How many Quarterbacks get drafted in the first round?

Annual thinking football having the best qb takes and breakdowns year in an year out

As a M fan, I’ve been seeing these issues and wondering why no one points it out. Unfortunately, his pre-draft rise could easily be the reason he doesn’t pan out. Having to start immediately for a bad team could be a death blow to his career

My dad had a great line about Bret Favre and I think it applies to Mcarthy “ he has the unique ability to keep both teams in the game”.

Looks like my JJ McCarthy opinion just dropped

I'm glad that you aren't scared to say it. he may develop into something, dependent on the team, but I don't see a lot right now.

Im so gald someone else is seeing this. Iv been beating this drum as loudly as i could. Im just glad he went to 'the best possible situation' so there are no excuses when he fails miserably. The comparison that keeps coming to my mind is kenny pickett. JJ is the next pickett. Write it down

This will be fun to watch in 3 years, either way.

Stock overhyped because he played for Michigan and they won the national championship

I think the majority of this QB class is greatly overhyped.

Kevin O’Connell can probably coach him up pretty well but moving up to no.5 to select him would be insane

The only thing that matters is he doesn't care about the rush. It's unteachable. Everything else, since he has the physical tools can be taught

Thanks for this. I was watching JJ and can’t understand why so many fantasy analysis are so high on him. Thanks for validating my skepticism.

This sums things up pretty well. I think one aspect that people forget about McCarthy is the fact that he just turned 21 this year. He will have to develop, but that's expected for anybody at his age. I think the tools and age combo is what gets the NFL excited and willing to take the chance. He does have to go to the right spot though. Minnesota has a great offense so that would be a good spot. I think Sean Payton would be a good pairing for him, although he's probably not day one ready in his offense. A team like the Patriots or Raiders would probably be a disaster, but I don't think he'll go at 3, but probably be gone by 13. I'm interested to see his development for sure.

I swear like 90% of people say he's terrible and going to be over drafted, how is that over hyped 😂

It’s honestly so refreshing to see videos that don’t just senselessly hype prospects. I haven’t seen many videos like this. Props.

JJ has ~70% completion rate and doesn't throw a bunch of bubble screens and RPOs and homeslice makes it seem like he can't hit the side of a barn with a shotgun. 😅😅😅😅

you guys are the most reliable and trustworthy source for analyzing tape and players. keep up the amazing work

Great Analysis My Favorite football KZfaqr breakdowner(if that’s a word) great work keep it up and who’s better to you Caleb Williams or Jaden Daniels who would you draft first for your team

Excelent content my friend . It would be awesome to see this same breakdown in the next tear of QB , maybe 3-4 minutes each . From Penix , nix , rattler , etc . I asume that Jayden will have his own video as Williams or maye . But see the other tear and how the VOD dissect there game would be fun .

My prediction is that he doesn’t go top-5 like most people think. QBs get pushed up a little bit but NFL teams are more disciplined than we give them credit for. 2022 Pickett at 20 and then not another until Ridder in the 3rd, people thought Willis was a top-5 pick that draft. 2023 Levis falls out of the 1st when he was favored to go 2nd overall by betting odds a week before the draft. This could age poorly but 🤷‍♂️

Great production but at the end of the day anyone can draw conclusions from a cut up of lowlights. His completion percentage was high, and many of these passes while not perfect were definitely catchable. He's 19 and 20 in these clips and his leap from his first year starting to his second was huge. NFL teams are all drafting with the expectation that they can polish players further at the next level.

As a JJ truther, this was an excellent breakdown because he is a project. Have you done Jayden Daniels break down and if so, does he also get criticized for tucking and running too soon? I am not talking shit just curious on your process.

Low reps is his only problem you are over analyzing

i've seen tom brady miss reads also but that doesnt mean he wasnt a franchise quarterback, missed throws it happens to even the best. the key is 3rd downs and playing well under pressure which mccarthy excels at.

The biggest problem is he can't throw well to his left. It looks like Michigan recognized it and rarely required him to do it. But watch the combine and his games and highlights and his throws are off to the left if its not a short pass.

Weirdly this video convince me he WILL be a franchise guy. everyone misses reads and throws. But he is young with room for improvement and the high leven throws and runs you showed are very impressive

I think the problems you brought up as far as his accuracy are mainly timing issues which are correctable. But great video nonetheless

There’s absolutely no way you can have some of these criticisms for JJ McCarthy yet think Drake Maye is going to be at surefire franchise QB

Mccarthyism is fire😭

Please let Jj Mccarthy be drafted by the Vikings 🙏🏽💀

Another thing is sometimes he squares his feet and hops at the snap. At the next level that’s a extra split second to get put on your tail

looking at past drafts its more about the team they land with and the infrastructure to nurture development. lots of highly drafted guys went to a bad spot and flamed out.

Joe Montana and Tom Brady were both game managers and won a combined 11 Superbowls. A QB better be a game manager or they ain't worth the spot on the depth chart.

This video is obviously click bait. This is alot of video from his Junior season. Show his senior season where he is much more improved. McCarthy can definitely be a franchise qb if the coaches have patience and let him completely develop. The Vikings have to have patience with JJ. If they do that he can be a heck of a franchise qb. Qbs careers are ruined by putting them in the wrong situations. If Mahomes went to the Bears there is no way he is a franchise qb at this point in his career. Plus, there is no way the Bears would be paying him a $400 million dollar contract. If Justin Fields was drafted into a better situation he would be way better. In Chicago he was running for his life. Then the next season they try and turn him into a pocket passer. Thats teaching the totally wrong things. If he went to a team with a good offensive line he could have been taught to go through his progressions. But he was running for his life. It will be interesting to see if the Steelers are able to turn his career around. Which i believe they definitely can. He's an extremely hard worker and he wants to be successful.

Looking forward to the apology video in 3 years.

To be fair to the inconsistent accuracy and anticipation and not well polished processing, he is the youngest and most inexperienced of all the QBs. Many of these clips are from the TCU game where he was 19 years old. Part of the hope with him is those aspects of his game did get better this year as opposed to last year. A lot of it is also tied to his footwork. As you can see when he’s late his stance is super wide and he overstrides. I think with his natural football instinct and playmaking ability on top of the athleticism he can develop those shortcomings. Even Maye and Caleb were both 21 last year during their final college seasons. JJ didn’t turn 21 until a couple weeks after the national championship. But because of some of those timing and processing things situation will matter a lot for him. I don’t think he has an elite ceiling but if fostered well he could be close to like a Dak Prescott.

As a Jets fan, after seeing your analysis of Zach Wilson and seeing how he panned out, I trust your opinion a lot man

I expect this video to age like milk.

Don’t think this was a fair video to him. U showed a lot of highlights from his first season as a starter and made it out like that version of him was the Michigan finished product. He definitely has a lot to work on but he took care of the ball, he has shown he can throw in the face of pressure, and he is athletic. I think the biggest thing he needs is more reps which is weird to say about a guy who started 29 games but it’s true. He needs more game reps throwing the ball in game. What is interesting about him, is that usually guys who threw the ball as little as he did don’t have much tape to show of them making NFL plays. He doesn’t have a lot of throws but he makes a lot of NFL plays. The volume of them just isn’t as high as Michael Penix and Caleb since they threw a lot more. He is a unique prospect but that makes sense because Michigan was a unique National Championship team. First team I can remember since Auburn that will have so few 1st round picks. JJ may be their only one. But UM had a lot of quality guys which is why they will break the NFL draft pick record. Not to mention their coach in Harbaugh was unique at the very least 😂

THANK YOU Been wondering what certain reporters were smoking projecting this guy as high as 2nd overall

You said Denzel Mims would be a star, so you’re hardly the oracle

JJ going to the Vikings is just about the best possible scenario for him - a great coach and excellent supporting cast and a bridge qb in Darnold letting him hopefully sit and learn for a while. I do worry about him being able to pick up on KOC's scheme which is so heavily based on timing and anticipation, and the way KOC desperately switched between qb's last season doesn't give me confidence that he will be patient enough to give JJ time to sit and learn before being thrown to the fire.

How does one get game tape ?

I just found out bro from la grange park a illinois native so i fw him

As a CheeseHead hearing the rumors...I hope and pray Minnesota doesn't see this vid till after the draft or sumn🧀🧀🧀

As a Viking fan thank you for putting my hopes down

This didn’t age well

PLEASE DONT TAKE THESE VIDEOS DOWN I LOVE EM

Past performance is not indicative of future returns.

JJ completed 72% of his passes last year (240 completions). He only gave up an INT in 2 out of 15 games. His yards per attempt was hugher than Drake Maye, as an example. He is very consistent. A highlight reel has value to show upside potential. However the "needs work" reel can be produced for any QB because passes go incomplete 30-40% of the time. It needs to be coupled with the players stats, which in the case of JJ, are very strong.

As a Commanders fan, I’m waiting for your video on Jayden Daniels.

How do you get these teams tapes?

It's so funny listening to new engladn pats fans talk about him. For some reason someone told them that Mccarthy is the most pro-ready and has the highest floor. They think he's a safe pick. I've said the exact opposite. He's one of youngest guys in draft, he's still growing into his body and will improve his arm strength. His footwork sucks. All those misses you show are because he felt pressure and would throw off balance or rush his drop back and just mess up a regular 3 step drop. That is alarming, but that is also something you can fix. That's why I think JJ has a really high ceiling. If he can get his mechanics and footwork consistent, he will be a good NFL QB. And mark my words, his arm isn't done growing. When a coach fixes his mechanics it will look like a diffferent qb. Why I really like him in a few years is the athletiscm, the natural arm talent, and obsession with football. I think he's one of the guys who will work as hard as he needs to to get the job done. It may take a few years but he's going to be a good NFL level starting QB by year 3 or 4.

When is the Malik Nabers video gonna drop!? 🎉🎉

Can you rank the top 6 QBs taken in the first round based on how good they look on film?

While we are on Michigan, can you do a video on Blake Corum?

You gonna do a video on Jayden Daniel’s out of lsu?

Is there chance you can be wrong with him? and he turn out to be a franchise qb?

Do you think he can develop into a stronger player under KOC now that he's with the Vikings?

What was tom brady?

It's a shame you couldn't show that play against Bama, because it was very possibly the greatest individual play that anyone made during the past college football season

Michigan's run game and excellent o-line made JJ's job easier than it otherwise would have been. But he was a good player and improved year over year. I think he's coachable and went to a good spot in Minnesota. I'd give him a 65% chance of growing into a franchise guy. Worth a first round pick. Stated as a die-hard OSU fan and alum.

Fair, objective breakdown.

Thank you thank you thank you! I watched a lot of McCarthy this season, and this is exactly what I saw. He's not a first round talent in this class, much less top three. And all the other experts including Brett Kollman and JT O'Sullivan are buying into the hype train. Even statistically, he doesnt even surpass Stetson Bennett from last season(including rushing yards), who is an NFL 2nd/3rd string. Obviously I hope he succeeds once he gets drafted too high, but I seriously don't understand how this media campaign is being so successful.

Best to say he is a raw talent, and that doesn't mean he can't ever be a franchise QB. He's just isn't a complete package right now. He has a potential, the Vikes could use his first season to build him up to be the face of the franchise in the next couple of seasons. He's not it yet, but he very well can be.

Makes me wonder if this is why Harbaugh didn't really unleash McCarthy. I mean, Michigan didn't really need a QB to carry the team given the strength of its offensive line and running game and as noted during the first several minutes of this video, McCarthy did do some good things. Love watching your videos. Keep up the great work!

A year of development as a backup would really be good for him.

I believe he could be great, but it comes down to where he ends up and if he's willing to do hes homework.

I've been trying to get people to see that he has serious issues, even if his upside is good, but everyone ain't believing me. Glad to know I wasn't just crazy.

As a Vikings fan of course I'm hoping for the best outcome. But you never know obviously.... But the potential in JJ is there... And he's very hard working.... His attitude reminds me a lot of Tom Bradys which he is actually really close with... Not saying he's gonna be the next Tom Brady... But it seems like he's headed in the right direction

He’s like 2 years old and has had one spring to get better. The tools are there and flashes are there, I don’t think anyone can credibly say they know either way.

It's always interesting how different people see quarterbacks. Love your channel but I disagree on the conclusion. I do think the things he excels at are the building blocks required to grow and develop into a top-tier QB. Every player comes with weaknesses, but do the strengths provide enough in the zero-sum game of football to give him a winning advantage? I think yes, but I certainly respect the other side.

That's why I never bought into Minnesota offering three number ones to get their hands on McCarthy, he'll be a backup through his career with occasional starts. He's a huge overreach if taken in the top 10 he is a mid 3rd early 4th at best

Bro I'm a traumatized Vikings fan and I don't need to see titles like this lmao

Me doing the Leo pointing meme for 15 minutes

Why is nobody talking about the Mccarthyism joke lol

I mean, the guy looks like an attempted clone of Zach Wilson, but with far goofier hair. That alone is probably enough to kick him off some draft boards 😂

Do a video on Penix 🙌

I hope all these guys are good. It will make the games so much more enjoyable when there's more than 4 or 5 elite QBs out of 32 teams

I'm just so scared the Pats have fallen in love with him and am seriously hoping it's just smoke.

IDK we'll see, the actual NFL scouts and GMs seem to think highly of him.

Love this channel

11:10 Yep! You not getting away with that too much in the NFL.

Its odd all the drake maye detractors missed the same issues with mccarthy

His original draft projection of mid to lower half of the first round is probably fair, saying he’s not a first rounder is excessive. The accuracy issues you highlighted I think are somewhat nit-picking when the other top prospects share some of these traits too. I personally don’t think any of the QBs besides Williams are truly top 5 players in the draft. As a Michigan fan I don’t want him to go top 10 and get destroyed beyond a bad line. Somewhere between pick 12 and 20 depending on need feels right.

Wow, this channel knows more than NFL scouts and GM's. I can't believe you're stuck here on KZfaq and not in the front office of an NFL team right now.

Did anyone actually watch the video? The title is a troll, this is highlighting how good he actually is.

msu fan and i saw this guy ream my absolutely washed team for almost 50 points last year. I think Mccarthy is getting pushed to the top 5 by a lot of media talk who want as many qbs to talk abt early as possible for their draft coverage. I don't think he'll be there, but he's the perfect late first early second round guy. Hope he does well and doesn't go to some garbage organization

Need a kittle cintext here. The pick 6 against TCU, was it this season ? Or was it earlier in his career? Context. Matters. Without context you can manipulate or spin any narrative.

Jesus show some of his miracle plays!

that run of his reminds me of zach wilson. He may end up being the next zach wilson.

Matt Ryan made a career out of throwing behind his receivers. They were always getting hurt because of it, but hey, no one complained.

Feels like Jalen Hurts coming out of college

sounds a lot like the zach wilson situation especially leading into the draft

I'm not looking for him to lead us to the promise land right away. However, I trust O'Connell to make him his #1 priority to develop, so that McCarthy will one day be our franchise QB for years to come.

Sounds a lot like your evaluation of Zack Wilson awhile back tbh

I really hope the Commanders, Pats, or Cardinals all draft some mid QBs so the Chargers can snatch up Harrison Jr. Perfect come up after whiffing on Flowers last year.

As a fan of a NFC North rival, I sure hope not.

Damn this is who the Jets baited Minnesota into giving lots of draft capital to the Jets in order to move up and draft 😂