The Big Short Is Happening Again

Рет қаралды 744,365

Күн бұрын

In the middle of 2021, Michael Burry made a bet that the US bond market would go down, and over the following year it fell over 30%.
At the time, this trade didn’t really get much media attention because ultimately we don’t actually know how much money he made on it, if anything at all.
But the details don’t really matter, because he was right, the bond market did fall… alot
So it caught my attention when I saw this morning that Burry had made a bet against the US Stock Market
What confused me is that no one reporting on it seems to actually understand why he made this bet
When in fact it’s actually kind of obvious if you know which place to look.
So let me paint a picture of how the man famous for predicting the housing collapse, is now betting on the collapse of the entire stock market
And the May 18th report by S&P Global which shows us why he might be right.
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TIMESTAMPS
INTRO 0:00
THE BIG SHORT 1:06
HIS FAVOURITE SIDE BET 2:27
BETTING AGAINST THE MARKET 5:28
HOW DO WE KNOW? 8:28
WHY THE MARKET MIGHT CRASH 10:03
LIMITATIONS 14:18
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Disclaimer:
The information in this video is general information only and should not be taken as constituting professional advice from Hamish Hodder.
Hamish Hodder is not a financial adviser. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances.
Hamish Hodder is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by use of this video.
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Пікірлер: 994

@HamishHodder 10 ай бұрын

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@bsgross606 10 ай бұрын

Worth noting QQQ is -5.98% last 30 days, SPY is -3.36%

@sugarbear103 10 ай бұрын

@@bsgross606😢 1:19 1:19 1:19

@Kproductions2012 10 ай бұрын

could you do an update on asos?

@jisskk28 10 ай бұрын

No he doesn't, he predicted it earlier this year. 🤪

@Nitroat-xo4tj 3 ай бұрын

DO SOMETHING AGAINST YOUR SCAMBOT PROBLEM IN THE COMMENT SECTION!

@auralxtc 10 ай бұрын

Michel Burry has predicted 11 of the past 2 crashes.

@avarmauk 7 ай бұрын

😂😂😂

@who2u333 4 ай бұрын

And this one too apparently.

@zachariahmccoy 2 ай бұрын

Lol he is wrong a lot , though a broken clock is right twice a day

@theycallmealex454 2 ай бұрын

Are all these predictions by him actual bets or just some of them?

@davfree9732 Ай бұрын

@@theycallmealex454 Aye. He Burry can predict all he wants... The real question is... Which predictions did he stake money on? Find the answer to that and you have the answer to how confident Burry is in his predictions

@ThomasBrackett-tp2xe 13 күн бұрын

Interest rate cut and geopolitical uncertainty intensified a seII off in Big Tech Mkt darling Nvidia(NVDA)lost 10%, while Amazon(AMZN)saw a drop of more than 2%. Apple(AAPL)decreased 1%. I'm curious, which st0cks could potentially become the next META in terms of growth. I've allocated $350k for lnvestment, looking for companies to make additions to boost performance

@codeblue11 13 күн бұрын

Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown.

@NatalieFormor 13 күн бұрын

A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K

@AdamLaus-xu8yb 13 күн бұрын

This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

@NatalieFormor 13 күн бұрын

Viviana Marisa Coelho is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.

@AdamLaus-xu8yb 13 күн бұрын

She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

@OBrienHayden-gu9qb 3 ай бұрын

In the middle of 2024, I think we'll start to see more market diversification. I'm hoping to invest about $300,000 from a recent home sale into the financial markets, but I'm still not sure how rates will effect the market just yet, which worries me a lot. Like how long will the bull rally last before the reset?.

@MilesGardner-ex8ym 3 ай бұрын

You see in the stock market, bigger risk begets bigger results that can work in the bulls' favor. I think investors who are wary of the changing market trends should seek out bear/bull mrkt directions from certified strategists.

@AkilahSanaa 3 ай бұрын

You're right mate! I’ve been using a fin-market expert for two years now and I own a 7figure diversified portfolio from investing in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is worth over $1m.

@Stella-qn5jz 3 ай бұрын

thats really massive!How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

@AkilahSanaa 3 ай бұрын

Viviana Marisa Coelho’’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

@OBrienHayden-gu9qb 3 ай бұрын

Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call.

@BenTodd-fl8nv 8 ай бұрын

Every breakdown or collapse carries an equal market chance. I've seen people accumulate up to $2 million during crises, and even pull it off easily in a good economy, if they are well-prepared and aware in advance. Without a doubt, the bubble/collapse is making someone very wealthy.

@Theresaa12 8 ай бұрын

I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or markt condition, but such execution are usuallv carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience since the 08' crash

@gregorywhem 8 ай бұрын

The issue is most people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt, no offense. In general, invt-advisors are ideal reps for investing jobs, and at firsthand encounter, since Jan.2020, my portfolio has yielded nearly 300%, summing up to 7-figure as of today.

@judynewsom1902 8 ай бұрын

Could you kindly leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I absolutely must have one.

@gregorywhem 8 ай бұрын

Credits to *Alicia Estela Cabouli* one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up

@RickWatson-xu6gw 8 ай бұрын

Thank you for this. I just sent her an email now, and I really hope she gets back to me soon.

@benixmaximus 10 ай бұрын

Burry predicts the market will crash every year

@mrtony1985 10 ай бұрын

He gives reasons for it but hasn't put his money on it until now.

@chrisja1998 10 ай бұрын

@@mrtony1985He made a Bet in January 2023 and later tweeted “I was wrong” so yeah he also gets it wrong.

@matthewbyrns-sp8lb 10 ай бұрын

@@freddiebob7092You said it, ha!

@creaturekid5 10 ай бұрын

I guarantee his lifetime returns are massively better than yours

@matthewbrian6191 10 ай бұрын

He does seem to be a permabear

@tonysilke 7 ай бұрын

Every crash/collapse/inflation/recession provides an equal market opportunity if you are properly prepared and knowledgeable. I've seen people amass up to $800,000 during crises and even with ease in a bad economy. Someone has undoubtedly become extremely wealthy as a result of the crash.

@Dannyholt33 7 ай бұрын

I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience

@Nernst96 7 ай бұрын

Could you kindly leave your investment advisor's contact information here? I absolutely must have one.

@Nernst96 7 ай бұрын

Thanks for this. I curiously searched for her full name and her website came first. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her. Once again many thanks

@DJ-bo4pz 10 ай бұрын

I am a techie, and I have tried to understand put and call options before, but you did the best job of explaining it. It was such a simple and effective explanation. Also, media didn't report the other side of the Burry coin, he is an asset manager and he specializes in risk reduction while maximizing profit, contrary to the public opinion that he only works to maximize profits. I am 100% sure that in case if his bet was to go south, the other part of his portfolio would have a high probablity of going up and hence offsetting his losses from this bet.

@BaileyMxX 10 ай бұрын

Which is exactly what he's done, his largest holding Experian is travel related, something we don't really want to/aren't able to do when our jobs are at risk and the economy is in the toilet. When you dive deeper like you've stated just appears to be a well thought out hedge which isn't exactly leveraging anywhere near the exposure of 1.6BN like many uniformed on options seem to think is the case. Been blown out of proportion by the media as usual

@-Nick-T 10 ай бұрын

paper options builders and paper trace can be a great tool for learning how to build a goal oriented option

@ArantyrDarkhand 9 ай бұрын

Invest its not that hard just believe your eyes. Does those companys really create anything of value that will usefull in a bad economy? the awnser ITS NO. Ive agood ammount of money to invest in US market(im leaving my country market). I think the next election will be a crazy time to make money, if you know how speculation works.

@sharkansas_ 9 ай бұрын

Is explanation was actually incredibly misleading. Please don’t go into calls and puts if you think this is the way they work

@chrisg6091 9 ай бұрын

Misleading how?

@aarondaniels5525 10 ай бұрын

I am new to the stock market. Every stock that I bought so far, I was out of luck because I bought them when they were expensive. I feel I missed out on all the stock opportunities so far for the tech stocks.I believe having 285K yearly income would be a good investment so I want to plug all my savings into the stock market. I know this sounds a bit dull but I would like to know if I should learn investing or let somebody else (more capable like a FA) do it for me? Please share your thoughts. I am kind of tired of searching for a good stock to buy and losing all the good opportunities

@cooperhayes7055 10 ай бұрын

Even with the correct technique and assets some investors would still make more than others, as an investor, you should've known that by now, nothing beats experience and that's final, personally I had to reach out to a stock expert for guidance which is how I was able to grow my account close to a million, withdraw my profit right before the correction and now l'm buying again

@charliehunnam5187 10 ай бұрын

Hi, please who is the expert guiding you and how do I reach out to them?

@cooperhayes7055 10 ай бұрын

The broker I'm in touch with is Olivia Maria Lucas. I came across her in a Bloomberg interview and got in touch with her, you will find her deets on the internet

@donalddavis4387 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up online and I would say she truly does have an impressive background on investing

@alicegomez7232 7 ай бұрын

Although the companies in my portfolio are solid, this year was a loss. I experienced a 65% decline in overall $360k portfolio at the height. I earn my money via hard work, thus investing makes me anxious and depressed. I'm uncertain if I should sell everything and wait.

@Emily-le2op 7 ай бұрын

Sell not, I say. Avoid attempting to time the bottom by selling merely for the sake of selling. That is gambling with taxes added on top of it to slap you in the face. Keep it real and keep thinking long term

@ConradGosling 7 ай бұрын

this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation amidst this recent market rally

@ConradGosling 7 ай бұрын

Thank you for sharing, I must say, Natalie appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call

@MaskedOG 7 ай бұрын

If they are solid then they will recover.

@davidpalmo6050 7 ай бұрын

Never sell. unless you invested in shitty companies. Which i hope you didnt

@JamesScott433 7 ай бұрын

After a massive rally in stocks came and yields collapsed, bond yields and the major averages are higher on Wednesday. How do we deal with such market conditions? Typically my $2m worth of holdings go up 8% then lose 20% right after and the cycle continues.

@lucaswilliams9992 7 ай бұрын

Investors embracing the idea that abruptly cooling inflation will put interest rate hikes on ice. During recessions your dividend gains or income reduces. Speaking to a certified market strategist can help with navigating this downturn.

@Jadechurch-ql3do 7 ай бұрын

I agree, I've been in constant touch with a Financial Analyst for approximately 8 months. You know, these days it's really easy to buy into trending stocks, but the task is determining when to sell or keep. That's where my manager comes in, to help me with entry and exit points in the industries I'm engaged in. Can’t say I regret it, I’m 40% up in profits just in 5months with my initial capital of $160k

@codeblue11 7 ай бұрын

@Jadechurch-ql3do that's impressive!, I could really use the expertise of this advisors , my portfolio has been down bad....who’s the person guiding you.

@Jadechurch-ql3do 7 ай бұрын

credits to LEILA SIMOES PINTO, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up

@brianwhitehawker1756 7 ай бұрын

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.

@mecbonk 10 ай бұрын

I always get "god...I need the market to crash right now" energy from Micheal Everytime he starts tweeting.

@FarizCircleXVIP 10 ай бұрын

hope u get the energy 100+700 millions dollars from Michael too instant retired bro

@paulmcloughlin8463 10 ай бұрын

@@FarizCircleXVIP He predicted the last crash and created a short position that never existed before because people thought it was impossible. So unless he does something similar he will do what he keeps doing since and just say I was wrong over and over when the next crash does not happen, he is trying to create panic conditions like so many others out there and when he is wrong he will back out of the trade.

@ricardodelacrvz1400 10 ай бұрын

hes always saying hes crashing, from what they said today in cnbc his portfolio slumped to a 1% return. lool. you can only break the code one time, even if theres a crash something like we witnessed in 2008 would be in my humble opinion impossible because of internet. we didnt have trading plataforms an information flowing like what we have today. financially illiteracy is still high and volatility will be high but dollar cost averaging will give you massive returns in this stupid trading times. everybody thinks its warren buffet nowadays but in 20 years dollar cost averaging will make much higher returns than any twitter reading trader lol

@warriormanmaxx8991 10 ай бұрын

@martincordell8806 - had NO IDEA ... God was into Wall Street ... able to crash the Market, or plug Wall Street !!

@AlanMitchellAustralia 10 ай бұрын

You gotta give it to him though. Michael Burry has correctly predicted 20 out of the last 3 recessions

@Barbara0015 8 ай бұрын

The way I see this recession most likely has an external cause. The United States is losing influence as a federal currency for the first time in decades. They don’t have any economies to utilize or control their inflation, and less money is being spent on stock and oil trading than previously. They all lend credence to the hypothesis that a new multilateral world order may be in the works.

@williamsdavis. 8 ай бұрын

Exactly why i enjoy market decisions being guided by a professional, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk management and market experience, been using the expertise and guidance of John Desmond Heppolette, for over 5years+ and I've netted over $3million in that time frame..

@andymarion 8 ай бұрын

John Desmond Heppolette, really seem to know this stuff. I found his web-page when I made a google search of his full names, read through his resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. I left him a note and booked a call session with him..

@Hoffmanluiz. 8 ай бұрын

To succeed the financial market, you must review and put into consideration the dynamics of your trading assets prior investing. Analysis based on research is vital which is why I recommend investing with a professional if you don’t know the basics.

@tipptop9 3 ай бұрын

John Desmond Hepolette sucks balls

@ynwa9621 10 ай бұрын

You’ve done videos of Berry predicting the market crash every 3 months for the last 5 years 😂

@Vgallo 7 ай бұрын

Everyone has, burry also predicted hyper inflation - which hasn’t happened.

@PoeLemic 7 ай бұрын

@@Vgallo You don't think that Hyper Inflation hasn't happened?!?!? Then, you sure don't shop for groceries, have utilities, buy any consumer good, etc. Seriously, HI is already here.

@nillchen Ай бұрын

and he was wrong this time, too.

@jd8184 Ай бұрын

@@PoeLemic I don't think anyone considers 9% which is the highest rate of inflation the US saw as hyperinflation. I could be wrong on that

@geraldt331 6 ай бұрын

I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.

@Tonyham198 6 ай бұрын

The professionals presently control the market since they not only have the essential business strategy but also have access to inside information that the general public is not aware of.

@yeslahykcim 6 ай бұрын

You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.

@Jadechurch-ql3do 6 ай бұрын

Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one

@yeslahykcim 6 ай бұрын

“Leila Simoes Pinto’’ You can easily look her up, she has years of financiaI market experience.

@brianwhitehawker1756 6 ай бұрын

I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

@hankmarks69 8 ай бұрын

Stock futures erased some earlier gains Thursday, after the consumer-price index showed that headline inflation remained firm, while core numbers decelerated from August. I’m thinking of investing $400k into my stock portfolio but unsure about it

@jessy830 8 ай бұрын

Predicting short-term market movements is extremely difficult in reality. It also essentially requires the investor to be right twice: they must perfectly time both their entrance to and exit from the market.

@PhilipDunk 8 ай бұрын

Quite true! You don't necessarily need to be a flawless investor; all you need to do is seek advice from an expert. I began investing in 2016 and pulled a profit of roughly $370k the following year despite having no prior investment knowledge.

@mcintyre1 8 ай бұрын

Please pardon me, who guides you on the process of it all?

@PhilipDunk 8 ай бұрын

credits to Colleen Rose Mccaffery, one of the best portfolio manager;s out there. she;s well known, you should look her up.

@mcintyre1 8 ай бұрын

thanks for sharing this, I googled the lady you mentioned and after going through her resume, I can tell she's a pro. I wrote her and I'm waiting on her reply

@YTDataAnalyst 10 ай бұрын

Another great content. You and Gary Joe Wilde are highly recommendable investing pros every investor who wants to get rich investing must know or work with Unfortunately, don't know why Gary deleted his video channels. He is very advanced and experienced in the field.

@polinaivanova6610 10 ай бұрын

I prefer Gary's method exactly what i wanted

@Thompson7888 10 ай бұрын

@polinaivanova Same here... In all honesty I wish I knew about him earlier than I did.

@piewert787 10 ай бұрын

Scammer

@mrtony1985 10 ай бұрын

Never seen anyone explain options as well as you did this video. Well done!

@harryvanderveen773 10 ай бұрын

agree

@MooseMeus 10 ай бұрын

you wont ever understand options until you start trading them.

@mbg9650 10 ай бұрын

Partial explanation, he missed to mention IV & IVR.

@markhirstwood4190 10 ай бұрын

It was good... if I'd been looking for a video telling me what call and put options are, which I wasn't. Maybe make a separate video for just that.

@gauravthadanii 10 ай бұрын

agreed

@ElvisRandomVideos 10 ай бұрын

Okay, options are usually used as hedges. That he purchased a put contract doesn’t mean that he’s betting the market will go down, he can also be hedging his bullish position on the market in case it does go down. If he’s sure the market will go down, he will short SPY, and QQQ just like he did on the housing market. That he bought an option says he’s not sure and is only protecting his assets in case the market does go down.

@jc7887 10 ай бұрын

underrated comment.

@Aryankingz 10 ай бұрын

where is the receipt for this bullish position? Surely if there is a receipt for the options contract, there is one for the bullish position...

@Feuerbasis 10 ай бұрын

A hedge worth 1.6 billion? He surely paid a good chunk of change for this one. Naked short on the Nasdaq / SP500 is not even possible. Be it as it may - we had the third and last big leg up in the markets. I think his timing is right this time.

@ElvisRandomVideos 10 ай бұрын

@@Feuerbasis his fund holds more than 1.6 billion? Last I checked it was 111M AUM… sounds like you’re pulling that number out of your rear. You couldn’t short the housing market in 2006 and he figured out a way of doing it didn’t he.. SPY/QQQ are not indexes they are ETF’s that can be shorted, kind of says a lot if you don’t understand that.

@ElvisRandomVideos 10 ай бұрын

@@Aryankingz I’m going to let you figure that one out on your own champ! But just to give you some perspective you should stay away from the market if you don’t understand what those positions are.

@lisahuff7779 10 ай бұрын

This is the problem, the stock market has turned into a gambling mess instead of good productive companys with responsible stewardship. So many people are in stocks through employment and pensions (seems like all the puts and shorts, buy backs and all other manipulations do nothing good for a stable economy )

@bukovinian 10 ай бұрын

Yeah, unlike stock market 100 years ago?

@reallyshel 10 ай бұрын

Yeah they are all financial instruments based on borrowing and leverage. It's not sustainable.

@surface_glow2520 10 ай бұрын

If people are hard up for money they will take more risks in the market for a big return. Not everyone can buy Apple and wait 10 years to get a 40% return.

@joshbreaksk8IN 9 ай бұрын

@@surface_glow2520 your statement just makes the case for his comment, thats an unstable way of keeping something running. if wall street was everyday people and not traders backed by index funds worth millions these risk would tank the market within a year. instead a big company loses a couple million and it just negatively affects everyday peoples 401k's until they make another crazy bet and make money on it. it's an insane way of doing business.

@vladx3539 7 ай бұрын

it’s always been this way

@GigaMarou 10 ай бұрын

thanks for explaining!

@leonardgriffiths4131 10 ай бұрын

Great content once again Hamish. Thanks!

@massageandunwind8787 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for the content

@darkhorseeuc 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for explaining Call and Put options so well!

@JustAnotherPersonHere 10 ай бұрын

What a fantastic explanation!! Thank you so much for creating this video!

@nathanhinze2495 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for explaining it so thoroughly and clearly. Amazing video.

@donatehilltop 10 ай бұрын

I needed this

@giuseppeo77 10 ай бұрын

Great entertaining and educational video Hamish! 👍

@johnmitropoulos8479 10 ай бұрын

Been following you for years and this is your best video to date. Very well explained.

@lethal2453 10 ай бұрын

Wow, a 16 minute Video on what actually didn't happen. He opened a Calendar Spread, he also sold covered QQQ Calls. He insured his multi billion dollar position with the PUT, and received multiple million dollar credit for selling the shorter term OTM calls to pay for the insurance. It's insurance, because the PUT increases in value, when the share price falls, the Calls make a cashflow when the share tumbles or stays flat,and locks in profits if the Call is assigned.

@OurNewestMember 9 ай бұрын

Short call, long put --> collar

@emilystandley115 10 ай бұрын

Excellent explanation, perfectly said! Thank you!

@leohernandez9518 10 ай бұрын

Great content thanks

@christopherramsey7027 10 ай бұрын

Remember that Burry bought an *options* contract, he didn't actually buy (or short) any stocks. He doesn't necessarily think the market will definitely fall; he just thinks there's a chance that it could. Now, he has the option to profit if the market did fall.

@WhatIfTheories 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for taking the time to explain the put options too. Been trying to read up on them since Bury announced this and most information is confusing at best. You explained everything clearly and the situation with Bury which everyone else seems to leave out. Also didn't realize how much 7 stocks were carrying the S&P. Great video!

@mattdogsss 10 ай бұрын

If I were you I would look into futures instead of options . Futures is infinitely better than options

@Ring0-- 10 ай бұрын

Dangerous territory. Especially RIGHT Now!

@rookie_ 10 ай бұрын

Recommend Guy Cohen books. The main thing to consider is it's a lot more complex than it appears with the folks on the other side of the trades being from hedge funds or investment banks who have deep knowledge and a lot of information.

@cmy542 10 ай бұрын

Awesome and informative!

@ResilientFighter 6 ай бұрын

Very nicely done!

@getinthespace7715 10 ай бұрын

He's been right on the past couple years. He realized the market delusion and fed stimulus was going to push prices up after they hit a low this year and said BUY. The market has hit new highs now the house of cards is about to collapse. He's telling everyone it's sell time.

@appalachiabrauchfrau 10 ай бұрын

those are common sense predictions, anyone could see them. Infusing MORE funny money into a near zero rate economy would shoot into inflation? Genius!

@DoggoWillink 9 ай бұрын

The market hasn’t hit a new high.

@abhinavchoudhry920 8 ай бұрын

@@DoggoWillink It hit a new high in 2022 and it also rebounded 20% to near the highs after falling to 3700 on the S&P

@jpsmith9452 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for explaining calls and puts in layman’s terms.

@kawaiimdsweey9348 10 ай бұрын

Very informative.

@anurodhjoshi9445 10 ай бұрын

Great video!!!

@davidlevinson2460 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for that video. You're the first person who explained options so that I truly understand them.

@rlhunter6200 9 ай бұрын

I spent the past few years waiting for a fall that never came. But preparing for it was a win. Credit is better than ever, savings is bigger than ever. I’m gonna survive at least a little while.

@MaiPham-gk3rb 9 ай бұрын

Amazing video!!!

@deanreeve5257 10 ай бұрын

Fantastic and simple explanation of options. Subscribed.

@Keitho1967 10 ай бұрын

One of the best overviews of Bury and the market I’ve watched in years. Thank you

@CompoundingEverything 10 ай бұрын

This is by far the most practical way I've seen calls and puts explained on KZfaq, kudos!

@almo2001 8 ай бұрын

Yes, I recommend people this video for that part even if they don't care about the Burry part. :D

@aaronmroczkowski3343 10 ай бұрын

Fantastic content. 🙌

@Philadelphia19147 9 ай бұрын

You make really good videos

@matthewmolloy5090 8 ай бұрын

I really enjoyed this one! The editing and music is on point. Great storytelling and also educational. Nice work man.

@nickstyman2692 10 ай бұрын

One of the best explanations of options I've heard.

@zippyjer 10 ай бұрын

Great explanation 👍🏼

@kobemaui9983 10 ай бұрын

Very well put together 👍

@OurNewestMember 9 ай бұрын

Good call out

@Tobi1_Kenobi 10 ай бұрын

Burry's position for these put options is only like 5% of the total value of the investment firm. The reason the numbers published for this trade were so high is because it looked at the value of the stocks in the bet based on their total value at sale, i.e. the $100 sale price, not the $5 he paid for the option

@animateddepression 9 ай бұрын

Great analysis!

@markiobook8639 10 ай бұрын

great expose

@slowride9994 10 ай бұрын

Great presentation. Finally got it with call and put options, and I see the case with Burry's bet against the 6 big stocks holding everything up. The other factor in that equation is the rising dollar. Last time the dollar got this higher earlier in the year banks started breaking. Fed patched them up quickly without too much ado. We'll see what happens this time, if anything, but certainly things don't feel too stable.

@matheuscampos8097 10 ай бұрын

Finally The big short part II will happen, such a great movie, couldn't wait for part II

@MC-kn6jl 10 ай бұрын

Great vid !

@shars.555 10 ай бұрын

This was GREAT information. Thank you!

@dotpenji 10 ай бұрын

It's essential to recognize the limitations of available information and to approach speculative bets with caution, as market dynamics can be influenced by various factors. Love how you explain the concept of options contracts, both call and put options - allow investors to profit from price movements without necessarily owning the underlying stocks.

@monalizapantoja8490 9 ай бұрын

It's clear that you've taken the time to thoroughly research and explain the situation, making it much easier for others to understand the context and implications of this trade.

@kristineambas 9 ай бұрын

Agree! I enjoyed watching, it so refreshing ^_^

@ryanvalenzuela551 9 ай бұрын

Indeed, Great Content

@hankhillsnrrwurethra 10 ай бұрын

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." - WSB, I think

@LalaPala-ml2or 10 ай бұрын

No, it was Keynes

@OurNewestMember 9 ай бұрын

The market can stay solvent longer than you can stay irrational Wait, what?

@chercheursdor 10 ай бұрын

Finally I understand call and put options! Thank you Hamish! Well explained!

@goodtimes8345 10 ай бұрын

Thankyou 🎩

@user-ic1rz9vd9s 9 ай бұрын

To be honest I rarely take the time to comment on videos or other comments for that matter. However, credit due where it is due….. probably one of the simplest , purest explanations possible in my opinion. Nailed it 👌🏻

@aakashr4974 10 ай бұрын

Even a broken clock is right twice a day 😂

@armstrong2450 10 ай бұрын

well said

@guillermoordenavia1592 10 ай бұрын

great video!

@Michele_Ana 10 ай бұрын

Best explanation of options I’ve heard btw!

@juanbaez4582 10 ай бұрын

Correction : The first to predict the crash of the real estate market was Peter schiff .

@Lokiesp14 10 ай бұрын

Imagine if berkshire sells all their Apple stock. That would start a chain reaction that would probably see a 20-30% drop in the s&p 500. I would also say that it would be a good and very profitable exit for Berkshire

@stefanoelias4414 10 ай бұрын

I dream about buying Apple at a discount. Please let in drop 30%!

@uoiuo 10 ай бұрын

I don't think they can just legally unload all the shares , they will take some profits and sell it over a year/years period.

@ace5655 10 ай бұрын

@@stefanoelias4414who's talking about a discount....Apple is overvalued ....

@mikatu 10 ай бұрын

Do you mean Apple Hathaway selling their Apple stock?

@Lokiesp14 10 ай бұрын

@@mikatu 😂 that was a good one. But on a serious note. I remember when they started buying at 750Billion. By the time the news was out it was already at around 850. I was thinking oh I would like to own apple stock but I felt it was not the right price (i am a value investor). And then you know what happened!

@marlainacerdas2569 10 ай бұрын

Best explanation ever!!

@RN-uo2vo 10 ай бұрын

Terrific video and beautiful explanations.

@clarencehoover6748 10 ай бұрын

Those on the other side of Burry’s bet may lack the ability to make good on the contract and hence default. Just as insurance companies make good on their contracts, up to their claims paying capabilities. Force majeure on the COMEX or other platform may even trigger an avalanche of defaults and inabilities to satisfy contractual obligations.

@OurNewestMember 9 ай бұрын

I think 13-F would have securities, so the options should be cleared by the OCC? But yeah, contagion still seems plausible (eg, if OCC can't recover net equity from brokers) I don't think force majeure even came into play during 2020, though (but there could always be some bigger or different event)

@Deadbeatbeats 10 ай бұрын

The fact that such a small fraction of the entire portfolio made such a difference tells you just how volatile the market is.

@Frootyloops629 9 ай бұрын

Fantastic video this

@emanuelegobbato6473 10 ай бұрын

Man, great video really well put and explained in a simple way. Nice work.

@imdoc7872 10 ай бұрын

I will crack up if the market just bounces back 😂😂😂

@unknowndevice5011 10 ай бұрын

I love Big Short movie, but Burry made plenty of predictions which never came true. Following his Twitter for some time already

@saucyrossy3698 10 ай бұрын

Yeah and he made a lot that did come true. Its a lot more than the big short. Its trendy to be blindly contrarian about him without actually know anything about his calls.

@mikatu 10 ай бұрын

It doesn't matter how many times you were wrong, as long as you are right most of the time!

@unknowndevice5011 10 ай бұрын

@@saucyrossy3698 Who told I don't know anything about his calls? Here you go: Predicted market crash in 2015 - market actually gained 11% next year Global financial meltdown prediction in 2017 - S&P rallied 19% Burry warns of stock market crash in 2019 - Once again, the market had a different plan, recording a 15% gain over the following year. March 2020 marked a revelation of a massive bearish bet by Burry. However, the SPX soared by an astonishing 72% in the subsequent 12 months Moving to September 2022, Burry predicted lingering failures in the stock market, suggesting that the bottom had not yet been reached. Again, the market responded differently, witnessing a 21% upswing over the next 11 months. Earlier this year, in January, the ‘Big Short’ urged investors to ‘sell,’ citing his prediction of a recession and new inflation round. However, the SPX remained resilient, recording a 17% increase year-to-date Summarizing, Burry had more misses than hits.

@raphaelwong4891 10 ай бұрын

Great video!! Love it!!

@AlfonsoDiSaliz 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for the explanation of the contract, i didnt understand until now ✅

@richmargin6082 10 ай бұрын

The bet was placed earlier this year. The market has already dropped significantly since he made the bet. He could be out of that by now. We won’t know until the next filing for the funds he manages.

@LL-wc4wn 10 ай бұрын

Hammish can you just turn down background music a smidge more in your vids thanks

@HamishHodder 10 ай бұрын

thanks for the feedback!

@doctor_ohad 10 ай бұрын

+1 for this comment :)

@youwebz 10 ай бұрын

That’s what you take away from all this brilliant free content? FMD

@andreasbrandstetter9272 10 ай бұрын

If you have bad hearing, this can make the speech difficult to understand. So yes, it is worth mentioning.

@petemiller519 10 ай бұрын

@@andreasbrandstetter9272 Totally agree, I am deaf on one ear, and trying to listen to content with background music is a real pain. If I want to listen to music I will spin up some classic vinyl. Cheers.

@benwheeler5 10 ай бұрын

09:41 where can I get the f-filing in this format? Can't find it anywhere?

10 ай бұрын

Very good explanation . Thanks.

@NiktheGreek7 10 ай бұрын

He's successfully predicted 10 of the last 2 ressecessions/crashes.

@ragabkamel_ 10 ай бұрын

Fascinating observations! Prominent figures in the financial field have been sharing their perspectives on the gravity of the looming economic decline and the potential depth of equity declines. This arises from the economy's trajectory toward a recession and the consistent inflation surpassing the Federal Reserve's 2% goal.Given my aspiration to amass a portfolio exceeding $850,000 by the time I reach 60, I would greatly welcome any insights regarding potential investment opportunities.

@thewilliams- 10 ай бұрын

Numerous captivating stocks span various industries, presenting a range of options worth considering. It's not imperative to act upon every prediction. My recommendation is to collaborate with a financial consultant who can guide you in pinpointing optimal moments for acquiring and divesting shares or ETFs of interest.

@ragabkamel_ 10 ай бұрын

@CHOIWOOK-bb4hk Who is this consultant? I'm really in need of one...

@thewilliams- 10 ай бұрын

@@ragabkamel_ My consultant isMr. Eric T Witt. He has since provide entry and exit points on the securities I focus on. You can look him up on if you care for supervision.

@Jeremiah1619 10 ай бұрын

What website do I see the filings?