I can because I have an opinion that understands the things he says isn't right, all the old people he thinks are pointless, have children and they pass on their capital ... and that capital passes down, it hasn't gone away. Europe isn't all about Germany, however Germany is exposed to bad debt, because they wanted to take on that debt, well let Germany manage that problem, the rest of Europe need to move away from Germany ... the EU needs to understand, the continent want frictionless trade but they do not want to be ruled by Germany and France.

I agree with you. I follow him all over the internet. I recently read his book, "The Accidental Superpower -- Ten Years Later." It's a reissue of a 2014 book, with commentary about how his predictions have fared ten years later. It's mostly a victory lap, because 80%+ of what he forecasted has come true or is coming true.

He does seem to suffer from audience capture tho.

Won't happen. Poland cannot into space.

people wont do shit about it and when it gets rough we will just import a mass of people from southeast Asia like Germany. Unlucky

I think you meant to say "The only thing that would ensure this golden age lasts for longer than one generation is for everyone in Poland to have more kids." What you actually said is the exact opposite.

Without children everything else is useless.

I think they should make a ceremonial invite to Lithuainia and rule for a couple hundred years

Its fun watching Peter shift his pitch depending on who his audience is. Talking to Americans and Europeans, India is an after thought. Talking to Indians, we’re going into a golden age. When Trump was president, Peter’s attitude was “say what you will about Trump.” When Biden is president, its the exact opposite. It’ll be interesting to see how he’ll shift again during the next administration. Edit: actually, what would be *really* interesting is seeing Peter shift his pitch for a mainland Chinese audience.

​​@@CMVBrielmanhe might genuinely tell them to dump money into cloning, if he wasn't a classical liberal american

He makes the point that USA is self sufficient on almost everything. Regarding Potash, the USA gets it from Canada... (cheap transport, etc.) That is what he said. It does not matter how much there is, but where it is, Geo Politics...means Geography. My sister lives in England. God save King Charles..

You make a 1/2 valid point. I'll admit I'd never heard of Polyhalite before your remark so did a check on Wikipedia. Its NOT potash, but its similar and its main use is as a fertilizer. Your right the largest reserve of Polyhalite is in England, but it doesn't seem to be considered part of the worlds potash reserves (see Wikipedia) That Woodsworth min is also NOT YET in production and not expected to be until 2027 (see Wikipedia) but there is another min nearby that is in production at Boulby. If you look at Boulby it says the production is 450,000 tons but does not say if that's per year or lifetime. I suspect its the yearly production because Britain produced 482,000 tons of potash in 2016. Compare that to Canada at over 13 million tons per year and Russia at over 8 million tons per year and you can see that British production is fairly small by comparison. (also on Wikipedia) FYI - I am an engineer who's been working in Australia's mining sector for almost 20 years and my suggestion to anyone is to go and look at Wikipedia because for things like mining data and general technical information its very good.

They will always find someone or something else to blame. Today its Israel, tommorow its the USA again, then the "evil capitalism" ect. ect.

Funny how people forget how much every country in that region hate each other's guts. They all just hate Israel slightly more.

My thought exactly 🎯

And if they are not accurate or good or interesting, He would not sell diddley Squat. What is your point? You are attacking the messenger.

@@rolandparks4318 right? I love how people always downplay information as Oh hes selling books. The guy also does consulting for major corporations, governments and businesses for planning. I dont think he will always be making totally accurate predictions but he uses real current data to make analysis and that is all we can do for now. I like him because he always does preface what he says with things like this can change easily.

@@rolandparks4318 Nonsense. His "Rah-rah America" all the time, all day long, will sell books, all the time, all day long. Look up "confirmation bias" and then reflect that, no matter how many times the dude is 100% straight up wrong...people will lap up his America Is Great Shtick in book after book, no probs.

@@MicroSBs And another thing people forget is that he predict things based on data. Like real world is very complicated, getting predictions wrong every now and then is normal. The fact he has gotten so many right show how good his methods are. But people love to fall to the fallacy like oh he was wrong that one time thus everything he say is wrong. Like if you stop to think for a second think about just how insane that logic is. If you were every wrong once everything you ever said was wrong. Try to actually apply that to real life...

Coming from a 51 year old "bachelor"...with cats! LOL. That's....ironic....

@@junkscience6397 Is he really? lol

Yeah, he doesn't have any kids himself. Doesn't disqualify his point though

He is gay, kids were kind of never in the cards for him.

Easer said than done. He doesn’t have any kids and he was an only child

are you saying too strong IP respect stagnates R&D and industries? I could see that + it creates perverse incentives often not rewarding these innovative people who mostly need job to be innovative to begin with(these are "neurodivergent" people who are first to be left out of hiring often, simply because they differ and people spot that... with money and IP people become more conservative in all aspects of that concept).

Well he more consistent than most people

To jave successfully predicted one is amazing. Made me laugh, we in global Macro knew 2008 was coming, no one could say when, exactly. I expected the rest of you to get the picture no later than 2006, in 2004. Anyway, after 2008, especially the further we get away, charlatans come out of woodwork having predicted 2008. Everyone and their brother. But to be as specific as Zeihan in 2013, 2014....in 2019, 2021. From a prognosticator myself, kudos, sir. People of lessor knowlwdge might criticize, but only of some manner of jealousy or hubris.

looks like her

That is 🤪 crazy

Zacly what I thought!

Maybe he had a bad experience, or maybe it’s just a matter of principle and he doesn’t want to use the program that was ripped off, he wants to use the original software.

I suspect it's because he's so used to it that he can't see himself adapting to a different ecosystem. Jumping ship from Apple's ecosystem means pretty much every single app that you're used to using you then have to find an alternative for, if it doesn't come from Google, because Apple's curated ecosystem doesn't exist on Android and never will.

@@pyrioncelendil whatever bro, good luck and stay away from fully automated fists and shit!

I’m Apple and seriously want a Samsung with Android.

I think it was blatant sarcasm. Zeihan doesnt look like a materialistic guy

It's Huma Abedin

Russian seaport and river geography, combined with its terrible climate don't support trade. That's Russia's biggest problem over the past several hundred years. Peter the Great tried to address this by filling a swamp with stones and building a city on them at the East end of the Baltic, but the ocean floor is too shallow there to facilitate heavy displacement freight ships. Same problem in the Black Sea. The only heavy displacement seaport there is on the coast of Romania. Look at the lack of significant trade between Russia and the US.

@@LRRPFco52 Im referring to their Sochi city port , that is in black sea, very hot in summer like turkey, +40C in july. also, billions$ PER DAY oil revenue means they could make insane china wall scale projects to solve these problems but they mostly havent.... billion$ yachts in riviera and monaco are more important to oligarchs. So Im saying of course you dont have nice things if you expect somebody else to do something about it. Also another counteranecdotal point: china is oogling their former lands from 1700s near vladivostok and pressured Kreml to allow lot of them farm and build factories now.... so someone else sees opportunities there, russia doesnt (want to allocate funds and effort). Russia is building with chinese ports in arctic sea side... so this is about excuses and priorities. Dont fall for it.

@@effexon Both can be true: Russia doesn't prioritize domestic infrastructure development 2. Russia has bad geography and weather. Novorossiysk can't handle heavy vessels. 95% of their exports go through there.

@@LRRPFco52 so how does it compare to canada? also cold and bad geography.

@@effexon Vancouver is one of my favorite, most beautiful cities in the world, with all its majestic views of the water and nearby towering mountains. Canada has the benefit of being on the border with the US, and is basically an extension of the US highway and trade network. The center of Russian populations is at Hudson Bay latitude, but with no real access to the sea, and surrounded by frozen forests. It's bone-chilling cold, almost no infrastructure, tons of drunks who like to go pedal to the metal in the 6-9 months of winter, which is the only time when the giant potholes are filled in with ice so you can go fast and not lose your drive train. Police, mayors, military, and politicians are openly and utterly corrupt in Russia. It's an extremely poor country that somehow functions via black market and weird back deal arrangements.

That's what I asked. Sure looks like her

Isn't she dating Alexander Soros now?

@@NickB1121 She is dating him last I read.

Pray for Peter…

Not only this. Poland is the biggest receiver of EU Funds since two decades . They talk like they have archived anything by spending foreign taxpayers money in Poland .

@@axelscharf2415 none of this is remotly true. Although this narrative is believed in Poland in spades. In reality money from EU has several strings attached. The biggest one is that you need to spend on what EU tells you to spend. As result around 80% of that money is going back to western economies, mostly Germany. This is massive subsidies program for develoepd economies. Secondly things that this is spend on are not necessary for economies that try to develop with exception of infrastructure and are actually creating costs (for example what use is green tech in country without weather for that?). As for infrastructure Poland biggest problem was never money but organization. Influx of funds did not changed that at all. Thirdly when you look at influx of EU money and compare it to the size of polish economy at the start of membership and over the years then you realize that what EU funds represent is peanuts in comparison to what was happening at that time in Poland. The biggest contributor to growth was domestic consumption and foriegn direct investment, not funds. Funds dont even register... and they were smaller and smaller portion of overall pie. At best their impact is neutral on growth, however POLITICALLY they matter a lot becuase they allowed polish political class NOT to reform country for dozens of years. Otherwise they would have to go trough very unpleasant process of finding your own resources and using them effectively. Consequnece of the fact that they didnt makes today Poland very ossified and not innovative, and very dependent on redistribution of wealth of which EU funds are significant part of. But its political system, not economic system. Poland opearates on various groups and cliques attached to various parties to get acess to the government budget and positions, entire society rests upon this assumption, cronism and nepotism. But economy is independent from that. So EU funds are used to control politcal system of Poland, not economic one. As for being attached to economy of Germany->yeah and it works in exactly opposite way to how people think. If Germany is doing better Poland i doing splendid, if Germany is doing badly Poland is doing splendid...because German companies move production here. My point is: eu funds were never prerequiste for sucess, and in reality everything that this country achieved did on its own and would do without EU membership or funds. Structurally when you look at projections of grwtwh from 90's till now NOTHING has changed. Poland entered high growth period with transformation from communism and projections shown that if it will do everything moderatly well it will end up in the place it ended up. EU or not EU. EU played no role.The msot important part was liberalization of capital and trade flows and getting acess to FDI. Once this was done Poland was set for sucess. EU money actually retarded that sucess because of political ossification explained above. Poland is not reforming at all and is not solving any of its long-standing problems as consequence. So it is DEAD in the long run because of how EU interacted with its crony political process.

​@@axelscharf2415 you know nothing dude... Not to mention that money is not given but invested and return to basically Germany and France with a profit. It is extremely funny when I hear this kind of BS about giving money to Poland and somehow that's the main reason why pl is successful.

@LukaszKolo literally all roads , hospitals , schools in Poland are built with EU Funds . Poland is since over 2 decades in the EU and never contributed financially to any budgets or Funds. Or take the EU covid Recovery Fund . Poland contributes nothing but takes 100 Billion Euro non polish tax payers money . We also don't mention the EU Arms Fund Poland plundered while contributing nothing.

@@axelscharf2415 LITERALLY i didn't know my school built in 60s was financed by EU. Hoooly! Same with roads and hospital when I was born! You need to read some papers dude. Start with how eu works 😃

It’s a common joke in America that’s made jest. No one really dislikes android half the population in America has one.

Have you met them?

Low birth rates seem to be synonymous with industrialization since you don't need 6-14 kids to run the farm anymore, and they don't fit in apartments so well.

No 🙄 Trolls throwing 💩 on the wall and checking what sticks

What?!?!?

The Russophobia of all of Russia's neighbors is based on 1000 years of historical reality, from Finland to Japan, while the Russians are expecting any of these nations to attack them again.

Russia should stop invading countries right and left and all the "russophobia" will stop. But invasion has been their "business model" so it won't stop until it falls apart. And the sooner, the better for everyone, including Russians

It isn't just the West. Truth is, nobody really likes and trusts Russia.

No such thing exists. What you’re referring to is knowledge of nazirussia and its ways..