What To Expect From The First Presidential Debate

What To Expect From The First Presidential Debate | 538 Politics Podcast

Рет қаралды 17,144

6 күн бұрын

This Thursday, President Biden and former President Donald Trump will go head-to-head in the earliest presidential debate ever. It is also the first contest between a president and former president in over a century and the first debate not run by the Commission on Presidential Debates since 1988.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether historical expectations for presidential debates will apply in this unique situation. They also dissect some questionable uses of polling and preview a couple of high-profile primary races in New York and Colorado.
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Пікірлер: 72

@MrDowntemp0 4 күн бұрын

At the very least, an explanation as to why full episodes and videos aren't available here would be nice rather than constantly ignoring the complaints.

@mrwho995 4 күн бұрын

It's just not the same without video

@prettyhatemachine101 3 күн бұрын

I think no more video is my fault y'all, I kept lusting after Galen and Elliott in the comments and now I've ruined it for all of us!

@Flow86767 2 күн бұрын

Lol

@jackkazinsky290 4 күн бұрын

again no video, please upload with the video, content is much more engaging

@WackadoodleMalarkey 2 күн бұрын

At least give us the dancing fox animation

@CB38096 4 күн бұрын

The first debate is going to have clips going around the internet all summer

@michaeldfarmer 3 күн бұрын

I agree with Mary. People who say they will probably vote for a particular candidate will probably vote for that particular candidate.

@shaynedonnelly9596 4 күн бұрын

Wish we had video. It helps some of us to be able to read lips.

@darynvoss7883 2 күн бұрын

You discuss the apparent disparity between how much experts say the debates can change the polling (3%) versus 17% of people saying the presidential debate has _ever_ changed their vote. These two stats are compatible. Firstly, the average voter in the USA is about 50 years old and has seen about 8 presidential elections as an adult. If they say that the debates affected them _ever_, it could be one time in eight. Secondly, the number of voters who switch their voting intention because of a particular debate is going to be greater than the expected poll change. 3% could change from Trump to Biden, 4% could change from Biden to Trump, that would be 7% of the population changed their voting intention but the overall poll change is 1%.

@nomenclature9373 3 күн бұрын

I will be watching while enjoying pizza, crudites and a mango smoothie.

@retireearly7223 3 күн бұрын

Is that you, Dr Oz?

@valdomero738 3 күн бұрын

Based

@WackadoodleMalarkey 2 күн бұрын

I'll be breaking a 48 hour fast with whiskey

@e-manr.486 4 күн бұрын

You guys should experiment with doing a live reaction to the debate on KZfaq on Thursday😉

@CaiRobinson 3 күн бұрын

really enjoying these, thanks for uploading them

@MeItsLiterallyMe 4 күн бұрын

Well I'm never swimming in fresh water again

@obibon4548 4 күн бұрын

😂

@georgeharris6851 3 күн бұрын

On the bright side, a snake with a fish in their mouth is kind of stuck, and can't bite you.

@porecemusnox8805 2 күн бұрын

@@georgeharris6851 Catfishs have some nasty spines ... the snake was wielding a weapon!

@georgeharris6851 2 күн бұрын

@@porecemusnox8805 I've skinned catfish, and I've seen a copperhead eating a fish. The snake is very vulnerable at that time, and I'd rather deal with a snake with a fish in its mouth, than one ready to bite.

@porecemusnox8805 2 күн бұрын

@@georgeharris6851 I agree. I'd like to avoid close proximity to Cottonmouths or Coppers, too. That being said, my comment was not meant to be taken seriously. 🙂

@vanadyan1674 4 күн бұрын

I expect it to be simultaneously the best comedy and the best tragedy on television that night.

@georgeharris6851 3 күн бұрын

Could it be that right now, a lot of the polling is a referendum on the incumbent, especially President. And as the election draws closer. Then it becomes a true horse race between the two candidates?

@mitchellmartin4580 3 күн бұрын

Possibly. Really hard to say what's influencing peoples' responses to polls.

@alexamerling79 9 сағат бұрын

For all those who wondered what they would have done in Nazi Germany, we are about to find out...

@amyw6922 3 күн бұрын

Just remember a vote for a Third Party candidate is in effect a vote for Trump and autocracy

@Handlethis342 Күн бұрын

Never thought I'd see the President of the United States debate a convicted felon.

@BrightyLighty_ 2 күн бұрын

where video?

@JKDC97 2 күн бұрын

The little comical preview at the beginning of each episode (or now podcast?) is completely ununegaging and ineffective now that theres no accompanying video. Might as well just scrap it because its complerely pointless.

@jannichi6431 Күн бұрын

Is You Tube monitoring its 3rd partiers? Commercials galore now chopping up into 2 minutes...GREEDY...comments and quality interrupted.😡

@CoolDogsify 3 күн бұрын

It's clear that 538 is not paying their Video Editor enough money.

@steveyoung9687 3 күн бұрын

Probably laid them off. ABC has killed 538.

@WackadoodleMalarkey 2 күн бұрын

$5.38/hr

@jl8942 3 күн бұрын

I am not developmentally stunted, so the lack of video doesn't bother me😊

@emmanuelwinner4149 4 күн бұрын

Expect Dementia Don to poop his pants and run away.

@davidsommerfeldt9588 4 күн бұрын

Ok, don’t let me down!!!!!

@nomenclature9373 3 күн бұрын

Welp, they do have a couple of breaks built in.

@funkycoldmolina9255 3 күн бұрын

This episode was a cope fest 😂

@steveyoung9687 4 күн бұрын

No video? I guess you're done with video. I'm unsubscribing, thanks for the good content in prior years.

@bmeht 4 күн бұрын

It's ok they're kinda useless anyway

@valdomero738 3 күн бұрын

Girl, same.

@IbrahimaKone-g5r 3 күн бұрын

;j'aime

@kennethcrowe7961 4 күн бұрын

Spin lie spin lie

@rentslave 4 күн бұрын

The White House physician will be arrested for malpractice.

@brianlynch6935 3 күн бұрын

You know Trump is going to lose 🤣🤣🤣

@andrewschneck4404 4 күн бұрын

It will be a complete s#!tshow

@bmeht 4 күн бұрын

BOOOOOOO!!

@vladsaveluc2659 4 күн бұрын

I expect CNN to be in Biden's pocket and give him the questions in advance

@stevenwiederholt7000 4 күн бұрын

Can we expect an apology when none/little of this happens?

@nuqwestr 4 күн бұрын

Biden falls down at the podium. That would be a debate point for Trump people would consider.

@josearroyo9350 4 күн бұрын

Biden needs to take a drug test prior to the debate!!!!!!!

@mickael486 4 күн бұрын

don't be foolish with your confirmation bias bs.

@brianlynch6935 3 күн бұрын

MAGA needs excuses 🤣🤣🤣

@nomenclature9373 3 күн бұрын

So does DT. The debate pre-show should be mouth swabs, blood draws.

@reubenhandel210 2 күн бұрын

We expect bias from CNN

@Wi2Low 4 күн бұрын

Well, we can certainly expect CNN to be really fair to Trump 🙄 Also Joe will give memorized answers to the questions that CNN has given him in advance.

@michaeldeaton 3 күн бұрын

It's scared -Literally everyone watching MAGA right now

@brysonwest93 3 күн бұрын

You mean not allowing Trump access to the microphone when it's not his turn? We need childish rules now that a babyman is running.

@andrewmathias1967 2 күн бұрын

Wait a minute, I thought Joe Biden had oatmeal for brains. How is he ever going to remember the questions?If he's given them in advance. Please make it make sense.