
@markwriter2698 7 ай бұрын
I was fully expecting China to get oil and gas from Russia. Probably by rail, but I suppose it could be shipped from Eastern Russia.
@russellhltn1396
@russellhltn1396 7 ай бұрын
And the bottom line, expecting the Chinese to go along with reducing carbon emissions is laughable. We're over here sacrificing our quality of life and they're undoing everything.
@Drippydogetter
@Drippydogetter 7 ай бұрын
Peter lookin fly 👐👐👐
@enmattiskan
@enmattiskan 6 ай бұрын
That's not the mountains...
@speavy
@speavy 7 ай бұрын
Peter, can you do some commentary on water, and water related issues?
@m.deadly5952
@m.deadly5952 7 ай бұрын
Mr. Zeihan, have you read the book: The world in 2050 by Hamish McRae , if so where would you say both of your views converge and where do they differ ? Thank you.
@fredmac1000
@fredmac1000 7 ай бұрын
Thank you 🙏
@n8works
@n8works 7 ай бұрын
Hear me out... Zeihan brand sunglasses! 😂
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