Peter Zeihan talks about #Poland becoming a regional superpower with the decline of Russia and Germany #peterzeihan #peterzeihankeynote #newpeterzeihan
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@SammyB-Habebe2 ай бұрын
I have been in Poland 🇵🇱 many times as I have so much love for the country and the people! I can say by far Poland 🇵🇱 is the New Tiger 🐯 in Europe!
@borovik8714Ай бұрын
Fantastic! ;-) Greetings from Poland! ;-)
@marieskavo7159Ай бұрын
Visited Poland last summer and before that in 2016. What a difference. I mean, it was great even back then, but now - just wow. What a prosperous, powerful, beautiful country.
@blip12 ай бұрын
I was in Wrocław in the beginning of March, in 2024. That place is great!
@mrjetro2 ай бұрын
We invite you again. 🙂
@blip12 ай бұрын
@@mrjetro it looks like I'll be coming to stay for a while and work. Excited, except for the wait on the relevant permits (lol)
@user-od3zt4dg6p2 ай бұрын
No mossies helps
@TokyoTaisuАй бұрын
I've done a roadtrip to Wroclaw from Holland too, made great friends there, lovely people. Lots of Spanish students too kinda werid.
@shazzshank6393Ай бұрын
@@TokyoTaisu Why was it weird ? We got lots of foreigners here..
@Servant_of_ChristАй бұрын
We love Poland and it's lovely people! I sail there. 🇸🇪
@cestwhat13172 ай бұрын
As an American, I would like to thank Poland, the Polish people, and agencies for supporting Ukraine. It is, of course, in your interest and that of the free world to do so, but I also think you have just collectively stepped up and taken on the tough task of assisting Ukrainian families as well as the effort to stop Psychopath putin's hideous war on humanity.
@marieskavo7159Ай бұрын
They indeed have. Millions of evacuees from Ukraine.
@robertklimczak5630Ай бұрын
@@marieskavo7159tak mamy trochę ukraincow,..przed wojna też mielismy. Tylko mniej. Struktura się zmieniła teraz jest więcej kobiet ,dzieci i starszych. .wielu mężczyzn wróciło na ukraine... Duży odsetek ukraincow pracuje.
@Bobbyrealtalk369Ай бұрын
As polish I don’t support Ukraine and there corrupt government. People do need to get helped thou . But we shouldn’t forget about katyn massacre by the Ukrainian s . Ukrainian never existed was a satellite state create by Russia . After ww2 do Lwow polish city was taken . No Ukrainian will say that it was ever part of Poland . As polish person Gdańsk and Wrocław was German cities but Ukrainian s will not accept that lwow was polish city .
@mateuszm990Ай бұрын
@@Bobbyrealtalk369 a z ciebie taki polak ja ze mnie arab
@ianproductionsllcАй бұрын
plz plz go learn history
@pluki1357Ай бұрын
4:17 It was six years later - in 1610 🙂. An not "held it for generation". It lasted 2 years, untill 1612 and Polish troops for most part were actually locked within borders of Kremlin. There's a deeper historical context to what happend back there and it's more complex than just Polish troops present in Moscow.
@rob6927Ай бұрын
He likes to not be too pedantic when it comes to facts or numbers and even less with deeper context and details. Honestly, he says Germany is going to decline because of "demographics" while Poland with demographics just as bad, if not worse than Germany will somehow become a superpower 🤦♂️
@danieldpa84842 ай бұрын
We are going to have a party like it’s 1610 again 🇵🇱💪
@ifyoudontfailyouarenoteven62102 ай бұрын
It's closer to 1918 I think. Old is dying, loose power to suffocate us, and we can grow.
@danieldpa84842 ай бұрын
@@ifyoudontfailyouarenoteven6210 indeed, all joking aside, its going to be like 1917/1918 in Russia - we know what followed this time - the horrors of communism
@jimluebke38692 ай бұрын
Or like it's September 11... 1683. =)
@tedcrilly462 ай бұрын
Say, say, 2000-24, party over Russia, out of time So tonight I'm gonna party like it's 16-09
@Chaixxod.Chajddc.Ай бұрын
Żadnych wojen...
@mihalysuba94322 ай бұрын
Yess. Full videos of country specific comments of recent times! Smart!
@Bumper_jedАй бұрын
Yes, Poland is a historic regional power.
@pluki1357Ай бұрын
3:45 "We'll haeve the Poles being more and more and more agressive [...] and push into the former Russian space in order to break it." (1) We, the Poles are not aggresive and we are not getting "more agressive". We just want to leave in pace, do our things within our borders and within EU. There's no talk, thought or need to go anywhere outside our own borders. "Aggressivenes zero!" 😉 - as one famous senctence from a Polish commedy tells. (2) I'm not sure what territory do you mean by "Russian space", but if anything within current Russain borders than nobody in sound mind in Poland has any serious plans of attacking Russia. We may prepare for possible conflict but only as a defensive part of it. Unless you meant a former Soviet USSR territory (?). Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Ukraine and Belarus (the last one with a caveat) are independent states, first 3 are NATO members - again: no need for us, the Poles to "push into" their territories.
@kogorunАй бұрын
Yes, Zeihan has never stopped referring to Ukraine and Belarus as Russian territories. This so-called expert is stuck in the 19th century, operates under the 19th century ideology, and has missed very real nation-building happening right under his nose.
@demven042 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@stevendaniel8126Ай бұрын
I'm the descendant of Polish immigrants. I've never been more proud.......
@ROBOROBOROBOROBO2 ай бұрын
Wow man so great I just subscribed Will you upload the full speech? That would be awesome
@How2utube2 ай бұрын
Yes I will
@olivercromwell54542 ай бұрын
also known as motivation speaker
@user-bx5yl4rt8m2 ай бұрын
Do you have the full Polish presentation or just the panel discussion and clips of it?
@therealbatman-mi3kcАй бұрын
I've been looking for it for few weeks, still no luck. You find it at all?
@JMM33RanMA2 ай бұрын
Was it Poland or the Grand Duchy of Lithuania that conquered Moscow? Of course there was what I've heard that they called "Nasze dwa domy" or the Commonwealth of Poland and Lithuania, so it might be difficult to untangle. Their winged hussars saved Germany and Austria from the Mongols and Ottomans, then they were rewarded by partitions. If Poles are suspicious of their neighbors, they have reasons.
@jacekboczarski66982 ай бұрын
It was Polish -Lithuanian commonwealth (so both- but Poland had leader role) in 1610.
@sirrathersplendid48252 ай бұрын
Poland-Lithuania was a single state at the time, united by something like the 1707 Anglo-Scottish Act of Union, though about 150 years older.
@JMM33RanMA2 ай бұрын
@@sirrathersplendid4825 Wasn't it more like the "Personal Union" of England and Scotland that otherwise retained independent governments? As I understand it the relationship changed from time to time, as would likely happen if the Grand Duke of Lithuania became King of Poland or the King of Poland became Grand Duke.
@2mek992 ай бұрын
@@JMM33RanMA It was a kind of personal union between 1385-1569. After 1569 this was basically one country.
@sirrathersplendid48252 ай бұрын
@@JMM33RanMA - The Polish-Lithuanian personal union occurred in 1386 with the marriage of Grand Duke Jogaila-Jagiełło to the Polish monarch Jadwiga. The formal union was cemented, however, only with the Union of Lublin in 1569.
@Mr1159pm2 ай бұрын
Nice belt buckle
@Dev-ou1nj2 ай бұрын
Wonder what they cut at the end
@roystewart43862 ай бұрын
Does the CIA give the President USA facts of this nature ?
@evsal80872 ай бұрын
My biggest criticism of Peter Zeihan's presentation is his tie. "Yeah, yeah....globalization, demographics, blah...blah...blah..." But holy shit Peter, you wore that tie in public!?
@jacekjedlinski58432 ай бұрын
You should see his socks then 😂
@frusia123Ай бұрын
I love that tie. But I'm Polish.
@evsal8087Ай бұрын
@@frusia123 You have my condolences....for loving the tie, not being Polish :)
@frusia123Ай бұрын
@@evsal8087 😁😁😂
@therealbatman-mi3kcАй бұрын
Zeihan is a quintessential Gen X'er. That sort of tie -any loud design really - is a badge of honor for them.
@stcqw2 ай бұрын
Poland has 38 million people and a GDP of $942 billion!
@kastnoka1274Ай бұрын
Not good result but tipical for post comunist countries. A lot of that GDP is generated by international corporations and transfered outside of Poland.
@slawomirkulinskiАй бұрын
First statement is wrong. The last biggest industrial rise happened just before regaining independence. Russia has imposed very high tax duty on imported fabrics from Germany. So what the German industrialists did? They moved their factories to Łódź which was a small village just behind the border. Łódź turned into industrial hub in no time. As the entire region was impoverished the effect was even more dramatic. Economic growth rate dwarfed UK or Germany as they were much ahead of Poland. Growth was so big that it impacted politics and both Imperial Russia and Germany started considering creating "independent but friendly only to them" Polish state. It turned out, Poland at that stage did not need foreign powers to help get to independence, it just need them to be exhausted after the war.
@jimmcintosh37182 ай бұрын
US naval power Zeihan says we need at least 800 destroyers and frigates to support globalization, but that we have only 60. He says this is because our navy “retooled” after the cold war. At the post-war height of our naval power in 1987, we had 184 destroyers and frigates (Regan’s 600-ship Navy). Nothing like 800. By 1992, a year after the cold war, we had 207. Today, we have about 63 (this is the only place Zeihan has his numbers right). The only time we had anywhere near the 800 Zeihan says we need for globalization was in 1945, at the end of WWII, when we had 738 destroyers and frigates (and a 6768-ship Navy). By the next year, in 1946, we had 180 destroyers and frigates, having “retooled” for peace time.
@JMM33RanMA2 ай бұрын
You are right about that. The "need" for the larger number of ships ignores several factors. First a US super carrier alone has about the same fire power as the entire French military, and its tech and planes control a larger area than a group of smaller vessels, and it is always accompanied by a strike force. Second, the statement made by Zeihan appears to suppose total control at all times by a worldwide empire. Even at its imperial height Britain did not exercise such complete control over its quarter of the globe. The US succeeded in the Barbary Wars not because it had total control, permanent presence and a huge navy, but because it had convinced the pirates that they could be attacked and seriously damaged if they continued.
@stgravatt2 ай бұрын
When there are no other naval competitors (like after ww2), you can get away with decommissioning a majority of your ships. Not to mention, trade volume has only increased since then, so more ships to protect too. Sooo more ships to protect, and more possible foes to protect it from in recent times. But you are right in that it seems like peter pulled the 800 number out of his ass.
@bigcity20852 ай бұрын
The navies contractor ship builders and repair yards....are a disaster. Plus we decided to cool it with our Arleigh Burke destroyers and do some "new" stuff that was untested..and didn't/ doesn't work. The Navy has thrown away tens of billions of dollars and is way behind in just about every category. I wish it wasn't so....but it is.
@michaelguzman4136Ай бұрын
What presentation was that first clip?
@pontonsky2 ай бұрын
What's with the tie?
@sirrathersplendid48252 ай бұрын
The Poles occupied Moscow in 1610 (not 1604)! And they didn’t hold it for a generation but only for two years, until 1612 (though they continued to have a significant influence until 1613/14).
@donaldclifford57632 ай бұрын
Who else can say that?
@sirrathersplendid48252 ай бұрын
@@donaldclifford5763 - The Mongols smashed the place up a bit, albeit much earlier. Also Napoleon was there in 1812, but didn’t stay long.
@smftrsddvjiou64432 ай бұрын
Zeihan talks rubbish as usual. Poland has a larger military than UK, France and Germany combined. And then ? Occupieying Moscow ? Invading Germany ?
@TheGast43212 ай бұрын
@@smftrsddvjiou6443 I particularly liked how he was making points about Russian and German demographics in relation to Poland - without even bothering to look at the Polish demographics for comparision.
@robertklimczak56302 ай бұрын
@@sirrathersplendid4825napoleon nie zdobył stolicy. Tylko moskwe. Wtedy było to zupełnie beż sensu,zdobyć była stolicę.
@jankokomodo2 ай бұрын
Karol Gustav sad, that with his canons and polish hussars he could concur whole Europe
@tabasco07Ай бұрын
i tought it was Paulo Coelho
@wolf79wolf79Ай бұрын
I can only believe his predictions are not as ridiculous as his tie is.
@nightmark21202 ай бұрын
Full vid?
@How2utube2 ай бұрын
Uploaded now
@nickvrutsky2 ай бұрын
Nice pics of the ships .. any graphs 📈 of USA dept? 😅
@everythingisfine99882 ай бұрын
World reserve currency. US can fail up
@andrzejc.1929Ай бұрын
Demographic situation of Poland is pretty bad. Peter Zeihan should have known that.
@mateuszm990Ай бұрын
w Rosji za to rocznie sie rodzi 1miliard dzieci
@andrzejc.1929Ай бұрын
@@mateuszm990 Więcej niż w Polsce. I mówię o współczynniku urodzin, a nie liczbach bezwzględnych.
@rob6927Ай бұрын
He is a propagandist, doesn't care about facts. Honestly, he says Germany is done for because of its demographics, then says Poland with its equally bad, if not worse demographics, is going to become some kind of superpower. Sounds about right 🤦♂️
@CieplinskiPawel25 күн бұрын
*WAIT FOR IT...*
@johnschaffler15072 ай бұрын
Love your work. Lose that tie.
@rafalkamiski73732 ай бұрын
We know what our aim is...
@alko_xo2 ай бұрын
To suck European subsidies indefinitely?
@coldbastard6859Ай бұрын
@@alko_xoTo get to the point we'll no longer have to so we can help other countries get there too (economically speaking). Also your remark is typical for US/western EU boomer but let's not forget that it was your generation that was supposed to prevent most of modern problems from ever appearing. Instead the lot of you bought as much land and/or real estate as possible and forced younger generations into loaning instead of having property. Hope you're proud of yourself.
@timokohler6631Ай бұрын
@@alko_xo Don't listen, the EU will collapse any day now and then Poland will have the largest army in all of Europe and defeat Russia and Germany. Easy. Just listen to the american businessman with the ugly tie, he knows best.
@karolb8924Ай бұрын
@@alko_xoyou make money of those subsidies so stfu.
@waltertomashefsky2682Ай бұрын
Where does he get the 800 destroyers number?
@Shakdnugz20242 ай бұрын
@14:01 I want to put forward a hypothesis since Peter does not, if we seperate the real economy from the financial sector, and we concede that yes consumption and investment led growth falters, we still have a very large swath of capital and liquidity that has come about as the end result of all that growth. I therefore foresee that liquidity will move faster from the real economy into the financial sector to be deployed into yield, commodities and digital commodities like btc. Remember if the incentive to invest in the real economy is faltering, debasement and inflation are still very real issues. If the end goal is to try and accumulate assets by generating profits in the real economy, then we skip the profits part and go straight to the accumulation of assets part. So many, I believe, wrongly conclude that low growth means a bearish equity or commodities or precious metals market, Im simply saying I believe the opposite will happen.
@chrisszymanski90462 ай бұрын
What an excellent presentation
@jerzyaf2 ай бұрын
Dlaczego tylko urwany kawałek?
@765tgs2 ай бұрын
Why did you cut out the end of the presentation and splice the beginning to the end? He was about to speak about the guns of Poland and it ends???
@How2utube2 ай бұрын
I thought the end was more interesting. It’s all there but you can see the uncut version in the panel discussion video.
@AK_Vortex2 ай бұрын
@21:40 you say "if you look around the world right now, the middle east is the calmest part of it"? really?
@xanpops34602 ай бұрын
The guy who said Russia's oil infrastructure will collapse like after the Soviet Union collapse.
@wojciechjanek12152 ай бұрын
He is not wrong...
@xandr132 ай бұрын
Did you think that was going to happen overnight? Geopolitics and strategy are not for simple minded.
@kalkol21Ай бұрын
In the 1990s, many Western companies invested in oil fields to reap profits. Then Putin came and nationalized these companies. Over time, oil reserves become depleted. I heard that Russia wanted to extract oil fields on the Taymyr Peninsula. It's very far north. The district in which this peninsula is located is over 2.5 of Poland. The population of this district is 34,000 people, of which 22,000 live in the capital (Dudinka). Are you confident that they will be able to build mining and transport infrastructure to maintain production levels?
@kogorunАй бұрын
@xandr13 Apparently it is, if Mr. Zeihan can run his tongue like he does.
@Nomad-XA2 ай бұрын
Those are bold claims by Peter, I’ll believe when I see it
@andrzej25012 ай бұрын
I do not agree with everything but definitely interesting perspective with several valid points
@anadasingh34562 ай бұрын
Well you need understand because babies and children don't generate economic data this kind of information will blind side you before realize what is happening. Remember when you have half empty cities that look like ghost town by then it's too late to do something about it.
@simontemplar6394Ай бұрын
I think current Polish government should listen that sometimes
@akhalif682 ай бұрын
Mr Zeihan has made a great transition from an expert in Global Demography, Warfare & Geo-Politics to Stand-Up Comedy...
@coldbastard6859Ай бұрын
That arabic nickname tells me all I need to know about your experise in geo-politics.
@worldcitizen1812 ай бұрын
No to teraz po tym wykładzie wszyscy będą nas kopać w dupę i jak zwykle mamy przerąbane bo wszystkie hieny po sąsiedzku się zlecą i nie tylko.
@Upik_SGАй бұрын
Why Poland have to pay 4% GDP to the military, when even Russia in war spend 6% ?
@worldcitizen181Ай бұрын
@@Upik_SG Dlatego, że Polska ma takie położenie geograficzne jakie ma i taką historię jaką ma.
@voytech38922 ай бұрын
"Tends to get gobbled up easily " lmfao . Poland has won some of the most importend battle of European history but I'll take this clowns word for it
@kogorunАй бұрын
He said the same about Ukraine.
@coldbastard6859Ай бұрын
Szkoda tylko że twój angielski kuleje w porównaniu do naszych historycznych wygranych.
@xyzero16822 ай бұрын
This video is cut up, edited, and contains content from other sources to make its own point, not the one Peter is presenting at this talk.
@deltavee2Ай бұрын
Which is why I just removed it from YT Recommendations. There's a lot of these around....
@treich1234Ай бұрын
@21:04 "That's Canada, so you know they're good for something"...........That's mean Peter.....badmouthing the best neighbors we've ever had
@l3eatalphal3eatalpha2 ай бұрын
Guy is a hack with a self-absorbed presentation style. Couple of interesting points.
@rgfrank16682 ай бұрын
I have been following Peter for quite some time now. I am curious why the seems so dogged about not using Android (if Apple has such a horrible supply chain problem and is/was overprized as can be).
@dianewilson74152 ай бұрын
First guess would be that Android has a far worse reputation and history on security.
@salamandiusbraveheart4183Ай бұрын
Samsung S23/23 are excellent phones
@Sebastian-ry2is2 ай бұрын
I would take his remarks about Poland with a grain of salt given he had polish audience. I know all too well what's our weakness.
@computerfreakch8912Ай бұрын
That's the point of 700+ i guess? (The mentioned PiS government paid out monthly 500, then 700 per child - families that felt encouraged with that may not always supply doctors, lawyers, scientists and engineers, but army recruits - quite likely)
@karolb8924Ай бұрын
Did not work out. Program is pointless.
@aiwditbh2 ай бұрын
Black swan event, that can render all geopolitical projections wrong is mass scale introduction of humanoid robots, it will create new economics it is new model, of course hand in hand with development of A.I.
@anadasingh34562 ай бұрын
You cannot change demographics you going have half empty cities. It be sort of creepy.
@evsal80872 ай бұрын
@@anadasingh3456 Traffic would be better though.
@WhyteHorse20232 ай бұрын
It's not a black swan event, it's already under way and inevitable.
@gviehmannАй бұрын
Big cities will be fine. Unlikely that they need to remove renovated city blocks again, like they had to in some east german cities.
@paulgilliland2992Ай бұрын
Poland is Eastern Europes Celtic Tiger similar to Ireland in the early naughties . Unfortunately Peter is wrong about his pontificating around outcomes he claims are inevitable. I must say he’s fun to watch and is always entertaining.
@Packacone4202 ай бұрын
Tough crowd haha
@3ipl2 ай бұрын
Zeihanism
@NeidlichesSchwert2 ай бұрын
A lot of people look down on ad hominem thinking. I don't. They reveal a lot about the meta-conversation-trends in what people are afraid of, etc. (not to mention current levels of education).
@piotr.leniec-lincow52092 ай бұрын
Polish problems come from the fact that it never had the industrial revolution. It was sponsored by the governament beafore and after llww.Its a commerce and consumption oriented society. Not mutch in terms of the modern product design and production.
@Pandzikizlasu802 ай бұрын
Looking outside my window in Łódź, I can tell you the industrial revolution definitely happened here. The same applies to the whole Gdańsk - Wrocław-Rzeszów triangle.
@piotr.leniec-lincow52092 ай бұрын
@@Pandzikizlasu80 Poland was mainly agrocultural land beafore llww . Industralizarion of Poland was state sponsored . E. Kwiatkowski (was a great pole and visionary) did try to make Poland in to industrial state.Was stoped by Piłsudski who thought that this plan was to centalized and to soviet in its nature. Read some of the Kwiatkowskis opinions on this subject. He lists the reasons why grassroots industrial revolution is not possibile in Poland . So, COP, GDYNIA , PZL and so on did happen but they were sponsored from the top down. Just as it was under communism after the war. This is not how the changes in SOCIAL makeup of societies take place. Granted there were some exeptions to that. URSUS, CEGIELSKI and what you see from your window. But the problem is that is quite narrow view.
@Pandzikizlasu802 ай бұрын
@@piotr.leniec-lincow5209 What you see outside a window in Łódź is a damn million people 19th century industrial agglomeration, but I know, we are not true Poles. True Poles live only in your ancestors village.
@piotr.leniec-lincow52092 ай бұрын
Łódź was industralized not under the Polish rule. Water mains , politechnik and mutch more were build in Warsaw under Moscow supervision.This are facts. But this is not the point however. You think you know more about this topic than Kwiatkowski? Think again.Let some hot air out. Anyway , show me Polish consumer industrial products made now or then. Why Polish expositions at World Expos display oscypeks and apples? And please skipp sportowa syrenka and scooter OSA. Industrial relates to the factories but the revolution part happens inside poples minds.THIS never happened in Poland. And probably it is to late now.
@Pandzikizlasu802 ай бұрын
@@piotr.leniec-lincow5209 The only thing Russians were doing in Łódź, was taking bribes and shooting to workers. The town was pointed out as suitable for development by local authorities, by Rajmund Rembieliński in 1821 under the Kingdom of Poland local law, not Russian. Development of economy was an act of opposition against the Empire, you can call it organic work, however this term was established decades later.
@JinKee2 ай бұрын
Has George Friedman possessed Peter’s body?
@ORRHART2 ай бұрын
Here it's been 3-8 through out national exisrence. If I recall right women avarage birth is 3.7 kids now
@GrumpyOldMan92 ай бұрын
Sartorial elegance is not Zeihan's strongest ... suit.
@AbaddonianG2 ай бұрын
The first Chinese carrier was a casino and the second was a copy of the casino. 🤣🤣🤣
@edytatehrani39342 ай бұрын
Geez Peter, you are going to get Putin even more paranoid 😅
@marctemura20172 ай бұрын
Putin never seen something like this.
@Darryl1963DАй бұрын
Why will you never use Android? Respect from Australia
@rodneymoore7270Ай бұрын
That tie hurts my eyes.
@puchatek5584Ай бұрын
5:32 Peter in Poland is traying find partner to make 3 to 5 kids. lol. very stait forward. lol
@IloveDoubleD2 ай бұрын
Numbers of people aren't really significant in this century when war is involved, as Ukraine has shown. They are outnumbered by 3 or 4 to 1 and numerically in tanks and aircraft far beyond that. Yet have destroyed Russia military capability by about 40% in 2 years. Yes, they have had a lot of weapons provided but in numbers of people it hasn't hurt them much. Wars in the 21st century will be a lot different than the 20th.
@user-ld8mz9ej1c2 ай бұрын
23:18 apple sucks lol Tim got blackmailed on the island and it has no security now lol😊
@Bumper_jed2 ай бұрын
Anyone with a weird neck tie has issues
@Idahoguy101572 ай бұрын
The Austrian Empire asks, “what are we? Chopped liver?”
@robertdole5391Ай бұрын
Peter and his ties.
@szym12 ай бұрын
Why would you put a person in a GERMAN WWII uniform (at 2:29) used now days for reconstructing battles and suggest that's a modern polish solder? Shame on you!
@How2utube2 ай бұрын
Sorry. I put in ‘poland military’ in the search bar and this came up. I’ll check more carefully in the future.
@user-gd6jh3zn7i2 ай бұрын
Oh God 🤦
@simst84082 ай бұрын
I don't get it. Why does he think that Poland will be happy with the mid sophistication tier productions?
@kamilmajdanik88342 ай бұрын
All this DEMGRAPHICS, yeah, but you don't mention (so I assume not account too) IMMIGRATION. USA without immigration wouldn't have good demographics either.
@chingron2 ай бұрын
This guy also tells people to hold dollars and not buy bitcoin…
@qefewfwdcwdcАй бұрын
you think bitcoin is legit? 🤣 🤣 a country can just ban bitcoin and thats it buddy.
@chingronАй бұрын
@@qefewfwdcwdc. Feel free to keep holding those dollars. I hope they do ban it. That will make its price skyrocket…
@aleksanderszczurek8629Ай бұрын
A word of a comment: Poland has exactly same demographic problems as its surrounding countries
@cosmos99ifyАй бұрын
Poland was in Moscow for 1 year and Russia ruled Poland for 100s of years.
@walentystankiewicz848625 күн бұрын
Germany and Austria also ruled us for many years. We have to keep an eye on Sweden and not trust it it weakens us and starts the process of our decline and humiliation.
@pacanosiuАй бұрын
great social engineering, I must admit
@ianproductionsllcАй бұрын
i feel sorry for you peter
@michaoginski6220Ай бұрын
Przestańcie klepać nas po pleckach i wmawiać nam jacy jesteśmy cudowni. Zostawcie nas w spokoju, nie będziemy się bić dla waszych profitów. Get out of our land we do nor trust you!!!!
@kogorunАй бұрын
Sure. Do you want to get a trade blockade with that?
@OverMankind2 ай бұрын
I hear a lot of fun ideas, but this russia vs poland fantasy only plays out if NATO Article 5 doesn't trigger a global thermonuclear war.
@idkk-jc1fv2 ай бұрын
Poland will never be a superpower or an empire. We should stop behaving like it's something that should happen. Poland should be an average country, but good in its averageness. We should aim at having good life quality not some pipe dream of being an empire. Mam nadzieję, że Polacy to zrozumieją.
@wojciechjanek12152 ай бұрын
why? Because you said so?
@bigcity20852 ай бұрын
No one is saying it needs to be an empire. It just needs to be solid and stable and free. And it is and it will be. (but if it wants to free Belarus....that's fine).
@andrzsol12 ай бұрын
W tym miejscu to niemożliwe. Musi być odpowiednia siła dla powstrzymania Azji i Germanii. Wszystko co mniejsze jest wciąż atakowane.
@edytaeda107Ай бұрын
Polacy nie potrzebują być Imperium chcą mieć możliwość żyć bezpiecznie
@wojciechjanek1215Ай бұрын
@@edytaeda107 tylko czasem nie ma innego wyboru by byc silny. Nie jestesmy Holandia czy Wielka Brytania by moc stac z boku
@Nils_Ki2 ай бұрын
Looks like Peter Zeihan has a large following in Poland. I find that difficult to comprehend. Most of the real experts in the wide range of topics this man brags about really can't take much of what he says seriously.
@BigPictureYT2 ай бұрын
Poland has 38 million people and a GDP of $700 billion. Russia has a population of 143 million and a GDP of $1,500 billion.
@stcqw2 ай бұрын
940B GDP 💀💀🤡🤡
@genby_aiАй бұрын
The biggest problem in Poland is that the country is heavly divided and if this will continue then in the next decade there might be a huge civil war.
@drdf7500Ай бұрын
🤣 Not a chance!
@roymakkayplАй бұрын
what is the cost to stop angin polish people ? max 5% od budget, simple math 400,000 deaths/per year - 300,000 born/per year = minus 100,000 / 3= 33,000 * 1 000 000= 33 000 000 000 PLN (its like 5% of budget) you do/buy flat and give it to 2+2 family from Brazil (many speak polish), from Uzbekistan - language similar etc, kids need to be lik few years old AND PROBLEM RESOLVED With LOW COST but to they want realy to resolve it ?
@therealbatman-mi3kcАй бұрын
Can we get just the presentation instead of this weird clipped together amalgamation?
@CarterMEАй бұрын
I want to know what Peter makes of the seeming inevitability of Ai robots filling this gap for maintaining military might he says population collapse will create for these individual countries. If Elon says there will be 2-3 robots per human in the nearish future, don’t you think robots will replace the need for as many humans in a country’s military? It’s a breakneck race to be the company that comes out on top of the Ai robot race, everyone is working on it. Doesn’t this factor? It seems to me that countries are (and should be) just concerned with stacking as many short term wins as possible so the war chest stays full and resources are flowing to implement Ai in the military so you can stretch those short term wins into longevity. If you (as a country) are losing in the present moment at the dawn of Ai , you may just keep losing forever because the deck will be stacked in favor of those powers that win the Ai race in the short term (25 yrs). What say ye Peter? 🧐🙏
@nonnoyobisnis87052 ай бұрын
Zeihan's wishful thinking towards Germany on full display!😅
@donaldclifford57632 ай бұрын
Is there something wrong?
@evsal80872 ай бұрын
Right!? I mean, German manufacturing is already back on the upswing after the Ukraine invasion. Granted, there was a slump where German industry had to look for new energy sources. It has apparently found them. So I look at Peter Zeihan (and pundits like him), and it looks to me like they are confusing a temporary downturn for a permanent trend. As for demographics? The Germans currently have to beat off skilled immigrants with a stick and have had to do so for decades. I really don't see how they can fail to fill their workforce even with mediocre birthrates. I know the mythology of sudden collapse is real popular thanks to our ready consumption of doomsday apocalyptic movies and news, but it really doesn't look hold up on closer scrutiny. Frankly, I think the Germans will continue to be a manufacturing powerhouse in our lifetimes and any hiccup is an outlier.
@andreasgregorfrank90572 ай бұрын
@@donaldclifford5763 let's make it short: yes, all about Germany (and even Poland - a nation that has the same "trade role" than Austria and the Czech Republic: sell precursor to the German industry and not much more). Germany will sell goods to the world independent of US-China stress - at least if there aren't any better alternatives. Poland btw has a real problem with xenophobia and not more kids than its neighbors combined with a much smaller salary - so everything Zeihan tells here about Poland is based on wet dreams. Germany at least can allure workers if they need them. Something Poland simply can't and so the future of the whole economy there is very limited. Poland buying some weapons is understandable at the moment but will not change the possibilities for Poland in Europe (and the world) - their "strength" if we really want to use this word here depends on their US-puppet role and not much more.
@mateuszwolny26822 ай бұрын
@@andreasgregorfrank9057 wet german dreams :)
@doctorvondoom63682 ай бұрын
@@andreasgregorfrank9057you are so utterly ignorant of the world you live in that it is hard to believe that you are sincere
@drorbenami48272 ай бұрын
What will the future look like? AI driven robots.....
@user-od3zt4dg6p2 ай бұрын
And no consumers with jobs money or numbers..
@jimluebke38692 ай бұрын
So... are we seeing the rise of Polish Militarism (based on bad experiences in the Second World War), like history saw the rise of Prussian Militarism (based on bad experiences in the Thirty Years' War)?
@bartoZZ10Ай бұрын
This guy 🤣
@garybarr10452 ай бұрын
You are correct in the unknown analysis of the world's economic future. But, like most economists, you leave out the consideration of an overpopulated world and the natural environment's ability to provide the resources to feed this greater and greater number of people. So, the greatest question is, will the countries losing population be able to rethink their economies and rebuild an economy that is green and sustainable? Depopulation with a green and sustainable economy is the ultimate challenge for the world's future.
@kalkol21Ай бұрын
Food is not a problem at the moment. Currently, Polish (and indeed the whole of Eastern Europe) farmers are protesting because the EU has abolished customs duties for Ukraine and this has greatly disrupted the markets. Poland alone exported food worth EUR 52 billion. Ukraine has much better soil conditions than Poland and better climatic conditions. If there are four times as many people in the world, there will be enough food.
@mareksicinski3726Ай бұрын
0:50 Well, recent history Not “easily”, no. The terrory was occupied in the Swedish deluge in the 17th century and in WWII. It was annexed by combined diplomacy and military moves before. “The Swedes” no. Also “it’s” coastline implies a stable coastline which is nonsensical. The time of Sweden’s Great Power Era was the one time of its massive invasion of Poland (shortly after 1612, as he fails to mention) - was when the formal coastline was very small, and there were other parts of it on the other hand that aren’t there. So making statements about this coastline and Sweden is nonsensical, as is either one of those two together with “always” because those are mutually exclusive periods And no it is not because of its treatment, it’s because “we” the person speaking are far away and don’t see it peeking through, so it’s out of their minds. Not part of the discourse
@peterd.2963Ай бұрын
MORE AND MORE .... PETER ... .... YOUR SHIT IS GOING TO STICK ON A KREMLIN WALL‼️ 😅
@rniestroj2 ай бұрын
We have terrible demographics, our army is small in terms of people. Forget it. We now have our golden era - wyż demograficzny. From now we are on decline.
@marctemura20172 ай бұрын
Yes, but the point is that all enemy powers around is collapsing. That why with an alliance with America, and Sweden, then Poland becomes the power in region. ✊
@alko_xo2 ай бұрын
@@marctemura2017it was very funny comment. Very funny.
@killingjoke902 ай бұрын
Doesn't Poland have a worse fertility rate, and therefore worse future demographics, than Germany?
@michaelmazowiecki91952 ай бұрын
Lots of migrants from our Eastern neighbors!
@alko_xo2 ай бұрын
@@michaelmazowiecki9195but your Western borders are still open. And the quality of human rights… a bit better there.
@michaelmazowiecki91952 ай бұрын
@@alko_xo Poland simply does not want migrants from non-European cultures who refuse to integrate and accept European values, or worse still, attempt to impose their values and norms such as Sharia law on the host country. Poland has a small Muslim (Tatar) community going back over 600 years plus over 100k refugee migrants from Putin's Chechen war. It also has Georgian and Armenian communities as well as a large Vietnamese one.
@alko_xo2 ай бұрын
@@michaelmazowiecki9195 I’m so exited that you feel free to write this in 2024 on KZfaq. This is so amazing!
@mateuszwolny26822 ай бұрын
@@alko_xo welcome in Poland
@ZMB-on5ubАй бұрын
This is a mash up and not a keynote speaker thing.
@20165776YEAR2 ай бұрын
peter wants you to believe you need to be taxed more to build navy ships so his investment in the military industrial complex will grow