Why Biden is Overtaking Trump in the Polls
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Күн бұрынGet Nebula using my link for 40% off an annual subscription: go.nebula.tv/tldrnewsglobal
Despite taking an early lead, Donald Trump appears to be falling behind Biden in national polling as the incumbent President sees a surge in support. So in this video, we'll break down why the current news cycle and campaign funding has shifted the polls.
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1 - / 1779928041365340668
2 - www.racetothewh.com/president...
3 - www.realclearpolling.com/poll...
4 - www.ft.com/content/bdd37729-8...
5 - www.reuters.com/markets/us/us...
6 - www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/up...
7 - www.politico.com/news/2024/04...
8 - truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTr...
9 - apnews.com/article/arizona-ab...
10 - www.washingtonpost.com/politi...
11 - www.theguardian.com/us-news/2...
12 - www.politico.com/news/2022/12...
13 - www.washingtonpost.com/politi...
14 - www.forbes.com/sites/alisondu...
15 - www.reuters.com/world/us/trum...
16 - www.ft.com/content/3b07d22b-8...
17 - www.newsweek.com/exclusive-bi...
18 - www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024...
19 - www.axios.com/2024/03/28/rnc-...
20 - projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
00:00 Introduction
00:48 Polling Updates
01:45 Abortion Issues
04:42 Biden’s Campaign Funds
06:48 What Does This Mean?
07:31 Nebula
@BS-jw7nf Ай бұрын
these two are really in a competition about who is hated the least huh
@lubu2960 Ай бұрын
why would i hate biden?
@user-nh6op5rq4y Ай бұрын
How did the US get to this point? I mean, the two very old and not very sane men are fighting for the presidency? Aren't there younger people in American politics?
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
trump is definitely hated more
@cazman182 Ай бұрын
It's the only way a 2 party voting system like the US goes. You do not get representation. All you can do is put what little weight you have behind one of the two horrible options.
@thepax2621 Ай бұрын
Its been that way since Trump vs Hillary 😅
@wizzzer1337 Ай бұрын
In 2020 the elections were about who gained more voted, in 2024 it's about who loses more votes.
@Tiasung Ай бұрын
Truly an upside-down world.
@blinkdawae9291 Ай бұрын
Curious how the votes changed after the deaths of people in America now that the Pandemic is not as crazy as it was with testing or lockdowns, and how abortion can change some of the state results?
@JonSmith-hk1bq Ай бұрын
That was kinda 2020 as well.
@mastomax Ай бұрын
The truth is in the United States is difficult to choose
@jerryrichardson2799 Ай бұрын
@@mastomaxNo, it's easy. The US has the highest growth and employment in the G7 with the lowest inflation. Biden for the win.
@josephhesse2634 Ай бұрын
Trump’s lawsuit could fund my country for a year …. WTF
@yao_chin1022 Ай бұрын
Or it could end up in his pockets hidden somewhere in a shell company away from Taxes which could also help fund the country. But Trump doesn't like paying taxes.
@gtrdxz Ай бұрын
As he said, i have more indictments than Al Capone.
@Beenhaar030 Ай бұрын
The lawsuit was 450 million according to this video. Thailand's GDP is 495 BILLION. The costs of Trump's lawsuits are still staggering but your country could still fund over a thousand of them
@christiananderson9015 Ай бұрын
@@gtrdxzal capone wasn't stupid enough to become a politician
@Tespri Ай бұрын
@@gtrdxz just shows how desperate the establishment is to eliminate someone who opposes them.
@hydrogammer7623 Ай бұрын
It is unsettling how much money is needed to just get noticed.
@Kaliflow133 Ай бұрын
Good news is that's changing. The Internet and everybody on their phones has really reduced the power of money in campaigns. Unfortunately it has also reduced the complexity of the overall debate during the campaigns.
@MikeB-ev4fh Ай бұрын
@@Kaliflow133 Online advertising is more effective in general than traditional advertising
@supersuede91 Ай бұрын
Mass immigration makes Trump more impossible to elect every 5 years that go by
@dv9239 Ай бұрын
@@Kaliflow133 wait till you hear about the sponsored social media campaigns
@ASMRDoodlez Ай бұрын
Vivek did get a lot of reach by going on every show and podcast on earth, but getting going before that likely required a few of his hundreds of millions of dollars.
@phoebus86 Ай бұрын
I can't wait to read this very civil comment section
@StarterOffical-Jousha-lf6ig Ай бұрын
*War
@JenniferA886 Ай бұрын
Same
@cidey1855 Ай бұрын
its more civil than i expected actually
@mapper7310 Ай бұрын
Its very civil actually, but I imagine that has a lot to do with the audience of this channel being (I assume) pretty international
@lostlogic6911 Ай бұрын
@@cidey1855 It means the MAGA hasn't arrived yet.
@majk2200 Ай бұрын
Hey, please move the ceramic cactus further, every video it is getting closer to falling off. The topics themselves are anxiety-inducing and that is just too much
@lumpydark6173 Ай бұрын
why did you have to point that out now I see it too.
@phoenixmodellingphotography Ай бұрын
Don't you understand? The ceramic cactus is a metaphor for our society and as we get closer and closer to a nuclear destruction that will push our civilization over the hypothetical edge and fall from the top of the food chain down into extinction, as does the ceramic cactus. The rest of the unoccupied space on the table represents the friends we made along the way
@EbonySaints Ай бұрын
"Why the cactus will not fall off the shelf. Three reasons as to why the cactus is totally fine." >Proceeds to show a picture of the cactus from 2022.
@mintcrisp94 Ай бұрын
@@phoenixmodellingphotography The ceramic cactus doomsday clock is an interesting measurement.
@PaulJokiel Ай бұрын
Can't unsee.
@TheBrianWalrath 21 күн бұрын
Well, this didn't age well. Only 2 weeks later, and the bump is gone.
@mariuspuiu9555 15 күн бұрын
not really. polls vary, but in overall they've remained fairly consistent over the past few weeks. for example, The Hill shows a narrow 0.1 lead for Biden and The Morning Consult shows them to be tied. ABC News has an interesting poll which focuses on all adults vs registered voters vs "likely voters" and it seems those that Biden is much better at the "likely voters" part with a 4 point lead. Not sure how accurate/biased that poll is. It could be true because of how much people hate Trump and don't want to see him again which in turn motivates them to vote. (kinda why he lost last time)
@smithb0134 Ай бұрын
I've said this on channel many times before: polling this far from the election is meaningless. Independents decide elections, and they don’t respond to pollsters. Partisans eagerly respond to pollsters. Polling is becoming an endangered profession in the US.
@jonmel Ай бұрын
What matter is the polls in swing states , nothing else
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
what matters is the election result it swing states, polls are pretty useless
@HeortirtheWoodwarden Ай бұрын
Pretty much only Michigan and Pennsylvania. Biden needs both to win. Anything else and he loses, at least the way things are looking right now.
@noahjohnson935 Ай бұрын
ironic, considering Conservatives defend the Electoral College as "giving rural states a voice" even though they silence us
@uweinhamburg Ай бұрын
Correct! The USA election system isn't really a role model for other countries, right? Based on a country with stage coaches as a means of communications..
@HeortirtheWoodwarden Ай бұрын
@@uweinhamburgEvery piece of the country needs representation, not just urban centers.
@lungstache8423 Ай бұрын
Winning the popular vote is irrelevant in US presidential elections though, that’s how Trump got in the first time, people seem to assume it’s a direct vote, it isn’t, at least not until the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into force.
@LoneWolf-wp9dn Ай бұрын
"give more power to the little guy" "oh wait not like that"
@Hideyoshi1991 Ай бұрын
It is most of the time, but it has become more of a problem recently.
@RadagastTheBrwn Ай бұрын
that is not why trump got elected my dude - us dems didnt just sit there on election day as the results rolled in looking around thinking "wait is ISNT a popular vote?!" ridic.
@justinrozario2003 Ай бұрын
Almost as if the system is supposed to check tyranny of the majority or something
@JakubWojciechowski933 Ай бұрын
It's not fully inrrelevant. Popular vote decides who will vote in the actual presidental elections
@seamusoneill99 Ай бұрын
Just wanted to say very good job with the graphics, transitions, and presenting in this video. Looks very professional, keep up the good work!
@Dr.Magic. Ай бұрын
You showed Ohio, US as restrictive against abortion rights. Actually, Ohio enshrined abortion access into its constitution in Nov. 2023.
@cxzact9204 Ай бұрын
That map was all kinds of wacky and weird. New Hampshire and Rhode Island were both yellow even though they have identical laws to their dark blue neighbors on that map.
@danielpavialivori7832 Ай бұрын
oh no,
@gingernightmare9152 Ай бұрын
And then the Ohio judiciary refused to pass any laws that will enact said access.
@gottagofast62 Ай бұрын
The Arizona ruling may honestly be the biggest gift Biden could've received, as horrible as it is. There's most likely going to be a referendum legalizing abortion in Arizona that will be on the ballot in November, which would be HUGE for democrat turnout.
@DonCorleone4 Ай бұрын
Nothing horrible about it. Average uneducated liberal lmao
@ASocialistTransGirl Ай бұрын
not too horrible consequentially speaking, as arizona’s AG said she won’t enforce it, so even better for democrats!
@alexlehrersh9951 Ай бұрын
Or the arizonians dont have a isentife anymore to vote for democrat when their is no issiu with abortion anymore
@ASocialistTransGirl Ай бұрын
@@alexlehrersh9951 they have other policies…
@gottagofast62 Ай бұрын
@@alexlehrersh9951 they voted for Biden and Sinema before abortion was even an issue
@LydiaMoMydia Ай бұрын
does anyone know if this video was brought to me by nebula?
@MrBurnsExcellent Ай бұрын
lol
@adamtideman4953 Ай бұрын
What's this Nebula thingie? Is it the most natural way of keeping on top of the news with exclusive, original content? Just for 2.99$ a month?
@chancia8990 Ай бұрын
@@adamtideman4953 no it's just a left-leaning website where you can't comment videos
@chancia8990 Ай бұрын
@@grapesurgeon no no no comments are good
@xoa Ай бұрын
@@chancia8990they're also often literal bots
@WHR0306 Ай бұрын
You need to update the map on abortion. We just voted to make abortion a constitutional right in Ohio.
@eldrago19 Ай бұрын
I don't understand the mid-west. I used to think you lot were socially conservative and economically left wing, but it feels like with abortion rights you are actually pretty liberal. Is it the case that the Midwest is more conservative on other issues? For Ohio to be a Republican safe state, they've got to be saying something you agree with.
@dawn_on1447 25 күн бұрын
@WHR0306 I'm a life-long Ohioan who voted against Issue 1 -- abortion as a constitutional right. It's far from a done deal. There are plenty of laws regulating and restricting abortions still in force in Ohio. The passage of Issue 1 does not negate them. They will have to be challenged and will only be settled through the courts.
@dawn_on1447 25 күн бұрын
@@eldrago19 I'm a life-long Ohioan who voted against Issue 1 -- abortion as a constitutional right. It's far from a done deal. There are plenty of laws regulating and restricting abortions still in force in Ohio. The passage of Issue 1 does not negate them. They will have to be challenged and will only be settled through the courts.
@jacobroberts229 Ай бұрын
I got a campaign ad from Biden in the middle of the part about how Biden with his monetary advantage can by more ads
@tomservo5007 Ай бұрын
nobody wants to pay Trump's legal bills
@phoenix5054 Ай бұрын
Seems on point.
@InvaderMedia420 Ай бұрын
also, it is mine, honest belief whoever wins, it’s not because people were voting for them they were voting against the other person
@Johnny-Michael Ай бұрын
Which is a huge glaring problem and a sign of worse events to come..
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
plenty of people i know are voting for Biden because they like his policies
@InvaderMedia420 Ай бұрын
@@grimaffiliations3671 that is i antidotal evidence. Fuck yeah, there is probably plenty but again nice that plenty are just voting against Trump.
@InvaderMedia420 Ай бұрын
@@Johnny-Michael you are not wrong with that especially since this is the second time this is happened scratch that third time
@smalltime0 Ай бұрын
I think the glaring problem is that its the only thing propping up the turnout.
@cgt3704 Ай бұрын
Popular vote doesnt really count in usa. Electoral college does
@TheSkyheart5 Ай бұрын
Yes, but except for very close elections (which are becoming the norm since 2000), they usually line up.
@ill_bred_demon9059 Ай бұрын
Yeah, the EC determines who wins, but the person with the most votes has a better chance of winning the EC.
@DanielKolbin Ай бұрын
the EC is literally based on the popular vote, state by state. although the problem is that the representation and indirect voting gets so distorted that a few times it has failed to make the more popular candidate win. the solution isn't some third party guy, the two parties need to mature and get better at representing.
@orfey1313 Ай бұрын
Saul Goodman reference was good
@thomasmitchell7645 28 күн бұрын
The Dobbs decision did not overturn Roe vs. Wade. Roe was overturned by Casey vs. Planned Parenthood in 1992--over 30 years ago. The Supreme Court couldn't decide on what constitutional grounds abortion was protected, thus calling into question whether in fact abortion was really a constitutional right.
@TyroneLangam Ай бұрын
These old guys take a lot of poles apparently.
@crocodileguy4319 Ай бұрын
😞
@czar6203 Ай бұрын
bro cookin
@HoriTheRed Ай бұрын
As a Pole... They ain't taking me alive.
@thatvexiol Ай бұрын
@@HoriTheRedthey took matpat so you're next 😉
@Randomstuffs261 Ай бұрын
We Poles NEVER give in to tryanny ! Polska Górą !
@lumpydark6173 Ай бұрын
i just checked the polls and Trump is still ahead on most of them.. though even if he wasn't, he could still win as republicans have an electoral advantage even if Biden was up by as much as 4-5%. You guys should use the swing states polls, check the ones who have historically been most correct in the last 3 elections and that is the best 'measure' right now. Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin is what'll decide this election, with a few other battleground states possible to flip one way or the other.
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
i doubt trump wins any of those 3 given his huge losses in the suburbs
@lumpydark6173 Ай бұрын
@@grimaffiliations3671 He won or lost by very slim margins in 2016 and 2020. The current polls indicate that his support in all three states is stronger than in 2016, with him actually leading in these polls now. This contrasts with his position in 2016 and 2020 where the polls had him down by a lot. Another issue is the historical bias of these polls towards Democrats, suggesting that significant leads are needed in order for Biden to win them.
@NaSaSh1087 Ай бұрын
@@grimaffiliations3671the losses in the suburbs are overcome by gains among Black and Hispanic Americans. That’s why it’s very close again.
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
@@NaSaSh1087 Thats assuming those gains among blacks and hispanics are real. We haven't seen those shifts in any actual elections, or even in polls were blacks and hispanics are oversampled. The long running Pew polls also show no such change. Suburbans have shown time and time again in actual elections that they're done with trump/maga
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
@@lumpydark6173 That's assuming the polls made no changes from previous elections, they likely did and are probably overestimating Trump in these polls. We saw some of that in 2022 when the polls overestimated republicans
@falnica Ай бұрын
Don't get confident, vote
@Myers70 Ай бұрын
I'm now 100% voting for TRUMP 2024....TRUMP
@JamailvanWestering Ай бұрын
Correction: Trump has not paid that 176 million dollar bond An insurance company in California paid the bond, but now due to a NYC Finance laws. They aren’t allowed to pay that bond
@artiefakt4402 Ай бұрын
And if the (already reduced) bond isn't paid in full... let's hope they'll finally grab Trump by the assets
@nathanielcowan3971 Ай бұрын
@@artiefakt4402 all is fair when it's for your side.
@baumholderh8425 Ай бұрын
@@artiefakt4402I too like attacking my political enemies. How dare they disagree with me.
@G-Mastah-Fash Ай бұрын
@@baumholderh8425 I honestly want them to keep overreaching. It's so much more effective than any argument I could ever formulate against them.
@maclain728 Ай бұрын
@@nathanielcowan3971Just because you were president doesn’t exonerate you from your crimes committed before and after you were president
@monolith2001 Ай бұрын
Trump doesn't need to spend money on ads. He is likely the most advertised and talked about person on the planet. Polls are still stupid and no different than Vegas odds makers; voting is in November.
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
He's getting buried early, earlier than romney got buried by obama. And the RNC is in a terrible state compared to 2020
@Ziggletooth Ай бұрын
Those Vegas odds makers as you put it use the most advanced analytical systems on the planet... like, do you think odds are put together at random? billions and billions depend on getting the odds right. They will be more accurate than any simple poll analysis.
@monolith2001 Ай бұрын
@@Ziggletooth I don't know what you mean by "simple poll analysis". All polls are flawed and subject to manipulation, ambiguous questions, lack of context and sampling errors. Where line makers (and pollsters) make money is on the action (volume), not the outcome. House always wins. Polls are a commercial product, not a public service.
@wostin Ай бұрын
I read Vegeta instead of vegas
@jetdathreat Ай бұрын
Yes and no, he does need to advertise to shift focus from things like his trials and abortion to something more beneficial for himself.
@dorino9057 Ай бұрын
The overturning of Roe v. Wade is definitely a major factor
@infocenter5 29 күн бұрын
not over economy, atleast here in Pennsylvania
@mariuspuiu9555 15 күн бұрын
@@infocenter5 and you honestly think Trump would have managed the economy better considering the global economic issues? the guy who increased debt by record levels and gave the rich a tax cut? the guy who heavily botched a different global issue killing hundreds of thousands because of his ego? don't make me laugh.
@ericgitau639 Ай бұрын
are you serious this is a joke which polls are you talking about
@johnsamuel1999 Ай бұрын
I saw a news analysis where trump was leading in swing states (6 out of 7).
@icouldntthinkofaname379 Ай бұрын
Take a look if the aggregate includes Rasmussen not as an outlier -- its a pretty blatantly right-tilted organization that has Trump leading by like 6 - 7% but a lot of aggregators will including it in their polls to desperately avoid accusations of bias when they really just end up screwing with their own data.
@jumpinjehosephat1877 Ай бұрын
Where, Fox News?
@tomk1049 Ай бұрын
@@jumpinjehosephat1877 It was on the WSJ poll. While it is only one poll, it's pretty damming.
@BlackDoveNYC Ай бұрын
That was from the Wall Street Journal and it was both flawed and misleading. With the exception of two states the rest were within the MoE essentially the candidates were tied. More importantly, it was of registered voters not the more accurate likely voters. It is still too early to take seriously, other than those likely to listen to this video the vast majority of potential voters are not paying attention to any of this.
@ryanhanna1375 Ай бұрын
Msnbc? CNN ...YOU SPEAK as if the other news outlets are telling the truth@jumpinjehosephat1877
@akrybion Ай бұрын
As a non American it's still funny that America has to decide which of their weird grandpas gets to hold the nuclear codes for 4 years again.
@supaman6713 Ай бұрын
That's like... every nuclear power
@user-uf4rx5ih3v Ай бұрын
@@supaman6713 Compared to Trump and Biden, we have Macron, Rishi Sunak, Putin, Modi, Xi Jinping, Netanyahu and a few others. They are the oldest of the bunch by a decent amount as well.
@donkey7921 Ай бұрын
@@user-uf4rx5ih3v the last 4 guys you mentioned are all in their 70s. not exactly young.
@karmaascendant3936 Ай бұрын
@@donkey7921 though to be fair as much as people may not be a fan of the two dictators I think their populations would trust them more than Americans would trust either of their presidents to. The majority of Republicans think Biden should be in a nursing home whilst democrats think that trump would ask for somewhere to be nuked because a world leader said something mean about him on Twitter.
@uss-dh7909 Ай бұрын
I'll take the one grandpa that didn't march us into Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. The one that didn't load us up with debit. The one that did make us energy independent. The one that did push NATO harder to be better.
@myveryowndisneyroom Ай бұрын
Why are you showing Tucson whenever you mention the AZ Supreme Court? It’s located in Phoenix, the capital, not Tucson.
@TKUA11 Ай бұрын
Arizonians triggered 😂
@myveryowndisneyroom Ай бұрын
@@TKUA11 *Arizonans, not Arizonians.
@rh9477 Ай бұрын
He didn’t actually pay the $175M bond. He got a surety to cover it, and now that surety is suspected of being impermissibly over-leveraged
@asm7406 Ай бұрын
Pure political and media persecution against Trump
@rh9477 Ай бұрын
@@asm7406 back when I was a Republican, the media was biased against us then too, we didn’t cry about it, and we won landslides
@dawn_on1447 25 күн бұрын
Oh yes he did pay it. That bond is backed with $175 million CASH paid by Trump. The $175 million CASH currently sits n an account at Charles Schwab where not $1.00 can be touched or utilized until final resolution of the case. Letitia lost her bid to have the bond vacated.
@1PvP Ай бұрын
Im fairly confident in saying that abortion and campaigning will not be the deciding factors of this election. It will be cost of living and foreign policy.
@eddyland1557 Ай бұрын
So the cost of living wasn't a problem in 2022?
@REALASUNDER Ай бұрын
tell me you haven't been following the abortion issue without telling me
@cidey1855 Ай бұрын
thats literally wrong in every possible lol abortion is undoubtedy one of the biggest factors in this election and a large reason why biden is higher than trump campaigning has coonstantly dictated who wins and who loses, it can shift up votes like crazy if its a good campaign literally no one cares about foreign policy except people on the internet
@TheDaks27 Ай бұрын
It's crazy how people refuse to see how access to abortion impacts the cost of living
@justinpachi3707 Ай бұрын
@@REALASUNDER There are lot bigger issues in the US than social issues like abortion. The economy is not doing well despite GDP figures and stock reports. The average person's standard of living has gotten worse with everything becoming more expensive. Ultimately it'll be like what Bill Clinton said years ago, "its the economy stupid."
@Sneikki Ай бұрын
It's just that Trump already handeled the abortion question in the republicans favour during his first term. He was able to appoint three new supreme court judges, and nothing is showing that the next president would be appointing any during the next term. Or maybe just one. If people want to keep the abortion right, they need to vote democrats on the state level, something even people in the US seem to themselves forget when all the hype is around the presidential campaign.
@DJ-ov2it Ай бұрын
they arent forgetting that at all. Thats why republicans have been losing way more races to democratd than usually. Especially MAGA candidates have a really hard time winning races.
@eugenegosling5074 Ай бұрын
Okay it just so happened that there was going to be three spots open. That's why they were wanting Hillary to win so bad. and that's why they are salty about it still. It's not like Trump arranged for that to happen so he could get rid of abortion. Trump isn't against abortion. Whoever won the presidency in 2016 was going to get three spots for the supreme Court.
@phillparkinson4671 Ай бұрын
True - but this time around the dems are investing heavily in the state elections- something that the GOP are unable to do because they don’t have the money (due to trump wasting it all on his legal fees lol 😂) - absolutely true that the dems have usually underperformed at state level (but this also down to extreme gerrymandering in red states) in the past - but they should have the issue of dem candidate visibility sorted for this one - they are pouring quite a few million dollars into it as opposed to about 400K by the RNC.
@Robert-rw5lm Ай бұрын
Why would people vote to kill babies?
@kageisuke Ай бұрын
Oh, we haven't forgotten. The issue is with Trump as president, if the Dems lose congress, a nation wide ban could be passed and that's what evangelicals want. Trump saying he'll leave it up to the states is no guarantee he won't change his mind later. Especially since every attempt at the state level to get abortion banned has failed. That only leaves one option for evangelicals to get what they really want and Trump will cave because it will cost him nothing to do so
@WhiteManInAVan Ай бұрын
Great advert. Now you want us to only see news that Nebula wants to tell us about.... So much for impartial journalism.
@DalaiDrama-hp6oj Ай бұрын
Question regarding map at 2:00: Does Peninnsula-Virginia (Cape Charles) have different abortion laws than mainland Virginia or is this maybe just coloring mistake?
@Duncan_1971 Ай бұрын
Bidenomics how is that going for under 30's?
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
the trouble for under 30's started long before bidenomics, bidenomics is why unemployment for young people is lower than its ever been
@uss-dh7909 Ай бұрын
Lost my job six months ago, probably need to go back to college for another two years that I can't afford. That job will probably be replaced by some $4 migrant or AI anyways... The cost of everything important to living on the cusp of relative comfort is up in some cases 40%. I'll probably never own a two-story home/two car garage/white picket fence/suburban neighborhood. Maybe chinas youth are onto something with the whole laying flat endemic.
@Duncan_1971 Ай бұрын
@@uss-dh7909 I'm sorry to hear that but it seems to be a common story. Younger adults have trouble with cashflow in the U.K also. $4 migrants sometimes flee their own country because they have little to offer and you have language on your side. A.I won't take over we'll become A.I jockeys that's all. They're going to have to do something to help people get on the housing ladder. I thought that I'd never own a house but I got my first mortgage at 50.
@TheSkyheart5 Ай бұрын
The big problem is there aren't any flourishing economies anywhere in the world. For how much inflation is hurting us, the big part of the immigration problem is that south of the border many of those people are coming from countries where inflation is in the triple digits. Even Europe is being flooded by people who would rather live with the EU's economic problems than their own countries problems. I guess you can argue if Trump would speed up the recovery, but it's not like there are any shing examples to point to for who is doing better.
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
@@TheSkyheart5 The US is flourishing. Over the past 4 years the US grew almost twice as much as the second place G7 performer, and with the same cumulative core inflation as the Euro Area. The IMF also projects that it will grow at double the rate of the next strongest G7 country this year as well. Unemployment has been below 4% for the longest stretch since the 60's and the stock market is near all time highs
@davedraycott5779 Ай бұрын
So that’s why I keep abreast of the news, ‘to impress at my next wedding or dinner party!’ Apart from that a good video.
@caracal9458 Ай бұрын
Aren't national polls pretty pointless when there's only 7 or 8 states that are really up for grabs? An increase in democrat voters in Texas or republican voters in Cali are not going to make the slightest difference so should just be looking at polls in those specific states to get an idea.
@OzixiThrill Ай бұрын
Over the last century, most states have flipped their "allegiance" at least once, most of them multiple times. So no, it's not technically pointless.
@austinbrown7574 27 күн бұрын
Generally there are only a few states up for grabs in each election, but voting patterns shift over time such that those states change. Florida and Ohio both used to be very swingy whereas they've been pretty solidly R for a while. Arizona had been R for a LONG time before 2020. The idea of Georgia as a swing state is still pretty wild to me. Texas is now only "lean" R whereas it used to be solidly R. It wouldn't surprise me if Texas turned into a swing state at some point. These things change as voting patterns change.
@IsYitzach Ай бұрын
5:48 about that $175m bond... Yeah the insurance company isn't good for that money and the bond remains unpaid.
@adrastoso9727 Ай бұрын
Basically sums it up! Let’s see what happens in the fall.
@BladeWasFound Ай бұрын
Let's go!!! Senile Old Man vs Senile Old Man!!! Truly the democracy of all time!!!
@hydra7427 Ай бұрын
No, this is about democracy vs fascism. Go troll somewhere else, Putinbot.
@fishjohn014 Ай бұрын
Oh come on.....only one of them is actually suffering from dementia
@Jadedbeans Ай бұрын
At least one of those senile men has a brain (I'm honestly terrified that US democracy will be forever ruined if trump gets back in)
@dulguunjargal1199 Ай бұрын
TF2 Red vs Blu lore in a nutshell
@Meatslapontable Ай бұрын
I can literally feel the democracy coming inside me
@The_king567 Ай бұрын
Heck yeah who is excited for a rematch
@spookrockcity Ай бұрын
Democrats won't be able to rig the election in the 13th hour like they did during Covid. We're going to watching those polling areas real close.
@LegacyTeams Ай бұрын
I thought you did a great job with this video reminded me of what the main stream news used to be like a decade and a half ago when you could depend on it to be news.
@jeremieherard2166 Ай бұрын
Basically, it goes: Biden: well, my balance sheet is not that bad Trump: well, my trials are not that adressed yet
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
balance sheet?
@toasteroven6761 Ай бұрын
Considering the state of the world rn, foreign policy seems more important this time around: Biden: well, this is fine (fire burning the world around him) Trump: well, this is fine *(his* wallet burning in front him) Two similar problems, but only one has less literal burning for all of us.
@gtrdxz Ай бұрын
balance sheet? 🤣 Our economy is in freefall, eggs are 7 dollars a dozen, gas is as high as 6 dollars/gal, biden isnt running the country his cabinet is.
@asm7406 Ай бұрын
Trump is political and media persecution.
@IDoThings490 Ай бұрын
I'm not even sure if Biden was that bad for the economy compared to Trump, either the both of them are elderly, professional liars. But at least Biden is a professional liar who isn't actively regressing America
@AGamingChannelJW Ай бұрын
Nice try feds 😂
@lildemon666.2 Ай бұрын
He's not American
@horacioelconserjeopina3956 Ай бұрын
@@lildemon666.2america still has many informants around the world.
@skmo7105 25 күн бұрын
"...having more money than your opponent doesn't guarantee you an election win..." ~stares at chart on screen~ It might as fucking well...
@marknunya3107 Ай бұрын
The biggest difference between these two is that one says everything out in the open and you know what to expect. The other says one thing to the people and does another thing behind their back. Also, one has dementia and the other one is a narcissist.
@geofflepper3207 Ай бұрын
Trump said over 30,000 untrue things in 4 years as president and hasn't slowed down in doing that since leaving office so he's either senile or constantly lies or both.
@daniellarusso8012 Ай бұрын
Biden is easily the better choice. It's not even close. Trump is a scumbag. :)
@authenticbitterleben7434 Ай бұрын
I think almost every politician in this level of power develops some sort of narcissistism at some point. The difference with trump is just that he was already at peak narcissistism long before getting elected
@asm7406 Ай бұрын
Trump's narcissism is an invention of the democratic press.
@Eldeecue Ай бұрын
Biden's been like that his whole life, though. The stuttering, the word-retrieval problems. Look at video of him from the 70s or 80s. He's largely the same.
@Askhat08 Ай бұрын
Biden overtook Trump? Hahaha. In your dreams.
@psikogeek Ай бұрын
It had to be a delusion to think Biden overtook Trump. The authors should seek counseling.
@nilanjanchoudhury2044 Ай бұрын
America : " we have free and fair election" Also America : blocks funds of the top front runner of the opposition 😂
@ZoltanBojas-ug6nf Ай бұрын
Maybe Republicans should consider who they are running. No one forced them to run someone with criminal charges against him. Maybe they should not let the trials be delayed so suspicion can be cleared. Or maybe they should not let Trump pay his legal fees with their money for the campaign. He claims to be so very rich and successful after all. I hate the guy though and l'm not alone. His former vice president is another.
@Fluxwux Ай бұрын
Functioning democracies have consequences for people committing crimes and being put on trail - especially politicians and people with huge political and economic influence. There are a ton of well functioning democracies where presidents and former presidents have been put behind bars - the opposite would be absurd.
@cxzact9204 Ай бұрын
As someone from Africa, this sounds very familiar. 😂I didn't expect to see the Democrats be the ones to turn America into a banana republic like we have here. I thought it would be the Republicans but hey, more proof that the 2020's will not do what you expect.
@geofflepper3207 Ай бұрын
Maybe Trump should have treated the law as something to always be followed instead of a suggestion to be followed only if convenient. Maybe if "very, very rich billionaire" Trump used his own money to pay his own personal expenses instead of using campaign funds for that purpose then Republican campaign funds wouldn't be so depleted. Maybe Trump should have done what many Republican and Democratic politicians have done in the past and stepped away from politics once he got himself into legal problems and focused on clearing up those legal problems before potentially entering politics again. Maybe Republican politicians and voters should try to get presidential candidates who aren't constantly getting themselves into major legal problems. But all these things would make sense and would be the right things to do and Republicans are never interested in doing things that make sense and are the right things to do.
@dzcav3 Ай бұрын
@@Fluxwux First of all, the US is a constitutional republic, or at least it used to be. In such a government, justice is supposed to be blind, i.e. impartial, not a double-tiered system where hyper-partisan, Soros-funded lunatics campaign on persecuting their political opponents by using the "justice" system as a hammer.
@soccerguy325 Ай бұрын
Money is not likely to be a major factor in this race. While having more money can massively benefit Senate/House candidates, etc., the money race is less important for presidential races, since the candidates' names and campaigns are so widely publicized.
@Rfpenab Ай бұрын
Happy to hear
@plugsocket9432 Ай бұрын
RCP Average is currently Trump +0.2% in the popular vote. Clinton had a RCP average of +4% and still lost to Trump in 2016 and Biden needed +7.7% to win in 2020. Therefore as of 17 April 2024 according to polling Trump will win in November 2024.
@geofflepper3207 Ай бұрын
Time for the American political system to move closer to sanity and democracy by getting rid of the bizarre, undemocratic Rube Goldberg electoral college system and just use the popular vote in presidential elections.
@sekaiyoru01 Ай бұрын
@@geofflepper3207 Lmao no
@fishjohn014 Ай бұрын
@@geofflepper3207 ......you do understand that "democracies" are inherently dangerous, right? I mean there is a reason the majority of philosophers throughout time have warned against them The US was intentionally founded as a REPUBLIC. Its not a democracy and was never intended to be. If you want to live in a democracy, you need to move elsewhere
@MarcusBP Ай бұрын
@@geofflepper3207 uh...no! There are very solid reasons we use the electoral college.
@nedmode9412 Ай бұрын
that's not how it works
@jaapfolmer7791 Ай бұрын
The GOP has long ceased to hammer on the economy, because it is actually booming... And there are quite few other factors beside abortion or funding. Trump's own behavior. The dysfunctionality in the House he has caused etc.
@PatagoniaAries Ай бұрын
"Ecomony is booming" nice try federal reserve
@justinking8927 Ай бұрын
The US economy is doing better under Biden than any time under trump.Thankyou for bringing up the economy👍
@TheJoeschmoe777 Ай бұрын
@@justinking8927Trump's economy pre pandemic was stellar compared to the shit show that Biden put us in lol tf are you talking about
@MultipleUselessness Ай бұрын
@@justinking8927 Look at any other metric than the stock market and you'll realise that the rich are richer under Biden, the poor are poorer and the economy is in fact, not booming for 99% of Americans.
@astateofjake Ай бұрын
@@justinking8927 by some metrics, inflation is still dragging on people's spending a bit.
@3seven5seven1nine9 Ай бұрын
Your graphics look amazing
@VM-oi3dk Ай бұрын
No he is not overtaking Trump. Unfortunately.
@fernbedek6302 Ай бұрын
A battle of who the public hates less.
@Tiasung Ай бұрын
Or more, depending on your perspective.
@SpectacularDisaster Ай бұрын
so an election
@fernbedek6302 Ай бұрын
@@SpectacularDisaster In a struggling democracy.
@toasteroven6761 Ай бұрын
Terrible timing tbh considering the state of the world right now, personally I think we should elect someone with a better foreign policy outlook this time, you know the war time leader vs peace time leader, the Chamberlain vs Churchill, Biden vs Trump (not an entirely sensible comparison due to current political landscape, but you get what I mean, Trump is a better wartime/economy/deterrence leader (preventing war through strength, hard-lines, making the enemies of the west think twice before attacking our western-aligned allies), Biden well, I think we all know the man's weaknesses atp, one of them if undeniably foreign policy considering the state of the world rn. Electing via hate is just going to be a huge mistake if any major war breaks out, for both national unity in wartime, and the consequences thereof. We should actually look at the current state of the bigger picture around us, and elect a leader most capable of handling said picture based on their strength's and weaknesses, not who one person hates more.
@_jpg Ай бұрын
@@toasteroven6761 Trump is perfectly fine with abandoning NATO partners, if they aren't able to keep up with the US' crazy military spending, and boasts about how he could end the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 24 hours...I wouldn't call him a better wartime leader
@Alexmalism Ай бұрын
The cactus on the shelf is nearly to fall 😱
@1bgrant Ай бұрын
Wait... is Trump's lawyer Saul Goodman?
@jingbinhe9712 Ай бұрын
If abortion is the only thing dems talks about they already lost, it’s not even the biggest issue to most Americans
@TheSkyheart5 Ай бұрын
and yet it's big enough to drive get democrat voters out to the polls.
@ill_bred_demon9059 Ай бұрын
The Arizona decision put it front and center for this current news cycle. And it's getting women, a core Democratic constituency, motivated to vote.
@sirfriendzone1228 Ай бұрын
...except for the fact that Democrats have won and/or vastly overperfomed in EVERY election in the last 2 years even in Republican areas specifically because of the abortion issue. 🙄
@spookrockcity Ай бұрын
They are going to try to blatantly rig the election again like they did in 2020. They are turning Trump into a martyr.
@waldothewalrus294 9 күн бұрын
Many Americans are single-issue voters on abortion; there are otherwise indifferent young people who will vote Biden to protect abortion, and moderate factions who otherwise like the Democrats but are pro life.
@benjauron5873 Ай бұрын
I can't believe there was an entire video about why Biden is beating Teump in the polls, and the word "Ukraine" wasn't mentioned once.
@asm7406 Ай бұрын
War that together with Boris they caused when Russia and Ukraine had already resolved it.
@benjauron5873 Ай бұрын
@@asm7406 Can I buy some crack from you?
@dinamosflams 29 күн бұрын
@@benjauron5873no, wait, I want to see him talk more about this, I'm already making the french fries
@LaurenStone-bc5wr Ай бұрын
Trump in 2020 had the favorability of 29%! That hasnt changed!!
@davidgraham3102 Ай бұрын
Thank goodness
@lautaroaguilar9584 Ай бұрын
Biden is losing on all polls 😂😂😂
@pseudoscientist8010 Ай бұрын
That s is CIA bs, zeihan started saying this six mths ago. Obviously they plan on stealing election, need masses to believe it is possible. It is not.
@nedmode9412 Ай бұрын
he isn't
@mariuspuiu9555 15 күн бұрын
no he isn't.
@Radar88269 4 күн бұрын
name one his winning?
@mariuspuiu9555 23 сағат бұрын
@@Radar88269 for example polls for likely voters, not registered voters. the results are much more closer (within margin of error, for example trump falls behind in michigan in these polls)
@chicano101 Ай бұрын
This aged like piss
@taylorhession1905 23 күн бұрын
Look again Trump is further ahead today 😂
@jabulanicharlesshabalala3910 Ай бұрын
New Subscriber!
@sockergris Ай бұрын
The polls as reported by the mainstream media? Or actual polls?
@stephenhill545 Ай бұрын
Mainstream media; a term first used by one Josef Goebbels. Don't believe regjlar news sources. Believe Volkssturmer.
@mariuspuiu9555 9 күн бұрын
all polls are "ordered" by the media. these things cost money.
@bennotgiven1375 Ай бұрын
Holy shit, kids. I get everyone has a preference in my country's elections, but damn. Over there sounding like an audition for cnn.
@Bustermachine Ай бұрын
Well no duh, regardless of you feel about either of them, it's a lot easier to beat your opponent in polls when you've spent the last three and a half years actively campaigning. That said, I lean into the position that all of the polls are an absolute mess right now and nobody knows as much as they think they do.
@blakel5824 Ай бұрын
That is going to be a sick mustache come November
@TheBlackManMythLegend Ай бұрын
That's rich Trump don't need a criminal lawyer he needs a "criminal" lawyer . And we need a break from Trump damn the guy is monopolising the news for years now.
@JoeyAugustine Ай бұрын
Your Democrat media is the ones obsessed with him!!!! CNN and MSNBC dont even report news!!!
@unselling1822 Ай бұрын
The media is monopolizing Trump,Trump dose not give a shit about the mainstream news outlets
@asm7406 Ай бұрын
That's what democratic criminal lawyers have. It shows that you are deceived by the socialists and democrats. You don't speak for everyone, Trump is a patriot who wants the US to be for the Americans, he is not afraid to tell the truth.
@krombopulos_michael Ай бұрын
He is literally on trial because his "criminal" lawyer who paid off a pornstar illegally flipped on him.
@GordonLonghouse Ай бұрын
If you want to know what happened to the dog that catches the bus, take a look at the Republican Party.
@amh9494 Ай бұрын
And look at the democratic party to see what happens when a party hates its own nation... Two terrible choices.
@uss-dh7909 Ай бұрын
Dogs are riding school busses now? Man, when I thought I'd seen everything...
@Anarchy1777 Ай бұрын
Democrats actually.
@geofflepper3207 Ай бұрын
@@Anarchy1777 Seems that you didn't understand the post. That's ok - we don't expect MAGA cult sheep to understand anything that is going on.
@sebastienholmes548 Ай бұрын
What?
@ZMB-on5ub Ай бұрын
Who tf is gonna run with Trump? That is quite the gamble.
@emptyhad2571 Ай бұрын
Because trump actually has the country’s best internets at heart not Biden.
@ZMB-on5ub Ай бұрын
@@emptyhad2571 If Trump loses his VP candidate is pretty much over politically was my point. Pence sure isn't signing up.
@stephendevore9926 Ай бұрын
His Bond for 175 Million is in question and the Bond Company can't operate in New York let alone can't cover the Bond. This company can't afford 14 Million of the Bond let alone the 175 Million??? Search for more information. It's DEATH BUY A THOUSAND CUTS Turn the Page🤔🤔🤔
@Ryanisthere Ай бұрын
i love how the Republicans immediately back-pedaled on abortion the second it became not a wedge issue abolishing roe v Wade was a absolutely horrible move by them politically, because now Republicans dont have something to rally against, and alot of the voters are facing the consequences of abortion banned in their state they should have 100% kept it as a wedge issue they could bring up in debates and never deliver on
@TheInSaNeTenno Ай бұрын
Or at the very least they should’ve waited until they won a second term and let the other side clean up their mess. Strategy is the key here and they fumble big time.
@sebastienholmes548 19 күн бұрын
The economy is more important.
@supergowiak4369 Ай бұрын
People just remembered that Trump is Trump
@RNKel1 Ай бұрын
What about trump makes people remember that trump is trump?
@jerrymiller9039 Ай бұрын
That is why we love him
@krakken- Ай бұрын
@@jerrymiller9039 Go out and buy some DJT stock. I am sure it will do just as good as his past businesses...
@HeavyMetalMouse Ай бұрын
@@RNKel1 Probably the large number of criminal charges he is on his way to trial for - Trump has always been a grifter, a con man, and a fraud, has run multiple fraudulent businesses and managed to mostly get away with it, and yet *still* is so bad at it that he's gone bankrupt multiple times, losing vast amounts of other peoples' money that he managed to con them out of in the first place. This is before we take into account his openly stated intentions to weaponize the department of Justice against his political opponents (a massive matter of hypocrisy given his [false] claims of the same against his opponents), his open praise of autocrats and dictators, and his explicit in-his-own-words and in-context statement that he will be a Dictator if he gets into office. The Republican party is choosing a narcissistic con man to represent them, and it is my hope that the party will crash and burn with him as more people realize just how much the party are willing to sell out their own voters for personal gain. I may not agree with everything the Democrats want to do, but at the very least they aren't trying to make it illegal for me to exist. It's sad that that's what it comes down to, but at the moment, that's what it is.
@grimaffiliations3671 Ай бұрын
@@RNKel1 He's a buffoon criminal?
@BioAbner Ай бұрын
So, how are you doing today? I just had some eggs for breakfast.
@mrzib.crimson Ай бұрын
It’s night where I live. 😊
@geelove4974 Ай бұрын
U making me LMAO 😂😂😂😂
@mr.clanni9930 Ай бұрын
The fact that these two are running for the office of President of the United States says a lot about the United States, the country has gone mad!
@moraine2442 Ай бұрын
I blame all the secrets and corruption on the CIA not being ended after WW2. That shit is like a 4th branch of government; totally wrecks our checks and balances. It was meant to be a war time necessity, not a permanent fixture.
@yanmacnp Ай бұрын
This channel also said Nikki Haley was defeating trump tho tbh
@bazookaman1353 Ай бұрын
I don't even know who Nikki is that shows how relevant he(?) is.
@yanmacnp Ай бұрын
@@bazookaman1353 my point 😂
@krashme997 Ай бұрын
Did they? Or did they just, as they do usually, state the whys she might win and they whys she might not?
@ASocialistTransGirl Ай бұрын
@@bazookaman1353she got over 4 million votes in the rep primary, not even counting the states of after she dropped out, and majority of nikki haley supporters say they’ll vote biden
@cgktheking Ай бұрын
@@bazookaman1353she was running for the republican nomination in the presidential primaries but trump won the nomination
@komicsreviewer8505 Ай бұрын
America is FINISHED!
@scottkrater2131 Ай бұрын
Been saying that since 1861. Mayhap one day. But you'll never see it.
@komicsreviewer8505 Ай бұрын
@@scottkrater2131 You old grandpa.
@scottkrater2131 Ай бұрын
@@komicsreviewer8505 I may be a grandfather but I ain't old or apparently as stupid as you.
@jaydeejohnson7 29 күн бұрын
Unfortunately the polls only offer interested parties. That is, it is a sample of people willing to give an opinion or take the time fill out a survey. The "silent majority" is a term often used to describe those who vote but do not willing to opine or answer polling questions
@joemoa Ай бұрын
There's no way Biden could ever be ahead not after all we have been through.
@Mr.Coffee576 Ай бұрын
You would be surprised.
@PVAPlayy Ай бұрын
@@Mr.Coffee576 by what? How Democrats are so hellbent on destroying this country?
@patrickshockley Ай бұрын
Been thru as In global inflation aka known EVERYWHERE as the post pandemic economy? Ppl globally realize it's the pandemic that have caused these problems
@Fluxwux Ай бұрын
Idk - the US has had the best inflation and post-Covid economic recovery in the entire western world, Crime is falling at record fast levels, unemployment is at the lowest levels since 1957 and initiatives like The inflation reduction act, the CHIPS act and Bidenomics is making millions of industry jobs return stateside from China as well as record high federal investments in infrastructure (which is much needed and create millions of additional jobs)
@nedmode9412 Ай бұрын
cope
@edithscheffer74 Ай бұрын
He didnt. This is pure BS.
@jodo4661 Ай бұрын
Cope
@blondymonk1535 20 күн бұрын
@@jodo4661 he really didnt tho. Trump leads in all swing states except pensylvania.
@jodo4661 20 күн бұрын
@@blondymonk1535 Cope harder
@jodo4661 20 күн бұрын
@@blondymonk1535 Hillary Clinton was up 12 points in the 2016 election polls and still loss
@blondymonk1535 20 күн бұрын
@@jodo4661 What?
@keithad6485 Ай бұрын
I take no notice of polls, no matter who is in the lead. Pollsters formulate the questions to get the answers they want, both sides.
@schadenfreude000 Ай бұрын
The poular vote by a slim margin won't be enough for Biden to win.
@penzorphallos3199 Ай бұрын
Trump leads in 100 polls : Biden leads in 2 polls: 😮😮😮 DARK BRANDON IS COMING
@ASocialistTransGirl Ай бұрын
the difference is that the RECENT ones show biden is now winning polls
@arandmorgan Ай бұрын
It really depends where these polls are coming from and where they take place.
@nedmode9412 Ай бұрын
trump lost to biden
@penzorphallos3199 Ай бұрын
@@nedmode9412 is Biden even aware that he did or does still think he's the vp
@nedmode9412 Ай бұрын
@@penzorphallos3199 what does that have to do with trump losing to biden? You know biden is going to win again.
@ChristianDoretti Ай бұрын
Abortion is extremely irrelevant apart from high middle class families or individuals, most people are worried about the economy and the normalization of inflation that 3 years ago was excused by “demand and supply chain disruption” but now it seems it is a result of money printing and big corporations rising prices across all industries simultaneously
@krombopulos_michael Ай бұрын
Definitely not true at all. It's been a hugely galvanising issue, and if anything it's the upper classes who care the least because they have the money to either pay to raise kids, or to travel to other states/countries to get abortions. Also, inflation has already been coming down hugely and the US has dropped it more than any other comparable country.
@idkwhatsgoingon4584 Ай бұрын
@@krombopulos_michael its not anywhere near the economy when it comes to big issues, its just one of the only things that Democrats can use to compete in the elections
@bigytutoshd5146 Ай бұрын
@@krombopulos_michaelnice try bot
@mindexplorer6929 Ай бұрын
The difference between professional news companies and KZfaq news readers is that the latter have ridiculously large microfones covering half of their faces 😂😂😂
@hpatron88 29 күн бұрын
man, that ceramic cactus is about to fall off the shelf, move it please, i can't focus.
@Oldman5261 Ай бұрын
This is really strange. I just did a google search and all the articles say Trump is leading in six of the seven key swing states. That does not make sense with the title of your video. Please explain.
@Inkan1969 Ай бұрын
That was one poll that's now weeks old.
@jackganzel Ай бұрын
Those are the swing states the president is picked by electoral vote not popular vote trump could lose the popular vote by about 4-4.5% and still win the election through electoral votes
@WeThePeoplePolitics Ай бұрын
@@Inkan1969 Trump is leading in most polls in all seven swing states. He hasn't lost a poll in GA, NC, AZ, or NV since October.
@Inkan1969 29 күн бұрын
@WeThePeoplePolitics Most of those polls are old. And in the most recent polls Trump is well below 50% and falling.
@WeThePeoplePolitics 28 күн бұрын
@@Inkan1969 Polling data from April so far in 538's polling compilation has AZ about Trump +5, GA at Trump +6-7 (depending on whether you include third parties), MI about Trump +3.5 on average, NC is also about Trump +3.5 on average, WI has at about Trump +0.5, and PA is even in a head-to-head matchup, Trump +2 including third parties. NV does not have any polling data from April yet, but in March it was Trump +5 on average. Biden is indeed catching up (although his polling throughout April so far seems to be equal to his polling in March), but he has yet to return to pre-October numbers and even then, it was super close, which wasn't favorable to Biden as Trump overperformed expectations in 2016 and 2020.
@Pietzu10 18 күн бұрын
Didn't age well
@itzdave1249 Ай бұрын
That is not happening! NOOO!!! NOT SNIFFY AGAIN!!!!! PEOPLE ARE REALLY GETTING STUPID!!!!
@johnpannebaker5757 Ай бұрын
It is as if Trump is trying to go from being someone who appealed primarily to the hardcore fringe is now trying to appeal to them AND be a middle of the road populist at the same time.
@dahbean2874 Ай бұрын
Additionally, candidates often get a bump in the polls after they come to be the official nominees of their respective parties. Biden received a larger increase than Trump because the demographic that was originally stating they wouldn’t vote for either candidate (double haters), overwhelmingly prefer Biden. 538 does a really good job at articulating this on their podcast.
@zoranzwalua405 Ай бұрын
If he makes his real comeback on social media it’s game on I think.
@Salvino110 Ай бұрын
That's gotta hurt!
@user-mr3qj3xc5t Ай бұрын
Hmmm this is interesting. I use real clear poling (I know it has mild conservative bias but it’s a great source because it blends several other polling sources into an average for each state). They are still poling trump 0.2 over Biden (on average.)
@Pete_Piper Ай бұрын
Would it be anything to do with a biased media suppressing negative stories about Biden?
@De-yc7cb 23 күн бұрын
"Biden is over taking Trump, the same breath Trump is ahead of Biden." There are so many fallacies in this video.
@Twistedgoat69 18 күн бұрын
Do you even now what you’re talking about? Like that was the dumbest statement I’ve heard in a while.
@StephenKershaw1 17 күн бұрын
they're advertising single particular polls.... on a national average, the President is leading Defendant Donny by more than 12 points... but they want you to think trump has a chance to encourage you to get out and vote.