Ok, so a couple of minor things that I forgot. First, I was not keeping track of our Squirtle's HP throughout the run, since I had assumed that since we were dodging basically every attack, it would not matter too much. However, some of you pointed out that with Squirtle's ability Torrent, sometimes it might be advantageous to get hit and be low on HP so we can deal more damage. And second, there's a weird mechanic in Fire Red and Leaf Green that I completely forgot about where having certain gym badges will buff specific stats for your Pokemon. Specifically, Blaine's badge gives you a boost to Special Attack, making it easier to one-shot pokemon later on. That's why Blaine is done before Erika, so that would also change the numbers a bit. Good catch, everyone!

The irony of this whole thing is that if this ever happened and you tried to submit this as a speedrun, everyone would just think you cheated and the speedrun would get rejected. I guess the real question is what is the luckiest game of Pokémon people would still believe you accomplished legitimately.

Babe, chip tide just dropped a 45 minute video

This is the rng the npc’s in nuzlockes get lmaooo

Next thing we need is someone doing a TAS of this run and seeing how much faster it is compared to the current WR time

Having to redo the math bc of a single tile. Feels bad man

I can’t believe you managed to make me watch 44 minutes of pure MATH and enjoy it. Thanks for all the effort you put into these videos, I really appreciate it :)

17:28 - The optimal path is to plan for the maximum number of grass tiles (all five), but to simply walk upwards after getting a nidoran on the first tile. It doesn't seem like you accounted for that as an option

Now I want to watch a tool-assisted speedrun of this to see how fast Pokémon can be when you take luck out of it! They could call it Luck% or something. Nice companion video to the blind and deaf FR run!

My God... Chiptide must be really dedicated to his craft to do something this insane. Love the video, and really love the humor. 💚

Fun fact, I. Gen 1, the trash can puzzle in surge’s gym is bugged. It’s supposed to generate the second switch adjacent to the first one but instead it’s a 50% chance to be the top left can every time.

So basically... That's my brother's every run ...

I hate to be that guy, but there are stat boosts from earning badges that you could also take into account which would make the chance of OHKO-ing some pokemon more likely

Just remember like the editor wrote "DO NOT TRUST..."

Petition to name 4.83*10^202 a "FireRed-Poképlex" and 2.66*10^214 a "Shiny-FireRed-Poképlex"

I know its technically a disease, but catching Pokerus would have been an interesting wrinkle in these calculations. Pokérus doubles the EVs gained from defeating Pokemon so catch it in the beginning of the game and your maxing out your EVs twice as fast, which can be very lucky.

Thanks for describing my first playthrough of Pokémon Fire Red! I did not expect this to be so accurate!

How did I manage to stay entertained for the whole video? I don't know, but good job for making that possible.

I personally think this is the best video you've done when it comes to making viewers deranged from all the probabilities and maths, which means... GREAT JOB, CONGRATULATIONS. YOU DID IT. For a moment I thought you were going to figure out the exact time this speed run would be timed as, but that is already even more work on top of figuring all of this out. So it looks like we'll have to find a crazy TASer who would be willing to waste- Err I mean, use up their hard earned knowledge and time making this run VISIBLE. They might even find new issues to deal with, like priority moves or something...

The further and further this video got the more the absolute MOUNTAIN of work this took showed. All this just for a single video is INSANE

the good thing is : if something like an eternal afterlife exist, we will have something to keep the boredom at bay for some time.

Either this was a collab with KeeganJ or this was the biggest coincidence ever to hit my subscription box.

I feel u man I tried doing the same thing and quit

After seeing the thumbnail change 3 times, I have decided that I don't even feel like watching it.

He did all the math to figure out the chance of the luckiest possible run, but didn’t tell us how long the run would be 😔

Even rolling for a starter is completely screwed up with all of the stat variables.

Whenever your videos deal with probability you never account for psuedo-rng based bias

You forgot that after every battle you could get infected with pokerus, which would waste time after you heal at the next center visit until the last one, in which case you might need it for the extra EVs that could give you an extra stat point to help you KO something (probably does not but it could)

I wonder who is going to try to make this run a reality

Wouldn't this have been infinitely more easy using the original red edition rather than fire red?

This video length is a dream come true

Hate when my nucleons decray 43:13.

You're crazy, dude. But I admire your dedication.

I wonder if this is even *theoretically* possible. Like, would the random number generation in the game make this impossible to actually achieve?

god i love math

we need a follow up to explain how much time this would save

Alternative title: The Average Playthrough for Dream (Not Cheating) (No Hacking) (Totally Legit)

But, if you do this speedrun, how fast would it be? Since its the theoretical fastest possible run, it could be a good source of reference to compare to the current world record!

fun video my mad scientist friend lulz!

26:00 Perfect joke, no notes

You didn't mention it but I assume you calculated the Torrent ability in your damage calculations.

17:56 Hate to ruin all your wild encounter math, but this is also incorrect. The game gives you a few steps grace period after encountering a wild Pokémon where you will never encounter another one. So if your first grass step is an encounter you know the next one won’t be.

0:33 determinism disagrees

this happened to me once

Is this what the tas does

Thank you for your service Mr Chiptide o7

Where was the shiny vs non shiny run odds?? 😢

So, what would be the total time for this perfect-odds speedrun?

Do you think a rng seed like this actually exists How long would it take to find

You should have a lot more subs than you do.

I can achieve this

Speedruns are cool and all, but do you want to really bury yourself in a spreadsheet for at least a month and drown in math? Go calculate the minimum number of controller inputs needed to complete a run

40:04 answer is here