NavyCon 9 of 13: CDR BJ Armstrong on The Expanse & Star Wars

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USNA Museum

USNA Museum

6 жыл бұрын

#NavyCon was held at the U.S. Naval Academy Museum on November 18, 2017 to discuss how fleets and navies are portrayed in science fiction and scifi’s lessons for today’s navy. Our apologies for the video quality; we expect to correct it for next year’s event.
Reporter David Larter takes questions at the end.

Пікірлер: 40
@Dawnlighter
@Dawnlighter 6 жыл бұрын
My jaw dropped seeing a US Navy Commander talking seriously about sci fi and space fantasy fleet architecture!
@myflippinggoodness8821
@myflippinggoodness8821 3 жыл бұрын
Star wars, Star Trek, the Expanse.. they're all our cultural wild guesses into the future. Sometimes they can even morph into real technology (automatic doors, cell phones). Interestingly though, they seem to be getting more scientifically accurate with time. We went from laser swords to actually conceptualizing warp drive (yt "Alcubierre") to making basic *completely doable* momentum look absolutely terrifying.. I mean we've come pretty far👍
@AF-nc2fc
@AF-nc2fc Жыл бұрын
It's really not that uncommon. I know a few Marines that own bat'leth's.
@hckyplyr9285
@hckyplyr9285 6 жыл бұрын
Should have waited for season 3 of The Expanse! There we learn the UNN outnumbers the MCRN 5:1. But the UN fleet is much older and less well equipped. However Earth maintains impressive capabilities in terms of intelligence gathering and orbital defensive firepower. Earth and Mars are quite evenly matched. I think too much is being read into each fleet's outlook and capabilities from the little snippets seen in seasons 1 and 2. Anyway sort of an interesting discussion so far as it goes. But maybe too much of an ad for LCS?
@lovelybraintoaster164
@lovelybraintoaster164 6 жыл бұрын
Actually, it's also mentioned that the 5:1 ratio, which was thought to be enough to still start a war over, has gradually lowered to 3:1, indicating that the MCRN either has the production power to keep up with UNN kills or, more likely, that the MCRN fields far more advanced technology than the UNN,
@PackedWolf
@PackedWolf 6 жыл бұрын
Despite that, the Martians are ultimately doomed in a long-term war. They are straining all their industrial capacity to keep up, but Earth simply has too much reserve production that hasn't been mobilized yet, and when they bring that fully online Mars will be swamped. Mars has been on near-wartime production ever since they declared independence, with their only two goals being terraforming and expanding the MCRN. They've got nothing else to commit to shipbuilding except the terraforming project, and if they stop that the population will lose their will to fight. Earth has been at peacetime production for basically all of it's history. Errinwright thought they could win on just that, but with the 5:1 becoming 3:1, that's just not going to happen. The UN will be forced to reduce production to civilian goods and go onto wartime production of ships, which will significantly increase their rate of buildup when Mars is at it's complete maximum.
@Animalwon
@Animalwon 6 жыл бұрын
It will live on thanks to Netflix!
@PackedWolf
@PackedWolf 6 жыл бұрын
Uh... Amazon, not Netflix, picked up the show
@taymoorarsalan7789
@taymoorarsalan7789 5 жыл бұрын
lovely brain toaster the ratio was revived only because the UN was stalling instead of outright attacking Mars. And even if UNN ships get destroyed at the same rate, the MCRN's last ship will still be destroyed much earlier than the UN's
@ivorybooker8957
@ivorybooker8957 6 жыл бұрын
He should've talked to Grand Admiral Thrawn...
@Kharmazov
@Kharmazov 5 жыл бұрын
To be perfectly in the old new expanded universe of Star Wars the Imperial Fleet does posses a plethora of smaller vessels including those specifically designed to counter small fighters like the Lancer Frigate as well to perform policing duties. We simply don't see them in the original trilogy.
@camilogarcia6233
@camilogarcia6233 6 жыл бұрын
that was very interesting
@maxpower19711
@maxpower19711 6 жыл бұрын
I think that Mars should have made more ships. Mars went too far on quality, if they had sacrificed some quality for quantity, they would be better equipped to fight a numerically superior force. The Morrigan class patrol destroyer is a great example of what I am talking about, it is a Martian ship that sacrificed some quality in order to be produced in larger numbers.
@dararyan9221
@dararyan9221 6 жыл бұрын
I think Mars is also supposed to have man power issues. It's canonical that they conscript almost everyone.
@taymoorarsalan7789
@taymoorarsalan7789 5 жыл бұрын
The fact remains that Mars has focused on literally nothing but building up the MCRN and terraforming, while Earth has built ships at a casual rate, so if they truly wanted to, they could build ships much much faster than Mars
@dunamoose3446
@dunamoose3446 5 жыл бұрын
Who are we? MMC!
@bongomarvellgmobile8792
@bongomarvellgmobile8792 5 жыл бұрын
The slides are not visible which detracts the experience a lot
@R4Y2k
@R4Y2k 4 жыл бұрын
I don't think I wanna be lectured about space warfare and defence capabilities by the military after watching S04E10 of The Expanse :D
@thomaslaurita8538
@thomaslaurita8538 5 жыл бұрын
Comparing Star Wars to The Expanse is folly. The Star Wars movies is and has been a fantasy story, and sadly dumbed down for the masses. While the Star Wars Clone Wars, and Rebels are even thought targeted for children, are a bit more grounded in strategies and ship design. The Expanse is is more an intellectual science fiction. It's based on a more adult, realistic future of the human condition.
@markkens9
@markkens9 5 жыл бұрын
Central strategy: Battlespace must contain multiple high-value targets exploding or flying by.
@maxpower19711
@maxpower19711 6 жыл бұрын
Small UNN ship that would be suitable for patrol and police duty do not have the range that similar Martian ships do, making them less suited for constabulary duty.
@eds1942
@eds1942 6 жыл бұрын
What are they talking about from 20:00 - 21:05?
@fubarjew
@fubarjew 6 жыл бұрын
I'm pretty sure they were talking about this where a navy pilot drew a penis in the sky with his contrails. nypost.com/2017/11/17/navy-fails-to-see-humor-in-pilots-penis-in-the-sky-prank/
@eds1942
@eds1942 6 жыл бұрын
Powdered Toast Man Thanks, I couldn’t hear what They were saying.
@nathanbrown8680
@nathanbrown8680 6 жыл бұрын
While it's hard to fault the presenter for a lack of rigor in analyzing a fictional setting meant only to serve as an illustration of a real world principle, I think he misreads the Star Destroyer. We can draw some conclusions about the roles of Star Destroyers from cinematic evidence. 1) They're small relative to the space construction capacity of the Empire. This is based on their volume relative to the second Death Star, which was constructed over a remote moon with no pre-existing infrastructure and no assistance from the local population. This was done covertly as evidenced by the ship being nearly complete when the rebels learned of it which in turn means the resource expenditure was small relative to the total raw material production of the Empire. The empire's capacity to construct star destroyer sized spacecraft appears to be effectively unlimited. 2) They are less suited to large scale combat in later versions than in earlier. The Clone Wars era Venator has armored shutters for its hangars. The Imperators of the original trilogy do not. The Imperator subclass seen in later films has obviously unarmored surface features where the version seen in episode 4 has flat armor. The Imperators seen in episode IV have armored turrets with two guns as their primary armament. The Imperators seen in later episodes have unarmored turrets with eight guns. Since they are energy weapons and the reactors of both designs are the same size (as indicated by the ventral bulge) this means the firepower of each turret is unchanged and the change must be motivated by a need for quicker firing armaments over big guns. 3) They carry significant ground forces. We see this in the police actions at Tatoine in episode 4 and Bespin later in episode 5. I know of no on-screen evidence for whether the walkers are deployed from the Imperators or the Executor. If they're deployed from the latter it is also paying significant attention to roles other than fleet combat. The problem is not in the Empire's force composition. It's in its failure to provide Vader with adequate forces for his task in episode 5, unlike in episode 4 where he had so many star destroyers blockading Tatoine that three were in a position to attempt to intercept the Millennium Falcon. The difficulty the Empire had when they did get into a fleet battle in episode 6 suggests they may have made the exact opposite mistake of that which they're being accused of.
@nuancedhistory
@nuancedhistory 6 жыл бұрын
A lot of this is addressed in the original Thrawn Trilogy, when it comes to Star Wars. The problem with the Empire, which Thrawn saw, was the focus on large ships and the devotion of resources towards the Death Star program, rather than the construction and maintinence of a versatile fleet. In that book we see the Empire's small ships performing constabulary duties, we see Star Destroyers performing ground and marine assaults, deploying troops and armored vehicles. But we also see a commander who recognizes the need for mixed unit tactics and role-specific vessels, and one who recognizes the weaknesses of the Imperial-I and Imperial-II class star destroyers and utilizes a variety of small support vessels to compensate for them in battlegroups. This is a pretty interesting lecture, actually. Taking a look at how Science Fiction is a reflection of historical naval strategy.
@nathanbrown8680
@nathanbrown8680 6 жыл бұрын
Evan Schultheis The Thrawn trilogy was written for an audience that was historically, economically, militarily, and scientifically unsophisticated by an author that was probably the same in accordance with the standards for franchise books in the era. Having no sense of scale practically goes without saying. Even relatively hard SF author's frequently lack a sense of scale, much less neo-pulp adventure writers. It was never more canonical than the films and is no longer canon at all. Lucas himself wasn't any better, but the Empire's procurement as seen in the films makes sense in spite of this. The resource strapped empire Thrawn assumes couldn't control a significant fraction of any galaxy metal rich enough to support life.
@nuancedhistory
@nuancedhistory 6 жыл бұрын
Well I mean we're not talking hard sci-fi here, it's Star Wars. I'm just saying that some Star Wars tried to create an empire that was more competent in its Fleet doctrine.
@eds1942
@eds1942 6 жыл бұрын
This presentation is only addressing what they’ve seen in the movies, the original trilogy it seems. In the movies, the ISD (and any other class of Star Destroyer) was used as a general purpose (and not clearly defined) role of command carrier battleship interdictor. The Death Star was meant to be more of a symbol of terror than a WMD as weapon itself and the components related to that represented only a fraction of the station’s overall size, mass and functions. The development, construction and location of it would’ve realistically been hidden by sub projects, code names and dark funding (skimming funds from other programs, fake programs, bonds/grants for semi-related things and from anonymous financiers), bureaucracy and by the fact that the galaxy is a large place. While material resources would be virtually unlimited for their war machine, the Imperial’s military development, construction, deployment and operations are limited by the same factors of real world contemporaries. Tax dollars, politics, diplomacy and the total area of military operations where they wish to control or exert influence in are the biggest considerations. Design and components change over time, which may or may not lead to or be necessitated by needed changes in role. Vader had power, influence and authority to acquire and use whatever units that he needed for his task force. He choose to overwhelm his opponents by strength in numbers and hardware, by the number and caliber of rounds fired down range. Using a hammer and anvil as opposed to a net and poker, and full head on quick decisive strikes. Although that seems to be a problem with most fictional bad guys. Unknowns like the Emperor’s ego, the father-son relationship and the Ewoks had more to do to the Empire’s defeat at the Battle of Endor in Episode 6 and short falls in their military strategy. The mass media (EU) material fleshes out and adds to or fixes the movies short comings. While a good deal of the books used to belong to sub-cannon (B cannon) and the Thrawn trilogy (1991-93) had Lucas’s approval AS cannon (equal to the movies A cannon) for episodes 7-9, until he sold the franchise over to Disney in 2012/13, at which point all of the EU was downgraded to Legacy cannon (C cannon) and is used as a resource bin for the new A and B cannons (A=on screen, B=book material, the games and comics have always been debatable in terms of which cannon they belong to). Lucas himself, only considered the Christmas Special (1978) to be non-cannon. The movies were meant for a less sophisticated audience than the books. Timothy Zahn, the author of the Thrawn trilogy (and is still doing stuff for the franchise), has a doctorate in physics. Hard scifi rests on the same scale of science/fantasy that Star Wars and Star Trek does, as liberties are always taken with the science in order to fit a fictional plot. Star Wars does lean more towards the fantasy side of the genre, though.
@itsjustcomic1124
@itsjustcomic1124 3 жыл бұрын
This is a thing?
@JackieAnnebarris
@JackieAnnebarris 23 күн бұрын
Thank you ☺️. I'm listening ⬆️🌬️⬆️🙏⬆️🙌🪃 Steven Richard's quantum healing Australia 🦘🌏
@darwinjina
@darwinjina 6 жыл бұрын
Do we use popular futuristic fiction to dictate our military strategy?
@damovandG
@damovandG 6 жыл бұрын
No. This is just some fun analogy and analysis. There is nothing wrong with it.
@seand.g423
@seand.g423 Ай бұрын
SDI fanboys be like...
@lyricbent6583
@lyricbent6583 4 жыл бұрын
very cool stuff, although I gotta say, my dude is not a very engaging speaker XD
@falconiusazurius5572
@falconiusazurius5572 6 жыл бұрын
Strange to see a serious discussion of what is really a story aimed at entertaining children. Star Wars is pretty much Harry Potter in space.
@illusiveman1613
@illusiveman1613 6 жыл бұрын
Falconius Azurius it has become so much more
@Elthenar
@Elthenar 6 жыл бұрын
Maybe, but The Expanse isn't. The Expanse is closer to being Game of Thrones in space rather than Star Wars, only much more realistic and gritty. I could actually believe The Expanse could be real in a hundred years or so.
@TeddyBearBonfire
@TeddyBearBonfire 6 жыл бұрын
Ehh, more like a few hundred years imo, but yeah. Large aspects of it have reasonable feasibility compared to the sheer fantasy that is most sci-fi media (which isn't even to begin to think of something like Star Wars, which isn't sci-fi at all, but rather science-fantasy).
@MrBoo88
@MrBoo88 6 жыл бұрын
It's easier to explain tactics and comparisons with something people already know and enjoy. How the small rebel ships and fighters can outrun huge ships like the Star Destroyer can be related to our world with small boats being able to be more elusive against some bigger ships.
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