Countdown to Polling Day: With Sir John Curtice

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8 күн бұрын

As the General Election campaign gathers steam, all eyes are on the latest opinion polls. But what do they really tell us about how people feel about politics, politicians, and the state of the nation?
Sir John Curtice, Professor Maria Iacovou, Sangita Myska and Hardeep Matharu took deep dive into the current polls and what they tell us about possible outcomes for the General Election.
How can First Past the Post turn small vote swings into parliamentary majorities. What role might tactical voting play at this election? What does this say about public disaffection with politics? How might low approval ratings of the main party leaders affect voter turnout? What kind of voters are most likely not to vote and how this could influence the election results?
Unlock Democracy and Make Votes Matter joined forces to host this essential discussion as the election campaign enters its final weeks.

Пікірлер: 34

@mattdavis5453 4 күн бұрын

Great to see sangita myska, a true journalist

@adrianbrown6877 5 күн бұрын

Good to see Sangita again, after her somewhat sudden and strange departure from LBC. I enjoyed her show.

@user-wj7cv9hb5j 5 күн бұрын

Troll

@decimal1815 4 күн бұрын

Really wish the audio levels on this were better. Need to compress the audio to make it louder..

@johnharding9634 6 күн бұрын

Is it possible to turn up the volume? I am not deaf but can barely hear anything at all. Thanks.

@tsuchan 5 күн бұрын

It's interesting what John said about the Conservatives in 2010 being very prepared for the coalition talks, because actually that's the opposite to the impression I had at the time. I remember that he LibDems were working off detailed lists and the Tories were (like in Brexit?) winging it. And I also recall that the coalition agreement allowed the LibDems to abstain on the issue of tuition fees exactly because of their manifesto commitment, but in the end they decided not to do that. It was justified by Vince Cable that he felt it would be an inconsistent position with the department he was running (Business, Innovation and Skills). Just as a reminder, the increase was from £3,290 to £9,000 per year; and their commitment was to abolish them.

@user-wj7cv9hb5j 5 күн бұрын

That increase was exactly why I went back to uni to do my masters while I could afford it.

@johngibson4341 5 күн бұрын

Ìf we have had a "hard Brexit" from the EU, was our 1973 entry to the EEC soft or diamond hard? Ding-dong.

@jaexiusnem1267 4 күн бұрын

43:10 very well said here by John about that nob Nick Clegg.

@JelMain 5 күн бұрын

You STILL want to work in the existing Party system. Simply changing the mechanism doesn't address that. How you get to the finished bill is immaterial - the real question is if the population wants it or not. Replace Royal Assent with a plebiscite referendum, Swiss-style Direct Democracy.

@peterdollins3610 6 күн бұрын

A Reform candidate says 'Hitler inspired people.' How true. An Uncle on my mother's side shot down 13 Hitler inspired Nazi planes before he was shot down by another Hitler inspired plane. My beloved mother died a terrible death at least partly from a Hitler inspired war in December 1944. Another Uncle lost his leg in Italy from Hitler's inspired tanks. Another was tail-gunner on a Lancaster bombing Germans from the Hitler inspired war. Another fought in Burma against the Hitler inspired ally of Germany--loved India swore his life on the Ghurkas. My Father ran the Steam Trains through the Blitz many times nearly killed by Hitler's inspired bombs & fire. (Ran over three bombs sabotaged by the German workers,) My Steam Engine Driver was in the Dunkirk reguard then walked across France to get out fight in the 8th Army with Big Sam became a Driver also in Didcot.) If D-Day could be called back Fascist Toad Farage will be shooting UK & Allied soldiers down in ecstasy with all his Reform buddies. Another effect of the German/Italian Far Right were many children in my generation being cared for by their aged grandparents as more mothers left to care for a child/children at the killing of fathers in the war. It blighted my life and many in my generation. But who wants to vote for the Nazi German future from 1939 to 45?

@sisiphas 6 күн бұрын

This was deeply depressing. John Curtice must be very patient to listen to two of the three women on the panel talking data free nonsense. I am left of centre but find it really interesting that Reform are referred to as far right, extrdme right etc. why are the msny crazies on my side of politics never called ‘far left’???? The far left of the party I support (Labour) is more likely than the right of Reform (and certainly than the right of the Tories) to be totalitarian, racist and especially anti-Semitic. It is the greatest irony. . I often wonder why I am still in Labour. . … :(

@eightiesmusic1984 6 күн бұрын

There is no hard left in Britain. In case you have not been paying attention the left has been purged by the Starmer project. Labour candidates who stood in 2017 and 2019 agreed with the manifesto; if it was hard left they should not withdrawn their candidacy. Both manifestos were to the right of the 1945 manifesto. While clearly Corbyn's moderate social democratic prospectus lives rent free in the mind of the Labour right and always will, there are right wing parties in the rest of Europe that would not bat an eyelid at the policies it contained. Stop wondering why you are in Labour and leave- the Liberal Democrats would welcome you. Justify your assertion that the ( non existent) far left of Labour is more likely than the right of Reform to be 'totalitarian, racist and especially anti semitic'. Don't think you can make claims like that without being challenged. Perhaps the Liberal Democrats ( Thatcherite on economic policy) would be too left wing for you. Labour sold out to Thatcherism under Blair and the Starmer project has no meaningful answers to the crises facing Britain. You should reflect on your own comments before criticising others without substantiating your arguments.

@jackkaraquazian 6 күн бұрын

The left of Labour is frequently referred to as the far left in the mainstream media.

@UncleMort 4 күн бұрын

Was going to watch but your polling data is from 22 days ago and as they say, a week is a long time in politics.

@decimal1815 4 күн бұрын

Fix deliberate misinformation advertising, restore political education in schools and colleges, fix pay-for-power politics, then electoral reform. Otherwise you will just get populist parties shouting loud on social media, promising anything that will get them votes, and then yielding a dangerous level of power.

@user-wj7cv9hb5j 5 күн бұрын

Vote reform, the centerist party of the people ❤❤ i live in a labour stronghold and every person i ask is voting reform. I suspect there are a lot of shy reformers out there.

@user-wj7cv9hb5j 5 күн бұрын

Very Hard brexit 😂😂😂😂 we have basically not left 😂😂😂 it was an interesting talk until then. Shame to have the hard work of johns polluted like that. Had to turn off 😢

@markreilly52 5 күн бұрын

This could have been much more informative with better preparation and ruthless editing. I have been eligible to vote for around 65 years, and I have been disenfranchised every time. Our electoral system is fundamentally unfair and encourages the worst of destructive tribal behaviour. We all suffer.

@sfactory8253 5 күн бұрын

On voter ID you neglected the issue of women who use their maiden names for whatever reason. They are disenfranchised . Scandalous .

@jeangenie5807 2 күн бұрын

Why? If they have ID in the name they prefer to use or are known as, and they ensure their voter registration matches with that, then what is the issue please?

@sfactory8253 2 күн бұрын

@@jeangenie5807 they don't that's the point .

@jeangenie5807 2 күн бұрын

@@sfactory8253 They don't what? You are not explaining the point you are trying to make. Help us out here to understand what problem you are trying to highlight!

@ChristIsKing14 5 күн бұрын

I dislike the bigotry of the far left towards white people. The term "white privilege" is quite irritating.

@MaBaKar 5 күн бұрын

If you consider Cons and Reform as the right wing vote, Labour really has only an 8% lead? If there was an ounce of enthusiasm for Labour they’d would be closer to 50%. If the SNP hadn’t imploded Labour would be even worse off. There is no leadership, no telling the truth, and certainly no new ideas from any political party. It’s a dire situation and it’s a situation Reform could take advantage of. Of course a Labour victory is still likely but they have a mountain to climb to do anything that will fundamentally improve things in a way that is visible to all.