Is Week 17 still all that matters? (key BBMV update)
Рет қаралды 2,606
Күн бұрынThe top heavy prizes in previous Best Ball Mania contests demanded that drafters prioritized Week 17 above all weeks to maximize their win potential, but a new wrinkle with the Best Ball Mania V payout structure might have changed which playoff week is the most important. In this video, I overview the BBMV structure, dig into some interesting math about the importance of Week 16, and share how I am going to specifically apply these findings in my drafts. 💸 Sign up with promo code Pete to claim your special pick + 1st time deposit offer up to $250 in bonus cash ➝ play.underdogfantasy.com/p-pe...
S/o to Michael Dubner, Mike Leone, Neil Farley, and Justin Freeman for their help on this video.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:24 - The thesis behind "Week 17 is all that matters"
04:00 - The Best Ball Mania V structure is very different compared to previous BBMs
06:53 - Breaking down the BBMV prize pool and EV per round
08:48 - Comparing prize structures between BBMIV to BBMV
09:20 - Is Week 16 now the most important week?
10:00 - Week 16 vs. Week 17 from a win rate & cumulative EV perspective
13:20 - Should this math change the way you draft in 2024?
14:00 - The debate all boils down to the game stack
15:45 - The data behind bring backs hitting
16:55 - How I'm going to approach game stacks in BBMV (3 tips) and the biggest correlation edge in 2024
***
Edit/thumbnail: @ChrisMorenoDesign
#fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #bestballmania
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
if you haven't signed up for underdog, they have a new special for 1st time depositors. get up to a $250 deposit bonus with promo code pete: play.underdogfantasy.com/p-pete-overzet
@brianford78 2 ай бұрын
loving these specific strategy videos as a supplement to your hang-and-draft streams as well as the broader convos on Ship Chasing and the humorous approaches on Swioecast - just a great blend of content and multiple entry points and ways for ppl to digest the info
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
appreciate that, i like the variety too
@Harbz 2 ай бұрын
Appreciate you taking the time to look at this, it’s definitely not the most intuitive concept
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
🫡
@YouTalkSports 2 ай бұрын
Another must watch BBM strategy video from Pete he is the best at making complex things understandable and entertaining
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
🙌
@willisisawesome 2 ай бұрын
GIVE US THE SCHEDULE NFL!!!!! Awesome video thought Pete. Pretty cool seeing all the different calculations. I still think week 17 is all that matters.
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
🤝
@scottsharp1763 2 ай бұрын
Why would they do that when it’s blatantly obvious why they don’t, they cheating still again still again anden s’mores huh weird.l. Not the nfl Not underdog Not merica, if U taint cheating U taint merican.,.
@CryptoGrady 2 ай бұрын
I love this!!
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
love to hear it
@EmoCowboy. 2 ай бұрын
It's all that has and will ever matter, amen🙏🏻
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
as it is written in the bible
@EmoCowboy. 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom 2nd Leone 4:15 and Peter 3:16 to quote the specific scriptures
@Maximuss44 Ай бұрын
Great stuff! My brain itches now, is that normal? Lol
@DepositKingdom Ай бұрын
glad you were able to check it out
@frankiepuleo 2 ай бұрын
I’ma nit and would be thrilled to just get there. Consider me a week 16 bro
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
the math is in ur favor this yr ser
@theconsigliere2301 2 ай бұрын
I have always been a Week 16 Bro ... welcome to the party pal!
@theconsigliere2301 2 ай бұрын
My ideal stack is my top WR with a Week 16 QB opponent and a Week 17 QB opponent. I tried to thread this needle often last year with little success but it was fun to try.
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
being a week 16 bro wasn't sharp until this year haha
@theconsigliere2301 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom I never said I was sharp. Just couldn't get my head wrapped around trying to win a 400+ person tourney, but first of 16 feels doable in Week 16 hahaha
@YouTalkSports 2 ай бұрын
What’s the link for that brick overlay tool you mentioned?
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
thedraftcaddy.com
@_Mathology1 2 ай бұрын
I get it - Why miss when you can make it.
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
🍆🍆
@CryptoGrady 2 ай бұрын
LFG!! 🔥🔥
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
💪
@carolinapjp 2 ай бұрын
Like the great philospher David Mattek once said, we are all gonna lose anyways.....
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
but that ev tho
@SammyTelesco 2 ай бұрын
This shit is nuts.... Lets Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
sammyyy
@moaf2padventures757 2 ай бұрын
so...do you have to rebrand or not??
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
did you watch the whole video. WE'RE NOT GOING ANYWHERE
@mister_padilla6105 2 ай бұрын
So, never once did I hear how we’re already deciding how to correlate specifically for any week. How do we target whichever round we want to target? All I got is drafting rookies and stacking is good.
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
i dont understand your question...but happy to help. did u watch the original video about why week 17 was previously the most important week without question? that will give u a good foundation for understanding it, and then u can come back to see why this year week 16 has a case to be as important
@mister_padilla6105 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom I understand the importance but I’m not sure what to do more then stacking? Especially when the NFL schedule isn’t released yet.
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
yes this analysis is for after the schedule comes out, put it out before that so people could be ready and not make early mistakes
@mister_padilla6105 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom got you.
@rajan8495 2 ай бұрын
How was EV by each round calculated?
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
total prizes available divided by number of teams, and then the % ratio applied to the $22.30
@rajan8495 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom I get the ratios for R1 $5.38 ($3.6M prizes divided by $15M * 22.3 for teams that don't advance to W16), and R2 $2.10 ($1.4M in prizes for teams that don't advance to W17), but still don't understand the split between the R3 $4.64 and R4 $10.18.
@theohiooutdoors2444 2 ай бұрын
Oh my, I watched this on 1.5x and my brain is just like ummmm what??? 😳
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
i researched this on .5x speed for multiple days so not surprised lol
@Bindles90 2 ай бұрын
These new age hippies and their week 16! *shakes hand at sky 👋
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
get off my lawn
@ChrisGeeeeee 2 ай бұрын
I can’t believe you beat me Tyler
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
always the bridesmaid, gee
@EmoCowboy. 2 ай бұрын
get rekt G
@ChrisGeeeeee 2 ай бұрын
@@EmoCowboy. just like this weekend
@ChrisGeeeeee 2 ай бұрын
@Chipskylark7 that’s the spirit
@tiltnmafks 2 ай бұрын
week 15 bros rise up
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
im begging you
@VaperWare 2 ай бұрын
Is the dream a threesome (stack a team and then bring backs from the week 16 and week 17 opponents) and the ultimate fantasy if it happens to line up a foursome (stack/correlate teams that swap opponents weeks 16 and 17)? Week 16: Bears vs Packers Lions vs Vikings Week 17: Lions vs Bears Packers vs Vikings If the foursome is the ultimate and there is only 1 do you think that could drive up the ADPs of those 4 teams?
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
that would be ideal but i would never force it/drive up adps for it, bc the correlation is a bonus but the reaching is a negative so then you lose the benefits
@VaperWare 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom I agree I wouldn’t force it either, I’m talking overall if others are forcing it that could over time drive up the ADPs. So perhaps getting that foursome earlier in the contest the better. As always good stuff. 👍
@christopher1367 2 ай бұрын
C’est la vie
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
la semaine 17 c'est la vie
@loudogvideo 2 ай бұрын
week 17 is all that splatters
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
time to get april a new bib
@markwolf88 2 ай бұрын
Just cue the Davis ‘we’re all gonna lose’ at all times
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
it's about losing in style
@TheWhatMan80 2 ай бұрын
Lol 6th place
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
ill take it tho
@nickbyrd1027 2 ай бұрын
Please don't talk about my grandfather's BBM
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
i apologize, hope he's doing alright
@nickbyrd1027 2 ай бұрын
@@DepositKingdom he survived his big bowel movement, but it flushed our relationship down the drain
@nickbyrd1027 2 ай бұрын
Great video though!
@woodbandky 2 ай бұрын
Major shade given to week 15 lol, Regular Season is over here acting like a high school girlfriend, got you all the way through the season and now you're ditching me?!?
@DepositKingdom 2 ай бұрын
maybe she'll get hot again if ud loads up the week 16 prizes next year
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