Why is the perception that high interest rates are harmful to the economy so widely held? What cautionary tales exist dating back to ancient Mesopotamia, Restoration Britain, all the way up to the global credit booms of the 21st century? How have seemingly negative rates in places such as Europe and Japan contributed to economic insecurity and financial fragility?
In response to the Great Depression, F. A. Hayek warned against expansionist monetary policy and the manipulation of interest rates, which create market uncertainty and a continuous boom-bust dynamic. Competition and reduced government spending-rather than government policies to maintain low interest rates-would help with market stabilization. In The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest, Edward Chancellor provides more evidence to support Hayek’s skepticism of non-market-based interventions to stabilize prices, as he comprehensively surveys the misguided policies to artificially lower interest rates throughout history.
Chancellor reveals how extremely low interest rates lead not only to asset price inflation but also to weak economic growth, rising inequality, zombie companies, elevated debt levels, and the pension crises that have afflicted the West in recent years-conditions under which economies cannot possibly thrive. At the same time, easy money in China has inflated an epic real estate bubble, accompanied by the greatest credit and investment boom in history. As the global financial system edges closer to yet another crisis, Chancellor shows that only by understanding interest can we hope to face the challenges ahead.
EVENT TIMELINE
0:00 - EVENT STARTS
0:05 - Introduction by Reihan Salam, Manhattan Institute President
4:10 - Remarks by John Tierney, chair of Hayek Prize Committee
13:00 - Remarks by Hayek Prize winner Edward Chancellor
34:20 - Q&A with Edward Chancellor
51:00 - Closing Remarks
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