The fact that you have A) shared all your knowledge of this market, B) put together a brilliantly structured and delivered video, and C) all for free, is incredible and you deserve huge thanks for taking the time to do this. I am massively impressed and grateful for your efforts!
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Ben, hopefully people find some value out of it
@kek73202 жыл бұрын
⁵huha
@felipeantenorferreira59149 ай бұрын
Good afternoon, God, forgive the inconvenience again, but how much more or less profit can you get in the month working with this under 2.5 goals method?
@TdonC2 жыл бұрын
This is just simply brilliant, the time and effort that has gone into this presentation is second to none. Fantastic effort.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Joe! Really appreciate the feedback
@Win-xl7no2 жыл бұрын
I stumbled across your channel last night and am slowly going thru all your content. I've watched a lot of trading stuff over the last few years but this i will say is BY FAR the most informative and well presented ive seen. I'm personally surprised that Peter Webb at Bet Angel or other similar companies haven't been in touch to get you on board. You explain everything so clearly it's genuinely a breath of fresh air to see. Thanks for such a cracking video.
@christillyer37258 ай бұрын
The best under 2.5 goals video I've seen. Most teach you nothing. This is the opposite. Brilliant.
@chrisgamble91792 жыл бұрын
Taking one of the most popular strategies with numerous other available video/written content is not easy. I have to say the info in this video is excellent. Great insight and thought has clearly gone into this. A lengthy video but well worth watching it all. Well done mate!
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Chris, I appreciate the support and glad you enjoyed it
@jimmynich479111 ай бұрын
Im glad he said theres no follow and forget stratergy, experience & research are key for any stratergy working.
@davidfox29162 жыл бұрын
Very comprehensive breakdown - much appreciated! I’m on the hunt for those slow starting games now 👌🏻
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Great to hear David!
@mudk3997 Жыл бұрын
Great work man. Amazing Explanation. This channel is so underrated!! Well done.
@phoenixstudios7520 Жыл бұрын
I have watched tons of videos about betfair strategies and yours are, without a doubt, the best I have seen. Great work, thank you very much!
@ak-one2307 Жыл бұрын
Kie thank you for for clarifying many issues I used to have before watching this video. It's simply brilliant you are the best. Good luck in your future trades.
@paulwilkinson56562 жыл бұрын
Superb, You've inspired me to have a fresh look at the U2.5 market. Keep the videos coming. Thank you.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the kind comments Paul
@michaelstringfellow2 жыл бұрын
Fantastic Kie. Each video is better than the last, and they're all superb.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Michael, I'm still learning all the time, both as a trader and a video creator
@potblack79512 жыл бұрын
Excellent..most comprehensive video I’ve seen on the U 2.5 market..very well explained..great work!
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed...took a very long time to make
@SilverbackMattG Жыл бұрын
Never seen any of your videos I have experience in match betting but have never watched anything related on YT so not sure why this came up BUT This video is outstanding - the editing, time and effort is absolutely top drawer - followed immediately for content quality and delivery Tip of the hat sir 🎉
@steveburke2169 Жыл бұрын
excellent video. The strategies you're explaining is normally only given away by other trading instructors in their paid content. Good job mate!
@sg9524 Жыл бұрын
I've not tried this yet, but the way you've constructed and delivered this video is excellent, it all makes sense, amazing stuff! Important info for any new trader, and maybe much better traders that haven't tried this technique or football markets
@skymarshall737910 ай бұрын
Tried yet or not ?
@sg952410 ай бұрын
@@skymarshall7379 not yet, I'm concerned that the quantity of people using it will simply make it go low/no profit in the long term. I can let you know if I do try it though, the concept is excellent eh!
@dtay3452 жыл бұрын
Wow, what a great video! And certainly worth the time and effort you put in. The only thing I would add, is that before you open the trade, that you check the volume to ensure there is sufficient liquidity. I would suggest £10,000 + in matched bets.
@raulramirez18282 жыл бұрын
Hi David and thanks for your reply One question Wen I'm spouse to look for "volume" ? In Betangel ? I'm thinking to jump directly on betangel pro. I have little experience but I want to jump with both legs What is your opinion? Thanks in advance and excuse my grammar.
@Dori_-fl1ox Жыл бұрын
You can use also Betburger
@leejordan76202 жыл бұрын
Absolute Peach of a video presentation. Dissected the different elements of the strategy with an easy to follow breakdown. one of the best presentations i have seen on a single strategy and it just oozes Time & Effort which is what a trading journey involves.. well done young man!! Hat off to you.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the supportive feedback Lee. The video took a long time to research and make, I'm glad you enjoyed it!
@girishs1480 Жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett Can I get in touch with you mate ? may be on whatsapp or telegram or Facebook ?
@alexblank36422 жыл бұрын
Amazing video! Thank you for the hard work
@ashmeyer3734 Жыл бұрын
ON MY FIRST ATTEMPT. I GOT IT RIGHT SIR. THANKS FOR THE TIPS IN MATCH SELECTION PART
@alandallison69942 жыл бұрын
Well done Kie. Brilliant video explaining everything in detail from start to finish. A lot to take in so, will be watching the video a few times. Bets thing it's free, not like a lot of traders who want you to pay for this sort of information.....10/10
@jonriding3322 жыл бұрын
Great vid mate! 👏👏👌👍. Some nice tips! 👌
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed
@GalgoGB2 жыл бұрын
This video is a gem! Can't thank you enough. Bravo!!!
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thank you Carlos!
@cidershack25642 жыл бұрын
Really good well explained video. Well done Kie, thank you
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
I'm glad you enjoyed Cider!
@theBettorsClub11 ай бұрын
One of the best strategies seen here on youtube 👏👏👏
@dritanvarfi527410 ай бұрын
You should be a lecturer on these matters mate. Great tutorial, especially the structuring of the info. Thanks
@PauloOliveira-uf3yt2 жыл бұрын
Keep the good work mate. A big thanks for all the info your provide us.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed Paulo
@kenpaine47992 жыл бұрын
Very comprehensive. Many thanks for all the hard work.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Ken, really appreciate it!
@patrickkearney4352 Жыл бұрын
well done with your effort of brilliance if there was more people like you in the world we would be living heaven thank you
@juggikikabhai44452 жыл бұрын
thanks for this excellent upload
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it!
@becker8633 Жыл бұрын
really well spoken, thank you. u have another sub,
@tigerblack32642 жыл бұрын
you beating alex ong real nice and on point where alex is trying to be too cute and thinking too much of how he looks and sounds when does the hard work :)) bet angel is a dark picture to me still . where to get the tracking sheet?
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
My tracking sheets are available as a bonus for people who support the channel on Patreon.
@blacks3292 жыл бұрын
On point mate! 👍🏽
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@nicholasgoodwin10232 жыл бұрын
Thanks kie, great video
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
You're welcome Nicholas, glad you enjoyed!
@andrewturner23542 жыл бұрын
There is one thing you always have to remember (which will also help you deal with losses.) The probabilities are NOT pure maths like they are with poker or dice. They are a representation of the OPINION of everyone with skin in the game. There are always outside variables involved which can GREATLY affect the outcome. Anything from red cards to an intimidating crowd. Just keep that in mind. Not pure probability but opinion.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Apparently in the long term the odds are a pretty good reflection of probability of a given event taking place. If a red card occurs the odds will correct to take into account this new information
@JamesofQPR Жыл бұрын
Very good words. .thanks!
@Michalina-ij3jq Жыл бұрын
I HAVE A GUY HE IS NOT GOOD HE IS A VERY VERY GOOD AND THANK TO GOD FOR THIS GUY I'M PLAYING LAST 9 MONTHS TOTAL MATCH PLAYED 32 AND PASSED 27 AND LOSS 5 MATCHES ODD ARE ABOVE 5+ ALL FULL FILED IN MY LIFE NO NEED MORE I'M ENJOYING BUT STILL PLAYING IN SMALL AMOUNT FOR ENJOYMENT PERPOSE THANK YOU
@Andre_NS2 жыл бұрын
Thanks my friend. Hug from Portugal 🇵🇹
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
You're very welcome André!
@paulbowman1762 Жыл бұрын
Well Delivered mate !
@rabbymayasi711 Жыл бұрын
bro u are pro man , keep up the great work and thanks for the sites
@ojmonkkx Жыл бұрын
Thanks kie ! You a real one ☝️💯🙏🏾🙌🏾
@stevekent39912 жыл бұрын
An alternative entry point is after the first goal, especially if it’s an early goal. If you have faith in your prematch research on match selection then this entry point can be very profitable.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Hi Steve, There are obviously many different variations you can use for many strategies. This isn't something I've tried myself yet though!
@DembeleSiriki-tj3rc Жыл бұрын
Nombre de Matches : 2 Premièr : Lundi 12 Juin 18:30 Dernier : Lundi 12 Juin 18:30 Combinaison de Cotes : 7,8 Montant à payer : 5 Gain potentiel max : 39 1. 1352 Deportivo Merlo - CD Urquiza 12/06/2023 18:30 Résultat Final (X) 2.6 2. 1353 AD Berazategui - Victoriano Arenas 12/06/2023 18:30 Résultat Final (X) 3
@stuartwallace78412 жыл бұрын
Fantastic vid
@MikeLee-272 жыл бұрын
You are a good guy, fair play !
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thank you!
@nonleague86132 жыл бұрын
A very good and insightful video but I would like to add that you need to take into account recent form from both teams along with team news. For example Tottenham without Kane is much weaker than when he is playing and this will factor into the odds. Let's say a team has played 10 games at home this season, their form could be drastically different than their form over the last 3-5 games. You need to find a way to factor in both of these elements to find yourself with a far more accurate probability of the expected outcome.
@revpitty001 Жыл бұрын
great content, you the man
@oswaldo64942 ай бұрын
Amazing!! Thanks
@jgoldgaming9944 Жыл бұрын
this is amazing thanks
@GjeOlsen-b7z5 күн бұрын
Interesting video. May I humbly ask if there is a possiblefallacy in your basic argument? Your key point is that the odds in the start of the match can’t represent the real probability of 2.5 goals during the whole match, and at the same time reflect the fact that the probability of a goal is greater in the second half than in the beginning of the match. Hence, we can systematicly gain profit from backing on kick-off and laying after the first 15-25 minutes. But isn’t this «2. half effect» included in the live odds for laying bets, every minute og the game? Isn’t what you call «market stalling» exactly the manifistation of that effect? During 1000 games, the stalling will exactly null the profit of your strategy, and leave you with negative EV due to fees?
@andybarry5315 Жыл бұрын
Noice vid....so do i have to become a patreon to download that tracker we saw at the end?
@jacobcarline4351 Жыл бұрын
Made for Quality Television!! Your study offered an idea to come up with nearly certain bets and place them the same with your software. By the way, what software are you on?
@ccandeias19 ай бұрын
Very good. And... In where I live I can't even open a Betfair account because Portugal doesn't permit to play on exchange bets...
@Clampers2 жыл бұрын
Brilliant video Kie. I am coming up too the end of the second month with this strategy, after watching your earlier videos, and I have only been using nominal £2 stakes and I am averaging over 60% so I will use £10stakes next month. Maybe you can do a video on what sort of market liquidity you should be looking at for higher stake’s. I wouldn’t mind giving your Pateron a try but I would need to know that there would be other market stratergies that you and your members use?
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Hi Lenny, the Patreon is in its infancy at this moment in time and still growing, so feel free too hold off until the content/group is more developed.
@ryaneyo94112 жыл бұрын
Boss video mate. Will try to follow this start. Opened my eyes a bit tbh. Would like to ask what do you do at the start of the season Do you wait for teams to settle after a couple of games or do you use last seasons stats
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
I do trade at the start of the season, but I am usually trading in play based on what I see rather than using stats (because there is no reliable data to use). I do keep in mind long term historical data for example, long term averages for number of goals in the first and second halves.
@ryaneyo94112 жыл бұрын
Ok thanks been playing (Losing 🥴) with very small stakes. Just seeing how the market goes. I mean been shit matches but just wanted to look. Have you looked into betting on goal line 2.0 for a little bit of insurance Or would odds it make it not worthwhile. And presumably need to stay in the under 2.5 alot longer
@ehsanmirzai10742 ай бұрын
I really like this strategy but can you make a video where you put this method in practice. Thanks
@bettingmich7506 Жыл бұрын
You should have more subscribers and views! Keep it coming! :)
@snezanstojcevic27002 жыл бұрын
ty dude! I must try!
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
I wish you good luck!
@petergcda9645 Жыл бұрын
When you say cash out straight away in the event of an early goal you need to allow a couple of minutes for the market to stabilise first or else you will be cashing out at a very unfavourable price. Furthermore, offering a price might be better than using the cash out function.
@KieMillett Жыл бұрын
Good point Peter, this is what I did mean in the video, I just didn't word it very well. If you are tracking the under 1.5 goal market then you should have a reasonable idea of what are sensible odds to cash out at once the market unsuspends.
@felipeantenorferreira59149 ай бұрын
The last question is that you only work on teams in the league that have a goal percentage above the league, thank you in advance and thank you for your teachings!
@lekkermanja10 ай бұрын
thank you for your tutorial two points when do you do the multiple exit do you do that when you put the trade in the market ,please clarify second point is your 4 x increments for exit lay bets or back bets please clarify
@stoic12392 жыл бұрын
Thank you
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@luishernandocifuentesosori6894 Жыл бұрын
Muy buena tu estrategia saludos desde Colombia
@mathewoseermako7250 Жыл бұрын
Bro thanks so much about for this videoLove ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
@rainbowuploader893618 күн бұрын
Wait so you place a single bett but a multi exit point is recomended? Could someone please explain to me how you do that?
@abelkongoli897726 күн бұрын
You are #1
@105310892 жыл бұрын
Superb analysis, thank you
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Dean!
@amitagarwal79972 жыл бұрын
brilliant video.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed, Amit!
@josephnimyel7706 Жыл бұрын
Epic video ,,, have t stopped watching in like 2 hours ,, I’m on my third video 😅 ,, thank you
@dorianih2786 Жыл бұрын
I m using this kind of strategy, and is working brilliant but i m doing a bit different. I m not making huge profits but every month i m on plus. I m gonna tell you how i m doing with a simple example is a match today Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz .On Under 3.5 goals the odd is 2.37 i m getting this odd before match is starting and after 15 min usually when is 0-0 the odd for over 3.5 is 2.30 i m getting again. So i ve got a profit between 30£-37£ per game.
@telephonehelpline2 жыл бұрын
Try this back u2.5 three ticks higher than now about 30 mins before ko. if matched lay 2 ticks below in play, out at 5 ticks prof to use later in the match.
@sevoo157918 күн бұрын
génial merci
@redwhite694910 ай бұрын
Something I want to clarify: when you talk about laying bets in this strategy, you mean cashing out, not a separate lay bet, am I right?
@tlaf4367 Жыл бұрын
Great video
@christillyer37255 ай бұрын
Kie, can you help. in this video at 35min & 27 seconds which website is this screen shot from please. Thanks.
@jkalegro5958 Жыл бұрын
Hello, good video! Does this work in Unibet?
@Rasmus982 жыл бұрын
Hi Kie! Love your videos but I’m mainly here because of the statistics and stuff. Do you have any other models/statistics you use to predict results/outcomes of a game?
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Hi, I'm not currently using any models other than the things I have touched on throughout my videos
@strumbadstroller73502 жыл бұрын
Personally, I wait a couple of minutes after KO to see how the pace of the game is. If slow, I'm in, fast, I don't trade it. Good video though.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the feedback, this is what I find myself doing more frequently recently
@nicholasscott18672 жыл бұрын
Hi Kie, good vid. I assume footy stats is the paid version?
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Hi Nicholas, I am currently signed up to the free version of FootyStats. I have considering signing up to premium to get access to the raw data for goal times so I can put this data into my spreadsheets, however this is something I haven't tried yet.
@YaNykyta12 күн бұрын
Not bad at all!
@felipeantenorferreira59149 ай бұрын
Good afternoon, I really liked the method, I'm going to test it but I have a question, I don't work with software so I wanted to know if I can make multipoint outputs on my cell phone, in fact I didn't really understand how to do it, for example I divide my stake into 4 parts and 6 in 6 minutes I make an entry and remove the previous entry and that, can you explain to me how I make these multipoint entries?
@acmarston7 ай бұрын
What's the trading software you're using?
@soba3362 жыл бұрын
Appreciate the Video! I cant use Betfair in Germany do you know another exchange that allows me to use this Strategy?
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Sadly I'm not familiar with which exchanges work in each country
@nicoladefontetipster9542 жыл бұрын
Hello Kie, Do you ever heard about goaltraders platform? Do you have any contact for commercial proposal? Your videos are really great stuff!
@Roy-no6hj2 жыл бұрын
Hey, thanks so much for this video. This video helped me a lot to get on with this kind of strategy. Could you tell me your winning rate of let's say round about 100 trades. Iam asking because I took quite a high loss in the Aston Villa game tonight (40%) and especially at games with an odd round about@2 the profit is only 15% after 20 minutes. This fact makes me believe that I need a real high winning rate, or? Thanks for your help and keep the good work going on. Regards from Germany.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
Hi Roy, I'm glad you enjoyed the video. Like I said in my reply to Grace's comment my winning strike rate is difficult to calculate at the minute because I made a mistake when tracking results. I do plan to make a video in a few months to see how profitable the strategy is. I hope this has helped
@MREYEFLIRT16 күн бұрын
90 minutes and under 2.5 goals, what's the odds could be from and between?
@JohnVDenley9 ай бұрын
Is there any way to automate a cash out on a loss?
@QualiteeY Жыл бұрын
How do you count out the precentage of a game with under 2.5 goals? at 3.16 into the video? :D
@DusanOravectravelandearn Жыл бұрын
hi, what about trade 0-0 for net profit for example 200 percent in high scoring matches?
@fredbloggs84362 жыл бұрын
Three months in so how many bets and ROI thanks.
@darraghmoran7402 жыл бұрын
Can the odds accurately reflect true probability and the higher likelihood of later goals by starting at the right number and decaying slowly to begin with and then accelerating? This seems to be the most efficient way for the market to behave to eliminate any edge.
@KieMillett2 жыл бұрын
From my personal experience I find that this often doesn't happen. It can happen of course, and my personal approach here is to cash out of these markets and move on to the next one. Usually, though if few chances are being created in the game, I find that the odds will come in at a normal rate.
@darraghmoran7402 жыл бұрын
@@KieMillett nice one mate. Looking forward to implementing what I’ve learned. What sort of stuff is on your patreon?
@wongonn7519 Жыл бұрын
Under 2.5 goals strategy before starting game the odd I need to prefer is what odd?
@BennySantana5012 жыл бұрын
Betfair have recently cut the minimum bet size down from £2 to £1, which is great.
@KieMillett Жыл бұрын
I agree this is fantastic!
@Dori_-fl1ox Жыл бұрын
Nice job . You are really very sistematic traider .Hope we meet one time 👌
@JonParry-zf4hy Жыл бұрын
Hi Kie..which website did you use for the screenshot of the time of the goals in previous games please. Thanks
@KieMillett Жыл бұрын
It's called Footystats
@jamesgeorge7394 Жыл бұрын
Interesting
@mosener9370 Жыл бұрын
I have played over 2.5 goals for the last 11 years and even games that should have goals finished unders. From my betfair account i can see im down by 97k. When i try under 2.5 i lose on that as well. Where am i going wrong nearly 100k loss please help. Thank you
@nikolaradosavljevic7717 Жыл бұрын
Where you find thats match stats and graph ? at 2:44