純粹有緣過路分享一下愚見,亦相信一般馬迷不會理會。其實你喺長輩冇理由唔知有時爆冷先係正常?尢其新馬場合。箇中原因不詳述,對賽馬有濃厚興趣鑽研人士,就會發覺多數爆冷贏得嘅新馬並非僥倖,後知後覺既人好多,但真正相馬高手確實存在但非常少。爆冷例子一般有幾類,一,新馬場合,其實包括現代歐洲嘅兩三歲經典賽;二,放頭走順之馬;三,track bias 攞到遮檔跟得順步速形勢之馬;四,所有實力馬有意外或跑錯;第五,香港較少,超快步速後上之馬。大前提爆冷贏得嘅馬一定有其實力。以上真實例子多不勝數。take recent years epsom derby as example, adayar and mojo star with the false favorite Bolshoi ballet. Unlucky 2022 epsom derby third westover. King of steel in 2023...they are all big odds just because they are unexposed in paper form. It doesn't mean no one can't see their potential. 最後,香港賽事季尾會爆冷已有好多年歷史,有冇諗過其實係某啲‘’高手‘’已離場,反映番彩池正常嘅賠率分佈。有時看似最不正常的往往係最正常嘅時候。