Phil Anderson on the 18.6-year real estate cycle and more!

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Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC)

9 ай бұрын

Phil Anderson returns to Cycles TV to discuss the 18.6-year real estate cycle.
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
We are thrilled to announce the return of world-renowned cycles expert Phil Anderson to Cycles TV, along with Akhil Patel, author of the new book The Secret Wealth Advantage. Board Member Andrew Pancholi interviews Anderson and Patel on the significance of the 18.6-year real estate cycle, how it affects the markets, how it can transform your investing strategies, and so much more.
Anderson is director of Property Share Market Economics and author of The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking. For over 25 years he has studied economics and markets and can say categorically that Western economies exhibit an 18.6-year real estate cycle.
Patel is one of the world’s leading experts in economic, financial, and property cycles. He has been working with Anderson for over a decade to produce unique research that combines an in-depth understanding of business, real estate, and stock market cycles.
🌎 Join us live for the 4th annual Market Forecast on Jan 9 to 11 at 4PM EST. You’ll hear from some of the greatest minds in finance and cycles analysis. Register free. cycles.org/market-forecast-2024/
Questions or comments? Leave a message in the comment section below.
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Пікірлер: 47

@FSCtv 6 ай бұрын

🌎 Become a cycles insider. Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/

@rogerbason9558 8 ай бұрын

I bought The Secret Wealth Advantage after watching this KZfaq and I its not just a book filled with incredible history but also a roadmap and game plan for the next collapse. Its also a easy read. Would highly recommend it.

@cstacey52397 9 ай бұрын

A wonderful interview thank you. The amount of knowledge amongst the three speakers is astronomical, life changing and priceless. Thank you so much xx

@marcbarnes5174 9 ай бұрын

Brilliant video. Thank you very much all of you. Great work. Love all you guys. Read both Phil and Akhil’s books.

@jasonjennings9389 3 ай бұрын

I've read both books. A wake up moment for me personally which has transformed my approach to wall street and investing. Currently in the middle of my second read of The Secret Wealth Advantage.

@hughtube86 Ай бұрын

Great chat! 3 Big brains here

@andrewmckeen2112 9 ай бұрын

Great as usual by FSC and PSE; Love Phil's saying 'The fed is always behind the curve and governments always make things worse'.

@MrMarccj 8 ай бұрын

This was way more interesting than the title suggested. Well done!

@mradeelmirza 4 ай бұрын

Phil is the original

@cointrader9288 9 ай бұрын

I bought Phil’s book. Thx you

@nthperson 9 ай бұрын

One of the dynamics driving the U.S. residential property markets is the percentage of sales that are for cash and not involve mortgage loan financing. In 2022 (according to Attom) all-cash sales comprised 36.1% of the total. In some high cost markets the percentage is actually much higher. In the city of Augusta, Georgia the percentage was 72.1 percent. The same dynamic occurs in the second home/resort communities.

@WillieWood42 8 ай бұрын

Awesome interview. Thank you for putting this together and asking great questions!

@jasbains8127 9 ай бұрын

Excellent interview all round. Well done chaps.

@christesoriero2203 9 ай бұрын

Great interview.. Was watching as Akhil was discussing the umbrella sellers. As I watched that my 8 & 10yo sons out the backyard. One had a tennis racket and the other a soccer ball.. The game looks like, “ who can inflict the most damage on each other “.

@shinecaityy 4 ай бұрын

This is very insightful, about to buy the book. When he says “takes you a few years to get to that point” regarding debt servicing, is he saying a few years in your home to build equity or a few years for the market to recover in order to be able to access a loan with a reasonable rate?

@josephallen8545 4 ай бұрын

Please healp me understand the ".6".. 14 years up then 4 years retracement for 18 years. What is the ".6" in the "18.6"? Thank you.

@timhet200 3 ай бұрын

It’s just the average amount of time based on all the US cycles that Phil has studied. It’s never exactly a certain number of years, but it averages 18.6. Believe it’s never been longer than 21 and never shorter than 15 or thereabouts. If you’re playing the odds, 18.6 is the average.

@Guillebrex 9 ай бұрын

Thanks for this!

@neinnein3972 7 ай бұрын

Thank you!

@ericanthonynatapradja8948 9 ай бұрын

I love an angry Phil 😅

@bssb936 9 ай бұрын

Brilliant thanks

@trevorkeyser9746 8 ай бұрын

Very good 👍 thank you 🙏

@DisperseControl 4 ай бұрын

❤

@bloodbathy 3 күн бұрын

How much these people have made with this knowledge? Can anyone tell us?

@mradeelmirza 4 ай бұрын

Thank you very much for this. I will sell my Bank and property shares in 2026. 🤣🤣🤣

@superpower612 5 ай бұрын

So if Melbourne didn’t see a down swing after the 18 year cycle that ended in 2008-2009. Should we expect one in 2026?

@Hhajsjeieirhrbbr 4 ай бұрын

Hard to say but I think I’ve heard Phil say in other interviews that this time we won’t have China around to a spend a heap of money in our economy during that time. And we were in a mining boom

@FiscalWoofer Ай бұрын

“They are not getting it and deserve what they are going to get “ 100% this is it. The talking heads just don’t get it and refuse to listen.

@user-fn2oy1rq5p 9 ай бұрын

Never heard of this 82/84 year cycle Phil mentioned. This corresponds to 1945 in 2027. Is this a war cycle?

@MrRfholmes 8 ай бұрын

I believe so

@justinmobrien91 8 ай бұрын

Yes

@darrenwilson8921 8 ай бұрын

Yes it is, though its more accurate to say this is the United States' Uranus return (84 years) as timed from Americas birth date (July 4th 1776). Freemasons would understand the significance of the date. Add 84 years forwards from 1776, then add another 84 etc - what do you see?

@roseparsons6305 5 ай бұрын

@@darrenwilson8921 = a good 3 yrs of solid growth

@nightghost569 9 ай бұрын

So when the downturn hasppens,what does Phil suggest to do/invest again?

@Medreg1983 4 ай бұрын

Read akhils book

@leondbleondb 9 ай бұрын

Anyone have a TL;DR version for me? I don't have the 2 hours soon.

@user-fn2oy1rq5p 9 ай бұрын

2008-style debt bubble with real estate crisis to start 2026. Mood will be good by then, developing debt issues will be seen small initially. Crisis center may be saudi arabia or china, not necessarily US. After that, technology stocks will outperform again

@user-fn2oy1rq5p 9 ай бұрын

Interestingly, Phil doesn't believe that a new gold-backed BRICS currency poses a threat to the $ system and that the inability for currency expansion during crisis exacerbates the crisis in those BRICS nations as it did when the US$ was gold-backed.

@leondbleondb 9 ай бұрын

@@user-fn2oy1rq5p thank you.

@Medreg1983 4 ай бұрын

Shut up and watch it

@leondbleondb 4 ай бұрын

@@Medreg1983 no.

@madmullet69 9 ай бұрын

I like how Phil hates these talks lmao

@dogegamer3288 5 ай бұрын

Houses will double in just a few years like they always do when the rates come down. I've been saying no crash for 3 years when everyone said it's going to be worse than 2008. I also have comments the last 3 years all over YT saying not only no crash but houses will double in price once rates come down. It always happens in a short time frame 3-4 years.

@riverat7558 5 ай бұрын

The reason some people have so little is because they're not willing to take the pain of starting a business and working yourself to the bone. Decade after decade after decade. And then assuming you have profits to invest go forward with buying assets. That's really all there is to it. This is from a 66-year-old boomer who started with a pickup truck and a hammer.