The Global Financial Crisis of 2008 - The Primary Causes

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Krassimir Petrov

Krassimir Petrov

8 жыл бұрын

A seminar presentation at Dong-A University in Busan on the primary causes of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and who is responsible for causing the crisis.

Пікірлер: 114
@Dydreth
@Dydreth 7 жыл бұрын
Sound analysis. This is the most concise and comprehensive examination of the problem I've heard.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 7 жыл бұрын
Thank you. I have worked hard to prepare it.
@keeponsearchingearth1543
@keeponsearchingearth1543 7 жыл бұрын
I agree. I just shared this on my FB page as this is the best explanation I have ever seen.
@auradkhan5065
@auradkhan5065 2 жыл бұрын
ive heard many lectures about 2008 fin crisis but the way you explained is amazing.. Sir you have an amazing style of teaching & explaining.. I recommended your channel to my ACCA friends and they are loving your lectures specially on financial management.. I genuinely respect your hard work.
@VladislavSadykov
@VladislavSadykov 8 жыл бұрын
please keep making the videos and share your knowledge, thoughts and understanding. I can spend hours watching your videos.
@kktsvetkov
@kktsvetkov 8 жыл бұрын
+Vladislav Sadykov A lot of people that I introduced to Krassimir Petrov's videos become hooked, so our club is growing :)
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+Vladislav Sadykov Thank you. More courses are being recorded and on their way.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+Krassimir Petrov Thank you.
@detectiveofmoneypolitics
@detectiveofmoneypolitics Жыл бұрын
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia 🇦🇺 still watching this very informative content cheers Frank
@wladsonsantos5786
@wladsonsantos5786 5 жыл бұрын
Great lecture, professor. Thank you for sharing such a great content.
@WanidaPhoothongkan
@WanidaPhoothongkan 3 жыл бұрын
Easy to understand! Love many of your teachings.
@NazzMustapah
@NazzMustapah 8 жыл бұрын
Its nice to see you back posting videos, welcome back Mr Petrov
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+NazzMustapah Tahnk you.
@naflahmansoor2349
@naflahmansoor2349 3 жыл бұрын
Youre a great lecturer! So glad I found your videos :)
@dhgnofn
@dhgnofn Ай бұрын
i am learning about economic and i would say this would be a good class.
@xanumaxanuma7234
@xanumaxanuma7234 6 жыл бұрын
An outstanding Profefssor! It is almost impossible not to understand what he is teaching. Big up Professor !!!
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much.
@sushantsharma5897
@sushantsharma5897 8 жыл бұрын
A very recently launched book "Globalisation, Democratization and Distributive Justice" by Prof Moolchand Sharma, discusses such things.. and this lecture cleared the base required to read that book..
@nagamuthudevan1690
@nagamuthudevan1690 2 жыл бұрын
Best explanation thanks
@asen434
@asen434 5 жыл бұрын
Благодаря за лекцията и изобщо за целия канал!
@gebrielmesgina7257
@gebrielmesgina7257 3 жыл бұрын
Im watching this lecture in 2020. Still relevant!
@jhonrinconmalereiipainting970
@jhonrinconmalereiipainting970 5 жыл бұрын
the best lecture of economics
@rparker8761
@rparker8761 7 жыл бұрын
I have watched this 4 times. Great video.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 7 жыл бұрын
Thank you.
@ypierro
@ypierro 2 жыл бұрын
Very interesting, you speak very slowly and clearly, was it a challenge teaching in Taiwan in English ?
@senghong
@senghong 2 жыл бұрын
love very much for teaching
@joelarulanandam6248
@joelarulanandam6248 10 ай бұрын
victim of 2008 subprime crisis. i worked for long hours more than 20 hours for rabo bank at cognizant chennai india.,which resulted in bakpain to me for next 10 years and unable to work for 10 years
@PurplesinnerW
@PurplesinnerW 6 жыл бұрын
best time spent on my life!
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Thank You.
@abdulsamadabro155
@abdulsamadabro155 7 жыл бұрын
You are an awesome sir.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Thank You.
@mayankbhatt1594
@mayankbhatt1594 5 жыл бұрын
Hello Sir, What is your take on real estate market skyrocketing in Vancouver and Toronto in the last 7-8 years? Also what is your take on investing in Electronic car stocks and lithium stocks? Hoping for your answer. Thank you
@ikramhashmi5160
@ikramhashmi5160 7 жыл бұрын
thanks it's a good lecture and im making my final year project on this topic(CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF US FINANCIAL CRISIS)
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Thank You.
@oscar4887
@oscar4887 8 жыл бұрын
Can u give the slides???i really want to see....
@markhathaway9456
@markhathaway9456 3 жыл бұрын
He purports to explain the reasons why, but doesn't get to why the US interest rates were pushed so low.
@WailASaif
@WailASaif 6 жыл бұрын
Wonderful explanation, thank you very much
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Thank You.
@nthperson
@nthperson 4 жыл бұрын
It is worth adding now that we are passing mid-cycle that in many countries we are heading toward yet another property market asset bubble. Property (that is, land) market cycles have occurred on average every 18-21 years, depending on the policies following by government and the financial sector. The record low mortgage interest rates existing since 2010 have meant property buyers can carry higher levels of mortgage debt, which market forces capitalize into higher and higher property prices (driven by credit-fueled land speculation). The only possible way to forestall or at least mitigate the next decline is to implement actual tax reform: (a) remove the tax advantage given to so-called capital gains over ordinary income; (b) return real progressivity to the individual income tax, the objective being to heavily tax income derived from passive investment and speculation; and (c) local governments need to be encouraged to move to a property tax structure that exempts property improvements in favor of collecting the potential annual rental value of all privately-held locations (a change sometimes referred to as "land value taxation").
@ivopashov
@ivopashov 8 жыл бұрын
economics lectures as they should be
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+Ivaylo Pashov Thank you.
@downtownballer07
@downtownballer07 7 жыл бұрын
Great lecture! Just out of curiosity, what action should the US Fed Reserve take at this point in time? Should they raise rates? Are there any smooth solutions to these economic crises?
@user-zv6kr3ru6p
@user-zv6kr3ru6p 7 жыл бұрын
I think maybe some fisical policies like governmetn investment in some infrastructures. Building consumers' confidence on future's econocmis condition.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 7 жыл бұрын
There is NOTHING that the Fed can do to fix the problem. They can only extend and pretend -- they call it QE.
@keeponsearchingearth1543
@keeponsearchingearth1543 7 жыл бұрын
Sir, I keep reading and hearing that it would be wise to hold a few oz. of physical gold and/or silver bullion in my/our possession as a way to preserve some of our wealth or as a hedge to protect ourselves from the next economic crisis or financial collapse. May I (we) get your opinion on this. I appreciate your wisdom and insight. Martin in Canada
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Yes, gold outside the financial system is the best way for you to protect your wealth.
@yaroslavishchuk
@yaroslavishchuk 8 жыл бұрын
Best lecturer ever... I wish I could study at you..but
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+Петр Резник Thank you.
@ralphwebster8318
@ralphwebster8318 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent
@saidnizar5434
@saidnizar5434 8 жыл бұрын
can you give me the content of the slides please
@bobwilton7553
@bobwilton7553 4 жыл бұрын
do youhave the link for your ppt?
@rodriguez_cj_
@rodriguez_cj_ 2 жыл бұрын
It's starting to happen now
@manohars811
@manohars811 6 жыл бұрын
Hi Petrov..what is your understanding on Indian economy now? was demonetization and going digital like using paytm etc was a correct move to curb black money?
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Of course not. Indian monetization was a complete disaster and made life a lot worse for most ordinary people. Going digital is hopeless in India for the next 1-2 decades at least. How do you go "DIGITAL" when half of the population is illiterate?
@elangz9201
@elangz9201 6 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the nice explanation sir. But if i may ask, what causes economic bubble to burst?
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
What causes a bubble to burst is extremely complicated and difficult to explain in a message. It usually take many hours to explain such a complex topic. Most often it is either tighter monetary policy or a loss of confidence in the bubble.
@nthperson
@nthperson 4 жыл бұрын
I do not disagree with Mr. Petrov's comment that the causes of bubbles are complex. That said, there is a fundamental cause of asset bubbles, which is a nation's tax structure that rewards speculation and rent-seeking strategies, generally. A low effective rate of taxation on the value of land (or, more accurately, the potential annual rental value of locations) rewards hoarding of land and land speculation over investment in production of housing and capital goods. This drives up the cost of acquiring or leasing land (passed on thru to real estate generally) the point that asking prices stress individual affordability and business profit margins. The land market is usually the first asset bubble to burst, and a chain reaction follows.
@lulabalcha3296
@lulabalcha3296 8 жыл бұрын
you have changed a lot
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+lula balcha Yes, my appearance has changed, but I am the same "old" lecturer that you have known for many years.
@sudruhlaskykvet
@sudruhlaskykvet 8 жыл бұрын
thank you Sir!
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+B.pulls You are welcome.
@shiudifonyaimmanuel5459
@shiudifonyaimmanuel5459 8 жыл бұрын
WELL EXPLAINED
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
Thank You.
@ralphleeford3038
@ralphleeford3038 4 жыл бұрын
Your so good sir. Thankyou just one question that i dont understand why the borrowers they cannot/dont afford ... to pay for the money the borrowed ??
@nthperson
@nthperson 4 жыл бұрын
The three primary reasons people cannot repay what is borrowed are: (1) prolonged unemployment; (2) divorce; and (3) prolonged illness. A related cause is the assessment of penalties and compounding of accrued interest once one falls behind.
@nicolaszhang3179
@nicolaszhang3179 7 жыл бұрын
what's your opinions about Chinese real estate market?
@CarvalhoCaldeira
@CarvalhoCaldeira 7 жыл бұрын
Mine is that is a giant bubble ready to explode.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 7 жыл бұрын
It is a giant bubble. Probably the biggest real estate bubble in the history of humanity.
@Nick-yn2uz
@Nick-yn2uz 5 жыл бұрын
Krassimir Petrov what are your reasons for this? Thanks & great video
@richardarundhu9523
@richardarundhu9523 3 жыл бұрын
We can't see what you write in board.
@kenzofa5560
@kenzofa5560 3 жыл бұрын
sorry Sir, the OTC derivatives forex trading are much bigger bubble, interest rate swap a much bigger problem, subprime mortgages securitisation/CDS are tiny.
@maureenberendonk4662
@maureenberendonk4662 Жыл бұрын
The whole world was not only buying them, the whole world was also selling them to their own citizens
@nthperson
@nthperson Жыл бұрын
Professor Petrov's statements regarding lending to minorities in the United States makes it sound as if all prudent underwriting standards were discarded. This is not what occurred, although the financial lending markets experienced a high level of fraud and misrepresentation. What caused this to occur? Investors are always looking for higher and average yields. Some every astute people convinced investors to channel billions of dollars into the purchase of private label mortgage backed securities. The loans produced and pooled together as collateral for these securities were originated by mortgage brokers paid high fees to find borrowers willing to pay high rates of interest and pay high fees. Often the people borrowing the money had no idea of the terms they were agreeing to. Often the people borrowing the money would never have obtained the financing from a lender using prudent underwriting. Investors acquired a false confidence in the quality of the MBS because bond rating agencies rated the MBS equivalent to AAA bonds, without any investigation into how the loans were produced.
@shaonmukherjee1389
@shaonmukherjee1389 6 жыл бұрын
Speculation in land prices is what drives the economy. 18 year cycle.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Now the speculation is in real estate and stocks (and junk bonds)
@shaonmukherjee1389
@shaonmukherjee1389 6 жыл бұрын
Based on this then the next recession is 2025/2026 roughly 18 years from the last one
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
18 year is approximation. The next one could be sooner or later. I would guess much sooner than 2025.
@shaonmukherjee1389
@shaonmukherjee1389 6 жыл бұрын
Krassimir Petrov based on the data I am seeing I do.not see any sign of a recession BUT I do see a Mid cycle slowdown. People will think this is a recession BUT it is not. I am UK based. I still think 2025/2026 Based 400 years of repeating cycles here in the UK
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Just take a very careful look at your data in 2007. Did your data point to a Great Recession in 2008 or the data pointed at a booming U.K economy?? What about the booming US economy in 1999?? Quite often a crashing stock market or real estate market will drive the economy in recession, not the other way around.
@barrygaynor1025
@barrygaynor1025 2 жыл бұрын
20 to 30 years of mismanagement and irresponsible fiscal policies resulted in the Great Recession -- that and failing to learn from the stock market crash of 1929 and the subsequent Great Depression.
@bobmario8520
@bobmario8520 7 жыл бұрын
Did you apply economics to your hair cut? Cause sometime I do that if I don't want to see barber gay.
@TheUstahi
@TheUstahi 7 жыл бұрын
To complement this great lecture: Watch the movie "The Big Short".
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 7 жыл бұрын
A good documentary is "Meltdown" (5 parts)
@kevino4372
@kevino4372 Жыл бұрын
This was in North Korea?
@shevechang742
@shevechang742 8 жыл бұрын
so long no see, where is your hair,sir..
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 8 жыл бұрын
+sheve chang It is all gone now. But I am still the same guy that you have known for many years.
@arbiesudrajat6717
@arbiesudrajat6717 7 жыл бұрын
I feel sick hearing such terrible facts. I wasn't only thinking about ten of millions of people who lost their jobs and home in the US, but those dieases did also spread worldwide. Those scumbags won't even pay for what they'd done. My god.. what a world..
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 7 жыл бұрын
Correct. The system is rigged. It is designed for them to profit, but never to pay for their mistakes -- that's what the taxpayers are for.
@ajg5
@ajg5 6 жыл бұрын
Greenspan didn't tell lenders to throw out their underwriting procedures/protocols and give a loan to every tom dick and harry that walked through their door after which those loans got packaged in MBSs.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
He sure encouraged them with his super-low interest rates which only magnified the expected profits. Yes, it was Greenspan's fault. With interest rates high, none of this would have happened.
@ajg5
@ajg5 6 жыл бұрын
Krassimir Petrov why would you have high interest rates when inflation is low? Mortgages need to be controlled through regulations that’s fiscal policy not monetary policy. Dumb dumb.
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
Because interest rates depend on available savings in the economy. If US savings are low, then interest rates MUST be high. Otherwise problems happen as we saw in 2008.
@ajg5
@ajg5 Жыл бұрын
@T S lol There was never crashes in other markets throughout time.
@ajg5
@ajg5 Жыл бұрын
@T S what about tulip mania?
@lukemckee9772
@lukemckee9772 2 жыл бұрын
I wonder how much non productive credit there is in the world atm..
@jumper11able
@jumper11able 2 жыл бұрын
I'm still wondering how such a good lecture turn into insulting the black people. I'm not myself black however, the way this lecturer degraded 13% of the American population is beyond me.
@thomasgarnetto2161
@thomasgarnetto2161 2 жыл бұрын
Thought the same thing. Great lecture, but to insist that 13% of the population is responsible for 100% of the problem is crazy. Of the 13% Whats the Numb3rs on defaults? All of them? Come on brother that is laugh worthy.
@ronnie7093
@ronnie7093 6 жыл бұрын
Macau is not a country btw
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 6 жыл бұрын
That's how people usually think about it, even though it is not really an independent country, but part of China.
@Akshit_sharma._
@Akshit_sharma._ 5 жыл бұрын
Boring
@kmpetrov
@kmpetrov 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your comment. I will try better next time.
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