Why Doesn't The Future Look Like The Future !?

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Ultra Future

Ultra Future

3 ай бұрын

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Пікірлер: 112
@Ultra_Future
@Ultra_Future 3 ай бұрын
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@TheRezro
@TheRezro 3 ай бұрын
In short. Simple fact is that US was above the line in the 80's. But only as result of Cold War. While we did have cool space shuttles, they were meant to be a middle step and technology was not ready there. Cost overruns and poor reliability basically kill that project. And other projects did depend on it. NASA was basically forced into survival mode, investing money into R&D and not actual hardware. Slow creation of civilian space industry make costs more manageable, with higher reliability. While competition from China and India, finally make US awaken. Ironically Star Trek did predict that. While we didn't have 100 meter spaceships, space shuttle was massive. In Trek after end of Cold War (yup), space exploration truly kick in 2020's. Hopefully they did not predict nuclear war.
@TheRezro
@TheRezro 3 ай бұрын
As for other things. Boring cars and building are inexcusable. That much is true. But a lot of other things are simply not practical. Flying cars are dangerous and only development of drones make them valid in limited scale. Monorails do not offer much above normal trains. While cost a lot of money and have reliability issues. I skip here that US has general allergy on the railroads. Anyway, simple fact is that technology was not ready, US was going through de-industrialization mostly as victim to own greed and success. But it actually was stagnation, but rather stabilization. Many modern looking Asian cities were simply build relatively recently. I actually do see massive step up in technological development from 2020.
@joseventura9685
@joseventura9685 2 ай бұрын
Where is my hover board?😆
@user-ne3yw2cu6c
@user-ne3yw2cu6c 3 ай бұрын
In 1966, I was 12 years old and was told by a retired Teacher who was 95 years old at the time, how New York City was in 1883 when he was my age. He said, in 2024 I would be traveling to many planets in the Universe, not just the Moon, Mars or Pluto. I'm 70 today and still waiting for that to happen.
@michaelhalsall5684
@michaelhalsall5684 3 ай бұрын
I'm "over' space travel before it started. Let's improve things on earth first! The so called "Space Race" that lead to the Moon Landing in hindsight achieved little for humanity. It was a highly political thing, the USA versus the USSR and once the USA "won" people lost interest.
@trojanthedog
@trojanthedog 3 ай бұрын
​@@michaelhalsall5684 you just stay here on Earth. We'll go to the stars and we won't think about you at all.
@juniorchavesopicassodeyahu988
@juniorchavesopicassodeyahu988 3 ай бұрын
Wow. Your teacher lived through the 1880s and the 60s. Impressive
@arnezj.bridges2768
@arnezj.bridges2768 3 ай бұрын
​@@michaelhalsall5684bro you're insane. A 100,000 things came from the moon landing. Yes everyday things you use everyday, how TF are you on KZfaq without satellites lolz.
@TheRezro
@TheRezro 3 ай бұрын
@@trojanthedog Yes, you would think how to not starve.
@andreweaston1779
@andreweaston1779 3 ай бұрын
It's a shame that the futurism we do seem to be doing always end up being the dystopian kind. It would be nice if we could get our collective shit together and make our future a utopia for once.
@stickynorth
@stickynorth 3 ай бұрын
To be fair in Elon's case, why build a timewasting app when you can spend $40B buying one and turning it into a moneypit...
@DeanStephen
@DeanStephen 3 ай бұрын
Why? Because it got a tool for election manipulation out of the hands of those trying to undermine our constitutional republic. Elon’s personal financial loss was the biggest patriotic sacrifice since George Washington.
@comentedonakeyboard
@comentedonakeyboard 3 ай бұрын
The Present should file a Lawsuit against the Past because of the Future it failed to deliver😂
@Gliese380
@Gliese380 3 ай бұрын
The future has been a great disappointment. This is not what I had in mind as a kid in 1999.
@knerduno5942
@knerduno5942 2 ай бұрын
That's why he stopped posting on the 2theFuture channel
@danityvanityinsanity
@danityvanityinsanity 13 күн бұрын
Even the show Space:1999 didn’t accurately portray the actual year 1999!😅
@lostmrsmoss
@lostmrsmoss 3 ай бұрын
Why? Money, profit. We don't value innovation for the betterment of humankind. Instead, profit is king. As long as the oil companies rule, we won't have advances in energy technology. As long as those stupid social media apps are making a profit at every scroll, we'll have ever more social media apps. Growing up in the 50s and 60s we thought the future would be filled with peace and global unity, not just cool cars. When will that vision of the future come to pass? 😢
@sheridansherr8974
@sheridansherr8974 3 ай бұрын
Exactly!! We need to stop the way of thinking that "greed is good". GREED is STUPID!!! It is dumb and destructive , ruins the future of mankind!!! :-(
@pocketmonkie
@pocketmonkie 2 ай бұрын
I'll work on it
@VickiCampbell-1216
@VickiCampbell-1216 3 ай бұрын
Since childhood, I've always loved the future and feel I was born in the wrong timeline. I believe if our futuristic world could exist that would mark the end of money and the higher echelons of control. We'd be in a "near" utopian existence with cooperation and a love to help others. I LOVE your channel and I am so happy to have discovered it!! Thank you!! 😊
@Zood94
@Zood94 2 ай бұрын
"Why would I work hard to be a scientist when I can work not as hard and become a rich TikToker?" - Some Gen Z I've met
@seanmcdonald5859
@seanmcdonald5859 3 ай бұрын
I USED TO HAVE THAT BOOK!! I dont want the book back though: i want the future it promised!!
@TerryB751
@TerryB751 3 ай бұрын
Just like nuclear fusion is always delayed 30 years. It's always something that makes it more difficult than expected. Even when all the tech is possible, are we going to have to pay off all the vested interests that would otherwise sabotage any attempt to bring new things to the market? Any number of people could have walked into a corporate board room with some great prototype for a breakthrough, only to have it stolen by the company and the inventor mysteriously disappears out an office window.
@michaelhalsall5684
@michaelhalsall5684 3 ай бұрын
It's not quite as sinister as that, BUT often a major corporate will buy the patent rights for a new invention and the kill the project if it interferes with their ideas.
@GoldenLion137
@GoldenLion137 3 ай бұрын
I’ve been waiting for the future since 1973. It seems the Middle East and Asia has a hugh leap forward in terms of buildings. Would love to see the US and Europe focus more on new and innovative and less on profit. It’s good for business and the Earth.
@dmurray2978
@dmurray2978 3 ай бұрын
The profits in the form of importing low wage workers from elsewhere
@TheRezro
@TheRezro 3 ай бұрын
What you say is actually greed motivated vanity stunts of rich Sheikhs and technocrats in Asia. The big irony is that US and Europe are still far more innovative. But focus on stable development.
@DeanStephen
@DeanStephen 3 ай бұрын
As for 2050… many of us won’t live that long. While the Upper Classes are getting richer, the Middle Classes are being reduced to poverty. We won’t be able to afford the future when it finally arrives. Life expectancies in the U.S. are getting shorter though, so we may not have to. And yes, we’re justifiably bitter.
@stickynorth
@stickynorth 3 ай бұрын
All of this... Born in the 1980's and I'll be lucky to live out this decade thanks to a terminal illness... Yay!
@DeanStephen
@DeanStephen 3 ай бұрын
@@stickynorth I can empathise from half a life fighting potentially mortal illness. My thoughts are with you.
@lostmrsmoss
@lostmrsmoss 3 ай бұрын
Right on!
@TheRezro
@TheRezro 3 ай бұрын
@@DeanStephen Yes, yes. That happen literally from the medieval times. People forget that average level of the poor is vastly higher then in the past.
@ouknow1446
@ouknow1446 2 ай бұрын
If fear is what has prevented the future from looking like the future I suggest the fear of losing control by powers that be has slowed all progress. As soon as they figure out how to remain in control the future will start to look like the future.
@michaelstaengl1349
@michaelstaengl1349 2 ай бұрын
Some other reasons why the future doesn't look like that: - In 1984, we didn't went into a sleep for 40 years and woke up in 2024, so we saw and witnessed all the tiny gradual changes so we grew into it naturally. - Sci-Fi movies need to show a different architectural style, need to show the audience that this is the future now. - From how buildings are being built, humans have a conservative core. In your other channel, www.youtube.com/@Maiorianus_Sebastian you yourselves tells us so often how wonderful you find the ancient Roman architecture and that you were sad that so much fell into ruins. - Buildings especially in the western world and here mostly the residential buildings are constructed more human-centric than tech- and corporation-centric. this doesn't allow for the dystopian looking hyper giant structures as seen in Blade Runner or in The Fifth Element. Humans wants to live in areas with trees, other greens and not in concrete desserts. This limits how revolutionary one can design those residential buildings. BTW: The (in)famous Burj Khalifa in Dubai was or still is not connected to the sewage system of Dubai. Tankers has to dispose the human waste products. Not very futuristic. Futuristic things we now have: - Astronomy. Tell a guy from 1984 that our astronomers found more than 6000 exoplanets in about 2500 solar systems and that our astronomers thanks to the space telescopes even can determine a few weather patterns on these distant worlds. And tell a guy from 1984 that our astronomers now can use the gravitational waves to meassure ripples in space-time. - Space Travel: The sky crane the NASA used to gently release its two largest (so far) rovers, Curiosity and Perseverance onto the ground on Mars was an amazing piece of futuristic tech. The mars helicopter Ingenuity not to forget. - The smartphones which can do so much more as predicted in the 1980's. Back then, car phones had been THE FUTURE!!! And now? Car phones are outmoded and had been made obsolete by cellphones. And when one watches this video, one just can say, yeah, now we are in the future: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/a7OYZtJpnZzVoJs.html. It'S about how a SSD works and how your smartphone actually stores data. It's extremely fascinating how this technology works, no one in the 1950's could have come up with that technology and a man of the years from 1895 to 1910 absolutely could not believe it, for such a man this piece of human tech would look like from an ancient race of aliens from outa spaaaace. - Most cars. Even the cars with a more traditional outside have satellite navigation, electronics onboard which are a million times more powerful as the computer of the Apollo space capsule with which the astronauts traveled to the moon. And sent a Maserati Quattroporte back to 1974, it would look like coming from the space. www.maserati.com/global/en/models/quattroporte. - Genetics: It's now so much better understood how genetics work as in the 1980's. - Distribution of goods: Almost all delivery services predicted in older science fiction literature or movies are now in existence like Amazon and the food delivery services. - Climate protection: Our today's cars often have a smaller CO2-footprint as the cars in the 1980's. So, overall I would say, it's here, the future. You just have to make yourselves fully aware of how you lived in the 1980's compared with today and how our today's technology works which is a crazy marvel to think about that.
@stevecam724
@stevecam724 3 ай бұрын
Things look like they did in 2000 but a lot of places are more run down.
@hitmusicworldwide
@hitmusicworldwide 3 ай бұрын
That street in Europe you showed looks delightful. I want places like Mykonos to retain its charm I don't want it to look like some freakish, dystopian futurish nightmare as depicted in comic books. We still value the past and since a lot of it still works we didn't need to bulldoze everything. The future is hard. Material sciences are hard. Physics is a downer. As for the cars let me tell you that BMW that you showed both inside and out, is amazing compared to what was available in the '70s if you would bring that BMW back to 1970 and put it on the street everyone would go wild. Now if we can stop all this war, inequality and hate, maybe we can spend more money instead on solar system exploration. The physics of microelectronics is doable. Transcending physics to build starships and deal with the environment of space outside the Van Allen belt is hard, really hard.
@michaelhalsall5684
@michaelhalsall5684 3 ай бұрын
The European street scene is delightful! Here in Australia we are overrun by "developers" who demolish beautiful old homes and replace them with "modern" buildings that look like refrigerators with windows! Not progress just greed!
@kevincrady2831
@kevincrady2831 3 ай бұрын
Agreed! As soon as he said "in Europe," my first thought was "Well, that's because you have gorgeous walkable cities there that are worth keeping around for a thousand years and more!" As a Solarpunk, I want The Future to contain a lot more city streets like that, and places like the Shire and Rivendell, connected by clean, efficient electric trains that run on renewable energy. There's nothing in physics that prevents us from building cities that look like Florence and towns that look like Eguisheim. I would rather live there, or in today's Amsterdam than in one of those Blade Runner neon city-scapes. They look cool from a distance, but if you actually watch the Blade Runner movies, they're horrible places to live. Sure, let's have some transparent geodesic domes and such, but I'd rather have cities built for people and other life, than for giant bloated automobiles.
@Anonymous-bk9xy
@Anonymous-bk9xy 2 ай бұрын
We were robbed of our higher functions the moment the 90s happened, we've been stuck in that era ever since.
@grambo4436
@grambo4436 2 ай бұрын
Blame gov'ts for that halting of that progress.
@jakemasterson6057
@jakemasterson6057 3 ай бұрын
Many of us got our start in Futurism with the versions of it that we watched on TV in cartoons, like the Jetsons
@celteuskara
@celteuskara Ай бұрын
Never forget what they stole from you, Western Man.
@jasperdoornbos8989
@jasperdoornbos8989 3 ай бұрын
I recognize your voice from another youtube channel, with an asian woman. I loved that channel but you stopped that, I believe because the algoritm forced you to make choices you felt not comfortable with. I am glad I found you again! With a topic close to my heart. Thank you!
@Italianjedi7
@Italianjedi7 3 ай бұрын
You’re absolutely right! We were so focused on stupidity like social media that we forgot how to innovate.
@richsackett3423
@richsackett3423 3 ай бұрын
He didn't say that at all even once.
@SiestaOdyssey
@SiestaOdyssey 3 ай бұрын
The divide between the rich and poor has become greater than ever. We live in a time of ego maniacs and social media zombies. Very little is done to benefit the masses,
@michaelhalsall5684
@michaelhalsall5684 3 ай бұрын
Totally agree!
@TheRezro
@TheRezro 3 ай бұрын
@@michaelhalsall5684 And poor nowadays is averagely richer then it was in the past. Now poor today look with nostalgia on RICH of the past, forgetting that they are the shoeshines in those movies.
@beautifulportland9592
@beautifulportland9592 3 ай бұрын
Don't worry, be happy and practical . . . . or take some industrial design classes and become a future engineer . . . .
@markdavid7013
@markdavid7013 3 ай бұрын
There are hard limits in the real physical world and there are financial limits as well.
@johna6767
@johna6767 3 ай бұрын
Some things these days are pretty futuristic: 1. Some parts of some cities are pretty futuristic. Hudson Yards in NYC for example. In fact, I'd say Manhattan as a whole is pretty futuristic. 2. Anything to do with computers is well beyond anything anybody thought, certainly in the 70's and earlier. Though I agree the things they're used for is not what many people from that time expected. 3. As much as they're a distraction and mis-used, cellphones are futuristic. 4. As the video notes, some cars these days look pretty futuristic. Space didn't pan out because it's just too harsh an environment for biological humans. I don't think it'll amount to much until robots become more advanced.
@Cybr-zd8ql
@Cybr-zd8ql 2 ай бұрын
I got chills from what you said at 11:35 because I almost started to lose hope of this vision of the future. For me, 2020 was the advent of the "future". What most people fail to realize is that the future is for sure already here. You just need to know where to look.
@crankycascadian
@crankycascadian 3 ай бұрын
The black and white video clips of the monorail you have used are from the Seattle monorail, which is still operating today although the entire route is only about one mile long. Between 1998 and 2005 there was an ambitious proposal to create a 54 mile monorail system throughout the city of Seattle, Aspects of the project were on the ballot five times during those years. But costs and controversy mounted and the fifth ballot measure failed. Today a regional scale light rail system is being built which includes many sections of elevated track, and it looks something like the retrofuture of the past. Vancouver Canada's Sky Train, which has no on-board operators, travels to and through suburban skyscrapers on an elevated track would also fit that vision.
@valentinsn-ostalgiemodellbahn
@valentinsn-ostalgiemodellbahn 2 ай бұрын
As said, much money was invested in cheap brances of the cultural industry (to say it with Adorno's words), just cheap entertainment to drive the focus away from things, with really matter (improving mankinds relation with itself and the environment; fight poverty, hunger and un-education; find forms of living together peacefully etc). But hope is still not lost after all. Thanks a lot for this interesting video, with enforces to think about past and future.
@Missle1001
@Missle1001 Ай бұрын
I want to live to the year 2100, but I was born in 1996, unless I live to 104, I doubt I will, but I’ll be happy to live to the year 2096 when I turn 100.
@SolarXPunk22
@SolarXPunk22 3 ай бұрын
I can guarantee that the majority of the technology that was envisioned in the past, Is possible. Then was ultimately suppressed by capitalistic, corporate greed. Any revolutionary technology that would hinder profit was most likely shelved & the creator of that emerging technology silenced. Some people spread this fallacy that money is a great motivator. When in fact all it truly does is suppress & hinder innovation. Because no matter if it's a good idea, a life-saving idea. if it isn't profitable or threatens their existing profit. These corporate types will do everything they can to make sure, it doesn't reach the masses. that's true tyranny.
@michaelhalsall5684
@michaelhalsall5684 3 ай бұрын
The FUTURE isn't just about (debatably) exciting cars or ultra tall buildings. The future SHOULD be about curing all fatal diseases and curing world poverty. How about growing crops in the Sahara? (No starvation and wars in Northern Africa!!!) How about having every human having access to clean drinking water and a proper toilet (Cholera conquered!!!) Space exploration has so far achieved very little for humanity other than political point scoring. Perhaps the biggest change I've noticed is people working from home which means that huge sky-scrapers and mega offices may be a thing of the past! There is a trend to refurbish and repurpose old buildings rather than demolishing them. Regarding electric cars, there is a trend for people to lease rather buy them. These new vehicles are literally drivable electric appliances!
@dianne5086
@dianne5086 3 ай бұрын
I wanted to be a crew member on the Starship Enterprise. Guess that's not gonna happen.
@revandenburg
@revandenburg 3 ай бұрын
I'm so glad I found this channel. I see I'm with other like minded folks. My Love of 'The Future' started with of course The Jetsons. Continued with Star Wars, Back to the Future and Star Trek. I think there are a whole Generation of us. About a month ago I saw a Cybertruck on the road. I just couldn't help but stare at it. It was hauling quite an ordinary trailer though, which made the Truck stick out even more. Don't know if I'll be here in 2050 ( I would be 82) I'd watch from the other side.
@josephwilliams7507
@josephwilliams7507 2 ай бұрын
yea people dont know all are cities and buildings look like shit. it wasn't so 100 years ago. were going backwards not foward
@lorrainediferdinandogordon5519
@lorrainediferdinandogordon5519 2 ай бұрын
Most people don't want to be crammed into cities.. We love trees and nature and space and cute houses.. That way "farmhouse decor" has been so popular.
@Aphelion84
@Aphelion84 3 ай бұрын
You speak from my soul. As a mega futurist :D I've been waiting since the 2000s for flying cars, hoverboards, megacities and other cool futuristic gadgets. None of that is here. We still have the same crap as always. I also believe that none of these things will happen in 2050, but rather in the 23rd century, perhaps. :D
@grinningidiot
@grinningidiot 3 ай бұрын
I remember in the late 90s and early 2000s there were a few really cool futuristic car designs that came out and immediately failed and all the car manufacturers dialed it back into the safe zone. Even today when I think of cool looking futuristic cars I think of a couple models from the 90s, 2000s, and even a few special models from the 80s. they're not high tech by modern standard but they really feel scifi by comparison.
@SpahGaming
@SpahGaming 3 ай бұрын
6:17 its "for all mankind" season 4 btw 7:38
@f.michaelbremer-cruz2708
@f.michaelbremer-cruz2708 3 ай бұрын
The very fact that I've watched your video and was able to comment on it is just one of many things that were the stuff of Science Fiction from just 40 years ago. Who needs Flying Cars, when one can engage in a lengthy conversation with an AI via Personal Computers that are more powerful than those that are on the Voyager probes that have recently entered interstellar Space?
@IntyMichael
@IntyMichael 3 ай бұрын
Where is the future...talking over the worldwide unimagined computer network, probably over a handheld device that also delivers AI...while driving in a EV that looks pretty aerodynamic.
@MacDKB
@MacDKB 3 ай бұрын
The future isn't as futuristic as in envisioned because visionaries don't account for entropy. Entropy undermines human endeavour & erodes accomplishments. It also imposes hard limits on what can be accomplished. Thus, why even all but the most pessimistic dystopians get it wrong. For example, in Blade Runner we see massive systems & structures, but entropy precludes that stuff from happening. There are limits to growth.
@MrDVSDuncan
@MrDVSDuncan 3 ай бұрын
Well, the future is not what it used to be, or as poet and philosopher Paul Valéry wrote in 1937, "L’avenir est comme le reste: il n’est plus ce qu’il était." I cannot speak to the context of Monsieur Valéry's statement, but for me it seems that the real problem is that we are misinterpreting the material. Our visions of the future are aspirational, not predictive. Futurist images invariably ignore the inertia of the past. What is will persist, at least in part. What will be must find a place to grow in today's world. It will not replace it completely. Nor should it. Consider the great cities of Europe, perhaps excluding Paris perhaps. These are a tribute to age upon age of ideas and progress. Gothic churches stand beside enlightenment mansions and towers of glass. The future, when it comes, must find its place amongst these. The new, when it comes, must find its place amongst the old.
@adicahya
@adicahya 2 ай бұрын
we do have the future imagined in the 50-80's ... if you like edgy cars - we have Cybertruck if you like a smooth-line car - you can go to China - all the new EVs there are super futuristic. if you want a futuristic-looking metropolis, you can go to Dubai, Singapore, Chongqin and Shanghai ... don't go to Milwaukee If you want hyper-connected people, augmented reality, AI, it's all here. Soon, a Chinese company will sell a humanoid robot for USD 16K. Cheaper than the average car price. Just like what is happening in civilization. Not everyone moving at the same pace. That's why we have Piramid in Egyp 2000 years ago, while there are still many hunters and gatherers. Even flying car is here, well ... soon, very soon :)
@enzonavona9018
@enzonavona9018 2 ай бұрын
È tedesco perciò dice ciao.
@kristakitchen2559
@kristakitchen2559 3 ай бұрын
One maim reason we don't have that future is because of the class system, everybody can't advance at the same time to be a flourishing future.
@danityvanityinsanity
@danityvanityinsanity 13 күн бұрын
We may advance technologically but the Native Americans were more socially advanced. They have always respected the land, animal species, two-spirit transgender people, the mystical in their vision quests. The healing power of herbs rather than synthetic drugs. What good is advanced tech if there’s still war, famine, homelessness, disease, exploitation, abuse, greed, authoritarian oppression, slavery, all of society’s ills? That isn’t true advancement. Especially when the powers that be want to create a technocratic, digital carbon credit, neuralink, hive borg mind, transhuman, singularity, dystopia robbed of any trace left of humanity or nature!
@libbychang413
@libbychang413 3 ай бұрын
if theres any one person that stole the future itd have to be milton friedman...
@juicethreetwo
@juicethreetwo 2 ай бұрын
but it actually looks like the future in China
@rexsmith9577
@rexsmith9577 3 ай бұрын
The future is defined not by what people expect to happen, but rather by the things that happen that they don't expect.
@johnkrappweis7367
@johnkrappweis7367 3 ай бұрын
You call the cybertruck futuristic and innovative, I call it just plain ugly. I wouldn’t want one of those things if you gave it to me for free.
@daveogarf
@daveogarf 3 ай бұрын
GOOD Essay! Yes, nobody wants to 'rock the boat', in favour of maintaining PROFIT. Greed rules... unfortunately.
@livewellherenow
@livewellherenow 2 ай бұрын
I love this one. Certainly, a total disappointment.
@flapjackfae
@flapjackfae Ай бұрын
Customers of the Tesla truck can attest that, despite its sci-fi look, it's rubbish. If the first flying car looks cool as hell but rusts after one rain, and kills people who drive it, it will - excuse it, please - crash, and we'll stay on the not- so-superhighway. Ditto fabulous buildings whose functions are limited by their features, and possibly also by structural failure and quickly being seen as ridiculous rather than cool (Like tailfins on cars.) Things are still are they've been because technology has (understandably) not advanced at the pace imagined in the '50s. Likewise, some advances just have no practical application. Nifty discovery, but what does it DO? On order for anything "futuristic" to occur and persist , it has to meet some fairly common need, to work well and better than what it replaces, and to not be a danger to the user or planet. If people can't be bothered to recycle soda cans, what would they do with the exhausted uranium pellet from their atomic powered cars?
@Izumi-sp6fp
@Izumi-sp6fp 3 ай бұрын
Little mention of AI. This next bit is kinda long but I think you may find it interesting. People have zero understanding of what is coming. The first industrial revolution, 1763-1918 replaced human muscle. This current industrial revolution is going to replace the human mind. There is no sanctuary job or work refuge from that. The only possible way that this can even be delayed in the slightest is to make it illegal for ARA, that is AI, robotics and automation to take a given individuals job. But that is comparable to employing half a million people to construct a dam, using only spoons to dig and paying them full compensation and all benefits. It is completely illogical. You use the tools that are the most efficient. I'm watching Boston Dynamic robots learning to fight building fires. Primitive today yes, but in a year or two? There is no easy answer either. No human being has ever witnessed a "technological singularity" (TS). The last one occurred about 4 million years ago and took about 2 million years to unfold. It was the evolution of a last common ancestor to humans and apes. But there came a point when a hominid that could think in abstract terms emerged, and the previous last common ancestor could not. The older would have found the newer to be incomprehensible, unfathomable and unimaginable. That is what the AI revolution, that is going to take roughly 15 years, is going to bring. And the countdown for that began in 2015. Why 2015? Well, that is the year that all of the AI research and development came together in a massive "Cambrian Explosion" of 'narrow' AI applications which paved the way for even more profound development like "transformer" and "diffusion" technology. And the neural networks (novel computing architecture) mixed with insanely fast processing speeds (34 petaflops) and an amount of "big data" (data sets) which in 2 more years, 2017, was greater than all of the data amassed throughout all of human history up _to_ that last 2 years. This made things like GPT (2017) possible. And the rest of course is (extremely recent) history. Yeah, cuz that how a TS rolls, you see almost nothing happen for decades or even centuries and then all of a sudden you have an "artificial _super_ intelligence" and it's everybody out of the pool. We are at that point this very moment. So I don't know what they are speaking of when they say that the next "5-20 years are going to be insanely horrifying". Because that is an utter failure to grasp the situation. No, the next _3-5 years_ is going to be insanely horrifying/wonderful. And it's frankly too late. This level of AI development is spread all over the world now. What do you imagine China (PRC) is up to? They want AGI as much as the next fellow. So if we do something stupid like stop AGI development or destroy the automated looms, er, I mean the data centers. Then we hand the control of the world over to China. So as you can see we really _are_ stuck between a proverbial "rock and a hard place." But while our options look pretty bad. There is yet hope for great and wonderful outcomes as well. So we seen this SORA business which can make insanely realistic videos from prompts. Right now them videos are one minute in length. BTW just go back and look at what text to video prompting technology looked like a year and half ago. This is what I mean about things getting exponential. In the next year or two that one minute will expand to as many hours as desired. Think movies and videogames--from a prompt, made by _you_ . And consider also a development from about one year ago. The ability of an AI to do something that had not been physically possible for decades. And I was there for it. in 2007 I had a PS3. The very first PlayStation that could be connected to the internet. And it had this most amazing and fascinating program you run when you weren't using the machine to game. It was called "Folding at Home". And it was a protein folding simulation that could utilize all connected PS3s and home computers to do these protein folding simulations. For my part, I could actually watch the simulation in real time. It was eerie and mesmerizing at the same time. You saw this sort of irregular shaped, multicolored "thing" on the screen and it was in the constant quivering, vibrating motion and sometimes you saw a portion of it suddenly change. That was the aggregate of all them PS3s and home computers simulating just a miniscule portion of some particular protein. After a while I got kinda bored watching and dint go back to look at it, even though I faithfully allowed the program to run when the PS3 was in downtime. Flash forward to the year 2022. An announcement came that stated that a 'Deepmind' program called "AlphaFold" had just successfully folded more than 600 _million_ full proteins in about 2 _weeks_ . Let that sink in. An intractable molecular problem that daunted humans since the discovery of organic proteins was solved in a veritable "blink of an eye". Why does that matter? Because it is going to make a whole lot of intractable medical conditions and pathologies treatable very, _very_ quickly. That kind breakthrough for a great many intractable human problems will _also_ be part and parcel of a TS. "Intractable" as an adjective for the human condition is likely to disappear from the conversation very soon now. So to break it down into odds. We as humanity are on a knife edge. We have a 50/50 percent chance of heaven on Earth or extinction. And one way or another the AI is going to emerge triumphant. Either external in computers and whatnot or internal when humans choose to augment themselves with computing and AI to become human minds 2.0 And what that will mean for humanity one way or another. It is my belief that everything we see happening is natural and normal in the evolution of humans. From the moment that hominids could begin to think abstractly this outcome was ordained. Further, I believe that this is the natural course of things throught the universe (our portion of the mulitiverse) And that anybody else in the universe that has faster than light travel or the ability to "fold space" arrived at that point in exactly the same way. They had to tease out the laws of physics through painful trial and error. AGI/ASI was but a step in the process. What do you imagine a civilization is like that is 10,000 or half a billion years ahead of ours is like. I'd bet we mistake them for natural phenomena. Perhaps the supermassive black hole in the center of our galaxy and most of the rest of the galaxies is _them_ . The final outcome of energy generation is always the same.
@Eternyl_bliss-nj9se
@Eternyl_bliss-nj9se 3 ай бұрын
boring car design - new $20G-$30G - nice sleek sporty design that someone would actually want to be seen in (Corvette) - $100G we aren't quite there yet....
@thehopelesspragmatic6701
@thehopelesspragmatic6701 3 ай бұрын
"Why Doesn't The Future Look Like The Future?" The video: "The lack of risk taking and fear" (LMAO) Me: "Practicality, exaggerated expectations vs barriers in reality" I bet this video creator still believes we are going to be traveling in space like Star Trek. In reality we still need to figure out how to shield human crews from cosmic radiation, prevent micro-meteorites (the size of sand grains moving the speeds of bullets) from destroying space craft, prevent crews from going crazy in enclosed living space for months or years, how to deliver tons of payloads of food/equipment into space; and let me tell you this we have no idea how to do any of this, yet futurists believe we are going to send a man to Mars in the next decade. Honestly, it may take centuries, or worse it may never happen.
@jansalcher6820
@jansalcher6820 3 ай бұрын
And what about the cost of these things. Can regular people afford these things?
@brendanward2991
@brendanward2991 3 ай бұрын
It's almost like we never actually went to the Moon.
@richsackett3423
@richsackett3423 3 ай бұрын
To a complete moron maybe.
@trojanthedog
@trojanthedog 3 ай бұрын
I never read a sci fi novel as a boy or young man that came anywhere near predicting the smartphone. Now, robots, life extension tech, AI and all the novel solutions that will flow from it are rushing towards us. Future's just a little different than we thought.
@miketrotman9720
@miketrotman9720 3 ай бұрын
I expect the future to look like "Children of Men." We seem to be on schedule.
@stevecam724
@stevecam724 3 ай бұрын
Concentration of wealth is getting extreme. We will revert to a peasant society in the next century or so.
@Siranoxz
@Siranoxz 3 ай бұрын
I would argue that experimentation vanished due to tech startups getting bought up by bigger established ones for the fear that it would disrupt thing too much. But this argument you make about futurism is all about aesthetics not the other improvements..
@user-ki6qf6lq7v
@user-ki6qf6lq7v 3 ай бұрын
Imagine the world by 2050 it could be the future tech that promised us the the 2020s.
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