What On Earth Is Going On With The Car Market? [S6, E45]

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Behind The Glass

Behind The Glass

Күн бұрын

Want extra content, live-streamed recording sessions and ad-free episodes? Check out our recast page: www.recast.tv/behindtheglass
This week Tony and I discuss:
0:00 - Introduction
2:04 - Are Used Car Prices Going Up or Down?
12:52 - How Are New Car Prices Affecting Used Car Prices?
15:58 - Why Nobody Can Insure Range Rovers in London
17:18 - High Interest Rates Are Affecting the Way Buyers Purchase Cars
22:00 - How Will Manufacturers Reduce the Prices of Their Cars?
31:44 - What Is The Future of EV Car Prices?
46:59 - Are There Still Investment Opportunities With Cars?
54:19 - Outro
You can also listen to Behind The Glass here;
open.spotify.com/show/1nlOiLG...
apple.co/2HUpzS6
You can follow Tony here;
/ tonygravelwoodcarsales
www.gravelwood.co.uk/
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Thanks for watching. If you enjoy Behind The Glass you may also enjoy my main channel, SeenThroughGlass, or similar channels like LTACY Salomondrin, Shmee150, Supercars Of London, MrJWW, Seb Delanney and Motor Trend.

Пікірлер: 337
@James-fp2np
@James-fp2np 11 ай бұрын
It is not just finance rates, it is also the insurance premiums which have gone through the roof. Discussing with a couple of dealers the high finance costs are being offset by some manufacturers subsiding rates but the insurance costs are putting a lot of people off and prices have a long way to drop to get back to reality….anyone remember the ‘90s?
@thecreedy
@thecreedy 11 ай бұрын
Im only 25 but as a car guy even i remember the 50 quid cars that are now asking £2500. I bought a mk5 Fiesta ZS last November for that £2500 price, a car that 3/4 years ago was a couple hundred. No idea whats gunna happen to those cars if prices crash.
@faisalleeds
@faisalleeds 11 ай бұрын
Insurance is ridiculous, went up nearly 20% this renewal and that was after hunting down the best price. I do wonder if it is down to the increase in new car costs and the fact that repairs are much more complicated and expensive on new cars.
@kevdoran9918
@kevdoran9918 11 ай бұрын
My insurance went up from £1100 to £3400 without any change to my circumstances, appalling.
@ApexCypher_
@ApexCypher_ 10 ай бұрын
Insurance is the biggest scam going. They made billions during lockdowns.
@ilyasali6229
@ilyasali6229 10 ай бұрын
@@kevdoran9918shop around. My car insurance was 700 then I received automatic renewal of 2500. Needless to say I switched insurers and found one closer to the previous year.
@markflower8885
@markflower8885 11 ай бұрын
I was talking to a car dealer at the weekend at a wedding. He point blank refuses to take an electric car as part exchange or buy them used. His take is that no one wants to buy them used and the customers want unrealistic prices to sell them.
@tobycolin6271
@tobycolin6271 10 ай бұрын
I know main dealers that will not take EVs back as well. If you’ve leased on at least you can hand it back at the end of the term. If you bought one you’ve got it for live. There are Zoe’s and leafs that have been on autotrader over a year.
@wgascoigne6538
@wgascoigne6538 11 ай бұрын
You’re right Sam, new cars have become unaffordable for the majority of people but nobody seems to be asking WHY ??? If people stop paying these ridiculous prices, manufactures would be forced to drop their prices and charge what they are worth- not what they think they can get away with.😡
@Auto_Funk
@Auto_Funk 10 ай бұрын
Totally agree - The values of new cars seem to be just bonkers nowadays... ! I don't understand it at all...
@PFL44
@PFL44 10 ай бұрын
Manufacturers have started to price cars based on what is an 'affordable' monthly payment (as most people finance new cars these days). Many people don't look at the total cost of a new car as long as the repayments for a few years are affordable. Since interest rates have been increasing repayments have become less affordable, especially while many people are getting squeezed from other payments which are linked to interest rates (credit, debt, mortgage etc) also insurance. I can imagine many car manufacturers are going to find new car sales falling fast.
@tonyshergold6023
@tonyshergold6023 10 ай бұрын
Don't worry when the Tesla Model 2 (or whatever it's called) reaches the market sometime next year, it'll bankrupt combustion manufactures. It's going to launch at around £22, 000, it'll disrupt the market totally
@Swixperience
@Swixperience 11 ай бұрын
There is something Tony misses with the 20% interests on mortgages 60 years ago. Of course 20% is insane, but back then an average house would cost maybe 3 years of an average salary. Now the average house costs what, 20-25 years of an average income? So yeah. The old generations didn't have it more difficult.
@v4skunk739
@v4skunk739 11 ай бұрын
@@borjastickHouses were better made 60 years ago. Any one in the building trade will agree too. 90% of new builds are built with cost cutting in mind.
@Swixperience
@Swixperience 11 ай бұрын
So, you basically made a bad financial decision at the time? Firstly, a monthly INTEREST payment of 45% of your pretax salary. Surely that's unwise? And a bank would not allow that now. At least not here in Switzerland. Secondly, 100% mortgage? Again no bank would allow that now. The appreciation of your asset will have made up for it. But damn. I live and work in Zurich. Together with my wife we earn approx 3x the average swiss salary. Yet it's unthinkable to buy a property unless we go way out.
@graemecollie9233
@graemecollie9233 11 ай бұрын
@@Swixperience 100% loan to value mortgages are now readily available in the UK; granted they were not widely advertised since the 2008 crash but they existed. Some lenders pre-crash would allow you to self-certify your earnings on a 110% LTV mortgage, that in a minor part was the advent of toxic debt which lead to the crash. So people spending 40+% of their take home net salary on a 100% mortgage is more common than you would think. Differing generations have differing issues; reality is that for the last 15 years people have become accustomed to ultra low interest rate borrowing which has then been the bedrock of the property prices and general cost of living that we all see today. But no one has budgeted for that period to be over as it is now. UK inflation is stubbornly high in part because plenty out there are still recouping their losses during the pandemic and buffering for a similar event. The pandemic was the reality stress test that most people avoided thinking about when they sign their mortgage and ignore the bit that says 'can you still afford this if interests rates were 3x/4x/5x higher?'. The part that differs now I'd suggest is that in the past it was your problem and yours to sort and if you didn't you were in real trouble with the risk of losing everything; now there is a sense of entitlement that the Government or someone else should step in to solve your problem because it's someone else fault and if not you can write it all off and start again. Same goes with car financing, the harsh reality of a consequence free attitude to debt and credit management that people now have. Sam touched on a point where his father would not borrow because he couldn't afford it, people now borrow to pay off other borrowing without any relation to whether they can afford it, such has been the ease in which credit has been dished out by the banks. Personally I'm now fortunate that I have one debt which is my mortgage yet from a banking / credit perspective I'm seen as a bad customer because I don't have debt! And houses in the UK were built better then than they are now in that there were less issues structural or finish wise but they weren't thermally efficient nor environmentally friendly!
@borjastick
@borjastick 11 ай бұрын
@@v4skunk739 Not true, no insulation or double glazed windows and very few had much of a heating system or anything more than a basic bathroom and kitchen.
@bg22757
@bg22757 11 ай бұрын
​@@borjastickyou are wrong about the quality of houses. New builds are appealing, mould covered messed where every corner that can be cut gets cut.
@geirarnesen6531
@geirarnesen6531 11 ай бұрын
Tony made a lot (more) sense in this episode! Bloody time 😉 Well done 👍
@peterbett3076
@peterbett3076 11 ай бұрын
One gets the sense that Tony is so excited and flattered to be asked about his specialist subject - the new/nearly new car market, that he feels the need to answer every question with something emphatic and interesting, even if either a. He doesn’t know the answer or b. There’s no emphatic or interesting truth to be told. Hence the confusing babble, regular contradictions and meandering, often inconclusive ‘explanations’. Commendable enthusiasm but please, Tony, it’s ok not to impress with every answer
@nickhill941
@nickhill941 11 ай бұрын
I think Tony is spot on with what’s happening with consumers. As a cash buyer, pre the interest rate hikes, I was prepared to drop £75k on my next car. Now I’m sitting on the money and keeping what I’ve got. Interest I’m getting on capital is one part but the falling prices of cars is another.
@barbarusbloodshed6347
@barbarusbloodshed6347 11 ай бұрын
I think what you meant to say was conchumers. No idea what conchumers are, but Tony seems to know a lot about them.
@allomony4010
@allomony4010 11 ай бұрын
@@barbarusbloodshed6347 your attempt at some sort of humour at Tony's expense is very childish
@gee6940
@gee6940 11 ай бұрын
Buy a 1 year old Ariel atom!!
@crustyclown8845
@crustyclown8845 11 ай бұрын
Everything to be said for not sinking hard cash when the interest rates are getting better. Better than finance but that’s not the point. I’d you’re not used to finance then it seems a huge rip off.
@TeaVR
@TeaVR 11 ай бұрын
Enjoyed the podcast 👍 Frightens me that the industry seems to have accepted £80k as a vanilla price for a car. Life seems to be getting more and more expensive!
@andysixspeed
@andysixspeed 11 ай бұрын
A regular car (Golf GTI) was only £4k in the 80s. 😅
@smyffmawzz
@smyffmawzz 11 ай бұрын
I can easily go out and find a decent car for £5K .
@adogmcdizzle
@adogmcdizzle 10 ай бұрын
An inflation calculator provides perspective on car prices.
@columcreaven8860
@columcreaven8860 10 ай бұрын
Yes Cars have increased in value but so have running costs while wages have simply not, now you have mortgage / broadband / tv subscription / internet storage / health insurance and food to contend with and wages have not increased in many industries to keep up, simples
@ghostinthemachine76
@ghostinthemachine76 10 ай бұрын
£30K for an electric Corsa, £40K for an electric Astra. That is absolute insanity.
@simonhodgetts6530
@simonhodgetts6530 10 ай бұрын
I bought my 12yr old car for £3600 cash, 3 yrs ago. There’s nothing wrong with it, and apart from routine maintenance costs me very little. I like it, and now that this particular model has been discontinued don’t really see anything else I like enough to replace it. It’s currently on 120k miles. I’ll keep it going until it’s no longer financially viable, then buy another model for a similar sum. I don’t see the point in splurging £300-£400 on a brand new car lease, especially as I dislike almost everything currently on sale new.
@Phoon996
@Phoon996 11 ай бұрын
When are we getting another “Stars and their cars chat”? The first one was absolutely amazing, cannot wait for the next one!
@Ben-lr2jj
@Ben-lr2jj 11 ай бұрын
Wasn’t for me personally, subscribed for Sam and Tony’s discussion, felt like it took away from that
@michaelch6536
@michaelch6536 11 ай бұрын
It was crap go watch top gear if you want that rubbish
@-LK34-
@-LK34- 11 ай бұрын
Couldn’t agree more👍
@ScottZ370
@ScottZ370 11 ай бұрын
I quite enjoyed it but it's one of their least viewed episode recently
@michaelmotteram1682
@michaelmotteram1682 11 ай бұрын
When peoples mortgages start going up by £1-2k a month then the new/used car market will take a reset
@jbisham8986
@jbisham8986 11 ай бұрын
It’s a very lopsided market for EV’s . Effectively only company car owners are buying them due to the tax incentives ( cheap tax / the ability to offset the car against corporation tax . Hence the large number of Taycans being purchased by powerfully built director types . The issues happen on the second hand market as there is weak demand from private buyers .
@mojojojo_BB
@mojojojo_BB 11 ай бұрын
Used car prices are way too high, they need to come back down to reality.
@ScottPC
@ScottPC 11 ай бұрын
Doesn't help when the new cars are priced nearly 1/3 more than in 2018-2020... Another reason used are holding value.
@legendgalaxy
@legendgalaxy 11 ай бұрын
I don't think they are that high anymore tbh. Value of money has changed, everything costs more now, £1 4 years ago is not £1 today
@RichardRatner.1972
@RichardRatner.1972 11 ай бұрын
I love listening & learning from Tony. Absolute gold. Big love Sam with the questions. Kindest regards, Richard U.K
@jamesskudder9009
@jamesskudder9009 11 ай бұрын
I agree with Sam. I was lucky enough to buy a new E46 M3 Convertible and it was £42,000. I cannot get my head around paying over £100,000 for a new M3/M4. Its gone mad. M2 at £77,000 what!
@gordonsimpson3235
@gordonsimpson3235 11 ай бұрын
Blame PCP's for that. Low interest rates/PCP's has encouraged people to buy expensive 'premium product' which in the normal way could never be afforded. This has allowed the manufacturers to add all sorts of pointless crap on their cars and push prices through the roof which no one noticed, because they were paying £299/£399/£499 per month
@adogmcdizzle
@adogmcdizzle 10 ай бұрын
£42k in 2001 is £75k today. The car has moved upmarket somewhat in that time with the M2 slotting in underneath that. But as has been pointed out, with most people buying cars on finance, the RRP of the car is less relevant because what you are really looking at is the monthly payment, which can be totally detached considering interest rates and depreciation.
@Auto_Funk
@Auto_Funk 10 ай бұрын
@@adogmcdizzle RRP less relevant IF the interest rates are sensible - 10%+ APR changes the ball game considerably though, especially when coupled with a hugely inflated list price... !
@adogmcdizzle
@adogmcdizzle 10 ай бұрын
@@Auto_Funk yes, you are correct. To add: demand has been part of it as well, since supply chains have been restricted and customer demand has been high, manufacturers want a bit of the action when dealer mark ups become greater.
@Absurd_Sealion
@Absurd_Sealion 11 ай бұрын
Been looking to get a new car for ages but 10%+ APR making everything far too much, flat out refuse to pay that much in interest.
@mrminiature11
@mrminiature11 11 ай бұрын
Couldn't agree more, wonder how long it'll take but the interest rate is way too high
@ashj8998
@ashj8998 11 ай бұрын
My mk1 Golf isnt compliant with ULEZ but its still totally free, A-reg cars from next year, and so on, the whole thing is a scam leading to road charging for everyone, happy days...
@jakeleech3972
@jakeleech3972 11 ай бұрын
As a financial advisor I usually cringe when people talk about interest rates etc but Tony’s thoughts/ comments are actually incredibly accurate 👏🏼
@johnosullivan2017
@johnosullivan2017 10 ай бұрын
Tony has a little bit of a clue. Sam is a clueless posho: "my dad is super against borrowing money" !? Because it's so much easier to just inherit it when you're part of a major landowning family? Sam's Uncle is Anthony Fane, 16th Earl of Westmoreland. Not that he mentions it, for obvious reasons. Heaven help anyone who takes his advice seriously. At least there's one thing money can't buy: a decent head of hair.
@hTyKn1
@hTyKn1 10 ай бұрын
@@johnosullivan2017 Elon Musk bought a very good head of hair!
@Miz-ql3ho
@Miz-ql3ho 10 ай бұрын
@@johnosullivan2017but you just sound salty & broke. If you dont like him just dont watch his videos…
@johnosullivan2017
@johnosullivan2017 10 ай бұрын
@@Miz-ql3ho I'm a long way from broke. But I'll take salty. I watch car channels because I'm a petrolhead. British society is bedevilled by our wretched class system and unearned privilege. Sam Fane is an especially egregious example as he'd pretending to be a normal bloke. And now, back to Harry's Garage and Rory on Autotrader....
@Miz-ql3ho
@Miz-ql3ho 10 ай бұрын
@@johnosullivan2017 no im not saying you are broke, merely suggesting you come across this way. Society may be broken but its upto yourself to pull yourself up, nobody will help you or me but ourselves. God bless and I’ll see you over there 💪
@Holstech
@Holstech 11 ай бұрын
Excellent Podcast. Tony is spot on with the bigger picture perspective and Sam's more personal perspective will strike a cord with many listeners/viewers. Loved it.
@MrCummquott
@MrCummquott 11 ай бұрын
Excellent vid guys...well done! Really informative and straight forward.
@andrewfwallace4582
@andrewfwallace4582 11 ай бұрын
Absolutely brilliant podcast chat, both Sam and Tony are bang on, cost of living crisis and interest rate, Ulez changes effecting most people. I am struggling to survive and work full time, would like to change my car, but can't.
@crustyclown8845
@crustyclown8845 11 ай бұрын
Changing your car for anything more expensive will only burn money on a larger scale. Run it till it drops
@Tracertme
@Tracertme 11 ай бұрын
One of your best shows guys, well done.❤ I track and follow cars for months and in recent times years before I pull the pin and haven’t financed a car for 20 plus years.. I always knew the prices would come back… and just ignore the BS and general public behaviour.
@flavioc5389
@flavioc5389 11 ай бұрын
8:35 Sam, the most harmful emission is NOx, which is high on Diesel engines but low in gasoline engines. That’s why your 360 Modena is ULEZ compliant.
@redlineste4283
@redlineste4283 10 ай бұрын
And the government actively pushed us to buy diesels not that long ago with cheap road tax.
@Dung8aj
@Dung8aj 11 ай бұрын
Really enjoyed hearing Tony’s perspective in this episode.
@KieranG54MC
@KieranG54MC 11 ай бұрын
ULEZ is just another form of tax for consumers. Won’t actually help in reality. Short term prices will increase as people use the grant from the mayor to purchase new used cars. But not sure if it’ll be enough to take market back to 2021 levels
@user-io4sr7vg1v
@user-io4sr7vg1v 11 ай бұрын
Exactly. Emissions are the biggest fooking scam since the last one.
@gezdickinson8850
@gezdickinson8850 11 ай бұрын
Fascinating insight into used car market dynamics Tony, thanks
@richardchadwick9836
@richardchadwick9836 10 ай бұрын
First time listener, at first I just thought cheeky cockneys, but I actually enjoyed it, and I learnt something about how dealers operate. I have subscribed for more.
@martins6840
@martins6840 11 ай бұрын
Interesting discussion, around the current market situation. Being honest first time I’ve taken Tony seriously 😆 Good consumer advice. Cheers boys 👍🏽
@chrisharris2390
@chrisharris2390 11 ай бұрын
Really interesting episode! EV market crash is because of consumer lack of confidence and fleet dumping just means there will be an established lower price point for the used ev market. I just bought an 18month seat mii electric as a daily for just over 12k (which you couldn't get for less than 20k a year ago), the dealer gave me an insane 11k for my 15 year old edition 30 golf. Costs me 4p a mile to run instead of 22p a mile in the golf. I really don't see it depreciating much further over the next two years. It's become more affordable to buy an EV = more buyers = prices stable
@jamesj97370
@jamesj97370 11 ай бұрын
I feel like used car prices have come down close to Covid but OEM's are still taking the mic with new car prices!
@richiedudding7671
@richiedudding7671 11 ай бұрын
I know you enjoyed the Aston Vantage V12S manual. I’m holding onto a couple of these. Adrian Newey described them as the finest road going car ever produced as commented in Ben Collins book. Yes they will appreciate and I spend time enjoying them. Once you sell where do you find another one. Their are cars that will increase in value. Good luck on your future car hunts.
@dan3092
@dan3092 11 ай бұрын
Tony is spot on with his view on the car market except for one thing Covid was not and will never be 'The Good Old Days'
@richardjohntierney5434
@richardjohntierney5434 11 ай бұрын
Great show, really interesting perspective. Thanks
@MT-zh9wc
@MT-zh9wc 11 ай бұрын
Car market pricing effects everyone based on individual circumstances. I spent 3 months looking at the Golf TCR market before I pulled the trigger. I had my budget in mind, and got the exact car I wanted for the price I wanted, despite them going up. It didn’t bother me because I was quite happy already sat in a mk7.5 GTI, but I am lucky to have been in that position where I didn’t HAVE to get rid of my car, I chose to and so had the luxury of time.
@philhartley7551
@philhartley7551 11 ай бұрын
There's probably good reason why there are a lot of Taycans, Etrons and Teslas coming onto the market now. They were popular 3 years ago, as they are now. I'm just swapping my etron 55 for a Q8 etron 55 and my 56,000 mile, 3 year old launch edition sportback will be an excellent used buy for its new owner. No battery degradation to date (reliable 230 miles range), cheap to service, no road tax or congestion charge, cheap to "fuel" and a great long distance car.
@joshwilliams6849
@joshwilliams6849 11 ай бұрын
Said to a few people recently talking about Taycan residuals. People piled into Taycan expecting GT product residuals or through cheap salary sacrifice lease deals and are now getting their fingers burned. The precedent of Range Rover Tony made is something I agree with. Historically if you look at 7 series, S class you used to take a Bath on them. Or even look at Panamera residuals, I have no idea why people expected to flip a big luxury saloon car or at least not loose their shirt. EV or not.
@benpenagonzales6014
@benpenagonzales6014 11 ай бұрын
Good job Tony. Rate’s aren’t coming back down any time soon. The labour market especially in the UK is too tight so inflation will be stubborn. Would be great if you can pick out some super value deals on new cars. In the meantime will be looking out for manufacturers contributions!
@claudiushempstead9893
@claudiushempstead9893 10 ай бұрын
No such thing as super deal on a new car.
@KpecterAlmeida
@KpecterAlmeida 11 ай бұрын
This is so insightful, I'm washing it again!
@ricsu3462
@ricsu3462 11 ай бұрын
we thought of it often, and it's always a gamble. We can sell everything right now hoping to buy them back at 20% discount a year later, but with certain cars there's also a possibility of very hard to get back something that's the same quality (service records, full body ppf, unique specs etc.) and even if they do the cost will be at a premium. Perhaps a gt3rs and aventador is easy to be replaced, but 458 and scuderia it's getting harder as they are much older..and performante spyder in bright color, there just arent that many of them around. But it's for sure very tempting to get a speciale or an lp750 sv at 30% less in 1-2 years...of course no one knows for sure if they will ever go down that much in value......
@Gotadime92
@Gotadime92 10 ай бұрын
Sam was correct in the last segment. Its not just about what you can afford, its about the value for money. And that is out of wack right now. A lot of money is sitting on the sidelines because the prices just don't make sense. Sam's example was good: "I want an M5, but now the M3 is priced like an M5. I'll just opt out altogether." In other words, its not that people won't spend £100K. It's that they wont spend it on something they think is actually worth £80K.
@paulsmith2493
@paulsmith2493 11 ай бұрын
Further to your conversation 4 tycans for sale in auto trader at less than 60k with OK mileage
@andysixspeed
@andysixspeed 11 ай бұрын
There will be a return of discounts (you used to be able to get nearly 20k off an RS6), plus they'll use the margin to subsidize rates. M5 Touring at 0% APR when bank rates are still 5% etc.
@cp4512
@cp4512 10 ай бұрын
PCP/PCH pushed up new car prices, which in turn pushed up second hand prices. With higher interest rates now much higher and harder depreciation impacting guaranteed bond future value, PCP/PCHs will become more expensive and either sales will reduce, list prices may have to drop, or hidden dealer discounts may become more prevalent. Will be interesting to see what happens in reality. However, looks like cheaper cars in the near future 😊
@moneyshift8190
@moneyshift8190 11 ай бұрын
Love the insights, great podcast. 👍🏽
@billynt6071
@billynt6071 11 ай бұрын
Also worth mentioning that more UK manufacturers are moving towards a direct sales model. I.e. selling new and young used cars directly to the consumer, and using the their existing main dealer network as the ‘agent’ who are paid a commission for selling on their behalf. This will eliminate dealer contributions etc and prices will be fixed and the customer will pay the same price at a dealer in North Ireland and Central London…
@cib2413
@cib2413 11 ай бұрын
There are some deals becoming available in the regular market and even in the high end sports car market. The most surprising is the value for something like a used Model X or several other electric or plug-in family cars like an X5, etc. very tempting to take the plunge away from petrol for those except the best deals are on 4-6 year old used cars wheee the warranty is long gone…
@eugenux
@eugenux 11 ай бұрын
the problem is only, for those of us who are at the lower end of the market, who had not become rich in the last two years; basically, if I could afford a ctr fk8, with all the living cost increases and the price increases, I simply cannot afford the new type R. If one could afford an rs3 4 years ago, if that said person's income is more or less the same, that person will not be able to afford the new rs3. This is true for higher price cars up to a point. So, it is true, if a person that had a new m3 since new, when the m3s were 65k, cannot afford 90-100k on a new one.., there's no problem as, the former client of a brand that had 100k cars a few years ago, which now are 130k, will say, alright.. my favourite brand got up in prices 30%+ so let's see what I can find at 100k? Like I have said, there are options for ppl to lvl down.. and brands can access higher income lvl clients.. so, all good on this part. The only ones who actually are hurt are ppl like me, the regular joe, for which a 30k gti clubsport and a 37k fk8 were pretty good deals but now, at 50k+ golf Rs and 50k+ type Rs, I find myself out priced by everything. Not even the valuable i30n is not that cheap anymore and also, most of the manufacturers have withdrew the affordable performance cars at this price point.. basically, there are no affordable performance cars. I don't feel that confident about the market changing because from a manufacturer perspective, it is really, really, really hard to turn that huge cargo ship on its toes. That's why the prices will not drop as much or as fast as we hope.. and even if they drop, they will drop on large volume cars..., nothing being remotely special or interesting to drive will ever come back down in price... and that's is because, at upper lvls, you can always find new clients(ferrari's tactic!(one of them), let's not forget that a 360 and an f430 were around 150k or less, while the current 296gtb is 250k to 300k)
@Chex_B
@Chex_B 10 ай бұрын
Firstly thanks to both for a great POD. I think Sam, Was correct in the last segment. New car prices have lost touch with reality recently, It seems they are trying to follow the housing model of never-ending price increases! The e46 m3 used to be £41k in 2003 twenty years later and m3 touring is £93k.! I always view the M3 a mid-level management car that wants to have some fun (it should be relatively accessible for the modern man) But few salaries have more than doubled in the last 20 years? so are car prices outstripping salaries? Whilst all these amounts are achievable with some healthy "Man Maths". I feel personally that I wouldn't ever want to finance an M3, but there is little to no chance of me ever paying 93k cash for an M3. Tony your point of "there is always someone to buy the car" I mean yes, but your Porsche 911 turbo owner is now going down to an M3 touring. It seems very few people are starting in M135i, progressing to the M2 then the M3 then M8, which we might have seen in the past with more hierarchal price and model ranges. I feel BMW and some in the motor industry is leaving a huge segment of enthusiasts behind. I would love to see the M3 back alongside the 3.0 Supra (60-65k) 335bhp or 5.0 mustand 50k etc etc 😄
@stevey-xw4gz
@stevey-xw4gz 11 ай бұрын
tony talks some right old bollox... be it mortgage rates, strength of the pound or the cost of shipping containers, take your pick!
@jhudson7240
@jhudson7240 11 ай бұрын
One big thing effecting confidence in buying used EV's, replacing the battery was not mentioned at all. EV batteries can be insanely expensive to replace. By the time an EV is 10 years old and needs a new battery, it could be mechanically totalled.
@josephberrie9550
@josephberrie9550 11 ай бұрын
you cannot find a buyer for these EVs over three years old forget 10 years
@con1045
@con1045 11 ай бұрын
Interesting, I would like a Toyota Crown Majesta 2010 from japan they are hovering around $20-22k depending on condition, but the car is still 10 years old, not only that the parts pricing is still quite high and being a import I might have to wait for a period of time to even get the part.
@strangerthanparadise
@strangerthanparadise 11 ай бұрын
Not to mention that demand for wants in goods generally has regularized. The production has caught back up to the consumers spending. That’s why you see the dip compared to the covid years. It’s bound to happen like all things some point post surging demand in the market
@chrisgriffin205
@chrisgriffin205 11 ай бұрын
I'm curious, with approximately 87% of global automotive manufacturing being left hand drive, does the manufacturer charge more for the basic right hand drive Vs left hand drive? Thanks
@simongibbs3936
@simongibbs3936 11 ай бұрын
Are Porsche an outlier with regards to new car prices being high when compared to used? I have been speccing a couple of new options and on the face of it they seem cheaper than equivalent nearly new comparisons. Possibly people not wanting to wait the longer delivery times?
@darrenturner4352
@darrenturner4352 11 ай бұрын
Really enjoyed the podcast guys
@NomadJRG
@NomadJRG 11 ай бұрын
Most brutal EV depreciation is the Jaguar I-Pace, used prices are really in the gutter!
@JAXm135i
@JAXm135i 11 ай бұрын
Same with Tesla Model 3's as well i reckon, they're mental cheap now lol
@leefrancis5462
@leefrancis5462 10 ай бұрын
Not surprised nobody want the Jaguar ipace, that thing is a crime against car design...
@system11yt
@system11yt 10 ай бұрын
It's actually the only one I like too, so many times I considered test driving one but ultimately the world is getting more expensive too quickly and I'm just going to stick with what I have.
@davidtrice8307
@davidtrice8307 10 ай бұрын
We enjoyed this pod cast
@mattywisey
@mattywisey 11 ай бұрын
On interest rates, I find it quite interesting how un competitive used car finance seems to be. Interest is now to high. I just got a car for £15k, on a bank loan at 6.7% its monthly repayment is £357 with no deposit for 48 months. The same car on a pcp for 48 months at 10.9% with 0 deposit is £303 a month but with a 5k balloon at the end. The total interest cost of the PCP is £2400 more on a 15k car. that's 15-20% extra. Or pay £43 a month more and own the thing outright at the end! or have the equity in the end to swap to another car.
@graham269
@graham269 11 ай бұрын
How’s that M3 Touring going? At 90 days and problematic yet? That sitting around says everything you need to know about the market.
@davebloodstone3922
@davebloodstone3922 11 ай бұрын
Its "sitting around" because Tony loves it and he's (over) priced it accordingly - there's list price delivery miles ones on AT for £97K
@TheRapidGamer
@TheRapidGamer 11 ай бұрын
It was the New Zealand central bank that created the 2% inflation target not Australia :)
@shaunkaridza1579
@shaunkaridza1579 11 ай бұрын
Heard the revuelto is 500k pounds base . Can we put a stop to this madness
@kernowgolfguy4598
@kernowgolfguy4598 10 ай бұрын
I bought an i3 in late March, as my first ev experience right before ev market tanked. Cost me 13750, 2015 59k the car had lost about 5-8% battery. It is well known that most battery loss happens with first 18 months then stabalises. My car costs peanuts to run and its also has a range extender, so no real range anxiety. It is the perfect run around for probably 80% of the population who have 2 kids and a place to charge at home. I now want to sell as i am a petrol head miss the noise. Be lucky to get 10k more like 9k private 6-8 trade in. 😅
@Auto_Funk
@Auto_Funk 10 ай бұрын
52-53 mins in... Sam completely on the money and Tony either in denial or missing the point entirely... New cars are quite simply far too expensive (EV's being the worst offenders)... It's nothing to do with what people can or can't afford - They are simply way over priced....And I can't see this ever adjusting back down...
@mjrowden
@mjrowden 11 ай бұрын
Be clear, food is absolutely NOT coming back down in price. If anything, it’s getting more expensive. Retailers have been increasing prices above inflation, manufacturers are focused on premiumisation and shrinkflation i.e. making products smaller but comparatively more expensive, or making more premium products to drive growth. Everything is still more expensive and that isn’t changing right now
@AdsTrapatony
@AdsTrapatony 11 ай бұрын
Here in central Europe car prices are out of hand. I’m (or was) on the market to buy a sports car in the 40-60k range and prices ate way higher than 2 years ago. Everything is overpriced. I am keeping the money.
@jeremywentworth1833
@jeremywentworth1833 10 ай бұрын
I have family in Australia and work for a Canadian company car market in North America both all Australia America & Canada have returned to precovid prices there car prices went mad I've been told that G-wagons were going for double what they were and a lot of Americans are really out of pocket, regardless you would think we would have got back to what they were it's now over 3 years since first lockdown when prices started going through the roof.
@badgersalesman5595
@badgersalesman5595 10 ай бұрын
I’m a 30 year veteran of the Motor Trade. It is at its worst ever in regards to main dealer retail. New cars are not coming through at all so whatever you say or think about it being better is VERY incorrect. The used car quality is getting worse because your now selling crap you would normally auction. However if you speak to automotive management it’s the SALESPERSONS FAULT because we get punished when sales are down NOBODY ELSE JUST SALESPEOPLE. WE ARE TREATED LIKE SCUM OF THE EARTH AND GET PAID NOTHING FOR TAKING ALL THE CRAP THAT WE DO.
@mikewallace1723
@mikewallace1723 11 ай бұрын
10% plus on new car pcp currently. There are some deals around but not seen many. Mercedes have 0% on EV and 3.7% on C43 etc. double my last car rate, and it does make a significant difference to the monthly cost. To stay the same, having to reduce the price of the car significantly. but new car prices are up! Not seeing much of discount at the moment, but may come in the later negotiations. Not paying more in deposit.
@VinEvil
@VinEvil 11 ай бұрын
In the late 70’s when rates were 17% the average house was around £18,000 and the average salary then was around £4,000 meaning that houses were only 4.5x the average salary, a lot of the reason 4.5x were proposed by lenders in the first place. Also the average earner with the average house on a 90% mortgage was paying around 43% of their salary each month on their mortgage. Nowadays it’s 98% of the average earners salary each month and with the cost of living today it’s completely unaffordable because how is anyone on an average salary going to live let alone save for a deposit. Most who bought properties in the last couple of years on a 90% mortgage are very likely to find themselves in negative equity when they come to remortgage. The average house price is around £280,000 in the uk and the average salary is around £28,000. It was so so much easier back then and not to mention pay increases overtaking inflation throughout some of those years too. Government debt and individual debt is far too high I think now for the kind of gains seen previous. I think we are heading for the worst financial crash we have ever seen.
@v4skunk739
@v4skunk739 11 ай бұрын
The financial crash is all part of their plan to implement the great reset communism. It's all to do with our usury based cancerous banking system.
@taylor01932
@taylor01932 11 ай бұрын
The big difference between then and now is also the affordability. Back then most couples were only one earner with (normally) the wife staying home and looking after the family. Now both adults earn, so the amount that couples can afford is that much greater. Sellers of course have realised this over time and so prices have increased. Obviously this isn’t the only reason, but for a truer comparison of % of income, you need to take the couple’s income, not just a single.
@VinEvil
@VinEvil 11 ай бұрын
@@taylor01932 I understand but when you look at the last couple of decades of average inflation vs average pay increase, households have had little choice but to have other people working within that household to bring in extra money to afford to live.
@v4skunk739
@v4skunk739 11 ай бұрын
@@taylor01932 House prices are through the roof solely because of immigration. Supply and demand. No supply and high demand. Go look up who owns most properties in London, it isn't us British.
@venom5809
@venom5809 11 ай бұрын
You all need to stop letting foreigners in and letting foreign buyers buy properties they don't even live in and jacking your prices sky high.
@srodigital
@srodigital 10 ай бұрын
I have to agree with Sam, from my perspective new car prices are mental and have been for quite some time. What you would have spent X amount of time ago to get a performance car, you are now expecting to pay super car prices to get...or thats how it feels.
@kevinagnew8721
@kevinagnew8721 11 ай бұрын
Great podcast thanks
@alexselby349
@alexselby349 11 ай бұрын
After next Tuesday when ULEZ starts (29/8/23), prices will calm down a bit for used EU6 stuff, prices will continue to drop as demand decreases
@Rocky-hh3yg
@Rocky-hh3yg 11 ай бұрын
My Evo 8 is ULEZ compliant yet it probably pumps out more CO2 than a jumbo jet.
@v4skunk739
@v4skunk739 11 ай бұрын
C02 is plant food bro.
@alan-
@alan- 11 ай бұрын
I've got a Suzuki Cappuccino 660cc 3 cylinder turbo which is not ULEZ compliant. ULEZ is utter bullshit.
@hoodstar949
@hoodstar949 11 ай бұрын
Can you please do a segment on how modifications on your car can affect the value
@Goku-sm4pc
@Goku-sm4pc 10 ай бұрын
Taxi driver here Pre covid I was looking at 2 year old E classes (E220D AMG line and SE) I was looking around £20k - £23k with under 30k on the clock Now they are more like £28k-33k Massive jump
@leliobasket
@leliobasket 11 ай бұрын
As a portuguese is astonishing the difenrece between our car market and yours.
@marccarpentier2398
@marccarpentier2398 11 ай бұрын
Interesting. Can you explain in more detail? Thanks.
@kennytaylor5849
@kennytaylor5849 10 ай бұрын
Agree new prices of cars are crazy now..
@philtucker1224
@philtucker1224 11 ай бұрын
Yes very interesting that up until recently the majority of Merc’s were almost all diesels in London? 🤔
@golders99
@golders99 10 ай бұрын
Ulez is not on engine size, it's more on NOX levels. Which older diesel cars kick out a lot of.
@mikewallace1723
@mikewallace1723 11 ай бұрын
Agree with Sam. I have a budget and to be able to keep to this the price of the car now has to be lower. Double whammy. Prices are higher and cost of pcp much higher. Agree £100k on M3 touring way too much. Not so long ago new M5s were less. Would buy at lower price. First world problems, but instead of say C63 it’s a C43. Fewer cars that interest me at this price point now, or feel worth it! a hell of a lot of cash! Getting to the point where I will buy at a much lower price point as the value proposition is much better. Manufacturers and dealers loose out. Sometimes feel you are out of touch guys
@andrewTTSS
@andrewTTSS 10 ай бұрын
When he says Range Rover sport prices are coming off, is that referring to young second hand, new or both?
@filipb
@filipb 11 ай бұрын
Prices will only go down on commodity products, low range or volume cars like a 320e. Premium car prices are market driven and not cost. So they will stay but you may get a better deal as Tony suggests.
@v4skunk739
@v4skunk739 11 ай бұрын
Prices are not ever going down, we are headed for a total economic collapse of Europe and USA.
@julianthompson9824
@julianthompson9824 11 ай бұрын
It’s not actual emissions per se - it’s particulates. Hence the Fez 360 is ok but the Audi XYZ diesel is not. Does actually make sense.
@paulsheehan2998
@paulsheehan2998 9 ай бұрын
38:06 Ive been waiting for 7 months to buy. Think im gonna go in January
@dirkrichards6022
@dirkrichards6022 11 ай бұрын
The EV will crash when they need battery replacement 7 to 8 years old cars car hit the market.
@v4skunk739
@v4skunk739 11 ай бұрын
Big time, so many people brainwashed on EV's. Nothing about them is sustainable.
@tobycolin6271
@tobycolin6271 10 ай бұрын
Next year 190,000 BEVs or Remote polluting Vehicles as I prefer to call them) will be released to the market. This year 60,000 released and the market is -27% and there are currently 15,000 BEVs/RPC available.
@wuchengranschiiet9992
@wuchengranschiiet9992 11 ай бұрын
Tony was really well prepared on the finacial topics 👍🏼
@claudiushempstead9893
@claudiushempstead9893 10 ай бұрын
Tony is a used car dealer!
@royd72
@royd72 11 ай бұрын
Great episode gents
@colincampbell3819
@colincampbell3819 10 ай бұрын
This is monetary policy in action. Higher interest rates -> more expensive to borrow -> lower demand -> prices must come down -> less inflation
@simonhaycockfulable
@simonhaycockfulable 11 ай бұрын
prices have gone mad on cars and everything else trouble is everything you buy is a mortgage or monthly payment sceams and a large one at that the majority off people live beyond there means of income
@TheOriginalDaveJ
@TheOriginalDaveJ 10 ай бұрын
First time listener here and I thoroughly enjoyed it. Used car prices need to go down a lot more. . Depending where you are on the uk, what's the point in parting with 15-20+K for a car we might only get 7yrs use out of. (Net Zero) That is another scam btw. How will money save the planet?? Agree with the 10yr thing, cars are only built to last about 10yrs these days.
@hughmcneillie1032
@hughmcneillie1032 11 ай бұрын
Great episode. I can see another 18 to 24 mths of pain and uncertainty before the whole market resets. It's all cyclical. Boom and bust.
@helmetculture
@helmetculture 11 ай бұрын
When tony says he knows a bit about import and export, he knows a shit tonne 😂
@corvettenyc72op21
@corvettenyc72op21 11 ай бұрын
Let just not forget that the 3 series from BMW was an entry level car for BMW 20/25 years ago and it is no longer you now have a 2 series and a 1 series hence the price going up market .
@philipmcardle3087
@philipmcardle3087 10 ай бұрын
Interesting discussion , I follow the US guys who talk about cars and they seem to think that it is even at the high prices of new cars better to buy than used. They believe this because the prices of used are still high, mileage on them is much higher and the quality of used cars are lower than normal. Another guy belives that used car prices will begin to fall, because the wholesale values have fallen so much
@davidnash8586
@davidnash8586 10 ай бұрын
I know you are only talking about high priced cars but my diesel Peugeot Partner Teepee cost me 14 and a half thousand nine years ago and is now worth only 3 thousand against the only relatively similar vehicle which is a Rifter or Berlingo Multispace priced in the mid 20s or higher and I'm told will come with a rear cargo net fitted meaning it will be classed as an LGV and have its speed restricted to 50 and 60 mph ! Who thought that one up ? I walked out of the dealership with my money still in my pocket !
@robbiehutchin679
@robbiehutchin679 11 ай бұрын
I've just bought my wife a new hybrid Renault (boring I know but I have a 911 and a motorbike so it's fine). I didn't want that car but the deal was ridiculous. 0% no deposit and nearly half the monthlys I was paying on her ford puma. Manufacturers are definitely subsidising new cars, which will hit the used market. I think the bracket that is gonna suffer the most is £50k-120k heavily financed cars.
@brentpowell7889
@brentpowell7889 11 ай бұрын
Glad you got your priorities right 🤣👍
@robbiehutchin679
@robbiehutchin679 11 ай бұрын
@@brentpowell7889 haha yep!!
@adampadamify
@adampadamify 11 ай бұрын
Engineering Explained just claimed that adjusted for inflation the new M2 is actually cheaper than the old one when it came out 🤯 So inflation and interest rates are certainly a big part of this.
@robiulahmed
@robiulahmed 10 ай бұрын
This is why I bought a brand new GT86 back in 2013 and haven’t bothered to upgrade it.
@aj..23
@aj..23 10 ай бұрын
What’s happened is we’ve gone back to people only being able to drive what they can afford. Not people overextending on low PCP deals. You either have the money to buy a car, or you don’t. Answer is to work harder and earn more to pay for the things you want. Prior to KZfaq how many 30 somethings were driving round in Lambo’s / Ferraris / GT3’s. Pretty much none.
@AutoEnthusiastJC
@AutoEnthusiastJC 11 ай бұрын
21:27 yeah, interest rates were high in the 80s; however, the average joe could handle it, because houses were so cheap. Average people now can’t afford overinflated housing prices coupled with 7-8% interest on a mortgage. The purchase price of a house plays a big role in that equation.
@sp00ky1969
@sp00ky1969 11 ай бұрын
A lot of people couldn’t and there was a significant dip in the market as a result. Each percentage increase obviously equates to far more money when the house prices are ten time higher or more, plus the cost of living is out of control. When my Mum bought her house when I was young her mortgage and bills were one third of her net salary.
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