Polls at halfway point: reading the numbers, margins, prospects & the 50% factor

Рет қаралды 242,652

28 күн бұрын

#CutTheClutter #loksabhaelection2024
With the third phase of Lok Sabha polls today, eight states have concluded polling. In Episode 1445 of Cut The Clutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta discusses the past performance of the BJP, Congress, and other prominent regional parties in important constituencies.
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5:10 - States where voting for Lok Sabha Polls is over
9:48 - BJP’s performance in 2019 Elections
15:00 -How Opposition performed in 2019 polls
16:57 - The remaining 259 seats
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Пікірлер: 670

@ThePrintIndia 26 күн бұрын

Exclusive content, privileges & more - Subscribe to ThePrint for special benefits: theprint.in/subscribe/

@everyonetravelauniquejourn8752 26 күн бұрын

Not interested.Sekhar gupta is not focussed.lot of blabbering

@aedecded 26 күн бұрын

what is so exclusive of this stupid content. There is no analysis. Just a summary of what happened in 2019 which my daadi would also tell. Make some interesting content Guptaji.

@everyonetravelauniquejourn8752 26 күн бұрын

He says cut the clutter but he creates clutter

@ss-su9ob 26 күн бұрын

as long as yogendra yadav says... BJP will get less.. we are OK. If he says... BJP will get more... will be terrified. That gentleman was always wrong (by a mile)...

@amazon37mustafa9 26 күн бұрын

wait and watch andh bhakts

@ss-su9ob 26 күн бұрын

@@amazon37mustafa9 chill mate.. less bhakt, more, do not like Mr. Yadav..

@eishuno 26 күн бұрын

@@amazon37mustafa9 awwww

@svacharya8180 26 күн бұрын

@@amazon37mustafa9 When there is no reasoning should abuse suffice?

@vikashgauravvkg 26 күн бұрын

@@amazon37mustafa9 eucated samjha kya apne aap ko tu madarsachap hai 😂😂

@sankalp6872 26 күн бұрын

Shri Yogendra Yadav in one show said that BJP is NOT EVEN visible in "rear view" mirror in Chattisgarh. As it turns out, he kept looking for the BJP in "rear view" mirror, while the BJP drove forward and Congress went downhill. I cannot predict the election result but personally I think Rahul Gandhi's Amethi "surrender" was a COWARDLY move. Running away from a fight sends the WRONG message. Gandhi should vacate the political space if he loses to Modi once again.

@user-ng5xr2ju2z 26 күн бұрын

Dude sankalp, your comments are too good xD. I share your opinion on YoYa being a complete joker, his face and voice is enough to piss one off, forget his dumb opinions, but the way you destroy him is too good xD

@libshastra 26 күн бұрын

Sharp comment!

@nnbg8000 26 күн бұрын

@Sankalp: brilliant!

@user-nt3rr6yc4c 26 күн бұрын

When you don’t understand how politics works and only shout slogans wherever you go, you will say RG’s decision not to contest from Amethi is cowardice! Cylinderella has been served a check mate but all these dynamics of politics will go way over your head! Swoooosshhhhh!

@sivaaero92 26 күн бұрын

@@user-nt3rr6yc4clol .As per you fearing to contest in their family constituency against a union minister and running away from that for a more safer constituency is a great move in politics and is equal to a check mate in chess🤦! wow slow clapps buddy 👏👏👏. what an politcal intellectual leader and their followers! great yar. Keep it up 👌👌

@sankalp6872 26 күн бұрын

If Shri Yogendra Yadav is predicting then Modi be better packing his bag. After all his last 420 predictions were "spot on". Shir YoYa is no ordinary man. The man is an astrologer, physicist, virologist, gynaecologist, economist, and a dozen other things. Shri YoYa is a LEGEND. Even all 6 Nobel Prizes, all 24 Oscars, the The Fields Medal and all other global prestigious awards combine CANNOT do justice to Shri YoYa's stature.

@rutvikrs 26 күн бұрын

I swear Salim is going to be an ever-present character in the future political fiction. Like an inept version of Vaerys or Littlefinger.

@watanabe00738 26 күн бұрын

Sexologists also

@libshastra 26 күн бұрын

Whoever came up with “Yoya is India’s Johnny Sins” needs to be given a Padma award.

@sankalp6872 26 күн бұрын

@@libshastra Hi Lib, How was voting in you constituency? In my constituency total polarization. Full marks to BJP organization, they ensured a united Hindu vote and brought every supporter to the polling booth. They even arranged coolers, snacks, softdrinks and water for voters. The Congress organization was hopeless. Nevertheless, kudos to INC vote bank. They too came out to vote on their own. Triumph of electoral democracy. However, I think BJP holds the edge because it ensured that no Hindu house was left behind. After today's phase, I am quite confident of BJP's 2024 chances. For a moment, felt it was touch and go. Looks like BJP and NCP (Ajit Pawar) will do well. Shinde has also tried hard but not sure about his chances.

@venkataramananchidambaram3684 26 күн бұрын

Yadav ji gets currency at home !!! Sits writes lines in utopial imaginations ,satisfying his supplier full ,andolan jeevi yadav ji !!!! Fit to half climb the gate !!!! Soros the believer !!! For many decades !!!! Failure always is surely his 100% success.

@AkashSharma1201 26 күн бұрын

Every time you use the words "expert" and "Yogendra Yadav" in the same sentence, your credibility goes down a notch.

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

Andholan jeevi yogendra yadav ( Saleem Bhai is orginal name ) 😂😂😂😂😂😂

@bvrmurthy8488 17 күн бұрын

He against Modi and BJP and expert in organization farmer protest and blocking high ways.

@venkatesh4715 26 күн бұрын

Yogendra yadav's Chattisgarh predcitions are known to all. He made huge claims of Congress sweeping the 2023 assembly polls and the rest is history!! One more from 2018: BJP's popularity diminishing, it will lose at least 100 Lok Sabha seats: Yogendra Yadav

@sankalp6872 26 күн бұрын

I know in one show, Shri Yoya commented, "BJP is NOT EVEN visible in "rear view" mirror in Chattisgarh". As it turns out, he kept looking for the BJP in "rear view" mirror, while the BJP already reached Raj Bhavan, but Congress went down the cliff.

@sanjaydongre 26 күн бұрын

What yogendra yadav can do in front of EVM hack ???

@MrPrabhatRastogi 26 күн бұрын

@@sanjaydongrelol - nach na Jane aangan tedha

@niladrighosh7515 26 күн бұрын

@@sanjaydongre lol....😂😂 that's your excuse?

@Subranna1 26 күн бұрын

YY is nice spoken but has no clue on Indian politics😂😂

@hello3524 26 күн бұрын

Gupta ji puts YoYo ji on such a high pedestal; this itself tells the story about Gupta ji. All of YoYo ji's predictions fall flat, not even close. I'm not sure why Gupta ji always sticks to propagandists. In my opinion, that's the reason nobody pays much attention to Gupta ji. YoYo Sir couldn't even predict the outcome of the seat he contested. In the end, he was cursing that the voters are stupid. He thinks he's such a great soul that everyone should just listen to him. I mean, what has he done in his life to build this trust with voters? I mean, if the founders of Tata or Infosys promise something, then people could believe them because of their track record. What has YoYo done to earn the trust of voters? YoYo ji couldn't even condemn fraudulent Arvind Kejriwal, who keeps lying all the time in public.

@ZoldicsDiaries 25 күн бұрын

Duggal sahab aka yogendra yadav fir aagye🤣🤣- He will get an answer on 4th july.

@youdekho 26 күн бұрын

Gupta ji....this comes from a regular cut the clutter viewer. Felt like there was nothing new you talked about in this episode (no clutter to cut in the subject) ...and a bad start with Yogendras article.....he is predictions are going horribly wrong for past 10 years

@JJ-hp6mb 23 күн бұрын

Oh, so he didn't appeal to your confirmation bias? 🤣

@youdekho 23 күн бұрын

@@JJ-hp6mb Gupta ji didn't do any predictions of election outcome. So how bias question arises? YoYa did predictions...and we all know how is predictions are working for past 10 years 😂

@narapuram2 26 күн бұрын

Wishful thinking being passed on as opinion by Yogendra Yadav and being parroted by Shekha Gupta. All in all, I forecast gangbuster sales of Burnol on June 4th😂😂

@user-jn7ph2wc2w 26 күн бұрын

Mr. Gupta, question you should ask is, does those who make predictions like Mr. Yogendra Yadav have any credibility given that their predictions have gone spectacularly wrong (just 4 months ago) in Madhya PRadesh / Chattishgadh or in 2019 etc. etc. In any other profession, someone who makes such spectacular mistakes either changes the profession (if they have any sense of shame and responsibility left) or looses the job. But, hey, this is lutyen media. As long as it favors the old guard, there is no check and balances, their career graph moves in only upward direction. I think the day opposition Congress gets rid of such jokers, is the day it will get to hear from real people from ground and will improve its position. Mr. Yadav was talking about poll percentage drop in Rajasthan. there was an article by SBI where they said "total votes" (not vote percentage) cast in Phase 1 and 2 were higher than 2019. In fact, in Rajasthan, total drop of votes per constituency (average) is around 35,000 votes (about 8 lakhs for 25 seats). Assuming all of this is a loss for BJP, how on earth BJP is going to loose when its victory margin in Rajasthan was over 2 lakhs. Only Mr. Yadav's "ganith" can explain that.

@ZoldicsDiaries 25 күн бұрын

Duggal sahab aka yogendra yadav fir aagye🤣🤣- He will get an answer on 4th july.

@blistering2900 25 күн бұрын

Abe chutiya bhakt watch on 4th June..you will learn.

@atulaksar 26 күн бұрын

Why print publishes opinions n not news. That too one sided opinions 😮

@hello3524 26 күн бұрын

Because that's what a Theprint job is-it's a portal, and Gupta ji is a left-leaning secular journalist. Most of his funding comes from the left ecosystem, so he does. ThePrint is like India’s NYT, WaPo, or Al Jazeera.

@SatyamSingh-fm2bn 26 күн бұрын

ᴡʜʏ ᴅᴏ ʏᴏᴜ ᴄᴀʟʟ sʜᴇᴋʜᴀʀ ɢᴜᴘᴛᴀ ɪs ʟᴇғᴛ ʟᴇᴀɴɪɴɢ? ɪ ɴᴇᴠᴇʀ ᴇᴠᴇʀ ғᴇʟᴛ ᴛʜᴀᴛ.... ɪ ᴀʟᴡᴀʏs ᴛʜɪɴᴋ ʜᴇ ʟᴏᴏᴋs ʟɪᴋᴇ ᴀɴ ᴏᴜᴛsɪᴅᴇʀ. ɪ ғᴇᴇʟ ʜᴇ ᴡᴀs ɴᴏᴛ ʙɪᴀsᴇᴅ... sᴏ ᴡʜᴀᴛ ᴘᴏɪɴᴛ ᴅɪᴅ ʏᴏᴜ ɴᴏᴛɪᴄᴇ? ᴄᴀɴ ʏᴏᴜ ᴘʟᴇᴀsᴇ ɢɪᴠᴇ ᴀ ᴛɪᴍᴇsᴛᴀᴍᴘ?

@ohboeeboee 26 күн бұрын

That is what he calls de hyphenated😂😂😂.. YoYa print

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

Sekhar is Pappu party worker

@Shivameo 26 күн бұрын

I have been watching The print for almost 5 years and what I observed is that they are strategically aligned toward BJP, it is not though to figure it out.

@hareshmehta1772 26 күн бұрын

One day YoYa will turn out to be right. After all a dysfunctional clock too gives correct time twice in a day.

@Jun_kid 26 күн бұрын

For that he'll have to STOP predicting.

@juPi05tEr 26 күн бұрын

@@Jun_kid 😂😂😂

@hareshmehta1772 26 күн бұрын

@@Jun_kid no, he has to keep on predicting the same thing like a dysfunctional clock. He cannot change his prediction. When, one day, he turns out right he dance shouting "I told you so!". On other hand if he dies before his prediction turns out right, he will be declared a prophet who prophesied that the day of reckoning is at hand. "Repent".

@simriths.s5976 22 күн бұрын

😂😂😂😂

@lastleaf5282 26 күн бұрын

Shekhar Gupta was completely wrong in analyzing 2019 Sharad Pawar dislodging Fadanvis- Ajit Pawar coalition . He mentioned Sharad Pawar met Modi in Delhi and assumed Pawar told Modi if you come after my family I will not tolerate. This was completely bogus analysis . One can check one of the old his cut the clutter video . His analysis are often way away from reality .

@abhissri6666 26 күн бұрын

Bhai, don't be so harsh on him. Journalism or political analysis is not even his first profession. He has excelled as small time broker in power corridors of Delhi

@studer3500 23 күн бұрын

he is a biased and incompetent so called "analyst". If he had any common sense he would vote for the BJP.

@JJ-hp6mb 23 күн бұрын

@@studer3500😂

@watanabe00738 26 күн бұрын

As soon as i heard yogendra yadav , i stopped the video . Its better to watch rubbish kumar than listening to yoyo's dellusional predictions , which he is doing for last 10 years 😂

@HarmanHundal01 26 күн бұрын

Modi chamcha of the week detected.

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

Correct 😂😂😂😂

@simulacrumproductions1012 26 күн бұрын

Thanks for your expert opinion,which you got the time to form as pappa modi has left you unemployed and anpad like him after all the electoral bonds scams he did, after the highest unemployment in last 45 years, and then you also didn't have to listen to your family whom you had sold to Revanna, BrijBhushans son,Kuldip Sengar, all r****t BJP tocket holders for r***... hope you are happy doing hindu Muslim while the high price for petrol chases India's GDP per capita rank trying to beat it, and both you and your k**s d** as typical unemployed and illiterate bhakts!

@prakhargupta1405 26 күн бұрын

Firsy of All in 2019 NDA won 345 seats and all the seats which were won by NDA is under PM Modi's name so you can say it's BJP's only so plzz play on 345 seats and not on 303 seats .

@KshitijBhambri1 26 күн бұрын

Current NDA without BJD, YSRCP,BRS,SAD, 6 MPs of SS UBT, but Add TDP, RLDhad none, SS Shinde,Ajit NCP Has 336

@prakhargupta1405 26 күн бұрын

@@KshitijBhambri1 BJD , Ysrcp and BRS was not part of NDA in 2019 .

@KshitijBhambri1 26 күн бұрын

@@prakhargupta1405 ofc that's why didnt add them Neither BSP

@satgubi 26 күн бұрын

Problem with journalists like SG is they tend to think like economists. Past is a prefiction of the future! People vote on their feet and look at what they see on the ground and what they expect for their future!

@racistocrazy 26 күн бұрын

congress is invisible in delhi. i am a resident of north west delhi (rohini) and didn't seen any congress flag/poster/rally till now. maybe all the congress buzz is online.

@kuldeepkumarbhat9648 26 күн бұрын

So you mean to say that 224 are guaranteed to the BJP ? Hence just 50 more are needed to form a Govt the third time ! Not a difficult job, in any case. BJP's come is guaranteed.

@hello3524 26 күн бұрын

With all due respect, Gupta ji's cumbersome narration is so complex that even sincere political enthusiast individual won't get much out of it except few public info and the overall tone. Lost in narration, no wonder Gupta ji doesn’t have good viewership. Sorry Gupta ji, been giving this f/b since many years, but too late for you to change.

@kausnishant 26 күн бұрын

Pqq😊😊😊qq

@kausnishant 26 күн бұрын

@2010sourabh 26 күн бұрын

u can get lost anytime from the print. no one is stopping u

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

@@2010sourabhMuslim party worker 😅😅😅

@studer3500 23 күн бұрын

@@kshorts4k a namazee for sure...

@manishd7177 26 күн бұрын

Hi Shekhar, just wanted to know if we ever had uncontested poll earlier in any parliamentary election?

@daagaaseth2734 26 күн бұрын

Congress has won 11 seats uncontested in different LS elections since 1952 In 2012 mainpuri LS bypoll, Dimple yadav won the seat uncontested.

@hello3524 26 күн бұрын

Oh Yeah, many such examples, pretty common in every election, it happened with SP and congress, many times. Just google it man.

@cricketdhamaka1973 26 күн бұрын

So far 37 since first lok sabha election.

@arunkumargarg6129 26 күн бұрын

Shekhar Gupta working overtime to give confidence to his masters

@onlytruthissupreme7541 26 күн бұрын

Tejaswi is not capable enough to pull votes from outside of the MY constituency and that is the himaliyan size hurdle for RJD to crossover. As long as Lalu is active in politics, it would remain a tough zone for Tejaswi to win hearts of other communities outside MY combine.

@Anp562 26 күн бұрын

2:20 Ichadhari protester also said the same in 2019. Confidently said BJP below 200😂😂

@girishktyagi 26 күн бұрын

whole narrative is : BJP : 400+ NDA Opposition : We will ensure you don't get 400+ Result: BJP is coming with much better tally than 2019

@tarunmohapatra5734 26 күн бұрын

Yogendra Yadav ,he is not a pshepologist ,he is congress sympathizer. I am not going to watch this ctc episode from this point when I listen name of Yogendra Yadav .

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

Correct sir

@maantang 25 күн бұрын

Mr. Gupta, God knows everything. He is not bound by time and space. I never understood why people like to commit blasphemy so eagerly.

@saheedparambil6449 26 күн бұрын

Only Amit shah know the numbers 😂😂😂

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

I also knows 😂😂😂

@JD-ce1mj 25 күн бұрын

Nostradamus in the making😂?

@princem932 25 күн бұрын

Futile efforts , Mark my word , BJP going past 350 .

@veerendrawasawade5259 21 күн бұрын

marked.

@balaboopathy1228 26 күн бұрын

Why r such videos allowed before full polling is over. This can influence the voters who haven't voted yet

@Suncity-ls3ps 25 күн бұрын

Bro these are analysis not a exit poll

@HeavenRacer422 26 күн бұрын

In 2019 NDA+ got 45% votes. This time NDA will almost touch 50. Count NDA not only BJP. BJP is fighting only 440 around seats.

@rajx7120 26 күн бұрын

What about important Sikh leaders joining BJP in Punjab and Delhi?

@PMPatel-np5jq 24 күн бұрын

Excellent work. Thank you, SGji. Cutting the clutters of and unraveling the massive, shifty Hydra-headed complexities of Indian poll scene is no easy task. You & Team did it. This was the finest example of doing classical psephology for popular and academic consumption alike. Good you avoided the trap of estimating seat share numbers and remained stuck to shifts, if any, in vote share calculus & analysis. Your state-specific insights of some major contests were particularly outstanding. Congratulations Team TP. A job well done.

@lobsangsherap2559 26 күн бұрын

God can’t stop wars . Forget about Indian elections result .

@hello3524 26 күн бұрын

God certainly can’t win for Chamcha’s, Pappu need to stop doing propaganda,

@sujithkumar2041 26 күн бұрын

But Gobiji can stop ww3. Don’t question ok?

@lobsangsherap2559 26 күн бұрын

@@sujithkumar2041 who am I to ask question to invisible subject? From your comment , I can tell you blame him for not stopping WW 1 n 2 . He could have atleast stopped atomic bomb on Japan … he didn’t.

@Jun_kid 26 күн бұрын

Your definition of God is the problem. God ordained that Modi should get a 3rd term. That's what was written, and that's what shall be done!

@lobsangsherap2559 26 күн бұрын

@@Jun_kid i have no definition of any God . If God can somehow decide Modi should win … God will probably decide the next earthquake or tsunami … why rely so much on invisible subject?

@subramanianramajayam2467 24 күн бұрын

A great leader like Modiji deserves a win hands-down.See in our country useless politicians are competing against a leader of .odi's stature.

@MohammadZavedSiddiqui 24 күн бұрын

His whole analysis has ignored the influence of external factors

@user-hb3jv4ce1b 25 күн бұрын

Bihar, Maharashtra, Karnataka, Delhi and Haryana may go Congress way based on ground reality. BJP may get less seats from these states. Which can Impact their overall winning seats. Based on maths and ground sentiments. BJP may loose 45-50 seats on it own. But good news is that they may increase slightly in West Bengal and North east state gaining 8-14 seats.

@hindurashtra63 26 күн бұрын

From past 10 years of Experience, I can clearly say - Indian Electrions are truly unpredictable. No one can say what will happen.. All Popular Predictions have proven to be wrong every time. So, Lets just wait till June 4th to know the results.

@yashkanodia34 26 күн бұрын

Many polls are correct in poll %, no one can predict seats. Seats are guessed by pundits, which is subjective, but poll data is more or less correct

@anilgca 26 күн бұрын

Can somebody give 5 bullet point summary of what did he say please?

@ToastRusk 26 күн бұрын

Mostly yapping

@sankalp6872 26 күн бұрын

1) Shri Yogendra Yadav has given his blessing to Shri Narendra Modi. 2) Polling in BJP bastions is complete. 3) The next phases are practically a Bonus round for the BJP. AP, Odisha, Telangana are states with seat increasing chance for the BJP. These are are what will determine if BJP comes to 400+ (assuming it retains its tally of 2019). 4) Correct me if I am wrong but I don't think he mentioned Rahul Gandhi in his 24 minute video. That in many ways sums up the election so far. Rahul is just not on people's mind. As an example, Sharad Pawar was asking for votes in the name of "Sharad Pawar" and not Rahul Gandhi while Naidu and Pawan Kalyan were showcasing Modi to become the CMs. 5) The last point, I'll borrow from Rahul Verma's analysis on India Today. He compared our electoral contest to an India vs Zimbabwe cricket match, where India is BJP and Zimbabwe is Congress. Of course, anything can happen on a match day but you would generally pick India as the favorites.

@vamsikrishna8720 26 күн бұрын

@@sankalp6872 nicely summarized !

@gopinathp4188 26 күн бұрын

Only one bullet point: Modi 3.0 loading. Rest all noise. 😂

@kover72 26 күн бұрын

I could not summarise this episode. There was no message or analysis.

@neelakandhanpurayannur5816 26 күн бұрын

Yogendra Yadav belongs to the tukde tukde gang. Quite natural that he predicts setback for BJP and NDA. Many other psephologists have predicted smooth sailing for the saffron party

@pichumanisankar2617 26 күн бұрын

Yogendra Yadav has, it appears, hijacked this video.😂

@SunilKumar-nf7ft 26 күн бұрын

Nah he has hijacked Ganji's brains

@hiddendagger7291 26 күн бұрын

Bjp is obviously not winning 370 nor NDA is winning 400 But BJP will increase its seat compare to 2019 ... BJP will get around 325 and NDA will get 369

@vikramkrishnan6414 25 күн бұрын

Shekhar Gupta has mastered the art of saying a lot without saying anything meaningful. The entire media is forced to make this look election look interesting, when we all know what the outcome woudl be. This is like watching an Australia Zimbabwe match, we know the outcome, bas dekhna hai kitne run se jeet te hain.

@dilshad003 23 күн бұрын

kzfaq.info/get/bejne/qdZmfJCZp7udgXU.html

@SachinChavan13 21 күн бұрын

Why did you consider 50% mark? Shouldn't you consider the margin of vote share between winning and losing candidate?

@sachinfilinto 26 күн бұрын

@ThePrintIndia you missed Goa in states completed polling

@bhojjadamotabanda 23 күн бұрын

When did Yogender Yadav become an expert? Edit: Just saw other comments and realized that a lot of people noticed the same thing.

@jacobpj5084 20 күн бұрын

I beg to differ with your data analysis. For each and every Voter it is just one step this way or the other to make a candidate win with 50% + or not and not 50 steps

@shauryaO1 26 күн бұрын

SG you are right . Experts have a marginally better “strike rate” than those who dabble in politics as a hobby aka non expert but regular follower’s . Yogendra Yadav’s hubris to predict numbers is long proven to be what Nobel prize winning psychologists like Kanheman call illusions of validity and skill.

@hello3524 26 күн бұрын

ThePrint from India is like NYT, WaPo, or Al Jazeera.

@kshorts4k 26 күн бұрын

Correct sir

@studer3500 23 күн бұрын

you have absolutely nailed it! SG is just another biased twat masquerading as a journalist.

@JayGanesh27N 22 күн бұрын

Shi*.. this is hidden sangh group

@FloraFauna321 26 күн бұрын

Dear SG, having viewed a few videos of Yogendra Yadav and read the related comments it is clear that he does not enjoy any support from viewers. There are only negative comments on him and his views. This is from a long time. I request your response on the reasons of showcasing the said person and his views on your channel.

@KINGSLAYER391 24 күн бұрын

Here is the thing. BJP is blessed with a lot of charismatic leaders. Unfortunately, in the INDI Alliance, a lot of leaders are unable to come to the fore and show how worthy they are cause of a couple of people or shall we say cause of a certain family. People might not be happy with modiji, but the problem is, that people are unable to see a better or a more mature leader in RaGa. You have to have a leader somehow. One is way better than the other, so people choose him. It is just perhaps a lack of alternatives available cause again, a certain family or few individuals aren’t allowing talented young leaders to shine through.

@2010anilshukla 26 күн бұрын

Yogendra Yadav, SG’s favourite (seems there is a blind love affair between them), is a fake baba, failed psephologist and politician and a pseudo intellectual, but he is the only one to repeatedly make to SG’s honours list. 👎

@studer3500 23 күн бұрын

a fake baba and a fake analyst (SG)

@scientifixx 21 күн бұрын

If this is your analysis, This could have happened at any point after 2019 election. Looking and analysing from 2019 result could have happened any time. Why in middle of elections.

@vishnu2302 26 күн бұрын

Yogendra Yadav have no credibility with public. Request ‘The print’ to get editorial done by neutral sephologists on the poll numbers and not from biased personnel

@deepaknataraju 26 күн бұрын

Dear Shekhar Gupta, I love listening to your videos. You are extremely well informed, a great analyst and a wonderful journalist. I have a humble request. Your videos tend to be too long, repetative and some times digresses of the point. Can you please keep it a little short.

@mailrbn 26 күн бұрын

Swing analysis as they do in a two party states like UK, Australia.

@KMKHANN 26 күн бұрын

Shekhar Ji... there seems to be a surprise for many particularly for journalists & intellectuals .hopefully u too may one ...

@ankh1577 26 күн бұрын

Hi Shekhar, you have based your argument primarily on BJP winning seats by more than 50% and that this higher vote share may be intact even in the present elections. However you have not analysed the seats where even through the margin was more than 50% but the candidate has been replaced. Are you assuming that it is a BJP lamppost election? No matter the face or the local issues? You have not analysed that swing vote due to the wave in 2019, are you assuming that the swing voter is also intact?

@yashkanodia34 26 күн бұрын

The article has many presumptions without evidence, such as reduction in vote % is loss for BJP, extrapolation of assembly elections and a lot of wishful thinking. There is no factful data in the article, such as any correlation, statistics, polls. Claiming SP is strong in such seats, regions in Karnataka and MP voted against in assembly, alliance faltering, is fine, but fails to mention assembly dont translate in Centre and Modi has great swing in federal elections

@mknarula 20 күн бұрын

hi shekhar. I would like to draw your attention 1989 elections when late Rajiv Gandhi lost the election after a huge margin victory of 1984 and 1979. As you correctly pointed in your episode, bridging 50% margin is a gargantuan task and this opposition is not like the one we had in 1989. so..

@vaibhavjain6338 26 күн бұрын

The new lighting looks amazing!!

@ramaswamynarayanan6691 24 күн бұрын

@Shekhar ji , your analysis is good. Please declutter the vote transferrability of the alliance partners because that holds the key to winning. For eg. in 2019 although the SP-BSP alliance looked formidable on paper it didn't work out on the ground.

@Star-ds4sd 26 күн бұрын

Great Brief Analysis of Poll 2024 . .... 284 Seat BJP Alone or Together is Surely 💯

@laudalassan109 26 күн бұрын

Entire analysis is flawed. The constituencies in the phases for 2019 and 2024 elections are different. Not an accurate analysis.

@abhishekdesai965 26 күн бұрын

Shriman youa said that congress polled approx 10 lakhs vote nore than bjp in 2023 assembly elections despite losing rajasthan, madhya pradesh and chhatisgarh winning only telangana and his visionary leader accepted this thesis. But the fact is congress's main competitors in telangana was brs. Bjp lost its momentum of a serious shot at power in telangana when they replace bandi sanjay. Though less voting may reduce bjp votes. It is also clear that congress voters are not even stepping out to vote. This exact rhing happend in gujarat assembly election. Voting percentage got down by a huge margin. But bjp won brute 2/3rd majority. Same happening in 2024

@bobbythomas3271 26 күн бұрын

Look like a CTC just for the sake of it with a catchy thumbnail and no clear message. When you are attempting to predict on the basis of 2019 results, why restrict only to the 1st three phases

@soulgamerx2777 26 күн бұрын

To all great minds why on this earth are you comparing 2019 poll results? No day is same i firmly believe you all should rest and wait for the result day ! All these analysis are useless. We all are humans not some stocks rest be assured you all pandits will be shocked with the results. Indians are not fools and we are forgetting human factor cannot be defined in graphs

@panditulape3890 22 күн бұрын

Excellent Analysis

@Hanamantaray 26 күн бұрын

*Karnataka final voter turnout is 71% it is 3% more than 2019. Whenever two parties contest tightly with all efforts turnout will increases *strong anti incumbency may increases turnout *this is waveless election in these conditions party with good ground strength will win more seats By considering above facts BJP will win 320+but NDA parties are loosing seat eg. SS,JDU NDA 360+ * On June 4 Media will give credit to Rahul Gandhi not letting NDA to win 400 *secularism is dead by the foreign media

@ANG53066 26 күн бұрын

Maharshtra and Bihar holds crucial for INDIA and critical for NDA. Contest remains in these two states for BJP's thumping majority prospect and opposition's gambit to turnaround and act as a spoiler to the party

@ThePrintIndia 26 күн бұрын

That's a sharp point you make, my friend. Let's see how this plays out on June 4. Thank you for watching and writing in...best wishes, Shekhar

@ANG53066 26 күн бұрын

@@ThePrintIndia Is there a tacit understanding between BJP and BSP in UP...Do feature an episode on this

@sunitamirchandani7851 26 күн бұрын

Confusing Not articulated well. Summary at end of talk required. Details are piecemeal

@NIDollarSign 26 күн бұрын

Amazing video Shekhar, among your best. The analysis is very insightful and one can see the BJP hearts flutter in fear in the comments section as they actually read your real message and mostly agree

@venkataramananchidambaram3684 26 күн бұрын

90% BJP ji .431 BJP and alliance. Till 3005 tak BJP only..Italy bhagega.

@thebestevertherewas 26 күн бұрын

Let's be honest. this isn't news but opinions. I expected a deep dive on new Polls, rather YoYo's ramblings

@girishdevappa5562 26 күн бұрын

Thank you

@nikhilhg1 25 күн бұрын

Have always appreciated ThePrint for unbiased reporting. I feel it was wrong for ThePrint to give a platform to people like Yogendra Yadav who are actively involved in politics. He was part of Rahul Gandhi’s Yatra. So his piece can clearly be marked as “propaganda” or “paid news”.

@karthikradhakrishna6135 26 күн бұрын

If I had a dollar every time YoYo's predictions were wrong, Ambani would be asking me for a loan 😂

@5amyak 26 күн бұрын

Why are we here ? We can just watch rathee's videos if YoYa is your source for credible journalism.

@praseenshetty7775 26 күн бұрын

Why your telling yogandra prediction

@dhairyachauhan1701 26 күн бұрын

BJP is already around 180-190 after 3 phases, anyone saying anything else has turned blind to the ground sentiment. BJP will gain way more in rest of the phases.

@rohanprashanth1982 23 күн бұрын

The 50% logic is not convincing.... it also can get hard for BJP to keep up the vote share high...

@kapilmehta6423 26 күн бұрын

Thanks

@ThePrintIndia 26 күн бұрын

Dear Kapil, Thank you for your generous contribution towards our journalism.

@rajbaniwal3236 26 күн бұрын

Almost 25mins of what everyone knows already. What was the point of this video? We all know what happened in 2019, the seat share, the vote share, the alliances and we also know what has changed since. What’s the point made?

@yasho. 26 күн бұрын

His videos barely contain any substance or insights anymore, imagine quoting yogendra yadav unironically.

@nnbg8000 26 күн бұрын

@@yasho. Well said

@rajbaniwal3236 26 күн бұрын

@@yasho. absolutely. Why what YoYA say is worth mentioning?

@rajbaniwal3236 26 күн бұрын

@@nnbg8000 totally agree. Shekhar is pretending to be unbiased but he puts his hooks in on the fence sitters. He is pro Congress and also pro Far Left.

@VyomKhandelia 26 күн бұрын

Please decide if YoYa is a political consultant and if his bias is changing his perception

@srikanthbiduru 26 күн бұрын

Regarding Yogendra Yadav - Will you hold him accountable for his analysis/ predictions after June 4? Or will he get away with biased analysis and take his money for writing that piece of ....

@sandeepjeengar 26 күн бұрын

Careful and detailed analysis till the date of the election ❤

@shok95v 25 күн бұрын

I exited from video after you quoted Yogendra

@vibu7083 21 күн бұрын

Ur distancing ur self from Yogendra Yadav as Congress does with Sam Pitroda whenever he does something stupid…. It’s really confusing, doesn’t the articles published in the print go through an editor??? Can the journalist just publish wat ever they like or feel like publishing?? I thought “the print” is a well organized media portal, but after ur comments I feel it’s just like X(twitter), free to post and publish!

@megh2307 25 күн бұрын

SG, As a responsible journalist you should publish accuracy levels of Yogendra Yadav’s predictions post election results and call out spade a spade it that’s the case..

@mankulsachdeva2839 25 күн бұрын

yogendra yadav self proclaimed caa expert , farm law expert , economist , journalist , election expert .....all rounder saleem

@gopinathp4188 26 күн бұрын

Yoya must have some humility and save some credibility for the work. Mere frustration on Modi not only demeans him it also demeans other psephologist who really puts in hard work. If you dont like Modi dont bother and work on Karnatak and Telangana municipal election polls. CONgress got 52 seats in 2019 show me where they can add 50 solid seats in this election.

@surenkhalsa 26 күн бұрын

As much as i respect Mr.Guptas experience, i am yet to watch any video, in which one would not be more confused at end of video than at begining..

@thewhatorwhy 26 күн бұрын

This Modi cheerleading man never quits.

@samporoy 24 күн бұрын

Usually the opposition finds fault with the government for not doing basic things for the electorate. Funny enough Modi is blaming Rahul Gandhi who is an onlooker, not in government?

@shankargopalakrishnan1478 26 күн бұрын

What’s point of this analysis paralysis

@jibibabu9179 26 күн бұрын

With due respect this is not an analysis but an observation, without any inference being made on the data that is presented, throwing data points which could be interpreted in multiple ways.

@Venmash-kx9zf 26 күн бұрын

As a Vedantin, I dare say Mr Gupta doesn't understand the concept of God, when he says even God can't predict people's minds. The past, present and future ... none can escape God since he is in the form of time as well. I recommend he study Bhagavad Gita to learn about God, instead of going by DMK party definition of God.

@vengadachalampalaniappen5005 26 күн бұрын

How come RAM bless what Modi's dirty tactjcs?

@Venmash-kx9zf 26 күн бұрын

@@vengadachalampalaniappen5005 They may be "dirty" to you but not to Ram devotees. No wonder he has been blessed. God looks at all, not just opposition parties who don't even pray so they are even less rewarded. That's how the karma works.

@namitagupta9057 24 күн бұрын

State by state fight is the reason behind alliance that why national election looks like state election, but how centre will work if INDI alliance make govt.. is a big challenge.