Session 2: Intrinsic Value - Foundation

  Рет қаралды 737,080

Aswath Damodaran

Aswath Damodaran

Күн бұрын

Sets up the foundations of intrinsic valuation, with a contrast between valuing a business and valuing the equity in that business.

Пікірлер: 177
@MegaSyncmaster793
@MegaSyncmaster793 4 жыл бұрын
His voice is ASMR. There's just something about his cadence. I feel like I'm about to reach valuation nirvana just by listening to him.
@jaap8232
@jaap8232 4 жыл бұрын
Very soothing indeed!
@shwetanksinha1142
@shwetanksinha1142 3 жыл бұрын
True, hearing feels like seeing valuation from different glasses.
@brokuhackson5436
@brokuhackson5436 3 жыл бұрын
It’s the sound of your hands being turned to diamonds.
@nickmhc
@nickmhc 3 жыл бұрын
Become one with the gains ☸️☯️
@shwetakhanduja4079
@shwetakhanduja4079 3 жыл бұрын
Haha, couldn't relate more.
@3m0k1d4evr
@3m0k1d4evr 5 жыл бұрын
Love this guy’s face, voice, and sweater
@TheBanterCity
@TheBanterCity 4 жыл бұрын
Yeah, he's attuned everything perfectly to get his message across
@elnetini
@elnetini 3 жыл бұрын
I love the leather bracelets. Very neo-hippieish
@82zerox
@82zerox 3 жыл бұрын
@@elnetini Can i find this slides on his personal website??
@02mba-thesisonly62
@02mba-thesisonly62 2 жыл бұрын
00:52 the essence of intrinsic valuation: (1) cash flow (2) growth (3) risk 01:09 discount of cash flow valuation ≠intrinsic valuation 01:18 intrinsic valuation is designed for "cash flow generating" assets. [can value a start-up company. cant value an art piece] 01:54 intro of "discount of cash flow valuation": (1) present value of the expected cash flow on that asset 02:32 2 ways to set up a "discount of cash flow valuation": (1) expected cash flows, look at all possible(good or bad) outcomes. the "discount rate" is how you adjust the risks, higher "risks" with higher "discount rates" than save the assets. 03:08 adjust the "discount rate" or adjust the "cash flow" for risk 03:26 risk-averse for "certainty (risk-free) income 04:31 for a company to have value, its cash flows have to have value at "some point in time". 07:07 value either the Equity of the business or the entire business 07:54 the value of equity(cost of equity) = cash flow to equity discounted back at that rate of return 09:53 2 ways to value equity: (1) value equity directly by taking cash flow to equity & discounting at the cost of equity (2) value equity indirectly by valuing the business and subtracting out debt 10:13 first principles in valuation: never mix and match cash flow don't discount cash flow to equity the cost of capital don't discount cash flow of business at the cost of equity. make sure your cash flow & discount rate are matched up. 10:52 intrinsic valuation = valuing companies based on their specific characteristics 10:59 discounted cash flow valuation = a tool to estimate intrinsic value, need to estimate expected cash flow & adjust the risk (either by replacing the expected cash flow with certainty equivalents/ or adjust the discounted rate for risk) 11:12 have to make a choice: (1) valuing the E (2) valuing the entire business that choice will govern how you estimate the CF & discount rate you use.
@siddharthsadavarte14
@siddharthsadavarte14 2 жыл бұрын
P
@ansh2771
@ansh2771 2 жыл бұрын
thank you
@vaishnavipillai48
@vaishnavipillai48 Жыл бұрын
thankyou
@zuma404
@zuma404 7 жыл бұрын
A great teacher is one that can take the most complex idea and explain it in the most simplest way. Thank you for the value you give us!
@narayangopinath-zg7qm
@narayangopinath-zg7qm 4 күн бұрын
Amazed with clarity in his speech, depth in research and making the complex topics flow like a waterfall.. Just wow.. Thanks Professor!
@digitalabhi5992
@digitalabhi5992 3 жыл бұрын
blessed to learn from valuation god himself . he could sell this knowledge at very high price but his purpose was so clear . he just want everyone to learn and grow in life , I don't know that people like you exist . I just love every lecture you posted . you are the best teacher who can teach even someone who teaches valuation himself .
@kailashnair4447
@kailashnair4447 2 жыл бұрын
The confidence in his voice is gorgeous. The way he says every word conveys certainty and you know he knows what he is saying "no gas".
@yuchaofan
@yuchaofan 3 жыл бұрын
This man is the oogway of finance
@Sokrabiades
@Sokrabiades 2 жыл бұрын
Setting aside the topic, this guy is an excellent teacher. He is no joke.
@thefrugalinvestor9596
@thefrugalinvestor9596 3 жыл бұрын
This is just pure gold. So lucky to get my hands on this series.
@sumitmsn2
@sumitmsn2 5 жыл бұрын
Wooowww.. Simplicity in the most complex topics. Damodaran sir did in 15 min what my prof couldn't in entire semester. Thank you sir.
@nicksmith837
@nicksmith837 6 жыл бұрын
Absolutely an incredible pedagogue, thank you for sharing this level of knowledge!
@nailanteikamotho3771
@nailanteikamotho3771 6 жыл бұрын
These lessons are excellent. And free! Much appreciated.
@davidjohansson1416
@davidjohansson1416 3 жыл бұрын
How is this free?! I adore this man. He is my new sleeping music.
@alvinbrewster1513
@alvinbrewster1513 8 жыл бұрын
You are a gifted teacher!
@animmeshgupta2682
@animmeshgupta2682 3 жыл бұрын
Omg! What did I just stumble upon? I’ve been learning how to read and study annual reports and financials, when I stumbled upon this. Thank you so much sir. I can’t believe this is on KZfaq for everybody.
@govindgoel2442
@govindgoel2442 Жыл бұрын
Can you tell me this type of several channel where I can learn finance modeling and research report making. Right now I am in second year of college gupta ji. I wanna be investment banker if you you can give me your telegram (optional) that is more appreciated...
@vtwanderer07
@vtwanderer07 7 жыл бұрын
Professor Damodaran makes me regret not going to NYU for my MBA
@shazislam7720
@shazislam7720 3 жыл бұрын
This man keeps things simple but highly effective. Respect.
@rajaking2789
@rajaking2789 2 жыл бұрын
Correct
@goethemephisto
@goethemephisto 3 жыл бұрын
Clear, simple, and to the point!
@rajaking2789
@rajaking2789 2 жыл бұрын
Your new messenger for the corporate world
@alexandervalladares2501
@alexandervalladares2501 5 жыл бұрын
Dr. Damodoran you are amazing... Taking my FMVA certification from The CFI Institute and this is way better.
@FaizanAhmad-eo3oe
@FaizanAhmad-eo3oe 3 жыл бұрын
Hi Alexander. I wonder if you've taken financial modeling as a career, if yes, then how is it going for you?
@sushmitajoshi4111
@sushmitajoshi4111 3 жыл бұрын
Such beauty in teaching the concepts! Much like a story that you just want to keep listening to.
@maroselful
@maroselful 6 жыл бұрын
I appreciate your work and will to inspire others very much, thank you!
@tasneemhegde9588
@tasneemhegde9588 3 жыл бұрын
Absolutely clear explanation of something that is tough to understand.... Thanks Mr damodaran
@mi12n
@mi12n Жыл бұрын
Anyone else need to watch the course 6x to grasp the concept? I do. Amazing we can have access to this great lecture for free!!
@24Elliottwaves
@24Elliottwaves 3 жыл бұрын
Just wondering why some people did dislike this amazing tutorial? They should have posted constructive comments if there is something they want to add or discount.
@marcn1881
@marcn1881 7 ай бұрын
This is of immense value (no pun intended)!!! Thank you very much for sharing these amazing series and helping everyone become a better investor professor!
@bikashpaul8809
@bikashpaul8809 2 жыл бұрын
A great teacher....I learn a lot from him. Thank you sir.
@darwinperezdepablo749
@darwinperezdepablo749 Жыл бұрын
This is such a great video. Complex topics that are purely simplified.
@vikaskumarkancharla3151
@vikaskumarkancharla3151 5 жыл бұрын
ITS A GIFT TO THE STUDENTS OF THE WORLD !!
@richpet8165
@richpet8165 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for making this valuable videos. I am grateful for it!
@chrisc9725
@chrisc9725 2 жыл бұрын
This is what a Master looks and speaks like.
@lenniyovita3661
@lenniyovita3661 Жыл бұрын
what a great Professor... thanks Prof Damodaran..
@ABCD-fv4bf
@ABCD-fv4bf 6 ай бұрын
A boon to an entire generation Thank you damodaran sir
@tpanand63
@tpanand63 8 жыл бұрын
Excellent - very simple and clear explanation to the concepts.
@khms1000
@khms1000 3 жыл бұрын
sir, i don't have much finance background but i want to do valuations for my ideas. can you guide me what else should i study? i have engineering background.
@anuragpant2545
@anuragpant2545 3 жыл бұрын
@@khms1000 hey bro . Message me in insta I think I can help you . My insta handle - Pantanurag999
@vipulpanwar7816
@vipulpanwar7816 8 жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot Professor for sharing your videos here. Really helpful for global student community.
@krishnakishore1083
@krishnakishore1083 6 жыл бұрын
Krishna Kishore excellent......thanks a lot professor
@hrishi_t
@hrishi_t 3 ай бұрын
Soothing sound 💙
@rajeshgupta6874
@rajeshgupta6874 8 жыл бұрын
Thanks for educating.
@literaryartist1
@literaryartist1 5 жыл бұрын
*Thank you for this gift. The series is phenomenal and best of all accessible. I have picked up 4 or your books but haven't gotten around to reading them. I will be doing that very soon. But for now thank you for this.*
@anvesh87
@anvesh87 2 жыл бұрын
pls share book names
@literaryartist1
@literaryartist1 2 жыл бұрын
@@anvesh87 1. Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset 2. Investment Philosophies: Successful Strategies and the Investors who made them Work 3. The Dark Side of Valuation: Valuing Young, Distressed and Complex Businesses by Aswath Damodaran
@compilations6358
@compilations6358 Жыл бұрын
Hi Aswath, I am coming from zero background in finance. I liked your google talk so i wanted to learn more in detail. But In this lecture you directly jumped into discounted cashflow and start using technical term like expected value and risk-free. I understand you want to be complete in your statement, but I would appreciate if you can make a lecture series for more common people like me explaining or removing the complexity of these terms. Like those talks at Google. Since i know some maths, i understand that expected value means mean value, but i couldnt understand the risk - what exactly it is. Its hard to wrap my head around it. Please consider making video which is easy to consume. I am writing this because i believe you are a good teacher. Big Fan!
@AhmedMostafa-gu8ot
@AhmedMostafa-gu8ot Жыл бұрын
One simplified way to look at risk is as the standard deviation of returns from the mean.
@nicholasmarchant781
@nicholasmarchant781 6 жыл бұрын
Incredible delivery
@varunasokan6353
@varunasokan6353 2 жыл бұрын
Whenever I hear him talking, I feel like he's telling me " I'm not angry with you, I'm just disappointed "
@surianath5230
@surianath5230 2 жыл бұрын
Listening to this guy makes me feel smarter already
@Zigr-Inc
@Zigr-Inc 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing brother great breakdown
@jinaygala4170
@jinaygala4170 3 жыл бұрын
YOU SHOULD HAVE 10 MN SUBS MAN SO GOOD CAME HERE AFTER RACHNA RANADE MAM
@sangaylala1924
@sangaylala1924 3 жыл бұрын
Same
@goruloveguy
@goruloveguy 7 жыл бұрын
Thank you , love your online session. Very clear.
@goruloveguy
@goruloveguy 7 жыл бұрын
Thank you
@mahadevanc.r9895
@mahadevanc.r9895 2 жыл бұрын
👍👍👍 Great Session....
@jkj1459
@jkj1459 Жыл бұрын
EVERYTHING GOES ABOVE MY HEAD !!! OMG
@ChiChi-sw5iu
@ChiChi-sw5iu 3 жыл бұрын
No one: Me to Sir Aswath : YES MASTER 👁👄👁
@Learnitall001
@Learnitall001 3 жыл бұрын
This is gold.
@user-almighty_is_here_now
@user-almighty_is_here_now Жыл бұрын
Superb, brother Damodaran...
@ajayranade4680
@ajayranade4680 3 жыл бұрын
Fantastic sessions
@ayushgoyal361
@ayushgoyal361 5 жыл бұрын
thanks for the lessons
@aheeshmantha7360
@aheeshmantha7360 6 ай бұрын
Aswath is the real GOAT
@Juanijia
@Juanijia 5 жыл бұрын
AMEN
@ashyju5
@ashyju5 3 күн бұрын
AMAZING!
@notoriousbibs3976
@notoriousbibs3976 7 жыл бұрын
Thank you fine sir.
@aruncharles
@aruncharles Жыл бұрын
The Intrinsic value of Damodaran must be over the roof
@Madhatter975
@Madhatter975 6 жыл бұрын
Thank you...
@felipevazquez7137
@felipevazquez7137 3 жыл бұрын
Amazing thank you
@caribbeanqueen1389
@caribbeanqueen1389 4 жыл бұрын
Omg. It FINALLY CLICKED! Why the fuck my lecturers couldn't explain it so simply!!!
@amingilani
@amingilani 6 ай бұрын
Thank you for this video. Requesting to include an example in the video for this evaluation,
@tanyongsheng4561
@tanyongsheng4561 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you for the sharing. May I know the difference of assumption needed to be made when calculating COST OF EQUITY using (a) CAPM model, (b) Dividend growth model and (c) Equity payout method (e.g. dividends - share issued + treasury purchased)? And I am curious since these 3 methods always lead to different answers, which method the best to apply or need to depend to the circumstances?
@vikaskumarkancharla3151
@vikaskumarkancharla3151 5 жыл бұрын
Watching back in 2019
@sathsah1593
@sathsah1593 2 жыл бұрын
ThANK YOU SO MUCH!!! PROF. DAMODARAN
@fadhilhabibie6392
@fadhilhabibie6392 4 жыл бұрын
That dividend discounted model blew my mind.
@sobriquet5016
@sobriquet5016 3 жыл бұрын
why's that?
@tourist3066
@tourist3066 6 жыл бұрын
Is there anywhere any actual company being valued .That would be easier for some to understand.
@Cloninginvesting
@Cloninginvesting 4 ай бұрын
Thank You🙏
@ganeshkamath8550
@ganeshkamath8550 8 жыл бұрын
Dear sir i understand DCF is one of the tools available to arrive at intrinsic value can you suggest few more tools available under intrinsic valuation approach. Further we arrive book value per share based on Net asset value method under which valuation approach it will be covered. Since Intrinsic approach is based on cash flows and relatives approach based on comparable. Kindly advice
@Alpha_Q_up.
@Alpha_Q_up. 3 жыл бұрын
Great!
@arihantsethia7270
@arihantsethia7270 2 жыл бұрын
Is there any source to get those ppt slides or images which sir has shown in the video?
@vatsaltripathi2628
@vatsaltripathi2628 2 жыл бұрын
We will value entire business prof . That seems more logical .
@shubhangidad6633
@shubhangidad6633 3 жыл бұрын
I like the way u are making these broad terms simple and understandable. I want you to make videos on financial modelling too, it will be easy for us to gain knowledge.
@jabhutt1013
@jabhutt1013 5 жыл бұрын
Great lessons, learning a lot, but probably somwhere at 10min point completely lost everything with all the naming...:)) Will have to re-watch it.
@RIDON_TRADER
@RIDON_TRADER Жыл бұрын
Thank you sir
@abhideshmukh2182
@abhideshmukh2182 28 күн бұрын
His Voice is like He is on the Verge of telling Joke....feels like it will happen any time but never happens😂
@justducky8508
@justducky8508 2 жыл бұрын
Are there any courses I can engage in to excel my trading and financial literacy altogether?
@mhashimshahzad2823
@mhashimshahzad2823 Ай бұрын
Just a newbie’s opinion; business evaluation is better.
@arvindgr94
@arvindgr94 Жыл бұрын
at 3:39, i dont see t in the formula, is it that both t & n are the same?
@Bronceado7184
@Bronceado7184 11 ай бұрын
Thanks
@suburbancommandos7888
@suburbancommandos7888 2 жыл бұрын
The intrinsic valuation of his sleeves extends to his wrists.
@amanlalshrestha4204
@amanlalshrestha4204 4 жыл бұрын
I think I am in love with you!
@shantanuselokar6357
@shantanuselokar6357 2 жыл бұрын
This guy has a really great Bond villain vibe.
@tolat
@tolat Жыл бұрын
good stuff
@nathanbarnhart2529
@nathanbarnhart2529 Жыл бұрын
Can anyone clear something up for me? If the equation calls for the cashflows to be divided by (1+r)^n, wouldn't that mean that the discount rate number would be absolutely massive in later time periods? I think it looks like a simple typo.
@lesROKnoobz
@lesROKnoobz 3 жыл бұрын
it's all going in one ear and out the other. I'm too dumb for this
@pajeetsingh
@pajeetsingh 3 жыл бұрын
Has he done any video on SPACS?
@mzar62458
@mzar62458 5 жыл бұрын
2:23
@gamingguru3979
@gamingguru3979 3 жыл бұрын
I have this question, if anyone could reply the solution you are great! When we discount the cash flow to the firm at the cost of equity we should get an upward biased estimate right? Like then we are only subtracting what the equity investors demand not including debt payments... from a huge amount like cash flow to business. Similarly When we discount the cash flow to the equity at the cost of capital we should get an downward biased estimate right? Like then we are subtracting what the equity investors demand and debt payments... from a small amount like cash flow to equity which is already have debt subtracted off? Is it something to do with the equation? Like the denominator side is greater or smaller because we sqaure it? [E(CFn)/(1+r)^n]
@sangaylala1924
@sangaylala1924 3 жыл бұрын
Leaving this comment so I get notified when someone answers this question
@lalitsharma5666
@lalitsharma5666 Жыл бұрын
Sir I'm very interesting to know about Valuation sir from where I have to start my journey what is the first Step lecture I would start , Can i go for this whole lecture sries
@purvimangal6217
@purvimangal6217 Жыл бұрын
Let's complete the series as an actual tribute.
@cw9249
@cw9249 3 жыл бұрын
what is this from? what course?
@futarmaljain3228
@futarmaljain3228 4 жыл бұрын
What are other tools for intrinsic valuation apart from DCF
@jeffallenwang
@jeffallenwang 4 жыл бұрын
DDM is other popular one. Also there's an IV calculator that Ben Graham used
@Ashutosh6365
@Ashutosh6365 6 жыл бұрын
Will someone help me with this? According to sir, when we sit for estimating the cash flows (2:32 min), you take all possible considerations in your estimation, the good and the the bad ones. Once i have a list of estimated cashflows, i take an expected value of these cashflows(assuming it to be an average of all estimates for each year). If we take an average of all good and bad cashflows, wont the cashlfows be risk adjusted, cause now they show the bad possibility also? Which is am assuming is my risk.
@mohd.amirjamalshaikh7020
@mohd.amirjamalshaikh7020 6 жыл бұрын
While considering good and bad scenarios, you still have risk factor associated with your cashflows. Say, in your case, you are averaging out cashflows for all years, each year has its risk factor associated with it and you are not cancelling that out.
@freedomprayer007
@freedomprayer007 5 жыл бұрын
When you average the cash flows you arrive at an estimate.( Expected Cash flow ) How 'certain' that cash flow will be is risk.
@rahulsharmaoo7
@rahulsharmaoo7 Жыл бұрын
@zetsui0411
@zetsui0411 3 жыл бұрын
3:35 cash flow risk
@satyamshubham6676
@satyamshubham6676 2 жыл бұрын
Hey, this video is super cool. Is there any book you would recommend to read in order to get an in depth knowledge?
@Frugal_Invest
@Frugal_Invest 2 жыл бұрын
I'd say a combination of multiple books, and not one in particular.
@satyamshubham6676
@satyamshubham6676 2 жыл бұрын
@@Frugal_Invest can you give some examples?
@shelly8844
@shelly8844 2 жыл бұрын
@@satyamshubham6676 he has many published books you can check those out
@leonardorakrot3443
@leonardorakrot3443 2 жыл бұрын
What if the company has no debt? You are going the equity way inevitably?
@tyler-iy4jk
@tyler-iy4jk 6 жыл бұрын
how do you put a number to risk?
@freedomprayer007
@freedomprayer007 5 жыл бұрын
Statistical tools used. Eg standard deviation
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