Is the Bitcoin Cycle Broken? With The Rational Root

Рет қаралды 38,127

Күн бұрын

The Rational Root is a Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analyst. In this interview, we discuss the Bitcoin ETF flows and how this cycle compares to previous ones, where we are on Root’s spiral chart, the supply dynamics at play and how liquid supply is dropping rapidly.
“Personally I don’t really need those models, I believe Bitcoin is going to go eventually to a million dollars…and I expect at least prices above $140K this cycle.”
- The Rational Root
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TIMESTAMPS:
00:00:00 Introduction
00:03:57 Spiral Chart 3D
00:19:17 ETF flows
00:27:17 Cycle alignment
00:33:36 Supply dynamics
00:39:46 Liquid supply; HODL model
00:50:06 S2F; value map; multiplier effect
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#Bitcoin #Finance #Money #Crypto #Economics

Пікірлер: 134

@lifeisgood5410 19 күн бұрын

I drive Uber and use that money to stack sats…I listen to this podcast while I uber… thank you for this content brother keep being great I’m locked in

@BoronKrypton2 19 күн бұрын

Keep stacking 🤜🤛

@robertgross9580 19 күн бұрын

JOE KENNEDY, a famous rich guy in his day, exited the stock market in timely fashion after a shoeshine boy gave him some stock tips. He figured that when the shoeshine boys have tips, the market is too popular for its own good, a theory also advanced by Bernard Baruch, another vested interest who described the scene before the big Crash: "Taxi drivers told you what to buy. The shoeshine boy could give you a summary of the day's financial news as he worked with rag and polish. An old beggar who regularly patrolled the street in front of my office now gave me tips and, I suppose, spent the money I and others gave him in the market. My cook had a brokerage account and followed the ticker closely. Her paper profits were quickly blown away in the gale of 1929."

@Securethemsats 19 күн бұрын

I do the same thing bro 🔥

@MrMr-dn7vs 19 күн бұрын

Fuck yes. Love to hear it! Great job mate.

@matthewmaguire3554 18 күн бұрын

Doordasher here…Can’t say how much listening to podcasts while driving have helped in my Bitcoin education and realizing how need to listen to a three hour talk and walk away with one new insight…and it’s worth it.🐇

@eddiek5966 19 күн бұрын

BEEN IN THIS MARKET FOR 7 YEARS, and let me tell you nobody i mean NOBODY has a fucking clue but HOPE.PERIOD

@wickedsmartbitcoin 19 күн бұрын

Dope spiral animation, root. Next level, m8. 🍻

@rkalla 19 күн бұрын

Amazing amount of information worked into that spiral chart - gold

@greganastas 19 күн бұрын

Thought I was watching you on rumble switching now! Cant wait until all content creators I watch post there...Preston

@juanllauro3799 14 күн бұрын

Awesome as usual, thanks for sharing your insights

@technotarzan4044 18 күн бұрын

anyone know the name of the book on RR shelf under the BTC Standard?

@seandarrah828 19 күн бұрын

Perfect timing for this video… Thanks, Peter we needed this…

@junipersnow1 19 күн бұрын

So fun, really like all the charts. Finally understanding Rational Roots focus, was over my head a few years ago.

@johngammon963 19 күн бұрын

This is key regarding Power law = it does well on 'historic data'.

@Campy1 14 күн бұрын

What other data are you supposed to use? Data from the future?

@domenicofornas 14 күн бұрын

Rational Root charts are amazing! Thank your for this episode!

@LeeJF1 19 күн бұрын

Good show thanks bro 🤝

@adrianlopez3373 19 күн бұрын

Fantastic chats!

@MD97123 18 күн бұрын

The new spiral chart is very cool!

@Mark-yy2ki 19 күн бұрын

Does anyone know what rational root's tshirt means? Because I saw someone wearing it yesterday in the supermarket.

@PreciousMetalinvest 18 күн бұрын

It means BTC

@dospy1 17 күн бұрын

It's the math ecuation for the total Bitcoin supply.

@TheBitcoinBlock 19 күн бұрын

Buy the dip!

@LongDefiant 19 күн бұрын

Veggie dip? 🥁

@astroNexx 19 күн бұрын

bro I've been deployed for over a year, no more funds

@recongraves 18 күн бұрын

Get in them Fiat mines son@@astroNexx

@mazza3137 19 күн бұрын

Thanks Peter. You keep bringing great guests to the table. ❤️👍

@XLeration 19 күн бұрын

We're so bullish with these charts the price went down 10% right away

@astroNexx 19 күн бұрын

good. more time to stack

@cesuntbanii 19 күн бұрын

lol. yeah, bitcoin stores value it just so happens that the value dropped

@adiintel1 18 күн бұрын

Short term?@@cesuntbanii

@relbik66 16 күн бұрын

What is 10%? 😂

@Bertol.Gretch 18 күн бұрын

34:55 Supply decrease supposed to be bullish but in that chart seems directly correlated with price..

@gregoryw9 19 күн бұрын

Just when I thought the spiral chart couldn’t get any better - 3D with hashrate now! So bullish 🔥

@michaellehmann2803 18 күн бұрын

Anyone know what the formula on Root’s shirt is?

@dospy1 17 күн бұрын

Math ecuation for Bitcoin total supply

@pauljge 10 күн бұрын

What brand is the cap Danny is wearing? Looks cool 😎

@MiroPribanic 19 күн бұрын

long live the Root....always interesting to listen to the Carrot ;-)

@arloc24 18 күн бұрын

I’m 52 hoping to end the rat race by 60 with above $1M. I know money is a liability to be exchanged for assets with real value like real estate (properties for rent) stocks (dividends) bonds (interest) But, what is it with bitcoin? I hear a lot about it and I'd love to diversify my portfolio.

@PreciousMetalinvest 17 күн бұрын

Hearing that you won’t have to sell you can rent bitcoin to the banks etc We’ll have to see

@crisper1614 19 күн бұрын

If he drinks carrot juice. Does that make him a vampire? 🤔

@fighterpilot12 19 күн бұрын

No, a cannibal.

@stevenp3050 19 күн бұрын

Great podcast Peter and team! Mayor Mccormick 🎉

@BradleyT2p2 19 күн бұрын

That spiral is badass

@markpalmer8083 18 күн бұрын

More video podcasts? I thought you did them in person.

@rewolfer 10 күн бұрын

The charts need horizontal gridlines. Hard to line up prices with the chart

@TheRealDerekS 19 күн бұрын

Root is good. But multiple astrophysicists have confirmed one equation: Price = 10^-17 days ^5.83 This is the power law. If you dont understand the power law, you have no idea what's actually happening here. BTC is a scale invariant force of nature. It takes Roots model to the next level. Credit to Geo and Steven... get them on!

@mbshawaii 18 күн бұрын

Danny doesn't like math lol

@aussieman8738 17 күн бұрын

Most of astrophysics is bull.sh.. the earth is flat. Can't get out of the dome.

@westra4 19 күн бұрын

Nice

@bitcoinpoemspro1406 19 күн бұрын

Thx

@adamkasprowicz 16 күн бұрын

People often see connections where there are none. On charts, they ignore points that disprove a thesis and focus on lines that support it. The truth is, if you work with the data long enough, you can fit a dog shape into a chart. Random footsteps in the snow can create interesting patterns, yet they are just noise. This is exactly what's happening here.

@adamkasprowicz 16 күн бұрын

*said a man who lost a ton of wealth following S2F and other gurus last cycle. When the music stops playing, it's a hard stop, not just a pause. The BTC tech is superb, yet most of the gains come from the liquidity in the legacy fiat system.

@antoniomiguelcabrileslocci7862 19 күн бұрын

What a great video, charts, data and more data, my head is boiling. Please Follow up in six Months to see how it plays out.

@LL-wn8yw 19 күн бұрын

That tool is some space x rocket building level ap

@kestreljc1559 19 күн бұрын

I think the HODL Model S more accurately reflects the fact of all the bitcoin lost and continuing to be lost since inception.

@DonBrott-jz8it 19 күн бұрын

We in the 2nd ammendment USA have an unpleasant high speed lead surprise for theives...I will NOT HESITATE!

@ploutosroman4206 19 күн бұрын

Does rational root have a Twitter handle?

@X_x77x_X 19 күн бұрын

It's hilarious how people don't understand power laws. Power laws don't make things; things make power laws, Danny. Denying that Bitcoin has been making a power law is like riding in a car going 60 miles per hour and arguing that it's not going that fast when you're in the car looking at the speedometer. And why the US dollar holds the power law the best is because it is the slowest to inflate; every other fiat currency inflates faster.

@mbshawaii 18 күн бұрын

💯

@antoniomiguelcabrileslocci7862 19 күн бұрын

Thanks Carrot man!!🥕🥕🥕🥕🥕🥕

@markwalker8374 19 күн бұрын

3-D spiral chart in orange - very carrot like

@haraldclark6206 18 күн бұрын

Would be great to see Maya on the show, great hope for Suriname!

@mtc_77 19 күн бұрын

long live Danny Knowles, first of his name, king of the andals and the first men and lord of the seven kingdoms.

@alivarfan1009 19 күн бұрын

Great interview, can you please invite him once a month, Please?

@off-roadingcars 16 күн бұрын

Can you get Plan B on?

@wouter7165 15 күн бұрын

No thanks

@noname-yk3dr 18 күн бұрын

What if you looked at that circular graph as the earth's core?

@lastsonofkrypton3918 19 күн бұрын

Never try to catch a falling knife.

@relbik66 16 күн бұрын

Right thats why you HODL bro 😅

@DrYahtzeeFish 14 күн бұрын

Give us the fucking spiral chart!

@tenmike 18 күн бұрын

Root is the best

@JeganBedpal 19 күн бұрын

Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kerrie Farrell, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.....

@Johnylabb 18 күн бұрын

One thing is not reflected there, is the fact that 100KUSD now are half the value of the same money 4 years ago. In other words, the real all time high Will be when we reach like 140k.

@josephcohen9480 17 күн бұрын

Whenever guests on shows say 1 million$ BTC they need to say what that is worth in 2024 purchasing power. 1 mill in 5 years will be what 200k is today

@88gcllc 19 күн бұрын

Cycle isn’t broken, “they” r simply trying to shake out retail. BTC 2 make new ATH’s soon enuf, b patient and DCA while cheap

@adiintel1 18 күн бұрын

You mean turn the ship around?

@Notjoefresh 16 күн бұрын

Is it really that different from criminals breaking into houses and demanding your bank card and PIN number?

@markpalmer8083 14 күн бұрын

Yes. You're not likely to have easy access to a few million with your bank card and PIN.

@modelmark 17 күн бұрын

It's summer, it's nice e weather outside... not where you and me live carrot man, NL summer cancelled

@daxion9416 19 күн бұрын

Need to be institutions to carry BTC above 70k , retail don’t buy BTC above 70k,why not make a split like they do to stocks for the price be lower? Or start utilizing the price in sats.

@relbik66 16 күн бұрын

How do you know?

@Joel_G_NZ 19 күн бұрын

Who else let out an audible "Ooh!" when the spiral chart flipped 3D

@disco4535 16 күн бұрын

It cracks me up how this happens multiple times EVERY. SINGLE. CYCLE. And every single time people lose their minds. Not sure if they think they're going to get rich quick? Those days are LONG gone

@LongDefiant 19 күн бұрын

I don't know why people are so excited about the ETFs. ETFs just short the coin back into the market. They don't reduce BTC supply. Maybe the miners do better but they haven't juiced the coin price.

@RichardHowells1234 19 күн бұрын

AI and endo-cannabinoids Like the spiral!

@Annnnndbitcoinfixesthis 19 күн бұрын

Always carry a pew pew.

@PeterPan30000 19 күн бұрын

Omg, this is a literal porn chart

@XLeration 19 күн бұрын

The current bitcoin price isn't though...

@MiroPribanic 19 күн бұрын

meant to make you hot...on BTC ;-)

@junipersnow1 19 күн бұрын

If this were porn charts I ejaculated at the Spiral chart, could not hold out to the end. There I said it. 🤣😂🤣

@robreke 16 күн бұрын

I’m not sure I can take since dude with a carrot over his face seriously. Wait, yes I’m now sure - I can’t.

@Ohanxx 19 күн бұрын

This narrative is based on that the economy stays stable as is for the next years. Remember that if the fiat economy tanks, it will drag btc down as well. Things are looming in the shadows

@MoonSWGOH 18 күн бұрын

In a way. Each time a bank fails, Bitcoin gets stronger.

@mmcrypto2403 19 күн бұрын

Since I became so rich in cryptocurrency I realise that crypto is the future cuz I invested 10k and made up to 36k as weekly profit I appreciate the help of your channel 😃🙂.....

@skipondowntheroad5833 19 күн бұрын

Please refer us to your totally legitimate trading guru with three totally not weird names.

@oldgreenbus 16 күн бұрын

SIK.. waffle cone

@l00k210 19 күн бұрын

25:10 outflows due to high fees? BS.. even you?

@pejuangreceh4220 17 күн бұрын

Buy buy #notcoin

@dasfahrer8187 19 күн бұрын

BTC doesn't have any reason to go any higher at this point as it's adoption and ownership is currently saturated. It's going to have to have a massive innovation break-thru somewhere to spur another round of demand if it's to get back above $75k. Otherwise expect $25k BTC by the end of 2025.

@jcantonelli1 19 күн бұрын

Lol.

@Recoveryplus 18 күн бұрын

Pessimists sound smart. Optimists make money.

@Jesus_Lied_ReadTheBible 19 күн бұрын

Support is broken the bull market is over. Great run up in March, sucks if you were chasing!

@jackc1222 4 күн бұрын

Let me save you an hour of your time. No.

@meridianheights6255 17 күн бұрын

What is wrong with this guy? I don't listen to talking veggies.

@ericwilson2632 17 күн бұрын

😂🎉😂🎉😂so you listen to people that eat meat 🤣

@PeerkeP 19 күн бұрын

And if we don't reach 140k this cycle, you can always draw some different lines to fit a new narrative and explain why the bull run didn't take off. Really reminds me of PlanB and his delusional predictions. Get ready to be disappointed by Bitcoin and all the "Technical Analysts" once again.

@johannesburgreal441 16 күн бұрын

what a terrible guest. he's lame - why give him attention?

@John-wf5if 19 күн бұрын

In recent times, I don't know a single person who has (positively) brought up the topic of Bitcoin, let alone bought Bitcoin. Retail money is drying up and new participants are few and far between. A wildly fluctuating store of value with no transactional utility (due to fees and cap gains on all transactions) is apparently not a solid foundation for adoption.

@Chris_Richard 19 күн бұрын

You should get out while you still can. We’ll keep the light on for you

@P__114 19 күн бұрын

I bet you own Cardano or Bcash

@nated80 19 күн бұрын

You have no idea what you're talking about.

@geoms6263 19 күн бұрын

retail lost money in the past cycles .... do you think they did not learn their lesson?

@formxshape 19 күн бұрын

How are you measuring recent times? The last few hours? Days? Weeks? Years? Decades?

@markjaramilloGTA 18 күн бұрын

Then Germany and Mt Gox pushed out the ⏲️ time

@paulkieffer1189 19 күн бұрын

Bought 332k at 54k. That was all my liquid cash on the sidelines. I’m all in bitcoin. Can’t buy anymore dips. I’m 100% all in now.

@user-bj3qp4cu9k 19 күн бұрын

Bought 2 BTC at 17 K. Even at this price I'm up 300%! I'm all in, HODLing and Buying The Dip. 25% drawback is NORMAL 2 or 3 times, hist. The MEGA Run isn't even SUPPOSED to start until October or so if the Cycle repeats the previous 3 patterns. It's worth the risk for poten10× more. Even 3× more is a huge win for ANY asset.