This crap is so scary. We have a dictatorship on the ballot! And people are acting like it's normal! And we have a guy on his way to turning 81 as our only alternative. This sucks.

The senate is the most key to keep. If the senate goes back to republicans, they will have a Supreme Court majority until 2050

Polls also show people want Trump to not run!

Has anyone been asked to participate in polls. I have never been asked in my life.

Boomers never say die until they do.

Ettingermentum is a must follow/subscribe, he does the work!!

I'm voting anti-fascist, anti Project 2025. I find both presidential candidates repulsive, but Biden/Harris are going to be the lesser evil. I'm also expecting Harris to take over.

So explain the thinking of someone who would vote for another Dem, but not Joe/Kamala.

Really glad to see Ettingermentum getting more speaking slots, I have always really liked his CTH appearances! Great ability to boil down information for the masses.

Amazing track record for this guy.

The crucial poll question is not whether people think he should stand aside, it is 'will they vote for him if he does stand '. The first question is about what people think other people will do. The second is what they themselves will do.

We need good polling on whether or not Kamala WOULD drive turn-out.

Some of Biden's post-debate ad flood in my swing state featured Kamala.

Good points! 1."Convention nomination is a committment to democracy" + 2. "people won't be mad at you for giving them what they want". Trump 's campaign to keep Biden tells you everything you need to know.

We are going to just slow walk into a Trump 2nd term. Biden’s team is going to just run out the clock no matter what the world says.

Pundits were calculating every traditional predictor of election results but completely ignored a new but obvious predictive tool and that is "GOP Crazy". Fortunately, GOP crazy is at an all time high going into this election cycle.

Thank you for these thoughtful interviews on a weekend.

Is 'Going full Clooney' now part of the vernacular?

Like this dude just sorta rambles on...and he's not like even 70 years old...wtf

I'll vote for Bernie if he replaces Joe.

While replacing Biden at the Convention would be responsive to what people want, I worry this would set the precedent that could be used for the party to switch out any leftist candidate at the last minute. I remember when Bernie had the most delegates, he was the only candidate who argued the candidate with the most delegates should win. I think it would be best if Biden could somehow be persuaded to step aside.

“Polls only count when I agree with them” - Blue/Regular Maga

Love you guys! Keep up the good work. Gay love from Norway here

Oh I thought you were saying his name was Ed Germentan or something like that 😂

"Do this before bed and watch your tool grow in size." Lol. Solid ad.

Let's see how accurate this guy is in 30 years of polling history.

Trump should be steamrolled by a Democratic candidate. One of the unspoken aspects of the debate is not whether it was a one-off that should somehow be ignored. Any Democratic candidate debating Trump should demolish Trump for his string of misconduct. How can anyone debating Trump not crush him? Instead Biden lost badly.Does Biden own a mirror? Does he watch any of the videos of his appearances? Biden should resign now and allow Harris to run as the incumbent and allow the nomination of an interesting VP candidate. Harris would have a big jump in approval once she becomes President. The "Biden crime family" BS would be gone. The "sleepy Joe" issue would be gone. The most Trump would have are his continual lies about the last three years and incoherent rambling about Harris' personal life thirty years ago. Is Harris my first choice? No. But the scenario with her running as an incumbent with a new name for VP gives Democrats the best chance of success, by far.

And the same poll shows Biden in a tie with Trump. Hello!

I am not black, but I hear black people in comments being very supportive of Harris. They also think people who cannot respectfully say her name properly and insist on calling her by her first name only and not even saying it correctly sound like racists. Clean it up fellas I am a progressive and I get tired of defending progressives talking this way in comments it gives us a bad rep please try to be more respectful

Wow. That's not how I expected Ettingermentum to look like that. Weird how you picture people differently in your head.

11:20 Yes, but is "X" percent of people preferring Biden step aside the same as "X" percent of people refusing to vote for Biden?

"A doddering old man who can't run the country" sums up the perception of Biden quite well in my opinion.

We're really not in a good place on this channel if we're literally just interviewing assholes off of twitter

No offense to your guy Emma. He predicted one or two trends. No predictive validity or scientific basis

9:14 That business about those who watched the Nixon-Kennedy debate on TV having a more favorable impression of Kennedy, while those who who listened to the debate on radio favored Nixon, being attributable to Kennedy's better visual impression than Nixon's--might not be the only explanation for the two outcomes. When that debate was held, many Americans still didn't own a TV. Many Americans, worked night shifts or had a day job and a night job or couldn't yet afford a TV. Others were living in rural areas out of range of TV broadcasts. The point being, that those who watched on TV might have been in an economic, educational, and professional class, different from that of the radio listeners. So that the different results between the TV viewers and radio listeners, might have had as much to do with the socioeconomic class of each audience than with the Kennedy's visuals being more persuasive than Nixon's.

If Biden doesn't step aside, we are going to get tedius terrible Trump. And if that happens God help us all!

If Harris had Bernie as her VP, she would be guaranteed a win. If she ends up the nominee, Dems will pick Mayor Pete as VP. I've said that since Biden picked her, that is what would happen.

The reason Biden hasn't provided a political reason to stick with him is that there really isn't a slam dunk one.

So what i take from this is that Biden ain't no Bernie.

Said you’d link to the guests news letter. I don’t see the link??

dude knows of what he speaks

So why won’t he step aside?

Nate Silver was way off in 2016. Polls aren't the be all end all.

There’s simply not a sample size large enough to give any credence to someone predicting elections. Variance is a real thing and there are an infinite amount of variables as well as changing conditions that can make a model that worked 4 years ago to be completely useless in this election cycle.

No dirty laundry up in here

Polling was pretty accurate in 2016. Mist the results were within the margin or error as I recall. But people act like being 1 or 2 points ahead means you are winning when really its a tie and also national polls are less relevant than polls tied to electoral votes.

I finally get see Josh's face!

He's got to stop saying "like" every other word. Otherwise good insight.

Time to choice were you stand , time to fight for the people ,Lets Go Joe!!!

So what’s the chances?

The notion any Democrat will beat Trump except Biden is not convincing. The people calling loudly for Biden to be replaced overestimate the strength of the other potential candidates and underestimate Biden’s. Name a Democrat, and there are always some Democrats who don’t like them. Even the guest admits Harris is not so popular or strong. I am not saying Biden is strong, but the guest underestimates the ability of the Democrats to select a new candidate all the Democrats and independents will get behind.

As much as the debate and the bombardment of Gaza had me not wanting to vote for Biden and wishing he would drop out... over the course of this public debate amongst Democrats, the media and the voters... I have come around to support him...surprising myself the most! I have come to have a better understanding about his overall economic big-picture philosophy, support for unions and the working class, and he has come out and presented a policy platform for the future that is energizing and a great contrast to Project 2025 and the Trump Goon Gang. So maybe this process will energize other people to support him too. I am also confident in VP Kamala Harris, as his back up!

abortion is on the ballot in FL too!

This guest may have some valid and interesting points but his overuse of the word “like” is very distracting.

MEIDAS TOUCH has been insanely accurate in all the elections.

'His uniquely extreme age' is overshadowing what should be okay messaging and events,i.e. if Biden wasn't so old and frail,he and the democrats would be challenging without prejudice. .A very intelligent,serial understanding.

Are you sure

Is there a poll that got it right 10 out of 10 presidential elections like Allan Lichtman did?

Emma’s intelligence shining through here. Meanwhile over at TYT Audrey Meadows is showcasing her mauve lipstick. 😊

This guy is very impressive

Get this guy on the Pakman show 😂

And Trump's campaign is not even up on Kamala yet.

hey Etti good shit guys

He's using a shure sm58 that's wild

Left is best.

Hispanic voter in Wisconsin standing firmly with Joe Biden 2024!!

Always appreciate these specialist interviews

Josh face reveal

I highly recommend studying the 13 keys to the White House. They have correctly predicted every election since 1860. It’s based on the theory that the candidates do not matter elections are primarily a vote in favor or against the party holding the White House. There is only 1 key about the traits of the candidates that being incumbent party candidate is charismatic, inspirational or a war hero Biden is clearly none of those do we lose that. The only key about the challenge party is the challenging party candidate uncharismatic. To quote Allen Lichtman who help create the system and is the only person who predicted both the 2016 and 2020 election correctly. “Trump is a great showmen but his showmenship only appeals to a fraction of the electorate he doesn’t have the overwhelming charisma of FDR or Ronald Reagan.” Biden has so far only lost 2 keys those being midterm mandate key and incumbent charisma key. there are 4 keys that haven’t been called yet 2 lean in bidens favor and two don’t those 2 that don’t being the foreign policy/foreign military success and failure key. If we replace Biden we lose the incumbent party candidate is a sitting president key and the inner party struggle key. Since if we replaced Biden there would be terrible inner party struggle so we would lose 4 keys with both the foreign policy keys leaning against Biden. Unless there a permanent cease fire which would be a miracle but highly unlikely. so if Biden doesn’t run we would lose 6 keys which is the number you need to lose the election. I don’t like Biden at all but I trust the 13 keys theory. It is always correct. The only other option that would not result in democrats losing is the less preferable Plan B. if Biden decides not to run he doesn’t just withdraw from running he resigns making for the “good of the country” making Kamala Harris president. That would save both the inner party struggle key and the incumbency key. We can’t go with Newsom or Whitmer as much as I wish we could it would be political suicide. Based on the keys to win we either go with option A which is the safer one stick with Biden or option B Biden resigns making Kamala president. Those are the only two viable choices this late.

I think this guy is one of the best guests you've ever had on your show. Wow.

Love this guys work

i don't know what i was expecting, and i mean this in a very neutral way: he looks like a josh

Bring on Allan Litchtman.

My question is who are these polesters calling?, I have had a few text me but anybody that's gonna be voting for the right side of history doesn't have a house phone and polesters do not usually call cellular phones or they're not supposed to.

I think at this point WE ALL KNOW the taking points to hope for another Democratic candidate to run MR … you don’t need continuing beating the dead old horse 😓

Great thoughtful discussion. Dig it.

I think Dick Van Dyke should run!

Asks to explain us what you mean by fundamentals, proceeds to explain on his behalf. 🤦‍♀️

Interview Allan litchman

Re: debate - Everybody figured, "Biden asked for it - obviously he's loaded for bear!"

It's really not hard to predict the elections, it's a 50/50 shot

Fantastic guest.

Keys to the White House might have something to say.

Bernie said all in. I am all in.

Emma's Warren side is back and is all for mamala.

Where's the link to this genius's work?

shit ive never seen his face before lol awesome

Can I post a comment, Israel? It isnt about Palestinians its just about my opinion about the presidential race in my country.

It’s crazy that this was just yesterday and today Trump has won and it’s over

I'm an anti-Biden die-hard in that I won't vote for Dems if Biden is the candidate. (For the record I would never under any circumstances vote for any Republican, but Dems have to suffer for what they did to my man Sanders)

You should invite the man who predicted 9 of 10 presidental races right. Not one who predicted one or two trends. That's ridiculous.

Analyze it now

Can't wait for this ghoul to meet his maker.

Omg he's real! He lives lol! Looks a little different than I expected. ❤ this guy

Can I post a comment about the presidential race in my country, Israel?

You do so as Harris would be a certain win altough you can't see the future. Stop this BS.

twitter is becoming real life huh

The democrats plan; 'hope for the best.'

I would vote for Kamala, but NOT Biden.

I like Biden because he is a warmonger. I really like warmongers