I don't really have the maps and the time to do them right now but we're working on ways to get there. Thanks heaps for the feedback and support too. :) Phil

Thanks Murray!

😂 maybe you should watch it again. Down the bottom somewhere

Woohoo!!

Gorgeous day in Aitutaki 🌴🥥🌞🏖

Thank you very much, really do appreciate that!! :) Phil.

@@WeatherWatchTV Mate - I love that I can plan my motorcycle trips around the country with some hope of accuracy - it has been transformational having this app.

Really interesting area of rain - so narrow and broken up but some heavy stalled areas too.

@@WeatherWatchTV yes i think we have had plenty of rain for now thanks ! pretty constant in eastern boi today. absolutely love duncans forcasts and balanced reports, he makes weather interesting!

Yeah I see a Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued - that means rainfall can well exceed what is forecast. More coming on Thursday too.

Thank you, that's kind of you! Phil

Hi there John. Uncertainty is related to all low pressure zones on the planet - the reason why you're hearing it so much lately is simply because this low pressure zone has stalled here/near here. While it's not the usual flow of NZ's weather this does happen from time to time. Whenever we have an anticyclone over us bringing dry weather (like we did a lot in May) it means that somewhere behind that high pressure zone lies a low pressure zone that may be 'stuck' behind it. Eastern Australia was cloudy for a good four months of this year due to NZ having so much sunny or dry weather. We had highs slow moving, they had lows slow moving...now it's switched around. The modelling has been fairly good at forecasting a low pressure zone in NZ for weeks now - but due to this precise set-up the low itself (now that it is here) this is making it very tricky im some areas to be precise about local rainfall totals. Rainfall is incredibly hard to be precise about from a low like this one - it's like cooking popcorn for only some of the suggested time and predicting each and every kernel that pops before it does so - same with downpours that are "being born". Not every detail can be known in advance, and this occurs in forecasts all the time "Chance of showers" "thunder possible, "frosts in sheltered places", "fog patches" etc. Thanks for the kind words too.

Enjoy an 🌶️🏖️ 🌊Swim Maybe 🤔 wit Make Yall #So_🆒, 🐈 🇨🇰😉😋

It's part of the chaos of a neutral season in our part of the world - it's not always nicely westerly driven, sometimes the highs get out of whack and don't line up properly. Be interesting to see what July is like once "true winter" kicks in more.

@@WeatherWatchTV cheers for that .. and yeah interesting alright,

Do you have your receipt?

We have gardeners and tree growers asking for more rain - but you're right, it's probably about the point where no more is needed. Last week all the videos I made talked about rainfall forecasts changing over this week due to this large low - it was even in our headlines about how messy these set-ups are due to instability. I even said these are the sorts of lows that break rain forecasts because a sudden downpour can form and be stuck in one place. We are the most accurate rain forecaster in NZ but that doesn't mean we're perfect. A global company in America tracks the accuracy - it's worth noting neither MetService or NIWA (the two government weather forecasters you pay for in taxes) provide transparency on their accuracy so are not included. www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/ibm-forecast-data-ai-used-by-weatherwatch-ruralweather-deemed-worlds-most-accurate-once-again Also, this story explains how to get fewer nasty surprises with rain forecasts - and why perfection isn't there: www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/education-the-most-accurate-ways-to-read-a-rain-forecast-get-fewer-false-alarms

@@WeatherWatchTV Thanks for your reply. I used to do work for Google and had a task to validate the forecast data supplied by accuweather against that of metservice and then actual weather. I strongly urge you to use an additional means of validation, perhaps being as simple as a weekly poll.

@@t105x104 Unfortunately with that people will use the poll to just be angry about the weather - as we discovered before. Until the NZ Government allows for open data ALL forecasters will have their rain accuracy dumbed down, but we're proud to be independently verified by both ForecastWatch but also by DoC here in NZ. Interesting re: your former job!

We have had 45ml of rain in the last 10 days in Coopers Creek Oxford Canterbury after some 3 of 4 drier months.

You lose credibility by presenting no NZ based facts to encourage people to believe you and ultimately always being rude and aggressive in your approach to me. This comment, like your Facebook one, is just as negative and you only want me to simply agree with you - which is a form of you bullying me if you aren't open to a reasonable conversation about facts. Can I come to your work place and spout off my personal thoughts in a rude way and get really angry with you if you don't agree with me?

@@WeatherWatchTV I do not respond well to abuse, gaslighting people and calling them unhinged when we can plainly SEE what is happening is abuse. Every government in the IPCC admits that they are using weather modification, except the NZ govco and its meteorologists. Australia, just over the ditch have been proudly using weather modification since 1947, are we expected to believe that this has no impact on NZ weather patterns? Do you really expect us to believe at thus conjecture that NZ govco and its agencies are not manipulating weather? You must take us for fools. By my observations and extensive research it would appear and reason that China is watering its pine tree farm 8 months a year... They admit this much: "..Cloud seeding experiments began in Australia during 1947 after American scientists made the discovery in 1946. The first trials were carried out near Sydney by Kraus and Squires in 1947. Cloud seeding trials continued through the late 1950s and early 1960s by the CSIRO in the Snowy Mountains, in the New England district of NSW, the Warragamba catchment near Sydney and in the York Peninsula in SA. Of these four experiments, the Snowy Mountains saw statistically significant increases in rainfall during the experiment. Trials in Tasmania were also successful and since the 1960’s, Hydro Tasmania has continued cloud seeding over the state. Cloud seeding is still practiced in the Snowy Mountains in NSW today, carried out by Snowy Hydro Limited. This cloud seeding area spans over the high elevation areas of the Snowy Mountains within the Snowy Hydro water catchment area, covering approximately 2110 square kilometres...." www.weatherzone.com.au/news/cloud-seeding-in-australia/713971