Surprised you are ruling out Elvis in makeup/hair when it’s essentially the favorite. It won the BAFTA and won makeup and hair in separate categories at the makeup and hair guild.

Elvis literally is the favorite for makeup and hairstyling. Won both the critics choice and bafta.

Thanks for your videos, love all of them!

Elvis is the frontrunner for Makeup, I don’t know what you are talking about. It won BAFTA and has the potential best actor winner with it Great Vid btw❤️

Am mainly in agreement with you here, Mr. Rowe, especially on the inexplicable omission of "Decision To Leave" and certainly how beautifully Mr. Hoffmeister lensed "TÁR,: As usual, you make a good case for why you're predicting what you're predicting, even in categories that seem to me less likely to prevail than they may appear. It's definitely going to be a fascinating March 12. Thanks for the great content and context.

wishing the best for Austin

@Brian Rowe Video, If you by any chance have access to HBO Max, All the Beauty and the Bloodshed will be released on the streaming service on March 19.

You are ignoring the precursors that Elvis won for both makeup and costumes. Which makes it the frontrunner in both of those categories and add to that that Butler is probably winning and that Elvis is a huge box office Film and was nominated for Best picture aka everyone had seen it. Mrs Harris goes to Paris has no chance cause it's the films only nom, zero precursors win and the film won't be seen by all the voters. Cruella was HUGE summer blackbuster and Jenny Beaven won every precursor for it.

Honestly I think a lot of these are locked up (All Quiet for International, EEAAO for Editing, Babylon for production design, Avatar for visual effects). Sound is actually tough to call; I’m actually going with All Quiet as an upset. Entertaining video as always!

I wish I'd have an idea to say that more elaborately ...but your awards content is just the best! Thank you for that.... Makes this strange season even more exciting... 🙂

I’m still so disappointed that Nope didn’t get in for score and sound design.

Everything... should have gotten a Hair and Make Up nomination- Stephanie Hsu's hair in that was amazing.

I hope you're correct about both Babylon victories because it is the best in those categories. I'm just nervous that Hurwitz was screwed out of a deserved nomination for First Man. Plus, there are so many haters of Babylon, that I'm afraid they won't evaluate the category fairly. I really want it to win though.

I've seen all five of the documentaries and all the beauty and the bloodshed is good, but my favorite is Navalny fwiw. I haven't really been expecting it to win but I noticed it just won something over the weekend so I'm crossing my fingers.

Brian, I saw you on the Gold Derby channel.

Love you. Found you via Twitter 🙂

If All Quiet on the Western Front doesn't win best picture, it is definitely taking best foreign picture.

My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 11.3): Best Cinematography: 5. Roger Deakins (Empire of Light) 4. Darius Khondji (Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) 3. Florian Hoffmeister (Tár) 2. Mandy Walker (Elvis) 1. James Friend (All Quiet on the Western Front) I'm not knowledgable enough to comment on this category so I'll just mention how I'll never stop saying the name of the Bardo cinematographer to the tune of "Chin Cheng Hanji". In all seriousness, I don't see how All Quiet misses this category given its strength in the techs. Best Costume Design: 5. Shirley Kurata (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 4. Mary Zophers (Babylon) 3. Ruth Carter (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 2. Catherine Martin (Elvis) 1. Jenny Beavan (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris) This category really baffles me, since no contender besides Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris comes all that close to passing the eye test for me, and yet it's considered the least likely. I'm still gonna bet on it, but I'm well aware that I'm probably gonna be wrong. Best Editing: 5. Mikkel E. G. Nielsen (The Banshees of Inisherin) 4. Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond (Elvis) 3. Monika Willi (Tár) 2. Eddie Hamilton (Top Gun: Maverick) 1. Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All at Once) Betting against the editing/sound stat is ballsy but EEAAO just seems undeniable by this point. Best Makeup and Hairstyling: 5. Camille Friend and Joel Harlow (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 4. Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerová (All Quiet on the Western Front) 3. Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine (The Batman) 2. Mark Coulier, Jason Baird and Aldo Signoretti (Elvis) 1. Adrien Morot, Judy Chin and Anne Marie Bradley (The Whale) I assume we all predict this category will coincide with Leading Actor this year, and I happen to predict The Whale for both. Best Production Design: 5. Christian M. Goldbeck and Ernestine Hipper (All Quiet on the Western Front) 4. Rick Carter and Karen O'Hara (The Fabelmans) 3. Dylan Cole, Ben Procter and Vanessa Cole (Avatar: The Way of Water) 2. Florencia Martin and Anthony Carolino (Babylon) 1. Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy and Bev Dunn (Elvis) Clear toss up between the top 2 here, but the reason I went with Elvis has to do with my pick for the next category. Best Score: 5. Son Lux (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 4. Volker Bertelmann (All Quiet on the Western Front) 3. Carter Burwell (The Banshees of Inisherin) 2. John Williams (The Fablemans) 1. Justin Hurwitz (Babylon) Continuing my previous statement, I just can't see Babylon winning 2 Oscars, and I think this is where they're not gonna miss. As to the other nominees, I actually think each of the nominees has a feasible chance of winning. In particular I believe this is The Fabelmans' best chance of not going home empty-handed, which ultimately I think that movie will. Best Original Song: 5. Tell it Like a Woman (Applause) 4. This is a Life (Everything Everywhere All at Once) 3. Hold My Hand (Top Gun: Maverick) 2. Lift Me Up (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) 1. Naatu Naatu (RRR) This is one where any winner besides Naatu Naatu would shock me. Best Sound: 5. The Batman 4. Avatar: The Way of Water 3. Elvis 2. All Quiet on the Western Front 1. Top Gun: Maverick Vroom vroom. Best Visual Effects (SUPERBET): 5. Top Gun: Maverick 4. All Quiet on the Western Front 3. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 2. The Batman 1. Avatar: The Way of Water I still need someone to explain to me how a movie that prides itself on achieving all of its visuals in-camera and not using any vfx ends up nominated for Visual Effects and NOT for Cinematoraphy. Academy brain go brrrrrrrrrr. Best Animated Feature: 5. The Sea Beast 4. Turning Red 3. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On 2. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish 1. Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio If I had a 3rd Superbet I'd use it here. Best Documentary Feature: 5. A House Made of Splinters 4. All That Breathes 3. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed 2. Fire of Love 1. Navalny If the war in Ukraine could get a worthy song to win the Eurovision for the first time since Heroes, it can and will elevate Navalny to an Oscar win. Best International Feature (SUPERBET): 5. EO (Poland) 4. Close (Belgium) 3. The Quiet Girl (Ireland) 2. Argentina, 1985 (Argentina) 1. All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany) I don't have a mortgage, but if I did I would bet it on this category. Best Animated Short: 5. The Flying Sailor 4. Ice Merchants 3. The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse 2. An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe it 1. My Year of Dicks I have them ranked by funniness of the title, and I refuse to change it. Best Documentary Short: 5. How Do You Measure a Year? 4. Haulout 3. The Martha Mitchell Effect 2. The Elephant Whisperers 1. Stranger at the Gate As you've seen in the previous category, I have 0 knowledge on shorts, so I'm not gonna say anything about this category and the next. Best Live-Action Short: 5. Night Ride 4. Ivalu 3. The Red Suitcase 2. An Irish Goodbye 1. Le Pupille

3:12 I can see journalists (HFPA) rewarding a movie about the power of journalism (Argentina, 1985). 🙃 However, for the Oscars Ill put my bet on All Quiet on the Western Front for Best International Film and even as a potential spoiler in Best Picture.

@Brian Rowe Video, Other than Fire of Love, what are the other Oscar-nominated documentaries this year you've seen?

aren't the Mrs. Harris costumes remakes of Dior designs? In the book, she saved up to buy a Dior gown- went to the Paris showroom

I want Hold My Hand to win. This is one of the only times where I actually have heard one of the nominated songs and enjoy it

Best song from RRR, Once. Years ago, was beloved but only got the one nomination and won. I see RRR doing the same.

Honestly I feel like there’s been a big push for Puss in Boots so I’m intrigued to see which wins.

Son lux did amazing work in everything everywhere all at once. Music played 151 minutes in that movie.

Top Gun: Maverick should win for Best Sound, Best Original Song, Best Adapted Screenplays, and of course for Best Picture (Tom Cruise also produced the movie too)

RRR’s Naatu Naatu might probably take Best Original Song home and it would be great but gosh I sure hope EEAAO’s This Is A Life will be an upset win and make an Oscar winner out of Mitski - I’m a huge fan of hers and it’s easily my most favorite song among the bunch. Basically, let EEAAO win everything - it’s been a hot minute since a film completely sweeps the ceremony!

Pinocchio would of been so much better without the songs. The ending gutted me though.

My no guts no glory prediction this year is Diane Warren for Original Song and I know I'm crazy

I was quite taken by the amazing costume achievement in the film “Mrs . Harris Goes To Paris”. I hope the Academy would recognise their fabulous and creative costumes design.

John Williams did the score for the new Indiana Jones. I want to see him win for that.

Naatu Naatu for the win! 🖤🖤

If the Fabelmans (my third favorite movie of the year btw) wins score over Babylon I’ll riot.

Just a note; EEAAO just beat Wakanda at the Costume Designers Guild

Costume Design Guild just went to EEAAO beating black Panther so we may have a spoiler there.

I feel like people are sleeping on Babylon. It’s swept all the major awards for production design, CC/BAFTA/ADG. So it’s a lock for that category, and I can’t see anything beating Justin Hurwitz’s superb score💯

Your argument about the makeup and hairstyling category also applies to The Eyes of Tammy Faye last year

To me this Oscar will be a great surprise😉

Please, Academy, don't screw Justin Hurwitz's INCREDIBLE score for Babylon out of the win

RRR is such a standard Indian song

All Quiet’s score is so much better than Babylon’s in my opinion. If the final vote were up to composers, I think it would win easily.

💜

RRR 🥺THQ YOUR PREDICTION ❤️‍🔥

I hate the cinematography category for this year’s oscar. They could’ve gone with stuff like Avatar2, Decision to leave and The Batman instead they went with Elvis and Empire of light.

Love the video! I would love TOP GUN to win Editing bc IF it does.... there will then be more suspense for Picture. If Top Gun beats EEAAO in Editing then I think Top Guns wins Picture. No question.

So wait... Gaga won her oscar the same year Ruth won her Oscar. But you think the Academy wouldn't award Ruth again for Best Costume but you didnt say the same thing about Gaga? Interesting, and what an odd POV. Ruths costumes are completely different from both movies. Sounds like an Academy bias. Especially considering Frances McD won Best Actress with whar, 4 years?

All I need is Michelle and Angela to win and I can die peacefully

Oh,get to the good stuff. Do you think Yeoh will best Blanchett. I actually don’t bc it’s such a strong performance and the only category that Tar can win. I love Yeoh though and called her SAG win.

I don't know why I'm getting this feeling that the academy will side with Cate Blanchet for the best actress category. I mean no doubt she is an outstanding actress but I wish the Best Actress trophy should go to Michelle Yeoh. She has done a remarkable job in E.E.A.A.O.

John Williams = Great, But a Loooot of them sound quite similar. Really big and blockbuster like as the movies he writes for generally are. Hence, he did not deserve extra wins. He has often, like Meryl, been a 'filler' nomination, IMO.

Here are the 2023 lists of Academy Award nominees of 2022 that I hope they’d won (even though I never saw The Fabelmans nor Everything Everywhere All At Once), but they’re all great, fantastic movies. They don’t need an Oscar. The Oscars needs them. Awards are overrated anyway. But anyway, here they are. BEST PICTURE: Everything Everywhere All At Once - Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, and Jonathan Wang, producers (Even though I never saw that movie though, but I think it deserved that win though. I really want either Avatar: The Way of Water, Elvis, or maybe even Top Gun: Maverick to win Best Picture too, because they’re all such great movies. If Top Gun: Maverick wins for Best Picture, then that means that Tom Cruise will finally win an Oscar for producing the film!) BEST DIRECTOR: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert - Everything Everywhere All at Once or Steven Spielberg - The Fabelmans BEST ACTOR: Austin Butler - Elvis as Elvis Presley BEST ACTRESS: Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All at Once as Evelyn Wang BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All at Once as Waymond Wang BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever as Queen Ramonda BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Everything Everywhere All at Once - Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert or The Fabelmans - Steven Spielberg and Tony Kushner BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAYS: Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery - Rian Johnson; based on characters created by Johnson and the film Knives Out or Top Gun: Maverick - Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, and Christopher McQuarrie; based on the film Top Gun written by Jim Cash and Jack Epps Jr. BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: Puss in Boots: The Last Wish - Joel Crawford and Mark Swift or Turning Red - Domee Shi and Lindsey Collins BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: Babylon - Justin Hurwitz BEST ORIGINAL SONG: "Hold My Hand" from Top Gun: Maverick - music and lyrics by Lady Gaga and BloodPop BEST SOUND: Top Gun: Maverick - Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: Avatar: The Way of Water - Production Design: Dylan Cole and Ben Procter; Set Decoration: Vanessa Cole BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: Elvis - Mandy Walker BEST HAIRSTYLING & MAKEUP 💄: The Batman - Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine BEST COSTUME DESIGN: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - Ruth Carter BEST FILM EDITING: Elvis - Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond or Everything Everywhere All at Once - Paul Rogers BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: Avatar: The Way of Water - Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett

I’m honestly predicting some kind of Elvis-sweep.

Justice for decision to leave

Rrr 13:08

Brendan Fraser, Michelle Yeoh, Ke Huy Quan and Angela Basset/JLC for OSCAR. 😘😘😘😘

13:08 oh yeah! Thanks for you're prediction! Naatu Naatu will be the first ever win for an Indian production & Indian movie.🙏😊 Naatu Naatu deserves as it's got the strongest pre cursor wins of all the songs & we can't miss this once in a bluemoon chance🥺 15:12

Ruling out Elvis for Makeup & Hairstyling? Absolutely disagree. I can see this film sweep the craft categories.

3 wrong, not bad

I believe that Cate Blanchett will win. Hopefully I'm right. She delivered the best performance.

Austin Butler is Best Actor

2023 was by far the worst year in Oscar history for nominations. Especially for acting. AMPAS decided to have a diversity year and nominate anyone who was black, Asian, Gay/Lesbian, Jewish etc. As a result people who are nominated do not deserve any recognition for their mediocre roles. But AMPAS is trying their best to push these movies down our throats. Pathetic affirmative action, diversity inclusion and as always the LGBT agenda. Elvis was a disgrace to the King, Banshees of Inisherin was the Irish version of Dumb and Dumber, Aftersun was a painfully boring joke, Everything everywhere all at once was the Asian Moonlight (a crap film hyped up for the sake of diversity inclusion), Avatar was a money grab, All quiet on the western front was unfinishable, the Fablemans was Jew glorification and Tar and the Whale was all about the ongoing gay/lesbian agenda. The only good movie so far was 'To Leslie' starring the wonderful Andrea Riseborough. It is the one true great performance of this years otherwise horrible

😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴😴

At this point, with most of the awards being spread out, I don’t know who will win in these categories. Hell, I’ll say that ELVIS will sweep the oscars. I mean anything can happen so we’ll see