I remember being in second grade, writing George W. Bush a letter, encouraging him to legalize flying cars.

Who would think magazine covers could be nostalgic

As per usual, humanity is awful at predicting progress

“That 2020 would change everything.” This statement could not have been more right in the most Catastrophic and spectacular way possible

I love how they predicted the 2020s would be full of quantum computers using gene splicing to create clones of Data from Star Trek that could cure cancer and break encryption, but nobody saw AIs synthesizing Phil Collins singing "Never Gonna Give You Up" coming.

Tyler’s starting to make a whole lotta sense these days. Seems like his spiral into madness has ended.

I remember the hype arround Dolly the clone sheep. It even scared a bunch of politicians into outlawing human cloning. What a wacky times

Remember when people thought the iPhone was gonna flop? That was funny.

100% accurate

In 2040 we will be living in rust huts and using pipe pistols to fight off raiders

We aren't living in a sci-fi fantasy world or anything but to be fair tech has made a lot of very impressive progress.

Remember when computers didnt record and sell absolutely everything you did? I miss those days

Moral of the story: the entire world isn't gonna change drastically in like 20 years

Bender: "What a awful dream. I thought I saw a 2." Fry: "It was just a dream Bender, there is no such thing as 2."

Since it's "what the 2000s thought the 2020s would be: computers" does that mean we're getting other videos talking about other stuff we've expected of the '20s?

we went from being shocked that the future could change so much to being shocked that the future could change so little.

I have a book, borrowed from my father, about "predictions" for the future. I find funny how they imagined 2020s computers to become enormous box-like white monitors (the book was wrote in the 1970s).

I think it’s safe to say that Tyler is slowly recovering...

This might sound like over-idealistic dreameryism or whatever the kids call it these days, but lend me your eyes for a moment just so I can explain why the optimism from the 1990s and 2000s wasn't entirely off base but failed to anticipate the slump that occurred. Very much a "Sir, this is a Wendy's" tier comment coming up. 1: Let me explain *_foundational futurism_* which is my personal term for all the little things that build up to give us the fun, big things that we identify as The Future™ (there's likely an actual professional term for it that'll allow everyone to disregard my term). The idea is that you can't get a rocket ship without the Chemical Revolution, advances in metallurgy, and breakthroughs in ICBM tech. Likewise, you can't get the internet without massive infrastructural projects, fiber optic advancements, and the existence of computers to begin with. We expect loads of advanced tech to just fall into our lap because "It's Current Sci-Fi Year, Where's My Jetpack?" The chief problem with foundational futurism is just how _agonizingly boring it is_ to discuss. The Future™ turned out to be enterprise portals, business-rules management, wikis, and smartphones when everyone wanted interstellar portals, bioaugmentation, and sexbots. But when you really break it down, how exactly do you get to things like advanced AI? The "good ol' fashioned" idea is that you just punch in loads of rules and a map of the brain into a sufficiently powerful computer and voila. The latest SOTA (state-of-the-art) AIs show glimmers of generality (mainly the likes of GPT-3 and DALL-E), and they're only possible with big data and extreme compute. Crunching petabytes of data in a day just to connect words to meanings. Try making something like GPT-3 when there's only a few thousand computers worldwide and they all have 3600-baud connections and a collective total of 500 megabytes of data on all of them at any one time. So you need advancements in computers, but you also need things like smartphone proliferation, mass documenting of the world, mass uploads of documents like books and conversations, and much much more. It's a constellation of developments just to create one thing that's futuristic. Or, in other words, laying down the foundation to build a starscraper. Perhaps _the_ single most infamous example of this is fusion power. We all know the meme "fusion is always 50 years away," but have you ever stopped to ask _why_ it's always 50 years away? The plainest answer is that it's not funded well enough, but even that doesn't sum up the whole picture. The cold fact is just that in order to build fusion power plants, we need to develop the technology needed to develop the technology needed to develop fusion power plants, and that alone involves a wider array of things to create. Directly funding fusion is a misunderstanding; we're really funding the research labs that develop the disparate innovations that'll ultimately culminate in fusion power. Or, in other words, we're currently stuck building the technological foundations of the future." Foundational futurism, if you will. But that's not as easy to remember as "fusion is always 50 years away." 2: Pop hype and forgetting the "fiction" in science fiction. These magazines dumb a lot of the bigger, loftier concepts down to the layman so they can be easily understood, but the fundamental issue is that some of these developments, innovations, and technologies really can ONLY be properly understood with a scholarly level of knowledge; you can certainly dumb them down to understand them, but you invariably wind up comparing them to science fiction concepts that are much more advanced and often never intended to actually be feasible. Science fiction is usually a cautionary tale of present trends, but it's also FICTION. Even the hardest of science fiction has to follow narrative conventions and plot beats that all but forces events to happen for some dramatic stake (literary and maybe kishotenketsu-based sci-fi can get around this, but those aren't common in the West). So combine an over-generalized understanding of technology with a need to fit it all into pop cultural tropes and cliches, and then couple that with a desire to catch readers' eyes and you have all those magazines' fanciful tales of why 2020 would be on the verge of Star Trek. Think of flying cars. We have passenger drones now that serve the same purpose; they're actively being tested. Drone taxis resolve the biggest issue flying cars always had: the horrifying prospect of a human pilot. Imagine a drunk or depressed teenager flying their car around; we'd be looking at megadeaths within a year just in singular countries. Autonomous vehicle technology is necessary for true flying cars (see: foundational futurism above), but popular sci-fi seems to hate the idea of a computer controlling your flying car, supposedly the ultimate machine of freedom. And even when the concept of flying cars is brought up, you're lucky if anyone mentions the possibility of autonomous vehicle tech overcoming that limitation because repeating how crappy humans are at navigating 2D space, let alone 3D space, is funnier and appeals to more people and dominates the discussion. 3: Revolutionary curves. If you've ever discussed AI and the various esoteric concepts around it, you've probably heard about "S-curves" at some point. This is basically true for technological developments in general. We've actually been here before, disillusioned with a sudden lack of progress after decades of extreme innovation. Heck, we've been here TWICE. We've already had three industrial revolutions before now, which were roughly 50 to 60-year long bouts of rapid technological improvement and the social/political/economic changes that resulted. But what isn't often taught are the slumps in between, which usually last 15 to 25 years, where the change slows and become more or less iterative improvements over what was developed while the next generation is created in the background, yet to explode. The end of the first industrial revolution back in the 1830s caused an economic depression! However, there wasn't much angst about "technological stagnation" because most of the changes never reached the hands of the common people and the idea of technological progress was an alien concept to people back then to begin with, who considered society to scarcely be different from that of the Ancient Greeks other than grander empires and some extra steam power. The end of the second was around world war 1's end, and there was definitely a sense around 1940 that all the great technological innovations had ceased a generation prior in the killing fields of France in lieu of everyone reloading for another pointless war. But in retrospect, this is bogus because of things like the aforementioned Chemical Revolution, discovery of penicillin, birth of rocketry, birth of modern computing, birth of televised media, and much more. At the same time, it's easy to forget that this didn't just pop into existence and become accepted overnight; heck, penicillin was still experimental up until World War 2, well over a decade after it was discovered. And it was after WWII that the Digital Revolution started and continued up until around 2000. However, the sheer hype over the year 2000 and the turn of the millennium (think back to how many movies and video games hyped up the year 2000 before it happened) kept a lot of that optimism going for several years until it became plainly obvious that we weren't in the throes of a cyberpunk age just yet and that the third industrial revolution ended right as 2000s-mania was getting started. All the pieces for the fourth are in place right now, and especially in the world of artificial intelligence some of the first hammers have even dropped, but it's definitely going to take a few more years before that recognition of technological acceleration returns. *TLDR: I reject your reality and substitute my own.*

I saw a newspaper article from the early 1990s how Wales would get full internet access by 2020 which is really funny to me

To be fair, at 1:14, laser weapons are indeed a thing now. They're not bright red like star wars, but they exist

Okay so I read this as “Why the 2020s will be like the 2000s.” And I was about to jump off the roof of my dormitory 🥲

"Keep your expectations low and you will never be disappointed."

"the future being last year" forgot we're in the future again

This was surprisingly coherent lol

Man, all that hope and optimism of the 00s. The idea that just around the corner was a better world. That technology was going to improve our lives, and that the coming years would be full of wonders. Naïve? Yes. Over optimistic? Of course. We, in our more cynical age, can jeer at those wild predictions. But I'd rather have a world of wild hopes and naïve optimism than this current age of ennui and despair.

Popular science. That’s a blast from the past

Remember the futuristic music from the prom scene in _Starship Troopers?_ Writing future music is hard.

I guess they didn't have 2020 vision 😎

You missed the "replace silicon with doped synthetic diamond" prediction. I read that one in Wired back in the day.

Expectation: by 2020, silicone will be obselete. Reality: people making fun of Intel for sticking with 14nm silicone chips.

I was a kid in the 1980s, and surprise surprise, the predictions back then were similarly outrageous and impossible to live up to.

“It doesn’t mean that the particle wants to flip with you” It’s sounds like it wants to for me

12:23 Wait, that’s not Data! It’s Lor, Data’s evil brother!

Past predictions of the future are always extremely *fascinating*. It'll be interesting to see what current predictions are off or not, and to what extent.

I’m still hoping that cybernetics and extended life spans are still on the table. Also you should clone your channels on Odysee.

The quantum computing section was even funnier with you struggling to explain quantum mechanics in simple terms. I am currently taking the class in college, funny thing is the textbook we use says on the first page that no physicist know “what” quantum mechanics “is”, they just know how to do the math.

Make this a series with all different types of predictions, this was cool

My dad was usually smart enough to dash apart any pop-sci that would get me excited as a kid. I admit, I still get a little dreamy about optical computers, and that only grew when I fell into a job that got heavy into fiber-optic theory after college. But, yeah, we keep on solving problems with copper and silicon semiconductors, so it keeps on being a waste to reinvent the wheel. Doesn't mean I don't still want one though. Fun video, I'd enjoy watching this premise on other topics beyond computing.

The future is the biggest disappointment that has happened to me, including myself

Now you have to make a 2040 prediction video

I’m so glad you discussed quantum computers in terms of their calculations, rather than the misunderstanding that it would increase our storage. And also that only certain calculations even run on them.

I found this video really good because I remember as well people talking about all these developments in computers but since nobody has talked about them in so long I had forgotten about them. It was fun to learn about why they didn't work out. Also thanks for mentioning your new channel as I do enjoy hearing you talk about stuff and your video style so I am going to go check it out.

Prediction for 2050: you'll have to purchase the iphone camera separately

The year is 2000 you play this great game called age of empire 2, The year is 2020 age of empires 2 was remastered and you play it. End of story ;)

I have new channel you can watch it if you want kzfaq.info

i love how you jump into 'Dolly' when you're talking about computers. It was truely a craze, people were losing their minds back then. Even the movies made about 'cloned people going mad after they reach the age when their donors died', tons of them.

Last time I was this early, this line was original.

I‘ve gotten really interested into the idea of how people imagined their not-so-far future. Thanks for making this!

Finally great audio quality! Thanks so much

There was a TV show I loved as a kid called "Beyond 2000" I'd like to watch it again and see what they got right and how wrong they were on other things. Edit: I just looked, some episodes are here on KZfaq. I know what I'm watching next. Last time I looked they weren't uploaded yet.

Although I was born in 2007 I do remember hearing about robot teachers that said they were going to be a normal thing by 2020, but instead they went defunct in 2013.

In 1998 I was in 7th grade and I had to write a little prediction for the future of computers. I said that laptops would get smaller and less heavy so they were the size and weight of a notebook, and would have some alternate kind of input instead of a keyboard or mouse (too unwieldy). Maybe there'd be a way to draw on the screen with a pen? Just cuz, you know, that was what *I* wanted.

Just found your stuff, this is a great video series dude! Just doing my part to feed the algorithm and all tht jazz, keep up the good work!

I am happy KZfaq has finally shown me your channel! Now I must watch everything so you can help you and your cats.

I love how we always over-predict how fast tech evolves.

PS in 2000: ‘2020 is going to be awesome’ 2020’s actual: * trying not to die

Awesome series, can’t believe I have not been recommended this channel earlier!

You're Freaking AWESOME !! I LOVE your work !

I still remember those future shows from the 2000s. A lot of things from those shows didn't happen, so it's no wonder why they aren't around anymore. But it's probably not as bad as how the 80s thought the 2000s would be, or even just the year 2000 in general!

I remember reading some of these magazines and predictions back in the 2000s as a kid.

Good video ! well researched and accurate.

I love the intro, watch it over and over again, and its so funny how you say "I mean its a magazine, it comes through the mail, it gotta be legit" 😂 fantastic video, good job

There are publicly available quantum computers you can used over the internet. It was a few years ago, but I remember a five Qbit quantum computer being available for running programs on. IBM I think. Blue Wave or something like that. Edit: "We could craft life in our living rooms." Pretty sure people have been doing that for as long as there have been living rooms.

What we think would be in 2047: flying cars What really is going on in 2047: new memes

Well researched, explained and illustrated.

Keep putting out videos like this and I’m in for the long haul

My wife worked on part of the human genome project when she worked at LLNL in Pleasanton, ca. The 'miraculous "life saving" 'covid 'vaccine' features the same geneome hacking tool used by the lab; Crispr.

I can relate to this so much ,this and popular mechanics.

Would genuinely be interested in more videos along this theme!

Great video Tyler

Just got the urge to research stuff completely out of my league yet interesting as hell.

I would love a 3-hour video 2000's predictions for 2020

Watched a couple of your videos. You got yourself a sub and a share.

I love videos like this. I wish I go 30 years into the future and see a video about 2050 predictions from 2020

I had at least 50-60 PopSci and PopMechanics magazines that I collected over the years as a child, starting around 2003. All stacked in a big Tupperware bin. Agree 100% with his description. Was my best way of seeing what the future might look like, before the internet got big. Then I turned 27, was moving into my first place with my new wife. Had to be selective with stuff I brought during the move. Magazines had to go. ;_;

I will make a prediction for 2040: *NOTHING NOTABLE WILL HAPPEN* Or, at least nothing _good_ will happen that's important to anything.

Ty for this. No one explains it like that

Finally the "second channel" link in your description works

Tyler needs money for cat food For the cat Tyler has not yet resorted to eating cat food 😂

Moral of the story: we are still waiting for flying cars

This is my first video I've seen of yours but damn I like it lol.

For anyone who may be interested in these type of speculations of the past, it's called "retro-futurism", and series such as Fallout draw upon that in a very interesting way

Nice to see that the meds are starting to work Tyler.

Will there be an Alternate History video on the world if these predictions did happen?

Dude yes, Popular Science and Popular Mechanics covers are burned into my head!

Getting to a million! You got this

I was born in 1999 and had my first conscious thought in 2004, and throughout the mid 00’s to the early 10’s, technology was evolving so fast that I sincerely thought the future that we predicted would happen.

I swear Tyler from Knowledge Hub has a 100 microphones he just rotates between videos

I used to read Popular Science and Popular Mechanics a lot. I remember quite a bit of those covers.

Make this a series man! Couple hours or not!

I like that he just does whatever he wants.

I feel like a crazy guy for thinking quantum computing won't and can't work. Quantum entanglement is like two pendulums perfectly syncing.

I remember Popular Science. That flying car one specifically. Nostalgia stuff!

First off, this takes me back, glad someone is covering this. Second, I know there are plenty of interpretations here, but superposition collapse isn't happening in this hypothetical processing in your 'brain tubes' but in this analogy, from the light which collided into it before it got into your brain tubes. Through interference from the environment, either by methods to measure or just random events, the super-position gains a determinate state. It's not due to processing in the human brain, as this isn't a discrete process nor is it salient to quantum mechanics. The interpretation part of it has to do with the deeper implications, like the one electron theory and parallel universes. That's where it gets really hard to differentiate the woo from the science.

If only they knew what 2020 will actually come up with.

"Playing God" has lost it's meaning word for word throughout the generations.

Popsci every other decade: were gonna go to space and have flying cars Popsci in 2000: LONG LIVE THE NEW FLESH!

I want more of this please!

Ok but by 2040 we’re totally going to have flying cars.