OZ: Cold SE, showery east coast + some outback rain coming

Рет қаралды 20,243

Ай бұрын

July kicks off colder for many in the south and south-east of Australia thanks to an enormous area of high pressure south of Adelaide and near Tasmania. We had high pressure like this back in May and, just like back then, this new high brings plenty of easterly winds to the continent - meaning the eastern seaboard is showery and often cloudy. Some heavier rain is possible between Sydney and about Gladstone.
But as the week wears on heavy rain and downpours will bubble up through the interior, especially for inland parts of SA.
The downside is many dry parts of VIC, NSW and TAS miss out on rain this time around - or at least, don’t get a lot.
The silver lining is that our final weather map on Sunday shows a new westerly change returning to WA (normality).

Пікірлер: 69

@osier769 Ай бұрын

Cheers as always mate. Just the type of forecast needed to send the missus and I in to a panic to make sure all the washing's done. 😄

@davidphillips8138 Ай бұрын

😊 thank you for the forecast it looks like some decent rain at last we need it😊

@JaneNewAuthor Ай бұрын

Explains why it's so cold in Tas! But at least I can get the washing (sort of) dry today and maybe tomorrow. Many thanks!

@kymbrown1614 Ай бұрын

Best weather forecast around. Thanks Phil.

@crazyham Ай бұрын

Yeah, Much better than BOM

@dienivanstralen8130 Ай бұрын

Brilliant thank you Phil and team. It’s winter and that’s all I can say. Cold. But we had 10 mm more rain than the average for June. Long may that continue. We need our reservoirs full before we hit September😆😆👌👌🥰🥰

@freedom_born Ай бұрын

Man. So engaging. Just bloody top notch delivery. Outstanding how relatable the presentation is. From all of us here, thank you Phil and team. Sincerest appreciation.

@crazyham Ай бұрын

Definately 🙏

@em945 Ай бұрын

Thank you, Phil. Accumulated around 8mm over 2 mostly miserable and veery cold days just north of Melbourne. Lot of work for not much delivery...but...at least the paddocks look all sparkly and shiny today.

@Jack-It-UP Ай бұрын

Great report, thanks Phil.

@rebeccaryan2521 Ай бұрын

Thankyou as always ❤have a great day 😊

@russellclement2058 Ай бұрын

Thank you for a decent weather forecast ,,

@noranicolea5977 Ай бұрын

Awesome report thank you

@Lex-cg3ee Ай бұрын

Love your forecast. Thank you so much.

@ezlow1065 Ай бұрын

Fabuloso WW team, Hope you had a great long weekend. Overcast and light rain here today. Cheers from Mallanganee nsw

@user-ye2ge4zo5lhennypenny Ай бұрын

Thanks Philip...its really cold 🥶 here in Adelaide SA this morning

@donotcomply665 Ай бұрын

Pretty sure 'gigantic' is a legitimate meteorological term. G'day from Brisbane

@michellekerr4727 Ай бұрын

Thank-you for the weather forecast for East Coast of Queensland. 😊

@somyurek Ай бұрын

Love your work mate, thankyou for your efforts.👍❤🙏

@Nepenthe-dx9ws Ай бұрын

Thank you for your weather forecast Phil. I'm very happy to hear that my garden in Queensland is being watered by God, whilst I am in Victoria. I think the word you were looking for was "gigantasaurus!". Lol! Well done to you and the team and looking forward to next Thursday's comprehensive weather report for Aus. Best wishes.

@ClaytonBarratt Ай бұрын

Yep Phil we are very cool here in SA

@waynearthur693 Ай бұрын

"Linger for a week or 7 days" love ya mathematic skills Phil

@WeatherWatchTV Ай бұрын

Lol! I think I meant to say "several". Mind you, I did fail School Certificate maths when I was 16....

@tobystewart4403 Ай бұрын

Best weather report for Australia. Thanks!

@Leonardo555ZZZZ Ай бұрын

Thanks for the bad news Phil,,here on NSW north coast we have been enjoying our typical dry and sunny winter , but it seems to be all over for the next week or more. Back to onshore wind , cloud and cold.

@michaelconnolly9117 Ай бұрын

This dude knows more about the weather than anyone else.

@prizecowproductions Ай бұрын

Thank you Phil Snowy Mountains. Aussie Jeff Moore

@sharonyoung2680 Ай бұрын

Thank you Phil as in the northern Rivers, rain and radar says clear, finally getting a proper weather report now, sad you give better weather reporting than Australia bless and in another country bless ❤

@davidhunter9282 Ай бұрын

Thanks again Phil for the most indepth analysis of Australian weather. Kia Ora to you brother and your team.

@danielflinn3571 Ай бұрын

Thanks from East Gippsland Victoria Aus

@TiddlesTheBearBaiter Ай бұрын

Thanks for the update.

@davidholland1124 Ай бұрын

Great work as usual phil and the gang. Keep up the amazing weather forecasting guys ❤👍

@GraemeCoulter Ай бұрын

Good judgement of the info', that you guys and gals study, well presented.

@bossdog1480 Ай бұрын

Great report as usual Phil.

@joannemcvicar70 Ай бұрын

Thank you.

@stuartgilbert3969 Ай бұрын

Great stuff as usual. Thanks heaps Phil.

@JP-se3ti Ай бұрын

Thanks Phil, great work mate

@pluffer241 Ай бұрын

Great stuff, Phil. NZ may be small but you're a giant of a weather guy 🥂

@WeatherWatchTV Ай бұрын

Thank you very much! :)

@leahjet4408 Ай бұрын

You are a pure delight, even if you are bringing not so good news on the weather 💙

@suecollins357 Ай бұрын

Thanks ❤

@damienwalton383 Ай бұрын

Nice work mate

@louisebrislane6607 Ай бұрын

Sounds like a cold week to me!

@reverseuniverse2559 Ай бұрын

Good work thanks Phil

@hahaha9076 Ай бұрын

The surfers are looking for a low. 😢 3 or 4 highs now. Wow

@shaneironside58 Ай бұрын

Thanks Phil ur the best

@Weathermad-h7l Ай бұрын

Great analysis. Can you tell more about the red and blue (presumably upper atmosphere) lines and what their unit of measurement is.

@adamupton8796 Ай бұрын

Excellent commentary

@WeatherWatchTV Ай бұрын

Thank you :)

@taipan801 Ай бұрын

Type error below. Please read CW to read CN for Central North

@peterking523 Ай бұрын

Ka Mau te Wehi,Kapai taku mahi Ehoa

@johnfitzpatrick2469 Ай бұрын

Central Australian storm cell. The inland river systems are waiting for that. 🌏🇦🇺

@geoffmccoll4640 Ай бұрын

Crikey!! I was planning a skying trip to NZ, maybe I should stay at home alone, while doing a "Kargar" without an indigenous Qualification

@peterking523 Ай бұрын

Ka Mau te Wehi Kapai taku mahi ehoa

@Problemchild23343 Ай бұрын

oh so that’s why it’s been raining

@paulaa1175 Ай бұрын

Monster highs very far south ... in mid winter. I think that's unusual but don't know for sure. Could it be a climate change pattern? Anyway, thanks for the big picture.

@marknott2084 Ай бұрын

An informative and easy to follow forecast for a meteorology challenged individual like myself. Just wondering what the grey numbers (eg 5640, 5600 etc) are over the water?

@WeatherWatchTV Ай бұрын

Hi there, they are a bit of a distraction to be honest, but represents how thick the atmosphere is higher up where planes fly etc. It's useful at knowing when a proper warm or cold change is moving in/out.

@WILDBULLBAAR Ай бұрын

CHeerS BRUVA 🍻

@davidunwin7868 Ай бұрын

Looking forward to -2°C under a clear sky tonight. Might try some astrophotography since the moon is in the right phase.

@taipan801 Ай бұрын

Hi Phil, great job. Can you comment what the SOI is each week as it can change fortnightly. No need for a big explanation, just whether it's "Negative, Positive or Neutral" as I'd like to keep an eye on it in relation to your most excellent weather explanations . I know you may not wish to make a big deal about it as the co-relation with our Hi'/Low's isn't direct, and may muddy the waters, but I've noticed a Neutral SOI can maybe have the effect of denying rain in NW/Central North of Tassie. We are going through the worst drought in living memory (80yrs), and this year has been one of the three driest on record and the BOM July to Sept outlook is still dry. Hopefully this is a once in a lifetime drought, but as they (hopefully), don't come along very often, I'm keen to learn all I can from this bad situation. Sometimes co-relations that normally remain hidden can be seen with more clarity when the weather patterns are more extreme. Can you please include the SOI each week, very brief, just "the SOI is ?" and move on. I've been here in Lower Barrington 5 &1/2 years and am getting a better handle on seasonal and yearly patterns, and have noticed that during: El Nino when mainland Oz is dry and hot, large H's dominate central Oz heating the air and pushing the centres of the Low's in the Oz bite (that would normally swing up through SA, VIC and NSW), to be forced down to a Latitude of Hobart and slightly below, with the Northern tip of the front travelling through Bass strait, giving rain to NW and CW, but dry to Eastern Tassie. And that during La Nina the centres of the Lows travel Bass Strait and above denying rain to NW and CW Tassie, but provide onshore rain to Eastern TAS as they pass into the Tasman Sea. During EL/LN neutral it seems to fluctuate (more years of data required), but if the centres of the Low's are pushed well below Hobart, the SW of Tassie gets rain, but the NW, CN, NE, SE and Central Plateau are denied. This maybe co-relates to neutral SOI's. Could you please get your Brains Trust to check/compare the SOI with the H's in the Bite for the past 6 months. I'm tipping the SOI has been predominately neutral for the same period. This would also impact the NZ weather. Would be happy to get your thoughts on this. taipan_801@hotmail.com Keep up the great work Alan

@WeatherWatchTV Ай бұрын

Hi there, we don't focus much on the Indian Ocean, so you may be better to just get that info directly from BoM (as that's where we would find it) www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Indian-Ocean As a weather forecaster my focus is much more on the daily/weekly weather pattern, rather than the overriding monthly/seasonal climate drivers. Cheers :) Phil

@ren2ski Ай бұрын

❤

@andyman8630 Ай бұрын

BOM tosses a coin, and it has heads both sides

@danielillingworth8064 Ай бұрын

Next update 8/7/24

@kimmarsh5387 Ай бұрын

The question I want to ask is, Australia getting wetter from climate change?

@freedom_born Ай бұрын

Accumulatively, yes. Immediately, not really. But you'll have to include "drier" as well as wetter. "Climate change" is just a misnomer. The climate's always changing. Increases in seasonal changes however are relatively* balanced for El/La Niño/Niña, with regards to industrial and natural contribution of greenhouse gases - as the ENSO data maps show. Again, climate change is just a misnomer. Greenhouse ppm levels are the actual talking point. Hence why country's and companies are aiming for zero carbon and NetZero plans... like France.