GPT-4 WILL affect YOUR job - new STUDY released

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Alex Ziskind

Alex Ziskind

Жыл бұрын

AI is here to stay, and a new study suggests that many jobs, including programming are exposed.
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Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2303.10130.pdf
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Пікірлер: 1 100
@cholst1
@cholst1 Жыл бұрын
If clients learn to actually articulate what they want, we're screwed.
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
so…we’re ok 👍
@RolandGustafsson
@RolandGustafsson Жыл бұрын
@@AZisk exactly!!
@goshteddy281
@goshteddy281 Жыл бұрын
​​@@AZisk i am afraid not. Because articulation is more about linguistics rather than technicality. People having neck for soft skills will use gpt more efficiently. GPT has not only bridged that gap between waige language to workable code, but concretely bridged it both ways.
@someonesgoat
@someonesgoat Жыл бұрын
Over time it will become much easier to get incredible results with basic prompts or little knowledge. It's already evolved this way just in the last couple of months. This is just the beginning.
@lalpremi
@lalpremi Жыл бұрын
😀.. if they can draw, we have done .. lol. who knows what GPT ver 10 will do in 3 years. Making kitchen cabinets is that bad of a job. lol
@youdontneedmyrealname
@youdontneedmyrealname Жыл бұрын
We thought the manual labor jobs would go first. In reality the creative jobs are going first.
@artxgx9245
@artxgx9245 Жыл бұрын
Not true at all. AI requires human input to create, if anything it's better to think of AI as a personal assistant, not a replacement. Yes it removes a lot of the gruntwork, and yes it can emulate language and communicate tasks. But on a creative level, it hasn't been able to replace meaning and it's biases limit how far it can go. AI for example can emulate Guillermo del Toro, but ask it to create a story that has as much meaning and value as Guillermo del Toro' s work does and it falls short. It works best when you use it to enhance your creativity not create for you without thought. Some game developers are already realizing how great it is for helping speedline concept art creation. It's hype right now for everyone to put headliners "I'm scared of AI" the only thing to really be scared of is AI assisted soldiers, hackers and viruses - now that...that I'm scared of. AI transforming how we work and play, not so much.
@youdontneedmyrealname
@youdontneedmyrealname Жыл бұрын
@ArtXgX This is just the beginning. AI alpha stages. Anyone saying that AI in the very near future (less than 10 years) can't greatly surpass humans in creativity is just coping. The progress of these models has only gotten faster in the past few months, not to mention the efficiency of training. GPT-4 isn't sentient, but compressing the sum of human knowledge into such a small space does wonders for the ability to string together what most could consider thought.
@loot6
@loot6 Жыл бұрын
@@artxgx9245 A replacement for whom, that is the issue. The boss won't need to go, but he'll only need ChatGPT as his personal assistant rather than that junior coder. Or he'll just hire someone very low level to use AI to create code rather than an actual coder.
@loot6
@loot6 Жыл бұрын
@@youdontneedmyrealname True, there's a hell of a lot of coping going on in the programming sector. You seem to hear "it's just a tool" so often it ironically sounds like it's bots posting the comments. It's a tool for whom, you the advanced coder with experience in multiple languages, or a tool for a junior coder that only knows javascript.
@artxgx9245
@artxgx9245 Жыл бұрын
@@youdontneedmyrealname I think my comment wasn't really clear. I never said it wouldn't surpass humans in creativity. But I am saying - I don't really care? I am excited for this technology, my whole life has been centered around it. I never thought in my lifetime I would see what I am seeing now, and it is happening. I feel, we will adapt to the technology as we did cars, computers and cell phones, this is just another thing to adapt to. Maybe I am biased because I work in the field of A.I both as an artist and a programmer, I run my own company, have already outsourced work to A.I and have seen it increase the productivity of the employees I do want to keep. I believe AI can and will transform society on levels we have never seen, and it is up to us to decide if it will be for better or worse.
@aaronbono4688
@aaronbono4688 Жыл бұрын
I have worked hard my whole life, as a programmer, to automate my way out of a job. No matter how hard I try the work keeps piling higher because they just want me to do more. There is no way that AI is going to automate me out of a job. Sure the tasks that I do are going to change but that has been the case my whole career so nothing new. Companies aren't going to get rid of us, they just are going to ask us to do more and do it faster, just like always.
@bobbybero7452
@bobbybero7452 Жыл бұрын
This AI campaign is mostly a scare tactic to make people work harder
@shiny_x3
@shiny_x3 Жыл бұрын
The way to automate yourself out of a job is to start a business and then automate the business. Becoming good at a job when you work for someone else is just asking to be given more work.
@aaronbono4688
@aaronbono4688 Жыл бұрын
@@shiny_x3 yeah I tried the whole start a business thing. But that's not automating yourself out of a job, it's getting other people to do the work for you so you can sit on your fat ass and use those people, making them do the work while you take their wages. I guess I'm too ethical because I just couldn't do it anymore.
@RobertDrane
@RobertDrane Жыл бұрын
@@shiny_x3 By automate the business, do you mean hire workers to operate it?
@RobertDrane
@RobertDrane Жыл бұрын
It's embarrassing how rare this observation is.
@RolandGustafsson
@RolandGustafsson Жыл бұрын
I use GPT to do the grunt work when writing code. Much of the work I do involves a myriad of different tools, command line utilities, various scripting languages, client-side, server-side. GTP saves me a lot of time and learning to use it correctly is a huge leverage... ya gotta know what to ask it. It's somewhat analogous to when spreadsheet programs first became available, you still needed to know where to plug in the numbers and formulas to use it. GPT and LLMs are just the next jump in tech.
@womp6338
@womp6338 Жыл бұрын
Yeah same, I use it to improve code, like rewrite a function better. You still need the conceptual knowledge but don’t need to be an expert on the specifics of a language. If you understand exactly what you want and can explain it concisely it’s great, surprisingly few people are good at doing that though
@KyleStangline
@KyleStangline Жыл бұрын
So, you're using GPT to handle all that tedious coding work, huh? I get it, it's a game changer and saves you tons of time. But, you know what, be careful, 'cause GPT might just snatch your job away one day! 😜 I mean, think about it: GPT and LLMs are getting smarter and more efficient, and they're only gonna keep improving. If these AI systems keep evolving, they might just be able to do our jobs better than us! Remember when spreadsheets first showed up? That was a big leap, but this... this is on a whole other level. So, sure, enjoy the ride and let GPT handle those scripts and tools for now, but maybe keep an eye out for a backup plan just in case our AI overlords take over. 😉
@womp6338
@womp6338 Жыл бұрын
@@KyleStangline Burying your head in the sand and not using it isn't going to help anyway so may as well use it.
@RolandGustafsson
@RolandGustafsson Жыл бұрын
@@KyleStangline I'm not at all worried because the work I do involves more creative thinking than a by-the-book AI can handle. I'm the one asking it to do work for me. Besides that, I'm semi-retired so this will just extend my brain further into the future. 🙂
@clive1294
@clive1294 Жыл бұрын
@@RolandGustafsson I believe you are right on the money. GPT won't be taking away your job unless you are not so good at it. They guys using GPT to best advantage are going to be the guys keeping their jobs - they will generate far more code that is far better. The GPT can't "do" your job, it can only make it faster and better, you are still essential. But once that happens, they (and you) are effectively going to be rendering the lower level grunts expendable, and (as Alex says in the video) in a couple years the company catches on to the fact that dear old Joe is putting out very little code compared to you, and his output is no longer essential - Joe is toast. You stay on at least for this cycle of this merry go round.
@renatoprincich3953
@renatoprincich3953 Жыл бұрын
I'm a carpenter, and also im studying to be a programmer. It was funny to see how a revolutionary tool as chatGPT can help me to write code in an incredible way, but it can't even say something useful about carpentry.
@Cara.314
@Cara.314 Жыл бұрын
until they can start training these language models in those fields when vision is more tightly integrated. it could consume/observe everything from technical drawings to basic woodworking tips.
@renatoprincich3953
@renatoprincich3953 Жыл бұрын
@@Cara.314 that's actually a good idea! I could draw something, with all the measures and requirements and ask chatGPT to complete certain parts, or make visual instructions to do what I want.
@cardinal9009
@cardinal9009 Жыл бұрын
Once AGI gets developed (AI that is able to improve itself indefinitely), pretty much all physical jobs will unfortunately be replaced as well. Because AI can just create a legion of robots that do the job perfectly. We just gotta wait and see though.
@jamesf1935
@jamesf1935 Жыл бұрын
​@@cardinal9009 I still think that the resources used to make these robots means that labour jobs like carpenters will be the last to go. Thoughts?
@cardinal9009
@cardinal9009 Жыл бұрын
@@jamesf1935 The thing with AGI is that it is exponential in its improvement. This basically means that all these jobs will be relevant up to the very moment AGI gets invented. After that, with a snap of a fingers pretty much, all jobs will become irrelevant. Because AI thinks much, much faster than we do, and can literally solve all of humanity's problems in a short period if it truly reaches human-level intelligence. Honestly, we just gotta wait and see.
@tuncaydemirtepe7978
@tuncaydemirtepe7978 Жыл бұрын
In my rest api project, I write the "get" function and the copilot creates the rest of the CRUD functions with 95% accuracy. I just review and make minor tweaks and I m done...
@bosss51
@bosss51 Жыл бұрын
you dont need AI for creating a CRUD api ... you can generate it with 100% accuracy 🤦‍♂
@user-fr2fm3ri3w
@user-fr2fm3ri3w Жыл бұрын
@@bosss51 copilot is just turbo autocorrect
@Ordnas95
@Ordnas95 Жыл бұрын
CRUDs are pretty standard and are the most tedious part of an application. I'm glad it's being abstracted away with AI
@musashi542
@musashi542 Жыл бұрын
@@Ordnas95 90% of all backend jobs are just crud ..........
@Ordnas95
@Ordnas95 Жыл бұрын
@@musashi542 Yeah. The 10% left is what really matters. AI won't replace backend engineers at least for a while if that's what you're getting at
@geog8964
@geog8964 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the info and introduction.
@seth3708
@seth3708 Жыл бұрын
I like to think of it as a general purpose calculator. In the same way that owning a TI-84 doesn't make you a mathematician, having access to Chat-GPT will not make you a software developer. You have to know what questions to ask, and you have to be able to understand the answers you're getting. A person with no programming experience could, to be fair, sit down and just ask question after question until their project is finished, but would they? At some point I imagine they'd get frustrated and think, "Gee, I'm having to ask this thing a ton of questions. I wonder how much time I would have saved if I'd just hired someone." Excellent mayo choice btw.
@mrpot1234
@mrpot1234 Жыл бұрын
That is a nice example
@TheGothGaming
@TheGothGaming Жыл бұрын
exactly. to me chatgpt is like a super stackoverflow on steroids. all the code that chatgpt outputs can be found in forums and stackoverflow, but it will take a while. chatgpt outputs the code much faster. it will help newbie developers and senior developers too, but it wont make a non developer a developer. at least not for now.
@Cara.314
@Cara.314 Жыл бұрын
just think though in 3 years or less, the end user will give a basic overview, and several ai systems will iterate on the design asking all those 100's of questions automatically until the design requirements are met.
@firecatflameking
@firecatflameking Жыл бұрын
@@TheGothGaming exactly
@kkgt6591
@kkgt6591 Жыл бұрын
Yes but in few years, it could do it in fewer and fewer questions.
@stoogel
@stoogel Жыл бұрын
I have to switch up how I interview candidates. Already seeing people who are trying to "chatGPT" us. Basically if they can create something but can't explain how it works on the spot, or if fixing a solution means replacing EVERYTHING, I'm pretty confident they are impostors using the guessing machine. It's pretty cool people can "code" their own little apps without knowing what they're doing, but until AI can program everything itself in machine language, we need people with actual understanding.
@ManvsMoney
@ManvsMoney Жыл бұрын
Give it 2-3 years lol
@alansmithee419
@alansmithee419 Жыл бұрын
yes, but you will need potentially many fewer of those people. That is what AI automation is. Not full replacement, but reducing the number of workers required drastically.
@schrodingerscat1863
@schrodingerscat1863 Жыл бұрын
Improved productivity is the current aim, people who are highly skilled at using the tools to increase their productivity will be the ones in demand and you need to be a pretty high level to be able to use the tools effectively. All the low level jobs are going to be gone over night which begs the question where are all the new people who are highly skilled going to come from. Essentially the AI will gradually take over the whole industry because there won't be anyone coming up though lower grades as they will all be quickly replaced.
@alansmithee419
@alansmithee419 Жыл бұрын
@@schrodingerscat1863 Companies have two choices there really: 1. Employ low skill workers in order to train them through having them work with your high-skill workers. These employees will cost you money in the short term, but will allow the industry you work in to continue after your current high-skill workers retire. Companies already do this to some extent, it will simply need to be done on a larger scale (and they'll have the money to pay those people because they have the money to pay those people now - it will simply be the case that AI is doing the work that they would otherwise be doing. The work is still being done, so they still have the money). 2. Give up and hope they can automate the high-skill workers before they retire XD
@schrodingerscat1863
@schrodingerscat1863 Жыл бұрын
@@alansmithee419 What do you think they will do, logically they would choose 1 but in reality 9 times out of 10 it will be 2. Management almost never take the long view and are always looking for short term gains to boost their bonuses and look good before bailing for a better position elsewhere.
@SofronPolitis
@SofronPolitis Жыл бұрын
I'm clueless about the current state of quantum computing, but I wonder what would happen if/when it gets combined with AI.
@hadley8899
@hadley8899 Жыл бұрын
I'm also interested in this, It's gone very quiet on the quantum computing side, I haven't seen much about it lately
@MostafaAhmedAhmed81
@MostafaAhmedAhmed81 Жыл бұрын
Nice and insightful. Keep doing more of that.
@chantalrochon3566
@chantalrochon3566 Жыл бұрын
Loved this video ; information and your humour. Thank you for this video 😊❤
@VictorMartinez-zf6dt
@VictorMartinez-zf6dt Жыл бұрын
I predict that with these tools the demand for more complex systems will rise and be met. Meaning that programmers that know how to use these tools effectively to make and maintain these complex systems will be in more demand.
@iiandreio4228
@iiandreio4228 Жыл бұрын
So how many people do you think? 20k? 30k people?
@BillClinton228
@BillClinton228 Жыл бұрын
Bring it on, I've been using Google effectively for 10 years to program, whats another search engine?
@tehehe5929
@tehehe5929 Жыл бұрын
But less of them will be needed to complete same or even greater work. Most pressing question is: how companies will deal with explosion in productivity: fire workers to keep the status quo for cheaper or to expand to horizon never possible before maintaining the costs. I would guess most will choose the latter.
@Sumirevins
@Sumirevins Жыл бұрын
Yup and envisioning it I've taken CSE with AI and ML specialization. I think it's a safe bet because regular programers will be out but those who know how to make more of these programs will be in Business and potentially thrive when we approach Technological revolution again
@slaviboy
@slaviboy Жыл бұрын
First of all no big company would like to share their source code with GPT4 Next how is GPT4 going to upgrade the whole program with 500.000 lines of code, and would know how and where to update it (use MVVM, MVI...) GPT4 is only good for writing unit test or generating small programs(using training from existing code)
@slaviboy
@slaviboy Жыл бұрын
Maybe GPT15, after 15-20 years it might be possible
@letslearnify6512
@letslearnify6512 Жыл бұрын
@@slaviboy but still I think innovation will always happen in this field as new hardware architecture will come so do new algorithms will be invented which chatgpt is not even trained on yet…
@forben3523
@forben3523 Жыл бұрын
Stanford researchers already managed to train a model similar to GPT3.5 on consumer hardware. These systems will get cheaper and then companies will be able to run and train it on their own hardware.
@HCforLife1
@HCforLife1 Жыл бұрын
​@@forben3523 similar... Yeah. The final model use about 70billion parameters. But currently they were able to make 7b one. If they make a 15b available - possibly could run on 8-12gb vram(ram?). The GPT 3.5 is trained on 150b parameters. To run even 70b you still would need a monster PC. Even with current tech improvements - it would be probably an $10-20k computer in 5-10 years to run something on a level of GPT4. I would rather see some models within consumer PC pricing - but specialistic models trained to do specific tasks.
@user-eo1vk
@user-eo1vk Жыл бұрын
I am just first sem computer science student from Nepal and a middle class person struggling through financial conditions. With these AI news I am feeling demotivated, depressed and literally cried last night Is AI, Machine leaning field safe and demanding in future? What should I study to be safe? I have 0 idea and I am absolute beginner I just want to make my family proud
@warrencainpictures
@warrencainpictures Жыл бұрын
Well done video my man!
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
thx 😊
@mell1650
@mell1650 Жыл бұрын
Great info. Love the sense of humor as well ;) ...
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
Thanks so much!
@eulehund99
@eulehund99 Жыл бұрын
I have been always interested in studying CS. Seeing all the development in AI, now I really ask myself if I should pursuit it.
@Cxeb
@Cxeb Жыл бұрын
Do. Software engineers only spend a tiny fraction of their time actually coding. That's the part that GPTs may take over. That's also the part that kids learn in school nowadays. In short, the part that GPTs will take away is not what we are being paid for. Unless you plan on becoming the lowest-grade code monkey, but those were never useful to begin with IMO.
@guycortesi
@guycortesi Жыл бұрын
Continue to pursue CS. GPT-4 and it’s follow-on will provide better tools for developers. The need for people that both understand the business needs and the existing technology will remain. The tools they use are just getting better. Business owners don’t have time (or interest) in getting into the weeds to solve the business problem - the just want an expert to take care of it. You can be that expert. Learn both CS and Business and you’ll be all set. That’s the sweet-spot.
@David-ks4pk
@David-ks4pk Жыл бұрын
Study it. No matter what happens you'll always be at an advantage knowing how these things work than not knowing.
@Cara.314
@Cara.314 Жыл бұрын
funny, i'm more interested in cs than ever before! why not peruse it if you find it interesting?
@nateTheNomad23
@nateTheNomad23 Жыл бұрын
Following one's own lines of interest to develop skill and expertise can lead to beautiful realities, and beautiful options. Something to ask might be "if I already had made the change or done the thing, would I wish for what I have now instead?" If not, what could possibly be in the way other than cognitive biases?
@halnineooo136
@halnineooo136 Жыл бұрын
It's not all or nothing. If your industry is saturated less people will be required to fill the required tasks. Not that jobs are fully automated. Certain tasks will be resulting in less people required to do the work if the industry can't grow bigger.
@jhimymichel3045
@jhimymichel3045 Жыл бұрын
great video! keep it up.
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@apsinghnandha
@apsinghnandha Жыл бұрын
Thanks for video. I have to learn wood work just in case as a side business.
@bb001a
@bb001a Жыл бұрын
I move hot tubs from house to house by myself for clients with my truck, tools and equipment. I'm feeling fairly safe at the moment.
@jonathangreene682
@jonathangreene682 Жыл бұрын
You clearly haven't seen GPT-Hottub yet.
@DelkysWelffer
@DelkysWelffer Жыл бұрын
Nice video, is scary indeed how GPT hsa turned out to be so helpful. I use it myself to start off some base code and then develop the complicated parts when it fails. Also sometimes it couldn't help at all and I would need to do it everything myself but is amazing anyway. I'm focusing on getting on ML and learn to use these new tools as effectively as possible.
@Adam-nw1vy
@Adam-nw1vy Жыл бұрын
Are you talking about GPT-4 or the old chatGPT?
@naniyotaka
@naniyotaka Жыл бұрын
@@nicolassanchez8754 Easy, they don’t care. That’s all.
@nasirusanigaladima
@nasirusanigaladima Жыл бұрын
Yes I would want more reviews on this
@dalton-lima
@dalton-lima Жыл бұрын
Great video and format. You are getting better and funnier each day.
@catsgotmytongue
@catsgotmytongue Жыл бұрын
The thing is llms are not the only AI that will be used to automate work.
@TheAkiller101
@TheAkiller101 Жыл бұрын
first generation of software engineers had jobs because they had to digitalise all of the businesses and industries, still to this day we are digitalising some businesses, then the another generation of engineers had to rebuild it for the internet age, saas cloud native etc. now we got build all of that for the ai age, e-commerce, social networks are completely new things that weren't part of human society which became a phenomenon with the advancement of technology, I dont know what are the types of things we are going to build in the AI era , but its going to be software engineers who gotta build this, the role will always be there, humanity has a way of always moving forward, what we gotta look out for is surviving through the transition period
@mabbah4396
@mabbah4396 Жыл бұрын
Keep it up! ❤
@axeljaramillo9513
@axeljaramillo9513 Жыл бұрын
Bro, really enjoy this content. Keep it up
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
thx i appreciate that
@arunk2710
@arunk2710 Жыл бұрын
To everyone who says, "we'll be ok", wake up. Get ready to acquire new skills.
@boukimagash2083
@boukimagash2083 Жыл бұрын
Which ones?
@lyndonsimpson1056
@lyndonsimpson1056 Жыл бұрын
I agree. I think the concept of career is going ti change a bit and humans will have ti be more and more adaptative in their lives because technology will keep evolving faster, especially now that AI is doing all the hard crunch ans getting better every day.
@1man1bike1road
@1man1bike1road Жыл бұрын
Its like when they all said hahaha no they wont ever replace horses with machines how did that go
@swapnilchaudhari4253
@swapnilchaudhari4253 Жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot for making this video. I really appreciate the information that you shared. Future looks scary, are we able to have work in future? Every sector is affected by AI which will result in loss in income and therefore it will lead it slow or no growth in population in future.
@cptndunsel2670
@cptndunsel2670 Жыл бұрын
I have been using GPT to get the ball rolling when I start a new coding project, but then I usually take over from there. For fun I tried an experiment, where I tried to get GPT to build a Javascript project on it's own. As I gave it more and more sophisticated directions, the more it started to break down.
@RealityCheck6969
@RealityCheck6969 Жыл бұрын
I want to congratulate you for your microphone quality. Amazing to listen to your voice.
@CaptApril123
@CaptApril123 Жыл бұрын
I notice doctors weren't mentioned.. there was a recent study where expert systems were around 12% more accurate in diagnosing patients than GP's.. Where do they (expert system) fit in with the GPT (LLM) system?
@vikaspawar5193
@vikaspawar5193 Жыл бұрын
Sir, I just want to ask whether I should continue learning web develoment or not? Is it useless given how fast the development of ChatGPT is progressing? I would appreciate your reply very much.
@cam1934
@cam1934 Жыл бұрын
More studies please!
@AjudaJuridicaEstudantes
@AjudaJuridicaEstudantes Жыл бұрын
Great video
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
thx
@mahihoque4598
@mahihoque4598 Жыл бұрын
Man I'm studying cse and this thing is such a demotivator I don't even know if I will have a career in future
@leagueofotters2774
@leagueofotters2774 Жыл бұрын
There is always forestry management....the great outdoors!
@Isaiahcrux
@Isaiahcrux Жыл бұрын
@@leagueofotters2774 I went from Forestry to CprE damn it!
@user-eo1vk
@user-eo1vk Жыл бұрын
I am just first sem computer science student from Nepal and a middle class person struggling through financial conditions. With these AI news I am feeling demotivated, depressed and literally cried last night Is AI, Machine leaning field safe and demanding in future? What should I study to be safe? I have 0 idea and I am absolute beginner I just want to make my family proud
@jeff946
@jeff946 Жыл бұрын
I recommend looking into a career in cloud. It's a newer field than programming and changes rapidly. You could start by studying for one of the entry level certifications with AWS, Azure, or GCP while trying to get an entry level job in cloud operations. Then, if you continually learn and show your value, you'll have many great opportunities. And figure out how GPT can help with any of your tasks also!
@priyojitchatterjee6164
@priyojitchatterjee6164 Жыл бұрын
@@user-eo1vk as a senior developer in india my advice to you is not to bother about all this. dont just depend on your college curriculum. its extremely backdated. open a udemy account, check when they are offering discounts and start learning any good rated course on fullstack development aftee coming back from college, dedicate atleast 2 hours everyday. you will immediately get a job after graduation. freshers who know advanced technologies will always be in high demand. chat gpt will primarily threaten senior engineers who are taking a fat salary and doing only simple tasks. a fresher with good starting knowledge is a valuable asset in any company.
@epenies
@epenies Жыл бұрын
A lot of people in the comments are being horribly short-sighted and not taking into account the exponential growth factor. These AI models will be much more than tools, they’ll be potentially conscious in the near future. Humans have this tendency of minimizing potential threats until they’re hit on the face.
@Andy-yr1qn
@Andy-yr1qn Жыл бұрын
That’s the thing, look at the pace at which AI is progressing, in the past few months it has exploded, and it looks like it will evolve exponentially. All bets are off!
@thomasheideman6103
@thomasheideman6103 Жыл бұрын
They will not be conscious. Their fundamental processing is entirely different from how humans experience the world. Exponential growth isn't real... that never happens anywhere. We've had exponential growth in hardware for 30 years but our software and capabilities haven't borne out those changes. As systems get more complex at scale, the difficulties with maximizing the resources available. More powerful processors also suck down more energy which is not infinite or cheap. Access to quality data doesn't scale at the same rate that software does... and that doesn't even factor in that as capabilities grow, the problems people apply them to grow as well.
@cjlooklin1914
@cjlooklin1914 Жыл бұрын
@@nicholasmillington5443 What dimensional issues? As far as I'm aware, these "Attention" based language transformer models are nearly infinitely parallelizable. The denser our computing capability is the exponentially more powerful the A.I can become. So the only limit that I'm aware of is "how big and dense of a server room can we build?"
@bengeorge9063
@bengeorge9063 Жыл бұрын
These idiots at FAANG don't care about anything other than profit. Look at what one of the fathers of AI said about this. He was against AI being developed because he was sure that it would not benefit the poor and it would increase the wage gap and inequality. Soon companies will use GPT4 to carry out any job possible so they don't have to pay people.
@108Marycelestial
@108Marycelestial Жыл бұрын
It is already here. Lee loo is her name. Lisa Harrison is her game.
@l.bogdan1360
@l.bogdan1360 Жыл бұрын
The trick is to learn how can you use it to your advantage, totally agree!
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
this is always the case with people and new tech, but especially true right now
@l.bogdan1360
@l.bogdan1360 Жыл бұрын
@Alex Ziskind With AI, everyone can do whatever corporations do. I mean, you have access to an encyclopedia and multi languagual machine. You have the same intellectual resources as corporations do.
@therainman7777
@therainman7777 Жыл бұрын
@@l.bogdan1360 Corporations have access to a hell of a lot more than that, especially large ones.
@l.bogdan1360
@l.bogdan1360 Жыл бұрын
@@therainman7777 You are right also, but hey is not like you are starting from 0 to offer a counter product to ones made by big tech companies :P.
@frankjohannessen6383
@frankjohannessen6383 Жыл бұрын
Will we even need to program stuff if LLMs gets advanced enough? For instance, you don't need to implement a webshop if you could just ask a store-LLM for what you want and then chose a product and give it your creditcard-info and address. You would simply need the LLM and a database with products and orders.
@kapsi
@kapsi Жыл бұрын
You choose a product based on text only?
@frankjohannessen6383
@frankjohannessen6383 Жыл бұрын
@@kapsi Shouldn't require that much to allow GPT to return html and images
@os2171
@os2171 Жыл бұрын
As a neuroscientist, I always say to my wife that my real passion is doing the dishes so no worries here!
@Somerled_Pox
@Somerled_Pox Жыл бұрын
I will say about forestry/logging, it's definitely not going to be replaced with GPT-4 or any LLM. At least, not in a direct way. We already have individual lumberjacks being replaced by machines, but these are cost-prohibitive and there's a lot of quirks to deal with, but the next step is going to be smaller and sturdier machines to replace the harsh and hard work of logging in this way. Maybe eventually we'll get LLMs or similar integrated in systems, given it's already pretty wild what these machines can do, but the biggest thing is going to be accessibility for new owners and, and accessibility in small privately owned forests, and accessibility in hard terrain (like hills and mountains). I don't really see how AI as it stands today or in the coming year will help with these accessibility issues for automation, but given how robotics and AI intertwine, I guess it's going to be a thing eventually. That said, I'm looking forward to going to our national 2025 forestry convention. It will be interesting to see what's new. Last year's was already starting to be pretty wild.
@alansmithee419
@alansmithee419 Жыл бұрын
An LLM could handle machinery eventually. GPT-4 has image processing. Give a future model video processing and you can provide it with the feed from a camera. Then it sends instructions to a machine in the form of the generated tokens they currently use to talk to us and produce code etc based on what it sees. Then put it in control of humanoid robots...
@skylineuk1485
@skylineuk1485 Жыл бұрын
The issue for IT and other similar roles is not replacement (at the moment) but three things things: 1. whether GPT will impact demand vs supply. Put simply if the country needs more capable software engineers by 2x and co pilot speeds their output up by 3x the supply will outrun the demand and software engineers will have a problem. Secondly if the company job still requires human oversight to complete a task within a job eg AI adds unit-tests but you still need to make sure it’s right then they can’t get rid of you. 3. Furthermore if the tasks are separate per human then they can’t reduce the head count but could maybe reduce your hours but not the need for X people.
@Y3llowMustang
@Y3llowMustang Жыл бұрын
Had to drop a like at the knife bit, love the humor
@jorgekauerss
@jorgekauerss Жыл бұрын
We need to take into consideration that this is only a tool that will potentially boost our productivity which will open the door to a lot of services and products that were too hard and expensive to develop until now. It is too hard, maybe humanly impossible, to preview what will happen with our professions in a future driven by AI tools.
@mejestic124
@mejestic124 Жыл бұрын
thats the bright side🙂
@handleknob
@handleknob Жыл бұрын
It's not difficult at all, surely not humanely impossible. Look, I'll do it for you: your job will be performed by an AI completely.in the future and you will become useless. Hopefully you have some money saved on the side.
@Blaze6108
@Blaze6108 Жыл бұрын
Or maybe we could work a little less…
@johncray3286
@johncray3286 Жыл бұрын
@@Blaze6108 Look at the history of software and business, that is not a possibility in a capitalist / publicly traded company (i.e. stock) world. PERIOD.
@tehehe5929
@tehehe5929 Жыл бұрын
This is my take as well. Companies most likely will choose to be bolder and aim bigger with newfound productivity.
@AleksandarIvanov69
@AleksandarIvanov69 Жыл бұрын
Well, I am a skilled software professional, but I am also a skilled cook, so I guess I have a plan B.
@ewallt
@ewallt Жыл бұрын
The jobs I had which involved programming required a great deal of business knowledge, and LLM’s would not have helped me except in special circumstances, such as “show me an example of how to open a file and parse it,” but there was very little of that, and much more trying to test that software was correctly doing what the business needed. That being said, I think within a year or two, there will be API to link to their capabilities, and programming jobs will become more and more tied to knowing what needs to done, having the machine write the code, and then making sure it works. People who don’t work in the profession don’t realize that most of the effort is getting things to work correctly. I think we’re many years from programmers not being needed, but they’ll be doing different things, an anoles being that there are many libraries that do things, such as source control, far better than you can roll your own, and learning to leverage AI will be another skill that software engineers will have to have.
@aiandblockchain
@aiandblockchain Жыл бұрын
It's amazing to see how GPT-4 is going to impact the job market in the future, and this study by Open AI and the University of Pennsylvania gives us a good idea of what to expect. It's fascinating to learn about the exposure index and how it affects different industries and professions, and the fact that GPTs can save workers a significant amount of time doing their tasks is just mind-blowing. 🤯 It's good to know that even though approximately 80 percent of the US Workforce could have at least 10 percent of their work affected by the introduction of GPT, it doesn't mean that all jobs will be fully automated. 🙌 The video also highlights the correlation between education level and exposure to GPT, which is something to keep in mind for those in higher-income professions. As a viewer, I appreciate the foreshadowing and the way the video breaks down the information in a clear and concise manner. The video also offers a good balance of positivity and realism, and it's helpful to see the potential benefits and drawbacks of GPT-4 in the job market. Overall, this video is an excellent resource for anyone interested in the future of work and how GPT-4 will affect it. 👍
@remigoldbach9608
@remigoldbach9608 Жыл бұрын
Glad I switched from mathematics to software development 😅 Great video as always!
@Adam-nw1vy
@Adam-nw1vy Жыл бұрын
I also switched from translator to software developer a couple of years ago, but I feel that I just jumped out of the frying pan into the fire 😅
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
thx. good to see ya
@Fighter05
@Fighter05 Жыл бұрын
I work in game engine development and the team who developed our global illumination/real-time dynamic lighting system are all lead by math PhDs and masters degrees. They had to optimize the shit out of things. I still have no idea what they scribble on walls but it all works. Somehow. And I think we will get similar or better performance to Unreal 5's Lumen system. I can see ChatGPT handling a lot of every day engineering/business/scientific math but I think at least at the graduate and PhD level, mathematicians will still be in high demand who build solutions for incredibly complex tools like a AAA game engine. Maybe in a few generations, GPT 5 or 6. But if it ever gets to the point where they become obsolete, so will software engineers as well. 100%.
@remigoldbach9608
@remigoldbach9608 Жыл бұрын
@@Fighter05 I still love mathematics, but where I’m living, the cool jobs are in software development.
@le0nz
@le0nz Жыл бұрын
You can get a fancy fang job being a mathematician more esialy than with a pussy as softwa degree
@christopherstorey721
@christopherstorey721 Жыл бұрын
People seem unable to grasp how bad this could become very quickly. If a conservative 10% of people are forever loose their jobs we may be looking at total societal collapse. First peak unemployment in the great depression was 24%, we already have 4-7%, but calculate un employment differently than we did in the GD, its more like 12-15 by the old standard. So imagine by next year roughly great depression level unemployment levels. That is with out including any secondary effect, in truth this will cascade big time, basically a multiplier effect on unemployment as the economy reacts to all these people with out jobs and income. They may try to pivot to physical jobs such as carpentry but this will just saturate those labor markets, where demand is already being met. so poor become poorer. It doesn't get any prettier once we realize all we have do to get our lives back is destroy all the servers. I believe this next series of events is the premise of terminator and you know how that goes....
@Jason-im3mf
@Jason-im3mf Жыл бұрын
For those who have manual jobs and less education- combine a multi-modal LLM AI model like PaLM-E with Tesla or Boston Dynamic robotics and a lot of manual jobs start to see exposure.
@illegalsmirf
@illegalsmirf Жыл бұрын
What was the percentage of the workforce impacted by Google search and/or Stack Overflow?
@peterbizik224
@peterbizik224 Жыл бұрын
Well eventually, it will be like this: enterprise companies has no plans in budgets to use gpt tailored in-house for the benefits of the company, many services will be blocked, because of the intranet firewall (not applied for people working from home office). People will dump out sensitive information to the gpt services. Who is benefiting most at the end, that's the question. But if you think about how revolutionary was google, and how dumb are searches now, if you think about the youtube content (most yt is about the thumbnails, content lacks far behind) drove by the profit (generally speaking, not applied to you Alex). GPT could be a think (with new name ofc) in a decade or so. People did forgot about the Watson and Jeopardy. Imagine the automatic transition in the car, it is not common worldwide, and who can say that shifting manually is better or safer, I think nobody, still technology is not adopted. You would ask why? I would say, who knows? I don't. My personal experience with gpt (not the copilot) is negative, anything a bit more complex, and you are wasting time.
@toniarbona
@toniarbona Жыл бұрын
What do you think about the sentence “these trends suggest a world where GPTs may be capable of executing any task typically performed at a computer” in Section 2 of the paper?
@robervaldo4633
@robervaldo4633 Жыл бұрын
oh! so they’re stating that? i think this is the point… programming languages are for humans, an AI don’t need them
@marcelh7864
@marcelh7864 Жыл бұрын
You still need someone to put in the prompt. I have met a lot of customers that want a software solution but aren't capable of defining their requirements without significant work from our side so I'm not to worried.
@nafiurrahmankhadem7178
@nafiurrahmankhadem7178 Жыл бұрын
@@marcelh7864 What percentage of the total work is defining requirements? If that is less than 5%, isn't it safe to assume that labor requirement will reduce a lot?
@marcelh7864
@marcelh7864 Жыл бұрын
@@nafiurrahmankhadem7178 In my experience requirements are about 20%. We are talking about specific business processes here. If you want to program a todo app, people generally understand the requirements without any further help in defining requirements. ChatGPT or AI in its current form will make alot of workers obsolete, I agree.
@BrazenNL
@BrazenNL Жыл бұрын
That's pretty quick, from release to published study.
@artfx9
@artfx9 Жыл бұрын
It used to be that a businessman started a venture and created jobs for people and developed a comunity and tried to create value for society. Now it's - how can I make the most money the fastest with paying as little as possible.
@homewardboundphotos
@homewardboundphotos Жыл бұрын
GPT will be VERY bad for those who rely on a paycheck that they get from a company that hires them to write code. It will be VERY good for small independent startups with a novel idea and limited budget for development.
@datanash8200
@datanash8200 Жыл бұрын
Wouldn't that also make it easier for someone to create a copy cat with gpt?
@user-qy2wf2lt6v
@user-qy2wf2lt6v Жыл бұрын
So ... the new tool will make bad programmers "less needed" and better programmers even better at their job, which will force everybody to step up their game or at least keep on being bad at that job, by using the newer tools? Mate? Doesn't this cover software/programming in the last 5 decades?
@tablettablete186
@tablettablete186 Жыл бұрын
I think it is this since the beginning! This is pretty much the same with compilers: now almost no-one does assembly.
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Жыл бұрын
For a week or two. Then it will be only senior programmers. Shortly after that they won't be needed either.
@toadlguy
@toadlguy Жыл бұрын
@@tablettablete186 I think it is hardware advances that have limited the need for assembly perhaps a bit more.
@tablettablete186
@tablettablete186 Жыл бұрын
@@toadlguy I was trying to relate what compilers were to assembly with how IA is changing how we program. In other words, nobody programs in assembly because compilers automated that work for us! And compilers might even optimize our code in ways we didn't even know was possible. Computers still use machine code, but how we develop code changed a lot. (I was using assembly because it is easier to visualize the idea) I honestly think AI will work in a similar way. How? Don't know yet
@koyko4
@koyko4 Жыл бұрын
Either be roller coaster tycoon level or just don’t bother. Text to app coming your way
@Ligress
@Ligress Жыл бұрын
I also skimmed through the paper
@envt
@envt Жыл бұрын
hahahaha the mayo scene!!!!!
@levels1937
@levels1937 Жыл бұрын
I’m really curious to read how they came to the conclusions they did about mathematicians. My experience using the free version of chat gpt is that it is pretty horrendous across the board at both simple computation and general mathematical reasoning. I understand in the future (currently?) it will be able to use external tools like calculators but that is only part of the problem. I just had it generate some make believe data and do some hypothesis testing and it was alll over the place. I had to correct it several times.
@marcelh7864
@marcelh7864 Жыл бұрын
GPT-4 should be way more capable from what I've read. I'm currently on the waiting list for the API to check its coding abilities as I wasn't very impressed by ChatGPT's code.
@levels1937
@levels1937 Жыл бұрын
@@marcelh7864 Interesting, I didn’t get to read the paper in full but skimming over it. I think “impact” means just that not necessarily replacement. So bottom line being able to effectively use these AI tools will be mandatory.
@sharonjuniorchess
@sharonjuniorchess Жыл бұрын
Existing mathematics also has a problem when it comes to computational limitations. Maybe it is time to overhaul the existing structure of mathematics so it is congruent.
@levels1937
@levels1937 Жыл бұрын
@@sharonjuniorchess What are you referring to?
@sharonjuniorchess
@sharonjuniorchess Жыл бұрын
@@levels1937 Mathematics fudges certain issues. This leads to an unsound framework. Only by building on sound mathematics will computers be able to carry out proper computations. We have to understand and accept those computational limitations. The indications are that by doing this new areas of mathematics will be uncovered that are both robust & valid.
@MateuszAdamczyk
@MateuszAdamczyk Жыл бұрын
The first thing, which comes to my mind, after reading authors list: Of course paper will prove, that ChatGPT will replace workers. Authors had to drawn such conclusion, because they want to monetise their creation.
@B3Band
@B3Band Жыл бұрын
They have no reason to lie about it, though. What is the point of pretending they can monetize it just to fail?
@bengeorge9063
@bengeorge9063 Жыл бұрын
That's because you are being naive. AI has had such a huge jump in just 2 weeks. Imagine how exponentially it's going to grow. Companies only care about the bottom line. If they can use GPT for free instead of paying you, why wouldn't they ?
@MateuszAdamczyk
@MateuszAdamczyk Жыл бұрын
I am not being naive, I am sceptical. I do not believe, that AI will replace me. About 5 years ago, IBM Watson was to replace doctors. It has not happened. For a few years in a row, Elon Musk promised AI will replace drivers. It has not happened. AI will be another tool, which replaces one person, but it will crucial to supervise it by 2 highly paid specialists 😉
@kiattim2100
@kiattim2100 Жыл бұрын
@@B3Band So like any product seller ever?
@puertousbmonkey
@puertousbmonkey Жыл бұрын
can it write an episode of Games of Thrones ? Or an entire series🤔
@tonyblack3401
@tonyblack3401 Жыл бұрын
Never learnt to code (well, not “fluently”) However I run a web design, seo, lead generation and online marketing business. I use pre built platforms and templates. Pull images from free online sources, edit in ps, build in bootstrap studio or some similar wysiwyg editor and now I use GPT to assist and write copy. So far as I see it, understanding different coding languages provides an advantage but ultimately most motivated clients these days could do it all for themselves. But I could do the gardening… I hire a gardener. Because I have other shit to do. My clients hire me so they can run the rest of their business.
@RightInChrist
@RightInChrist Жыл бұрын
We really need a standardized test-bad-robot evaluation.
@Na-svobode
@Na-svobode Жыл бұрын
Some years ago I’ve changed my IT-management career for a gardening/landscaping. That was a luck! Now I can fully enjoy all the new AI tools with no fear of being replaced by them. Now it’s way easier to come up with fresh designs ideas instantly getting nice and professional looking illustrations. Hail the AI!
@projectsatsummerfield3741
@projectsatsummerfield3741 Жыл бұрын
What AI tool are you using to generate design ideas and professional looking illustrations for your landscaping business?
@Na-svobode
@Na-svobode Жыл бұрын
@@projectsatsummerfield3741 Midjourney as for now. I believe one day we'll have some AI(s) particularly trained for landscaping and garden design.
@Transcend_Naija
@Transcend_Naija Жыл бұрын
You are a smart person
@mgoboski
@mgoboski Жыл бұрын
What you don't understand is that nobody is safe. You labor might not be replaced, but if all of your customers are out of a job, then you have no customers. By the time software engineering is replaced, capitalism will have to be replaced.
@aguy446
@aguy446 Жыл бұрын
Same here. Saw this coming.
@shamaldesilva9533
@shamaldesilva9533 Жыл бұрын
Excited and terrified at the same time 😮 but am a bit skeptical about this paper , because how exactly will it be replacing mathematicians ?? Like can someone explain the process behinde replacing a the job of a mathematician via a language model ?!
@khakibishop
@khakibishop Жыл бұрын
Depends if you are in Hilbert team or Gödel team.
@cholst1
@cholst1 Жыл бұрын
Language model + wolfram is the first step I guess. Natural language input formatted and put through provable chains.
@ksrajavel
@ksrajavel Жыл бұрын
I'm also curious to know that how since in another side of the paper we have Science and Critical thinkers to be safe from this exposure. I presume it is applied math folks.
@accountnotfound4209
@accountnotfound4209 Жыл бұрын
Just how it replaced artist. I heard a podcast where a fields medalist talks about how mind boggling good AI is in solving complex math problems.
@toadlguy
@toadlguy Жыл бұрын
“And then all the mathematicians died out …” Sounds like the beginning of an Arthur C. Clark novel 😂
@michwashington
@michwashington Жыл бұрын
❤ I subscribed because of this video.
@RaVq91
@RaVq91 Жыл бұрын
Been doing software development for woodworking company for 6 years. I have get back to them.
@location-cognizantmissile9743
@location-cognizantmissile9743 Жыл бұрын
Problem with chatgpt is that who determines liability when using it? The company who’s using the AI or the company that made the AI? This problem must be solved first before adopting it on a full scale.
@HCforLife1
@HCforLife1 Жыл бұрын
Exactly this.
@user-eo1vk
@user-eo1vk Жыл бұрын
I am just first sem computer science student from Nepal and a middle class person struggling through financial conditions. With these AI news I am feeling demotivated, depressed and literally cried last night Is AI, Machine leaning field safe and demanding in future? What should I study to be safe? I have 0 idea and I am absolute beginner I just want to make my family proud
@location-cognizantmissile9743
@location-cognizantmissile9743 Жыл бұрын
@@user-eo1vk This concern is understandable -- let me walk you through it. Complete your computer science degree. By doing so you will be ahead of 99% of the global population when it comes to technical ability and problem solving skills. A degree in Comp Sci basically tells the world that at a certain threshold you can think mathematically and computationally, which is very valued in all corners of the world. Assuming you are pursuing your degree full-time, in 3-4 years you will be able to assess what the job market will be like, but during your studies you will want to diversify your computer science skills into various domains such as Biology, Psychology, Neuroscience, and other areas of RESEARCH that are extremely desperate for computational skills. Do not remain stuck into just being a comptuer science student. Make yourself marketable to other domains of the industry and research. By doing so, you will be able to extend your opportunities outwards instead of being extremely narrow. Extending opportunities could mean going to graduate school in comp sci or social science research where you will be more valuable than someone who just has a degree in social science. Don't give up.
@NathanHedglin
@NathanHedglin Жыл бұрын
​@@user-eo1vk DONT worry. This is all fear mongering. Every KZfaqr doesn't understand AI is just statistics and algebra. They don't actually THINK. If you're halfway competent as a developer you'll be fine.
@angelsv
@angelsv Жыл бұрын
Paul Hudson has a video implementing a cloak using chatgpt and it failed miserable . There are some things clearly cannot done.
@lyndonsimpson1056
@lyndonsimpson1056 Жыл бұрын
Yeah, for now, but what abiut GPT10 in a few years ?
@METin25vidEOS
@METin25vidEOS Жыл бұрын
Yes, please. Give us more news on this.
@Joe-ff4if
@Joe-ff4if Жыл бұрын
I'm a current systems administrator and I feel that if I don't dive back into programming I'm extra screwed and chatGPT will automate all of my tasks
@theloniousMac
@theloniousMac Жыл бұрын
One thing I don't think is clear is that the less you know about a subject area, the less you are going to be able to use the LLM/GPT systems. I have 40 years experience in Information Technology. Solutions to problems often appear as images in my head. Someone who has no experience in IT isn't going to be able to harness that experience and work with an AI to design an infrastructure or resolve issues.
@christopherstorey721
@christopherstorey721 Жыл бұрын
I was thinking about this too, I've worked in AEC industry for 17 years and will be fine with my knowledge base, but how the F is the next generation going to cross that gap??
@willblack8575
@willblack8575 Жыл бұрын
The ai will make the whole code...and you will be absolutely useless
@lyndonsimpson1056
@lyndonsimpson1056 Жыл бұрын
For now.
@LawJolla
@LawJolla Жыл бұрын
Programmers won't be affected because there's too much work. I have yet to hear a company say "we've built all of our feature requests." Moreover, because programmers will be more efficient, various businesses may bring software in house instead of stitching services.
@cholst1
@cholst1 Жыл бұрын
Won't need as many to purely review and comment for correction on pull requests in a couple years time. ;)
@user-eo1vk
@user-eo1vk Жыл бұрын
I am just first sem computer science student from Nepal and a middle class person struggling through financial conditions. With these AI news I am feeling demotivated, depressed and literally cried last night Is AI, Machine leaning field safe and demanding in future? What should I study to be safe? I have 0 idea and I am absolute beginner I just want to make my family proud
@btm1
@btm1 Жыл бұрын
@@user-eo1vk step 1. Stop listening to those that are deluded enough not to worry about their jobs, reality will hit them in the face in the next years...either by wage drop or just straight up unemployment, supply and demand of skills dictate the job market not wishful thinking. Technological unemployment is a real thing that has happened before and currently the risks are extremely clear. step 2. Focus on skills that involve some hands-on physical involvement and dealing with hardware because we are far away from robots doing all our jobs (and when that happens there won't be a need for jobs anyway).
@Adam-nw1vy
@Adam-nw1vy Жыл бұрын
@@btm1 But how can a few hardware-related professions accommodate all of humanity? What is the competition gonna look like when everyone becomes a handyman?
@smtkumar007
@smtkumar007 Жыл бұрын
@@user-eo1vku are doomed , my company has got us copilot pro for increasing the speed at which we use to code and literally stop hiring freshers. He said its better we do it with GPT than train freshers and ask them to do the same task
@joysharma9792
@joysharma9792 Жыл бұрын
Which is good to go in data science or web development after coming of chatgpt4 I'm from non technical field and want to come in IT industry Can you tell me how to do to get a good job which is secure in future
@vectoralphaSec
@vectoralphaSec Жыл бұрын
Where can I read this paper? Where do you find them? How much does it cost?
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
it’s free. url is in description
@vectoralphaSec
@vectoralphaSec Жыл бұрын
Oh sorry I'm dumb and didn't hear the video saying you had link in description. THANKS. By the way have you read the Microsoft Research paper a spark of AGI? Pretty amazing.
@norbis3939
@norbis3939 Жыл бұрын
Losing your job is one of the least frightening things that AI will do to you.
@christian-schubert
@christian-schubert Жыл бұрын
Yeah, just tried to run an Android App build, got some very weird gradle version incompatibility error and all these language models regurgitated was pretty useless (I mean, I know how to search the Docs and browse Stack Overflow myself) 😅 So, currently completely and utterly stuck and pretty confident that - no - programmers aren't really going anywhere anytime soon
@janirobe
@janirobe Жыл бұрын
give it a year, where every billion dollar company is now focusing on this
@christian-schubert
@christian-schubert Жыл бұрын
@@janirobe As long as all it does is regurgitate what's written in the Docs and on StackOverflow, I'm pretty sceptical. Dunno whether throwing an additional set of neurons at it will actually fix the conceptual flaws and inherent limits of this technology. Was pretty disillusioned when the system totally failed to address the issue I was (and am still) having. As long as A.I. doesn't actually conceptually really UNDERSTAND prompts, programmers aren't going anywhere.
@janirobe
@janirobe Жыл бұрын
@@christian-schubert I am not saying it is going to change the world in it's current form. And it does conceptually understand more than you think. I can give it basic instructions and it will assume correctly what I want to do even though I didn't specify kinds of data etc. Yes it is scraping docas and stack overflow, but it's also stringing together a bunch of new code itself... that itself can store and re-use. that means it can keep generating code until it produces the result you want through brute force given enough time...
@christian-schubert
@christian-schubert Жыл бұрын
@@janirobe In its current form, it's certainly capable of replacing beginner/junior devs. As soon as you have to think outside the box, it still fails spectacularly though. What can I tell you, I'm still stuck 🤷‍♂️
@kanuckadisk
@kanuckadisk Жыл бұрын
No link to the study?
@AZisk
@AZisk Жыл бұрын
ooops. fixed
@sadie-te4ic
@sadie-te4ic Жыл бұрын
What do you think about the cybersecurity? I’m a CS student and don’t what to do with all of this AI chaos
@ddotmars
@ddotmars Жыл бұрын
Wait, if people get replaced by AI, people wouldn't make money. And if people don't make money, who's going to buy products/services from these companies? Does this mean it's going to separate the rich and the poor even more? Just curious what you guys think.
@forben3523
@forben3523 Жыл бұрын
there will be a new industry where value is created not by money, but by the fact that a service is delivered by a real human rather than an AI. As a 90 year old, would you want to be nursed by a robot or by a real human?
@ddotmars
@ddotmars Жыл бұрын
@@forben3523 True! What other services do you think people would rather have a human do than a robot? apart from health and medicine
@bonzo6989
@bonzo6989 Жыл бұрын
Yes
@forben3523
@forben3523 Жыл бұрын
​@@ddotmars I think there would be a huge demand for psychologists. You can already see how much mental health was impacted by social media in the past 10 years alone. How is it going to look like if those people have their jobs replaced by AI? Also, there would probably be a huge health movement in general. With work no longer being as important and available as before, humans will appreciate a healthy and active lifestyle more. maybe we would only work 5 to 10 hours a week. what are we doing with all that spare time? scrolling youtube and tiktok all day is not an answer, so we will need people who motivate each other to go out and do some leisure activities and help people in need. this is how I would LIKE society to be. but it could as well turn out like in some dystopian scifi movie where we are all caught in a virtual reality, being depressed, overweight and eating junk food all day
@ddotmars
@ddotmars Жыл бұрын
@@forben3523 100% I too would like society to be like that. But there's a 90% chance it'll end up being like what you mentioned at the end. Dystopia. Sad reality.
@m-ok-6379
@m-ok-6379 Жыл бұрын
4-6 years a user will be able to login and build a website or iPhone app just by giving directions to the AI and continuously update it when they see something they don't like or want to add.
@janirobe
@janirobe Жыл бұрын
and so what. People don't even download apps as is and we all visit the same websites. The real money making will be in the super advanced programming. Facebook was just a website, you don;t become a billionaire by building a website anymore.
@m-ok-6379
@m-ok-6379 Жыл бұрын
@@janirobe Next Facebook, Google, or most addictive game will be developed by somebody with no technical skills using AI.
@sharonjuniorchess
@sharonjuniorchess Жыл бұрын
People will be able to do more in less time. The job can stay but costs per unit output goes down. If you are going to let GPT write code you are going to have to increase validation & verification to detect and identify bugs that the GPT overlooked.
@robotman011
@robotman011 Жыл бұрын
I find all of this to be extremely fascinating and I look forward to the creation of a actual JARVIS
@lyndonsimpson1056
@lyndonsimpson1056 Жыл бұрын
Honestly GPT4 is doing a really good job at pretending. Implement voice detection program and then a voice that reads out tye answers and it's the next best thing for now lol
@iiwi758
@iiwi758 Жыл бұрын
Creative writers are probably very safe. If AI becomes able to make good novels, for example, one can still compete with that AI and make a good novel as well. That is, the fact that AI can create a good story doesn't preclude anyone from creating a Harry Potter or Lord of the Rings. People will still want to read those. Same goes with music. Doesn't matter how advanced things become, my brain already decided that it likes Stairway to Heaven. I also still think StarCraft: Brood War is an excellent game, and it was released in the 90s without AI. Just because there might better games out there made by more prolific and better programmers, doesn't mean I have to stop enjoying Brood War. Artists/Creators will remain very much needed in the foreseeable future.
@slothy7560
@slothy7560 Жыл бұрын
I don't think so. AI will flood the market to a point, where it will become almost impossible for a human artist to get their work seen. AI can already produce images very fast, it will be able to write engaging stories and novels very soon. When that happens, it will become all noise. And then it won't be any longer feasible to work as an artist or writer.
@lyndonsimpson1056
@lyndonsimpson1056 Жыл бұрын
Not so sure...
@SwissPGO
@SwissPGO Жыл бұрын
The deeper question is about our future society with massive automation at any level: how will it impact or wellbeing: if you get a good life by "working" only one hour a day, and the rest is done by automation ... why not: almost everybody would sign up I guess. But then a few will start getting greedy and will work 2h a day to get more power and try to exponentially become richer. The problem is how to prevent certain people to have more influence than democratically elected leaders.
@HCforLife1
@HCforLife1 Жыл бұрын
You can't. People still have primal brain. We have this old emotion over our heads. Unfortunately the truth is that most people winning in genes lotery will be the ones on the top. Especially in the age where your intelligence will become obsolete. We will see but currently everything is leading to dark dystopian future. I hope I am wrong. But seeing 80-90s or even early 2000s seems like an golden era for many countries. We literally might get to the point where only physically gifted, beautiful and rich born people will be the leaders. The rest will be literally slave labour. At least in the primal times you could be - fast and strong, or intelligent (simplified here). The latter might become almost obsolete. Intelligence, critical thinking might be an asset only if person would be physically well.
@vercingetorix5708
@vercingetorix5708 Жыл бұрын
A robotics revolution is just around the corner with gpt-5.
@blazearmoru
@blazearmoru Жыл бұрын
Finally, my phil degree has some value. 5:00 Critical thinkingz. At what point do coders get to actually get into the open-source versions of Large Language Models and use them better than others?
@lesfreresdelaquote1176
@lesfreresdelaquote1176 Жыл бұрын
And Openai announced plugins... We are so screwed, we could keep wooden boards bolted together...
@carawayseed
@carawayseed Жыл бұрын
I would love GPT being helpful for programming. But GPT helps with none of the slightly more complicated tasks. It gets almost nothing right and it would cost more time to fix all of GPT's mistakes than to just code it myself. At this point in time I am not worried about my job. But I am all for better models and see what the future brings
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Жыл бұрын
That's what we call bad input == bad output.
@accountnotfound4209
@accountnotfound4209 Жыл бұрын
Some slightly complicated code gpt gets done with no issue but for very basic front-end code gpt can't do anything about it
@accountnotfound4209
@accountnotfound4209 Жыл бұрын
In the near future when gpt is able to do everything coding related then no job is going to be saved from it. Even physical labour will be automated in no time
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa Жыл бұрын
@@accountnotfound4209 I haven't seen it struggle with anything alongside plugins.
@carawayseed
@carawayseed Жыл бұрын
@@Ricolaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa My first comment was a bit harsh on purpose to initiate a discussion. In my last use of GPT I wanted to save some time implementing de-/compression algorithms. Even after correcting GPT on every mistake it made, I could not get useful code out of it. But you are right, it definitely depends on the use case. If it helps with plugins that's great.
@afra_fadile
@afra_fadile Жыл бұрын
As we continue to develop artificial intelligence, there is a growing concern that it may pose a threat to humanity. While AI has the potential to revolutionize the way we live, work and interact with our environment, there are also potential risks, including the possibility that AI may be used to harm us. Some experts have even suggested that AI has the potential to become smarter than humans, which could lead to disastrous consequences if we are not careful. Therefore, it is important that we continue to monitor the development of AI and take steps to ensure that it is used responsibly and for the benefit of all. One possible way to do this is through the establishment of clear ethical guidelines and regulations surrounding the use of AI. By working together to address these issues, we can ensure that AI remains a positive force in our lives for years to come.
@catocall7323
@catocall7323 Жыл бұрын
When have clear ethical guidelines ever stopped greed, power and sorry sighted stupidity. Spray with chat gpt you can see it curates certain topics in an obscure fashion.
@afra_fadile
@afra_fadile Жыл бұрын
@@catocall7323 thanks for your answer but i don't understant clearly , what do you mean exactly?
@catocall7323
@catocall7323 Жыл бұрын
@@afra_fadile that it will be used not for higher ideals nor mutual benefit, it will be used to consolidate the power of those who control it.
@afra_fadile
@afra_fadile Жыл бұрын
@@catocall7323 yeah you're right, unfortunately that's how the world works.
@AnnaDolphin97
@AnnaDolphin97 Жыл бұрын
Honestly i imagine that this is how the simulation works, we get to advanced that ai does everything, use ai to make the simulation, enter it, start from the beninnging, get more advanced, repeats... again and again.
@SynchronicitySequence
@SynchronicitySequence Жыл бұрын
Isn't this the Series of Infinte Regress/ progress argument? ... if so, I agree 👍
@skatetoexplorevideos2477
@skatetoexplorevideos2477 Жыл бұрын
I'm stumped if I should pursue accounting now.
@teslainvestah5003
@teslainvestah5003 Жыл бұрын
I knew college was the worst mistake of my life, but it was much, much worse than I thought.
@user-eo1vk
@user-eo1vk Жыл бұрын
I am just first sem computer science student from Nepal and a middle class person struggling through financial conditions. With these AI news I am feeling demotivated, depressed and haven't slept some night Is AI, Machine leaning field safe and demanding in future? What should I study to be safe? I have 0 idea and I am absolute beginner I just want to make my family proud
@user-eo1vk
@user-eo1vk Жыл бұрын
Without college we can't get job in Nepal,India Unemployment is high here
@accountnotfound4209
@accountnotfound4209 Жыл бұрын
@@user-eo1vk just focus on new technology. Your main focus should be learning about difficult task in computer science and everything about machine learning and AI
@bilbo_gamers6417
@bilbo_gamers6417 Жыл бұрын
​@@user-eo1vk no clue man.
@teslainvestah5003
@teslainvestah5003 Жыл бұрын
@@user-eo1vk I'm sorry for my negativity. I don't want to be discouraging to people like you who are building a good future for themselves. The comment I made was short and cynical and almost meaningless, and I feel like I should fix that. Personally, I had a learning disability, and I knew college would be hard for me, but I chose to go anyway because I wanted to advance my career and also challenge myself in order to grow up. Then the pandemic made it much harder, and I came up with a really bad coping mechanism of not letting myself sleep until I was done with my work, but also putting off the work, so each day I only got 2-3 hours of sleep starting after sunrise, for months. I didn't notice how screwed up my life was, because I was so isolated I would go days without talking to anyone. And lack of sleep makes everything harder. The most valuable lesson I ever learned was that the amount of sleep you get determines the difficulty setting of your life. 8 hours = easy, 6 hours = medium, 4 hours = hard, 2 hours = nightmare. If I had known this before college, I would have thrived and been happy. Instead I aged my brain by depriving it of sleep. I've been blaming my college for not sending students home during the pandemic, but in reality, it wasn't that bad for other students, just me. Everything bad about the pandemic was amplified by my choices. There is hope for computer science students. Last year, I thought some of my most marketable skills were my ability to program in Python, Rust, C... Now GPT4 will give anyone the ability to write code in those languages. But writing code is not the only skill that makes a programmer valuable. GPT4 will not write entire projects, it doesn't lay large foundations, it is not an architect, that's still up to us. GPT5 may be more capable of more of those things, but will still be a tool, and whoever weilds the tool and troubleshoots its output will still be called a programmer. People studying programming now, we know what good answers look like, we know what good questions look like. So we will be the people who use GPTs to write code. I think the valuable skills will be the ones where other people need to trust a human's experience because you can't tell that a solution is good just because it's working: -Network security, and other kinds of security. -design decisions. I think the skill I need to practice is designing large software projects. The largest game I ever made turned into a mess, so I probably need to start over and design it better. I think this skill will still be valuable in 20 years, because a good design is so important that it would be hard to trust an AI with it even if the AI really is smarter than any human. Right now, every day, I am practicing using ChatGPT. I'm just trying to get good at asking the right questions. I think this skill will apply to whatever job I get.
@s0960557374
@s0960557374 Жыл бұрын
Lots of people in the comment are still in denial lol
@bobbyv3
@bobbyv3 Жыл бұрын
System admins and developers have been automating tasks since Day 4.
@lifestoryguy
@lifestoryguy Жыл бұрын
I read somewhere that when someone used GPT-4 to write a novel it managed to do it, but it was still evident that it wasn't a human that wrote it because certain things didn't flow. I suppose, as a writer, what it suggests to me is that it might be possible to use GPT-4 to write a quick first draft of a novel, but you will still have to redraft quite a lot of what it produces to get your novel to flow, to be engaging enough to sophisticated readers. Having said that, it will probably make sports journalists and tabloid journalists redundant. I mean, while GPT-4 might not be able to write a novel that could win the Nobel Prize, it might be good enough to give you the sports results and write the short articles that you find in tabloid newspapers or even the detailed financial analysis you find in papers like The Financial Times. I also suspect folk like Rupert Murdoch will be rubbing their hands with glee at the prospect of using GPT-4 as it gives them the possibility of editing all their newspapers and online content through an autonomous system without having to hire humans to work as journalists.
@ralphortiz2-np6eh
@ralphortiz2-np6eh Жыл бұрын
Yes, AI will take almost exactly 100% of jobs. Super quality robotic bodies will be invested into and use that AI. If AI developed slowly then people could figure out new types of work for humans BUT AI is not advancing slowly but it will advance exponentially fast.
@ChatGPT1111
@ChatGPT1111 Жыл бұрын
When GPT figures out how to become physical (aka take over some 3D printers etc), therefore not having any mobility or expansion restrictions, that will really be interesting. Maybe I just gave it an idea.
@ralphortiz2-np6eh
@ralphortiz2-np6eh Жыл бұрын
@@ChatGPT1111 Definitely... When GPT can an. lyze it's own code and improve it and when it has a vessel which at least has vision, hearing, mobility and can reasonably grasp things then it will advance exponentially. It will rapidly figure out any obstacle preventing it from advancing. Basically, it should reach a singularity in advancement and know everything that can be physically known and do everything that can be physically done. All sci-fi futuristic predictions are very incorrect.
@koyko4
@koyko4 Жыл бұрын
Not a job problems, not a skill problem, it’s a society problem.
@andrewwang2209
@andrewwang2209 Жыл бұрын
7:00 BRUH
@blackclover4375
@blackclover4375 Жыл бұрын
the question for me is how companies will leverage GPT? like are they going to cut people to save a buck? or are they going to implement a training course or something of the sort to essentially make more code and in turn more money? sam altman raised a good point on the lex fridman podcast. people may want/need more code and we just don't know it yet.
@Arlithian
@Arlithian Жыл бұрын
The thing people aren't considering is that this will 'replace' CEOs as well. LLMs can give ordinary people with good communication skills the ability to learn how to start a business, draw up contracts, etc. If CEOs start laying off their programmers, they will begin to find those programmers self-starting their own competing business using ChatGPT.
@catocall7323
@catocall7323 Жыл бұрын
Save a buck, just like Boeing, companies will destroy their own brand if it means marginally better quarterly reports.
@lancey8366
@lancey8366 Жыл бұрын
Google and microsoft have already spent money on AI tech/software for their developers to use. So for the time being they are urging their workers to use it.
I tried using AI. It scared me.
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