this guy is pumping the stock market. SEC please investigate

Market is down still, I've been looking up strategies and apparently both bull and bear market condition provides equal avenue to accrue massive gains, and a news article particularly mentioned a 54 year old that made $180k in 5weeks, how do I learn these strategies, my portfolio has been stagnant for months.

As always, a great analysis. Newcomers often wonder if it's too late to navigate the financial market, but the market is always unpredictable. Trading has more advantages than simply holding, so it's important to learn before diving in. Active trades are necessary to ride the market's waves. Thanks to Zachery M Demers’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings. Kudos to the journey ahead!

AI ...stocks will dominate 2024. Why I prefer NVIDIA is that they are better placed to maintain long term growth potential, and provide a platform for other AI companies. I know someone who has made more than 200% from NVIDIA. I'll also take these other recommendations you made.

8 days later and the S&P is down 4% ... That escalated quickly.

As an lnvesting enthusiast, I often wonder how top level investors are able to become millionaires off investing. . I’ve been sitting on over $545K equity from a home sale and I’m not sure where to go from here, is it a good time to buy into stocks or do I wait for another opportunity?.

Don't tell us your opinions, show us your positions.

The semiconductor business is expanding quickly, and investors who purchase these two stocks from ACM Research and KLA Corporation may see substantial profits due to the growing demand for technology. I'll be monitoring them and seeing how they perform in the marketplace.

My fave stand-up comic/finance advisor

Sadly i had to sell all my stock to finally get a mortgage. Luckily I've been doing alright for the past 3 years. I'll be back thou

Ah yes, "This time is different", "We are in an era of exponential growth", "There will be no recession in our lifetime", "AI will make us 1000x more productive". Stonks. The best opportunity is always after a major crash, not near the peak of the biggest bull market in history. Aside from that - Shiller ratio is irrelevant. Stock moves on liquidity.

I invested in S&P exactly a year ago. My first ever investment when I turned 18. Listening to your vids, and not watching all the bullshit, expected a nice return, but I'm +25% on portfolio 😂

Airlines have a lot more debt since 2020, consumers have a lot more debt as well. Credit cards charging a lot more than a few years ago. So not everything is good. Plus interest rates are currently quite high while P/E ratios are high as well. Sure it could be everything plays out well, but I a careful

Many years ago, in 2007, I got a new job,, and I moved out from the West of the US to the East coast. I had some money my previous job was piling up in one of Fidelity's big cap stock mutual funds. But not since I left. Money was not that great amount and I forgot about them. I remembered only (I swear!) this last spring, and I decided to check, what's going on. It grew 12 times the original amount in 16 years! Just like that! Not only because of change of stock price, but also because all the dividends were invested back into stocks.

Great info, Sasha. I missed you when you stopped posting a couple of months ago. Glad you’re back; I appreciate your content.🙏🕊️

An America that seriously considers electing Trump for a second term is described as, “stable”????

Inflation is just getting started! You are 100% wrong with all due respect. You can print 1 trillion every 90 days or so in perpetuity and expect inflation to come down. This is why metals are ripping due to the devaluation of our currency. Inflation is not going down period

Sasha, are u considering macro issues? Oil de-dolorisation, devaluation of the dollar accelerating due to Russia war and central banks switching heavily to gold. USA cost of living crisis/middle class squeeze. People have maxed out their credit cards so consumer spending is slowing and could crash. Earnings will take a hit, there's simply a lag. Nvidia earnings are based on B2b sales, and right now these businesses haven't figured out how to monetise AI. The macro environment is complex due to 2008 and Covid bailouts. S&P 500 is simply a tracker of the rich and yes they have been doing incredibly well... so far.

I'm heavily invested in small caps. However, good luck predicting the overall stock market rather than individual companies, because that's what it is. Impossibke to predict consistently. Btw, weren't you bullish before the 2022 bear market, not expecting rates to shoot up and many emerging "growth" stock multiples to go down? Suddenly a lot of stocks looked very expensive, and you didn't see it coming. But sure, have another crack at it...

I agree with some of these comments. Sasha should show us a small window into his current positions. It would add a lot of conviction to these videos. Doesn't matter if they perform or not, it's about having a foundation of action, otherwise the points don't hit as hard.

This did not age well at all less than a month later

Thanks for the analysis, Sasha

I'd raise a counterpoint. The shiller PE should be inverted (3-4%) and then have the 10 or 30 year bond yield substracted for the actual yield. Hence the risk premium is now 0% (?) Granted thats inflation indexed. But still.

Hi Sasha, Does the fact that analysts are saying that the sahm rule is looking like it could be triggered as recent data shows unemployment on an uptrend or does a recession not worry you?

4:35 “Or could it maybe be a bit more like this” The correct answer is no. It is irrational to believe that valuations can increase indefinitely. There will not come a time when the market is willing to pay a million dollars for a dollar of earnings.

Agree 100% with what you said. We even saw it after CPI reports. Money began moving out of the top 10 and into the smaller cap stocks. Market is due for a CORRECTION but people forget the meaning of the word. Overvalued stocks will go down BUT undervalued stocks will also rise and correct. S&P500 will be red (weighed down heavily by the top stocks) but if you invest in the right industries and stocks youll continue to be green.

“This time it’s different” “To the moon!”

Black Swan events. The unforeseeable always remains.

I know when the big crash is coming, but I'm not telling

Sasha, you are one of my favorite U-tuber. Appreciate your channel.

Started my investment journey in March with a savings pot of £15k, already up over 5% and continue to put £17 a day into VWRP. Just set and forget for the next 30 years and have a lovely pot for retirement 🙏

How do you buy small caps? I'm in the UK but haven't bought my own shares before. My dad passed in 2021 and had some money in a share account but that was in one company.

This sounds like a similar thing that happened right before the stock market crash in 1929. Like....they were inflated to make it look like the economy was doing well, and then it collapsed. With the state of the economy, it's not looking good.

id be interested to hear about the uk markets after the recent elections

I think the markets will be generally higher because everyone has access to trading apps. I would never have put a penny in if I never had an app

@SashaYanchin, what are the opportunities and the bargains that you see on the stock market now?

Fed wont cut to those near zero interest rates. We are back to normal in terms of interest rates. The best we can hope for is 3-5% interest rate unless the money economy crashes. 70% of all US dollars entered into circulation during the "plague". I bet on REITs before realizing this.

What happened to Jerome Powell not knowing what he was doing and that there would be no soft landing? Soft landing imminent.

Talk to me about this discount isle please sir.

Don't forget you also worked for FTX Risk Management department

Follow the money. USD still being printed like crazy, that money always flows upwards and where do they hold the money, in the S&P. China housing market collapsing, so Asians arnt investing in their housing market they are buying the S&P. Same in the UK, housing market is weak or thought to be weak right now, so that money also flows into stocks.

Joseph hogue mentions the Russell 2000 in his latest vid , s and p 500 does seem over done due to the mag 7 , maybe a look at the smaller companies is in order

Two thoughts: the small caps are cheap but don’t you think that when the MAG7 will experience a correction this event alone will push down the entire market? The bull market started in March 2009 and lasted until 2020. Since then we saw two short corrections, to me a big correction looks highly probable…

Sasha your take about Nike? Thank you 🙏🏼

Insanity just like in 2000 when everyone spoke like him.

thanks for the great video. much apreciated. BTW have you still got your guitar?

I love everything single time I check your videos there are a bunch of comments saying you don't get it BLA BLA BLA, and these dudes totally missed 2023 and 2024 crazy returns.

This video didn't age well.....

What? Something about S&P being overbought and small caps are underbought because they never recovered from 2008. This here flat chart might look 'non-linear' instead. Also It's different this time. That's the thesis in a nutshell.

Does one go out shopping for shoes with a historical list of shoe prices and if shoes today are 40% higher than their 50 year historical average not buy a pair ? Of course not, because if you did you’d be wearing socks for the rest of your life.

Most of stocks going up due to money printing or flowing money from one asset to another, like from nft to stock or from stock to crypto etc. So you need to follow for assets sellouts or money printing. I can see stocks to crash but not now, within 1-2 years maybe. Unless the world will discover new source of energy which can satisfy the needs of ai computing power. Ai bubble will burst and then everyone will sell as everyone panic as usually. But time will tell. What comes up always need to come down :)

I'm curious, on the back of your last video, should the US economy go in to deflation, what do you think would happen to the markets? Great content as always 👍

This time it's different...

To answer your question at the end of the video is that we do not know. But what we can do is to stay keep investing no matter what :)

And now, 2 weeks later ...

As a theoretical philosophy student these questions of "what line should the market follow" are interesting and I think you are on point by suggesting something else than the majority. What ever line or curve the market "follows", simply means there has existed constant factors in the actual world that has transferred into constant mathematical patterns. But the actual world does not follow the math, it's the opposite; the math follows the actual world. So we should indeed focus into aspects of the actual world when looking what will happen.. in the actual world. Are we justified to use past mathematical constants to predict the future, meaning; are the actual factors still existing that created the past mathematical patterns?

Lol, this aged well.

The simple question is “are interests about to be cut because of FED wants to, or because it has to?”…. I’m with the smart money reducing its exposure and going into gold thanks ✌️

Just a thought but isn't it possible that the S and P 500 continues to go up due to more popularity with investing passively in index funds? back in 08 etc we didn't really have youtube and access to this knowledge so easily.

Should I go all in global index fund and max out my isa or DCA?

YOUR BEST VIDEO TO DATE IMO....fantastic job regarding the small caps

The yield curve between 2yr and 10yr bonds is starting to uninvert. If you look back in history every time this happens a recession has followed and a stock market crash!

Thank you sasha But do you think that the market already priced in the first cut or even the second cut by now

Not sure this will age well.

I appreciate your talks, but one problem is that the inflation data is completely false, and we have an issue called de-dollarisation in progress.

Interesting video. The other reason it might not crash could be because they see stocks as a safe haven outside of banks. On the other hand if there are layoffs in the economy people may be forced to fold on their stock portfolio positions. It'll be interesting to see what happens.

Sasha, whilst you may be technically correct and there is no reason for a crash and in theory the markets should continue, I think that there will be a crash simply due to human expectation that there will be one. In short we will talk ourselves into crashing. There is increasing talk each day of the coming crash so people will believe the negative hype and withdraw from the market, so the crash becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. Basic herd behaviour. What you need to ask is, are we being manipulated?

Just out of interest, what stocks did you buy ? ( you said you bought some in the vid) TIA.

Sasha, do you have any opinions about Diageo?

There have been many times in the last 2 years that the market could not go higher and had to crash... History said differently. When rates go down market goes up. Heading to election goes up. But also goes down after election. If we consistently invest will be fine :) Personnaly I would not add any extra lump sum now but continue regular monthly investing. We ll see what the future brings

Hey Sasha! You've made me an avid follower over the last 3 years...paid off all debts, got my trading account and saved enough for my first mortgage!! Can you do your artistry on your thoughts on British rates over the next few years?! Stuck on the 5 yr or 2yr decision right now! Any other thoughts here are welcome...you're probably all sound thinkers! 😂

I've actually seen a few new businesses open, and not pound shops or mobile phone cover shops, decently branded indie-businesses. That surprised me given the outlook. But they say the strong businesses and smart entrepreneurs that last, tend to start during difficult times and take advantage of all the debt-riding ones failing. Hopefully Papa J-Pow doesn't break anything too badly.

You were bashing AI and related stock growth (nVidia) just 1 weak ago.

I'm new here. So what is the best stoks to invest now?

It makes no sense to speculate about rate cuts or AI, the current general prediction is already priced in. That's like the whole reason why the stock market has been doing so well.

My tea leaf patterns told me to watch this video

You're a voice I like to listen to and learn from but I see massive short term uncertainty in so many areas I find it hard to confidently predict where we'll be in 6-12 months! I am keen on seeing how the UK markets will react when to the new govts policies however!

Where to buy the Russell 2000 in the UK?

Man, it's just a simple DCF evaluation. If a stock is valued at 50 tines fwd earnings it is meant to retrace no matter what

Does printing money not inflate the stock market?

Imagine mentioning best investment and not talk about bitcoin. Enjoy staying poor.

It goes up and down always has and always will im not clever or dedicated enough to time the market but i can £ cost average and i can usually recognise a slump just not the bottom. I suspect some rate cuts are pending which will boost cheaper stocks that benefit from a lower interest rate so its probably not a bad time to ease into small caos but i wouldnt go all in. Its a punt and worth a satellite position in a balanced portfolio wouldnt bet farm on it though.

What about bond markets un-inverting? No major recession this time?

I check the S and p500 every day and every day Im thinking.....nah Unbelievable gains, I for once went in big at the right time

Just looked for Russell 2000 ETFs on Interactive Brokers but all the ones I looked at are not available to UK as they don't have a Key Information Document. Any solution to this?

How about the GDP (27T) to Debt (35T) Ratio? Surely those margins only get worse

Fed rate cut may bring down short terms interests but will it bring down long term interests as well given the Govt borrowing that is only likely to increase and buyers of long terms bonds are not increasing but actually reducing.

Seems to me that you’re making a bull case for value investing. Consider how overbalanced the market is to the mag 7, I think you have a great point. However, most people are going to feel like they’re catching a falling knife. And it’s hard to wait through the bottom when there’s no telling when it will be. “The market can stay irrational much longer than you can stay solvent.”

As if the stock market is backed up by emotionless and logical data…..

Hi Sasha thanks for the vid! I would argue that the Russell 2000 would be a better investment than the S&P 500 as rates come down, what's your thoughts? Thanks :)

I haven't got any potatoes 😊

I understand your point on valuations but there’s a fair few detractors to valuations over that time, namely the average lifespan of businesses and thus terminal values. I would argue that 0 terminal values being more likely outweigh things like lifespan - if the business isn’t around then it doesn’t matter

When that AI bubble pops, there will be a general atmosphere of taking money out of the market. I just feel very icky to invest in an ATH market, unless it's a company I believe in 10-15 years from now. You really have to search for such companies.

Sasha what book or web page can I read to learn basic economic concepts: inflation depression interest rates etc....

"Last Chance" "This Changes EVERYTHING" "(Person X) gives their FINAL warning!" "You have been WARNED!" "This Explains EVERYTHING" "Nobody will make it to....(pick the year/date of your choice)" "Buy gold/silver from (person gives name of their sponsor)" Have I missed anything? "

I know you support 100% for us stocks. But for a passive investment for decades does 50%sp500 and 50% msci acwi makes sense? It will be roughly 80% us and 20% international

The opinion that higher pe's today are fine, because we have more Technology and advanced is just rediciulous. I really go with everything else you say. But higher pe's are only justified, when the growth of companys earnings is higher. Doesnt matter if were in 1923 or 2024

I have a ratio for you to plot: government debt-to-GDP, along with the Shiller ratio. Please consider that the level of government debt may be influencing the market indexes. To put it another way: we are in an era of exponential debt.

I have a question. So how do you purchase an index fund that will leave out the top 7, or 8, or 10 companies in the S&P 500 that is something I have been looking for. I do see your numbers on how only the top companies are overvalued due to the word "Ai" Right now I am invested in FXAIX and FITLX but I can't find an index fund leaving those big companies out. -Joel United States

Interpolation (trend line/curve fit ) type selection is contingent on understanding of the causation. High order polymonal will give good alignment to data but isn't actually often accurate. Understanding this interpolation relationship is essential for reliable accurate extrapolation. Really appreciate Sasha actually trying to break down the causality to these plots. I swear finance industry skipped analytics 101 sometimes and just rave the "line goes up!" attitude.