this guy is pumping the stock market. SEC please investigate
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
LMAO. Welcome to the world of free speech. And yeah - a random guy on KZfaq pumping the entire stock market is hilarious 🤣
@BigbushapeАй бұрын
🤣🤣🤣
@ApoixerkoАй бұрын
@@SashaYanshinhi, I'm SEC, I have checked and it's alright...he is free to go
@KirillChufarovАй бұрын
😃😃😃
@fluffycolt5608Ай бұрын
Classic pump & dump
@alexsteven.m641422 күн бұрын
Market is down still, I've been looking up strategies and apparently both bull and bear market condition provides equal avenue to accrue massive gains, and a news article particularly mentioned a 54 year old that made $180k in 5weeks, how do I learn these strategies, my portfolio has been stagnant for months.
@belobelonce3522 күн бұрын
For the average individual, the tactics are rather demanding. Actually, most of them are effectively completed by professionals who possess the necessary knowledge and skill sets to carry out such trades.
@bernisejedeon588822 күн бұрын
a downtrend offers an equally high-yielding avenue if you have the necessary skills and knowledge. This is why I've been using an investment advisor to scale up during this difficult time, and it's the only way I've been able to raise up to $150K in the last six months. It all comes down to technique. The downtrend gives you room to focus on the market and grow-substantially whether in the long or short run.
@yolanderiche747622 күн бұрын
Would you mind telling me how to contact this specific coach using their service? You seem to have the solution, as opposed to the rest of us.
@bernisejedeon588822 күн бұрын
Sharon Marissa Wolfe is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@valeriepierre977822 күн бұрын
I find this informative, curiously explored Sharon on the web, spotted her consulting page, and was able to schedule a call session with her, she shows quite a great deal of expertise from her resume.. very much appreciated
@Benjaminarmstrong684Ай бұрын
As always, a great analysis. Newcomers often wonder if it's too late to navigate the financial market, but the market is always unpredictable. Trading has more advantages than simply holding, so it's important to learn before diving in. Active trades are necessary to ride the market's waves. Thanks to Zachery M Demers’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings. Kudos to the journey ahead!
@Benjaminarmstrong68429 күн бұрын
HE'S MOSTLY ON TELEGRAMS, USING THE USERNAME...
@Benjaminarmstrong68429 күн бұрын
Zachfinance thats him
@Joegolberg129 күн бұрын
Interesting!! I'm so excited, seeing mr Zach, being mentioned here because his strategies have also normalized winning trades for me. and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started.
@TilSchweiger-i3f29 күн бұрын
After I raised up to 325k trading with her I bought a new House and a car here in the states also paid for my son's surgery (Oscar). Glory to God.shalom..
@Justinfred1129 күн бұрын
Honestly this cannot be overemphasized, helping people mitigate unforseen circumstances and mistakes It's always good to have a financial plan
@MargotCrestАй бұрын
AI ...stocks will dominate 2024. Why I prefer NVIDIA is that they are better placed to maintain long term growth potential, and provide a platform for other AI companies. I know someone who has made more than 200% from NVIDIA. I'll also take these other recommendations you made.
@harrisahmed3066Ай бұрын
We've all made mistakes at some point. You should consider financial planning.
@LanceyRocheАй бұрын
True.... My portfolio was diversified across several markets with the help of a financial planner, and were able to achieve over a million in net profit among high dividend yield equities, ETFs, and bonds. It is vital that you have a variety of exposure, including in firms that are currently generating cash flows.
@MargotCrestАй бұрын
@@LanceyRoche can you point me in the direction of any planner ?
@LanceyRocheАй бұрын
@@MargotCrest Dianne Sarah Olson by name. please do your own research to see if she is suitable with your goals.
@pauls307529 күн бұрын
8 days later and the S&P is down 4% ... That escalated quickly.
@mertie-l2fАй бұрын
As an lnvesting enthusiast, I often wonder how top level investors are able to become millionaires off investing. . I’ve been sitting on over $545K equity from a home sale and I’m not sure where to go from here, is it a good time to buy into stocks or do I wait for another opportunity?.
@shizue-w7nАй бұрын
Well as you know bigger risk, bigger results, but such impeccable high-value trades are often carried out by pros.
@thuylamson-z7tАй бұрын
People dismiss the importance of advisors until they are burned by their own emotions. I remember a couple of summers ago, following my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to assist my business stay alive, so I looked for qualified consultants and came across someone with the highest qualifications. She has helped me raise my reserve from $275k to $850k, despite inflation.
@myrle-v4gАй бұрын
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
@thuylamson-z7tАй бұрын
Angela Lynn Schilling is who i work with and she is a hot topic even among financial elitist in California. Just browse, you’d find her, thank me later.
@myrle-v4gАй бұрын
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up and wrote her.
@joshuat1535Ай бұрын
Don't tell us your opinions, show us your positions.
@tonynewman3631Ай бұрын
The receipts! Absolutely.
@TOneThousand1991Ай бұрын
Top signal. Don't buy anything.
@snappie-riversofengland7589Ай бұрын
He's been right on most of what he says historically. It's easy to go back and listen to what he says because it's all recorded
@mikerodent3164Ай бұрын
Personally I've been slowly switching from global or S&P500 index stocks to US small cap index and Global/S&P500 equal-weighted (quite nice too) for a few months. Slowly because I hate the idea that I'm timing the market. Sacha's record does indeed seem pretty good: he ain't the first person to be saying small-cap thrives in a low-interest environment and historically have outperformed standard large cap (as have equal-weighted).
@geolykosАй бұрын
Do you want his bank account balance as well?
@AdamWright8foolАй бұрын
The semiconductor business is expanding quickly, and investors who purchase these two stocks from ACM Research and KLA Corporation may see substantial profits due to the growing demand for technology. I'll be monitoring them and seeing how they perform in the marketplace.
@bossqueen_lala3098Ай бұрын
Is it wise to buy in August or September? Those are the sell-off months.
@palebiss1646Ай бұрын
Vanguard S&P 500 index makes up 70% of my Roth 401(k), Vanguard Growth Index makes up 20%, and Vanguard International Index makes up 10%. My Roth IRA was recently restructured to be 25% SCHX, 25% SCHG, and 50% SCHD. Hoping to find the best ways to grow $350,000 into $1 million or more before my three-year retirement.
@AdamWright8foolАй бұрын
I think your presentation and effort are excellent. I worked as an IBB helping hedge and long fund managers in the UK and Scandinavia for nearly thirty years, therefore I can assure you of receiving great advise from *Leah* *Alderman* *Foster* and colleagues. She will, however, personally permit your work to be of the highest caliber and presented in a more effective and concise manner.
@FreestyleJameZАй бұрын
Trade the charts, people. Why is forecasting required? Changes in trends are gradual. When it does, get out of there. Calling someone names is stupid.
@collins.l454Ай бұрын
I've never been one to take financial advice; instead, I've always preferred to make my own financial judgments. It's safe to say that you have a really good explanation style, and I hope other individuals will follow in your footsteps and help others learn about financial issues. Great job looking for her; many thanks. Excellent work.
@maksymhryb1723Ай бұрын
My fave stand-up comic/finance advisor
@johno1104Ай бұрын
Yeah I took his FVRR joke seriously unfortunately
@IaurianoАй бұрын
@@johno1104did I miss that part?
@fongheenkitaloka2800Ай бұрын
Yeah he's been quiet on his FVRR & UPWK positions being underwater for sometime while he continue to roasts others.
@snappie-riversofengland7589Ай бұрын
@@fongheenkitaloka2800He's been right on most of what he says historically. It's easy to go back and listen to what he says because it's all recorded
@CaptHotahАй бұрын
Sadly i had to sell all my stock to finally get a mortgage. Luckily I've been doing alright for the past 3 years. I'll be back thou
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
That’s what investments are there for! Congratulations on your new digs!
@kurtismunden4200Ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshinI have no more money to put in the market, you wanna share some with me 😂
@rsmith2555Ай бұрын
Good for you - another great investment!
@VegasMilgaussАй бұрын
A I B U B B L E
@tamanousJPАй бұрын
Selling all your investments that cash flow for a mortgage that doesn’t with the worst mortgage repayment rates in 40 years was a terrible decision. I hope you get back into investing soon.
@juicymelodicАй бұрын
Ah yes, "This time is different", "We are in an era of exponential growth", "There will be no recession in our lifetime", "AI will make us 1000x more productive". Stonks. The best opportunity is always after a major crash, not near the peak of the biggest bull market in history. Aside from that - Shiller ratio is irrelevant. Stock moves on liquidity.
@deanchristie3829Ай бұрын
Or we are in an era of exponential debt.
@gf5050Ай бұрын
the r2k is far from its peak, far from the biggest bull mkt in history.... rotate from big to small caps and u might understand the opportunities
@boombustinvestАй бұрын
Agreed, although I believe global stocks liquidity is on the rise (BIS chart)? ... but in any case, when the recession hits the selling pressure will overwhelm everything. Additional Liquidity is meaningless in a sell off.
@rogergeyer9851Ай бұрын
@@deanchristie3829: Says your ilk for the ENTIRE 50 years I've been paying attention. So acting like that helps you time the stock market is nonsensical. During the worst part of the great recession was a FAR better time to buy stocks than after 14ish years of bullishness. But you still can't time the market - just know the odds are that now isn't the best time in 30 years, just because some click hunting KZfaqr says so.
@MaZ-tg7chАй бұрын
Apply real inflation rate and Shiller may start to be believable. Stock valuation usually needs to catch up to inflation...before falling
@nikola-origami-creatorАй бұрын
I invested in S&P exactly a year ago. My first ever investment when I turned 18. Listening to your vids, and not watching all the bullshit, expected a nice return, but I'm +25% on portfolio 😂
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
That is one heck of a way to start investing! 👍
@jasonzola3590Ай бұрын
That is nice and lucky- much better learning if you lost 25% and kept going. You don’t really learn anything by winning by default
@cellshadedАй бұрын
@@jasonzola3590 There's plenty of other life lessons to be learned. Let the man enjoy his money! We're losing plenty of other things in real-time in the real world to cover for the other lessons.
@waynemay7327Ай бұрын
@@jasonzola3590That's an absurd comment - you're saying that it would be better if he/she lost money.
@freezerlunikАй бұрын
@@waynemay7327 IMO they're saying that better discipline and demonstration of having "learned" a best practice would be to steadfastly DCA even as the market had a downturn. Positive reinforcement and a case of beginner luck for starting to invest exactly as there was a bull run is not much of a learning.
@janottlingerАй бұрын
Airlines have a lot more debt since 2020, consumers have a lot more debt as well. Credit cards charging a lot more than a few years ago. So not everything is good. Plus interest rates are currently quite high while P/E ratios are high as well. Sure it could be everything plays out well, but I a careful
@maxwolf8055Ай бұрын
All shops around empty . Everyone around saying they don't have money. My neighbours don't buy new cars anymore. People can't find job ... Everything is good 😂 Never seen such pessimism for last 20 years
@kippsguitar6539Ай бұрын
Nothing at all to do with the stock market
@maxwolf8055Ай бұрын
@@kippsguitar6539 The stock market is akin to a casino, where many naive individuals are enticed with the aim of exploiting them in the future. The casino owners live comfortably off other people's money for many decades, but this will soon come to an end. When the financial system collapses, everyone will be looking for something more reliable than fiat money.
@mikexerov976Ай бұрын
Many years ago, in 2007, I got a new job,, and I moved out from the West of the US to the East coast. I had some money my previous job was piling up in one of Fidelity's big cap stock mutual funds. But not since I left. Money was not that great amount and I forgot about them. I remembered only (I swear!) this last spring, and I decided to check, what's going on. It grew 12 times the original amount in 16 years! Just like that! Not only because of change of stock price, but also because all the dividends were invested back into stocks.
@ThePianoMan1953Ай бұрын
Good story. "A pot only boils when you're not watching it." 🤔
@nancyberns5358Ай бұрын
Great info, Sasha. I missed you when you stopped posting a couple of months ago. Glad you’re back; I appreciate your content.🙏🕊️
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
You will be fuming at seeing way too much content from me in the next few weeks and months.
@chrisp4170Ай бұрын
An America that seriously considers electing Trump for a second term is described as, “stable”????
@bdek68Ай бұрын
Inflation is just getting started! You are 100% wrong with all due respect. You can print 1 trillion every 90 days or so in perpetuity and expect inflation to come down. This is why metals are ripping due to the devaluation of our currency. Inflation is not going down period
@aac74Ай бұрын
That is bullish because stocks are the best inflation hedge!
@bdek68Ай бұрын
@@aac74ok, what is bearish then. Nothing
@bodrulm1Ай бұрын
Sasha, are u considering macro issues? Oil de-dolorisation, devaluation of the dollar accelerating due to Russia war and central banks switching heavily to gold. USA cost of living crisis/middle class squeeze. People have maxed out their credit cards so consumer spending is slowing and could crash. Earnings will take a hit, there's simply a lag. Nvidia earnings are based on B2b sales, and right now these businesses haven't figured out how to monetise AI. The macro environment is complex due to 2008 and Covid bailouts. S&P 500 is simply a tracker of the rich and yes they have been doing incredibly well... so far.
@aac74Ай бұрын
These are all bullish, do you think that governments and central banks will just let everything collapse into debt deflation? The bigger the problems, the bigger the liquidity pump will be. Everyone in power thinks there is no alternative to propping everything up, there is no opposition and thus risk assets are not risky.
@TheArtofValueАй бұрын
I'm heavily invested in small caps. However, good luck predicting the overall stock market rather than individual companies, because that's what it is. Impossibke to predict consistently. Btw, weren't you bullish before the 2022 bear market, not expecting rates to shoot up and many emerging "growth" stock multiples to go down? Suddenly a lot of stocks looked very expensive, and you didn't see it coming. But sure, have another crack at it...
@reggrunow1460Ай бұрын
But what are your thoughts on his analysis? Did you understand it?
@TheArtofValueАй бұрын
@reggrunow1460 Yes I understood it. He might be right, he might be wrong, and that's the nature of predictions like this. I invest in companies, not the direction of the market based on the opinions of popular KZfaqrs.
@Len_J_Ай бұрын
@@TheArtofValuewhat are you doing here then
@TheArtofValueАй бұрын
@@Len_J_ Monitoring what fellow finance youtubers are saying
@designbydavidАй бұрын
I agree with some of these comments. Sasha should show us a small window into his current positions. It would add a lot of conviction to these videos. Doesn't matter if they perform or not, it's about having a foundation of action, otherwise the points don't hit as hard.
@huckfin159816 күн бұрын
This did not age well at all less than a month later
@MistehbigPantsАй бұрын
Thanks for the analysis, Sasha
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
👍
@snoomtrebАй бұрын
I'd raise a counterpoint. The shiller PE should be inverted (3-4%) and then have the 10 or 30 year bond yield substracted for the actual yield. Hence the risk premium is now 0% (?) Granted thats inflation indexed. But still.
@FilipeSilva1Ай бұрын
i don't think he has an understanding of the yield curve inversion / uninversion concept.
@snoomtrebАй бұрын
@FilipeSilva1 I do agree with the rest of the thesis. I.e. small cap, non-us stocks ect. Those have much more reasonable valuations and risk premiums.
@montyloadsАй бұрын
Hi Sasha, Does the fact that analysts are saying that the sahm rule is looking like it could be triggered as recent data shows unemployment on an uptrend or does a recession not worry you?
@SigFigNewtonАй бұрын
4:35 “Or could it maybe be a bit more like this” The correct answer is no. It is irrational to believe that valuations can increase indefinitely. There will not come a time when the market is willing to pay a million dollars for a dollar of earnings.
@nitsuj6555Ай бұрын
Agree 100% with what you said. We even saw it after CPI reports. Money began moving out of the top 10 and into the smaller cap stocks. Market is due for a CORRECTION but people forget the meaning of the word. Overvalued stocks will go down BUT undervalued stocks will also rise and correct. S&P500 will be red (weighed down heavily by the top stocks) but if you invest in the right industries and stocks youll continue to be green.
@mikeallen2914Ай бұрын
Agreed. If the top 10 are dragging the SP500 up then they will drag it down if people move money out of those and into small cap if the small cap start shooting of.
@kippsguitar6539Ай бұрын
You talk with so much certainty and must be extremely rich with such vision
@nitsuj6555Ай бұрын
@@kippsguitar6539 nahhh im just a random guy with a random opinion. Learning more about trading everyday and the more I learn the more I realise I dont know shiiiit ahaha
@kippsguitar6539Ай бұрын
@@nitsuj6555 that's good, be careful of being certain and sure about markets, it's always a bad sign, trends are real and charts state reality, everything else is noise, you humility is a good thing in trading, good luck
@MilesLangleyАй бұрын
“This time it’s different” “To the moon!”
@reggrunow1460Ай бұрын
Hi point was that this time won't be different...
@stevie1748Ай бұрын
@@reggrunow1460 I thought Miles was being sarcastic.🤔
@sinematographers3344Ай бұрын
Black Swan events. The unforeseeable always remains.
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Sure. Always risk of black swan events. There is an old Russian saying - “Be afraid of the wolf, never go to the forest”.
@kurniawanms2Ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin There is an old American saying " Don't be afraid of the bear in the forest as long as you bring along a friend you can outrun "
@kippsguitar6539Ай бұрын
And when don't they? You will never make money with that opinion
@fubar12345Ай бұрын
I know when the big crash is coming, but I'm not telling
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Oh please do!! Pretty please? 🤣
@HighFriend42da0Ай бұрын
they may try and crash it before Trump gets in just to make it difficult 💀 and before you say they can’t control it I remind you to look back when they stopped the market to reduce their lost on Gme couple years ago.
@mishelmkАй бұрын
@@SashaYanshin❤😅
@ronniebohl1832Ай бұрын
Sasha, you are one of my favorite U-tuber. Appreciate your channel.
@vScoobyDooxАй бұрын
Started my investment journey in March with a savings pot of £15k, already up over 5% and continue to put £17 a day into VWRP. Just set and forget for the next 30 years and have a lovely pot for retirement 🙏
@boyasakaАй бұрын
I put 15 k in VWRP and 15k in S&P 500 In February 2024 My VWRP has gained £1100 My S&P 500 etf has gained £1800 Canny difference
@Visual_GhoulАй бұрын
How do you buy small caps? I'm in the UK but haven't bought my own shares before. My dad passed in 2021 and had some money in a share account but that was in one company.
@01302Ай бұрын
Vanguard global small cap is my go to
@markusmax8068Ай бұрын
rtwp or isp6
@lawLess-fs1qxАй бұрын
sasha talking about the russell in the usa. just google russell etf and buy one. they all track the index. Vanguard Russell 2000 Value Index Fund ETF Shares (VTWV) has the lowest expense ratio as far as i remember.
@joshuat1535Ай бұрын
WLDS - Small Cap ETF you can take a look at
@vvitch-mist20Ай бұрын
This sounds like a similar thing that happened right before the stock market crash in 1929. Like....they were inflated to make it look like the economy was doing well, and then it collapsed. With the state of the economy, it's not looking good.
@danielmeier8321Ай бұрын
You cannot compare 1929 to today. The fed dried up liquidity in 1929 to almost a standstill. This would never happen again.
@petertomley1385Ай бұрын
id be interested to hear about the uk markets after the recent elections
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Oh you don’t know what’s coming later this week!!
@lzl3lolАй бұрын
It's not going to look good in my opinion, Labour have no clue how to fix any of our issues.
@gee3883Ай бұрын
@@lzl3lol Financial markets aside, I wonder about the brewing social tensions bubbling away, that'll effect things if it kicks off.
@davideyres955Ай бұрын
@@lzl3lolnot entirely. They are going to build their way to growth. They’ll relax the reserve ratios for the banks to loosen up liquidity. So the house builders have already seen increases in their stock prices. Down side is this is exactly what they did last time they were in power and that’s why 2008 was worse for the UK than it should have been.
@waynemay7327Ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshinDo you mean the state opening of parliament on Wednesday?
@Cosmo38436Ай бұрын
I think the markets will be generally higher because everyone has access to trading apps. I would never have put a penny in if I never had an app
@portfolio175Ай бұрын
@SashaYanchin, what are the opportunities and the bargains that you see on the stock market now?
@e.t.theextraterristrial837Ай бұрын
Fed wont cut to those near zero interest rates. We are back to normal in terms of interest rates. The best we can hope for is 3-5% interest rate unless the money economy crashes. 70% of all US dollars entered into circulation during the "plague". I bet on REITs before realizing this.
@CSuiteInsiderАй бұрын
What happened to Jerome Powell not knowing what he was doing and that there would be no soft landing? Soft landing imminent.
@tombowman4489Ай бұрын
Talk to me about this discount isle please sir.
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Will make some videos on this! Shared my thoughts with members first!
@montyloadsАй бұрын
Do we become members?
@NoraGermainАй бұрын
Discount aisle = in a store Discount isle = island but still sounds fun 🏝️
@stillakАй бұрын
Don't forget you also worked for FTX Risk Management department
@CallumHutch1993Ай бұрын
Follow the money. USD still being printed like crazy, that money always flows upwards and where do they hold the money, in the S&P. China housing market collapsing, so Asians arnt investing in their housing market they are buying the S&P. Same in the UK, housing market is weak or thought to be weak right now, so that money also flows into stocks.
@richardthomas7103Ай бұрын
Joseph hogue mentions the Russell 2000 in his latest vid , s and p 500 does seem over done due to the mag 7 , maybe a look at the smaller companies is in order
@ominolloАй бұрын
Two thoughts: the small caps are cheap but don’t you think that when the MAG7 will experience a correction this event alone will push down the entire market? The bull market started in March 2009 and lasted until 2020. Since then we saw two short corrections, to me a big correction looks highly probable…
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
When the Mag7 went up they didn’t drag everyone up with them. Why does it have to be different on the way down?
@ominolloАй бұрын
@@SashaYanshin good point! Thanks for your reply.
@affegorilla1299Ай бұрын
Sasha your take about Nike? Thank you 🙏🏼
@DreamWalker886Ай бұрын
Insanity just like in 2000 when everyone spoke like him.
@alamo11Ай бұрын
thanks for the great video. much apreciated. BTW have you still got your guitar?
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Yep! Just not in the studio :) Truth is - that one from old videos is my wife’s guitar! 🤣
@johnpreston230Ай бұрын
I love everything single time I check your videos there are a bunch of comments saying you don't get it BLA BLA BLA, and these dudes totally missed 2023 and 2024 crazy returns.
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Yep. It never stops. 😂😂😂
@regwatson201718 күн бұрын
This video didn't age well.....
@MeMe-hp3hl4 күн бұрын
What? Something about S&P being overbought and small caps are underbought because they never recovered from 2008. This here flat chart might look 'non-linear' instead. Also It's different this time. That's the thesis in a nutshell.
@themusic6808Ай бұрын
Does one go out shopping for shoes with a historical list of shoe prices and if shoes today are 40% higher than their 50 year historical average not buy a pair ? Of course not, because if you did you’d be wearing socks for the rest of your life.
@Jokershadow696Ай бұрын
Most of stocks going up due to money printing or flowing money from one asset to another, like from nft to stock or from stock to crypto etc. So you need to follow for assets sellouts or money printing. I can see stocks to crash but not now, within 1-2 years maybe. Unless the world will discover new source of energy which can satisfy the needs of ai computing power. Ai bubble will burst and then everyone will sell as everyone panic as usually. But time will tell. What comes up always need to come down :)
@martind5348Ай бұрын
I'm curious, on the back of your last video, should the US economy go in to deflation, what do you think would happen to the markets? Great content as always 👍
@redshift3Ай бұрын
This time it's different...
@user-gz6mz9oh1qАй бұрын
To answer your question at the end of the video is that we do not know. But what we can do is to stay keep investing no matter what :)
@danalmont834019 күн бұрын
And now, 2 weeks later ...
@teokeitaanranta658Ай бұрын
As a theoretical philosophy student these questions of "what line should the market follow" are interesting and I think you are on point by suggesting something else than the majority. What ever line or curve the market "follows", simply means there has existed constant factors in the actual world that has transferred into constant mathematical patterns. But the actual world does not follow the math, it's the opposite; the math follows the actual world. So we should indeed focus into aspects of the actual world when looking what will happen.. in the actual world. Are we justified to use past mathematical constants to predict the future, meaning; are the actual factors still existing that created the past mathematical patterns?
@Andrew-dp5kfАй бұрын
Lol, this aged well.
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
Aged as in… a few hours later the stock market had a red day? Wow. Another gambler measuring returns in microseconds.
@Andrew-dp5kfАй бұрын
Glad you feel it’s going to plan.
@humanbeing6933Ай бұрын
The simple question is “are interests about to be cut because of FED wants to, or because it has to?”…. I’m with the smart money reducing its exposure and going into gold thanks ✌️
@robertritchie746419 күн бұрын
Just a thought but isn't it possible that the S and P 500 continues to go up due to more popularity with investing passively in index funds? back in 08 etc we didn't really have youtube and access to this knowledge so easily.
@chubukingАй бұрын
Should I go all in global index fund and max out my isa or DCA?
@gf5050Ай бұрын
YOUR BEST VIDEO TO DATE IMO....fantastic job regarding the small caps
@2711marcusАй бұрын
The yield curve between 2yr and 10yr bonds is starting to uninvert. If you look back in history every time this happens a recession has followed and a stock market crash!
@persieprince9345Ай бұрын
Thank you sasha But do you think that the market already priced in the first cut or even the second cut by now
@bibbicus3942Ай бұрын
Not sure this will age well.
@ianwinter100Ай бұрын
I appreciate your talks, but one problem is that the inflation data is completely false, and we have an issue called de-dollarisation in progress.
@atlasnetwork7855Ай бұрын
Interesting video. The other reason it might not crash could be because they see stocks as a safe haven outside of banks. On the other hand if there are layoffs in the economy people may be forced to fold on their stock portfolio positions. It'll be interesting to see what happens.
@daveabc12Ай бұрын
Sasha, whilst you may be technically correct and there is no reason for a crash and in theory the markets should continue, I think that there will be a crash simply due to human expectation that there will be one. In short we will talk ourselves into crashing. There is increasing talk each day of the coming crash so people will believe the negative hype and withdraw from the market, so the crash becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. Basic herd behaviour. What you need to ask is, are we being manipulated?
@shibafujiwatches2808Ай бұрын
Just out of interest, what stocks did you buy ? ( you said you bought some in the vid) TIA.
@ploppy193Ай бұрын
Sasha, do you have any opinions about Diageo?
@kippsguitar6539Ай бұрын
Yes, love Guinness
@FelikiosАй бұрын
There have been many times in the last 2 years that the market could not go higher and had to crash... History said differently. When rates go down market goes up. Heading to election goes up. But also goes down after election. If we consistently invest will be fine :) Personnaly I would not add any extra lump sum now but continue regular monthly investing. We ll see what the future brings
@richardpreston4320Ай бұрын
Hey Sasha! You've made me an avid follower over the last 3 years...paid off all debts, got my trading account and saved enough for my first mortgage!! Can you do your artistry on your thoughts on British rates over the next few years?! Stuck on the 5 yr or 2yr decision right now! Any other thoughts here are welcome...you're probably all sound thinkers! 😂
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
There might be a new channel focused on UK content launching this week…….. 👀
@richardpreston4320Ай бұрын
@@SashaYanshin 👀 🎉
@reznek3099Ай бұрын
I've actually seen a few new businesses open, and not pound shops or mobile phone cover shops, decently branded indie-businesses. That surprised me given the outlook. But they say the strong businesses and smart entrepreneurs that last, tend to start during difficult times and take advantage of all the debt-riding ones failing. Hopefully Papa J-Pow doesn't break anything too badly.
@antonlevkovsky1667Ай бұрын
You were bashing AI and related stock growth (nVidia) just 1 weak ago.
@3kdesignАй бұрын
Yeah best time to invest but there is a bubble at the top end of the market!
@jokse2852Ай бұрын
I'm new here. So what is the best stoks to invest now?
@jerrykreutzer4326Ай бұрын
It makes no sense to speculate about rate cuts or AI, the current general prediction is already priced in. That's like the whole reason why the stock market has been doing so well.
@dudemar1000Ай бұрын
My tea leaf patterns told me to watch this video
@DJWHITE_Ай бұрын
You're a voice I like to listen to and learn from but I see massive short term uncertainty in so many areas I find it hard to confidently predict where we'll be in 6-12 months! I am keen on seeing how the UK markets will react when to the new govts policies however!
@phil_lougher29 күн бұрын
Where to buy the Russell 2000 in the UK?
@MrFrescocotoneАй бұрын
Man, it's just a simple DCF evaluation. If a stock is valued at 50 tines fwd earnings it is meant to retrace no matter what
@shazoidsАй бұрын
Does printing money not inflate the stock market?
@absolutemadlad6340Ай бұрын
Imagine mentioning best investment and not talk about bitcoin. Enjoy staying poor.
@anthonybrown4874Ай бұрын
It goes up and down always has and always will im not clever or dedicated enough to time the market but i can £ cost average and i can usually recognise a slump just not the bottom. I suspect some rate cuts are pending which will boost cheaper stocks that benefit from a lower interest rate so its probably not a bad time to ease into small caos but i wouldnt go all in. Its a punt and worth a satellite position in a balanced portfolio wouldnt bet farm on it though.
@kippsguitar6539Ай бұрын
"I suspect" "wouldn't" "punt" are not strategies to make money with, the chart will tell you
@chrishugheАй бұрын
What about bond markets un-inverting? No major recession this time?
@quokkapirquish6825Ай бұрын
I check the S and p500 every day and every day Im thinking.....nah Unbelievable gains, I for once went in big at the right time
@mikeselectricstuffАй бұрын
Just looked for Russell 2000 ETFs on Interactive Brokers but all the ones I looked at are not available to UK as they don't have a Key Information Document. Any solution to this?
@boyasakaАй бұрын
Have u looked on aj bell
@andrewhenderson7537Ай бұрын
Sell put options intraday until you get the size you want. You can freely sell the shares once you have them but the only way to acquire them is through options.
@ivoivanov4467Ай бұрын
RTYS
@brandziАй бұрын
Maybe ticker R2SC - SPDR Russell 2000 US Small Cap UCITS ETF
@mikeselectricstuffАй бұрын
@@brandzi Thanks.
@mandarinbrandy29 күн бұрын
How about the GDP (27T) to Debt (35T) Ratio? Surely those margins only get worse
@Vikas-pv3ieАй бұрын
Fed rate cut may bring down short terms interests but will it bring down long term interests as well given the Govt borrowing that is only likely to increase and buyers of long terms bonds are not increasing but actually reducing.
@toddsharp4990Ай бұрын
Seems to me that you’re making a bull case for value investing. Consider how overbalanced the market is to the mag 7, I think you have a great point. However, most people are going to feel like they’re catching a falling knife. And it’s hard to wait through the bottom when there’s no telling when it will be. “The market can stay irrational much longer than you can stay solvent.”
@jamesryan955Ай бұрын
As if the stock market is backed up by emotionless and logical data…..
@user-uq1ruewrerАй бұрын
Hi Sasha thanks for the vid! I would argue that the Russell 2000 would be a better investment than the S&P 500 as rates come down, what's your thoughts? Thanks :)
@malcolmbirkett1347Ай бұрын
I haven't got any potatoes 😊
@Josh-zq7pqАй бұрын
I understand your point on valuations but there’s a fair few detractors to valuations over that time, namely the average lifespan of businesses and thus terminal values. I would argue that 0 terminal values being more likely outweigh things like lifespan - if the business isn’t around then it doesn’t matter
@ahmedsalar9016Ай бұрын
When that AI bubble pops, there will be a general atmosphere of taking money out of the market. I just feel very icky to invest in an ATH market, unless it's a company I believe in 10-15 years from now. You really have to search for such companies.
@casa0123Ай бұрын
Sasha what book or web page can I read to learn basic economic concepts: inflation depression interest rates etc....
@malcolmbirkett1347Ай бұрын
Bible😊
@bobjames6622Ай бұрын
"Last Chance" "This Changes EVERYTHING" "(Person X) gives their FINAL warning!" "You have been WARNED!" "This Explains EVERYTHING" "Nobody will make it to....(pick the year/date of your choice)" "Buy gold/silver from (person gives name of their sponsor)" Have I missed anything? "
@SashaYanshinАй бұрын
think you might be confusing your channels there… Also - the thumbnail is very relevant to what I talk about in this video. Not sure what your issue is.
@user-zt3fh4vo8tАй бұрын
I know you support 100% for us stocks. But for a passive investment for decades does 50%sp500 and 50% msci acwi makes sense? It will be roughly 80% us and 20% international
@bingoroflerАй бұрын
The opinion that higher pe's today are fine, because we have more Technology and advanced is just rediciulous. I really go with everything else you say. But higher pe's are only justified, when the growth of companys earnings is higher. Doesnt matter if were in 1923 or 2024
@deanchristie3829Ай бұрын
I have a ratio for you to plot: government debt-to-GDP, along with the Shiller ratio. Please consider that the level of government debt may be influencing the market indexes. To put it another way: we are in an era of exponential debt.
@joelmendoza4715Ай бұрын
I have a question. So how do you purchase an index fund that will leave out the top 7, or 8, or 10 companies in the S&P 500 that is something I have been looking for. I do see your numbers on how only the top companies are overvalued due to the word "Ai" Right now I am invested in FXAIX and FITLX but I can't find an index fund leaving those big companies out. -Joel United States
@mecmec82Ай бұрын
Doesn't leave the magnificent 7 out but Invesco RSP is the equal weight ETF, might be what you're looking for.
@lawLess-fs1qxАй бұрын
you want one of the Equal-weight S&P 500 ETFs or S&P MidCap 400
@trustthedogsheneverlies644Ай бұрын
Interpolation (trend line/curve fit ) type selection is contingent on understanding of the causation. High order polymonal will give good alignment to data but isn't actually often accurate. Understanding this interpolation relationship is essential for reliable accurate extrapolation. Really appreciate Sasha actually trying to break down the causality to these plots. I swear finance industry skipped analytics 101 sometimes and just rave the "line goes up!" attitude.
@-GnarlemagneАй бұрын
You say all this, but sasha literally just fit an exponential curve to the data at 3:44 And while I'm not saying he's wrong, I'd love to hear his rationale for why technological advancement and improved quality of life would make it so that the economy has the capacity for a higher ratio of stock price to earnings, because while I don't disagree that the stock market absolutely works differently than it used to, that particular justification of the trend in the shiller ratio seems irrational to me