Five Blackjack Hands You Are Playing Wrong!

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The Jackpot Gents

The Jackpot Gents

2 жыл бұрын

Gambling author, and blackjack expert, Henry Tamburin, gives details on the five most misplayed hands in the game. Some of the topics covered include: a pair of 9's against a 9 or 10, 16 against a 10; 12 against a 3, soft 18 against a 9 or 10; and a pair of 8's against a 10. Henry analyzes each hand and explains what the proper decision is for each situation. Note: this is an edited version of a video originally released in April 2013.
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Пікірлер: 408
@joeblow9931
@joeblow9931 Жыл бұрын
i get so many dirty looks from other people at the table when I hit a 12 against a 2 or a 3
@natural9747
@natural9747 Жыл бұрын
They’ll watch their stack lower and try to blame us.
@natural9747
@natural9747 Жыл бұрын
Like how am I wrong my stacks goin up bud
@jamesfeldman4234
@jamesfeldman4234 Жыл бұрын
Outstanding explanations of how to deal with certain hands you're sure to encounter even if you're only an occasional player, and the strategies and math behind them.
@ensomniiac
@ensomniiac Жыл бұрын
Blackjack player for years. This guy absolutely knows his stuff!
@YamamotoKazuo
@YamamotoKazuo Жыл бұрын
Except he forgot a lot of Casinos don't offer surrender
@PrincipalScratcher1
@PrincipalScratcher1 Жыл бұрын
@@YamamotoKazuo He didn't forget. He specifically addressed if the casino doesn't offer surrender. 3:53
@filluptank
@filluptank Жыл бұрын
This only applies to single deck, hard to find a single deck game
@MisterNorthernCanuck
@MisterNorthernCanuck Жыл бұрын
@@filluptank And by hard you mean almost impossible...
@jeromyt6873
@jeromyt6873 Жыл бұрын
​@@filluptank They apply to multideck shoes as well.
@davegray7206
@davegray7206 Жыл бұрын
I only play 3 and 1 differently, but your analysis is compelling. Giving me the probabilities illustrates your argument objectively. John Patrick has served me for decades, but I must re-evaluate those plays based on your strong evidence. Thanks.
@dashx1103
@dashx1103 Ай бұрын
Yeah ... I disagree with the "rule" #3 -- unless it is a single-deck game, the difference between a 2-card 16 and a 3-card 16 is negligible. If no surrender is available, hit it.
@hernandotorres1234
@hernandotorres1234 Жыл бұрын
I do like this video, the reasoning explained in a lucid, rational manner is superb, it helps fix the correct decisions enormously
@CrypticCobra
@CrypticCobra 10 ай бұрын
You say that like gambling is rational? You are correct that it is rational to play whatever hand has the best odds, what you forget it the game as a whole has worse odds even when playing basic strategy. You only logical way to play the game is to also count cards, and at that point you are not a gambler.
@davidprodigy5833
@davidprodigy5833 2 жыл бұрын
#3 I genuinely learned something on that one. Great explanations on all the examples.
@lukajeverica127
@lukajeverica127 Жыл бұрын
its false
@NavyDiver912
@NavyDiver912 Жыл бұрын
Yeah, I was wondering how that worked on a 6 deck shoe.
@thomastoy2677
@thomastoy2677 Жыл бұрын
Thank you. Solid advice.
@liveevents9191
@liveevents9191 Жыл бұрын
You are amazing! Thanks for all your knowledge.....If only I can remember it all!!!
@RodgerRamjet
@RodgerRamjet 2 жыл бұрын
i'll be heading to Vegas in a few weeks, and like to hit the Black Jack tables between tourneys.. some of this is brand spankin new to me, and valuable info.. will be putting it to good use..!!
@paulmccormacksvideogamesan2912
@paulmccormacksvideogamesan2912 Жыл бұрын
This is helpful, thanks!
@clynnwilkinson8980
@clynnwilkinson8980 2 жыл бұрын
Wow this is really really good advice
@erickim2025
@erickim2025 2 жыл бұрын
Good advice thanks
@zacharycat8141
@zacharycat8141 2 жыл бұрын
Agree about surrender with 16 vs dealer 10, but most casinos don't offer that choice. If they did I would probably surrender a 15 also.
@denisbussiere7442
@denisbussiere7442 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, surrender 15 versus 10-A Surrender 16 versus 9-10-A And on a h17 table, surrender hard 17 and 8-8 versus dealer A
@WilfBond55
@WilfBond55 Жыл бұрын
I stick to basic strategy, but I'm soooo tempted to not hit 12 vs. 2 or 3. Why? Because I get a 10-value card about 60% of the time. I think it's the card gods' way of laughing at me.
@steeloned
@steeloned Жыл бұрын
Yah, right? If I can bust, the dealer can too.
@stephaniemiller1975
@stephaniemiller1975 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for this info. Black Jack is my hubby's favorite card game and I shared this video with him😁👍
@morigatewood6653
@morigatewood6653 2 жыл бұрын
The best advice I’ve ever heard
@lunaticfringe896
@lunaticfringe896 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, 9s split on everything save for (a) 7, (b) 10, and (c) A. 12 hits on 2, 3 and 7-10, plus A 16 doesn't just hit against a 10, it hits against everything 7 or higher and, when you can surrender, that is against a 9, 10 or A Soft 18 hits on 9, 10 or A. Lastly, always split 8s, agree. This is identical to the Blackjack Basic Strategy Chart, which must be played perfectly in order to minimize casino vig
@stonewallstorys8906
@stonewallstorys8906 2 жыл бұрын
This is great advice. I wish more people learned basic strategy before they played, or at least had a basic strategy chart with them
@HotBeefInjection
@HotBeefInjection 2 жыл бұрын
At no point did he say tell the player next to you what to do.or that their hand has anything to do with yours.
@jorgecallico9177
@jorgecallico9177 2 жыл бұрын
If you're a card counter it only takes a slightly positive count to make the decision to stay on a 16 versus dealer's 10. My computer model has been very favorable on this matter. Whenever the True Count is +1 or higher? I stay on ALL hard fourteens thru sixteens.. This isn't what some of the books say, but my own practical experience has proven otherwise. I will still hit my lower stiff hands. Such as the twelve and thirteen against dealer's ten. However once the TC goes to +5 I'll stay on ALL stiffs. Between +1 and +4 the chances of converting my twelve or thirteen to a pat hand of seventeen to twenty one are acceptable. This is because although lots of tens remain in the deck and could bust my hand? There are still a fair number of sevens thru nines that'll turn my stuff into a seventeen thru twenty one. These are my only indice changes based upon the count. Some counters memorize other more complicated patterns. However that'd be better off by searching for better games. Card counting books and forums often forget to recognize certain common sense strategies that will return better earnings. For starters? Knowing the best time to find heads-up situations in pitched games is a big advantage. Or finding a casino that doesn't have a very attentive pit boss is a good idea. Lastly, We all know that 6/5 blackjack is a bad game. However if the dealer allows me a 20 unit betting spread? It becomes an interesting game to me. Except whenever other players are at the table. Pitched games MUST be played heads up. No exceptions! You don't want those good cards going to other players sitting at the table.
@steeloned
@steeloned Жыл бұрын
@@jorgecallico9177 Could you be more specific?
@jorgecallico9177
@jorgecallico9177 Жыл бұрын
@@steeloned The thing is Kinchman that the decision to hit or stay on a sixteen is greatly dependent upon the true count. If it's a +1 t/c you should always stay. Now if you don't understand what a "+1" t,/c or "plus 1 true count," then consider this. Even newly shuffled shoe has a T/C of 0. Meaning that exactly as many high cards are left on the deck as the low ones. But take out just one low card from this shoe and the T/C now becomes +1. And under these circumstances it is no longer advisable to hit your sixteen against the dealer's up card of 7. Or higher. Look at it this way, A 16 is a poor hand to hold. And with the dealer holding at least a 7 upcard? This means she's probably got you beat. And even in a slightly positive deck you've got an even smaller chance of improving on it without going bust. And so ar a mere +1 count I will always stay on my 16 against dealer's upcard of 7 or higher.
@jdukes0004
@jdukes0004 Жыл бұрын
It baffles me that people will go to a casino and play blackjack and not even learn perfect basic strategy which is very easy to learn or memorize...I think some people just like Losing and believe that they're way of playing is better then perfect basic strategy, then they and the dealer get mad at you for playing correctly oh why did you hit the 12 versus two or three why did you double down soft 18 versus the six and they want to yell at you but they don't understand if everybody at the table was playing perfect basic strategy they would win more in the two three days they were staying at the casino... I sit out if somebody does something dumb and my hand loses.
@maynardtrendle820
@maynardtrendle820 Жыл бұрын
Is the green screen a picture of Belterra (riverboat)? It looks familiar! 🌞
@ConsistentEV
@ConsistentEV Жыл бұрын
Wow great video. Just wondering.. is there anyway you can direct me to a cheat sheet for perfect blackjack strategy? Please let me know
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents Жыл бұрын
You can download blackjack basic strategy charts for FREE on our original website: www.americancasinoguidebook.com/blackjack/free-blackjack-strategy-charts.html
@ronaldmason7053
@ronaldmason7053 2 жыл бұрын
Good advice on playing these hands. I gave up playing blackjack many years ago, since I got tired of being beat by the dealer so often. I would have 19 or 20, then she would turn over 3, 4, 5 or 6 cards, and it wouldn't be 19 or 20 - it would be 21 almost every time. Seems very hard to win against 6 decks, even using basic strategy.
@101411726
@101411726 2 жыл бұрын
It’s not “very hard to win against 6 decks, even using basic strategy”. It’s IMPOSSIBLE!! Basic strategy isn’t a winning strategy. It just lowers the house edge to whatever its minimum is, based upon the rules of that particular game.
@1kenodave1
@1kenodave1 2 жыл бұрын
@@vietnamvet4533 Pai Gow, the only game where other players do not affect your game, except when they hit a big hand and you enjoy a piece of the action. I gave up blackjack because I got tired of obnoxious players compromising the entertainment value.
@101411726
@101411726 2 жыл бұрын
@@vietnamvet4533 it is NOT 50/50!! You will lose playing basic strategy only. You are guaranteed to lose playing just basic strategy, therefore it cannot be 50/50.
@101411726
@101411726 2 жыл бұрын
@@vietnamvet4533 my god, none of this is true. Please quit spouting off terrible information. Firstly, the absolute BEST case for blackjack has a house edge of 0.28% and those games don’t exist anymore. Secondly, with 6:5 blackjack today, the house edge is closer to 4% which is worse than proper basic roulette/craps by the way. Thirdly, you don’t tell a casino you’re a high roller. You either are or aren’t, and they will know because you’d be at a high limit table, and they’ll be watching your play, regardless of the game.
@donaldgalardi9813
@donaldgalardi9813 2 жыл бұрын
@@1kenodave1 Players don't affect your hand in any game EXCEPT blackjack.
@joeswash6353
@joeswash6353 Жыл бұрын
Knows his shit that fella. All his advice is 100% spot on.
@shaycryswiserwiser4253
@shaycryswiserwiser4253 Жыл бұрын
Thankyou
@josephtousignant7318
@josephtousignant7318 Жыл бұрын
I've always hit a stiff 12 against a dealer's 3 upcard, BUT one thing you didn't mention is you don't hit it more than ONCE! (at least I don't) In your advice, some folks may take you to mean you keep hitting it until you have 17 or better, but I doubt that's what you meant.
@baseballsux2
@baseballsux2 Жыл бұрын
A7 should hit against a dealer ace as well, correct?
@jeffwright9431
@jeffwright9431 3 ай бұрын
Is this advice for single deck or does it work with multiple decks as well"?
@ouioui8593
@ouioui8593 Жыл бұрын
I under stand splitting 8's to lift my chances from 23% to 38% chance of winning. But It also means I have to double my bet. I question if splitting and doubling my bet is the right strategy for such a small chance.
@krisharkleroad8
@krisharkleroad8 Жыл бұрын
I agree. Might be better to surrender.
@Moskitoo
@Moskitoo Жыл бұрын
Yes, you only have 38% chance to win each hand. But don't forget that you have a chance to double once again if you get 11 with an 3. Therefore it is better to split in the long run I guess.
@johnf1772
@johnf1772 Жыл бұрын
It's a small edge, but it is an edge. If you played 100 hands of 88 vs ten at $1 and just hit on 88 you lose $54 (77 times you pay $1, and 23 times you get $1). If you played 100 hands at $1 and split each time, you lose $48.(124 times you pay 1$, 76 times you get $1). It's only a few cents per $1 bet, but over bigger bets, and over thousands of hands it adds up.
@kthelegend7234
@kthelegend7234 Жыл бұрын
@@krisharkleroad8 never surrender two 8s, always split
@JoeH..
@JoeH.. Жыл бұрын
4:17 if i had a hard 15 with 3 or 4 cards where dealer has 7+ as face, what is my optimal play?
@zakkwyldesdmf13
@zakkwyldesdmf13 Жыл бұрын
Please bear in mind that this is only true when following strict basic strategy. If you play with card counting strategies you also have to follow specific deviations from basic strategy. This means that e. g. sometimes you stand with a two-card 16 vs. T (if the count is high).
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents Жыл бұрын
You are correct
@AllRandomized
@AllRandomized 2 жыл бұрын
I’ve been playing for a few months now & got the hang of it, but I personally would always hold on a A,7. Now I know to hit!
@aztecwarrior9729
@aztecwarrior9729 2 жыл бұрын
it says to hit against 9 not just any card
@burtgordon4796
@burtgordon4796 2 жыл бұрын
He said against a nine or a ten
@baseballsux2
@baseballsux2 Жыл бұрын
It should also hit against an ace. Furthermore, should be doubled against dealer 3,4,5, and 6.
@ThePeterDislikeShow
@ThePeterDislikeShow Жыл бұрын
4:38 does this apply in a 6- or 8- deck shoe? 3 cards seem negligible.
@JustABill02
@JustABill02 2 жыл бұрын
Does the hard 16 hit vs a face card change with a large shoe? Is there a point in the true count where this changes?
@dreamlightning4628
@dreamlightning4628 2 жыл бұрын
no
@tmor2003
@tmor2003 Жыл бұрын
The true count doesn't even have to be +1, if the running count is positive at all the correct play is to stand.
@davidschimmel8330
@davidschimmel8330 2 жыл бұрын
I have heard that soft 18 against a face should be treated differently if you have multiple cards with a 2 or 3 in your hand. In those cases I heard you should stay rather than hit. Especially true the more cards you have in your hand.
@denisbussiere7442
@denisbussiere7442 2 жыл бұрын
Here are the two exceptions you are refering to: on a s17 table and dealer showing an A the player should stand with these two hands: A-2-2-3 and A-3-3-A. Usually a soft 18 versus an ace is a hit, but not in these two cases.
@caballotustenagge9006
@caballotustenagge9006 Жыл бұрын
Here's a little tid bit if your learning to count cards. A deck of cards will end in 0 if you count correctly. Progressive betting strategy is as important as counting. Large swings in bets will put you on the pit bosses radar faster than anything.
@kyleparadis5840
@kyleparadis5840 10 ай бұрын
Progressive betting?
@johnsanuy
@johnsanuy 2 жыл бұрын
Could you go into table position and where the best seat is?
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents 2 жыл бұрын
Unless you are hole carding, it doesn't matter. The only difference position makes is the closer to 3rd base you are the more time you have to think
@billwalker7556
@billwalker7556 2 жыл бұрын
first base is the purest hands dealt. third base if properly played is the most advantageous seat at the table and can influence other players hands.
@starknife
@starknife Жыл бұрын
@@billwalker7556 nothing you do influences another players hand in the long run, as their "mistakes" can also benefit you and are not realized.
@jcriniti2644
@jcriniti2644 6 ай бұрын
Yes that is the thing when I have a 12 I figure I will bust if I hit but if I don't hit I will lose anyway so might as well hit and take a chance.
@noskpain2792
@noskpain2792 2 жыл бұрын
#3 you have it wrong for a deck shoe game. You still have to keep hitting or give the casino the advantage
@Paul-vf2wl
@Paul-vf2wl Жыл бұрын
This does seem more like a single deck strategy
@CarlosMartinez-qk3vd
@CarlosMartinez-qk3vd 2 жыл бұрын
Are there specific literature saying that if a dealer gives too many chips for a win that you don’t have to give it back? Or if they place it next to your chips it’s already in your possession?
@clintrichardsonclintfromny203
@clintrichardsonclintfromny203 Жыл бұрын
Anywhere you create a scenario of plausible deniability you have done nothing wrong. If they call you out on it, its likely they have surveillance tapes which will prove it is their money. Unless you want to get banned, give them their money. If you see an unattended machine with credits in it, just pop a fiver in there before you play them. If the chair is tilted up onto the machine or there is a jacket on the seat, its NOT an unattended machine.
@goesi1
@goesi1 2 жыл бұрын
16 vs. 10 hitting depends on running count and not if it is a 3 card 16. If running count is already way negative you should hit 16 even if multiple cards 16.
@donaldgalardi9813
@donaldgalardi9813 2 жыл бұрын
because everyone counts and tracks
@jerrythebaum4388
@jerrythebaum4388 Жыл бұрын
@@donaldgalardi9813 If you dont, you are a loser.
@dashx1103
@dashx1103 Ай бұрын
I think A7 is the most misplayed hand I've seen. Consistently players mess that hand up.
@gabrielmichaelspiritwolf3795
@gabrielmichaelspiritwolf3795 Жыл бұрын
I play Blackjack for many years I would say past 10 years a lot and there's people that go to casino and have never played in this one to learn as they play any game you had to at least know the basics at least before sitting down is too much troubles for the dealer or player to be trying to help people along the way but even some players who play a lot still have difficulties if they going to split or double do something so but it's close to never good when people that don't know how to play and they start their first time being at the table that's all you have to do is watch even if they watch for 20 minutes they don't even do that they just jump on the table
@connorcorsini5235
@connorcorsini5235 Жыл бұрын
am I right to assume you always hit on 16 against a dealer's 10 in multi deck black jack? Unlike in the video when he talks about standing on 16 when it's 3 or more cards
@1goal1dream39
@1goal1dream39 Жыл бұрын
well explain this in online casino they put at least 16 card decks into the shuffle and yet you don't know how many face cards in the half of the decks the dealer cuts you shouln't everytime play what in playbook says sometimes you have to ignore it what I mean is like not you shuold hit your 14 against 5 but maybe you should stop hitting 16 against 17 sometimes
@burtgordon4796
@burtgordon4796 2 жыл бұрын
What about 13 versus 2 dealer up card?
@N8Som
@N8Som 2 жыл бұрын
stay i would assume that most people would stay
@christophercarlone9945
@christophercarlone9945 Жыл бұрын
13 vs 2 is a stand if you're only using basic strategy. If you're using the Hi-Lo card counting method, a 13 vs 2 becomes a hit starting at a -1 True count and anything lower.
@timhinchcliffe5372
@timhinchcliffe5372 2 жыл бұрын
The _stand on hard 16 if it's made up of small cards_ rule convinced me it's best to play with lots of people on the table... so you can see even more high or low cards on the table.
@qwerty52676
@qwerty52676 2 жыл бұрын
I get that splitting 8s vs. 10 gives you a better chance of winning but is it cost effective to double your bet against a 10 starting with an 8 in your hand?
@GaryLuKOTH
@GaryLuKOTH 2 жыл бұрын
If you go by expected value, it is. If you do not split, your probability of winning is 23%. So, (assuming your bet is only $1, since any other bet would scale the results the same way) the expected amount you will win is (0.23)(+1)+(0.77)(-1)=-0.54. Now, if you split, 8 vs. 10 has a probability of winning of 38%. So, your expected winnings is (0.38)(+1)+(0.62)(-1)=-0.24. Double that, you get -0.48. Having an average loss of 48 cents per hand is better than having an average loss of 52 cents per hand, so splitting is better.
@Redtopper02
@Redtopper02 Жыл бұрын
It is a defensive play. You are hoping to just win one of the hands to break even. That is why you split 8s.
@superbri1
@superbri1 Жыл бұрын
what about a 12 Versus a 2 ?
@denisbussiere7442
@denisbussiere7442 2 жыл бұрын
Most misplayed hands in my opinion: 1) they take insurance 2) they accept even money 3) they misplay soft totals especially soft 18 versus dealer 9-10-A 4) on a h17 table they dont double soft 19 versus dealer 6 5) on a s17 table they double 11 versus dealer A
@Paul-vf2wl
@Paul-vf2wl Жыл бұрын
As more and more casinos are fazing out the 3:2 Blackjack in favor of 6:5 I take even money
@denisbussiere7442
@denisbussiere7442 Жыл бұрын
@@Paul-vf2wl I agree
@DragonPupEclipse
@DragonPupEclipse Жыл бұрын
I see people taking even money all the time compare to take insurance.
@baseballsux2
@baseballsux2 Жыл бұрын
Shouldn’t a hard 15 surrender to a dealer ten (or face) as well?
@JackAceDotCom
@JackAceDotCom 2 жыл бұрын
How is taking Even Money and insuring a pair of 10's not part of this list? I see this happen a lot more often than most of the 5 listed here.
@ramoncastanos1674
@ramoncastanos1674 2 жыл бұрын
Insuring a pair of tens? What's that?
@N8Som
@N8Som 2 жыл бұрын
@@ramoncastanos1674 taking insurance when you have 20 against a dealer Ace
@baseballsux2
@baseballsux2 Жыл бұрын
People also misplay their weak aces (A2-A6). Could have an entire video just on this subject.
@c.s.mcleod7383
@c.s.mcleod7383 Жыл бұрын
I was playing 1st base at Riviera,2nd player played $10 on 1 hand and $800 on anchor hand. Dealer showed a ten. His $10hand was a blackjack and $800 hand was 16. He surrendered $800 and was paid on his blackjack and left table. Dealer had a 20. Next hand I was dealt a 5. He would have made 21. He left table with $425 He would have $1625 if he hit the 16.
@jsutherlygmail
@jsutherlygmail Жыл бұрын
Stand on 16? I see it all the time from players who know better. Frustrating, and can really screw up the rest of the table. You can't play BJ with your gut. Stick to the strategy.
@1luckygunner289
@1luckygunner289 2 жыл бұрын
I think you missed on I am a casino dealer for a very long time and the most misplayed hand I see no matter what betting level is 33 against a dealer 7 up card very few people split this hand and even the most experienced players don’t slit the threes against a 7
@aztecwarrior9729
@aztecwarrior9729 2 жыл бұрын
so split 33 vs 7. got it
@steeloned
@steeloned 2 жыл бұрын
If experienced players aren't doing it then I won't split um either.
@PureExile
@PureExile Жыл бұрын
This advice may be correct for US casinos but you should not split 88 v 10 if you lose both bets when the dealer has a blackjack.
@carmdurso3842
@carmdurso3842 2 жыл бұрын
I know it’s probably taboo but I’ve asked casinos if I could double down on my blackjack. Some allow me to, some don’t. My thinking is I’m trying to get 2-1 instead of 6-5 or even 3-2 payouts. Note: I only do this when I’m up a bit and getting greedy.
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents 2 жыл бұрын
This is Matt, I once won a blackjack tournament on the last hand because u was dealt a bj and the 3:2 pay off would have put me in second place but the 2:1 payoff from a double down won it for me. I had to argue with the pit boss to allow it but he let me
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents 2 жыл бұрын
I would not recommend it if its not tournament play though, you are risking a guaranteed win (as long as dealer isn't showing paint)
@praveentalveda143
@praveentalveda143 Жыл бұрын
I agree with you on one point here only, rest all false. when player 16 and dealer showing 10, player can surrender. This one only right from this video rest all doesn't work in real time.
@irowley60
@irowley60 Жыл бұрын
Here is thought always to keep in mind. whenever you are playing, "Casinos are not built on winners"
@alexanderr1795
@alexanderr1795 Жыл бұрын
The amount of cards you have doesn’t matter you surrender 16s against tens if you can hit if the count is under plus one or stand if its over.
@cripper73
@cripper73 Жыл бұрын
7:50 gets a 21....don't mess up the stay sign.......you have to show it! LOL
@SimX9000
@SimX9000 Жыл бұрын
This guy knows what he is talking about
@kennedyfrancis5875
@kennedyfrancis5875 2 жыл бұрын
8:20 😂😂😂
@johnknowles9680
@johnknowles9680 Жыл бұрын
Incidentally, hitting 12 against 3 is basic strategy. However if the true count is plus 2 you should stand. Neutral count of 0, 16 player should stand, stand 15 against true count plus 2. Double 10 against 10 or A up. Insure 10, 11, 20 against A plus 3. Insure all hands against A plus 6 or above. Should win over 70% of insurance bets. Don't split A against negative 6 or below. Hit don't split 8's against negative 6 true count. Otherwise your advice is competent. Consider baccarat best odds and most beatable game in the casino.
@baseballsux2
@baseballsux2 Жыл бұрын
Hmmmm. This is not good advice. First of all, in no way is baccarat better odds than blackjack. Certainly not if the player is counting the cards correctly. About your advice in regards to strategy adjustments due to true count. 12 stops hitting against 3 at + .5 (true count)12 stops hitting against 2 at + 2.5 (TC). Concerning insurance, your hand is immaterial. At a true count of +3.7, the odds of a dealer ace making a blackjack are over 33.3%. That makes insurance (pays 2 to 1) a good bet. Based on your advice, I suspect you are not a very good card counter.
@baseballsux2
@baseballsux2 Жыл бұрын
Reread your comment and noticed this: “ Should win over 70% of insurance bets.” 70%! Insurance NEVER even approaches 40% no matter what the count. It’s only 30.8% (4 out of 13) normally. In order to win 70% of your insurance bets, the deck would have have 7 out of 10 cards being a ten or a face. That’s not possible. Readers: this commenter is either stupid, ignorant, or deliberately (maliciously) giving bad advice to mess you up. Don’t listen to him/her/them.
@johnknowles9680
@johnknowles9680 Жыл бұрын
@@baseballsux2 Thanks for your comments. I suggest you read Power Baccarat 2 by Byron Herbert for an authoritative comparison of the odds between the two games. Also the wizard of odds. As too basic strategy variations I think the theory of blackjack by Peter Griffin and also an old but very reliable book by Laurence Revere. Also some basic neutral plus 1 plus 2 ideas by Arnold Snyder. His unbalanced count he named the Red 7 is helpful. Unfortunately I'm getting older and for almost a decade I've been backed off flat betted and otherwise uninvited to play Blackjack in multiple States. Other countermeasures have also been employed by casinos to slow me down. When flat betting couldn't stop me I've been sometimes kicked out of several casinos. You're right about me not being very good as my camouflage and so forth has failed me several times. Thanks again.
@johnknowles9680
@johnknowles9680 Жыл бұрын
@@baseballsux2 why don't you try using Wongs halves count or ITA research method. Granted you'll be counting 20% more cards but the improvement on both ties and insurance bets is dramatic. Betting correlation and playing efficiency as well as insurance is dramatically better than the Hi Low. Sorry you're stuck on high low parameters. Frankly little more than an introductory card counting method. Baccarat odds are dramatically better. Also no heat!
@stankpictures2388
@stankpictures2388 Жыл бұрын
There's one answer not included that's more important than the explanations here - what is the count? Knowing if the deck favors you or does not favor you by tracking cards is key to the decisions. The most accurate answer should be - "here's the best move to make IF the deck mathematically helps". Yes, you can split 9-9 vs. 9, but only if the count favors you to do so. Hitting 12 vs. 13 is correct, but only if the count is correct to do so. Sometimes the best answer is the opposite of what is suggested here, depending on the count.
@MrJitzing
@MrJitzing Жыл бұрын
Not everyone is counting cards when they play. Some people, play just for fun and some only know basic strategy. Of course, if they count cards, I would agree with your statements.
@Deadganon
@Deadganon Жыл бұрын
ok question with that #1 mistake, with the two 8's vs a 10.... 23% to win but when you split it you said you have a 38% but you are doubling your money and NOT even doubling your percentage to win so if you go with percentage wise, arent you still losing more in the end.... Isn't it like poker where to by a plus eva player, you need the right amount of odds to justify the call here based on percentage, and other stuff..... well in this case don't i need at least 2 to 1 odds to be winning with my money thus need double the 23% which is 46% to make it worth risking double my money in a already losing position? The other tips i agree with but this one seems like it didn't factor in the money you are risking portion part and just basing it all on percentages and forgetting about what you are risking for those percentages?
@clintrichardsonclintfromny203
@clintrichardsonclintfromny203 Жыл бұрын
Its a bad move. Your going to end up re-splitting and at times doubling after split and lose even more money. Is it mathematically correct to split and resplit 8's? Yes, but not nearly as profitable as he suggests. You would need to play a million hands before you would gain a tiny edge. So therefore its not practical.
@Paul-vf2wl
@Paul-vf2wl Жыл бұрын
@@clintrichardsonclintfromny203 I'm trying to think of any successful 8 splits I've had but usually it's just a mess of additional 8s followed by a couple of 3s that require doubling and you end up with 5 hands of 15 or busted which you end up losing 6-7 times your original bet because the dealer had 20
@clintrichardsonclintfromny203
@clintrichardsonclintfromny203 Жыл бұрын
@@Paul-vf2wl Same here. Most re-splits and doubles have been disastrous.
@DragonPupEclipse
@DragonPupEclipse Жыл бұрын
@@clintrichardsonclintfromny203 Two hands of 8 is still better than a 16 regardless what dealer has. No brainer you always split 8s. 16 is the worst starting hand in blackjack. I hope you understand what WORST means. 8 is a decent starting hand in blackjack Two decent hands>One worst hand Two hands of 8 vs 10 is not good but 16 against 10 is even worst. Think it like this: Would you rather have two decent fighters against a black belt or you would rather have a worst fighter vs a black belt? Which sounds better to you? Would you rather have a starting hand of 8 or 16? Answer those and then tell me if you still think splitting 8s is a bad idea. Now I know why Casino is making more profit and more profit every year. Because of you puppets always against logic and math in blackjack. Sad but that's the reality.
@ziggylasvegas8727
@ziggylasvegas8727 Жыл бұрын
Wait a minute.......why did you not double down after splitting 8th's and getting a 2?
@candee7819
@candee7819 Жыл бұрын
how about when the dealers up card is 10 80 out of 100 hands
@DavidGarcia-hv4vs
@DavidGarcia-hv4vs 2 жыл бұрын
Any suggestions for how to play next to a guy who splits 10’s
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents 2 жыл бұрын
Just ignore him. As many times as he will screw you up and make the dealer draw to 21, he will also make the dealer bust just as many times
@alfienoakes1911
@alfienoakes1911 2 жыл бұрын
only worry about your hand, not other peoples hands. It's you against the dealer, one on one. Just play your game.
@billwalker7556
@billwalker7556 2 жыл бұрын
@@alfienoakes1911 no. other players decisions can DEFINATELY effect your hand.
@billwalker7556
@billwalker7556 2 жыл бұрын
yes. move to another table
@alfienoakes1911
@alfienoakes1911 2 жыл бұрын
@@billwalker7556 no the game is just you against the dealer. Dont worry about others play. nobody knows what the next card is going to be. People like you just remember the times you lose, not the times you win because of another persons play.
@alexh8613
@alexh8613 2 жыл бұрын
#3 I assume that this is based off of single deck blackjack. In a 6, 7, or 8 deck having three low cards in your hand, compared to just two, pretty much changes nothing in regards to percentages.
@onejdc
@onejdc 2 жыл бұрын
... Uhm. It doesn't matter if this is a 1, 2, or 9 deck shoe. Having a 19/52 chance vs having 133/364 chance is the same 37% chance.
@alexh8613
@alexh8613 2 жыл бұрын
@@onejdc Of course it matters. In this particular hand you have 18 of the 48 remaining cards that can help you. That is a 37.5% chance of improvement. If you don't have that 3rd card then you have 19 of 49 remaining cards that can help you. Which is a 38.78% chance of improvement If you were playing 8 decks you have 158 of the 412 cards that can help you. That is a 38.34% chance of improvement. Without that 3rd card then you have 159 of the 413 that can help you. That is a 38.50% chance of improvement. So in single deck your odds improve by 1.28% while in 8 deck it only improves 0.16%.
@THE-RED-LETTER-PROJECT
@THE-RED-LETTER-PROJECT 2 жыл бұрын
One hand maybe, 5 years of nothing but 21 everyday. What's your life going to be like? If your bankroll even survives the first 31 days.
@alexh8613
@alexh8613 2 жыл бұрын
@@THE-RED-LETTER-PROJECT That comment makes no sense in this thread
@michaelbaucom4019
@michaelbaucom4019 2 жыл бұрын
Splitting 8s, the reason to do so : you're more apt to break even( win one, lose one) instead of just losing
@brianhammond2832
@brianhammond2832 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, more apt than you were to win 1 hand before splitting, however, you are much more likely to have 2 losing hands than 2 winning hands. He says later in the video that 18 is not a good hand in blackjack.
@vincevice1398
@vincevice1398 2 жыл бұрын
No shit sherlock. If Shaq were to shoot 30 3s a game in his prime he would be much more likely to hit one than if he had shot 1 3 a game. Wouldn't have helped his team win though now would it?
@oworld4057
@oworld4057 2 жыл бұрын
@@brianhammond2832 a hard 18 is good. Maybe not a soft 18 against a 9 or a 10.
@davidahhh
@davidahhh 2 жыл бұрын
this was one i didn't get, by splitting aren't you exchanging a crap hand for two marginally less crap hands🤔
@saulshayde9633
@saulshayde9633 Жыл бұрын
Free bet blackjack though. Rule number one only use the free bet if the book says you would normally split or double. Don’t take free bet outside the book unless playing pot of gold bonus
@michaelfalkner1186
@michaelfalkner1186 Жыл бұрын
That first one is easy. You must, because of the 4/13 of every deck being 10-value, assume until shown otherwise that the hole is a 10. 18 is just begging a lose, because, pretty much only a bust will win it. You're not in very good shape in the first place, and splitting the 9's might get you some back. The second one is counterintuitive, and sometimes I fall prey to this, because I am feeling I'm begging for a 10 when I hit on that, feeling that 10 could be better served on a 9 or 10 hole card on the house with that 3. Third one: Yeah, you're pretty much screwed on that one -- if you even get to the decision, 7 of the 12 cards are immediate losers to begin with. And only 5 of the 13 will help you. Surrender, if offered, is the correct play. He is correct in the other cases, which is kinda the opposite of what I often see if I know I'm not going to get a big number, but there's no choice there to begin with. Fourth: 18 is actually quite WEAK, since the dealer either must attain 17 or higher, or bust in the attempt. You ONLY win at 17, and, factually, you're better off tossing the 18 with a 9-up and you might get 2 cards which might improve you or, luckily, one! Fifth: Ouch. That's a wallet-emptier there. Because even the best play is a gutshot situation, you might end up with a pair of 18s, eat a 20, and what the guy says you fear comes to pass!
@sabastianjake1316
@sabastianjake1316 Жыл бұрын
single deck or ?
@davidziemann9653
@davidziemann9653 Жыл бұрын
Is this single deck advice?
@tonyslots2768
@tonyslots2768 Жыл бұрын
What about 12 vs 12
@NoGreedSeeds
@NoGreedSeeds Жыл бұрын
If you don’t study the game you’re playing, you’re just having fun. I’m going to start taking the 6-deck basic chart cards with me. Sell ‘em to other players. Since the damn Seminole hard rock doesn’t carry them.
@gregwilliamsono9360
@gregwilliamsono9360 Жыл бұрын
Always split 8's
@lestercaldera3776
@lestercaldera3776 2 жыл бұрын
What is you see lots of many high has passed
@rickysmith6041
@rickysmith6041 2 жыл бұрын
about standing on 16 with more than 2 cards, is that still a thing? I understand the mathematics of it but my casino uses 8 decks it seems like that one card can't make much of a difference to justify standing
@KelseyHubley
@KelseyHubley 2 жыл бұрын
I would hit it. Basic strategy says to still hit it especially if they have 6-8 decks and auto shuffler
@KelseyHubley
@KelseyHubley 2 жыл бұрын
I think he said stand on 3 or more cards for 16
@rickysmith6041
@rickysmith6041 2 жыл бұрын
@@KelseyHubley yea whatever I cared so little about it knowing it won't affect anything but a single deck my brain didn't even bother to remember it It wasn't important enough to be specific
@rickysmith6041
@rickysmith6041 2 жыл бұрын
@@KelseyHubley thanks for your help though, and yes I absolutely still hit
@woodrowbunopaddle
@woodrowbunopaddle 2 жыл бұрын
Soft Aces ,and especially soft18 are often not doubled on dealer4-5-6 up card
@oworld4057
@oworld4057 2 жыл бұрын
What is the best thing to do in that situation?
@kapeeshmenzies6971
@kapeeshmenzies6971 2 жыл бұрын
If the player and the Dealer trade places , would the odds still be in the dealers favor? I guess my question is , why is the Dealer so much Better at winning lol if you just do what the dealer does , wouldn't you win more than half the time?
@TheJackpotGents
@TheJackpotGents 2 жыл бұрын
The player has to go first and if the player loses, he is out of the game, even if the dealer later busts.
@thepalagoon
@thepalagoon 2 жыл бұрын
I know its an extremely niche case, but 9-9 against a 7 has to be an honorable mention. I find most players split this thinking their naked 9s have an advantage over the 7. They DO have an advantage, but 18 against a 7 is better than starting two hands with nines.
@Lidz2193
@Lidz2193 2 жыл бұрын
That was the first one that came to mind before I started this video. I guessed the other 3 out of 5.
@steeloned
@steeloned Жыл бұрын
Isn't the average winning hand > 18?
@Lidz2193
@Lidz2193 Жыл бұрын
@@steeloned Technically yes. However, soft 18vs10 is different. Hitting on soft 18 is indeed the correct move in terms of mathematical expectancy. In this scenario the cards that can help your hand improve are: A, 2, & 3. Cards that give you the same hand are: 10, J, Q, K. Cards that can hurt your hand are: 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9. 7 cards either help you or put you in the same spot. 6 cards hurt your hand but you can still keep hitting to improve your hand due to it being a soft 18.
@steeloned
@steeloned Жыл бұрын
@@Lidz2193 So technically you'd want to improve on your 9-9 against a 7 by splittng because the average winning hand is greater than 18.
@Lidz2193
@Lidz2193 Жыл бұрын
@@steeloned No you would stand 9-9 against a 7 cause you want to assume dealer has a face card, flips a 17, and then you win the hand with your 18.
@jasonsmith1288
@jasonsmith1288 2 жыл бұрын
ill admit sometimes when I have a hard 12 against a 2 i will double down
@tgp-rq2wi
@tgp-rq2wi 2 жыл бұрын
I've done that.. but not often.
@steeloned
@steeloned 2 жыл бұрын
That makes little sense to me since a 2 is a fairly strong dealer card. Wouldn't it be a better idea to double the 12 against his 4,5 or 6?
@electrofreaknl6303
@electrofreaknl6303 Жыл бұрын
Never seen surrender in a (online) casino
@jomamma349jo4
@jomamma349jo4 Жыл бұрын
I didn't know surrender was a thing
@nolanvolens5727
@nolanvolens5727 Жыл бұрын
Watching that "dealer" was painful. Would it have been so hard to get an actual casino dealer for this?
@troyhbk
@troyhbk Жыл бұрын
I'll tell you how to beat blackjack right now. You gotta read this whole novel first. He couldnt be more wrong. Most people watching this video I assume are playing at a 15 min bet table which uses 8 decks there are 4 2's thru-6's in each deck, so thats 20 cards that help you multiply that by the 8 decks you're playing with and thats 160 cards that could move your hand into the 17+ range without busting. 1 card out've 160 cards isn't going to move the odds enough to make staying the right move. Now if you're playing 2 deck blackjack or single deck, thats different, maybe he's right but Ive been to many casinos and Ive never seen anything but 6 deck(higher stakes) and 8 deck(lower stakes). Surrender your 15-16 against 9,10, and ace. It's the correct move, dont worry about what would've happend on one particular hand. When I surrender and the next card would've given me 20-21, it doesnt faze me. I know Im doing the right thing. He's right that an 18 isn't quite good enough but he's wrong as well. If you have an 18 every single time, that means you're never going to bust, you would win alot of money. As the dealer's advantage is when you make a hand and they bust, you win. When they make a hand and you bust, they win. If you both bust, they win. Thats what gives them an edge of about .4%(if you're playing perfect basic strategy including surrender and never taking insurance, including even money). If you can have an 18 every time, that means you'd never go over, you would in fact be a winner. Only follow the staying on 16 if you're playing single or double deck, although it's a bad spot either way, the difference long term is probably like a 1/10 of a percent. You want to beat BJ? Well you can. Want to know how? 5 things, get a rewards card, follow perfect basic strategy, set a limit that you can stick to, be willing to bet heavy when you're up, and if you make a big score the next trip, go back to the same limit you had before. Say you're comfortable losing 1000 on a given trip to the casino. You play and lose 1000, stop, go home, do not chase. Say next time, after a couple shoes you're up 3000. Lock up a win, it doesnt really matter what the win is that you lock up, whatever you're comfortable with 500-1000-1500 all fine. Take the remaining money and shoot for the moon. If you lose it, walk away. If you win, lock up some more and continue shooting for the moon. Say you had a great night and won 6-7k. The next time you play you go back to that same 1k limit..if you lose, you stop...Just because you won the last time, you can't change your limit, blackjack is in the casinos favor but if you have tremendous dicipline and you're willing to walk away and willing to lock up wins and really go for it when you're up. Blackjack is beatable. Also with a player's card you can earn points redeemable for gift cards, free clothes, free anything really. Another thing you should do is when no one is looking and you're winning, slip some chips into your pocket, the less the casino knows about how much you're winning or if you're losing they think you're losing more, the better for you. My father had a 2k limit and over a 10 year period was up about 100k forget the 100s of rooms and gigantic dinners that he paid for with all his points. My dad just followed what I said. DISCIPLINE ... You can beat BJ without counting cards with discipline, locking up wins, and being super aggressive when you're up on a given session. Sadly, it's MUCH harder than what I just said. It takes a very special person to be able to do what I just said night in and night out. BUT it's possible.. good luck to everyone.
@jeffreyb8770
@jeffreyb8770 Жыл бұрын
Pretend you're the HOUSE, and you want to keep yourself from taking your money!
@sunnyscott4876
@sunnyscott4876 2 жыл бұрын
Fe place in Vegas will let you surrender. I have only seen one so far.
@jackcle4544
@jackcle4544 Жыл бұрын
What were the 5 blackjack hands again, I keep falling asleep.
@ibelievethepropaganda7668
@ibelievethepropaganda7668 7 ай бұрын
Dave Ramsey wouldn't be too happy with this mess of a system. Baby steps work. People have a spending problem not a math problem.
@tortuga3402
@tortuga3402 2 жыл бұрын
If you have a pair of 9s, and you win 9.5/20 times by splitting them, but you have to double your bet to do so, why not just take the 8/20 chance on a single bet, rather than doubling it for under 50% odds. Either way you have a losing hand, one option you don't invest more money into your losing hand. I don't get it.
@tortuga3402
@tortuga3402 2 жыл бұрын
guess you lose less over time even with doubling, just stole this logic from someone else in the comments. you bet 1 unit and dont split 200 times you win 80 units, lose 120. Down 40 units. you bet 2 units by splitting, 200 times, 400 with the split, you win 190 units, lose 210. Down 30 units.
@iancoen1792
@iancoen1792 Жыл бұрын
I got them all correct! Lol
@dianestraub7736
@dianestraub7736 Жыл бұрын
You looked exhausted at the end. Hope you win next time to afford some nice carry on bag. Bah!
@c.s.mcleod7383
@c.s.mcleod7383 2 жыл бұрын
Oh! So I'm going to get 10s on my split 9s?
@steeloned
@steeloned 2 жыл бұрын
I saw that too. 😉
@Paul-vf2wl
@Paul-vf2wl Жыл бұрын
Yup no chance you'll get a 6 and a 7 none at all
@sku32956
@sku32956 Жыл бұрын
Best advice once you have more money they you started leave !!
@joeblow9931
@joeblow9931 Жыл бұрын
surrendering is not an option at any casinos near me
@markjohnson-sl9qf
@markjohnson-sl9qf 3 ай бұрын
When I hit on 12, I always get a ten
@jarbs58
@jarbs58 Жыл бұрын
How dare the dealer not take the bet after they broke. Finished their hand then took it. Write up!
@Andrew_Young
@Andrew_Young 2 жыл бұрын
I heard you surrender a pair of 8s against a 10 if the casino offers early surrender
@jeffreyval9665
@jeffreyval9665 2 жыл бұрын
Just take the hit and hope for a 4 or 5 but never split 8's against a 10 chances are your losing both hands.
@Andrew_Young
@Andrew_Young 2 жыл бұрын
@@jeffreyval9665 not sure what you mean by "both hands" I just had one in mind. I don't know what to say, that's what all the basic strategy charts for early surrender say to do and your comment didn't change my mind.
@jeffreyval9665
@jeffreyval9665 2 жыл бұрын
@@Andrew_Young majority of players never surrender a hand and when I said both hands I meant splitting 8's against a 10 rarely works and your better off just hitting.
@Andrew_Young
@Andrew_Young 2 жыл бұрын
@@jeffreyval9665 "when I said both hands I meant splitting 8's against a 10 rarely works" That makes sense, thanks for the clarification! As the mathematician in the video said, you should usually split. It's true that splitting doesn't give you a winning hand most of the time, because if you can you're supposed to surrender. It wouldn't make sense to surrender (give up half your bet) if you had a good hand. The only reason you should do that is when you would lose more than 50% of the time if you hit, stand, or split. "majority of players never surrender a hand" I don't care what the majority of players do, I care what the math says to do so I can lose less money than the majority of players.
@1luckygunner289
@1luckygunner289 2 жыл бұрын
@@jeffreyval9665 not true odds in the long run you will win more hands then you loose by splitting the 8s
@YamamotoKazuo
@YamamotoKazuo Жыл бұрын
A lot of Casinos don't have surrender
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