I feel like eventually I'll wake up and see Peter Zeihan in my neighborhood doing one of these videos on a walk.

Peter forgot to mention the USA's involment in empowering the cartels selling weapons AND all the ammo they need for such weapons. Also US funded political parties in Mexico together with a US funded Judicial system that works for American interests also do not help the country in their fight against crime or equality. Is the heat that strong in Vegaa you would forget to mention these important details. You can add personalities that promote half truths of Mexico's reality to the challanges Mexico has to face.

I lived in Mexico during AMLO's presidency. What was amazing was that he was generous to the poor people with cash grants but at the same time cut services to the poor. Public hospitals and daycares which benefit the poor disproportionately were starved of funds and killed respectively. He spent massively on three projects (airport, refinery and tourist train) while cancelling probably the most important new aqueduct to Mexico City... .

Opinion on drug cartels: it will continue to be a problem in Mexico because of the insane amount of money it generates with a high U.S. demand. Mexico doesn’t have a drug consumption problem which is ironic. The fact that Cartels have diversified income just shows how long this has been going on. Violence rates are going down and hundreds or maybe thousands of foreigners are moving here permanently.

The first time I see Peter without sunglasses is in....Vegas?

4:09 AMLO has repeatedly stated that he will retire from politics after his mandate. While you may be skeptical, it's inaccurate to say "he has made it clear he has no intentions of stepping back." That statement is a flat-out lie.

I love Mexicans. I have lived and worked along side them my entire life and they are always good people to know.

The lyrics "Meet the new boss same as the old boss" comes to mind.

My wife’s friend lives 1.5 hrs south of Mexico City and says cartels own everything.5 pm you lock yourself in your house and cartels burn n shoot business owners if they don’t pay monthly fees.Virtual Jails it is horrible she says.

"Welcome to Vegas... where it's going to be 180 billion degrees today!" Ahh, yes. But it's a dry heat. Gotta love Vegas!

"He combines the worst parts of Justin Trudeau and Donald Trump" Good god, that sounds abysmal lol.

Interesting that she won a decisive victory if Obradors policies were so desasterous. I think she won with around 60% of the vote. I don’t know the ins and outs of Mexican politics, but the vast majority of Mexicans want to keep this going.

If money is going to the poor and the poor live in areas controlled by the cartels, can we assume it largely just goes to cartels? If not how does it stay with the people?

I lived in Mexico City and respectfully disagree with Zeihan's assessment of Sheinbaum. She did amazing things for the city, and I believe she will do great things for the Mexican people in general. She's definbitely a refinement of AMLO's core principle, The Fourth Transformation, but I don't think she's going to rule like a surrogate of AMLO or a lackey. She has her own incredible strengths which AMLO lacks. I've a bittersweet view of AMLO, most things he mentioned about him are accurate. But still, he enjoys overwhelming popularity in the nation and many will benefit from his programs. He does have huge blind spots which have left some of the country in neglect, I agree with that. I hope Sheinbaum uses the office to enact a better version of this national transition. I'm confident, but then again I'm a Mexican with money. Regardless of how progressive my thinking is, my personal experience is above a certain critical level. But having been born very poor in Mexico, I see how the nation keeps rising financially, If we could refine & repair the wealth gaps and stop the cartels we would be soaring. These are big tasks.

I'm from Mexico and voted for Claudia. I totally agree with Peter's assessment of Amlo. The problem is that the oposition is much worse. They're incompetent, they lie and are way more corrupt.

This isn't being discussed nearly enough. You and David Frum are the only sources I've seen bring it up at all.

She is a US educated secular Jew Attended Berkeley and Stanford. I really hope she can improve Mexico.

Peter, his policies were by design; buy himself support and keep those same people dependent on him. If he really wanted to help he would have adjusted policy to promote economic mobility

I am a mexican and live in Mexico. Peter is right. God help us.

Amlo built a refinery so that Mexico wouldnt have to have the US process mexican oil and resell it back to Mexico at expensive prices. Amlo helped Mexico to be self sufficient, he is the best president mexico had in many decades.

But peter, have you not read the headlines?? All the news outlets keep telling me this is a THRILLING victory for democracy and equality! A woman president! Wow! What else could we possibly ask for, a competent government??

A prosperous Mexico is a prosperous North America! 🇺🇸🇲🇽🇨🇦

If Americans don't like AMLO, that means he is doing right for his people.

I live in México. The economy is doing better than it was before he took over and the peso is stronger than ever. Not sure how you can say he left it in a worse state lol. It's thriving partly because of the gov's hands-off approach. It's one of the only countries that left its borders open during the lockdowns and absorbed a lot of money because of that. It's the reason I and many others are here still to this day.

Not to mention that Sheinbaum will have a super majority in congress. I’d love to hear your thoughts about that nugget

Wife is from Sinaloa, basically AMLO has been pulling development funds to central and Yucatan resort areas rather than building up infrastructure in other parts of the country.

Spot-on. Greetings from Mx

The Mexicans have spoken out loud. What you have to say matters not!

AMLO has actually said repeatedly that he intends to retire and stay away from politics once his presidency is over. Not sure if I believe it but it should at least be mentioned here.

Should do an assessment on Trudeau. As a Canadian be interested to hear it. I really do not like any of our choices for leader.🍁 🇨🇦

Peter, as a Mexican living in Mexico I have to say: you are wrong on this one.

I usually agree with Peter but his final statement shows his enormous biases and blind spots, to say that AMLO left the country worst that when he took it over is to ignore so many improvements in every sector, despite the stagnation on the security front.

You just lost me when you bashed Trump in comparison to Trudeau.

He's a real piece of work and she seems to also ignore the cartels. She does seem ready to spend money like she did in Mexico City. Yeah, you said that already. Opportunity awaits.

Just stumbled across this channel and I’m really glad that I did. It’s refreshing to receive news and the needed context to understand it without the added dramatics or obvious bias you find with other outlets. Keep up the good work!

Socialist wealth transfer and cartel control is a dismal combination. The only answer for Mexico is taking Nayib Bukele's approach.

Could you elaborate some on how the country is worse off after AMLO?

Spot on. It is a very very sad view for my beloved Mexico. It's nothing like the country where I grew up and was born, it's really painful to see.

As a Mexican who lives in Mexico, Yes. Atleast up until this point. That’s how she got nominated for presidential candidate even when Marcelo Ebrad was the best choice. Just hoping that when she actually gets into power she changes and avoids being like AMLO.

It never ends well when people vote for a person, rather than a party, or an ideology. That person invariably starts to believe their own hype, they become corrupt, power hungry, capricious.

Hello from Mexico 🇲🇽!! Interesting perspective from Peter, some I can agree with some I do not. Can’t believe everything you read on the news.. we’re seeing the change… it’s slow but it’s rising. We have hope! Don’t sleep on México! 🇲🇽 we coming 🫶🏼!!

Sheinbaum, that is a Mexican name that you dont hear every day.

I live in a border town in AZ. Cartels are an afterthought in central Mexico. Choosing a scientist who completed her education in the US and is in line with AMLO's populism seems to be a smart move for Mexico. It's a new beginning for Mexico. I'm jealous. We're going to have 4 more years of senior abuse no matter who wins the election this November in the US.

Mexican here… this is one of the most accurate assessments that I’ve ever heard. Kudos The only thing missing is that Morena has now 2/3 of congress and is now able to make constitutional changes even in this lame duck period, as the new congress starts in Sept and the new president start in Dec. This could get out of hand VERY quickly…

180 Billion Degrees!

The only american ive seen anywhere with an accurate depiction of this situation. Not surprising but still very pleased to see at least one person knows what theyre talking about

The good side and the bad side of Amlo sound exactly the same accomplishing nothing

You have it all wrong!!! The PRI has ALWAYS pulled the strings.

Continuity! Peter can’t help being a dinosaur about a woman. CS is a scientist who was part of a Nobel winning team. As Mayor of Mexico City she managed to reduce crime. She upgraded the public transportation system. And opened many parks and activities for free for the population. But you can only conceive of this woman as a tool of Amlo. Says more about you than about her.

On point sir! As a Mexican living in TX for my entire adult life this amlo caricature is a joke, i own property in Mexico and its very hard to want ro invest and generate grass root income

Sounds just like Biden with Obama

Does it even matter who is President of Mexico? I mean to the Mexicans.

The Vegas strip is a great place for an early morning jog. Its a friggin ghost town at 630am.

The worst attributes of Justin Trudeau and Donald Trump. Hilarious!

All I want to say is I hope you're wrong about the direction of the country, I love Mexican people, I pray for better days to come for them, beautiful country!

We had one of the biggest election in the world and the result are fascinating. can you talk about India and how would this new government will shape the global relations?

I’ve visited Mexico City many times and the city is booming. The economy seems better than many areas of the US…

but it's.....dry heat

A podcast video with Jake Broe would be great!

The other sad thing about Mexico and basically all of the Americas is that the US is looking for a new home for manufacturing because China is too expensive economically and politically, but the whole region lacks security so US companies will not consider them.

I live in heavily Mexican influenced Southern California and I've never heard the acronym AMLO used when he's being referenced, just Obrador or Lopez Obrador. Full name for those interested is Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador. From what I know of his presidency in dealing with the cartels he just gave up on trying to root them out as long as they didn't get violent with the general Mexican population. That been a colossal failure, especially in the central-western states and the towns/cities bordering the USA.

The Cartels are an issue, Mexico also has corruption issues, it has to crack down on the Cartels, but it to crack down on corrupt and make Mexico less corrupt. I think this would indirectly help to fight the Cartels.

I'm from Mexico. and supported AMLO, and Claudia. I'm from the north and we don't see the problems that the people in the central and south have. I do agree with the criticism of AMLO that you gave. and i like the solutions you propose. the question is IF NOT CLAUDIA THEN WHO ? Galvez lacks everything you need in a leader. the other guy is a nobody. Claudia was the best choice we had as was AMLO. Mexico is better in all things Now than 8 years ago. who gets credit?

They chased all the JW out of villages for refusing to vote. My wife’s village was one of them. This is true what he is saying

I think the U.S. needs to take our partnership with Mexico more seriously…and strong well developed Mexico only improves a strong North American. I’d rather my iPhone was made in Mexico than China

Doesn't that kind of relationship between the government ant the cartels suggest some kind of symbiosis, or at least that the government is captured by the cartels?

With the level of power these cartels are amassing, it makes me wonder if a Mexican civil war is coming (assuming the government ever tries to crack down on them)

I had a sinking feeling about this. I did not know NAFTA 2.0 was mainly helping the north. Duh I guess.

You compared Amlo to Trump?😂😂😂

Spot on description of AMLO 🎉

Wow, is Mexico going Royalist again? Or, maybe Imperialist? That should be entertaining. Words have meaning, and people who keep using "rule" where "govern" is USUALLY more appropriate ARE saying something we should notice. Does Amlo actually rule in Mexico? Not officially, of course, but effectively? That's a concept Americans should make the effort to understand better, since it also applies to other important countries around the world, like Russia, and sometimes even in the U.S.A. Peter clearly has ideas about this, and like many of his ideas there are nuggets of data, hints of personal experience and broad generalizations worth our consideration when he makes such an effort to wave them in our faces.

How many years have you lived in Mexico? I'll wait!!

👋 😮 you're almost in my hood. Have a great day.

Hey Peter! Thanks for the analysis. If the new puppet doesn’t change course like it’s forecasted, do you think the US will be able to integrate and cooperate with Mexico somehow? Seems like Mexico’s currency is taking a big hit, and who knows where it will stop. If the US has the better kind of inflation due to expansion, would that also hit even more the Pesos’s value?

"Congratulations to President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum of Mexico on your historic victory. I am looking forward to working with you to further strengthen the U.S.-Mexico partnership - from economic growth and national security to addressing the root causes of migration." - Kamala Harris, United States Vice President. 🤮

Thanks, Peter. A useful analysis of an important trading partner. Most of your thoughts are new to me. Again, your videos present much more useful information than the MSM.

Mexican here. AMLO didn't secure his power, people gave it willingly, 60%+ votes. Morena(the ruling party) is the worst party, except for all the others.

Worrisome.

If Mexico was worse off before AMLO, How come he's so popular and Mexicans love him?

Great analysis and fair, not like other American media pundits who just focus on the fact that she's a woman but dont look in deeper than that...

180 billion degrees is that Celsius or Fahrenheit?

Can anyone honestly say that either of these empty suits are not cartel employees? I can't.

We have a situation like that here as well.

I enjoy his intellect, sometimes wonder if his broad brush allows so much to happen before we get where he is going, that we miss tons of reality in between. Hard to believe, I'm a conservative and I really appreciate Peter.

I fail to see an easy solution for Mexico’s current situation, whether Amlo does it or someone else.

How do you craft so many fast travel packs?

I put 100 dollars of fuel and 475 dollars at Walmart for groceries for the week i don't give a crap about 34 felonies

As a Mexican, the short answer is yes, she is.

yeah, cartel situation is something, we could have like roving parallel rouge states, with tech and organization, they can get all kinds of leverage, prob already a thing

Well, that IS depressing in a way many of your spiels are not.

peter you will be jealous she is a pro castro saying cuba has the best system...

The biggest problem is the rise of authocracy of Mexico. A potential Venezuela style regime would be a disaster for the region.

I hope it doesn't end up like Venezuela

"They levy taxes in the form of extortion payments"...is there a difference?

being the first jew is really something because the Jewish community in Mexico is supermsall compared to the size of the country, last time I checked they were like 25,000 jews in Mexico and the country has 140 million people, we got 1 million Arabs, mostly christians but also muslims.

No sé de donde saca éste señor su información, pero yo sí sé cómo se ve México desde adentro y las razones del éxito electoral del oficialismo van más alla de los apoyos sociales. 1) En efecto el problema de la inseguridad fue el punto debil de éste gobierno, sin embargo los números a la baja indican que al menos lo hizo mejor que los 2 anteriores gobiernos. 2) Respecto a lo económico, el desempeño mexicano en terminos porcentuales ha sido mayor que el de EU en estos últimos años. La tasa de desempleo es la menor en decadas, el peso mexicano se ha apreciado, cosa que no sucedia prácticamente desde hace 40 años y por último la economía mexicana sobrepasó en tamaño a Corea del Sur, España y Australia. 3) Sí se han destinado enormes sumas de dinero a grandes proyectos de infraestructura y desarrollo social (aeropuertos, trenes, refinerias, programas sociales) pero aqui está el gran detalle, todo sin adquirir nueva deuda con organismos como el FMI o el Banco "Mundial". 4) Este señor asegura que AMLO ha hecho claro que no soltara las riendas del poder al terminar su periodo. Sería bueno conocer los elementos que le permiten suponer tales indicios. Porque al menos en el discurso AMLO afirma lo contrario. 5) Para barrer a la oposición en México tal como sucedió, hicieron falta los votos de la mayoría de la clase media, misma que no recibe los apoyos sociales con los que AMLO "compra lealtades" como asevera el señor Peter. Pd: a los interesados usen el traductor que no pienso escribir todo esto en ingles.

claudia is amlo's biden

Are you an AI actor? You change location like others change underwear.

If the Cartels feel emboldened by their continued success, could there be a secession of the provinces that they control? This, I feel is very likely 😬

I am mexican and I agree in something of what you said, but not in everything. The cartels are a big problem because some people want easy money, they need money, but we can improve it by sport promotion, cultural activities or something like that, besides family being responsible for their children, wich is one of the ideas the new president is going to work on. By the way, all the previous gobernment left the country sadly bad, it is not possible to fix it in 5 or 6 years.