Ray Kurzweil on the power Exponential Growth & The Singularity

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Ray Kurzweil on the power Exponential Growth & The Singularity | MOONSHOTS

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5 ай бұрын

This clip is from the following episode: • Ray Kurzweil Q&A - The...
Ray Kurzweil, an American inventor and futurist, is a pioneer in artificial intelligence, having contributed significantly to OCR, text-to-speech, and speech recognition technologies. Author of numerous books on AI and the future of technology, he's received the National Medal of Technology and Innovation, among other honors. At Google, Kurzweil focuses on machine learning and language processing, driving advancements in technology and human potential.
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Пікірлер: 84

@pandoraeeris7860 5 ай бұрын

RK is really exponentially accelerating his fashion sense!

@jvoidhuey3088 5 ай бұрын

He is slowly turning into a clown. Love his work and mind... But he is looking more like a clown these days.

@frank254100 5 ай бұрын

@@jvoidhuey3088freedom of dress my friend..

@visionariorg 5 ай бұрын

He is out schemes…

@VANDERWALTTINA 5 ай бұрын

He is a nutcase, always has been

@dischargedarrowgetback4322 5 ай бұрын

The question is whether this fashion is some kind of joke or whether he really thinks it looks good on him and is cool.

@George-Aguilar 5 ай бұрын

Love hearing Rays wisdom and hope for the future!

@Ari_diwan 5 ай бұрын

I really hope that abundance becomes a reality, things are bad here in my country at the moment

@thetroytroycan 5 ай бұрын

Where is that?

@Joshua-eo5hr 5 ай бұрын

@@thetroytroycanto be fair no country is a good place to live we still have to work we can die from many things soon we'll have no work no aging and we could each get a Pagani.

@mangoauto8450 5 ай бұрын

I read the singularity is near when it first came out , and feel we are 3-5 years away from things going crazy. For me I’ll know it’s here when scarcity is solved and all diseases are cured. Praying for Michael J Fox and everyone else afflicted with currently incurable disease

@Volatile-Tortoise 5 ай бұрын

Extremely interesting times indeed. I read the Singularity is Near back in the day too, and was thoroughly persuaded by his arguments. Admittedly though, after so many years of the AI Winter I eventually started having my doubts, so it was satisfying and relieving when things started going crazy with the relatively recent onset of the AI Spring started by OpenAI’s release of ChatGTP, and AI now being put in every new device in tech shows, amazing new AIs like Sora, and all the knowledge jobs that are now being done better by LLMs, etc. The rate of progress over the last year alone is nuts.

@visionariorg 5 ай бұрын

Ray is simply fantastic and his guess so deep

@Dogbertforpresident 5 ай бұрын

It's a really good story about how he discovered a phenomenon that he calls "Law of Accelerating Returns" which is the exponential growth due to taking today's tech to build tomorrows and so on.

@claudioagmfilho 5 ай бұрын

🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷👏🏻, We love you RK!

@KanesTrades 5 ай бұрын

Kurzweil's Law!

@thetroytroycan 5 ай бұрын

Ive been waiting for this since his book came out. Then i can srink all day and night and party hard like in my 20s

@inteligenciamilgrau 5 ай бұрын

Matt Wolf in this January said "I think this 2024 we will not see a full AI movie" and yesterday, about a month after he said "oh... I was wrong"

@azjaguardesign 5 ай бұрын

#Vacuum-tubes! 😮 3:28

@dischargedarrowgetback4322 5 ай бұрын

In a world of exponential growth, there will be overestimation of the near future, and underestimation of the relatively distant future of 10 years or more. There will be no major changes in the next few years, but major changes will occur in the next 10 years.

@kamikeserpentail3778 5 ай бұрын

Changes will happen slower than the most optimistic guesses, but more quickly than the average person suspects

@therebeccamarie 5 ай бұрын

The dangling carrot needs to be sold as enticing. Desiring to be symbiotic with AI and allow it to control thoughts, feelings and behavior may be the sign of already being cybernetic. An element of being human is free will and choice, it's fascinating watching those who have lost theirs.

@r.g.j.leclaire8963 5 ай бұрын

Humans don't actually have free will though

@therebeccamarie 5 ай бұрын

I agree for the most part. Big subject for sure.@@r.g.j.leclaire8963

@michaelmartinez5365 5 ай бұрын

Free will is an illusion.

@therebeccamarie 5 ай бұрын

Agree for the most part. @@michaelmartinez5365

@HarperSkylark 5 ай бұрын

well said.

@dhickey5919 5 ай бұрын

Like good ideas!

@rifz42 5 ай бұрын

I wonder what happened between 1975 and 1985? why is the line is flat..

@ismaelplaca244 5 ай бұрын

Atari crashed the market

@qed100 5 ай бұрын

Disco, and MTV.

@worldpeace9566 5 ай бұрын

We will exponential grow in AI every 3 months.

@azjaguardesign 5 ай бұрын

50 billion calculations per second per dollar! Wow! Can #Ray extrapolate further out into the future if the same rate of growth expands exponentially, say … For the NEXT (80) years? Where on the graph will we be then? 😊

@redcarddino 5 ай бұрын

Really ? People trolling ray ... looser and haters are the same thing

@secretd5 5 ай бұрын

Actually losers and haters are closer than loosers and haters that is assuming loosers are people who deflate tension or release (things or concepts) from restraint.

@redcarddino 5 ай бұрын

@@secretd5 what nice mistake ... loosers are in constan toxic restrain and haters is the next evolution of all of that rottem toxicity

@thephilosophicalagnostic2177 5 ай бұрын

It should be called Moore's Law, because he's the guy who first noticed the pattern.

@ReadyPlayerPiano 5 ай бұрын

Missing the point. It's not a dismissal of Moore, it's just a different metric as the underlying cause is decoupled from the phenomenon noted by Moore. Moore's law was specifically in regard to transistors.

@dr.emmettbrown7183 5 ай бұрын

It is not a law but an AGENDA planned many decades ago. Do not be fooled.

@yoganature3598 4 ай бұрын

👀

@AbsurdBear 5 ай бұрын

Give me one more exhortation to not call it Moore's Law, and I'm going to call it Moore's Law forever (and a day).

@exmodule6323 5 ай бұрын

Does Ray ever say anything new?

@dr.emmettbrown7183 5 ай бұрын

Why is he dressed like a clown? Well, to laugh at you. Telling you something that he knows is going to happen because they have planned it decades ago.

@ruah5617 5 ай бұрын

Apparently we'll be dressing like clowns in the future 😂

@Noname-yu8qw 5 ай бұрын

and people becoming more stupid...

@sitedev 5 ай бұрын

I feel like I just watched a really bad kids tv show. On a serious note: his comment about most people not liking their jobs and AI will free them from work … nice … what are they supposed to eat? The answer cannot be UBI - no self respecting human wants to live on welfare regardless of how it’s marketed.

@r.g.j.leclaire8963 5 ай бұрын

What you're forgetting is that the world is going to change and people just won't have economic value. So it doesn't really matter what we want, we'll be thrown into existential crisis and having to rethink the purpose of life. And we will.

@r.g.j.leclaire8963 5 ай бұрын

And you're right that the ultimate solution is not UBI. It's abundance.

@ShadeDraws 5 ай бұрын

You can farm if you want.

@Volatile-Tortoise 5 ай бұрын

“The goal of the future Is full unemployment, so we can play” - Arthur C Clarke

@dr.emmettbrown7183 5 ай бұрын

There is a hidden agenda. What is going to happen is not going to be by chance. Everything is planned decades in advance. Don't be fooled. The plan includes getting rid of a large part of the world's population, but they are not going to tell you that, but rather they are going to tell you children's stories hoping that you will believe them.

@trojanthedog 5 ай бұрын

Oh Ray, don't use the French in any commentary concerning normative attitudes towards work! 😂

@AgrippaTheMighty 5 ай бұрын

Because...?

@atypocrat1779 5 ай бұрын

Anyone taking this guy serious? I can't do it.

@frank254100 5 ай бұрын

Yet you're here??? 😂

@Volatile-Tortoise 5 ай бұрын

Why? And why now of all times? He’s being proven correct straight in front of your eyes right now. The AI advances that we’ve seen in the last two years alone go beyond what any of his critics thought was possible within the next 70 - 100 years. If you can’t see that, then you’re just not paying attention to the technology, or are in some serious, cognitive denial/cope. AI researchers are revising downwards their prediction of when AGI will be achieved, at of a rate of about 12 years per year per 1 year, over the last couple of years; and this “AI Spring” is only just starting.

@thetroytroycan 5 ай бұрын

He's brilliant and 85% of his data based predictions materialized. He doesn't guess. Hard data. Inventor.

@jimdandy8996 5 ай бұрын

If he had it his way, it would be called "Kurzweil's Law." AI has been around 60 years? lol

@Antitheist 5 ай бұрын

He calls it the law of accelerating returns.

@rationalmuscle 5 ай бұрын

Neural nets have been -first papers and research in the 1940s - and if you had half an ounce of knowledge of the field, you'd know that.

@jimdandy8996 5 ай бұрын

@@rationalmuscle I have enough knowledge to know that's not actual AI. Perhaps you could benefit from a few grams of knowledge.

@juanestonia7213 5 ай бұрын

Millions of dollars, yet can't afford a stylist.

@whatthefunction9140 5 ай бұрын

Or he paid for the most exclusive stylist

@blakemurch9930 5 ай бұрын

L take mans killin it

@juanestonia7213 5 ай бұрын

@@whatthefunction9140 or a drunk toddler.

@SnerMerNer 5 ай бұрын

Style is dressing up for external validation. This man has no need to prove himself to anyone.

@ShadeDraws 5 ай бұрын

Poor people worry about style so they can look like they're winning while they're losing. Winners don't care how they look.

@MikeHowles 5 ай бұрын

This dude is too full of himself.

@r.g.j.leclaire8963 5 ай бұрын

I guess the random Internet person knows

@ShadeDraws 5 ай бұрын

Look in a mirror.

@rationalmuscle 5 ай бұрын

Yeah...he's only been correct more than Nostradamus on steroids, but sure...he should tame it down a bit.

@Volatile-Tortoise 5 ай бұрын

There’s zero evidence that he’s “full of himself”. Sure of his ideas, yeah, I see that, but that’s not synonymous with what you’re implying. It seems to me like you’re resorting to ad hominem attacks to cope with your own discomfort at the current and growing torrent of evidence that major, psychologically-disruptive changes are happening faster than anyone - other than Kurzweil - expected. We’re already seeing things with AI’s like Chat GPT that people like you would have assumed what either decades away or would never happen at all. i.e. Copium. You’re welcome to tender another explanation though? Perhaps you’re living under a rock or something? Either way a lone insult is not a counter argument.

@dr.emmettbrown7183 5 ай бұрын

Exactly. You have identified it correctly. That guy is not trustworthy.