Under/Over Football Betting Strategy to Win Repeatedly

Under/Over Football Betting Strategy to Win Repeatedly - Football Betting

Рет қаралды 869,273

Жыл бұрын

Here I reveal an Under/Over football betting strategy that mathematically wins repeatedly. See how and why in this video as the strategy is shared over a 30-day sample.
Simple advantage software: bit.ly/3r55vkb (OddsMonkey)
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Premier League betting strategies are rare, this video explains why. Taking value is the only way to win long term, although sportsbooks won't tolerate it for long!
This video explains a football betting strategy for informational purposes. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Always do your own due diligence. Some links within this description are affiliate links. If you click on one of them, I may receive a small commission.
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For more sports betting tips, subscribe to Caan Berry Pro Trader: / caanberry

Пікірлер: 640

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

See a follow-up video about football accumulators here: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/f8uporhl2rDZfYE.html

@UKisFK Жыл бұрын

Mate is a company called WHG (White Hate Gaming) they ban all gamblers on small spending special slot players they play on 20p 40p and they only keep high spenders, streamers they represent their casinos can bet £1000/£2000 in one spin in Roulette and do £10 to £40 a spin, but low stake slot players they get banned as problem gamblers.

@ezekielchinaegbomkpa3140 Жыл бұрын

Do you have a betting site or website

@princegarvey6634 Жыл бұрын

Bro create a vip sportbetting group ill pay to join

@TeorijaZavera Жыл бұрын

Open 1xbet

@tagbonwogu2683 Жыл бұрын

I want to ask, how do you easily scan the sportsbook to find these overpriced odds, scanning the entire market for these odds is time consuming.

@squareeyes9540 Жыл бұрын

This is a fantastic video. For a long time I always thought about how I could use low liquidity markets to my advantage, you may just have solved that! Looking forward to getting gubbed by the bookies now!

@victoreke8551 Жыл бұрын

I’ve seen a team H2H being 3-3, 3-1, 2-1 and I bet over 1.5 That day they played 1-0😂 The beautiful game!

@pushpakumarasubasinghe6548 Жыл бұрын

Me as well😂

@amanthegreat23 Жыл бұрын

The day I bet , match gets cancelled !

@brunolopes2205 Жыл бұрын

that isnt a great indicatior. You need to get bigger trends to justify an over /under bet. Check for that trend both home and away that specific season throughout the entire season. If the trend is good you should also check to see if it is still observed in the most recent matches (last 5 or so). Then check if the usual goal scorers are all playing (usually only possible for more popular leagues). Betting for consistent wins requires hours of chasing value.

@Full-Moon1 Жыл бұрын

Lol

@suleymanmuhammed4936 Жыл бұрын

@@amanthegreat23 😂😂

@tomdior93 Жыл бұрын

Even though the downside is sports books restrictions, it's great to see these videos where you actually find value bets and give a step by step guide....throwing money at rebel betting etc removes thinking for yourself . Best video yet in my opinion!

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Glad you enjoyed!

@lll.636 Жыл бұрын

What are the restrictions?

@bailey6143 Жыл бұрын

@@lll.636 I did this for nba player props, ladbrokes limited my stakes after about 2 months, PointsBet same

@bailey6143 Жыл бұрын

@@lll.636 went from betting around 100$ to 22.38 and they wouldn’t accept the rest. Dogs

@elyesgabsi1998 Жыл бұрын

I have not understood could u tell me what is the strategy?

@James-lq1po Жыл бұрын

Very nice Caan, heart sank when I realised you were using sportsbooks though haha.

@daxter224 Жыл бұрын

You could just leave an order in the exchange the price you see with the bookie. Okay, a chance it may not get filled if a game develops quickly, but it’s another potential angle. It would also allow full automation with software such as Fairbot or BF bot

@user-kr3lt7tu4r 9 ай бұрын

Great video, I like the way ou explain the content detailly. Is easy to understand and put into practice my everyone.

@tlawengmophosho4848 Жыл бұрын

I always thought you guys held back information on KZfaq, but this is gold.

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

See the new upload we just added too!

@wilfredtours3858 Жыл бұрын

For me I know very well how I win. Every day and big amounts and I'll start teaching my strategy soon

@roberthancox7616 Жыл бұрын

another well explained and presented video as you keep saying got to keep taking the value to profit over the long term

@MrMichaeljhinde Жыл бұрын

Always so sad to be reminded that ultimately there is no way to beat the bookies for more than a short window, unless you have the ability to grow an unlimited farm of pets :(

@catup8669 Жыл бұрын

I had rangers on a 15 game slip.only scored 1 goal,needed 2 on the match. Theres no way of knowing

@TheMerchantOfTruth Жыл бұрын

@@catup8669 Rangers 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

@kg7767 Жыл бұрын

There's only one way of beating the bookies............................................. do not give them any of your money

@MrAndrewFarrow Жыл бұрын

If I offered you 11/10 on the toss of a coin, would you take it? Even 21/20?

@ScottishGoldHunter Жыл бұрын

⁠Don’t agree at all. I have made profit from the bookies the last 3 years since I started properly started studying football. Not much but I was up £435, £800 then £250 last year and I am up £270 this year so far. As I said, it’s not much but well better than being down to the bookies and it can be done.

@TheBenchPressMan Жыл бұрын

This is fascinating to someone who’s studied statics and decision analysis. You are exploiting a long run market asymmetry between the real odds and the better value odds. It is endless also as the discrepancy is there and you bet when it’s in your favour, as you are always consistently getting better odds that’s the book maker who you are competing against. Basically you are both taking the same bet, but you are going in with the probability of you beating them higher than the other way around. So over the long run you will come out on top! This is great!

@Rdoyle01 Жыл бұрын

Thanks for the video mate👍 any chance in the future you could show a day showing all the bets you pick for examples ?

@norev143anciens6 Жыл бұрын

OK I might give that a go on some gubbed/stake restricted accounts with small stakes to see how I get on. Nice one. Time to get scrolling through the Algerian 2nd division ;-)

@jackinthebox6876 Жыл бұрын

Hello Caan, thanks for the video and strategy. What is the most common way to find the matches? Thank you

@adobe3910 Жыл бұрын

Love my weekly Caan Berry Monday morning vid 😂 Another good one sir

@LoversGrief 5 ай бұрын

I have a real problem understanding what he says. Hhahaha

@ronena2476 2 ай бұрын

Well he is British, all the Hollywood movies made us get use to American accent😂

@jacobharris5575 Ай бұрын

He speaks very clearly actually

@ZoroRorono-pq2iv Ай бұрын

He speaks very fast

@connormccluskey9602 Жыл бұрын

Any advice on how to find these opportunities? I'm finding it difficult to actually locate these on sportsbooks

@KamranKhan-lx9sc Жыл бұрын

I only bet on over 2.5 goals. This video helps a lot!

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Cool, glad it helped. We just added another that might be of interest.

@jamesndungu2741 Жыл бұрын

Help a brother

@justsomeone9267 Жыл бұрын

It's Harem for you Muslims to gamble, hope your mum don't find out & beat you.

@simulki7108 Жыл бұрын

Same. It is only a matter of goalkeeping bettint over/under 2.5. I’ve had games with extremely many shots on goal but it won’t simply score because their goalkeeper is a monster. I once was one game away from 1500 euro. Each team had 7 shots on goal with ZERO goals. My previous game the scoreboard was 2-2 after 35 min when both teams had each 2 shots on goal. I do not look at the odds because of this reason. I have won on over 2.5 goals where the odds were 2.90 but lost on odds 1.70 despite statistics. All.About.Goalkeeping. All.

@paulwaboso3945 3 ай бұрын

Yeh bruv thats the best market but they fix games alot so its getting harder to win

@mihajlobrankovic7039 Жыл бұрын

Great quality video

@roberthancox7616 Жыл бұрын

in your video you mentioned that you could set up alerts for this so i presume that there is software you use as a time saver for yourself since your obviously doing your daily betfair trading etc and videos so can you give us a clue as to what your using to do this cheers for all the time and effort you put in to do all your informative videos and content

@konstantinos3424 Жыл бұрын

Can you Tell us the software maybe?

@miguel-deep-soccer Жыл бұрын

Very interesting. Very cool channel

@sadayomax8681 Жыл бұрын

I love your videos you are soooooooo incredible brother

@malcolmwasher9915 Жыл бұрын

I love when bookies did 2 dollar favs in afl was easy to get a free bet

@wildcatchamp7354 Жыл бұрын

Good video, however when the exchange spreads are that wide, you can't automatically say the mid point is the correct price. It just doesn't work like that. If it was, say, 2.4 - 2.48, it would be reasonable to assume 2.44 is right. But when it's 2.3 - 2.6 with £2 traded than there's no way you can be sure 2.45 is the true one.

@jnxythemouse Жыл бұрын

Can you explain this shit in American odds 🤣

@shadowwarsshadypeople6299 Жыл бұрын

American odds are as complicated as fractional to me

@alexhall27 Жыл бұрын

@@jnxythemouse for odds over 2, just minus 1 then multiply by 10, for odds under 2, good luck. 2.4 becomes +140, 2.44 is +144, 2.6 is +160.

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

A fair comment, the problem comes with creating videos here though. I have to keep it simplistic for everyone to understand. If I start going harder on finer detail and exchanges the majority aren't interested and don't get it. There could have been better examples for sure but this was the first one that I looked at for the recording, will keep that in mind for future uploads!

@wildcatchamp7354 Жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader Thanks for the reply. Enjoy your videos, and get the point you were making in general. As you say, maybe not the best example here but good luck for future ones 👍

@Alexandertygreat Жыл бұрын

Using kelly criterion to work out bet sizing could maximize said profits by alot. Obviously more variance. But when your edge is higher, betting more relative to odds must be advantageous.

@amanikamana1287 Жыл бұрын

Thank you so much brother for everything you've been doing for us thank you for telling the truth I was realizing why we are losing so much money. I'm really appreciate. I am thinking using over and under it's more better than saying winning.

@keng4560 Жыл бұрын

Send odds

@hrishikeshmeena7521 Жыл бұрын

Whatsapp number

@barongradel6822 11 ай бұрын

@@keng4560We see these things easily spiritually.

@roberthancox-mj3wl 7 ай бұрын

if your completely restricted with your bookmaker accounts but you have an exchange account then try offering the bookies value price on the exchange with the stake you wish to use as obviously prices move both before and during a match so it may suprise you how often you can get your bets matched even if like me you add a couple of ticks more to the bookies value price to increase your value on that particular bet as well. Just a thought

@danielphil4976 Жыл бұрын

534£ is huge over here mate 😂 Good video!

@davidedwards209 Жыл бұрын

Great video caan. Im in a tricky position where I don't have many accounts that aren't open or limited. How would you go about getting more accounts?

@diogorodrigues9595 Жыл бұрын

I know you said that you can find this opportunities in the lower leagues, but is there a more specific method or were you just going through the different leagues and different games until you found something?

@khalis1464 Жыл бұрын

Great betting tip! I should tell carson teng bo teng to bet another 50 dollars TY!

@angelolyrtzis Жыл бұрын

good evening, I've been admiring your work for a long time and I thought I'd try one of your tactics. I started with over/under betting strategy to compare the odds from Betfair exchange and I have a question for you if you want to help me. What are you doing when the odds at exchange are wrong and its to low? I play the bet on my sport book as a value but odds from exchange goes up and their is no value at all

@henrybogle8437 Жыл бұрын

Great content!

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Thanks.

@marthaclough Жыл бұрын

Am very grateful thank you God bless you

@michaeleast1949 Жыл бұрын

yet another excellent video Caan - can't see it working on Sportsbooks though - no chance of getting decent stakes on minor football especially if taking value - would it not be better suited to the exchange?

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Exchange means commission, and premium charge for me. Wont get mental stakes on any sportsbook to be fair unless a total degen. Can work for a limited time on reasonable stakes.

@HeadstoneRestorer Жыл бұрын

@@CaanBerryProTrader I use the exchange to place my bets. I just factor in the commission (2%) and add it to the odds I want to reach. Not every bet gets matched, but I find it the best option due to being limited by the sportsbooks.

@user-jr8en7cg2f Жыл бұрын

@@HeadstoneRestorer It would be better to use Pinnacle...

@pokerfactorytv2607 Жыл бұрын

Best part of the video @1:55 Aussie Rules!!!

@acustick1 Жыл бұрын

I have a good strategy i saw it on this spanish match i saw a player get 2 to 3 warnings from the ref early on infact i think it was 3 warnings after 20 mins so next challenge and he was going to bet booked betfair had him at 7/4 to be carded what a giveaway

@Tony14941 Жыл бұрын

Getting the point with this fella is milestone

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Really? Others say it's too fast to understand!

@simong4882 Жыл бұрын

Great video. Liked the content and production. I’ve been doing value betting for a little while now but starting to get the stake restrictions coming through now so looking into trading as more of a longer term prospect. Any recommendations for trading strategies that don’t require you to be at your computer during races/matches? I like the relative time flexibility and speed of value betting, not sure can achieve that with trading though? Thanks

@kokibenjamin347 Жыл бұрын

How do u do it please

@stevenwalker2297 9 ай бұрын

Share please 😂👍

@bigbaggziess1284 Жыл бұрын

Thanx dog you is the best

@davidfield7810 Жыл бұрын

Interesting video but again penalised for being successful by the bookmakers which makes it difficult to make it pay long term. Looking forward to more racing website and tipster videos maybe a live Q&A would be good 👍.

@bodegabay76 Жыл бұрын

Could betconnect be used to avoid account restrictions in the long run?

@samsonyahaya Жыл бұрын

Does backing with small stakes (like 10 pounds or less) or laying (expecting someone to back my lay odds also with less than 10 pounds) make it sure that I'll get matched?

@strzelba8254 Жыл бұрын

i have just found one game with odds applying to this criteria. It's not easy, but it's there, i suppose it's not there for long, so best to get when market forming. I wonder if same applies to other sports hmmm

@charlesmoko2086 Жыл бұрын

Dear Caan, thanks so much for the video, my question is how do you stack per team. Or the minimum and maximum of stack .

@Mogseyfc Жыл бұрын

Perfectly explained, thanks for the video its a great help 🙂

@elyesgabsi1998 Жыл бұрын

I have not understood could u tell me what is the strategy?

@pierdelduca4706 10 ай бұрын

can you explain it to me then ? from the excel sheet he posted i can see i bet always 50 euros on different matches. monstly i bet over but sometimes also under. why should it work in this way ?

@mudadevida Жыл бұрын

I think sportsbooks took this explanation in consideration cause it´s being very hard to find a value game. The odds at sportsbooks are all under the betfair exchange price!

@gavinpenrose Жыл бұрын

System working well, please send more money

@abdessamadhamidi6750 Жыл бұрын

Top man

@tex5587 Жыл бұрын

Can't i do this strat on other bets than Overs/unders, if i just find odds over the midtponit of the back bet and the lay bets on the exchange?

@jasonkay9569 Жыл бұрын

I’ve started using this technique but am struggling to understand when to place bets as the odds are always changing so one second they are a value bet next minute they aren’t

@greighamilton7335 Жыл бұрын

Bet when you see the value early

@olympiakoschrysler8201 Жыл бұрын

Hi, Please advise the money side of the strategy. Do you start at a particular stake and increase when there is a loss or level staking ? Thats where i think the profit is made, what is the staking method. Thanks.

@testsubject5029 Жыл бұрын

i think live play is more better. you remember what odds must be and then wait ?= because i cannot see signals at all at pre game. today for example there no games that fit into this criteria

@kevinjanosik2604 Жыл бұрын

Caan, wouldn't be easier to bet on selected value bets in exchanges once the match starts after 10 -15 minutes if no change in scoreline this way you'd get much higher odds so 2% commission wouldn't matter

@strzelba8254 Жыл бұрын

I backed Over 3.5 in Psv-Rangers game @2.90, day before kick off. It's Wednesday morning, I could lay it on exchange @2.6. Not bad ;)

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Thats the one.

@danielchukwu8857 Жыл бұрын

Please which platform accepts laying of odd??

@beaverundercover3479 Жыл бұрын

👍🎉Thanks Caan

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

No problem!

@user-cr4jj4iv2j 10 ай бұрын

this type of market is interesting and also risky especially on some matches like classicos

@piratox1095 Жыл бұрын

What do you think is a much more stable way to find true odds using betfair exchange values or pinnacle values?

@teddypericleous401 Жыл бұрын

You are a legend you can have one of our betfair accounts 50-50 lol 😂

@relaxengine8786 Жыл бұрын

Does this apply to live bets? If before the match the odds for over goals is 2 for example, if during the match we bet on 3 odds. Is this a value bet?

@ireneutas4703 2 ай бұрын

All good here

@goreandrejew 10 ай бұрын

I'm feeling good about this binary options. Think everybody can make some money on it

@MrAlexFrame Жыл бұрын

Hi Caan, would this strategy work with the Over/Under Corner kicks market?

@tomdoesstuff1978 Жыл бұрын

A little while ago "a friend" had the genius idea of backing at BF's sportsbook and repeatedly laying against it on the exchange. My "friend" now has two broken legs and a gubbed sportsbook account! lol

@anthonymitchell8893 Жыл бұрын

dident enjoy hurting your boyfriend tom but you know the rules i hope you took him flowers when you visited him in hospital its the least you could have done now tell him to behave himself and dont get lemon with me or the next time i will really go to town. chow baby

@andreicosta3078 Жыл бұрын

Do you use software to get the matches? I saw they are hard to find even in the Asian competitions.

@L4WNY.. Жыл бұрын

I'm still proper confused 😅 but here to learn. Put a bet on last night for 69's (Basketball) to win my 9-15pt margin and it came in £510 🥳

@333wheeler Жыл бұрын

How about watching match live and wait till price lifts to hit the value mark then place it on the exchange.. Might miss a few winners I guess ..

@norev143anciens6 Жыл бұрын

Caan, did you have min odds in mind here? Can't see any odds on bets in your sample.

@astreakabove642 Жыл бұрын

Could you not also try to get matched for the higher odds on the exchange Instead ?

@thomaspeters1994 Жыл бұрын

Start with 10 euro, choose 2 matches with over 1.5 goals a day for sure about odd 1.40 together and 10 days winning reaks got 1100 euro

@nudgexs 6 ай бұрын

This has stumped me for some reason, can't get my head round out ! It is basically, if the odds are higher than the mid point between back and lay you back it on the Sportsbook / 365 etc?

@firstvisual5404 Жыл бұрын

Hi, thanks for your videos. I am having a bit of a problem understanding, you place two or three bets a day with a 50 pound stake. with an average of 2.6 odds? And if you win 40 percent of the bets in 30 days you make profit?

@brunolopes2205 Жыл бұрын

Its bc when you do win, your stake is more then doubled. So even if you win less than u lose in the end ehat you win still covers the stake losses. Its simple math

@Rickye-qv6gs 2 ай бұрын

Parabéns!

@geoffsmith8665 Жыл бұрын

Lost loads betting. Only learned one thing, never bet against a 1/0 or 0/1.It is in my opinion the killer score.

@sure_thing Жыл бұрын

So if you do it at 50 pound stake say odds of 2.6 over 2.5 goals and its nil nil at half time are u leaving it or cashing out for a loss

@paulbaker9308 Жыл бұрын

yes caan probally most honest trading expert on the web

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

I do my best, there are plenty of duds :)

@testsubject5029 Жыл бұрын

will this work on money line too. i see signals more often with moneyline then over unders

@RobertGreen-mz6on 8 ай бұрын

I'm seriously considering joining your VIP group. Your insights have been so valuable to me!

@jay4022 Жыл бұрын

Everything went over my head and that's fine. But I don't understand you can give prices what type of bets but your list had for. Example over 4.5 under 2.5 over 3 .5 ect. How do you know when to go under as high as 4.5 or as low as 2.5 and who to pick? So much left uncovered and surprised no one has picked up on this.

@annamason3087 11 ай бұрын

Fixed matches are real, I paid for a match and I got what I paid for, it came out positive

@bubz3t136 8 ай бұрын

Hey, let me ask you a question. I recently discovered coupons in William Hill, on which you can predict which teams will score at least one goal in their matches. I used to gamble a lot years ago, and I never saw these coupons back then. How long have these coupons been around? Are they a new thing, or have they always been around? I wish I'd discovered them ears ago.

@robinnoren7208 Жыл бұрын

Is this only possible with the Exchange? or could i abuse it with other bookmakers offering higher average odds? Can you ELI5 all of this?

@BharatenduSoumil Жыл бұрын

The only problem in Germany is that we dont have Betfair anymore. Do you know any other sites that display the true value of the bet? Great content btw!!

@ayeshabrown7294 Жыл бұрын

Smarkets?

@davespruce1771 Жыл бұрын

Hi Caan, quick question if you wouldn't mind answering..... I prefer the fibonacci method of staking as opposed to level stakes, only problem is tho is finding a type of bet that provides around a 50% strike rate.....youhave just given me that I think?!! Do you ever use fibre? Many thanks mate.

@davespruce1771 Жыл бұрын

Fibo not fibre that's another subject entirely 😆

@sayanRoy-fx9iy Жыл бұрын

Sir I am from India pls make a video on cricket betting

@hoheshaus2097 Жыл бұрын

Did you always bet the same amount or did you alter your stake that the winnings will always be the same? Or did you just staked randomly?

@DusanOravectravelandearn Жыл бұрын

hi, which staking is for you most profitable in long run for betting on value? is ok to use proportional staking 2 percent from recent bankroll?

@willswan8896 5 ай бұрын

yes if u want to spend that

@davestewartDWCC Жыл бұрын

To be successful at this you'll need to have access to multiple accounts as sometimes with value betting the bookings will restrict you when you are losing and you won't be able to place enough bets to have the guaranteed profit ☹️

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

Way of the world now isnt it, Dave.

@testsubject5029 Жыл бұрын

i see signals are happening often with basketball pre game instead with 3 odds. do you think its worth of shot

@vivelajuventuz Жыл бұрын

i wish this was easier to understand.

@ninjo9895 Жыл бұрын

So you just find anything over the true odds and make the bet? any rules you would suggest? like nothing past 75th minute for example

@lpk2343 Жыл бұрын

Do u need a minimum liquidity in the Betfair market

@AndreRodrigues-zz2tn Жыл бұрын

very very hard to find this games.. wow

@galaxybrainclips Жыл бұрын

Does this work for other markets too?

@ChouanB Жыл бұрын

Do you choose at random the number of goals ?

@josekabull8619 Жыл бұрын

Berry communication is very good, how can I get these odds

@josekabull8619 Жыл бұрын

Please where can I follow you instagram or email ,which which

@11111aaron11111 Жыл бұрын

Would love a copy of the spreadsheet if available please?

@OliverYoungFinance 3 ай бұрын

Any chance someone could explain how to calculate average odds needed to break even?

@Harp00nX Жыл бұрын

Is there a maximum odds we should be looking for using this? Like 5.0 should mean the backed outcome is highly unlikely to happen... are we looking for something no higher than 3.0 or is there another strategy to picking which bets to make?

@CaanBerryProTrader Жыл бұрын

No not the odds that matter, its the difference between the odds shared that matters. The bigger the better.