I've got a few more good years in me… How do you feel about learning that computers can accurately predict your death and have been doing so for years? Let me know in the comments!

**throws himself in front of a car** AH AH! YOU DIDNT SEE THAT COMING, COMPUTER! ow..

Me: “Computer, when am I going to die?” 'Puter: “Tomorrow” Me: “Oh, sweet, thanks. That's a load off my mind.”

love that the Hank Green doppelganger joke is still going lol

There always will be bias because somebody will decide what data to record. If favourite colour is important and nobody writes it down, it will be missed - and other (combinations of) factors will be found, thinking that will be enough. The problem with computers is that they can't be curious about types of data they don't have. They can't ask their subjects new and surprising questions, opening new ways of thinking.

6:50 finally, Charon bought something nice for himself with all those gold coins, he looks really happy in his new yacht Edited: Noo the ending, Joe stole his yacht

I had anxiety about death until a conversation with my father in which he had me consider how I felt before I was born.

Celebrating Germany today with your running gear?

before watching: i mean this is the whole business of life insurance. those folks are literally betting on your life after the video: i mean, yeah

I choked when that little cartoon Joe shoved the grim reaper out of the speedboat.

Can a computer be an actuary? Well, yes.

😂 "ahoy hades" on the boat, dying. Pun intended

“You hear that guys. I don’t look old!”

pre-watch comment: i mean.. actuaries have been doing essentially this for forever... with the added part of BETTING when you will die, it is the definition of life insurance. post-watch comment: yup

Never tell the actuary about your cocaine usage or that you are learning how to juggle chainsaws.

1:29 I Like The Vsauce reference 😂

I think a follow up video exploring which factors are most predictive of long life is in order. What are factors people tend to over value? What are factors that marketers over emphasize? How important is family medical history vs country of residence? I think there are many more interesting angles to approach the subject from.

If you're old then man, I'm ancient 😂

Like your content entertaining informative and funny can’t wait to see 40 + more years of premium content ❤😂

Hey Joe! Really love the videos. A request, please make a video about astroinformatics. How AI and Data Science is helping in astronomy.

2:21 yup, an algorithm used by Target mall guessed correctly that a girl was pregnant from the online choices. The girl's dad did not know and complained why she was receiving offers for baby products. The dad apologized when he learned the girl was pregnant.

I wish you live a healthy live into your 100s! Thanks for your videos.

Well, gosh! This is a feel good episode!

Two huge logical leaps in the script: 1. You can predict how long somebody like me will live on average, not how long I will live. 2. I think of death several times a day. I don't feel anxious about it.

You look fine Joe, don’t worry about it, until you’re 50. Great episode, thanks. Episode on living longer? David Sinclair?

I do remember showing my 7th grade science teacher your 12 days of evolution series when it was new

Have a high VO2max and don't go caving and you're good.

The original Lloyd's of London wasn't a company that sold insurance. It was a place in a building where people who sold insurance congregated.

In the spirit of staying curious, I would like to to see how close the fortune teller's prediction of your likely death is to the computer's prediction.

again well presented

One thing that I wished this episode had made explicit is that life expectancy means you are 50% likely to make it to that age NOT that you are likely (unquantified) to make it to that age

1 min into the video and I’m rolling.

Question: does the computer also take in possible events? Having a kid, adopting a pet you’ve never had before (like a snake or something) etc., or stressful events like your job gets really bad, someone you love dies, etc. if it can not consider possible events, how is it accurate?

Heroes may die, but legends live forever... or something like that... if you are unlucky you might die earlier than expected, yet since you have built something up, others will remember you for quite a bit. some famous guys are dead for centuries now, but history still preaches their deeds or misdeeds. hopefully you can enjoy your few good years in peace and may haps spoil us with your ever-growing wisdom in the future, but keep in mind some good folks still went down the river of Styx way to early.

I honestly JUST finished re-reading "Machine of Death: A Collection of Stories about People who Know how They Will Die" and "This Is How You Die: Stories of the Inscrutable, Infallible, Inescapable Machine of Death" about a week ago.

I sort of learned about this when I had to learn how life insurance works and determines how much you have to pay them. I had to do it by hand with given percentages. It was extremely difficult. But the principles are the same.

It must have been weird for you to see your face as a "dead guy" on the ABC TV show Will Trent. I got a kick out of that. I hope you live a long time to continue sharing interesting science. Thanks for sharing!

Fantastic 💯 👑 thanks

Working for a life insurance company, I have heard a lot about predicting when someone will die. I don’t work in the department that deals with that sort of thing, but it absolutely influences my job. It’s almost surreal to hear words used in my industry and know that in the next several years, my company will more than likely be using that AI software.

8:16 NOTHING is free from human bias. The computer can only use data we provide, therefore it also is biased at some level. That's why so many early ChatGPT type programs that were trained on social media quickly became racist, misogynistic, and homophobic. ChatGPT uses much larger data samples and algorithms that are tweaked to try and avoid that pitfall.

Hey, don't have a heart attack, you're not 92 yet.

Me reaching 45 years old this years hurted. I don't feel old, but.. that is not a lot of life remaining... totally feel that mid life dread.

I correctly matched 86 before the actuary.. but is used to sell life insurance

Super funny intro! You're a runner like me Joe, we'll get to 90 easily. Do we want to be 90 though? ehh

I always lean so much from Joe.

As people age, a common assumption about them is they sense they have less time remaining. At 74, I don't sense that the time I have left is getting shorter, just increasingly indeterminate.

My iPhone has a builtin accelerometer, and if it measures a 100g impulse it will probably figure I fell out of an airplane and dial 911, assuming it survived. I'm 81 years old and have outlived three iPhones, and over the years, not one of those iPhones has accurately predicted its own demise, so I'm not holding my breath that my current iPhone will accurately predict its or my demise. I believe in the inevitability of probability: wait long enough and the probable is inevitable. There is about a 50-50 chance that the computer I'm typing this comment on will die before I do, but it won't admit that, so who can you trust these days?

This is sinister. From it's inception: who does the pirate data help: the sailor or whoever funded the voyage? In this era: the data does little for the individual but is used by powerful groups that don't consider you but rather a dehumanized 'average you'. Creepy really.

I am still baffled by my inability to distinguish between Hank and yourself. And I apologize. 😅 🤘🏽

Hmm the computer in a more advanced version existing on Death Note will make an interesting plot

love this

"Ahoy Hades" will be the name of my next album.

Well "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure", thus people will change there behavior. You might not seek a psychologist when you need it cause you don't want it on you record, you might install software on your computer that dilutes your data, or something else.

The logic about insurance, is that you spread the risk from an individual to a whole cohort. Such that an occurrence of an event is financial, too expansive for the individual. When predicting an individual's behavior causes an insurance ad absurdum. Because you don't spread the cost evenly to a cohort anymore. Obviously, this is the desire of the insurance company to lower risk and gain more profit, but the idea of spreading risk is lost. But luckily, health insurance companies are not allowed to process such very private data, otherwise the healthcare system would crash, this is in most European countries embedded by law, not the idiotic-false-believed-freedom state. *Addedum; that's why you should only take out insurances, for events which could bring you in a financial ruin. And not for an event like accidentally dropping a smartphone. *Nota Bene; When the prediction of events are "too" good, people will stop paying for the insurance, so the business model of insurances will vanish.

I'm not old but it still scares me out of my mind

I think it’s important to clarify that your individual tracking apps like health trackers are not submitting your data to mega-databases on a super computer somewhere to be harvested for global data - it does explain in this video it takes a collection of data to create a ‘Frankenstein’ of data and that’s important to remember. Your ‘personal’ evaluations and recommendations are based on Frankenstein data, not the same as individualised personalised recommendations. So yes, more and more companies are collecting your data every day, but it isn’t kept connected to your individual identity throughout the data line, and overall estimates and analytics are what are being looked at. Anyone who works in analytics knows how misunderstood it is that all data lives somewhere on an infinite computer database accessible somewhere :D

Got my daily quota in, thanks to Joe.

No, a computer cannot predict my death. It can predict how long I will likely live, and the chances of certain forms of death. There's a huge difference.

Thanatos phobia, the fear of missing a Marvel movie.

0:26 not me thinking he didn't have shorts on 😂

I have a few relevant paradoxes. Firstly: For those who are not immortal and will die, merely living is a temporary act of cheating death, and it will eventually fail for the individual. Next: Without the existence of life, the universe is merely one big collection of rocks. Yet, if it has life, then efforts must be given in order to sustain that life, and life will end up being very costly for the universe. Next: The only way for a mortal to effectively cheat death is to live long enough to have offspring and thus mar death’s mark on the world. Finally: Due to the deaths of all mortals, those who are immortal will never truly know that they are immortal, since in their minds death could still take them. In other words, mortals exist for a numerical amount of years, but the immortal exist for an unnumbered amount of years, with no set start. The mortal and the immortal cannot mix.

As soon as I saw how happy you were that he thought you were about 40 I was like wow he is old😂

Reminds me of the death clock from Futurama

The 4am prediction missed me, oooops. Guess I'm not so predictable.

"Dennis, our lives are in your hands and you've got Butterfingers!"

Noting new, period!

Robert Heinlein had a short story on this topic but when Lazarus Long was test the scientist said his machine was broken.. forgot the story name but entertaining

to those trolling about someone looking "Old" I hope you're lucky enough not to have to suffer the same fate

Hi, please could u make a video on the frontal lobe development?

man, as peaceful as death was, I sure do prefer the times when I'm alive

"Suggest some good videos to watch while we're waiting..." Scene from "Meet Joe Black" when Hopkins knows his time is short and there's his "daughter" worries... He's playing Solitaire (with real cards)... Kinda makes ya think, no?

"Thanks to denial, I'm immortal."

Yup! Not sure all Canadians exercise regularly and eat healthy foods but we do have access to good healthcare when we need it AND it’s “free”. 😊

The insurance companies will love it!!!

It would be interesting to have an AI call/text you on your birthday: “Happy birthday, ! I wish you many more, but you’ll only get to enjoy more of them. Bye!”

Humans : predict my death. AI : prediction will be endless, but i can end it for you anytime. Humans : that's sounds right, but a bit wrong,

The name of the boat should have been _Slice of Life_ Just saying...

"All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us." GtMFG

As a life insurance underwriter, I resemble these remarks

They should start calling the "black swan" events, "Dean Winters" events. "Mayhem, like me!"

*cries in american healthcare*

I wanted some kind of website where we can fill in our information and get an estimate bruh

Ngl i thought I was the only one noticing the man getting old 😭🙏🏾

We're heading towards Westworld Season 3 apparently

So oooooold. Wait, what’s the alternative?

Sadly, predictive analytics are used far more for marketing and money-making than they are for things that actually matter like life expectancy.

It isn't how long you live it's how well it's how well you live.

My husband has almost no digital footprint. He uses my daughter's Amazon account. He barely answers his cell phone.

4:30 Is he really called Dall-E HAL 2001?!!

The computers got it right 8/10 times, until they learned they could improve the success rate of their predictions. :)

My impression from this video is that no matter how unique we think we are, we're all just number vectors in the end.

Q: Can a Computer Predict Your Death? A: Sure! Why not? Heck, an octopus can predict your death! As can a tarot card, or a parrot... The real question is how accurate will that/those be...?

If you type into a computer "Can you predict when I'm going to die?" and "yes I can!" appears on the screen, get out of there!

This has gone through at least 3 thumbnails (that I've seen). What is happening? I keep thinking it's a new video in my feed, then being disappointed on reading the title.

Statistically, I'm going to die of anaphylaxis.

Just curious....any reason why his sweat bands colors are the as the German flag?

Yes i went to the website

I cannot unsee the German flag on your sweatbands

I can\t wait for a black box AI to tell me that my incurrence will get why more expensive without anyone knowing why.🤦‍♂

if it helps and it probably doesn't - I generally mentally refer to you as 'not Hank' - though if it also helps you aren't the only two science guys I watch and the rest basically go by - guy with blue eyes - guy I probably wouldn't like in real life - pecan guy - Hank's brother. And I'm fairly certain at least two of those have youtube channels with their names on them.