Replacing Biden would be ‘folly:’ Historian | NewsNation Prime

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NewsNation

Күн бұрын

American University historian Allan Lichtman says his opinion hasn’t changed in more than a week since the calls for President Joe Biden to give up his reelection race began. The developer of 13 “keys” to winning the White House tells “NewsNation Prime” it would be “folly” for Democrats to push out Biden.
#joe biden #2024 election #allan lichtman
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Пікірлер: 477
@Carolhumphreykoral
@Carolhumphreykoral 26 күн бұрын
He predicted trump when no else was.When all the polls and pundits said hillary would win
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@seanm3226
@seanm3226 25 күн бұрын
On the heels of Brexit, plenty of people picked Trump in 2016.
@smh-TV
@smh-TV 25 күн бұрын
@@seanm3226stop falling for recency bias and your feelings towards trump. Hillary was the favorite a week before the election. That last minute investigation by Comey and her pride (not making last efforts to campaign in swing states) costed her the election. Every poll had her as the favorite at that time. Not enough dems showed out to the polls. They did so in 2020 bc they knew the stakes of it.
@jesusacosta5176
@jesusacosta5176 25 күн бұрын
@@smh-TV they better remember the stakes this time as well
@smh-TV
@smh-TV 25 күн бұрын
@@jesusacosta5176 i believe both sides will show up again. it will come down to the electoral college and swing state races. most of america already has their party/mind up. Just 6 battleground states that decide the election. I will admit that trump did get more votes in 2020 than 2016 so i can’t doubt republicans. But idk if he’ll get more in 2024 than 2020 considering all that happened since the November election. Jan 6, convicted of felonies. Found liable for defamation and r*pe in a civil case
@syz911
@syz911 26 күн бұрын
This guy is correct. People have already decided whom they would vote. It doesn't matter whether Biden remains or not, the Biden voters would vote any Democratic candidate. In fact many Dems are saying they would vote for Biden even if he is on a wheelchair.
@kytediane6964
@kytediane6964 24 күн бұрын
They voted for FDR when he had polio. FDR did some of his best presidential work when he was in a wheel chair. Since when, do the elitist Dems think they have the right to change our primary vote?!
@patrickbateman3840
@patrickbateman3840 24 күн бұрын
FDR noises intensifies
@belgianbull4722
@belgianbull4722 24 күн бұрын
I am a democrat who has voted democratic every single time down ballot. I am a democrat who hangs out in mostly center left to left political circles. Never have I seen so many democrats either saying I wont vote for Biden; I will either stay home or vote third party. He lost a lot of us because of Gaza, and now he has lost more since its clear he is mentally unfit to be president. His arrogance and ego in the last week where he is literally sounding like Trump isnt helping either.
@patrickbateman3840
@patrickbateman3840 24 күн бұрын
@@belgianbull4722 how old are you even the decade is enough
@jesusacosta5176
@jesusacosta5176 24 күн бұрын
@@syz911 the independent voters are the ones who will decide the election.
@ColbyONE
@ColbyONE 26 күн бұрын
This man literally repeats the same thing every single show he goes on.
@SIERRATREES
@SIERRATREES 26 күн бұрын
So do all the other networks on Biden, like stuck records today. hella boring. Joe is going to get up and WIN.
@yowzephyr
@yowzephyr 26 күн бұрын
He's assuming that lots of viewers are only watching him now for the first time. He's not thinking of his fans like you who catch him wherever he goes. : )
@mariasoniamoreno3433
@mariasoniamoreno3433 26 күн бұрын
Do you want him to state a different method or prediction? He has one system and one prediction.
@naturemeets
@naturemeets 26 күн бұрын
Not sure about your thoughts but I think this|| , "" All the news networks have fallen into a big vicieux " Biden to step down, news loop Syndrome " . I am not certain whether these immortal networks will ever able to get out from this LOOP. Go Biden Go. Live long USA. "".
@Mike-01234
@Mike-01234 26 күн бұрын
What's your track record? 🤣
@nigel642
@nigel642 25 күн бұрын
The calls for Biden to step down seem negative, no positive suggestions, just dividing and weakening the Democrat party. If you suggest somebody else that could be positive. However, unless you suggest Harris the VP to take over, there would be enormous difficulties which make the other suggestions impractical. That is what Lichtman says. As for Republicans, if Biden is so bad then he would be an asset to Republicans and they should want him to stay.
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
You guys should watch Allan's older videos. He's predicting the last few elections.....and people criticize him. He's right and repeat.
@seanm3226
@seanm3226 25 күн бұрын
Actually most elections have been predictable.
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 25 күн бұрын
@@seanm3226 Most people (even the professionals) don't predict most elections right. To say most elections have been predictable means nothing. Allan has a system that people can objectively follow.
@Guy-cb1oh
@Guy-cb1oh 17 күн бұрын
@@seanm3226 Only in hindsight.
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
Every election, people criticize Allen, Allen is right, repeat.
@duanekelly-fe5bt
@duanekelly-fe5bt 26 күн бұрын
He's 9-10, so he got 1 wrong, and now he'll be 9-11. If you look at the past 10 presidential races, it doesn't take a rocket scentist to have predicted most of the winners with a little common sense. I'm 9-10 myself, while getting the Bush, Clinton, and Perott election wrong, while predicting Trump would lose the second term do to the crooked changing of election laws along with the laptop fiasco.
@BloodymaryPudding
@BloodymaryPudding 25 күн бұрын
You're the one that spelled his name incorrectly!
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 25 күн бұрын
@@BloodymaryPudding Don't be the loser who spell check on KZfaq.
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@peterhong9563
@peterhong9563 26 күн бұрын
Mr.biden president please please stay presidential election
@user-rk4vp6zr4r
@user-rk4vp6zr4r 26 күн бұрын
No. Biden IS NOT fully cognizant in real public time. He may be able to function with helpers & behind scenes but US Pres. role often involves on the spot thinking foreign policy wise. Democrats NEED to realise they are in a delusional echo chamber to not appreciate the public will vote for a felon over a visibly too old man. BOTH Mr B AND Mr T should be stood down as candidates!
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 2 күн бұрын
I hope your 2nd thinking your post, since after July 23
@BillyMartin68
@BillyMartin68 26 күн бұрын
Why did Trump assault that poor woman in a dressing room and then defame her twice? Why isn’t that one of the keys? Convicted of 34 felonies should also be a key. Trump will be sentenced in September. Maybe that will be a key? 😂
@RIDING_BEARS
@RIDING_BEARS 26 күн бұрын
You have it bad
@CraftyGrandmaDem
@CraftyGrandmaDem 25 күн бұрын
That's right. Not to mention the January 6th insurrection case in D.C., the election interference case in Georgia, the Espionage case in Florida. An innocent man would want to go to trial to prove he's innocent. Trump just keeps delaying the trial and now he's having his s. court judges destroying our Constitution to help him. Judge Cannon is helping Trump too.
@lindastraub7542
@lindastraub7542 26 күн бұрын
Well this guy isnt biased 😂... get the HOOK !
@MegaChallanger
@MegaChallanger 26 күн бұрын
He called trump in 2016
@robthagod4870
@robthagod4870 26 күн бұрын
@@MegaChallanger And he says there is no scandal with Biden.
@RIDING_BEARS
@RIDING_BEARS 26 күн бұрын
​@@robthagod4870 That's his opinion. The keys I believe. His opinions suck.
@BenjiOrthopedic
@BenjiOrthopedic 25 күн бұрын
Who ISN'T biased in this day and age?!! Then again, the biggest "bias" happened after January 6th. Then the camps became firmly established - the Orange Jesus camp, and the anti-Orange Jesus camp.
@kstar1489
@kstar1489 25 күн бұрын
@@RIDING_BEARSexcept he’s predicted every election since Reagan correctly lmao you people are coping so hard
@DwynRoberts
@DwynRoberts 26 күн бұрын
BOYCOTT MAINSTREAM MEDIA
@michaellee888
@michaellee888 24 күн бұрын
Speak up to mainstream media, then boycott.
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 26 күн бұрын
I predicted the New York Jets would not win the last 10 Super Bowls. Nobody’s calling me to be on TV. 😢
@Guy-cb1oh
@Guy-cb1oh 17 күн бұрын
You don't have to be a College Professor to predict that...
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 16 күн бұрын
@@Guy-cb1oh and you don’t have to be a college professor, to predict what he predicted. Only maybe three of the last 10 presidential elections or close. So he basically is 2 out of 3.
@susankwak3576
@susankwak3576 26 күн бұрын
The media is so biased
@christopherkelly577
@christopherkelly577 26 күн бұрын
Is ok Fox spouts nothing but biased anti Biden crap 24/7 never ending guests reiterating same thing. Then you get folk like this doing it for the democratic platforms.
@Clueback
@Clueback 24 күн бұрын
Although he is neglecting to acknowledge the fact that this is the first time in American history that a candidate has shown this level of senility. That could change things, not saying it will, but it could.
@alansnyder8448
@alansnyder8448 25 күн бұрын
I was expecting an impartial exposition about the factors that affect who wins from a professor. What I got is someone who is not an objective observer. He seems emotionally attached to the outcome and all in on the Democratic party and telling them what to do. It looks unprofessional on his part.
@cchris874
@cchris874 24 күн бұрын
Well he has a record behind him. Your post does not.
@orionspur
@orionspur 26 күн бұрын
He is missing "the candidate is a vegetable" key.
@jesusacosta5176
@jesusacosta5176 25 күн бұрын
@@orionspur that would be Trump 😆😆
@Creslin321
@Creslin321 24 күн бұрын
Biden’s old, he’s not a vegetable. You should be honest with yourself, or you will find yourself constantly baffled by why the world doesn’t agree with your perspective.
@michaellee888
@michaellee888 24 күн бұрын
He's missing "the candidate is a felon" key
@shams6662
@shams6662 26 күн бұрын
Hey genius, how is "challenger charisma" a "winning key" for biden??
@TimeIdle
@TimeIdle 25 күн бұрын
In order for it to be a losing key for Biden, Trump must be a charismatic candidate (challenger). Trump is not charismatic as he doesn't have a wide appeal, ala Reagan, FDR or Obama (in 2008).
@critical_eye1
@critical_eye1 25 күн бұрын
@@TimeIdleand who determines that? Him in his basement? - between both candidates, trump is more charismatic than biden, therefore, this “key” should go to him.
@TimeIdle
@TimeIdle 25 күн бұрын
@@critical_eye1 Learn about his keys before flapping your mouth. The question isn't if the challenger is more or less charismatic than the incumbent. It's if the challenger is charismatic, period. And it's determined by metrics, like votes and approval ratings and wide appeal. How many democrats do you know who voted for Trump (the way they did for Reagan, for example). How is Trump charismatic when he lost the popular votes in two elections in a row to two different people? By the way, there's also a separate charisma question for the incumbent, for which Biden lost that key b/c he too isn't considered a charismatic candidate.
@shams6662
@shams6662 25 күн бұрын
@@TimeIdle Unfortunately, Trump is a charismatic challenger. It's his only redeeming trait, but he is.
@TimeIdle
@TimeIdle 25 күн бұрын
@@shams6662 To a MAGA maybe, but that's not the definition of charisma according to Allan's key. The candidate has to have a wide appeal. Trump never got over 47% of the votes.
@Pogoc7
@Pogoc7 26 күн бұрын
Guy got TDS bad
@smh-TV
@smh-TV 25 күн бұрын
he predicted trump to win in 2016. he is nonpartisan. He just looks at data on the methods his election predicting format follows to predict wins. He’s not saying biden will win but he is more favorable if he stays put instead of there being an open spot/non-incumbent leader.
@kstar1489
@kstar1489 25 күн бұрын
You’ve got fascism blindness bad
@Creslin321
@Creslin321 24 күн бұрын
He literally predicted Trump would win in 2016.
@mzk123ify
@mzk123ify 26 күн бұрын
His wig is all wrong...
@katrinagarrett9612
@katrinagarrett9612 26 күн бұрын
I think it's the color. Salt and pepper would look better.
@guyfawkes9789
@guyfawkes9789 25 күн бұрын
@@katrinagarrett9612 It's to appear younger to lure in little boys.
@TimeIdle
@TimeIdle 24 күн бұрын
@@guyfawkes9789 Projecting much?
@guyfawkes9789
@guyfawkes9789 24 күн бұрын
@@TimeIdle you sticking up for your own kind?.😆
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 2 күн бұрын
@@guyfawkes9789 it looks like he’s wearing a Lego piece head of hair😅
@ccwoodlands1565
@ccwoodlands1565 26 күн бұрын
Totally disagree with Allan! How about adding mental / physical health to your model?! You are assuming every candidate is physically and mentally healthy! That’s the flaw in your model! Challenge that, Allan! Your model is flawed!
@morrisonreed1
@morrisonreed1 26 күн бұрын
we will see if he has to eat his bias
@HandgunSafe
@HandgunSafe 26 күн бұрын
I said the same thing in a comment after the last time NewsNation gave this guy a platform. This professor is a historian. He's not thinking like a scientist, though he's trying to sound as though he is.
@dinj8840
@dinj8840 26 күн бұрын
Mental and physical incapacity is immaterial in this case because Biden is incoherent but not mentally incompetent. He has not been formally diagnosed. So your additional variable of mental unfitness is just like adding a liability for an incumbent like high unemployment or criminal conviction as in the case with Trump
@MegaChallanger
@MegaChallanger 26 күн бұрын
​@@morrisonreed1idk how you bet against someone with his track record
@trirail812productions8
@trirail812productions8 26 күн бұрын
i think allan is right trump is not a clean guy so if joe walks away look who you got trump ant much better
@cmane6054
@cmane6054 26 күн бұрын
Thank you Professor!!! Keep up the good research!! Keep up the hard work and the critical keys you talk about!! You have the respect of so many.
@paulwydra5362
@paulwydra5362 26 күн бұрын
he is too well educated to understand just simple things :/
@MarkColeman-og6no
@MarkColeman-og6no 26 күн бұрын
You can tell this guy on dope
@hughjass1044
@hughjass1044 26 күн бұрын
I actually think it's the opposite. He's not on dope..... But he should be.
@missmiss6516
@missmiss6516 25 күн бұрын
You need the possessive "s" on "guy." Dooe.
@MarkColeman-og6no
@MarkColeman-og6no 25 күн бұрын
@@missmiss6516 you need to vote for Trump
@matthiasvanrhijn280
@matthiasvanrhijn280 26 күн бұрын
We should listen to this.
@fannysaturnina1849
@fannysaturnina1849 16 күн бұрын
He also looks like he should step aside 😂 He shares maybe a coiffeur with Trump ? The point of Trump Convicted and lier I do fear doesn’t represent a problem for voters in general
@michaelkalish2013
@michaelkalish2013 21 күн бұрын
This guy should be being interviewed on CNN
@telix5000
@telix5000 26 күн бұрын
10 and 11 could probably be consolidated into one key.
@johnhiggins90
@johnhiggins90 24 күн бұрын
For Democracy’s sake keep Joe Biden as the candidate and stop bitching. Get out there and fight like Democracy is at stake!
@rebegre
@rebegre 26 күн бұрын
This guy is not objective at all!
@MegaChallanger
@MegaChallanger 26 күн бұрын
You do realize he called trump in 2016
@jcwatchdog
@jcwatchdog 26 күн бұрын
He called Trump to win the popular vote, which was false. Then he changed what his “keys” predicted. They always just predicted the popular vote.
@dayo8843
@dayo8843 26 күн бұрын
He’s been right for 40 years lol
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
His methodology is sound. 100% sound. A record unequalled.
@duanekelly-fe5bt
@duanekelly-fe5bt 26 күн бұрын
@@MegaChallanger Just think, he was the only person who predicted Trump woul win, I mean I'm impressed.
@jayg-lg2ot
@jayg-lg2ot 26 күн бұрын
See told ya he has TDS 😂
@pattyl7244
@pattyl7244 26 күн бұрын
I hope he talks to Biden about this.
@user-sm5yn3op9r
@user-sm5yn3op9r 25 күн бұрын
Ridiculous!
@mzk123ify
@mzk123ify 26 күн бұрын
People act like he has done something so great. Ive also guessed the last few races correctly. When odds are 50/50 it is not a big feat.
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
Math iz eazy cuz there iz only 10 numbers.
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@EricLewandowski-vn7ky
@EricLewandowski-vn7ky 25 күн бұрын
He would’ve incorrectly guessed 5/10 of the elections using your logic.
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 2 күн бұрын
Big deal, I predicted the Jets would lose the last 20 Super Bowls, and predict that they will not win any of the next 10 Super Bowls. But nobody’s asking me to be interviewed on national TV.
@JohnGisMe
@JohnGisMe 12 күн бұрын
Now that the incumbency key is lost, what has he said about the election which seems to be Trump vs. Harris?
@jonaszswietomierz8017
@jonaszswietomierz8017 11 күн бұрын
7 false keys against Harris. To me it already seemed like Trump was on the way to the WH, but now even his keys corroborate this.
@JQRNY-YDJKD
@JQRNY-YDJKD 11 күн бұрын
Yes, Trump will win.
@JQRNY-YDJKD
@JQRNY-YDJKD 11 күн бұрын
@@jonaszswietomierz8017 Yes, Trump will win.
@zy-
@zy- 7 күн бұрын
@@jonaszswietomierz8017nope he said only 5 so far Harris can still win
@stonelaraway
@stonelaraway 21 күн бұрын
Political analysts and pundits often try to shape public opinion and influence how people think about political issues. They may use various techniques, such as framing, spin, and selective presentation of facts, to advance their own narratives or agendas. The "keys to the White House" concept, popularized by Allan Lichtman, is a prime example of this. While it may be an interesting and simplifying framework for understanding presidential elections, it's essential to remember that it's just one perspective among many. It's crucial to maintain a critical eye and consider multiple sources, viewpoints, and factors when evaluating political information. By doing so, you can develop a more nuanced understanding of the issues and make informed decisions.
@user-nc4nw5jr7u
@user-nc4nw5jr7u 26 күн бұрын
Thank you professor Allen please 🙏🏽 let me know this peoples know is big mistake to push president Biden we have to stand by him 👏🏼👏🏼👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽👌👌👌✌️✌️✌️🤍🤍💙💙💙🇺🇸🇺🇸💯💯💯💯💯😍😍
@ricklu7319
@ricklu7319 26 күн бұрын
the bots are everywhere
@RIDING_BEARS
@RIDING_BEARS 26 күн бұрын
FJB gojo
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
Every system is right until it’s wrong
@PennyNeiman
@PennyNeiman 23 күн бұрын
Thank you, sir! 💙🇺🇲
@ianek9794
@ianek9794 25 күн бұрын
I find the keys interesting and i would believe them but the fact that he has the scandal key as win is kinda ridiculous. Whats happening now is definitely scandal
@jesusacosta5176
@jesusacosta5176 24 күн бұрын
@@ianek9794 this is not a scandal
@user-yy9hk9od9u
@user-yy9hk9od9u 26 күн бұрын
It already is a folly.
@philpolzin2233
@philpolzin2233 23 күн бұрын
Just the fact that Trump can secure the nomination of the GOP should tell you everything you need to know about that fustercluck. Save our democracy vote Blue. Vote for Joe. This is important. For real.
@KLS775
@KLS775 25 күн бұрын
No one cares what you think the people who refuse to vote for him now their minds are not gonna change Replace him or lose it’s simple
@TonyFreeman-LocoTonyF
@TonyFreeman-LocoTonyF 25 күн бұрын
0:18 More need to stand up and say it! 🇺🇸
@Sadiemaltitzu
@Sadiemaltitzu 23 күн бұрын
I am tired of this discussion. Just vote!
@shamaniworld528
@shamaniworld528 26 күн бұрын
That's Right Allan. One One Side Haters Using Common Sense/ Repeating Here Say, while On The Other Side Its Hard To Discredit Reality Using Logic 😮 ❤ 💯
@Hello-xp5wz
@Hello-xp5wz 25 күн бұрын
Pray this is true.
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 26 күн бұрын
I’m sick of every time this guys is introduced. They says he’s correctly predicted 9 of last 10 elections. Only 2 (maybe 3) of the last 10 elections were even close. So in my eyes, he’s (2 for 3)
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
Have you had your eyes checked lately?
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 26 күн бұрын
@@-mattwood do you wanna explain where there’s a flaw in my reasoning. Let me rephrase it for you, so you can better understand. (7 out the Last 10) elections it was clearly known who’s gonna win the election before the election. Only 3 were tossups.
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
@@-mattwood He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@MikeCee7
@MikeCee7 24 күн бұрын
@@-mattwood please elaborate on your comment.
@ilenegallo6406
@ilenegallo6406 25 күн бұрын
I’m with Biden🤩🤩👍
@achacunsapasteque1225
@achacunsapasteque1225 22 күн бұрын
You need a french president, America is not corrupt enough
@rickgault5349
@rickgault5349 26 күн бұрын
Oh yeah..another unbiased historian.
@Marlahanna
@Marlahanna 25 күн бұрын
That went off the rails quickly.
@primate-behavior
@primate-behavior 24 күн бұрын
Either way it's a wig out.
@nicolegilzene7995
@nicolegilzene7995 26 күн бұрын
And the funny thing about him is that he is boastful like trump. They have so much in common a trump is very boasful and so is he? That's why he doesn't like trump if he doesn't believe there's other people there's another man like him.😂😂
@gotskinn
@gotskinn 25 күн бұрын
Dont forget to convict Trump for removing that mattress tag too
@robinblades600
@robinblades600 26 күн бұрын
I don't usually fall into the conspiracy theories BUT I do believe Gore won in 2000 and our world would be so much better if he had been put into office and no I'm not ",trolling" or a "bot" this is MY opinion 🤷
@heartlandfarmer2720
@heartlandfarmer2720 25 күн бұрын
That's called election denialism.
@LarrySpringerSpaniel-si3vq
@LarrySpringerSpaniel-si3vq 26 күн бұрын
I think the good Professor's clairvoyance powers have hit a wall.
@toxicaristotle3052
@toxicaristotle3052 26 күн бұрын
He wont be talking biden loses.
@duanekelly-fe5bt
@duanekelly-fe5bt 26 күн бұрын
He'll be back before the 2028 election bragging about being 9-11.
@anitacoryell9713
@anitacoryell9713 23 күн бұрын
People told me they would vote for Biden even if he was dead! Anyone as long as it's not Trump.
@ray.d.oeaux1230
@ray.d.oeaux1230 26 күн бұрын
This guy's got less credibility than Brandon.
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
He got nearly all predictions right for 40 years. You got the last election wrong.
@MegaChallanger
@MegaChallanger 26 күн бұрын
​@@P.90.603 IKR
@brianjoiner1170
@brianjoiner1170 26 күн бұрын
Still more than trump
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
BOT.
@ray.d.oeaux1230
@ray.d.oeaux1230 26 күн бұрын
@@P.90.603 You confuse late-arriving mail-in ballots with actual voters. Try again.
@cameronkear5191
@cameronkear5191 25 күн бұрын
I’d say the scandal key has definitely flipped at this point.
@HurricanePatrick
@HurricanePatrick 26 күн бұрын
He only thinks that cause he doesn't want to be wrong lol
@christopherkelly577
@christopherkelly577 26 күн бұрын
It is been at the stage where "folly" is what happens anytime he does anything. Can't negotiate stairs, rambles incoherently. World is watching and is shocked that this has been allowed to even happen. Trump and co. are keen for Joe to stay on the ticket. I wonder why 😂
@psheerinhamill1
@psheerinhamill1 26 күн бұрын
This guy sounds a bit like a narcissist.
@The_Invisible_Man
@The_Invisible_Man 25 күн бұрын
This dude has made a living out of this garbage. Mind you he is right… you should never lose your keys.
@keeperofknowledge4120
@keeperofknowledge4120 26 күн бұрын
wow, that is one heck of a tupee! 10/10
@emiliekatherine9309
@emiliekatherine9309 17 күн бұрын
Watch this interview: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/jpqGmNCW3K25ZqM.html Lichtman goes in depth about the keys and explains the science behind them and the historical research of elections dating back to 1800s that goes into them. He also explains why the disastrous debate does not impact Biden's chances of winning even though it is an unprecedented situation. Great interview!
@anitalevine3012
@anitalevine3012 26 күн бұрын
God i hope he is right
@tadgray9114
@tadgray9114 26 күн бұрын
This guy is so set in his methodology that he doesn't realise that, post 2016, US politics is wildly different to what it was.
@TheRussianWookie
@TheRussianWookie 25 күн бұрын
He predicted trump in 2016
@kstar1489
@kstar1489 25 күн бұрын
He predicted Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020, I’d say his record is still solid.
@StoryMing
@StoryMing 24 күн бұрын
None of the political changes in the last 8 years invalidate his methodology.
@TheTechnocrat78
@TheTechnocrat78 24 күн бұрын
Because his methodology is based on metrics; economics, administrative efficiency, foreign policy, a legitimate challenge to the incumbent. By the way, he hasn’t made a projection for this election as of yet.
@StoryMing
@StoryMing 23 күн бұрын
@@TheTechnocrat78 He *is* saying that barring the unforeseen, Biden would be likely to win against Trump, and that replacing the incumbent with an unknown net candidate would make a Dem win far more difficult if.
@jennyvinyl85
@jennyvinyl85 25 күн бұрын
Harris president? No way! 😮
@kytediane6964
@kytediane6964 24 күн бұрын
Can you imagine what the Trump supporters would do if Republicans tried to pull Trump out of the election?!
@williammcdonald3041
@williammcdonald3041 15 күн бұрын
Japanese internment camps were established during World War II by President Franklin D. Roosevelt through his Executive Order 9066. From 1942 to 1945, it was the policy of the U.S. government that people of Japanese descent, including U.S. citizens, would be incarcerated in isolated camps. Enacted in reaction to the Pearl Harbor attacks and the ensuing war, the incarceration of Japanese Americans is considered one of the most atrocious violations of American civil rights in the 20th century. It will be worse this time. What happens when these millions are tried to be returned and no one wants them back. Will it go the way of the Germans, when no one wanted the Jews ( immigrants, legal and illegal), Gays, Gypsy (homeless), media and party dissenters.
@spinfrost
@spinfrost 26 күн бұрын
Hari Seldon would be proud!
@stephbarbershop2518
@stephbarbershop2518 26 күн бұрын
When you use the "Trump only cares about himself" you loose my respect.
@lindastraub7542
@lindastraub7542 26 күн бұрын
@@stephbarbershop2518 I agree.
@brianjoiner1170
@brianjoiner1170 26 күн бұрын
But it true
@alexsolhi6364
@alexsolhi6364 26 күн бұрын
Totally agree, this guys appears very angry and one-sided, not intellectual at all.
@robinblades600
@robinblades600 26 күн бұрын
What?? Are you saying you disagree with that comment? Just making sure I understand you correctly, I've never heard anyone say he isn't out for himself, even his own people say it is why I'm so surprised
@robinblades600
@robinblades600 26 күн бұрын
​@@rogerdebougainville889bahaha 😆 thank you! I needed that laugh tonight!
@ObeseCaligula
@ObeseCaligula 26 күн бұрын
Folly? What is this, England!?
@gathrightcrystal
@gathrightcrystal 26 күн бұрын
Andrew went to court Clinton didn't so no this ain't England
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
I hope so... England just trounced their far right party! Hurrah!
@ObeseCaligula
@ObeseCaligula 26 күн бұрын
@@-mattwood How does that help deaf blind and fingerless Ukrainians of color?
@joeclark7888
@joeclark7888 26 күн бұрын
This guy is full of it.Kamala? Keys? BS.
@hunter7e7
@hunter7e7 26 күн бұрын
Nice wig
@cook4470
@cook4470 12 күн бұрын
Well, this guy was wrong, but now he's going to be "correct" when Trump beats Harris. Lichtman in November: "Told you so."
@JQRNY-YDJKD
@JQRNY-YDJKD 11 күн бұрын
Yes, Trump will win.
@RIDING_BEARS
@RIDING_BEARS 26 күн бұрын
Gojo gojo!
@martinsantos3644
@martinsantos3644 25 күн бұрын
I will vote for Biden any day. Trump was fired once why should we vote for him again. No thank you!
@wildwillietober4888
@wildwillietober4888 20 күн бұрын
Trumps clown campaigns are lunatic. Pepper are walking out in the middle of trumps clown show.
@6361kris
@6361kris 25 күн бұрын
He can;t admit he was wrong in 2000. Kind of sounds like Trump, can't admitt when he's wrong.
@davelangenheim4458
@davelangenheim4458 12 күн бұрын
Guess he was wrong
@JQRNY-YDJKD
@JQRNY-YDJKD 11 күн бұрын
Yes, Trump will win.
@yowzephyr
@yowzephyr 26 күн бұрын
Just imagine if the Democrats replace Biden, putting someone else on the ticket, and then right after the Democratic Convention ends Lichtman makes his big prediction that everyone is waiting for and he says Trump is predicted to win! Oh my God, will THAT cause a fuss!
@CraftyGrandmaDem
@CraftyGrandmaDem 25 күн бұрын
If Biden leaves, Trump will win. That is why it's such a horrible idea. Media, why don't you talk about Trump leaving the race. There are a lot more reasons for him to leave.
@TimeIdle
@TimeIdle 25 күн бұрын
Judging from the comments, this channel definitely has a lot of MAGA viewers.
@RensinkRamblings
@RensinkRamblings 12 күн бұрын
I hope Trump winds just based on this jokes bias.
@Moose46316
@Moose46316 26 күн бұрын
Definitionately a Democrat
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
Always more correct and connected to reality than you are? I agree.
@RIDING_BEARS
@RIDING_BEARS 26 күн бұрын
He claims republican
@Moose46316
@Moose46316 26 күн бұрын
@@-mattwood I am an historian. It is not that difficult to predict elections
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@Moose46316
@Moose46316 25 күн бұрын
@@RIDING_BEARS Well he isn't a good Republican
@jeff3638
@jeff3638 26 күн бұрын
Bug poop😅
@wrweeks1234
@wrweeks1234 26 күн бұрын
Using his own keys, I'm seeing at least 8 Falses with Biden. He has to be using subjective reasoning to get this down to only 5.
@MegaChallanger
@MegaChallanger 26 күн бұрын
And yet he predicted the last several elections. 🤡
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
I think you're right... the guy who created the methodology and has use it to accurately predict 40 years of Presidents doesn't know what he's doing. Maybe YOU should have been interviewed.
@duanekelly-fe5bt
@duanekelly-fe5bt 26 күн бұрын
@@MegaChallanger And he's the only life form in the entire Milky Way galaxy to have done so, I mean, I'm impressed.
@user-ft3gy9fd4k
@user-ft3gy9fd4k 26 күн бұрын
No, you just don't understand the keys enough.
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@leemac9879
@leemac9879 25 күн бұрын
so let Joe run and watch the Train go off the collapsed bridge at full speed into the river 2 Miles below that's infested with Crocodiles ? may as well, then Hunter can run for office and tell stories about how his dad got eaten by Crocs
@lpavel1961
@lpavel1961 26 күн бұрын
But we don't know if Mr. Biden can stay healthy or of his health will decline before the election. I vote for Biden to step down and to let Harris to become the president.
@joycedecker7252
@joycedecker7252 26 күн бұрын
Trump and Ted Nugent VP 24 FJB
@brydgetburke341
@brydgetburke341 26 күн бұрын
@joycedecker7252 Ted Nugent? Lol I'm undecided, but Tim Scott sure. I think he's a better choice
@brydgetburke341
@brydgetburke341 26 күн бұрын
Ps also FjB elder abuse
@MomentsInTrading
@MomentsInTrading 26 күн бұрын
@@brydgetburke341Tim Scott is a good choice IMHO
@brydgetburke341
@brydgetburke341 26 күн бұрын
@@MomentsInTrading same
@brydgetburke341
@brydgetburke341 26 күн бұрын
😮 2020 stolen?? Ooo... 👀
@brydgetburke341
@brydgetburke341 26 күн бұрын
Followed this guy too and 👀👀👀 we shall see huh?
@footyballer5345
@footyballer5345 26 күн бұрын
Funny cause if any of us dare say it in the comments we get blocked for 24 hours.
@MegaChallanger
@MegaChallanger 26 күн бұрын
No 2000
@lindastraub7542
@lindastraub7542 26 күн бұрын
@@MegaChallanger yes, you're right it was the year 2000 that he said was stolen.
@brydgetburke341
@brydgetburke341 26 күн бұрын
@footyballer5345 I agree especially if it's too many of us. Let's look at history. Js. But we should all be able to have a discussion. We the people.
@chrishayward1422
@chrishayward1422 26 күн бұрын
Who pays this creepy guy? He is a genius, almost as smart as joe.
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
I sense... fear about who is predicted to win.
@chrishayward1422
@chrishayward1422 25 күн бұрын
@@-mattwood who might that be? I hope Joe stays in the race. I will be voting for President Trump. I fear the " free and fair" election.
@Mr.JohanusWilliams
@Mr.JohanusWilliams 26 күн бұрын
This guy is delusional.
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
Sensing.... fear.
@RIDING_BEARS
@RIDING_BEARS 26 күн бұрын
​@@-mattwood Fear? Look at what biden has done already.
@nancyking9033
@nancyking9033 26 күн бұрын
I would like to see Joe stay in the race....all the crazy gaffes will be entertaining
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
If he stays, he's going to win...and it's party on the streets again.
@nancyking9033
@nancyking9033 25 күн бұрын
@@P.90.603 4 Democrat Senators are calling for Joe to drop out
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 25 күн бұрын
@@nancyking9033 Shame on them for not understanding the keys.
@nancyking9033
@nancyking9033 25 күн бұрын
@@P.90.603 looks like by the end of the week, Joe will be out.....Kamala will be the Democrats Presidential Candidate
@CraftyGrandmaDem
@CraftyGrandmaDem 25 күн бұрын
@@nancyking9033 Yes, never heard of before senators.
@toriarose
@toriarose 26 күн бұрын
Ya' know what "folly" is? It's when you're so focused on the winning, and not the fact that our people would likely re-elect someone that has DEMENTIA (and that his son, wife and other unelected handlers are actually running OUR country). And that he only won the first time based on FEAR (or he would have been potus years ago). And that this person did a lot of sh*tty things in the past (lied publicly about his education, plagiarized multiple times, and made light of both once confronted about it ... I'll not mention the SA accusation, and his other inappropriate behavior with women). "Folly" is having tunnel vision, again, putting such great emphasis on the win, and not this demented person being our LEADER. And not expressing how awful that is for our people, our country, the WORLD. Our future. But hey, as we're at that point of no return, you can still boast that you called the win. Um 'kay. But this time, I very much believe you'll be proven wrong. Our world is changing beyond what your system can predict. RFK Jr. will be out next potus. A true leader this time. And just in the nick of time.
@-mattwood
@-mattwood 26 күн бұрын
And yet... the prediction remains... Biden runs... Biden wins.
@user-yx8bv1fs8y
@user-yx8bv1fs8y 25 күн бұрын
Who the hell is this old man?
@MamaHales24
@MamaHales24 26 күн бұрын
Who did he incorrectly predict?
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
2000....but that's because the supreme court stopped couinting while Bush was ahead and not count all the AFrican American votes.
@mosesmisenso
@mosesmisenso 26 күн бұрын
Bush v Goe
@FrankGlobeTrekker
@FrankGlobeTrekker 26 күн бұрын
@@mosesmisenso The one election the supreme court said to literally stop the count
@Sneednfeedn
@Sneednfeedn 26 күн бұрын
​@@FrankGlobeTrekkercope
@lovegod8582
@lovegod8582 25 күн бұрын
He’s done nothing special at all… He predicted Regan, Bush, Clinton (after an economic crash), Clinton again when everyone knew he would win. Got Bush wrong in 2000, he picked an easy one with Bush in 2004. Obama in 2008 wasn’t hard or 2012. A good luck was Trump 2016. 2020 was rigged. Big deal…
@judithbailey4861
@judithbailey4861 26 күн бұрын
I don’t think anyone realizes that this man is getting old just like Joe Biden… The keys might be the same but the situation has changed and he needs to change his keys to what is happening now…. He keys are of the past now
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
The keys been right for 40 years and validated to the mid 1800s against all types of situations.
@judithbailey4861
@judithbailey4861 26 күн бұрын
@@P.90.603 the world had changed…. You cannot use the past to judge the future
@P.90.603
@P.90.603 26 күн бұрын
@@judithbailey4861 😅🤣. Dude, it's been proven for 40 years and validated to the mid 1800s. History has shown that the party that put their incumbent president aside loses the presidency. You're just being emotional and making assumptions based on NOTHING! What DATA do you have??
@peterhong9563
@peterhong9563 26 күн бұрын
Please Please stay presidential race mr.biden
@dayo8843
@dayo8843 26 күн бұрын
@@judithbailey4861and yet he’s been right for 40 years.
@kennyzz5700
@kennyzz5700 26 күн бұрын
This dude wants Biden to run so he can easily predict a Trump win 😂
@Umbargist
@Umbargist 26 күн бұрын
He’s completely Senile !!! It doesn’t matter what you think should happen , your wrong because Biden is incapable of doing his job , and his job is one of the most important jobs on earth.
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