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How A Second American Civil War Could Start WW3

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Monsieur Z

Monsieur Z

Күн бұрын

A second American civil war has been on many people's minds, and so has the possibility for WW3. Between tensions within the United States among Democrats and Republicans, liberals and conservatives, and the left and the right, as well as the conflicts abroad, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Israel's was with Hamas, and the risk of China invading Taiwan, could the collapse of American stability be all it takes for World War 3 to break out? This is how a 2nd American Civil War could start WWIII.
0:00 How A Second American Civil War Could Start WW3 Intro
2:26 Hypothetical 2024 Election & Reaction
4:53 War Breaks Out
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#civilwar #ww3 #russiaukrainewar

Пікірлер: 1 700
@robertalaverdov8147
@robertalaverdov8147 3 ай бұрын
As someone whose been throughout the US and chatted with both sides of the political spectrum. And came here after growing up in a region wrecked by war. I can honestly say that Americans don't have the stomach and in many cases the physical ability to get off the couch for such an endeavor. This is one of those things that people talk about but will never do. Like saying you can fight a bear or a shark, unarmed. I'm being dead serious though. I just don't see the type of absolute hatred and animosity between people that is so common in other conflicts. Nor the Will to Sacrifice their lifestyle and risk life and limb. Americans are just too spoiled. This does not bode well for Americas foreign policy in facing a determined adversary overseas. But it is the hard truth.
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
You are correct,
@Ksim3000
@Ksim3000 3 ай бұрын
You know I have read this type of comment for years now. "Americans are too fat and lazy to do anything. It'll never happen." Yet never say never. All it takes is for one major black Swan event to rally people around something and chaps ensues. America sort of reminds me of the Europe in the summer of 1914. Back then Europe had pretty much successfully industrialised and combatted a lot of the problems affecting it during the 19th century. People had food, medicine and life rolled on. Yet European societies had started to grow... "Bored" So to say and economic recessions down the pipeline only served to fuel the frustration with the status quo. They had a lot of events from 1900 - 1914 that could have led to WW1 but they kept being defused through diplomacy. Yet one day, an arch Duke gets shot and Europe finally had enough and went to war. Millions of Europeans cheered their armies, grateful for some excitement and believing it would be all over soon, that they would smash the enemy and good times were right around the corner. Yet we saw how that played out. Americans are very much in the same mindset. They expect at this point another civil war, they think it will end the current status quo and bring about brighter times ahead for them. Little do they know what to expect, as Europe learned.
@ShiramuUltraDelta
@ShiramuUltraDelta 3 ай бұрын
​Valid point! 🎉 @@Ksim3000
@robertalaverdov8147
@robertalaverdov8147 3 ай бұрын
@@Ksim3000 Yes but Europe as a whole had centuries of hatred for one another built up and engrossed by rabid nationalism. And spoiler alert, people have learned that war isn't all daisies and sunshine. To ask Americans to just go grab a weapon and attack their neighbors down the street because they voted for someone they didn't is just nonsensical. At best it's possible that a large scale secession or civil war is possible after a long period of economic decline brought about by some sort of catastrophic event, several failed wars, and or debt default to name a few. Or all of the above. But as things stand now its just not realistic.
@robertalaverdov8147
@robertalaverdov8147 3 ай бұрын
@@Ksim3000 (Ok let's try this again. You tube seems to be censoring me) Yes but Europe as a whole had centuries of hatred for one another built up and engrossed by rabid nationalism. And spoiler alert, people have learned that war isn't all daisies and sunshine. To ask Americans to just go after their neighbors down the street because they voted for someone they didn't is just nonsensical. At best it's possible that a large scale secession or civil war is possible after a long period of economic decline brought about by some sort of catastrophic event, several failed wars, and or debt default to name a few. Or all of the above. But as things stand now its just not realistic.
@insaneadem5014
@insaneadem5014 3 ай бұрын
I had this conversation with a few friends. Why wouldn't America's enemies take advantage of a fractured United States?
@romaingallagher1100
@romaingallagher1100 3 ай бұрын
Why only ennemies? Some allies could profite of this too imao
@iamasalad9080
@iamasalad9080 3 ай бұрын
​@@romaingallagher1100How? They'd lose out on vital US military protection.
@deuslaudetur2451
@deuslaudetur2451 3 ай бұрын
@@iamasalad9080they already have, in a civil war all us military assets would be recalled back
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
The honest answer is "they'll have their own problems."
@acarroll6842
@acarroll6842 3 ай бұрын
Nah they would totally just stay out of it for no aparent reason
@benjackson1454
@benjackson1454 3 ай бұрын
The Mexican Army doesn't even have control over Mexico...
@Snowthree
@Snowthree 3 ай бұрын
Aye. But at the same time, no one expects the Mexican Inquisition.
@LanderKoenig
@LanderKoenig 3 ай бұрын
And? It will probably have a field day in a divided United States ripping itself apart
@jemm113
@jemm113 3 ай бұрын
@@LanderKoenig nnnnnnn…no. Texas alone is too militarized and a key point on the border is Fort Bliss. Not to mention armed populations.
@LanderKoenig
@LanderKoenig 3 ай бұрын
@@jemm113 well it’s Texas, I wasn’t expecting em to storm the fortress of the south, just to be a bit more effective than some lightly armed civilians
@andreslujan3246
@andreslujan3246 3 ай бұрын
Ya the Mexican government gets its ass kicked by the cartels, tbh there would be a civil war in Mexico if one in the USA happened to
@mingthan7028
@mingthan7028 3 ай бұрын
Average Human Disagreement
@Rasupubegasu
@Rasupubegasu 3 ай бұрын
Calmest human disagreement.
@HomelessInternetTroll
@HomelessInternetTroll 3 ай бұрын
Yea
@justagamer5932
@justagamer5932 2 ай бұрын
As a human i can confirm this happens a lot
@OstojaSRB
@OstojaSRB 3 ай бұрын
You forgot the potential Serbian expansion in the Balkans and their attempt to get a corridor with Russia, cuz they would 100% try such a thing
@thetechguychannel
@thetechguychannel 3 ай бұрын
I live in Romania and have been a consultant for companies and suppliers in the Balkans since the outbreak of war in Donbass in 2014. Serbia would first have to betray strategic partners of theirs, including Romania, to try such a move. Doing something like this would destabilize them a lot more than it would look from the outside. There's a special relationship they've had with Romania going back more than a century, from their secession from the Ottoman Empire all the way up to the Kosovo crisis. Jeopardizing that is unthinkable for a lot of politicians who have in the past leveraged this relationship to help keep the peace. Not to mention that the lights would go out overnight if they did something like this, since they depend A LOT more on Romania for energy and petroleum than on Russia. That's why shortly after the outbreak of the war in Ukraine they threw their little pro-Russia tantrum and then shut up after a few months. They are not the ones holding the cards in this region.
@TheSwedishHistorian
@TheSwedishHistorian 3 ай бұрын
probably not, what they might do though is invade Bosnia and reunite with Republika Srbska
@propagandalf9511
@propagandalf9511 3 ай бұрын
@@TheSwedishHistorian We'd probably rush Kosovo to reclaim it and we don't bother with Republika Srpska.
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
Also Turkey and Greece going to war because the leash that is NATO cannot be enforced without the USA.
@krishthakar6661
@krishthakar6661 3 ай бұрын
Serbia Strong!
@gregbilotta2472
@gregbilotta2472 3 ай бұрын
So if WW3 occurs, Quebecois secession will exist.....sacrebleu
@FedericoGrimaudo
@FedericoGrimaudo 3 ай бұрын
Mon dieu!! 🤯
@lervish1966
@lervish1966 3 ай бұрын
Oh, des foof
@lliamreusser4534
@lliamreusser4534 3 ай бұрын
I would rather live in an independent Québec then New England and I’m Canadian
@MrMirville
@MrMirville 3 ай бұрын
Louisiana will never accept to be part of a Maga America and rather turn into a Blue Blues Black republic.
@alejandroalonso5386
@alejandroalonso5386 3 ай бұрын
@@lliamreusser4534you can join New Spain
@ivanarnold6674
@ivanarnold6674 3 ай бұрын
The majority of the uniformed armed services would cease to exist in the military if it were to ever come to an actual war. The high-ranking military members lean left, but the mid and lower level members(the ones with physical access to armories, equipment, and vehicles) lean right. It would be a brutal crapshow
@majorsynthqed7374
@majorsynthqed7374 3 ай бұрын
Not true. The officer corps from top to bottom is about 2/3 conservative.
@Matt_Alaric
@Matt_Alaric 3 ай бұрын
@@majorsynthqed7374 Other than wishful thinking do you have anything to back that up?
@majorsynthqed7374
@majorsynthqed7374 3 ай бұрын
@@Matt_Alaric Yes, my experience as a Marine Corps veteran.
@Matt_Alaric
@Matt_Alaric 3 ай бұрын
@majorsynthqed7374 Source: trust me bro Yeh, nah. The proof of my own eyes is worth more than the word of someone anonymous on the Internet.
@majorsynthqed7374
@majorsynthqed7374 3 ай бұрын
@@Matt_Alaric Don't really give a shit what you believe. I've been there, my son IS there. You are free to live in your own fantasy. No judgment from me.
@Bio2Baby
@Bio2Baby 3 ай бұрын
We did it Patrick! We saved Western Civilization!
@user-iu8kz3hc5p
@user-iu8kz3hc5p 3 ай бұрын
you forgot the red counties in blue states. in the west there is already a movement to succeed from these states
@Wendeta-hq2cp
@Wendeta-hq2cp 3 ай бұрын
Yeah if we look at the county map its basically blue dots in a sea of red so I don't know what he's talking about.
@mikvan9849
@mikvan9849 3 ай бұрын
​@Wendeta-hq2cp populations fight wars, not land. Yes, the countryside is more competent when it comes to handling firearms and such, but the cities have the manpower. Without the ability to resupply or produce armament rural resistance will fall. The North beat the South cause of manpower and material, not because the average Northerner was more combat proficient than the average Southerner.
@Wendeta-hq2cp
@Wendeta-hq2cp 3 ай бұрын
@@mikvan9849 The North won because it had able people. The able people today are not in the city mate. Not even close. Also what manufacturing? The ones in C h i n a? The cities will just s t a r v e anyway without the rural areas. No need to fire a single b u l l e t. The cities need the farms more than the farms need the cities.
@BigTomInTheBasement
@BigTomInTheBasement 3 ай бұрын
@@Wendeta-hq2cp and the food producing farms are nowhere near the cities. The USD value will crater the moment any real trouble begins. The massive food production we have nowadays is totally reliant on diesel fuel. No money = no oil imports. Farms will have significantly reduced output, same with refineries. Rural areas will be fairly self-sufficient where water is available without diesel pumps. Elsewhere will be bad.
@elterga6224
@elterga6224 3 ай бұрын
@@mikvan9849that’s assuming city dwellers would have the will to fight. Also states like California have extremely sizable republican populations despite being in a sea of blue. California would definitely be the biggest hurdle for any invading force, but luckily they would have a pleasant time making it to the city centers as the country side of California is on its east.
@amfnyc
@amfnyc 3 ай бұрын
Precisely what I needed to see while relaxing in the beach during my vacation. Only good things ahead…
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
Enjoy your time, pal. Tomorrow is never a guarantee.
@amfnyc
@amfnyc 3 ай бұрын
@@MonsieurDean of course, hope for the best, prepare for the worst. Good content by the way, keep it up :))
@mastererik323
@mastererik323 3 ай бұрын
That reminds me of a good book called "On the Beach" by Nevil Shute where he portrays a nuclear apocalypse from an Australian perspective.
@amfnyc
@amfnyc 3 ай бұрын
@@mastererik323 that sounds like a great read, I’ll definitely have to check that out. Thanks for the recommendation!
@hismajesty6272
@hismajesty6272 3 ай бұрын
Lovely. Hope you have fun.
@wolfwarrior9451
@wolfwarrior9451 3 ай бұрын
I find it hard to imagine the Euro and Asian US allies supporting anyone other than who is the 'official' US Gov, not only because that Gov would be the one a part of Nato and other Treaties, but no one would want to upset the status quo too much. Now if BOTH sides seceded for some reason, like the election not producing a winner and congress becoming deadlocked, and the US gov becomes unable to act, that could cause a scenario similar to this
@matthiuskoenig3378
@matthiuskoenig3378 3 ай бұрын
i mean germany and france are treaty bound to sanction ukraine (due to the minsk agreement), but they don't infact quite the opposite. Treaties don't really mean anything
@wolfwarrior9451
@wolfwarrior9451 3 ай бұрын
@@matthiuskoenig3378 they do when you rely on that nation for a nuclear umbrella
@ryanbrooks5482
@ryanbrooks5482 3 ай бұрын
The biggest flaw in the video is about Europe. They’re going through similar political issues, and the far right is surging in a lot of countries over there. Theres a good chance far governments will control some governments in Europe. I also think people are greatly overestimating russia power. They’re struggling against a much weaker neighbor that they share a flat border with. They would be slaughtered by just Germany and Poland the rest of Europe is overkill.
@CantoniaCustoms
@CantoniaCustoms 3 ай бұрын
This scenario is basically if the winner of the 2024 election not being clear, therefore both USes being "legitimate"
@stuart4341
@stuart4341 3 ай бұрын
one of the arguments is that the eu wil back the democrats because they need the democrats to fund their militaries and support them with aid, if those eu countries can't even protect and supply themselves, how are they going to fund their side in the US civil war, waht would even be the point in that sense anyways
@Finger-E-Mayas
@Finger-E-Mayas 3 ай бұрын
I think the democrats on the coast would starve. Some liberals think food comes from the supermarket.
@NostalgicGamerRickOShay
@NostalgicGamerRickOShay 3 ай бұрын
It was AOC who said that "we don't need farms, because food comes from the store."
@Finger-E-Mayas
@Finger-E-Mayas 3 ай бұрын
@@NostalgicGamerRickOShay 🤦
@bradleybreslin945
@bradleybreslin945 2 ай бұрын
If it got bad enough we'd all fucking starve😂
@bestrafung2754
@bestrafung2754 Ай бұрын
Monsieur Z explained why that wouldn't happen in another good video he made about a 2nd civil war.
@ss-oq9pc
@ss-oq9pc 3 ай бұрын
Interesting video, but I think you vastly overestimated Mexico's capabilities, they don't even have a main battle tank. South Korea and Japan would make nukes if they suddenly thought they couldn't rely on ours. Even if only one of them could manage it, they'd give some to the other asian countries they were allied with.
@cherokeevolfusa2891
@cherokeevolfusa2891 3 ай бұрын
Yeah, Mexico would likely see their own Civil War against the cartels pop off in this scenario. I doubt they would be in a position to support anyone.
@lastwolflord
@lastwolflord 3 ай бұрын
I think he over estimates who strong he thinks Canada is. Their trash socialist government has practically waged a war against it's own people for over a decade. Good luck keeping the Northeast from falling.
@diablo55
@diablo55 2 ай бұрын
I agree. I also think Poland and potentially Germany would also begin developing nukes if the US can no longer be relied upon
@Galletas-my3sv
@Galletas-my3sv 2 ай бұрын
Do you think the Chinese are unintelligent? They tried to take down Taiwan and South Korea as quickly as possible, and would use nuclear weapons before the Japanese could do anything. And Mexico would never intervene. Except that the political party that wins the elections in Mexico 2024 does not have common sense
@Galletas-my3sv
@Galletas-my3sv 2 ай бұрын
​@@diablo55They wouldn't need them, Russia, Belarus and Serbia do not have the capacity to invade the European Union, Britain and France have nuclear weapons.
@drakoslayd
@drakoslayd 3 ай бұрын
USA: *has a civil war* UK, still England but with more land: *declares war against France* France: wtf? Uk: sorry force of habit
@RaisedxFist
@RaisedxFist 3 ай бұрын
😅😅😅😅
@theuniverse5173
@theuniverse5173 3 ай бұрын
Nothing ever happens
@andrew9371
@andrew9371 3 ай бұрын
until it does
@BigTomInTheBasement
@BigTomInTheBasement 3 ай бұрын
@@andrew9371 and then it's bad
@andrew9371
@andrew9371 3 ай бұрын
@@BigTomInTheBasement history moves like a glacier and then all at once
@BigTomInTheBasement
@BigTomInTheBasement 3 ай бұрын
@@andrew9371 some call it logarithmic decay
@an0nycat
@an0nycat 3 ай бұрын
There is a good book about the USSR: “It was forever. Until it ended.”
@archelon39
@archelon39 3 ай бұрын
If Trump won and Democrats tried to secede (which I highly doubt, even California isn't that stupid), most foreign governments would likely support the US federal government, if they got involved at all. The federal government controls the military and foreign trade, so most countries would not want to risk alienating them, especially if they are at war with Russia, China, or Iran. The only country I can see siding with the secessionists would be Canada, but even then I don't see them deploying any troops within the US. I think the most likely civil war scenario is Trump wins, Democrats remove him with a coup, and then the military is split on whether they loyally put down the resulting Republican insurgencies, or defend democratic principles and try to counter-coup the Democrats. Any other scenario, including the one mentioned in the video, would just be the elected president declaring martial law to put down isolated insurgent groups. Even this is unrealistic, though, as Democrats likely aren't organized enough to carry out a successful coup.
@Wendeta-hq2cp
@Wendeta-hq2cp 3 ай бұрын
Most correct comment I've read on this. You are absolutely correct.
@adamnesico
@adamnesico 3 ай бұрын
That democrats aren’t organized? They have organized the society.
@Chris-Smith
@Chris-Smith 3 ай бұрын
You cant control foreign trade if you dont control the ports and world leaders hate trump as trump is trying to remove the US from NATO so they would likely not help him in a worst case scenario
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
It wouldn't be a Democratic coup so much as an establishment coup. Intel would fabricate evidence of some misdeeds on Trump's part. The FBI would claim to believe it. Trump and his VP would be killed "resisting arrest", with Speaker Johnson (who has already proven to be controllable) taking the Presidency. FBI field offices and federal buildings across the country would come under attack from outraged conservatives in retaliation to Trump's extrajudicial execution. Local insurgencies would spring up across rural America, and some red state governors would even denounce the current federal government, declare emergencies, and secede in all but name. The new President would order the military in to put down the insurgencies, and large numbers of enlisted personnel and junior officers will mutiny or desert, most joining with local or state forces. The US army would lose 20-30% of it's domestic order of battle, and 10-15% of the officer corps, almost overnight. Rendering it ineffective until it can be reorganized. Right-wing insurgents will take advantage of the confusion, launching additional attacks on federal assets and political enemies. The whole world sees the US becoming ungovernable sparking multiple international crises, which then pin down the US military forces which are still abroad. Johnson steps down to quell the violence, but no one cares. Insurgents from Appalachia and rural Virginia launch repeated strikes against federal infrastructure in DC and Virginia making conduct of basic government functions increasingly impossible. Eventually a constitutional convention is convened in a Midwest town with decent air port and rail line access. Representatives from the red states gather and pass a series of amendments aimed at deconstructing much of the existing political establishment (organizing a new congress, abolishing federal law enforcement and intelligence agencies, etc). These are then ratified by the red states but ignored by blue states and swing states. Formal dissolution of union becomes openly discussed by the political class as the only way to end the crisis, with most of the country (by area) already effectively outside the control of the federal government.
@ZvalatDa1st
@ZvalatDa1st 3 ай бұрын
They are. Believe me, they are
@blueberet0
@blueberet0 3 ай бұрын
It'd very interesting to see what the UN would do in such a scenario, assuming it hasn't collapsed by then.
@monsieurcharcutier4490
@monsieurcharcutier4490 3 ай бұрын
Side with blue america
@Mattineu
@Mattineu 3 ай бұрын
They would send a very strongly worded letter to Trump.
@ibtaba
@ibtaba 3 ай бұрын
They would be voting to help about the time it was all over.
@RedcoatHistory-gj7xf
@RedcoatHistory-gj7xf 3 ай бұрын
They would send peacekeeping troops in to preform many stern acts of finger wagging
@CantoniaCustoms
@CantoniaCustoms 3 ай бұрын
@@monsieurcharcutier4490 Promptly before collapsing lmao.
@badgamemaster
@badgamemaster 3 ай бұрын
The EU would break down in a civil war... we have enemies inside our borders... And what about India?
@user-lm9ij9ge1x
@user-lm9ij9ge1x 3 ай бұрын
Americans think that the eu is 100% stable 😂
@jemm113
@jemm113 3 ай бұрын
@@user-lm9ij9ge1x lol, just now Ireland is looking at some juicy internal conflict over mass (illegal) migration, same with Italy. The entire EU is on a knife’s edge as it keeps importing foreigners. At this point one really good gun smuggler topples the house of cards 😂
@alganis3339
@alganis3339 3 ай бұрын
@@user-lm9ij9ge1x If the ennemy is at our borders like in this "scenario" the EU will stay very united and will perform way better than in the scenario. Eastern EU (baltic countries and Poland especially) are pushing for a strong military front on the russian border because they are still remembering the soviet rule and they are more often directly affected by Russia (hacking etc). Western EU will follow because of the amount of capital invested in the eastern EU and because they are the founding countries. The main struggle for the EU armies is to be able to coordinate well but the EU have the numbers. People seem to forget that the cold war only ended 30 years ago and before that western and eastern EU were very militarized.
@Republic_Of_Soraya
@Republic_Of_Soraya 3 ай бұрын
What countries within the EU don't like each other?
@markpukey8
@markpukey8 3 ай бұрын
@@Republic_Of_Soraya All of them? Why do you think we had WW I, WW II and several hundred other wars there over the past 1000 years? The recent period post WW-II is quite literally UNIQUE in European history. From 1945 until Asshole Putin invaded Ukraine was the longest period without a war in Europe EVER RECORDED. But on the other hand, as Mark Twain said "'Depend upon it, sir, when a man knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, it concentrates his mind wonderfully.'" If the US falls into a Civil War, I imagine most of Europe would INSTANTLY set aside their various differences until after we resolved our family fight. Them kicking off their own war at that time would finish making this a global disaster.
@gunsgalore7571
@gunsgalore7571 3 ай бұрын
I think you underestimate how easily most urban areas would fall with the assumption that the Republicans have control over the military. Cities are way easier than rural areas to conquer if you have the manpower and military might. Your past civil war videos have (probably correctly) identified the fact the civilian right stands no chance against the U.S. military, but I think the left's disadvantage is even worse. They have no access to food, and it will only take a couple of days of hunger to cause mass riots and breakdown of civil order. Add artillery and other forces at the right's disposal in this situation and I just don't see how they could stand a chance. At least in rural areas the population is spread-out enough that they can procure their own food, hide, and conduct an actual insurgency. Cities don't have this ability - they're toast without an army. Your "black belt" insurgency also seems questionable, as the black belt's population is not nearly large enough to contend with the surrounding red areas.
@PeruvianPotato
@PeruvianPotato 3 ай бұрын
And yet, the Red Army won the Russian Civil War due to having control of the cities
@Steadyaim101
@Steadyaim101 3 ай бұрын
Do you remember in history class learning about the Sparta-Athens war? Spartan armies sat outside the walls of Athens for a decade trying to siege them out. But Athens could still connect to the ocean and was so economically powerful the city just bought everything they needed. The same would happen here. Trying to siege two coastlines with the best shipping infrastructure in the world and owning ~50% of the USA's economy is a no-go.
@gunsgalore7571
@gunsgalore7571 3 ай бұрын
@@Steadyaim101 I think your point works in other scenarios, but remember that in this particular scenario the Republicans control the military. They can do a naval blockade, they can pull off airstrikes and artillery fire (which would be brutal in densely-populated areas like New York City, Boston, etc.), things the Spartans did not have at their disposal.
@Steadyaim101
@Steadyaim101 3 ай бұрын
@@gunsgalore7571 I think you would be surprised how little the armed forces want to turn on their own people?. Do you think the Pacific fleet based out of San Diego wants to blockade their own families and watch them starve? Also the stereotype of Republican soldier does not hold as true as people want to believe.
@PeruvianPotato
@PeruvianPotato 3 ай бұрын
@@gunsgalore7571 Too bad the US Navy will probably just side with the leftists and just blockade Texas until surrender
@sahilhossian8212
@sahilhossian8212 3 ай бұрын
Lore of How A Second American Civil War Could Start WW3 momentum 100
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
American bases, carrier strike groups and ballistic submarines don't just stop existing even if the "brain" is not issuing commands. A more interesting question is what happens now that these assets are free to do what they want? Do we see some going rogue like let's say a carrier strike group invading New Zealand or Australia or American troops stationed in foreign bases in let's say Germany or the UK decide to point their barrels at the countries housing them and taking them over?
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
Why do you want a civil war?
@evan448
@evan448 3 ай бұрын
this whole video ignored the role of energy flows those red states are a major source of energy not only to blue states but to blue countries mexico, japan, korea and europe broadly are all energy importers from the US gulf states. their concerns would be how they keep the lights on in their own country during an energy crisis. especially if you imagine iran and russia ramp up hostilities. think of the southern strategy around cotton and replace it with lng
@evan448
@evan448 3 ай бұрын
without an alternative supply of gas coming on line the euros will have to come to texas and lousiania begging for fuel to say nothing of food considering how much the red area contributes to global food supplies. the blue doesnt actually make anything that outside countries would want during a crisis. no one will bw investing their money in wall street while america is on fire and you cant exactly trade the latest hollywood movie for bullets. them having a large share of dollars will be irrelevant as no country will want dollars that could end up being worthless when all said and done last time i checked the gold reserves of the country sat in tenessee a red state
@lastwolflord
@lastwolflord 3 ай бұрын
The red states also have more actual factories and weapons manufacturing. And they produce most of the food in the U.S. Good luck getting fed blue states when the rest of the world is at war trying to feed themselves.
@surfingpenguin2279
@surfingpenguin2279 3 ай бұрын
They also ignored how dependent the blue states are on the red states for food
@markpukey8
@markpukey8 3 ай бұрын
@@surfingpenguin2279 They are not. Most of the red state surplus goes into animal feed for animals in red states. Or is exported. (Thank the Farm Bills for distorting these markets for decades.) There is not nearly as much dependency as you imagine. About the worst of it would be "oh no, I can't have tomatoes! I'll have to have beets or pistachio's instead". It would not be a "hunger" situation anywhere. This of course ignores how "Money + Ports = Imported food" works. The red states would suffer the horror of not enough avocado's for a while. America is ridiculously capable of producing food everywhere.
@randlebrowne2048
@randlebrowne2048 3 ай бұрын
@@surfingpenguin2279 Cut off internal sources of food, and a city would run out within 72 hours. It would literally take *weeks* , at minimum, for even Blue port cities to replace that food from across the oceans. That's not even considering the fact that the Red states provide about 1/3rd of the world's food exports. If that food stops flowing, prices skyrocket, and the world begins starving.
@TR-zx1lc
@TR-zx1lc 3 ай бұрын
Imagine thinking the Democrats could ever tame Eastern Oregon, Eastern Washington, or Idaho.
@RambleyShiba
@RambleyShiba 3 ай бұрын
​@@MrHellknightimpHe's actually been pretty unbiased when it comes to realism. He's stated before that the right wing just can't win a civil war.
@CETGale
@CETGale 3 ай бұрын
@@RambleyShiba But the Blue haired trans communist would win..?? Lmao
@Mateo-oq7ui
@Mateo-oq7ui 3 ай бұрын
its pretty easy you just shoot at the people that shoot at you, plus in a case of open war where virtually all naval and airforce bases in the west coast are under rebel control (admittedly under a rather unrealistic assumption of federal incompetence) the militias over there would end up forced to retreat into the mountains like the taliban in 2001
@constantinuslefug2874
@constantinuslefug2874 3 ай бұрын
@@RambleyShiba Ukraine, Afghanistan, Ireland, Myanmar, & Syria have proven that this isn't the 20th century anymore. There is a strong defenders advantage & insurgents are more empowered than ever before. He's just wrong.
@adamnesico
@adamnesico 3 ай бұрын
@@MrHellknightimpYou despise the people that makes food for you. Why you don’t stop importing food and do it by yourself?
@JPJ432
@JPJ432 3 ай бұрын
I think you will enjoy this quote from the Russian Foreign Minister Alexander Gorchakov writing to Lincoln in the Autumn of 1862 a year and a half into the Civil War- "You know that the government of United States has few friends among the Powers. England rejoices over what is happening to you; she longs and prays for your overthrow. France is less actively hostile; her interests would be less affected by the result; but she is not unwilling to see it. She is not your friend. Your situation is getting worse and worse. The chances of preserving the Union are growing more desperate. Can nothing be done to stop this dreadful war? The hope of reunion is growing less and less, and I wish to impress upon your government that the separation, which I fear must come, will be considered by Russia as one of the greatest misfortunes. Russia alone, has stood by you from the first, and will continue to stand by you. We are very, very anxious that some means should be adopted-that any course should be pursued-which will prevent the division which now seems inevitable. One separation will be followed by another; you will break into fragments."
@JPJ432
@JPJ432 3 ай бұрын
Here is another quote I think you will like but from Tsar Alexander II in an Interview after the war: "In the Autumn of 1862, the governments of France and Great Britain proposed to Russia, in a formal but not in an official way, the joint recognition by European powers of the independence of the Confederate States of America. My immediate answer was: "I will not cooperate in such action; and I will not acquiesce. On the contrary, I shall accept the recognition of the independence of the Confederate States by France and Great Britain as a casus belli for Russia. And in order that the governments of France and Great Britain may understand that this is no idle threat; I will send a Pacific fleet to San Francisco and an Atlantic fleet to New York."
@theanomaly2587
@theanomaly2587 20 күн бұрын
​@@JPJ432incredibly based move from the Tsar
@JPJ432
@JPJ432 20 күн бұрын
@@theanomaly2587 The Russian fleet also threatened to Shell Australian ports along with other British Pacific Colonies if Britain aided the Confederates. A confederate war ship spent a lot of time in Australian waters and was supported by the Australian public, some even signing on as crew members. This Confederate war ship laid waist to the US Pacific whaling fleet and is reported to have fired the last shot in the war. The name of the ship was called the CSS Shenandoah. Its surrender was at Liverpool England where Confederate Commander Bulloch was stationed. Bulloch was the head spy Chief for the Confederates and main go between for London, Montreal, and Richmond. He was heavily involved in the finance of the South with British banking and supplied the south with its warships as most of them were made by the British. He was good friends with those who drafted the Very discriminatory Confederate Constitution and those that would later create the 'Clan'. He was also heavily involved in the assassinations of Lincoln and his cabinet members. He was Also the Uncle to President Theodore Roosevelt (on his mothers side of course) and Teddy greatly looked up to him and learned much from him from a very early age. Teddy called him 'Uncle Jimmy'. This is where Teddy Roosevelt got the idea for the 'Eff Bee Eye' he modeled it almost exactly from Londons 'Em Eye Five'. Russia also helped Thailand (Kingdom of Siam) maintain its sovereignty from being completely Partitioned/Annexed from the British and French around the same time. The very word Thai (ไทย) means 'free man' in the Thai language which is partially to thank to the Russians as they might have ended up being a colony or part of another country/colony if not for their intervention.
@morsecode980
@morsecode980 3 ай бұрын
I just don’t see a scenario where the USA survives a 2nd revolution/civil war at all. With how polarized and divided we all are, I often think of mustache man’s quote about Soviet Russia back in the day. Something about “kicking in the door will cause the whole rotten structure to collapse,” except it would actually be true. America is hanging on by a thread, at least if you ask me.
@Wendeta-hq2cp
@Wendeta-hq2cp 3 ай бұрын
It's true. Same with G l o b a l i s m as a whole.
@morsecode980
@morsecode980 3 ай бұрын
@@Wendeta-hq2cp What I’m afraid of is we’re rapidly approaching a time where all of humanity is willing to give up their freedoms for security that only globalists claim they can provide.
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
American bases, carrier strike groups and ballistic submarines don't just stop existing even if the "brain" is not issuing commands. A more interesting question is what happens now that these assets are free to do what they want? Unless they all go back to the USA to help stabilize the situation whitch i doubt.
@matthiuskoenig3378
@matthiuskoenig3378 3 ай бұрын
@@constantinethecataphract5949 its going to be like the french colonies after 1940. they'll pick sides and do what that side tells them to do.
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
@@matthiuskoenig3378 Problem is that by themselves they can takeover whole countries. There are 3 options here 1 them be loyal and continuing their last command. 2. become a gigantic mercenary force (i see this mostly for foreign bases, they'll just become mercenary forces of the countries that house them unless they don't have the money to pay, in that regard they'll just take it) 3. Take over some countries and rule them as "bases" (i see that option more likely for a carrier strike group)
@Tater_the_tot.First_of_HisName
@Tater_the_tot.First_of_HisName 3 ай бұрын
It's more likely that something along the line of the Irish "Troubles" or the Italian "Years of lead" could happen
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
"It's more likely to be like the congo crisis"
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
"It's more likely to be like the opium war"
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
"It's more likely to be like the time my uncle rented a shotgun"
@Mateo-oq7ui
@Mateo-oq7ui 3 ай бұрын
@@MonsieurDean we dont talk about the time my uncle rented a shotgun...
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
Yeah, just scaled up due the size of the US. The scenario which comes to mind for me is that if just 1% of the gun-owning non-Hispanic White men in the US went out and did something violent over the course of a decade that would be roughly 480,000 violent incidents. If that followed the pattern of the right-wing violence in the decade following 9/11 it would result in almost 35,000 fatalities. And that's before we add in violence from other ethnic groups.
@hisroyalfatness8430
@hisroyalfatness8430 3 ай бұрын
I feel in this scenario that Japan wouldn’t necessarily support the Democratic states. They would probably remain neutral regarding the U.S. infighting; however, I do agree that they would certainly come to the aid of Taiwan and S.K., because not doing so would jeopardize their own security.
@KraNisOG
@KraNisOG 3 ай бұрын
Japan does have a treaty signed with the United States of American that requires both parties to aid each other should conflict arrive. They'd at least claim to support the U.S federal government, but would not send any assistance.
@1mol831
@1mol831 3 ай бұрын
Maybe they would support the republicans by sending them some money
@hisroyalfatness8430
@hisroyalfatness8430 3 ай бұрын
@@KraNisOG yeah so again, if Trump wins in this scenario Mr Z created: Japan would have to acknowledge it, even if the Democrats cried election fraud (just how all our allies supported Biden even tho the Trump supporters cried election fraud). So Japan would at best acknowledge the Trump regime as being legitimate, but I doubt they would intervene in any significant means. They would have to contend with China and NK. Likewise, our European allies would probably still at least acknowledge that Trump is the legitimate President in this scenario, but might not specifically help his faction.
@gtrdxz
@gtrdxz 3 ай бұрын
Japan is largely conservative, zero chance they'd support the left leaning parties.
@9and7
@9and7 3 ай бұрын
The left wouldn't stand a chance.
@gtrdxz
@gtrdxz 3 ай бұрын
Its laughable to think those IN those states would all agree with their state. Plus leftism is antigun 🤣
@deriznohappehquite
@deriznohappehquite 2 ай бұрын
Look at an obesity map and a political map.
@9and7
@9and7 2 ай бұрын
@@deriznohappehquite Not much difference.
@lxstcheckll9348
@lxstcheckll9348 2 ай бұрын
@@deriznohappehquitelook at the political views looking at hormones status such as testerone and dht the masculinizing hormones 😂😂. Look at the domestic manufacturing support, agricultural support and military support tilting in right states and right political views. The left would need outside help highly because their more feminize which mean they rather not want to inflict violence and use rather manipulation. How that wouldn’t work in this scenario so outside assistance would be key.
@deathdog1392
@deathdog1392 2 ай бұрын
​@deriznohappehquite Im 6ft tall and weigh 200lbs. I run marathons and train MMA. According to "statistics," im above the "BMI" and considered "obese". Of all people you think the left would know the problems with the BMI statistic. But of course the left doesn't even understand the smallest facet of the real world at all.
@Brass_Bricks
@Brass_Bricks 3 ай бұрын
It seems like your scenarios usually have some part of Texas getting gobbled up. I think you overestimate Mexico's force projection capabilities (no tanks at all) and motivation, and underestimate just how culturally bloody-minded and heavily armed Texas is, between private arms, Ft. Hood's presence, and the cottage industry of privately owned AFV's and people who arm drones as a hobby. Hell, just privately owned general aviation is 15,000 planes. If it came to that, the fighting would make 1990's Yugoslavia seem gentle.
@randlebrowne2048
@randlebrowne2048 3 ай бұрын
I don't think that he understands how seriously we Texans actually take the whole "Remember the Alamo" thing. It's literally drilled into our heads in school!
@Brody-Aleksander
@Brody-Aleksander 3 ай бұрын
War is Hell people cheering for it have lost their mind but at the same time I don't know what other option gen Z have left
@engineerenginering8633
@engineerenginering8633 3 ай бұрын
what bs are you talking about? How is war the only option
@Zhtrik
@Zhtrik 3 ай бұрын
Is Brody going to inspire the troops, or sit there with his thumb up his…waiting for his Daddy, Brody Senior, to do his work?
@constantinuslefug2874
@constantinuslefug2874 3 ай бұрын
@@engineerenginering8633 How can White people reason with an enemy that wants genocide? We cannot compromise with people who say things like, "this community is too White" and then enact policies to demographically cleanse it. Genocide is genocide. There is no compromising with genocidal maniacs.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
The other option is to passively accept the steady decline promised by the status quo. That scenario sees US politics become increasingly dominated by a blatantly corrupt oligarchy at the national level while mob violence determines the politics of the major urban centers. National institutions become increasingly dysfunctional and discredited, while local communities become increasingly ruthless and violent in defending their interests from outsiders. Rural, exurban, and suburban communities see a return of the historic American norm of militias and vigilantism, while neighborhoods in the cities are divided between criminal gangs. There is no formally declared war or large set piece battles. Instead local factions fight each other for control of particular resources in asymmetrical/low-intensity conflicts. Regional alliances gradually form in the face of the increasingly ineffectual and irrelevant national government. These alliances eventually formally break way from the central government and either maintain their independence or coalesce into a nationalistic movement which proceeds to secure control over the rest of the country through massacring their ethnic rivals. It's likely war either way. It's just a matter of when it happens and how bad the damage will be. I think many people sense this and subconsciously realize that the sooner we get it over with the less damaging it will be. Hence why so many people seem to be cheering for it.
@Chris-Smith
@Chris-Smith 3 ай бұрын
Gen Z can try voting at levels that boomers vote. They are the biggest bloc and yet vote are at something like 15% of the total vote
@Dsquareddyson
@Dsquareddyson 3 ай бұрын
If you think Idaho is turning blue, you have another thing coming
@PeruvianPotato
@PeruvianPotato 3 ай бұрын
Idk man, Boise is telling me that yeah it would
@Dsquareddyson
@Dsquareddyson 3 ай бұрын
@PeruvianPotato Moscow's telling me that no it's not ;)
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
Idaho isn't completely red or blue. Lots of anti-government libertarians there also.
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
@@eaglestryker1338 If I wasn't a 79-year old widower with bad knees and could afford to, I'd move back to Washington state where I once lived for 25 years. The problem is the politics in my state. I don't like government control and I live in probably the number one government controlled state. I am an independent non-Christian where white conservative Christian nationalism is really on the rise, real estate is out of sight, with lots of rich Californians building $million homes on lots of 100 acres and more. When I first moved here 31 years ago, it was conservative but now California conservatives are moving here bringing their culture with them and I don't fit in. I used to hear gunfire a lot but rarely now. There is one tactical firearms center, but few even know about it. I live in a red state, am a gun guy with my own home-built gun range. I know who is bringing all this crap and it isn't the dems, of which there are very few. Next school levy will close two schools and then that will bring us home schools and the government paying for church schools. I was a strong conservative republican until Trump was president. There are two kinds of libertarians---one, like me. doesn't want govt. control but 40% of libertarians want government to force Christian ideas on the population. And we now have states that want be a part of us, but we rural folk (I live in the largest county in my state with 17000 population.) have no say because of metro areas of 100,000 to 450,000, and the more California and Washington moves here the more control cities have over us. And I live in the Panhandle of Idaho. If we have a civil war it will because conservative Christian nationalists want it. There is a guy in Moscow, Idaho, Doug Wilson, who wants to turn what he calls a blue town into a red town at any cost. So far I don't need to carry a firearm into any town even one of 35,000. But if I drove to Moscow, only 2 and a half hours away, I will carry. Almost everybody owns guns in our county but very few open carry. No need to. But the more people open carry, the more people who fear guns are intimidated and what does that do? It makes them want to pass more legislation to confiscate my guns, so why should I open carry and just begin the process of gun grabbing?
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
It isn't turning blue, it is turning California Christian conservative government control. I moved here 31 years ago because it was a free state. Not now.
@naruck15
@naruck15 3 ай бұрын
Also, the Saudis would probably be neutral, they have interests with the republicans (unless MBS gets replaced), they’re reliant on trade with Russia/China, and they wouldn’t want to lose their diplomatic inroads with the Assad administration or be on the same side as Turkey/Qatar
@BigTomInTheBasement
@BigTomInTheBasement 3 ай бұрын
If the USD value craters due to internal US conflicts Saudi won't care to deal with the USA. They'll likely deal with anyone who has real money or can pay and provide them real protection. They're already doing trades in currency other than USD.
@CantoniaCustoms
@CantoniaCustoms 3 ай бұрын
@@BigTomInTheBasement tbf Red America is also rich in resources. Meanwhile Blue America would struggle since their entire wealth is founded on intellectual property (something rendered meaningless by a sly Chinaman with a pen) and financial manipulation (which would be moot with a USD that doesn't matter)
@1mol831
@1mol831 3 ай бұрын
@@BigTomInTheBasementthey might work with the Egyptians.
@merijevons
@merijevons 3 ай бұрын
I doubt anyone would ally with Israel openly. MBS would be killed if did it (he actually said this), and Erdogan would be deposed in hours. It's a suicidal strategy - beyond idiotic. "But is Iran" - indeed. Probably they would cooperate with it, in exchange of carving their own zones of influence - perhaps even negotiating their acquisitions in Yemen and Syria.
@Warrior-14
@Warrior-14 3 ай бұрын
Why do you assume that the army would continue to act as a unified force when a civil war breaks out. The army would disintegrate and join various sides
@marcusfieldfield4069
@marcusfieldfield4069 22 күн бұрын
Exactly infighting within the military and police forces throughout the country would occur
@planetarystargazer
@planetarystargazer 3 ай бұрын
What If The Cold War never happened
@lervish1966
@lervish1966 3 ай бұрын
It didn't
@Lucius_Aurelian_
@Lucius_Aurelian_ 3 ай бұрын
Then you live in the Kaiserreich timeline
@Baconcatboy
@Baconcatboy 3 ай бұрын
Probably would've taken us longer to advance militarily and we would've taken longer to get to the moon.
@elfastzarate2971
@elfastzarate2971 3 ай бұрын
Today would be Russia and Otan vs India and Chine
@jodrakhanthewonderful1642
@jodrakhanthewonderful1642 3 ай бұрын
California's would-be communist revolution would fail due to rural areas of the state being fairly conservative. You'd see San Francisco/Los Angeles get starved out.
@def3ndr887
@def3ndr887 3 ай бұрын
Depends how much aid the dems can pull from overseas
@Zhtrik
@Zhtrik 3 ай бұрын
@@def3ndr887 Which would be very expensive, and prone to disruption if the people protecting the seas(Us),suddenly stopped doing that oh…250 billion a year, project.
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
If those conservatives can coordinate (spoilers they can't) Also the Reds in the Russian civil war had the cities, that didn't stop them from winning in the end.
@Zhtrik
@Zhtrik 3 ай бұрын
@@constantinethecataphract5949 And the left increasingly can’t coordinate either. That gape between the Dems and the College Kids ain’t exactly amenable at this point. All over a country 6000 miles away, fate is artistic.
@CantoniaCustoms
@CantoniaCustoms 3 ай бұрын
@@def3ndr887 Pretty much nil since China would have geopolitical reasons NOT to do that and they don't really produce food as much as the US anyways.
@massacmongo995
@massacmongo995 3 ай бұрын
In your Scenario consider that California would be cut off from much of it's water supply
@Shane-zo4mg
@Shane-zo4mg 3 ай бұрын
Is this video assuming anything could happen without the CIAs bidding?
@Jupiter__001_
@Jupiter__001_ 3 ай бұрын
Good point. I wonder how much of our understanding of the geopolitics of the 20th and 21st centuries is tainted by their hidden involvement.
@brycenlanager1216
@brycenlanager1216 3 ай бұрын
The CIA would fund both sides out of sheer habit.
@cybersaint9710
@cybersaint9710 3 ай бұрын
​@@brycenlanager1216 😂😂😂
@paciferent
@paciferent 3 ай бұрын
An interesting thought experiment. I think there are a few key variables missing here. Motivation to fight within the American populace being one. If it's "average blue voter" versus "average red voter" that isn't necessarily an equal fight. Secondly, the side that European democracies would opt for would be dependent on the current state of politics within each nation. For example, who France would've supported 5 years ago could be the polar opposite of who they will support in 5 years time. In fact, I'd go as far as to argue that an American Civil War would cause further Civil Wars in many countries that have already tapped into American polarisation.
@maxtucker7344
@maxtucker7344 3 ай бұрын
The biggest issue with this prediction is the final west coast territorial map. I don’t think it would be the Rockies as the diving line between the D and R sides it would probably be the cascade and sierras mountain ranges. This is because the Rockies are interspersed with many large flatter areas and have large natural passages through them in Wyoming, Montana, and New Mexico, so they are not as naturally defensive as the cascades. Second while the Rockies and Great Basin area are generally low population it is conservative to very conservative throughout making it a difficult offensive push for any west coast military. Lastly because the cascades and Sierras are so tall and dense there are very few passages one can take so it would be an effective bottleneck for either side to attempt to pass through. Taking that into account I would assume that it would likely stay R controlled or potentially be a no man’s land buffer zone between the R and D sides. Also it’s hard for me to predict the Mexican military would have a lot of military successes on foreign soil when they are ineffective against their own cartels and have very little experience in real wars. I could see a cartel paramilitary group taking over some of the south west way before I could see the Mexican army doing it. I don’t think either side D or R would allow large cities like Tucson or phoenix Arizona to be under Mexican control.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
Agreed. Z is bending over backwards to hand the left a win here. Probably because he's still cognitively stuck on the Civil War as a model, which also explains why he sees it as a state vs state conflict instead of rural vs urban.
@nevik2506
@nevik2506 3 ай бұрын
Well said
@marvinwilliamson811
@marvinwilliamson811 2 ай бұрын
Without a stable America, the whole world will fall into chaos. Anarchy will rule
@jackalnerf6230
@jackalnerf6230 3 ай бұрын
I think you’re overestimating Mexico here, and if they were able to gain ground in Texas it would be in the Nueces Strip not the Guadeloupe Mountains.
@duncanharrell5009
@duncanharrell5009 3 ай бұрын
Mexico’s military might not be able to do much… but what about the illegal fifth columns here in the states?
@jackalnerf6230
@jackalnerf6230 3 ай бұрын
@@duncanharrell5009 Tejanos are more likely to identify strongly as Texan than anglos. I don’t see them as a threat to our sovereignty.
@flynvascense9405
@flynvascense9405 3 ай бұрын
Just remember this is hypothetical and theoretical. We don't know if this is how it would go.
@familygene9030
@familygene9030 3 ай бұрын
There are no Blue States only Blue cities . As Governor Abbott stated that the USA was a bowl of red strawberries with a handful of blueberries thrown in .
@captainamerica6525
@captainamerica6525 Ай бұрын
Very good analysis.
@boffo63
@boffo63 Ай бұрын
More like a bunch of big boulders in a small stream.
@ac1455
@ac1455 3 ай бұрын
This is quite literally the only way ww3 can be fought without nuclear Armageddon as nuclear delivery and interception capabilities are too spread out in terms of location to command, and even those sites which are consolidated under the federal government alongside the physical facilities might be much fewer than what we would want in order to retaliate with a strike meaning that if we do use those limited sites on an adversary, there is a chance that it will not be enough and so will not be considered to be used unless others use nukes first. This is quite literally the best outcome for China. Although much of the actual production is done in Taiwan, those are for the Most advanced chips, and they still require globalized trade which would be unsecured with American absence or under hostile powers like China, so they cannot then get new parts or maintain Dutch machinery from ASML, so they would be mostly stuck to the current level of advanced chips, with replacements of those machines possibly taking years to develop. This means that a chip shortage from attacking Taiwan would be limited since they aren’t going to be making as much and as advanced anyways.
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
What if the ballistic submarines decide to just launch the nukes without the fed issuing commands after ww3 starts? Or worse what if carrier strike groups decide either to help Taiwan by themselves without central command or decide to take over the Philippines or Australia/New Zealand or something. Not even mentioning the millitary bases in other countries.
@TheBuckeyeHistoryGuy1776
@TheBuckeyeHistoryGuy1776 3 ай бұрын
Unlikely Turkey still stays in NATO
@ZvalatDa1st
@ZvalatDa1st 3 ай бұрын
I agree
@lastwolflord
@lastwolflord 3 ай бұрын
Agreed, they only do it now for money. A war happens like this and they start their own wars with Greece and Armenia.
@1mol831
@1mol831 3 ай бұрын
Turkey reforms Ottoman Empire
@TheBuckeyeHistoryGuy1776
@TheBuckeyeHistoryGuy1776 3 ай бұрын
@@ZvalatDa1st erdogan has many times been nicknamed the Turkish Putin
@georgios_5342
@georgios_5342 3 ай бұрын
Turkey attacks all its neighbors the very next day
@robertkidnley93
@robertkidnley93 3 ай бұрын
There they go again dang Democrats leaving the union again
@Bluepizza1684
@Bluepizza1684 3 ай бұрын
Oh shit your right lol
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
"HOW MANY TIMES DO WE NEED TO TEACH YOU THIS LESSON OLD MAN"
@bullmoosevelt4495
@bullmoosevelt4495 3 ай бұрын
Republicans would 100% never let that down. Lol
@Angl0sax0nknight
@Angl0sax0nknight 3 ай бұрын
INSURRECTIONIST! Worst than 911 and Pearl Harbor combined
@merafirewing6591
@merafirewing6591 3 ай бұрын
​@@MonsieurDean *Union Dixie intensifies*
@ayyybob
@ayyybob 3 ай бұрын
As a saudi, I feel my stomach disgustingly hurting from the thought of KSA helping israel, I'd probably flee to africa in this case to save my life from Iran😶‍🌫️
@gunsgalore7571
@gunsgalore7571 3 ай бұрын
9:45 I think guerilla warfare used by liberals and Mexicans would not work very well. Mexico's military is... well... not spectacular, and we know how good liberal civilians are likely to be in combat. Especially considering that Republicans would have the vast majority of the military in this scenario, I find it hard to imagine they'd make any progress.
@lmvr127
@lmvr127 3 ай бұрын
The only Formidable groups; Mexican Marines and the GAFEs would be too busy keeping order in their own country, diplomacy and trade embargoes would only be viable for them
@fish5671
@fish5671 3 ай бұрын
@@MrHellknightimpDid you just equate a house slave to a city conservative lmao
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
Z doesn't believe the Republicans would have effective military control. He has a lot of faith in the left's institutional dominance. Even when he concedes the bulk of the military would be aligned with the Republicans in this scenario, he still tries to find a way for the left to win via "alliances".
@scottyrobot
@scottyrobot 3 ай бұрын
what about the bloods and crips and ms13? would they become the defacto liberal footsoldiers?
@Angl0sax0nknight
@Angl0sax0nknight 3 ай бұрын
I doubt Mexico would “officially” get involved. The cartels and gangs would be looking out for themselves. Mexico would be very worried that if Republicans will their country is toast. Best to not get involved
@TommyWWIII
@TommyWWIII 3 ай бұрын
This is the most accurate prediction I've seen yet, not even a conspiracy theory. Our government has run contingency scenarios like this for decades, in every case the world loses regardless of America's outcome.
@1mol831
@1mol831 3 ай бұрын
Does the world lose though. It seems Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia wins in this scenario, Poland and France wins. But the Baltics, Taiwan, South Korea and Philippines lose. It’s a draw
@shantarmanix3275
@shantarmanix3275 3 ай бұрын
The U.S. had no individual income tax established in 1861- so today that would assume people would stop paying taxes, the government would shutdown, and collapse!
@realBryanAlejandro
@realBryanAlejandro 3 ай бұрын
Every democracy looses in this scenario.
@dylangtech
@dylangtech 3 ай бұрын
I hate democracy, so this sounds great when you word it like that.
@EEE-1409
@EEE-1409 3 ай бұрын
Good thing it probably won't happen
@realBryanAlejandro
@realBryanAlejandro 3 ай бұрын
@@EEE-1409 The US looses more than any other country in this universe sadly.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
There's a reason why democracy is a historically rare phenomenon.
@Fuego-s8i
@Fuego-s8i 3 ай бұрын
This guy has too much faith in the cohesion of states. Every state has 2 very different cultures, and peoples.
@NCR-National-Reclamation-Gov
@NCR-National-Reclamation-Gov 3 ай бұрын
Can you do an American Civil War video but base it on the 2nd American Civil War in Kaiserreich, where you describe the 4 factions as you would normally do?
@StarBadger07
@StarBadger07 3 ай бұрын
Northern blue states rely on red state agriculture and oil industries for food and energy. I don't really think you've thought this through.
@englishpolishmememan8892
@englishpolishmememan8892 2 ай бұрын
Man makes a video saying basically "No matter what the right or republicans do, they'll always lose". and you're surprised when he says the most delusional poorly thought out takes?
@neondystopian
@neondystopian 3 ай бұрын
It would be interesting to see who brics would support during the conflict. Russia would support the right, ideologically, but not China.
@angemalaurie6074
@angemalaurie6074 3 ай бұрын
China would do it out of strategical interest as the right is more isolationist
@splashnskillz37
@splashnskillz37 3 ай бұрын
Brazil could have fractured support to both sides as it struggles with the political polarisation too, tho not to the point of civil war cuz ppl pretty much live in one already
@alganis3339
@alganis3339 3 ай бұрын
BRICS is more an economic alliance than a political one. They would maybe push to create a currency to remplace the dollar or they would push to have new members to remplace the US economic domination.
@RemsHusband
@RemsHusband 3 ай бұрын
It's such a strong alliance that two of its members have more or less been at war with each other since the CCP's rise to power.
@moledaddy
@moledaddy 3 ай бұрын
How much of the US military is in North America? How much power can the US Navy project inland domestically? Does the US military even have a doctrine for domestic war? For instance, would they drone strike civilian infrastructure?
@alusteratrocious5936
@alusteratrocious5936 3 ай бұрын
I like how in this scenario the democrats do what the Republicans are currently threatening to do. Very neutral stance.
@loctitecody7830
@loctitecody7830 3 ай бұрын
I think you overestimate the discipline, courage and quality of american soldiers in 2024, and you underestimate the skill, experience and determination of veterans from GWOT who are overwhelmingly right wing
@Wendeta-hq2cp
@Wendeta-hq2cp 3 ай бұрын
He's also forgetting the a r m y is the smallest it's been in years too.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
He's locked into the first civil war as a model, which has the left winning to due it's control of the more urbanized and industrialized regions of the country. He's incapable of processing just how much the country has changed since that time. He's also fully bought into the notion that the right lacks the will to fight, despite ample evidence to the contrary.
@PeruvianPotato
@PeruvianPotato 3 ай бұрын
What happens when you play too much HOI4:
@Wendeta-hq2cp
@Wendeta-hq2cp 3 ай бұрын
@@PeruvianPotato Fr Fr
@charliechuckles2195
@charliechuckles2195 3 ай бұрын
Guess I'll be outnumbered in that scenario. I'm a GWOT vet and am definitely not right wing
@catalyst772
@catalyst772 3 ай бұрын
you forgot that Romania would probably unite or annex moldova and the former parts of moldova that are now parts of ukraine, simmilar to poland
@crusader2112
@crusader2112 3 ай бұрын
Great video. I’m currently in the process of writing a series of novellas and short stories about a post-collapse scenario in the U.S. Following different characters across the country with their own allegiances and beliefs on what should come next. I finished the first story, now I’m on the next. Peace ✌🏻
@doughsoldier3744
@doughsoldier3744 3 ай бұрын
I have 1 issue you bring up the massive revolves in the southern states but what about Cali 6millon Republicans live in that state thats more than Texas would there not be revolts there as well?
@user-lj1xm6fq3w
@user-lj1xm6fq3w 3 ай бұрын
When have republicans ever did anything U had ur chance in 2020 & hid espescially in jan 21 Its like a cult of couch potatos that talk tough on the net but wont do a thing
@Tejano12398
@Tejano12398 3 ай бұрын
5:39 it’s important to consider that Mexico could use its diaspora that lives in Texas New Mexico Arizona Colorado Nevada to rebel against the states governments and calls from Mexican politicians to annex Texas And The Southwest States would rise within the Mexican population and Government as those States could give Mexico potential to become a World Economic Power Status and rise out of poverty in which it turn Mexico into a Developed Country and possibly a World Power in which it would be respected by other Latin American Countries and other Countries he’ll even Mexico could invite Central America Cuba To Join them with the Support to rebuild Central America and Cuba with a developed Mexico the country would become a World and economic Power surpassing Brazil Japan Russia Germany uk France
@dasuta5047
@dasuta5047 3 ай бұрын
The kleptocracy that is Mexico could never properly integrate Texas or any of the border states.
@Tejano12398
@Tejano12398 3 ай бұрын
@@dasuta5047 true because there’s going to be differences between the States what would happened is that That the Mexican Government would have to spilt Texas so that they wouldn’t rebel like they did during the Texas revolution they would likely give south Texas land to the Mexican State Of Tamaulipas Coahuila and West Texas would be given to Chihuahua the the former Gadsden Purchase land Would Be given to Sonora and Chihuahua I don’t know about Baja California but I imagine that the government would merge Tijuana and San Diego Together thus The metropolitan Area of San Diego-Tijuana becoming one of the largest Cities in the World New Mexico would be spilt into two States it’s possible that they might rename Cities in the Southwest like Austin to Agustin or Galveston to Santa Fe De Galveston or like Mendoza for Dallas Houston would be magnolia or Iturbide
@majorsynthqed7374
@majorsynthqed7374 3 ай бұрын
One thing that would reunite Americans is a perceived or real threat from outside. Mexico would be foolish to try to regain any former territory. A unified America might use that as an excuse to invade Mexico, smash the cartels...and while there, reclaim the oil production that was nationalized by the Mexican government years ago.
@coalnel
@coalnel 3 ай бұрын
I think in terms of a civil war the most dangerous region is West Virginia. It is very conservative, religious and mountainous making it akin to an American Afghanistan. Moreover it’s proximity to DC means that the Pentagon will do anything to protect the capital. This means it may enact brutal bombing campaigns into WV that may suppress dissent but also may create more of it. It’s a tricky balance that may spiral into a full form Christian Taliban takeover of the region.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
All of Appalachia is lost to the left is any current Civil War scenario.
@Eringobragh1861
@Eringobragh1861 3 ай бұрын
I'm from Pittsburgh Pennsylvania it is the largest metropolitan area in Appalachia if a second civil war pop's off it's going to be like Stalingrad during world War 2 and if try to get to Philadelphia or NYC and go to Chicago you have to go through Pittsburgh
@mike-mz6yz
@mike-mz6yz 3 ай бұрын
@@Eringobragh1861 Im from Pittsburgh too, but i don't see it. Pittsburgh is way too isolated to be a left stronghold, plus with how left wing policy's have hurt the city over the last 5 years I'm not sure people would be lining up to fight off their neighboring counties.
@jakefromstatefarm2947
@jakefromstatefarm2947 3 ай бұрын
Funny enough, West Virginia looks very similar Afghanistan on the map
@DrHotelMario
@DrHotelMario 3 ай бұрын
I live right on the WV border in Maryland, and honestly this shit scares me, because i'd essentially be on the front lines.
@willster8759
@willster8759 3 ай бұрын
In your video about a second Civil War in the US me and a guy in the comments talked about a situation similar to this, how a US Civil War could lead to WWIII. Glad to see a video on it. Good video!
@christophergrogan4894
@christophergrogan4894 3 ай бұрын
I do not think the Europeans and Canadians would support a sussesionist group in America. I could be wrong but that would hurt their alliance with the American government.
@prezzJ
@prezzJ 3 ай бұрын
It would in fact probably bring them here to help the "Modern Day Union" quell the "Modern Day Rebellion" Times of alliances & adversity on a geopolitical scale are different. Europe needs a United America to be their backbone for Military Alliance & Joint Economic strength. Without the US, many countries would've went down rabbit hole after WWII since they were so depleted of any kind of resource or material available to them in their war torn lands at the time. On the other hand, without that demand the US economy would never have bolstered into the spoiled brats of the world we've become today.
@RemsHusband
@RemsHusband 3 ай бұрын
They would be screwed in a situation where Trump was elected. He wants to cut ties with them anyway. It is in the best interest of the EU to support the secessionists in this scenario.
@Sky-a-Animations
@Sky-a-Animations 3 ай бұрын
As a person that's spent significant time in each of the lower 48, Don't underestimate Utah or Idaho
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
Idaho's population is concentrated mostly along a river with smaller towns in their Panhandle, plus some population in their north near the Spokane metro area of 45,000. Hard to defend.
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
The population of both Utah and Idaho is on the flat areas not the mountains.
@RemsHusband
@RemsHusband 3 ай бұрын
Comparatively speaking, no one lives there.
@Sky-a-Animations
@Sky-a-Animations 3 ай бұрын
They may not have much in terms of population but they're culture is one of preparedness for everything coming down on their heads, tightly knit and organized communities, and becoming very familiar with the natural landscape around them. I guaranty that their population will be more organized, have more fall backs and emergency plans in place than the rest of the country and be the some of the most likely to be able to function in the absence of government and/or the power grid. I could go into great details but I'm not and again I have spent significant time in all of the lower 48 not just Idaho and Utah, but they are not to be underestimated.
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
@@Sky-a-Animations You are a bit naive. Now you may know more about Idaho than I do but I have lived in two regions of Idaho, both east and west for a total of 33 years and I am living in Idaho now. Mormons are in the east mostly but just like the rest of the country, young people are more into living the good life than being into preparation. Older Mormons are more into preparation, mainly food stuffs, but younger people are different. The Church keeps members so busy they have little time left for preparation. I am not in their church but I was for 39 years in both Idaho and Washington, so I think I know quite a bit. I live in a very rural area and the people I talk to at various meetings don't talk about civil war or prepping or the coming of Jesus. And when it comes to guns, farmers say that they haven't time to practice, plus they use what few guns they have to shoot predators such as coyotes and wolves. We have conservative California preppers moving here, but very few old timers want their brand of conservatism moving here. I have met a few off-gridders but they aren't necessarily either preppers or survivalists. I'm the only survivalist I know in my area. People here hunt a lot, but they don't buy guns for killing dems. Today I talked for quite a while with a older lady who stores MRE's and says she will blow anyone away who tries to get into her home. She lives in a town of 300, a couple hours north of Boise. She is preparing but didn't seem to know exactly what for. And she is a conservative Christian nationalist, who thinks Trump is nearly perfect. North Idaho where Californians are pouring in due mostly to real estate outfits making videos often bragging about all that are has to offer such as lots of guns and training and wildlife and surroundings and a lot of Christians. I live in the Panhandle but not in North Idaho. Mormons stick together but not quite the way you hope. Mormons used to be in preparation before the 2000's but not so much anymore and they are unlikely to join with non-members being that a leader of any group with many Mormons will be led by the bishop. Currently 20% of Idahoans are Mormon. But 27% are unaffiliated with religion and they aren't a group. Most of this prepping seems to be occurring in the South as does the fear of a coming civil war. The Boise Metro Area has 450,000 people and only 18% are Mormon. So much for lots of community groups to help the conservative people in a war.
@MrShoulder
@MrShoulder 3 ай бұрын
I find this scenario to be rather unlikely, especially considering the fact that you had the democrats rebel in red states (in surrounded cities) and yet did not include the inevitable republican uprisings in blue states (which would encircle democrat cities considering republican domination in rural areas). This would be a walk in the park for the republicans, with or without the democrats receiving foreign aid.
@SalMinella
@SalMinella 3 ай бұрын
Great vid I had to rewind several times to make sure I didn’t miss anything.
@sissy-_-fnyc
@sissy-_-fnyc 3 ай бұрын
The western states are only blue sporatically along the coast. SW Oregon is Red, as is much of Northern California. If conflict broke out, those dividing lines would look a lot more like the presidential election map by county than this one. IMO. Cities would suffer the most from the broken food chain. And you saw what happened in Port Au Prince.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
The urban riots in red states will be far easier to put down than the rural insurgencies the blue states would face. If the blue states are lucky they would just lose control of their rural areas. If they are unlucky the conflicts would escalate into loose sieges of the cities; with power lines, rail lines, bridges, water supplies, and food shipments coming under regular attack. Z is stuck in viewing military conflict solely in model of the first civil war and the world wars, which were conventional wars fought between organized militaries. He'd do better to study the chaotic ethnopolitical conflicts which are common across history.
@Chris-Smith
@Chris-Smith 3 ай бұрын
@@theodoremccarthy4438 If I hear one more right winger tell me about how rural farmers will begin a taliban style insurgency against a military, Im gonna lose it
@nevik2506
@nevik2506 3 ай бұрын
I agree with you how it should be looked at by county rather than state. Even Texas has blue areas.
@simonacerton3478
@simonacerton3478 3 ай бұрын
@@Chris-Smith Begin? Never. The Left will start that Reply? Possibly . An insurgency will actually be suburban mostly though it may end up with regular attacks on food and infrastructure by both sides . As the militia right says Bosnia x Rwanda
@briandesoto7587
@briandesoto7587 3 ай бұрын
If you want to see how cities will fare in conflict just look back to when blue cities fell to chaos after natural disasters. Cities require a supply chain to keep them stocked up on supplies. Also in more rural areas if your closes neighbor is 45 minutes away, you have to be self sufficient in a multitude of potential disasters.
@user-fc7is6jo2e
@user-fc7is6jo2e 3 ай бұрын
Outstanding Analysis! I am also commenting to help your channel with the algorithm because more people need to see your reports.
@bullmoosevelt4495
@bullmoosevelt4495 3 ай бұрын
I highly doubt it would end in a stalemate, especially on those conditions. Mexico would never intervene militarily because it’s too engulfed in its own domestic war with the cartels. At best they might just trade with whichever side they favor more. Canada on the other hand while not dealing with internal instability is simply incapable of doing much simply because it lacks the manpower, and going to war with the Republican faction of the US would be economic suicide.
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
Even if there is a civil war in the USA. That doesn't mean that foreign American bases, carrier strike groups and ballistic submarines just stop doing their work. The government might be in a disray but you bet that the "body" will still do it's function. A more interesting idea is what happens now that these assets are free to do what they want? Do we see them some going rogue like let's say a carrier strike group invading New Zealand or Australia. Or American troop in foreign bases in let's say Germany or the UK decide to point their barrels at the countries housing them and taking them over as a petty kingdoms.
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
It's far more likely they would seek repatriation while their local hosts try to persuade them to stay and bolster their own forces. This would lead to many in the regular US military effectively deserting to become mercenaries.
@nevik2506
@nevik2506 3 ай бұрын
1st paragraph, good point 2nd paragraph, thought provoking what ifs
@constantinethecataphract5949
@constantinethecataphract5949 3 ай бұрын
@@theodoremccarthy4438 Mercenaries but with the power to take over whole countries. Lol. There are also another scenario especially for countries that aren't as loyal to the American world order but still have bases (let's say Turkey or something) to either try to integrate the equipment and the people with the technical knowledge in their own armed forces or try to seize them by force. Ofcourse that only works for the bases. The carrier groups will be a different story maybe some countries like Australia or Taiwan or South korea will "invite" them and turn them into a giant Mercenary force to protect them. Maybe for Australia they'll get integrated in the country because they are both anglo saxon countries?
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
@@constantinethecataphract5949 Yeah, Australia and NV would have the best results at simply recruiting and integrating local US forces. US assets in South east Asia will probably look to them as new "home" countries.
@CantoniaCustoms
@CantoniaCustoms 3 ай бұрын
Without a supply line they'd be a useful asset assiting Japan but they wouldn't last too long.
@PatriotMagus
@PatriotMagus 3 ай бұрын
You’re probably looking at both a right and left wing insurgency at the same time along with a fracturing of the government and military.
@majorleagueminuteman1344
@majorleagueminuteman1344 3 ай бұрын
Amateurs talk tactics. Professionals talk logistics.
@yankychannels
@yankychannels 3 ай бұрын
The northeast is too flat to properly defend, it would most likely fall at some point
@JoeTheCrusader
@JoeTheCrusader 3 ай бұрын
I believe that the republicans in this scenario could take NY up to the Catskills, after that the blue loyalists hold on, but the republicans will take NYC and it's vital ports.
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
>laughs in Vermont meaning green mountains
@yankychannels
@yankychannels 3 ай бұрын
@@MonsieurDean slightly bigger hills*
@PeruvianPotato
@PeruvianPotato 3 ай бұрын
I will say that the side with the cities are often the ones who wins in civil wars.
@user-sk7zc1fc5u
@user-sk7zc1fc5u 3 ай бұрын
The central Rockies would be even harder to defend, with lots of high mountains and deep canyons.
@BrassMaple
@BrassMaple 3 ай бұрын
In this theoretical scenario, it is conceivable that Canada would face inherent limitations in its capacity to engage in conventional trench warfare. Its military apparatus would be deemed ill-equipped, with a scarcity of combat-ready forces rendering it incapable of effectively defending even a singular city within the vast prairies. Furthermore, it stands to reason that, under auspicious circumstances facilitating independence or a favourable resolution, the prairie provinces of Canada would likely gravitate towards alignment with a conservative American entity. Such a partnership could be perceived as a pathway to liberation from eastern hegemony.
@nickr0785
@nickr0785 3 ай бұрын
Love how people overlook millions of gun owners that are on the same page.. never underestimate the will of the people to be free
@RedcoatHistory-gj7xf
@RedcoatHistory-gj7xf 3 ай бұрын
Would there be any chance of any sort of reactionary uprising in any other countries due to the outbreak of such a war, for example in the UK a while ago there was controversy over the possibility of conscription being introduced if war with Russia broke out and lots of people where saying they would outright refuse the draft and would just rather go to prison. Could civil disobedience such as this on a massive scale lead to some sort of long term uprising or would such actions be quickly stomped out.
@Aster-Gastaev
@Aster-Gastaev 3 ай бұрын
This is a very interesting scenario, but I do not agree with some points and, most importantly, with the result.
@irispaiva
@irispaiva 3 ай бұрын
surprising that nukes werrnt used as much as possible, i get the feeling that they would fly pretty fast
@mateowoetam
@mateowoetam 3 ай бұрын
First time I see a scenario where Mexico ends bigger, nice to see from time to time.
@danielsantiagourtado3430
@danielsantiagourtado3430 3 ай бұрын
Love your content z! Keep up the good work
@MonsieurDean
@MonsieurDean 3 ай бұрын
🫡
@Namroaruimmase
@Namroaruimmase 3 ай бұрын
@@MonsieurDean Azerbajian same with rule armenia.
@Kelly-ws2zn
@Kelly-ws2zn 3 ай бұрын
So in other words a 2nd American civil war would make the world a lot worse than it already is
@englishpolishmememan8892
@englishpolishmememan8892 2 ай бұрын
Well not only that but apparently no matter what the right or republicans do, they'll always lose. ...Which totally isn't a mask off moment for this channel to just announce it's purely a democrat/lefty shill channel.
@mathieuleader8601
@mathieuleader8601 3 ай бұрын
I can see the hypothetical country of the Republic of Lakotah being made reality in this timeline
@georgios_5342
@georgios_5342 3 ай бұрын
11:50 in this scenario, Iran would be forced to cede large areas in its Northwest to Turkish-friendly Azerbaijan
@josepabloamadornieto7794
@josepabloamadornieto7794 3 ай бұрын
you lost me on Mexican forces.
@ThunderRod
@ThunderRod 3 ай бұрын
I'm surprised you said nothing about Vietnam
@alexanderkontulainen8748
@alexanderkontulainen8748 3 ай бұрын
You have incorrect card of finnish-russian border. If it is so nowadays, and Finland joins NATO WW3 was already started - artillery of NATO in Siestarjoki/Сестрорецк can fire on St. Petersburg quite easy.
@ApexCalibre
@ApexCalibre 3 ай бұрын
People also act like Poland wouldn't make their own play for Ukraine also. I don't think they make an alliance with them
@giovelin
@giovelin 3 ай бұрын
Im a Republican but looking at who we are siding with here, hell nah 😭
@mazaluo
@mazaluo 3 ай бұрын
I would like to say something, but many will not understand
@theodoremccarthy4438
@theodoremccarthy4438 3 ай бұрын
Say it anyways. Understanding will come to those who are ready.
@NikasInParis_777
@NikasInParis_777 3 ай бұрын
Beat da koto ai nu
@connorsimpler3773
@connorsimpler3773 3 ай бұрын
I enjoy this type of content as a complement to your more grounded videos
@Americanbadashh
@Americanbadashh 3 ай бұрын
Even in this scenario China going after Taiwan would end with China worse off. As Taiwan would be even more likely to destroy their microchip factories, if there was no US to defend them. In doing so this would cripple China who is reliant on those chips for basically everything and would also cripple the rest of the world as well.
@sneedmasterflsh
@sneedmasterflsh 3 ай бұрын
This is silly
@cosmiccosmonaut820
@cosmiccosmonaut820 3 ай бұрын
Nah id win
@shantarmanix3275
@shantarmanix3275 3 ай бұрын
Will it be an open trade on the stock market?
@TexasTimeLord
@TexasTimeLord 3 ай бұрын
Nobody can explain how exactly this civil war will take place. Which side will the US military fight on? And against who? Various state national guards? There is no clear-cut North vs South alliance like before
@danielsantiagourtado3430
@danielsantiagourtado3430 3 ай бұрын
Suggestion Z: Miguel da paz survies and created the iberian unión ❤❤❤❤❤
@jeremybertz796
@jeremybertz796 3 ай бұрын
Remember folks, the UN crushed a prosperous right wing government before and would do it again. (Katanga)
@scotia_man_steve7145
@scotia_man_steve7145 3 ай бұрын
As a Canadian, I have a few problems with your end map. There is no way in frozen Canadian hell an American republican army is taking all of the northern territories. They might take Yukon and parts of northwest territories. There's no way they'd take all those islands in Nunavut. 1) That army would definitely lack proper arctic rated gear. It would be a logistical nightmare supplying an army up there. There are no roads beyond a certain point. 2) Most of the people who live up north are native they do a lot of hunting so they know how to survive in that environment, their also armed to the teeth, and they would definitely not want to be part of an American republican state. So, they would be dealing with a population that knows the land up there like the back of their hands who know how to live off the land, and they would most likely use guerilla tactics. Think of an Arctic Vietnam or iraq. oh, and there's also polar bears up there, too. My last problem is why is Labrador part of an independent quebec? There's no way newfoundland would willingly give that up..
@ArabicNameGuy
@ArabicNameGuy 3 ай бұрын
bro we already knee deep in ww3
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