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Ukraine and the West | A Lecture by John J. Mearsheimer & discussion feat. Max Otte & Jasmin Kosubek

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Max Otte

Max Otte

Жыл бұрын

Since the upheaval in 2014, Ukraine has not found peace. The bloody battle for Bachmut is the latest sad climax of the conflict between Russia and Western states. Why did this war break out, and what lies ahead for Ukraine, Russia, and the West?
On May 12, 2023, renowned political scientist John J. Mearsheimer came to Germany at the invitation of Max Otte to speak about the Ukrainian crisis. His lecture covered the following four topics:
1. The reasons for the Ukrainian war.
2. Who will win the war?
3. Prospects for a diplomatic solution.
4. What will the future relationship between Russia and the West look like?
In this video, you can see Max Otte's introductory speech as well as John J. Mearsheimer's full lecture. In the last part of the video, Mr. Mearsheimer and Mr. Otte discussed questions by the audience moderated by Jasmin Kosubek (‪@JasminKosubekOriginal‬).
Soon, on Max Otte's video channel, you will be able to watch another conversation between the two in which the topics were further explored.
Mearsheimer is the Chair of International Relations at the University of Chicago. His notable books include "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" (2001), "The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy" (2007), and "Why Leaders Lie: The Truth About Lying in International Politics" (2011). Mearsheimer is considered the leading advocate of the so-called realist school of thought in international relations, which aims for a balance of interests between states.
Mearsheimer gained attention from the general public through his comments on U.S. foreign policy. He criticized U.S. influence in Ukraine starting in 2014. His lecture titled "Why is Ukraine the West's Fault?" from 2015 has already been viewed 29 million times on KZfaq alone: • Why is Ukraine the Wes...
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Seit dem Umsturz im Jahr 2014 kommt die Ukraine nicht mehr zur Ruhe. Der blutige Kampf um Bachmut ist der jüngste traurige Höhepunkt der Auseinandersetzung zwischen Russland und den westlichen Staaten. Warum ist dieser Krieg ausgebrochen und wie geht es weiter für die Ukraine, Russland und den Westen?
Der berühmte Politikwissenschaftler John J. Mearsheimer kam am 12. Mai 2023 auf Einladung von Max Otte nach Deutschland, um über die Ukrainekrise zu referieren.
Sein Vortrag umfasst die folgenden vier Themen:
1. Die Gründe für den Ukrainekrieg
2. Wer wird den Krieg gewinnen?
3. Aussichten auf eine diplomatische Lösung
4. Wie wird die Beziehung zwischen Russland und dem Westen in Zukunft aussehen?
In diesem Video sehen Sie die Einführungsrede von Max Otte sowie den Vortrag von John J. Mearsheimer in voller Länge. Im letzten Teil des Videos sehen Sie die Podiumsdiskussion mit Fragen der Gäste, moderiert von Jasmin Kosubek (‪@JasminKosubekOriginal‬ ).
Auf dem Videokanal von Max Otte können Sie in Kürze ein weiteres Gespräch zwischen John Mearsheimer und Max Otte sehen, in dem die Themen weiter vertieft wurden.
Mearsheimer ist Inhaber des Lehrstuhls für Internationale Beziehungen an der University of Chicago. Zu seinen vielbeachteten Büchern gehören The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (2001), The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy (2007) und Why Leaders Lie: The Truth About Lying in International Politics (2011). Mearsheimer gilt als wichtigster Vertreter der sogenannten realistischen Denkschule der Internationalen Beziehungen, die auf einen Interessenausgleich zwischen Staaten abzielt.
Der breiten Öffentlichkeit wurde Mearsheimer nicht zuletzt auch durch seine Kommentare zur US-amerikanischen Außenpolitik bekannt. So kritisiert er den US-Einfluss in der Ukraine ab 2014. Sein Vortrag „Why is Ukraine the West's Fault?“ aus dem Jahr 2015 wurde allein auf KZfaq bereits 29 Millionen mal abgerufen: • Why is Ukraine the Wes...
__________________________________________
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Пікірлер: 354
@fajarliong
@fajarliong Жыл бұрын
People of German certainly, many, need this kind of enlightenment :)
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 Жыл бұрын
John J. Mearsheimer confirm, if the Ukraine War does not end, Germany will see nukes (just don't look up), thanks to US
@hunterphung3638
@hunterphung3638 Жыл бұрын
lie and propaganda. It doesn't matter what the West believe. Russia invade Ukraine because of its expansion ambition. typical communist tactics. Murder steal and blame others for your crime.
@hunterphung3638
@hunterphung3638 Жыл бұрын
barbaric .
@stuartwray6175
@stuartwray6175 Жыл бұрын
People of German? - people of Germany; Germans.
@VSP4591
@VSP4591 Жыл бұрын
Respect to Max Otte that helps to bring in another view of the conflict. We all know that an unilateral view is not healthy but Germany seems to embrace such unique view. This is very good for a healthier discussion.
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 Жыл бұрын
Like John J. Mearsheimer said, Germany, don't look up, but delivery of nuke onto Germany is on it's way, thanks to USA.
@pablorojasescobar5402
@pablorojasescobar5402 Жыл бұрын
You have to see people in the U.S. they are fanatics.
@VSP4591
@VSP4591 Жыл бұрын
I think this is very educational speech for the German audience indoctrinated by DW and der Spiegel.
@stavrosaristidou5779
@stavrosaristidou5779 Жыл бұрын
I agree with almost everything the professor says.I only disagree with the term decisive victory that he uses. Destroying the ukrainian army, securing that Ukraine wont join NATO and annexing the areas that will be conquering after the war is a decisive victory for Russia. That are the aims that they have set before the beginning of the war. I would also add that if Putin had imperial aspirations would have already annexed Belarus and conquered the whole Georgia back in 2008. These are all nonsense by the western media to keep the audience on war mode. The only thing that the russians want from us europeans is to respect their national security concerns and business.
@jessiejb4684
@jessiejb4684 Жыл бұрын
Well said. Also the Russian parliament (Duma) gave Putin the power to use the military in Ukraine in 2014. He could’ve taken whatever he wanted of Ukraine at that time, instead, following Crimea referendum Putin took Russia’s soldiers away from the Ukraine border and the duma rescinded those war powers. This was while the civil war in Donbas was kicking off and while the violently ousted president of Ukraine was proclaiming a coup was waged against him, meaning that Russia would’ve had a persuasive argument for military intervention at that time in particular.
@NTraveller
@NTraveller Жыл бұрын
Actually, Dr. Mearsheimer said that it "will not be a decisive victory" (but victory all the same)
@NTraveller
@NTraveller Жыл бұрын
I think the aim in the beginning of the war was to scare Zelensky into signing a peace agreement (neutrality, independence of Donbass and the Crimea). Pres. Zelensky all but agreed, but Boris Johnson came to save the day and let the war continue
@julienjeanmuller
@julienjeanmuller Жыл бұрын
Did you just say annexing Belarus?
@zhoubaidinh403
@zhoubaidinh403 Жыл бұрын
No Color Revolution in Russia, no further break up of the Russian Federation.
@christianlange9434
@christianlange9434 Жыл бұрын
Großartig Herr Otte, Dank an Frau Kosubek and a Big Thank you to Mr. Mearsheimer for your open words.
@SilverforceX
@SilverforceX Жыл бұрын
Truly, a voice of sanity in an insane world. Blessed are we to have such people willing to put themselves on the line to speak truth.
@hoerbschmidt618
@hoerbschmidt618 Жыл бұрын
very insightful presentation and discussion. Great thanks to the people who organized the podium and to the persons participating in it.
@Athenaikos
@Athenaikos Жыл бұрын
Rarely have I heard a more sane and logical analysis about anything.
@VSP4591
@VSP4591 Жыл бұрын
This is an American scholar. In Europe we do not have such a scholar. All are very silent.
@Athenaikos
@Athenaikos Жыл бұрын
@@VSP4591 Apart from being quiet, you must also consider that Mearsheimer is a supporter of Bernie Sanders which places him to the Left of US politics. So, not only he refuses to comply with the stereotype of the University of Chicago academics being overwhelmingly on the side of Biden (whose supporter John is clearly not) but he also has immense courage as a realist to frame issues the way mostly right conservatives do (John is as Anti-Trump as you can get). So here you have a clear voice, unshackled by the usual partisan rhetoric, that uses reason and science as his guiding principles which is the very definition of being a classical Greek. In that sense, John is very much a European scholar who happens to live in America.
@DrProfessorWeed
@DrProfessorWeed Жыл бұрын
​@VSP4591 Believe me, these types of voices are rare in the U.S. as well. However, in recent months, I've been beginning to see more and more people combat the establishment and censorship, which is a good sign at least.
@VSP4591
@VSP4591 Жыл бұрын
@@DrProfessorWeed Yes, but US scholars are the best in interpreting reality. This is my opinion. In Europe you do not find such person. They all speak on a single voice.
@conorwhite2066
@conorwhite2066 Жыл бұрын
Unfortunately rare as this type of discussion has been “banned” in western media
@JM-vh7oc
@JM-vh7oc Жыл бұрын
This was such a great discussion - thank you for hosting - you did a great job.
@ericb7223
@ericb7223 Жыл бұрын
Gotta thank Mearshimer (and others) for bringing an unfailingly logical, realistic outlook to a field as diseased as international relations was.
@unitedkingdomofngunipeople4959
@unitedkingdomofngunipeople4959 Жыл бұрын
John J. Mearsheimer is the G.O.A.T!
@justgivemethetruth
@justgivemethetruth Жыл бұрын
Thanks. Love to hear John Mearsheimer.
@DreamteamCarlo
@DreamteamCarlo Жыл бұрын
1:03:01 This was a truly horrible interruption by Max Otte. I really enjoyed this video, and thank you for uploading it. But when Mearsheimer reluctantly decides to answer Kosubek's question about his opinion on the current role of the German government, let him speak please! Seems pretty relevant to me as the event was in Germany and I've never heard him speak about that before, whereas Mearsheimers views on the US and its role are pretty well known to most people familiar with him.
@ighodaro11
@ighodaro11 Жыл бұрын
I couldn’t agree more. He was just about to say more German leadership.
@villanovakid84
@villanovakid84 Жыл бұрын
If only the fools in Washington D.C. would listen to this wise man...
@vluri258
@vluri258 Жыл бұрын
Funny, they call John a fool for telling the truth.
@wyz9815
@wyz9815 Жыл бұрын
Those in D.C. are not fools, they are the cleverest being I have ever known, especially in creating conflicts, promoting hatred and waging wars. The issue is that they are not human beings but psychopaths who thrive on hurting human beings!
@villanovakid84
@villanovakid84 Жыл бұрын
@@wyz9815 You believe that this chaos is being contrived by the Deep State. Interesting perspective and quite plausible.
@sophietrethewey373
@sophietrethewey373 Жыл бұрын
Now everything makes sense, this is brilliant and also very neutral.
@barumbadum
@barumbadum Жыл бұрын
The best IR scholar alive. Where is QA session?
@AuditorInvestor
@AuditorInvestor Жыл бұрын
I'll watch Professor Mearsheimer all day - rare voice of SANITY. Wth insanity is with this Biden admin repeatedly poking the eye of a nuclear state.
@crazy0300712
@crazy0300712 Жыл бұрын
Great host, insightful questions and allowed everyone to say their piece, cant ask for better than that!
@posmoo9790
@posmoo9790 Жыл бұрын
Russia didn't even have 190,000 troops as most people think about it. They had 56,000 soldiers in combat units, this according to the CIA and it's in Wikipedia in the order of battle. they had 70 brigade tactical groups. those are 800 men when at establishment. the rest of the soldiers near Ukraine were truck drivers, nurses, email pushers, for lift operators, hospital attendants, cooks, janitors, etc. This is a typical ratio, called tooth to tail. It's often near 3-1 for a modern army. so maybe 190k total soldiers, but only 56,000 are actually fighters. That's not even enough to occupy Kiev, nevermind the rest of Ukraine. Let me give you two examples of this. in 1991 when America attacked sadam hussein in kuwait we brought 270,000 total combat forces and the total size of the armies in the middles east were supporting was over 1,000,000 men. And that wasn't even an invasion force. That was just to kick them out of Kuwait. then in the 2003 Iraqi invasion we had about 127,000 combat troops and a total army size of about 500,000. That of course turned out to be not near enough to even garrison Iraq and many more combat troops and contractors had to be brought in to garrison it later. but still they had 3x the combat troops Russia did and Iraq was half the size and had 40% of the population.
@lightcable
@lightcable Жыл бұрын
You just proved the point that Prof JM made - Putin has no intention to conquer Ukraine. Before the invasion, Zelenskyy's approval rate was ~30% max. People forgot that back in time Zelenskyy wasn't a hero portrayed by the western medias. Ukrainians weren't happy and Zelenskyy was struggling to win the re-election. Russia was betting Ukrainians saw their invasion was aimed to Zelenskyy's government but not the Ukrainians. This is the only explanation the Russians dared to only use such a small sized troop for the invasion. Of course their bet went horribly wrong. They terribly underestimated the power of hypernationalism. When Russia attacked the Ukrainian government, Ukrainians couldn't distinguish this was just targeted to Zelenskyy's government. The Ukrainians saw this an invasion to their homeland. It ignited hypernationalism. I don't blame the Ukrainians. They rightfully defend their country. I do blame Zelenskyy and his government to bring Ukraine into chaos. One consequence of hypernationalism in Ukraine after Orange Revolution is the Russian speaking Ukrainians were marginalized. They had no option but developed dependency to Russia which planted the seed of the current war. Even worse, the current war wiped out an entire generation of young Ukrainians. I know that it is too early to predict what history will say about Zelenskyy. But I am willing to put money he won't be cited as a national hero.
@murimurimrui
@murimurimrui Жыл бұрын
Please take your boosters, we're all in this together
@hyhhy
@hyhhy Жыл бұрын
Great post.
@briancousins3101
@briancousins3101 Жыл бұрын
You can skip the long 8min intro. This is University of Chicago's John Mearsheimer speaking in Germany. (He is widely known throughout Europe & even academic US but he has been banned by Canada's CBC owing to his views that are contrary to CBC management's editorial/propaganda position). A highly recommended analysis about how the Ukraine war was created by the US/NATO & what is likely to be the result.
@fajarliong
@fajarliong Жыл бұрын
This is the freedom of speech beauty in Western world, the value they want to indoctrinate the entire world. You have the rights to speak "my words only". Thought only authoritarian do that. The difference with authoritarian they seldom proclaim themselves to the world they are the good guys and world just follow them. They do not problem they are international world. They do not proclaim "unwritten law" world based order. They do not lecture others how to behave and conduct themselves.
@crazy0300712
@crazy0300712 Жыл бұрын
Feels good to see a rational discussion happening. Sad to see that this is a minority opinion among Western leadership...
@brunomoratti5607
@brunomoratti5607 Жыл бұрын
Sehr spannend. Professionell gesprochen von allen Beteiligten. Danke für das Teilen eurer Meinungen.
@the1onlynoob
@the1onlynoob Жыл бұрын
The Americans have a vested interest in a weak Europe. It is the same concept in old Europe, where a king requires all of its lords to maintain armies, but none of the armies can be strong enough to challenge the king. It is simple, NATO is necessary because there must not be a European army that does not answer directly to Washington, for if the Europeans had its own army, listening to its own leaders, pursuing its own interests, then America would lose its leverage in Europe immediately. It would also mean that the Europeans and Russians would be able to settle the Ukraine issue with the Russian army and European army being joint security guarantors. It means that there would be no incentive to blow up nord-stream. It means that there would be no real compulsion to force Europe to participate in American follies like Iraq or Afghanistan, because Europeans would be self sufficient in its own security, where as the Americans can always threaten the European leaders with 'defunding NATO' if the European leader did not go along. For this security arrangement, Europe effectively can rely on American military spending in NATO and save some money, but at the cost of its own soveriegnty. At the same time, these American escapades has cost Europe greatly, because every failed adventure in the middle east means more hatred, more terrorism, more refugees, more shame and diplomatic hypocrisy on the world stage. No Iraqi, no Libyan or Syrian is going to walk to America, but they can all cross the chanel or walk into Europe to seek asylum from the countries that is a part of the alliance that ruined their economy and killed their leader. China wants to see a stronger Europe, a richer Europe, because China is looking to diversify selling consumer goods to America, and Europe must remain rich and strong to be capable of soaking up all the supply. It is for this reason that China is trying desperating to extend its belt and roads railway from North Korea to Spain, and it is for this reason why China is trying to speak to as many European leader as they can, to stop going along with America in antagonising Russia, Serbia, Iran, and just get along and do business. If China does not accomplish this, Europe would just be by passed and China would seek alternatives in the global south, like Vietnam, Laos, and all the way to Africa. Worse still, if the European leaders does not grow a spine, and shift from trying to encircle Russia to cutting off the Chinese trade iniatives, then perpare yourselves. If you think the Russian army raise from a population of 150 million people can withstand combined NATO intervention in Ukraine, then wait and see what the People's Liberation Army will look like raised from a population of 1.5 billion people with mandatory military service for all their males.
@JM-vh7oc
@JM-vh7oc Жыл бұрын
Your last paragraph is very ominous but afraid likely
@the1onlynoob
@the1onlynoob Жыл бұрын
@@JM-vh7oc Sometimes, China and its leadership is too serious for its own good. During the cold war, when Americans planned a nuclear exchange with the USSR and China as a threat/bluff to get its way, Chairman Mao famously delivered a speech which was named 'the Chinese people cannot be cowed by the atomic bomb'. In this speech, Mao explicitly say that violence is the last resort of empires and each time excessive violence is used, the world shifts left. He points out that the first world war produced the USSR, the second world war ended the British empire and created the entire left wing movement that saw revolutions across the world (including China), and if the capitalist class resort to another world war, then they would have no where else left to exploit once the mushroom cloud settles. He also explicitly said that in a nuclear exchange, there would be hundreds of millions of casualties on all sides, but the cohesiveness of the CPC and Chinese people will rebuild their country, and he trusts the anarchy of capitalism will turn America into post apocolyptic hellscape like mad max. He also walked the walk. Until about 1970 and the detente, US had nuclear missiles deployed in Taiwan, on its bases in Japan and South Korea. The exact numbers are unknown, but it should be noted that these deployment of nuclear weapons are only 80-130km off the Chinese mainland, and minutes flight to major population centres. But this did not prevent China from resisting America in Korea, assisting Vietnam, etc, or pursuing policies against American interests in the region in sake of independence. Like he said, China was prepared for and also not intimidated by nuclear weapons. Today's China is much stronger and I'd wager it would similarly trust in the spirit of its long civilisation. This means that China would not easily be provoked to start a military campaign, but it also means China is not easily intimidated into concessions and retreats. The other thing is that China has a much larger manufacturing base, and much more direct control over its factories from the government. Their officials can 'direct' the factories to cease on profit making and instead to produce for 'the greater good'. Today, close to 60% of all merchandise on amazon are made in China. Almost everything from covid masks, to pet toys, to electronics parts, etc are all dominated by China. War is all about logistics and resources. If Iran can supply 10000 suicide drones to Russia to be used in Ukraine, then if necessary, it is entirely possible that China can reverse engineer these drones and manufacturing them in the millions easily. If the Russians can make 2-3 million artillery rounds in a year, then China can probably do close to 10x that without general mobilisation. There has been satellite photographs of their shipyards building 4 destroyers simultaneously at the same dock. While keep in mind that they exceeded the US navy in terms of ships when they only started really investing their navy less than 20 years ago. Last year, when Pelosi visited Taiwan, they mobilised close to 300,000 troops in 24 hours (Russian's operation in Ukraine started with 160,000 troops), and they held almost 20 fleets of ships doing live fire exercises around Taiwan for a week while launching missiles and firing shells non-stop 24 hours a day. JUST AS A GESTURE, they could afford to waste that much ammunition. Not to mention, when America withdrew from the IMF treaty, China expanded their nuclear arsenal and has been photographed building missile silos 70-80 silos at a time. It really doesn't matter if their missiles only hit 10% of the time if they have tens of thousands of missiles. They alone account for 20% of human population on this planet. The entire G7 is about 8%. Its not a fight we should contemplate and it is not one we should win even if we could. Better to make friends and live let live.
@wyz9815
@wyz9815 Жыл бұрын
@@the1onlynoob very informative, with facts and logics, which are lacking among Western media, 👍👍👍👍👍👏👏👏👏👏
@blgama
@blgama Жыл бұрын
*Very good!! Hey, where is the Q&A video, Mrs. JASMIN ???*
@oliverheck8321
@oliverheck8321 Жыл бұрын
Auch persönlich bei derartigen Lectures dabeigewesen sein zu können und sich auszutauschen gibt einen größeren Einblick ins Weltgeschehen. Sehr empfehlenswert!
@zharkoo
@zharkoo Жыл бұрын
Unlike all the lies and propaganda in the "news", this discussion is on very solid ground and everything said makes perfect sense to the point of being self-evident. Huge respect to these guys
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 Жыл бұрын
Mearsheimer is a very wise and brave man. Wonder when he will be banned from main stream medias and 'berufsverbotet' in Germany.
@anasxeniadis5392
@anasxeniadis5392 Жыл бұрын
Mearsheimer is an excellent Speaker.
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 Жыл бұрын
Mearsheimer speeches swing as the wind take him, Last year was Ukraine now Russia. 2015, USA war with China, today.
@hadensonbuildingdesignandc4227
@hadensonbuildingdesignandc4227 Жыл бұрын
John mearsheimer's four part talk on the Ukraine war offers new insights worthy of any listener's consideration who is interested in sentiments of peace and good government during this crisis.
@russellthechemist8291
@russellthechemist8291 Жыл бұрын
This talk is authoritative and evidence based, something sadly lacking in mainstream western media. It is likely Mearsheimer is more correct in his analysis than any other commentator of note.
@rp3875
@rp3875 Жыл бұрын
The sheer incompetence of our political leaders. How is this good for anybody???
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 Жыл бұрын
No one, but you can see, Joe Biden is over 80 now and he does not care.
@wyz9815
@wyz9815 Жыл бұрын
Good for Americans! At least they can sell gas at a price 4 times higher 🤣🤣🤣
@omgmrtea
@omgmrtea Жыл бұрын
Lieber Max, könntest du, wenn nicht schon gemacht, John fragen ob er nicht versuchen will, auf Joe Rogan, Jordan Peterson oder Lex Fridmans podcast zu kommen? Ich glaube dass dies sinnvoll wäre, um unser klares Denken weiterzuverbreiten und um speziell in Amerika der Propaganda entgegenzuwirken.
@maxotte_says
@maxotte_says Жыл бұрын
Werde ich aufgreifen.
@Stuntmandouble08
@Stuntmandouble08 Жыл бұрын
Germany went from one of the top leading industrial countries to a country of deficiency. We have deficiency in almost every sector you can imagine. Be it education, health supply, housing, demography, safe and affordable energy... On top of that, we have a lack of resolute and sovereign leadership.
@RoderickJMacdonald
@RoderickJMacdonald Жыл бұрын
Do you have any data on this deficiency in health services, education, housing and demography? Thank you.
@stuartwray6175
@stuartwray6175 Жыл бұрын
​@@RoderickJMacdonald Germany is facing its worst housing shortage in 20 years. Also see, DW news Jan 29th 2023: 'Germany's schools are running out of teachers' (article by Ralf Bosen). The report also mentions crumbling school infrastructure and many without wifi.
@RoderickJMacdonald
@RoderickJMacdonald Жыл бұрын
@@stuartwray6175 Thank you for that information Mr. Wray. The housing shortage is an issue in Canada as well. I believe that affordable housing is an issue in the United States. I used to think that quantitative easing was the culprit, as it eventually led to low mortgage rates, and thus to lower monthly payments for a given house price, and then to higher house prices. Then I learned that regulation compliance is a major source expenditure in housing construction, at least in Canada and the United States. Perhaps this is also a factor in Germany. I don't know if the increased cost is paperwork or simply better quality construction. I think education is an issue in most countries. The economic return is so far down the road, and learning itself is hardly valued at all. The only reason that primary and secondary school teachers get (or used to get) decent pay in Canada is unionization. At the university level it is also a downhill slope. While private businesses "flattened the pyramid" in the 90s, universities hired middle managers to improve "production". Production being students "satisfied" and number of articles published in a set list of journals. "Quality control" means that many new professors are stuck teaching standardized materials far from their research -teaching from a book or PowerPoint slides instead of "professing" what they know. I am only aware of what has happened in 3 countries regarding universities, so it may not be worldwide. People in most countries admire the vocational system in Germany, in the belief that more people learn useful skills.
@davidthompson1369
@davidthompson1369 Жыл бұрын
Plan's ahead of schedule. Can't wait for the fireworks! Grab some popcorn and get a good view.
@xShiiqey
@xShiiqey Жыл бұрын
@@stuartwray6175 lol germany is running out of teachers for decades
@fajarliong
@fajarliong Жыл бұрын
I would really like to see him doing that 150 push ups, certainly interesting to watch :)
@markmarshall5234
@markmarshall5234 Жыл бұрын
Presumably he's not wearing his suit when he does it! ;)
@robertmyers6488
@robertmyers6488 Жыл бұрын
Great as usual, but I think Mearsheimer misunderstands the population of the Ukraine. There are 3-4 different areas in Ukraine with different views and ethnic makeup. What America did when it colonized was to put into power the most ethno-extremist group from Galicia. They are the ones forcing their definition of Ukrainian on the rest of the area. This is the second time in the last 100 years these people have been unleashed to commit genocide and ethnic cleansing. Once their boot is off of them, it will fall differently than I think he is assuming.
@VSP4591
@VSP4591 Жыл бұрын
Interesting comment.
@bhaashatepe5234
@bhaashatepe5234 Жыл бұрын
good to know. the problem is that how can you eliminate the extremist groups from the government? if I am not mistaken the ultra nationalist have been penetrating deep in the government and the military offices of Ukraine for years. how can you square that circle?
@robertmyers6488
@robertmyers6488 Жыл бұрын
@@bhaashatepe5234 As long as they are getting money from the US it will continue. Look up Operation Paperclip. We protected them from WWII until now.
@NTraveller
@NTraveller Жыл бұрын
Everybody who's not Ukrainian somehow knows what the Ukrainian think, and, moreover, what they will do in the future. There was a very clear choice between the nationalist hawk Poroshenko and the Russian-speaking dove Zelensky during the latest election, and Ukrainian made their voices and aspirations heard by voting Zelensky in. Later, as Zelensky betrayed his electorate and reverted his electoral promises 180 degrees the polls showed a drop to the miserable 11% approval rating. It is very clear that the multinational people of Ukraine, as most people, don't want a war in their land
@hyhhy
@hyhhy Жыл бұрын
@@bhaashatepe5234 Good question. Achieving that is basically the "denazification" that Russia officially seeks in Ukraine.
@NotShowingOff
@NotShowingOff Жыл бұрын
This video will have millions of views…in ten years…
@irynasakharchuk7044
@irynasakharchuk7044 Жыл бұрын
Thank you Mearsheimer❤
@Mark-im4xi
@Mark-im4xi Жыл бұрын
Honey, he explaines it. He does not justifiy it. "You have the power, but the not the right".
@derspreewalder2286
@derspreewalder2286 Жыл бұрын
Danke für den Vortrag Prof. Otte und das anschließende Gespräch. 👍
@hansboet954
@hansboet954 10 ай бұрын
I fully agree with both professors. One 1 correction. The populationratio is not 1 to 5 but 1 to 7. During the period 2014-2022 already 10 million Ukrains have left for good. They were mostly relatively young, highly educated people with better chances elswhere. In 2022 Ukraine was already de facto bankrupt and a failed state. The reason many people didn't know this is because the Ukraine government deliberately stopped to count the population since 2014. Many left to Russia, the EU, The US and Canada. In 2016 opened the EU the gates to Nirvana and granted all Ukrainians a free ride into the EU, without a visa and without control. The EU depleted Ukraine and took away the most talented people and caused a demographic disaster for Ukraine. When the war started the total population was about 30 million and then 12 million left or were citizins of the newly annexed Russian oblasts. I estimate the current population between 18 and 20 million.
@SmokeBloody
@SmokeBloody Жыл бұрын
one of the most sane voices in the West.
@dr.rajeevbhattacharya3244
@dr.rajeevbhattacharya3244 Жыл бұрын
Fascinating!
@markmarshall5234
@markmarshall5234 Жыл бұрын
I agree with Prof. Mearsheimer for the most part, but the term "great power" is doing a lot of work here. I'd like to hear Prof. Mearsheimer's definition of "great power".
@tez6693
@tez6693 Жыл бұрын
If you believe Professor Mearsheimer is impressive. Listen to Professor Michael Hudson, economist on economic war
@hadensonbuildingdesignandc4227
@hadensonbuildingdesignandc4227 Жыл бұрын
Most people who perceive themselves as ethical and moral, often with little exposure to current history. seem to support the idea of regime change in Russia and making it a western democratic state without realizing most Russians aren't interested. They tried it in the 90's to disastrous effect from selling their economy to western interests at which time they lost control of it. There population has declined but they have lived in a relatively stable and technologically advanced society for over 20 years. During the 90's, however, when they changed to an unregulated market economy Russia became dysfunctional as a state and culture. Anyway it didn't work in Iran, Afghanistan, Libya, or Vietnam.
@lazygardener6278
@lazygardener6278 Жыл бұрын
Ein hervorragender Vortrag und eine hervorragende Diskussion! Vielen Dank dafür!!! Warum gibt es diese Qualität, nicht im ÖRR zu sehen...???
@macmoneysac8389
@macmoneysac8389 Жыл бұрын
Weil ÖR nicht objektiv informieren will sondern die Regierungsmeinung unters Volk bringen muss
@eriktransformer
@eriktransformer Жыл бұрын
Weißte selber
@harishdass529
@harishdass529 Жыл бұрын
Prof Mearsheimer always presents data and facts unvarnished. I am hoping Prof. Mearsheimer is wrong about the possibility of a shooting conflict between USA and China (something he had mentioned in his lecture at Uni of Chicago in 2015). Great intellectual to listen to and learn from. I wish politicians in charge of these situations listened to him.
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 Жыл бұрын
If there is a shooting conflict USA v China, it will be USA making the first shot before China has been seating on their hands since Trump became US President. If it does happen, it will be of US misjudgment or fake news, for this time, it would be on China home ground. One must not forget the Korean conflict.
@d.lindemann843
@d.lindemann843 Жыл бұрын
Immer Klar und Sehr Mutig bei brisanten Themen , D A N K E S E H R
@RaghuappuAppu
@RaghuappuAppu Жыл бұрын
Sir is genius of geopolitics situation
@martinsvensson7744
@martinsvensson7744 Жыл бұрын
Where can I find video nr 2 with the Q&A ?
@criscris2691
@criscris2691 Жыл бұрын
A clear and brilliant mind, chapeau and thank you very much for this content.
@heinzstalder8624
@heinzstalder8624 Жыл бұрын
Oh. gelikt geteilt Abo und Glocke 🙂
@harshitsingh1600
@harshitsingh1600 Жыл бұрын
55.02 "And you all know the Germans like the idea of being DOMINATED 😄 by United snakes ". - Professor Mearshiemer from University of Chicago
@momphert2026
@momphert2026 Жыл бұрын
If Professor Mearsheimer is right, and giving the matter some thought that does not, to me at any rate, seem impossible, then we (Westerners) have over the past, say, twenty years been led by a group of incredible idiots. I think it was also Prof, Mearsheimer who said that in the powerplay of great nations there is no room for the consideration of the human suffering caused by their actions. That may be so, but spare a thought for the immense suffering inflicted on the Ukrainian population (more on Russian speakers than on the rest) by the above mentioned incredible idiots. Perhaps Mr Lukashenko was wiser than the rest, he may have had to kowtow to Russia, but the Belarussians' houses are still standing and his people are still alive and not uprooted. Just a thought.
@raymondmay2136
@raymondmay2136 Жыл бұрын
Otte deletes all messages he does not like. Read these comments knowing that!
@jamesfrench4337
@jamesfrench4337 Жыл бұрын
I appreciate the point about desperation leading to risky strategies as a way to warn that the Russians might do something that is high risk/high reward. I would like to point out that when the US stopped exporting to Japan, it was a punitive strategy to try to convince the Japanese to stop their efforts to secure Manchuria and China. The Japanese war in China was an incredible shit show of unimaginable brutality. Yes, the US did create a desperate Japan, but only after the Japanese decided to secure an empire by force using imported goods to fuel it's war machine.
@chriswong9158
@chriswong9158 Жыл бұрын
How well Westerner understand WWII of the Japan v China, wish it be told again to Japan of the acts done that Chinese has not forgotten nor forgiven for now Japan wishes to sign another Tripartite Pact. For this time, hell is coming.
@murimurimrui
@murimurimrui Жыл бұрын
Who was the one who taught that? Who taught japan that imperalism is the only way they will have peace? The US did with their gunboat diplomacy. If that US has well left the japanese alone, they would have not been driven to the path of creating an empire like the US did with their own monroe doctrine. And the Americans are also a bunch of hypocrites. When they expanded westwards (manifest destiny) to create their western hegemony, they brutalized the american indians along the way.
@andrewareva4605
@andrewareva4605 Жыл бұрын
Where is thr Q and A?
@gela9649
@gela9649 Жыл бұрын
Where is part two of this discussion?
@g.k.1213
@g.k.1213 Жыл бұрын
Excellent analysis.
@runswithbears3517
@runswithbears3517 Жыл бұрын
Mearsheimer is not just right, but he's a true hero for delivering the painful truth in an era where delusion is king. My hats off to you, John Mearsheimer.
@philosoraptorsalgoodman3072
@philosoraptorsalgoodman3072 Жыл бұрын
He literally predicted this stupidity caused war 8 years ago! And those powerful men/women in DC won't listen to a single word come out of his mouth but chant their high moral hypocrisy. They are ignoring civilians in Ukraine by sending just enough weaponry to irritate Russia, making Ukraine more miserable! Zenlensky plays victim cards and begs Western countries to be the saviors! How come he led the country into such a bad situation? I highly doubt a bunch of warmongers hijacks him.
@AmisCorolla
@AmisCorolla Жыл бұрын
Can we hear the Q&A ?
@HansFranzHorst
@HansFranzHorst Жыл бұрын
Vielen Dank! Großartiges Format!
@rdbchase
@rdbchase Жыл бұрын
It's more than a little late, but what would have happened had Ukraine moved towards democracy, but renounced joining NATO, accorded Russian-speakers full respect of their language and culture, and offered demilitarization of Crimea and the Russian-majority east in exchange for Russian recognition of their sovereignty?
@ApolloBeatzOfficial
@ApolloBeatzOfficial Жыл бұрын
Exactly that is what Cocraine f@...ked up! Russia respected their sovereignty for all these years, since the fall of the Soviet Union, until the bloody and illegal government coup of 2014 took place, and then it took Crimea that was all the time autonomous from Kiev and wanted to be part of Russia since it's first referendum in 1991. But that wasn't enough for them, they thought that bombing their own regions that wanted an autonomy aswell, and force them by that nice action to stay under Kiev's control, was a good idea! The outcome we see right now! So the answer is obvious, they just f@...ked it up, with the support of US. There is no Ukraine anymore! One third of it's lands are bought up and in hands of US globalists. The totally corrupt country can't and won't be able to ever pay it's debts back, so it's basically bankrupt, but ok, it still would be kept alive by the western masters, as the enslaved population would sill be good for something. And the regions with the most natural resources and hard working people, are actually in the eastern part and are mostly russian. And you can guess it by yourself if these regions will ever want to live in Cocraine after they were bombed and terrorised for long 8 years by the illegal nazi-regime in Kiev. Easy thing The rest of the bandera Cocraine you got there, the western part, has not as much of natural resources and heavy industry that feeds a whole country and it's GDP. Instead, they sell everything they can, their land, their woods, that were under constitutional protection before the illegal nazi-regime, till they have nothing more to sell. Ukraine? It's no more than just a joke!
@mnoorkhan
@mnoorkhan Жыл бұрын
Where is the question and answer video??
@michaelp.9123
@michaelp.9123 Жыл бұрын
Is there a transcript of this JM speech?
@TomDore
@TomDore Жыл бұрын
there are subtitles; you can export these.
@RaghuappuAppu
@RaghuappuAppu Жыл бұрын
I got lot respect on sir John measmaier
@rdbchase
@rdbchase Жыл бұрын
Mearsheimer's got some excellent points, but he's also fairly repetitious. His statement that he learned about Japanese motivation to attack Pearl Harbor "in the last twenty years" is damning -- that's incredibly late for an "international relations scholar" born in 1947! At the point that the US cut off exports of scrap metal and oil to Japan, ten years had passed since its seizure of Manchuria and four since the attack on the U.S.S. Panay and the Nanking Massacre.
@mojtabayousefi5184
@mojtabayousefi5184 Жыл бұрын
Where can i watch Q and A
@hadensonbuildingdesignandc4227
@hadensonbuildingdesignandc4227 Жыл бұрын
America used to have an effective State department focused on what was good for America. What happened ? Permanent state department budget reduction at the whim of the status quo. Why would they do that ?
@adamkallin5160
@adamkallin5160 Жыл бұрын
Even if one blames Putin for the war, there is no way western leaders didn’t know it was coming. Which makes the lack of military hardware preparation really weird.
@ronanrogers4127
@ronanrogers4127 Жыл бұрын
Not if you know the definition of arrogance and hubris
@RifetOkic
@RifetOkic Жыл бұрын
Off topic here… but does anyone know a good alternative to Z-Lib ?
@jomapiku2698
@jomapiku2698 Жыл бұрын
Where is Q&A video ?💁‍♂
@emmanuelperry569
@emmanuelperry569 Жыл бұрын
Is it possible to consider Putin an Occupier in Eastern Ukraine, where the majority of the people are ethnic Russians
@DonGonzalito
@DonGonzalito Жыл бұрын
He lost me at "welcome to the free world"
@tadchase4461
@tadchase4461 Жыл бұрын
JM likens the battle to WW1 and argues the Russian artillery quantitative advantage gives them the upper hand, but does it? Clearly the Ukrainians have a qualitative advantage which allows them to punch above their weight. I completely agree w JM inept western diplomatic strategy led to this war..
@c.g.jonesze9089
@c.g.jonesze9089 Жыл бұрын
I dont care we are in 21. Century. If People dont want to be On his side they have the right to want it.
@johndilivio2770
@johndilivio2770 Жыл бұрын
He should run for president
@dejabu24
@dejabu24 11 ай бұрын
Germany lost its independence in 1945 , like most of Europe , we just don't know it or like John said we love to think we still are
@byzantineemperor6459
@byzantineemperor6459 Жыл бұрын
48:11 and onward: It was definitely not foolish from the US businessmen and politicians point of view: if there was no war, Russia would make stronger connections with the EU and the EU would become russian ally, not more american. Imagine a economical (succeded by military) block from Atlantic till Pacific ocean - a peer competitor to the US. They had to provoke this war. And the war is horrible for the random people - the polititians and businessmen don't give a shit - it's during the entire human history.
@thomasbentele2468
@thomasbentele2468 Жыл бұрын
Werden die Q&A, zumindest die Antworten auch noch hier eingestellt?
@moebius3874
@moebius3874 Жыл бұрын
I really appreciate discussions like this one, it significates we are still open and liberal, with regard to what they tried to tell us I completely disagree.
@MrNoobophile
@MrNoobophile Жыл бұрын
1:14:01 I also agree that Merkle's intention with Minsk was to make it work, but the Ukrainian government had no control over the radical Nazi that were happy to continue bombing Donbass and wasn't willing to step in with force to stop them, and probably not capable of doing so since they were stronger than the general Ukrainian army. None the less, we need to take her at her word which destroys all future trust in any agreement happening.
@trump2016
@trump2016 Жыл бұрын
you come with HARM missiles from F-16s, you come with HIMARS and drones, and the ukrainians will keep pounding Russian troop concentrations, so Russia can not win here and sooner or later will quit because they run out of motivation.
@NameRiioz
@NameRiioz Жыл бұрын
This is not a movie theater where you can get out of your chair and leave without consequences. Those consequences for Russia are much worse now than in early 2022, so this is extra motivation.
@Nietzscheable
@Nietzscheable Жыл бұрын
Prof Mearsheimer, again the voice of reason and understanding in a West gone Mad. If only American "media" Would have him on? But that would ruin the Propaganda of the Right & Left who are both on this Ukraine madness together.
@davis7352
@davis7352 Жыл бұрын
Very insightful speech, great listen. However, I slightly disagree with who the fault lies (if anyone disagrees, id love to hear your reasoning below) Yes, the west is to blame for trying to turn Ukraine into a NATO country. Especially considering the US freaks out whenever China/Russia tried to set up bases in Cuba or wherever. However, at the end of the day, Russia is the one who chose to conduct a full invasion, and as a country, is the one who is directly responsible for the lose of lives on both parts. Sure the West was being difficult, but they never were the ones to initiate any contact. PS i wont defend the US here, just stating my opinion. Honestly this conflict is the School Bully vs the Overprivileged Trust Fund Douchebag. I hate both sides very much lol
@ApolloBeatzOfficial
@ApolloBeatzOfficial 11 ай бұрын
No, I don't see that like you and disagree. I am russian, but grew up in Germany, speak fluently German and English, so basically I can take a neutral position. But not in that case where I got a whole lot more details and knowledge about my country and Ukraine since the fall of the USSR. But you don't have to know all that deep. You can study the Ukraine since the ilegal and bloody Maydan coup in 2014 and see all the crimes the new nazi regime made in it's own country, including bombing and terrorising civilians in Donbass and Lughansk regions. Russia tried to solve that conflict diplomaticaly for 8 long years, while the people of Donbass were praying for Russia to help them. In the Minsk agreements participated Germany and France, but Angela Merkel confessed last year that they weren't interested in solving that problem there already was, but just to give time for the nazi regime to prepare and get stronger for a conflict with Russia. Her statement wasn't mass spread in the western media, but still you can google it. So here you go, you can openly and officially blame Germany and France for bringing that conflict to the escalation, where Scholz continues escalation with playing dangerous games with Moldova, where part of it wants to be allies with Russia. But all that is just because they are no more then US bitches, and do it in the interests of US, and the globalists who stand behind the US government. But in the end, all they are suffering more then gaining something out of that situation.
@motionpotionsauce
@motionpotionsauce 11 ай бұрын
@@ApolloBeatzOfficial (This is original poster on my other account, same person) thanks for your response. Since I have posted this initial comment 2 months ago, I learend much much more about the recent history of Ukraine. Its funny how the media never mentions the 2014 revolution, the Minsk agreement, or anything like that. In 2 months i have almost completely changed my stance on the conflict, closer to what you mentioned in detail. So i agree much more with you now
@ApolloBeatzOfficial
@ApolloBeatzOfficial 11 ай бұрын
​@@motionpotionsauce Thank you too for your response. It's refreshing to have a normal conversation with people from the west, while my german classmates and friends can't talk with me on that subject that openly. However, you mentioned that western media doesn't tell much about the bloody Maidan coup in 2014. I can give you a link to a KZfaq video where a german professor tries to position these illegal bloody crimes as the best thing that happened in Europe since the French revolution. I am aware of that some western Ukrainians were happy about that coup, and the new regime, where they could openly revive bandera and nazi ideology. But exactly that brought Ukraine to split apart. Some regions asked after the coup for autonomy from Kiew, like Crimea already was since 1991-1992... But the new illegal president didn't spend a lot of time in negotiations and dialogs, but started his war campaign against these regions! He bombed and terrorized the civilians with his Azov nazi regiments. And it was all clear to anyone who started that armed conflict, it was Poroshenko, but he didn't have an excuse for he's crimes on civilians to the rest of the world, and call them terrorists. Well, until the shooting down of MH17 over Donbass. Poroshenko was the first one to happily call the people of Donbass and Lughansk as terrorists, already within an hour after the tragedy. Kinda suspicious, that the only one who did benefit from that crash was Poroshenko only. I don't know exactly the real case, who did it. But once is for sure, if Donbass army did it, than by mistake. But even that makes no sense, when you saw that they greatly helped the european authorities to get to the crash site and take all the debris, without any hindering. It was totally the other way around, they helped the europeans and secured the region as much as they could from shelling from the Ukrainian side. That's not a behavior of guilty ones or terrorists, so much as I know. However, Poroshenko from then on just called them terrorists, to divert the attention of the real nazi terrorists and justify the war crimes they together did. I mean he had a wonderfully great idea to let these regions stay with Ukraine... by bombing them and do all war crimes on civilians these stupid nazi bastards can do.... It's sarcasm of course, but all that way till 2022 we russians didn't do anything about it. We just saw how the people of Donbass suffered. I personally had an ex-girlfriend from Donbass, but we couldn't do anything to help them over there, back then. But now, all that is the reason why most russians, and me aswell, do support the invasion of Ukraine. Many russians go as volunteers to the front lines, aswell as many Cossacks out of my region I live, in south Russia. But I don't ask anybody to take my or russian side. It's just the case, where people like me will do all possible to stop that shit happen on our people and our brothers again
@motionpotionsauce
@motionpotionsauce 11 ай бұрын
@@ApolloBeatzOfficial thanks for the info. yeah like i said, every ounce of what you said is completely unheard of in the US. Americans are the single most propagandized country on the planet. every day i see more and more how we are lied to on a daily basis. every part of US politics is a lie or deception to continue the Rotten, evil US empire
@johnstrawb3521
@johnstrawb3521 Жыл бұрын
When he refers to a 'frozen conflict,' it would be interesting to hear John elaborate. How does Ukraine accomplish this when Russia is abundantly capable, by his own account, of pushing Ukrainians entire into Poland and surrounding nations? It would seem to require massive NATO ground forces east of the Dnipro River OR that Russia is unwilling to take and hold the entire country and voluntarily stops at, say, the Dnipro, and bets it can manage (or simply sees this as the best of numerous unpleasant alternatives) a low-level conflict where Ukraine conducts a protracted guerilla war; a problem to be sure, but not an intractable one for Russia, particularly with the Dnipro to the south wide enough to discourage guerilla work and Crimea with its natural protection, the Black Sea. // As for 51:10, it's impossible to see the U.S.'s lunatic aims in Ukraine and as regards Russia as other than a kind of fervent death wish. When rationale analysis concludes that if you get what you want (some or all of Russia out of Ukraine, Russia smashed, Putin tried and executed) or seem likely to achieve those ends, and the chance of nuclear weapons use by Russia therewith soars, then your aims are a madness, self-destructive in the literal extreme. The 'best' case as you, the West, close on realizing your aims might be tactical nuclear weapons used against Ukrainian forces on the verge of entering Crimea, say, and particularly in light of Ukraine's stated aim of assassinating Putin, perhaps against a half dozen key depots and headquarters housing Ukraine's government, effectively decapitating it. I don't doubt current U.S. leadership will be as indifferent to this as they've been to Ukraine's ongoing destruction throughout their proxy war, but that still leaves the problem of decelerating a war gone nuclear. I know John believes that NATO would work to immediately end the conflict should it go nuclear, but NATO may not have a say. Only the U.S. does, finally, and the U.S. may be perfectly willing to accept the risk of a further nuclear exchange if it means Moscow is involved, under the weak assumption that the conflict will remain confined to the continent.
@les07derEroberer
@les07derEroberer Жыл бұрын
honestly I'd like to debate him. I don't think he'd stand a chance.
@teknox3454
@teknox3454 Жыл бұрын
What ar about Kosovo and Serbia issues? Are these issuse have something common to Russia-Ukraine? Maby it is an issue of religion, which is common for Serbia and Russia? And West Ukraine is more about Catholic?
@PRLcafe
@PRLcafe Жыл бұрын
Regards from Poland. John Mearsheimer, please visit Warsaw. Kindly talk to current government ( ps opposition is same). Ty. Ps. Kaszubek most sexy.
@therealriedl2977
@therealriedl2977 Жыл бұрын
Sinnloskommentar für die Reichweite, denn diese geniale Runde hats verdient.
@shownee1
@shownee1 Жыл бұрын
US Sleepwalking into hell, and it started 350 years ago .
@Avarnus
@Avarnus Жыл бұрын
Didn't American also use roughly 200,000 soldiers to invade and occupy Iraq? I think Putin using 200,000 soldiers is a sensible number to invade and occupy if intel about weakening Ukraine government and Ukraine will welcome Russia are correct. US has its agenda but it is also Putin fault for losing all the Neighbour trust. Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Hungary , Estonia, Latvia , Lithuania, Finland and now Swedeen. If US lost its allied like Canada, Mexico, UK, France, we will surely blame US on that. So it is failure on Putin as a Russian leader to build good relationship with former friendly states.
@posmoo9790
@posmoo9790 Жыл бұрын
This is wrong. America had 127k combat troops, that is troops in combat units in the 2003 invasion. the total force including support personnel was closer to 500k. and this famously wasn't near enough to garrison iraq. in 2022 Russia had close to 190,000 total soldiers (including support) near the borders with Ukraine, but the CIA said specifically they had just 70 BTGs, battalion tactical groups, and when those BTGS are fully establish they have 800 men. so 56,000 combat troops. so America attacked Iraq with over 2 times the combat troops with complete air supremacy they could even fly chopper close support missions and even then it wasn't enough they had to bring in many more people to garrison the place. And Ukraine was twice the size and 250% of the Iraqs population. Plus they had the 3rd best AD system in the world, america had trained every single officer to nato standards, and they had the best ISR in the world. You can look all this up on the order of battles. This is the 2003 invasion OOB: 1st Marine Division (reinforced)[2] 20k 1st (UK) Armoured Division[2] 16k V Corps (LTG Wallace) 3rd Infantry Division (Mech)[2] 12k US 101st Airborne Division 12k 82nd Airborne Division[2] 16k 4th Infantry Division (Mech) 12k Corps Asset[2] 18k Combined Joint Special Operations Task Force-North (TF Viking)[3] 11k Combined Joint Special Operations Task Force-West (TF Dagger) 10k 127k total Here was Russia's 2022 order of battle using the CIA's most aggressive estimates: Southwestern Belarus estimated strength of 6-7 battalion tactical groups Southeastern Belarus grouping (Kyiv offensive direction): estimated strength of 7-9 battalion tactical groups Bryansk grouping (Chernihiv offensive direction): estimated strength of 3 battalion tactical groups Kursk - Belgorod grouping (Sumy offensive direction): estimated strength of 4 battalion tactical groups Voronezh grouping (Kharkiv offensive direction): estimated strength of 13-14 battalion tactical groups Smolensk grouping (operational reserve of the northern front): estimated strength of 6-7 battalion tactical groups Rostov grouping (Donbas and eastern Sea of Azov offensive direction): estimated strength of 6 battalion tactical groups Crimea grouping (southern Ukraine offensive direction): estimated strength of up to 13 battalion tactical groups Kuban grouping (operational reserve of the southern front): estimated strength of 6 battalion tactical groups The truth is Russia barely brought enough men to take Kiev. Nevermind everything else. Their goal was to bring Ukraine back to the negotiating table, which they did, according not natali bennet. They had the basis for an agreement struck.
@Avarnus
@Avarnus Жыл бұрын
@@posmoo9790 What do you mean by bringing back to negotiating table? When you bring roughly 200,000 soldiers, invade the countries and try to capture Kyiv and Kharkiv and to capture or make president flee, that is NOT "bringing to negotiating table". "Bringing to negotiating table" supported to be showing the force from border and threating to come or face invasion. Also, Ukraine does NOT have 3rd best Air defense in the world. Ukraine sky are so open that Russia have been striking every 48 hours with drone and missile for many months now. Ukraine doesn't even have s-400. Russia lack of air superiority is solely due to failure to destroy anti-air and failure to capture Ukraine airport in initial phase of the war. Regardless how you spin it, it is a failed invasion because of Russian underestimation of Ukraine resistance. It is not bring to table for negotiating lol.
@posmoo9790
@posmoo9790 Жыл бұрын
​@@Avarnus everything you said was dumb
@wyz9815
@wyz9815 Жыл бұрын
@@posmoo9790 very informative, facts talk 👍
@zx7siovia213
@zx7siovia213 Жыл бұрын
Gotta admit, German hotties are good, and better yet we get to see John
@kisscola
@kisscola Жыл бұрын
Jasmin extrem souverän.
@krzysztofnowak4539
@krzysztofnowak4539 Жыл бұрын
Mearsheimer has so much understanding for Putin grabbing somebody else's land, that he should hand over to Putin e.g. Alaska...this would surly deescalate the tension ....and Putin lovers would be drunk with enthusiasm
@janklaas6885
@janklaas6885 Жыл бұрын
📍53:56
@kylewatson5133
@kylewatson5133 Жыл бұрын
It just goes to show, we're not yet a socialist country - this person would be gagged and bagged but we're headed there! Give it ten years and this guy is going to end up at the bottom of the ocean.
@walhdamaskus2408
@walhdamaskus2408 Жыл бұрын
Welcome to free world???? So what is the problem for american when people dont think like them and do what they wants?
@jayakumarkaarikuzhy4713
@jayakumarkaarikuzhy4713 Жыл бұрын
We are blessed to have some great minds on social media as against 'retarded minds' on TV channels. I had wished and expected that if these brilliant minds ,including Prof. John Mearsheimer, were advisors of Ukrainian and Russian Presidents we could have averted this bloody war, dispersal and saved the lives of hundreds of thousands of people and their properties. Gracias Prof. John for the insightful lecture.
@darthbigred22
@darthbigred22 Жыл бұрын
In retrospect we allowed far too many lefties to teach the Germans post WW2. Castrating them culturally was a mistake, brow beating them forever was a mistake (as it was in the Southern US about the Confederacy), because I know Biden is a little too willing to drag us into WW3 and it'd be real nice if Germany, France, and UK were back to at least their Cold War military sizes. The biggest mistake we made was making all these alliances with these tiny countries. Israel and Ukraine have too much interest in trying to drag us into their conflicts. Plus to be honest what is occurring now is Europe is evil. Europeans fought for centuries not to end up under a Muslim anything and that should NEVER occur in Europe. If that means the WEF crowd has to go then I'd rather see a few crazy rich people dead than eating bugs for their entertainment all while they try to replace us with more docile (I mean politically) minorities. The upside of all of this is maybe those oligarch tyrants controlling the West are finally overthrown.
@colinroach7815
@colinroach7815 Жыл бұрын
Pro. Mearsheimer is holding it down dolo (solo), in the absense of his equal, Pro. Stephen Cohen, no one can test them on this subject.
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